defrag keynote 2012: the arab spring of software

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The Arab Spring of Software: Developers are the New Kingmakers Donnie Berkholz Analyst, Redmonk [email protected] Twitter: @dberkholz Defrag 2012 Lauren Cooney Sr. Director, Software Strategy, Cisco l [email protected] Twitter: @lcooney

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The Arab Spring of Software: Developers are the New Kingmakers

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Page 1: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

The Arab Spring of Software:Developers are the New Kingmakers

Donnie BerkholzAnalyst, [email protected]: @dberkholz

Defrag 2012

Lauren CooneySr. Director, Software Strategy, Cisco

[email protected] Twitter: @lcooney

Page 2: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

The First Kingmaker

Photo courtesy Wikia

Richard Neville, 16th Earl of Warwick

Page 3: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Marc Andreessen, 2007

“A ‘platform’ is a system that can be programmed and therefore customized by outside developers – users - and in that way, adapted to countless needs and niches that the platform’s original developers could not have possibly contemplated, much less had time to accommodate…”

Page 4: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Open Source: The DeFacto Standard

Page 5: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Cloud

Page 6: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Shadow IT & The Consumerization of IT

Photo Courtesy NCJ

Page 7: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Code Sharing & Reuse

Page 8: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Cisco ConfidentialCisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 8

Commonalities:Open Building Blocks

& Technology Availability

How Developers Became Kingmakers

Page 9: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

What IT DecisionMakers THINK is

Being Used

What Developers Want to Use

What is Actually Being Used

Affecting The Vendor Landscape

Page 10: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

The Goldfish is Really the Shark

Page 11: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Brad Smith, CEO, Intuit

2012

“We have a decision-by-experiment culture. Instead of declaring, ‘here is the future functionality we will have in 24 months and 36 months’ and doggedly building to that, we are now running experiments in hours and days. If something works, we double-down on it. If it doesn’t, we discard and move on.”

Page 12: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Cisco ConfidentialCisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12

“How Can I Configure a Router, A Firewall, A

Load Balancer, Server & Storage through APIs?””

Page 13: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

So Yes, The World is Flat

Make it Work for You

Page 14: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

IT’S AN ARAB SPRING

IT’S ALL ABOUT THE BUILDING BLOCKS.WE NEED TO CREATE THEM.

AND THAT’S A MUST FOR OUR SURVIVAL.

Page 15: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

A Puzzling Pattern in VC Deals

Page 16: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

A Brave New World

Page 17: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

ProgrammableWeb, February 2012

He Who Has the Best DX Wins

Page 18: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Funnels: Not Just for Sales

Page 19: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

It's All About Barriers to Entry

Page 20: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

The Four Stages of Software

Production

Page 21: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

STAGE 1

“The money is in the hardware,

not the software”

Page 22: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

STAGE 2

“Actually, the money is in the software”

Page 23: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

STAGE 2.5

“Maybe the money is in the integration?”

Page 24: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

STAGE 3

“The money is not in the software,

but it is differentiating”

Page 25: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

STAGE 4

“Software is not even differentiating,

the value is the data”

Page 26: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Who is Leading in Data?

Page 27: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Who is Leading in Inner-Sourcing?

Page 28: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Who is Leading in Default to Open?

Page 29: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

Who is Leading in Services?

Page 30: Defrag Keynote 2012: The Arab Spring of Software

A Glimpse of the Future

GitHub rules ALM Everyone writes to a PaaS Open building blocks will win Default to open, else inner-sourced Developers take over Ops and Data