thermal imagers and detectors 2020 - i-micronews

From Technologies to Markets

© 2020

Thermal Imagers and Detectors

2020Covid-19 outbreak impact

Market and Technology

Preliminary Report

Sample

2

a-Si:Amorphous Silicon

ASP:Average Selling Price

ASIC:Application-Specific Integrated Circuit

BST: Barium Strontium Titanate

EBT: Elevated Body Temperature

EST: Elevated Surface Temperature

CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

CCD: Charge-Coupled Device

CMOS: Complementary Metal Oxide Semiconductor

CMP: Chemical Mechanical Planarization

CSD: Chemical Solution Deposition

FIR: Far Infrared

HVAC: HeatVentilation Air Conditioning

IR: Infrared

LED: Light-Emitting Devices

LWIR: Long-Wave Infrared

MEMS: Micro Electro Mechanical Systems

MCT: Mercury Cadmium Tellium

MWIR: Middle-Wave Infrared

NIR: Near Infrared

NETD: Noise-Equivalent Temperature Difference

PCB: Printed Circuit Board

PIR: Pyro Infrared

PLP: Pixel-Level Packaging

PZT: Lead Zirconate Titanate

QVGA: QuarterVGA

QW: Quantum Well

QWIP: Quantum Well Infrared Photo Imager

RoW: Rest of the World

ROIC: Read-Out Integrated Circuit

SEM: Secondary Electron Microscopy

SOI: Silicon-On Insulator

SWaP: Size,Weight and Power

SWIR: Short-Wave Infrared

QVGA: QuarterVideo Graphics Array

TAM:Total Accessible Market

TCR:Temperature Coefficient of Resistance

TiOx :Titanium Oxide

TSV:Through-SiliconVia

UFPA: Uncooled Focal Plane Arrays

VGA:Video Graphics Array

VOx:Vanadium Oxide

VWOx :Vanadium Tungsten Oxide

WLC:Wafer-Level Camera

WLP:Wafer-Level Packaging

WLO:Wafer-Level Optics

XVGA: ExtendedVideo Graphics Array

Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

GLOSSARIES

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3

• Glossary and definitions 2

• Table of contents 3

• Why this current preliminary report? 5

• Report scope 7

• Methodology 9

• The authors 10

• List of companies 11

• What we got right/what we got wrong 12

• 3-pages summary 13

• Executive Summary 17

• Introduction 34

• Market forecasts 47

• Imagers

• What if thermal imaging becomes the new normal

• Alternative scenario for thermal imagers

• Detectors

• Market trends 75

• Imagers

• Detectors

• Smartphone opportunity

• Supply chain 88

• Supply chain relationships

• Estimation of players market share evolution

• Focus on China

• Current booming technology trends 98

• Outlooks 106

• Related reports 111

• Corporate presentation 114


OVERVIEW: TABLE OF CONTENTS OF THIS PRELIMINARY REPORT

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4Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

WHY THIS CURRENT PRELIMINARY REPORT ?

Covid-19 outbreak has changed our world and will do so for the next coming years.

Given the high criticality of thermal detection/imaging systems that are needed to stem the spread ofthe virus by detecting the fever, we decided to work on a preliminary report as of May 2020. Thispreliminary report would start to investigate the change on the thermal imaging market so far.

The former well-known Yole report named ”Uncooled infrared detectors and imagers 2019” will beupdated and renamed “Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020” and is scheduled to be released by Q42020.

This current report is a preliminary work to give you some first insights on this market; the completeanalysis will be done in the final report. Volumes, market value, market shares will be consolidated bythe end of the year. Here, we present only our preliminary expectations for the thermaldetection/imaging market, based onYole’s scenarios.

When buying this preliminary report, you also buy the complete report that will automatically be sentto you when ready.

Indeed, the current sanitary situation led us to deeply analyse the market and provide sooner data andinsight that would help your business.

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REPORT OBJECTIVES OF THE COMPLETE REPORT (Q4 2020)

Provide market data on key thermal detectors and imagers, including market metrics and dynamics:

o Thermal detectors (pyroelectrics, thermopiles), along with thermal imagers (microbolometers), in units and revenue bymarket segment

o Thermal detector and imager sales, in units and revenue by market segment

o Market share for thermal detectors and imagers

Offer key technical insights into future technology trends and challenges

Deliver an in in-depth understanding of the thermal imaging value chain, infrastructure, and players:

o Who are the industrial thermal sensor players (IDMs, foundries) and what is their market and technological position?

o More generally, which are the key players to watch and how will the thermal detection/imaging market evolve?

Present an in-depth analysis of thermal detector and imager for commercial (extra color on elevated bodytemperature screening included in thermography & surveillance segments) and defense applications:

For detectors:

Motion detection

Low-end/high-end temperature measurement

Gas and fire detection

Spectroscopy

HVAC

People-counting for retail

Smart building

For imagers:

Thermography (ultra-low-end/low-end/middle-end/high-end)

Surveillance (ultra-low-end/low-end/middle-end/high-end)

Automotive

Maritime

Firefighting

Personal vision systems (PVS)

Plug-in for smartphones

Ruggedized smartphones

Smart buildings

Other commercial (UAV, EVS, etc.)

Military

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SCOPE OF THE REPORT

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

Sensor price

4 x 4 16 x 168 x 8 64 x 6432 x 32 80 x 80 160 x 120

Sensor

resolution

Infrared

Detectors

Report

Single

pixel

XVGA

Market research scope:o This report surveys long-wave infrared (8 to 12µm), also known as

LWIR or FIR, uncooled detectors, imagers, and cameras forcommercial and military businesses

o Market data and forecasts are furnished for the 2018 – 2025 period, inshipments (units) and revenue ($M)

o This report covers the following technologies: pyroelectric (detector),thermopile (detector), and microbolometer (imager)

o This preliminary report deals with the impact on covid-19 on the uncooledLWIR market

Atto320 - Lynred

Heimann Sensor

MICRO80 - Lynred

© Yole Développement, April 2020

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7

In previous Yole’s IR reports, various names have appeared: IR detectors, IR imagers, IR cameras, uncooled IR detectors/imagers, passive infrared

(PIR), far infrared (FIR), microbolometers, thermopiles, pyroelectrics, etc…

In this report we will use two main terms to avoid possible confusion: thermal detectors and thermal imagers (which are used in thermal cameras).

The difference between thermal imager and camera is that the imager is simply the packaged pixel array with its ROIC, while the camera includes

the core, the optics, the final packaging, assembly, test, etc. The detectors’ main functionality is to mainly detect & sense thermal radiation, while the

imagers’ main functionality is to take an image of thermal radiation. More information can be found further in this report, and extra info will be

given, when needed.

Thermal detectors characteristics:• Technology: pyroelectric (bulk, thin-film, CMOS) or thermopile

• Pixel number: from 1 up to 80x80 arrays

• Spectral range: 8-14 µm

• Main function: detection/sensing

• No external cooling

Thermal imagers characteristics:• Technology: microbolometer

• Pixel number: 80x80 up to XGA & Full HD resolution (1024x768 & 1920x1080)

• Spectral range: 8-14 µm

• Main function: imaging

• No external cooling

Note that wherever we mention in this report « fever detection » we imply detection of elevated body or surface temperature, which could

indicate a fever (a symptom that could be caused, among others, by infectious as well as non-infectious diseases/illnesses). By no means whatsoever

thermal imagers/cameras and detectors could ever assert specific illnesses (covid-related or not).


ATTENTION: CHANGE OF INFRARED NOMENCLATURE IN THIS REPORT

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METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS

Market

Volume (in Munits)

ASP (in $)

Revenue (in $M)

Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources:

Information

Aggregation

Preexisting

information

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Dr. Dimitrios DAMIANOS, Analyst

Dimitrios Damianos joined Yole as a Technology & Market Analyst, working within the Photonics, Sensing & Display division. Dimitrios collaborates

daily with his team to deliver valuable technology and market reports covering imaging, photonics, and sensors. Upon completing his research activities

on theoretical and experimental quantum optics and laser light generation, Dimitrios attended Grenoble University (France) and pursued a Ph.D. in

Optical and Electrical Characterization of Dielectric Materials on Silicon as well as SOI, with applications in photovoltaics, image sensors and

microelectronics. Additionally, Dimitrios holds an MSc in Photonics from the University of Patras (Greece), and has authored/co-authored several

scientific papers published in international peer-reviewed journals.

Contact: [email protected]

Dr. Eric MOUNIER, Fellow Analyst

With more than 20 years of experience in MEMS, sensors and photonics applications, markets, and technology analyses, Eric provides deep industryinsight into MEMS and photonics current and future trends. He is a daily contributor to the development of MEMS and photonics activities at Yole,with a large collection of market and technology reports as well as multiple custom consulting projects: business strategy, identification of investmentsor acquisition targets, due diligences (buy/sell side), market and technology analysis, cost modelling, technology scouting, etc. Eric has contributed tomore than 250 marketing/technological analyses and 80 reports, helping move the MEMS and Si photonics industry forward. Thanks to his extensiveknowledge of the MEMS, sensors, and photonics-related industries, Eric is often invited to speak at industry conferences worldwide. Moreover, he hasbeen interviewed and quoted by leading media throughout the world. Prior to working at Yole, Eric held R&D and Marketing positions at CEA Leti inFrance. Eric has a Semiconductor Engineering degree and a Ph.-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble.

Contact: [email protected]


ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Biographies & contacts

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3M Scott, Adasky, Athena, BAE, Bosch, Caterpillar, Dahua, DRS, Excelitas, Feevr, FLIR, Fluke, GuideIR, GWIC, Heimann Sensors, HIKVision, HGH Infrared Systems, Huawei, i3systems, Infrared Cameras Inc, Iray Technologies, Irisys, Irlynx, Intel, L3 Technologies, LG Innotek, Lynred, Magnity, Melexis, Murata, NEC, Nicera, Omron, ON Semi, Opgal,

Ophir, OptoTherm, Panasonic, Pyreos, Raytheon, SATIR, SCD, Schneider Electric, Schott, Seek, Sunell, Sunny Optical, Teledyne Dalsa, Testo, Thermoteknix, TowerJazz,

Umicore, Wahl, Zhejiang Dali and many more…


COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT

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o Thermal imagers (microbolometers) stillstruggle to penetrate the automotive market.The question of whether thermal cameras willbe necessary for autonomous driving is stillopen.

o Thermal imaging activities in China areincreasing, with first products developed andmanufactured in-house.

o Strong demand in China, but even bigger nowdue to the fever detection component demand.

o Unfortunately, nobody detected and anticipateda world pandemic affecting the global worldeconomy COVID-19 at that time.

WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG

Covid-19 outbreak changed everything

Thermal Imagers and Detectors | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

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THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION (BY TECHNOLOGY)

$1

$10

$100

$1000

Sensor price

4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120

Sensor

Resolution

Single pixel QVGA2x2


VGA/XGA

$5000

Thermopile

Pyroelectrics

Pyroelectrics

Microbolometer

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THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION (BY APPLICATION)

$1

$10

$100

$1000

Sensor price

4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120

Sensor

Resolution


Smartphones


Motion

Detection

VGA/XGA

$5000

http://www.yole.fr/


THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION FOR FEVER DETECTION

$1

$10

$100

$1000

Sensor price

4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120

Sensor

Resolution



VGA/XGA

$5000

The Covid-19 outbreak will drive an increasing use of fever-

screening thermal technology:

• For detectors: temperature measurement using

thermopile-based devices such as temperature guns

• For imagers: thermography & public surveillance/security

using microbolometer-based thermal cameras

Thermopile

Microbolometer

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GuideIR

Dahua


FEVER DETECTION THERMAL CAMERAS: COVID-INDUCED GOLD RUSH?Hikvision

Yantai IrayTechnology (Iraytek)

Tellhow-IR

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SWOT ANALYSIS OF FEVER SCREENING THERMAL CAMERAS

• Temperature accuracy (depends

on model)

• Inability of the technique to

classify if the fever’s origin is covid-19 or other disease

• Still lack of AI for IR imaging

• Need for contactless

temperature acquisition

(comply with safety distance

between people)

• State & local governments

might raise privacy concerns

(especially when coupled with

visible cameras)

• Rapid deployment

• Fast screening & fever detection

• Mass scanning

Strengths

Opportunities

Weaknesses

Threats

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USE-CASES AND ASSOCIATED THERMAL CAMERAS

Short-term “flexible”

Anywhere, anytime

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equidem appellantur, ut has commune

accommodare. Mea illum, ludus solet idpro.

Short-term “fixed”

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accommodare. Mea illum, ludus solet idpro.

Long term, big areasCentralized access control at big places

with registering temperatures

Use casesWhere could thermal cameras be

used?

For use at building entries, elevators, airport

security check, etc… Pick and place.

For quick and easy deployment anywhere

For use at building entries, elevators, airport

security check, etc…

• Number of people: up to 30-50

• Resolution: QVGA, VGA (10-15mm lens)

• Accuracy: ±0.5°C (±0.3°C with optional

blackbody

• Software: yes, for reduction of false

detection

• Measurement guidelines: no

• Waiting time: none

• Wireless: yes (no operator)

*Thermal camera images are a courtesy from Hikvision and are for indicative purposes

• Number of people: up to 10

• Resolution: QQVGA, QVGA (3-6mm lens)

• Accuracy: ±0.5°C (±0.3°C with optional

blackbody

• Software: yes, for reduction of false

detection

• Measurement guidelines: yes

• Wating time: few seconds


• Number of people: 1

• Resolution: QQVGA

• Accuracy: ±0.5°C

• Software: no




• Number of people: 1

• Resolution: QQVGA

• Accuracy: ±0.5°C

• Software: no



• Wireless: no (operator needed)

Specifications of

each use case

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THE HIGH VALUE MARKET OF THERMAL IMAGER AND CAMERA APPLICATIONS

2019 2020 2025COVID-19 effect* Back to normal?

*Thermal camera adoption scenario: fever detection(included in thermography, surveillance) will boom

$4.3B

$7.6B

$XXB

YoY 76%

+XX% CAGR


Applications

• Thermography

• Military

• Surveillance

• PVS

• Firefighting

• Ruggedized smartphones

• Maritime

• Automotive

• Other commercial

$249M

$93M

$45M$23M

$1.12M

$1.49M

$623M

$366M$252M

$234M

$93M

$31M

$29M

$1.53M

$1.88M

$296M

$272M

$3.19M

http://www.yole.fr/


THE MARKET OF THERMAL DETECTOR APPLICATIONS

2019 2020COVID-19 effect*

$291M

$350M

+20% YoY

+XX% CAGR © Yole Développement, April 2020

$XXM

*Thermal detector scenario: strong demand for thermopiles used in temperature guns and contactless thermometers

2025Smart building effect?

Applications

• Motion detection

• HVAC

• Low-end temperature

measurement

• Gas and fire detection

• People counting for retail

• Smart buildings

• Spectroscopy

• High-end temperature

measurement

$20M

$13M

$8M

$108M

$43M

$27M$22M

$50M

$21M

$14M

$12M

$112M

$54M

$81M

$28M$29M

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THERMAL CAMERA BUSINESS RELATIONSHIPS IN 2020

Hikvision & Dahua (biggest Chinese security & surveillance camera manufacturers)

are blocked from selling their cameras (including thermal cameras) to procurement

officers, systems integrators or other government contractors (NDAA) NDAA: National Defense Authorization Act

Missed opportunity

by Chinese suppliersBeneficial for domestic

US camera suppliers

USChina

EU

production

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21

Every player could profit from the « feverdetection » gold-rush. However, the companiesmanufacturing the thermal imager (microbolometer) as well as the optics for the thermal cameras will see their shipmentsexplode, as the demand skyrockets. Even companies with no thermal imaging productsbefore, have started including them in their list. Distributors are in the same path.

One might wonder: will there be a bottleneckeither in production or in supply chain? Manufacturing is up and running in China (sinceMarch) and we believe that the capacities are enough to address the huge growth (at least) in domestic demand. If problems appear, they wouldbe on the logistics side and the speeds of assembly/testing & calibration.


WHAT’S HAPPENING IN CHINA

Biggest applications:

• Thermography

• Industrial inspection

• Fever detection (thermal cameras originatingfrom thermography/surveillance segment)

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Now Future


POSSIBLE THERMAL AI DEVELOPMENT

AI

Good thermal camera*

Powerfulprocessing

chip

OptimizedSoftware

Military

Surveillance

Transport??

Domains that have what is needed

for thermal AI developmentFuture uses?

Specially adapted NN

for thermal cameras

High resolution (VGA, XGA)

& huge dataset

• DNNs (deep neural networks) for visible light images

may be applicable to other image types, such as

thermal images.

• Resolution degradation of thermal images reduces

their classification accuracy when using a DNN

trained for visible light images.

• Classification accuracy can in some cases be improved

via the use of a SR (super-resolution) model.

Source: https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/artificial-

intelligence/posts/exploring-deep-learning-face-recognition-

with-thermal-images.html

Intel has published a study

examining whether AI can

recognise people’s faces using

thermal imaging (Jan 2020)

Other applications??

Technical limitations:

• Low-res images

• Small databases

but

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23

Exemple of potential products

Imager

Detector


POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT FOR SMARTPHONE THERMAL IMAGING/DETECTION

Excelitas TPiD 1S (SMD) TI TMP006 (WLCSP) Melexis MLX90632

What if Huawei introduces a phone with temperature measurement

option now?

Naturally people are worried about covid-19 and it wouldn’t be

outrageous to use something to measure frequently their body

temperature, which happens to be constantly in their hands: their

smartphone.

Domestically, 850M people have smartphones, 60% of the Chinese

population (source: Newzoo). It wouldn’t be an exaggeration if 10M

people (1%) could buy a smartphone with this added functionality

(body temperature measurement). And this is a hypothesis where only

people in China adopt such a smartphone.

Development choices for mass production & smartphone

integration (10Mu order of magnitude)

FLIR Lepton Iraytek S0 or Tiny1

Accuracy

better than

0.5°C?

Small form

factor?

Low cost (few

$)?

8’’ or 12’’

CMOS

compatible?

(mass prod.)

Rapid

characterizati

on & test?

Technology?

(thermopile,

microbolomet

er, other?)

ASIC, chip etc

for reducing

false negative

reading?

Technology Product

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Contact our

Sales Team

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information

3D Imaging & Sensing 2020Status of the MEMS Industry 2019

Machine Vision for Industry and Automation 2018


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Contact our

Sales Team

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Autoliv’s 3rd Generation Automotive Night Vision Camera with FLIR’s ISC0901

Microbolometer

FLIR Boson – a small, innovative, low power, smart thermal camera core

Melexis Far Infrared Thermal Sensor MLX90640

FLIR One 2nd Generation & FLIR LEPTON 3 IR Camera Core



System Plus Consulting

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26

Contact our

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Piseo – Design and Characterization of Innovative Optical Systems

Construction and performance

analysis of sensors and cameras

• Imagers, modules and cameras:

- NETD

- Responsivity

- Scene dynamic

- Dead pixels

- NUC

- RFPN

- MTF

- Optical design

FLIR Boson 640 Pro Iray TS3

Release : July 2020

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Feel free to share our data with your own network, within your

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before that, contact our Public Relations department to

make sure you get up-to-date, licensed materials.

We will be more than happy to give you our latest results and

appropriate formats of our approved content.

Your contact: Sandrine Leroy, Dir. Public Relations

Email: [email protected]


HOW TO USE OUR DATA?

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