consumer snapshot october 2014
TRANSCRIPT
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sentiment strategy
october 2014
Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.
halloween
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sentiment
consumer sentiment confidence cools from the near 7 year high reached in
September to 41.0% in October
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
13 month summary while this month’s reading is a vast improvement over Oct-
13 (28.3%), it has fallen back into the holding pattern that has characterized much of 2014
28.3%
44.7%
41.0%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
© 2014, Prosper® www.ProsperDiscovery.com
sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
not quite so recovered… continuing the trend we’ve seen in previous months,
October’s 41.0% is the highest October confidence reading since the Great Recession
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
however, this month’s figure lands nearly four points below pre-recession Oct-07
consumer sentiment confidence cools from the near 7 year high reached in
September to 41.0% in October
13 month summary while this month’s reading is a vast improvement over Oct-
13 (28.3%), it has fallen back into the holding pattern that has characterized much of 2014
44.8%
41.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14
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strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 18+}
practicality, focus on needs consumers send a few mixed signals in October, with
fewer citing practicality and more focusing on needs compared to September
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
46.2%
41.1%
51.7%
48.2%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases
I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
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strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 18+}
practicality, focus on needs
while both indicators have declined compared to recession-era Oct-09, each remains elevated from pre-
recession Oct-07
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
38.6%
48.8%
41.1%
47.1%
56.0%
48.2%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
Oct-07 Oct-09 Oct-14
I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases
I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
consumers send a few mixed signals in October, with fewer citing practicality and more focusing on needs
compared to September
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strategy financial plans over the next 3 months {adults 18+}
practicality, focus on needs
while both indicators have declined compared to a year ago, each remains elevated from pre-recession Oct-07
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
consumers send a few mixed signals in October, with fewer citing practicality and more focusing on needs
compared to September
financial planning paying down debt remains consumers’ fiscal priority
20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Pay down debt
Decrease overallspending
Increase savings
Oct-07
Oct-09
Oct-14
plans to decrease overall spending have tapered off since the Great Recession, but remain elevated from pre-
recession levels
increasing savings is of rising importance for consumers, however more willing to take on some credit card debt
Consumer Behavior and Economic Update: Expectations for this Holiday Season and Beyond: ProsperDiscovery.com
© 2014, Prosper® www.ProsperDiscovery.com
halloween halloween spending plans {celebrants 18+}
$48
.48
$59
.06
$64
.82
$66
.54
$56
.31
$66
.28
$72
.31
$79
.82
$75
.03
$77
.52
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: National Retail Federation, Prosper Insights & Analytics
halloween spending plans celebrants plan to spend $77.52 on costumes, candy,
décor, and cards in 2014, up slightly from $75.03.
© 2014, Prosper® www.ProsperDiscovery.com
halloween plans to dress in costume {celebrants 18+}
45.8%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: National Retail Federation, Prosper Insights & Analytics
halloween spending plans celebrants plan to spend $77.52 on costumes, candy,
décor, and cards in 2014, up slightly from $75.03.
costume creativity perhaps with Halloween falling on a Friday this year, a
record percentage of consumers plan to dress in costume
witches, princesses, and pumpkins among the top costumes for adults, children, and pets
© 2014, Prosper® www.ProsperDiscovery.com
halloween
Source: National Retail Federation, Prosper Insights & Analytics
0% 20% 40%
Online search
Retail store or costume shop
Friends/Family
Print media
Pop culture
Current events
Habit/Wear the same…
Blogs
where will you look for inspiration for halloween costumes for yourself, your child(ren), and/or your pet(s) this year? {celebrants 18+}
halloween spending plans celebrants plan to spend $77.52 on costumes, candy,
décor, and cards in 2014, up slightly from $75.03.
costume creativity perhaps with Halloween falling on a Friday this year, a
record percentage of consumers plan to dress in costume
witches, princesses, and pumpkins among the top costumes for adults, children, and pets
online searches, costume shops, and friends/family are consumers’ top sources for inspiration
© 2014, Prosper® www.ProsperDiscovery.com
halloween
Source: National Retail Federation, Prosper Insights & Analytics
halloween spending plans celebrants plan to spend $77.52 on costumes, candy,
décor, and cards in 2014, up slightly from $75.03.
costume creativity perhaps with Halloween falling on a Friday this year, a
record percentage of consumers plan to dress in costume
witches, princesses, and pumpkins among the top costumes for adults, children, and pets
where will you look for inspiration for halloween costumes for yourself, your child(ren), and/or your pet(s) this year? {celebrants by generation}
online searches, costume shops, and friends/family are consumers’ top sources for inspiration
most likely to win best costume? majority of Gen X-ers (54%) and Millennials (76%)
celebrants plan to dress in costume 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Online search
Retail store or costume shop
Friends/Family
Print media
Pop culture
Current events
Adults 18+ Millennials Gen Xfor more: NRF.com/Halloween
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thanks
visit ______________________to access: Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™ PowerPoint Slides …and more
Pam Goodfellow Consumer Insights Director
Prosper Insights & Analytics™ [email protected] ProsperDiscovery.com
ConsumerSnapshot.com
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