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Jussi Pesonen President and CEO 31 May 2018 UPM Strategy

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Page 1: UPM Strategy

Jussi Pesonen

President and CEO

31 May 2018

UPM Strategy

Page 2: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

Responsible

operations and

value chainCircular economy

Sustainable and

safe solutions for global

consumer demand

High

performing

people

Sustainable

forestry

2020

2030

Innovation

We create value by seizing the limitless potential of bioeconomy

2 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 3: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

Biomolecules

Fibres

Logs

Trees

Biofuels

Biochemicals

Pulp

Paper

Packaging

Tissue

Labelling materials

Biocomposites

Sawn timber

Plywood

Energy

3

New horizons in bioeconomy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 4: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000

20 000

Enterprise value and dividendEURm

Targeting superior shareholder returns

Cumulative dividend

Market capitalisation

Net debt

4

Page 5: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

How to achieve the shareholder returns

5 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 6: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company

UPM strategic focus areas

> Continuous

improvement

We create value by seizing… …the limitless potential of bioeconomy

> Earnings growth > Growth and

competitiveness

> Continuous

improvement

Portfolio

> Develop businesses with strong long-term fundamentals and sustainable competitive advantage

Performance Growth Innovation Responsibility

6 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 7: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company7

Leading performanceCase Smart-programmes

Safety

75% improvement in LTA

SmartSpend

500 million in variable cost savings

SmartSite

7% cost reduction in site support operations

SmartFront

Commercial excellence

SmartMaint

50 million reduction in annual maintenance cost

SmartCash

400 million release from working capital

Note: LTA = lost time accident

Operational excellence

Commercial excellence

Impacts during the initial programme period

Page 8: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company8

Continuous measures to maintain and grow earnings

FOCUSED INVESTMENTS

13 14 15 16 17 18 19

100

75

50

25

0

Sales 2017

UPM Biorefining

UPM Raflatac

UPM Specialty Papers

UPM Plywood

UPM Communication Papers

UPM Energy

+70,000 t+100,000 t

+170,000 t

Label stockexpansion

+120m litres +360,000 t

Pulp mill efficiency

+40,000 m3

+170,000 t

Label stock expansion

Specialty labels expansion

+40,000 t

+30,000 t

-420,000 t

-160,000 t

-460,000 t

-345,000 t-195,000 t

-280,000 t -128,000 t

-305,000 t

Power plants

CLOSURES, CONVERSIONS AND DIVESTMENTS

20

+40,000 t

+110,000 t

+45,000 m3

-200,000 t

Page 9: UPM Strategy

Spearheads for growth

9 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 10: UPM Strategy

Spearheads for growth

10 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

High value fibre

Specialty packaging materials

Raflatac Specialty papers

Communication

papersEnergy

Biofuels Biochemicals

Molecular bioproducts

Plywood

PulpForests

Page 11: UPM Strategy

Portfolio – our criteria for investing

1. Strong long-term fundamentals

2. Sustainable solutions

3. Competitive advantage and/or entry barriers

• Attractive returns and value creation,

short and long term

11 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 12: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company12

Spearheads for growth

High value

fibre

Specialty

packaging

materials

Molecular

bioproducts

1. Demand growth driven by global megatrends

2. Fibre-based products provide sustainable solutions

for global consumer demand

3. Competitive greenfield pulp operations have high

requirements (wood supply, location, infrastructure)

and long preparation time

1. Demand growth driven by global megatrends

2. Sustainable and safe solutions for global consumer

demand

3. Technically demanding, fast growing segments,

where UPM has strong position

1. Climate commitments and replacing fossil materials

open large growing markets

2. Unique solutions to decarbonise traffic and provide

consumers with sustainable products

3. Unique value chain position with sustainable

feedstocks, right technology and IPR

Page 13: UPM Strategy

Our means to grow

• Focused growth projects to maintain and grow earnings

–Small to medium size

–Low risk, fast implementation, high returns

• Transformative projects for earnings transformation

–Larger size and/or larger impact on long-term position

–Careful preparation for successful implementation

–High standards for returns

• M&A as an option

–Alternative or complement to organic growth

–High standards for returns

13 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 14: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company14

UPM’s current focused growth projects

• Kaukas pulp mill expansion, +30kt in Q2 2018, Finland

• Raflatac speciality label expansion, in Q4 2018, Finland

• Chudovo plywood mill expansion, +45k m3 in Q3 2019, Russia

• Jämsänkoski release liner expansion, +40kt in Q4 2018, Finland

• Nordland PM2 conversion to release liner, +110kt in Q4 2019, Germany

• Changshu release liner expansion, +40kt in Q1 2020, China

Page 15: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company15

UPM’s current transformative prospects

• Possible new 2mt pulp mill, Uruguay

–Second preparation phase is proceeding.

The permitting processes for the mill,

rail and port, as well as rail tendering

have started as agreed.

• Molecular bioproducts, possible

biorefineries

–Basic engineering work regarding a

potential 150kt biochemicals refinery,

Germany

–Exploring next steps in biofuels,

environmental impact study for a potential

500kt biorefinery, Finland

Page 16: UPM Strategy

Capital allocation

16 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 17: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company17

5-year cumulative cash flow (2013–2017)– disciplined capital allocation in action

Industry-leading

balance sheet

Net debt /EBITDA

~ 0x

EUR 6.4bn

Deleveraging

Strong operating cash flow

Attractive dividend

Focused investments

EUR 1.9bn

EUR 2.6bn

EUR 1.9bn

Page 18: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company18

Illustrative capital allocation*) for next 5 years,assuming the Uruguay pulp mill investment

Industry-leading

balance sheet

Net debt /EBITDA

< 2x

Attractive dividend

EUR ~3–4bnPerformance focus

Strong cash flow

High return

investments

EUR ~3–4bn

Maintain headroom

*) This is not a forecast

Page 19: UPM Strategy

| © UPM – The Biofore Company19

Summary

Page 20: UPM Strategy

UPM – The Biofore Company

Purpose

We create value by seizing the

limitless potential of bioeconomy.

20 | © UPM – The Biofore Company

Page 21: UPM Strategy