health care after the deluge - defrag 2013

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health care after the deluge #defragcon @wilbanks

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Keynote on health care at Defrag 2013.

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Page 1: Health Care After The Deluge - Defrag 2013

health care after the deluge !

#defragcon @wilbanks

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1. health “networks”

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“network” means “in payment network”

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API

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“Interchange will make KP’s public facility and location information

available for third-party developers to use within their apps”

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2. the data deluge is coming for health.

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https://www.scienceexchange.com/

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�17

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�20

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$1000 per biopsy. 1,000,000 downloads. false positive rate?

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3. a real-world experiment.

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what should i do about my prostate cancer risk?

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“eat less and exercise”

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volunteer must click to proceed

all boxes must be checked

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volunteer cannot skip video

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http://opensnp.org/users/615

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http://files.snpedia.com/reports/promethease_data/genome_jtw_ui2.html

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“Also there is no suggestion of consanguinity in your pedigree.” !http://www.ianlogan.co.uk/

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the answer isn’t (yet) on the regular web.

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4. bring the patients and

the experts into the same network.

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“how accurately can we predict if a female breast cancer survivor will develop a second tumor?”

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may the best (statistical) model win

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code sharing a prerequisite.

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accuracy of model jumped three orders of magnitude in nine days.

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76% accurate.

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(not a biologist)

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can we predict clinical utility from genetics of arthritis?

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can we predict scores on alzheimers cognitive tests from existing data?

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5. reconciling the data

deluge and the health system.

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transaction costs must come down.

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it’s likely that we will end up with a

monopoly of some sort.

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a. the incremental institution.

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b. the walled garden.

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c. big networks of small things.

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except now, everyone’s watching.

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thank you !

@wilbanks [email protected]