how microsoft acquired yahoo | search business case

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Analyzing decision of the European Commission Microsoft | Yahoo! Search Business Competition, Strategy, and Institutions Yulia AN | Yulia MIRONOVA

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Analysis of Yahoo search business acquisition by Microsoft from the economic view.

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Page 1: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Analyzing decision of the European Commission

Microsoft | Yahoo! Search Business

Competition, Strategy, and Institutions Yulia AN | Yulia MIRONOVA

Page 2: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Decision of European CommissionMarket overviewPositive effectsNegative effectsPost-transaction analysisConclusion

Page 3: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission

Parties

Microsoft Yahoo!

− Online web-wide algorithmic search

− Search advertising businesses including online search advertising platform Panama.

− Internet search platform, Bing. − Online search advertising

platform, adCenter.

Online Services Business division

Page 4: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission

Subject − 10-year exclusive license to Yahoo's search technologies.

− Yahoo internet search and search advertising staff.

− Microsoft as the exclusive internet search and search advertising provider used by Yahoo.

− 12% of the search revenues generated on Yahoo’s and its partners' websites during the first five years of the agreement will go to Mirosoft.

− Rest 88% will go to Yahoo as a traffic acquisition cost.

Page 5: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission

Decision

Horizontal Merger approved

Page 6: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case
Page 7: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case
Page 8: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission

Market overviewPositive effectsNegative effectsPost-transaction analysisConclusion

Page 9: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Organic web search

Search-based advertising

Non-search-based advertising

Contextual

Text

Contextual Non-context

Text Display Display

Adapted from European Commission (2008)

Market overview

Page 10: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Paid search Display Classified

Source: ZenithOpen

Market overview

Page 11: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Advertisers

Users

Market overview

Page 12: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

A

UZero-price consraint

Auction bidding:

Generalized Second-Price

Market overview

Page 13: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

A

U~ Single-homing

~ Multi-homing

Market overview

Page 14: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

Production costs Switching costs

Page 15: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

Production costs Switching costs

− Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

Page 16: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

− Hardware (USD 1 000 mln) − Human capital (USD 1 000 mln) − Server infrastructure − IP patents − Algorithm development − Algorithm update − R&D

Production costs Switching costs

− Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

Page 17: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

Production costs Switching costs

High Low − Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

Page 18: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

− One click away

Production costs Switching costs

High Low − Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

− Credence good

Page 19: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

− One click away

Production costs Switching costs

High Low − Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

− Credence good

Network externalities

Page 20: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

− One click away

Production costs Switching costs

High Low − Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

− Credence good

Network externalities

High entry barriers

Page 21: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

− One click away

Production costs Switching costs

High Low − Highly specific fixed costs − Negligible variable costs − Sunk

− Credence good

Network externalities

High entry barriers

High market concentration

Page 22: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Market overview

GoogleYahoo! BingOther

UK France Germany

Ireland Italy SpainDigital Clarity. (2011). Yahoo & Bing Search Engine Merger. Available at http://www.digital-clarity.com/blog/search-engines/yahoo-bing-search-engine-merger/

92% 94,76% 95,69%

94,67% 97,54% 96,96%

Page 23: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission Market Overview

Positive effectsNegative effectsPost-transaction analysisConclusion

Page 24: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Microsoft Yahoo!

− Economies of scale − Reduction of costs

Positive effects

Page 25: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Microsoft Yahoo!

− Economies of scale − Reduction of costs

− Rationalisation of operational costs − Stronger competitor to Google − Greater value to advertisors

Positive effects

Page 26: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission Market overview Positive effects

Negative effectsPost-transaction analysisConclusion

Page 27: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Advertisers

UsersPublishers

Distributors

Page 28: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Advertisers

Page 29: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Advertisers

− Increased cost per click (CPC) − increased bidder density for

particular keywords

Page 30: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Users

Page 31: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Users

− reduction of variety of choice − degradation of organic search − unilateral effect

Page 32: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Publishers

Page 33: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Merger

Publishers

− increased competition among publishers − reduced competition between the remaining

advertising platforms − lower prices paid for publishers’ web space

Page 34: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

MergerDistributors

Page 35: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

MergerDistributors

− reduced competition between search platforms for distribution agreements

− increased Microsoft’s ability to leverage its market power in areas other than online advertising

Page 36: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission Market overview Positive effects Negative effects

Post-transaction analysisConclusion

Page 37: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

0,00%10,00%

20,00%30,00%40,00%50,00%60,00%70,00%80,00%90,00%

100,00%

July 2009 April 2014

AOL, Inc.

Ask Network

Microsoft sites

Yahoo! sites

Google sites

Post-transaction analysis

64,7% 67,6%

19,3% 10%

8,9% 18,7%

Total U.S. search market share – Home & Work Locations (2009, 2014). ComScore Explicit Core Search Share Report. comScore qSearch

Page 38: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Post-transaction analysis

10%13%

22%

37%

-10%

14%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Impressions ClickthroughRate

Cost-Per-Click

Yahoo! Bing Network Google

U.S. Percentage change of the main search market indicators of Yahoo! Bing Network and Google on a year-over-year basis (Q4 2011 – Q4 2012)

Marin Software. (2012). Online Advertising Report, October-December 2012

Page 39: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Post-transaction analysis

Consumer surplus under normalized network benefit parameters

Iurkov, V. (2013). Competition, mergers and exclusive dealing in two-sided markets with zero-price constraints: The case of search engines. Universita Ca’Foscari Venezia.

Page 40: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Post-transaction analysis

Total welfare under normalized network benefit parameters

Iurkov, V. (2013). Competition, mergers and exclusive dealing in two-sided markets with zero-price constraints: The case of search engines. Universita Ca’Foscari Venezia.

Page 41: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Post-transaction analysis

A merger between two platforms leads to a slight decrease in consumer surplus and total welfare, but to an increase in total platform profits.However, as t → ∞, consumer surplus and total welfare tend to be equal under no merger and merger configurations.

Iurkov, V. (2013). Competition, mergers and exclusive dealing in two-sided markets with zero-price constraints: The case of search engines. Universita Ca’Foscari Venezia.

Page 42: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

European Commission Market overview Positive effects Negative effects Post-transaction analysis

Conclusion

Page 43: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

Discussion

Page 44: How Microsoft acquired Yahoo | Search business case

ReferencesPhotography of Microsoft Office by Jeff Wong, www.jeffwongdesign.com/2013/10/microsoft-office-interior