defrag 2012: anticipation nation 2020

© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.

Anticipation nationWelcome to the enterprise of 2020Paul MullerChief Evangelist, HP SoftwareTwitter: @xthestreams

© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.2

2019?


“The last time a data scientist was left in charge!…”


…it wasn’t (entirely) the data scientist’s fault


The real culprit might have been the king maker of the 1800’s


Cash hoarding and risk averse


Bias for short-term


Monocultures


Mounting

technical

debt


“not invented here”


BYOD BYOx


Same modelsSame dataSame vendors


Same result


The signs were there…(if you new where to look)


What will matter in 2020?



Most of us will live in cities

http://www.citymayors.com/statistics/urban_2020_1.html


Young and old, more people will shape our planet

US Census Bureau


Global top 10 consuming middle classes

Emerging middle classes will redefine markets

The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries, Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution, June, 2011

© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.

Scarce resources will make us resourceful


We’ll wrestle with security, privacy and openness

Guardian UK, http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/mar/02/cctv-cameras-watching-surveillance


We will build our businesses on dynamic services

0% 1% to 25%

26% to 50%

51% to 75%

76% to 100%

1%

16%

47%

22%14%

Percentage of apps composed of

multiple services in 2020

Q: What percent of your organization’s applications do you expect will be composite by 2020, that is consisting of multiple services built and/or hosted in different environments?

IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012

Dynamic organizations and processes based on human and IT services anywhere


We will re-imagine computation

What we expectWe will see vast increases in the data we need to manage

• 44x more data in 2020 vs 20091

• 33x more mobile network traffic in 2020 vs 20102

We will see advances in technology

• New computer/storage blocks that enable us to process huge amounts of data in real time

• Advanced software to gain insight across unstructured and structured data

• Application development and IT management software designed for vast processor power

1IDC, The Digital Universe Decade , May 2010, sponsored by EMC Corp. 2UMTS Forum, Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020, January 2011

IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012


We will have cognitive systems as partners

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_robotics


Welcome to 2020

Concentrated

Democratized

Connected

Instrumented

Innovative

Always on


Welcome to 2020

Concentrated

Democratized

Connected

Instrumented

Innovative

Always on

Uncertain

Polarized

Vulnerable

Monitored

Disruptive

Distracted


Winners?


Multi-disciplinary and diverse


Excel at collaborating with suppliers and customers


LOVE CHANGE!


From idea to implementation

Strategy

Risk & Compliance

Development

All suffer from “a miracle

happens here” syndrome –

MDM, etc etc


The secret sauce of enterprise 2020?

Operations

• Governs ultimatevelocity and agility

• Connective tissue between functions

• Killer vs Keepers of the culture


Boundary spanners

Strategy

Risk & Compliance

Development

ChiefOps

DevOps

SecOpsDataOps


What about the data scientists?


ScientistsObserve | Correlate |Model and test


ArtistsChallenge | Design | Inspire

© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.36 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.36

Model scientists and data artists Realising parking lot occupancy

can be used to predict sales performance, that’s art

Turning the results into a reliable model, that’s science


A possible 2020 playbook

People & culture

Different roles – developer, integrators, scientistsDifferent mentality – curious, risk seeker

Different skills - professionals vs experts

Process Collaborative - sharing, borderless

Scientific – hypothesize, model, test & refine

Enabling - Control models, not change

Technology

Massive scale, real-time, distributed

Meaning based, deductive modeling

Declarative, automated, proactively secured


A collaborative effort to not just imagine the enterprise of tomorrow, but shape it

Participate in the exclusive preview

hp.com/go/enterprise2020#enterprise2020@enterprise20_20

Join the Enterprise 20/20 Community


Thank You

Paul Muller@xthestreams

defrag 2012: anticipation nation 2020

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