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TRANSCRIPT
Mika Mikkola
VP, Investor Relations
UPM – THE BIOFORE COMPANYABGSC Spotlight On Nordic Opportunities 2014
| © UPM
Contents
• UPM in transformation
• Financial performance
• Sustainable competitiveness
• Summary
2
| © UPM3 | © UPM
UPM IN TRANSFORMATION
| © UPM
UPM in transformation – revenues
4
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2013
Paper ENA
Plywood
Energy
Paper Asia
Raflatac
Biorefining
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2003
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
2003:
integrated
paper company
2008:
towards market-
driven businesses
2013:
six separate
businesses
Sales
EBIT(*
EBIT margin(*
Personnel
EUR 9.9bn
EUR 429m
4.4%
34,500
EUR 9.5bn
EUR 513m
5.4%
25,000
EUR 10.1bn
EUR 683m
6.8%
21,000
Business
portfolio,
Sales
*) excluding special items
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2008
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
| © UPM
UPM in transformation – capital
5
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2013
Paper ENA
Plywood
Energy
Paper Asia
Raflatac
Biorefining
Other
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2003
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
Other
2003:
integrated
paper company
2008:
towards market-
driven businesses
2013:
six separate
businesses
Capital empl.
ROCE (*
Net debt
Market cap
EUR 12.8bn
4.7%
EUR 4.9bn
EUR 7.9bn
EUR 11.2bn
4.6%
EUR 4.3bn
EUR 4.7bn
EUR 11.6bn
6.0%
EUR 3.0bn
EUR 6.5bn
Business
portfolio,
Capital
employed
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
2008
Sold units
Paper
Plywood
Raflatac
Sawmilling
Other
*) excluding special items
| © UPM
UPM’s businesses
6
• Pulp• Biofuels• Sawmills
• Fine papers in China• Labelling materials
globally
• Label materials for product and information labelling
• Hydro, nuclear and condensing power generation
• Electricity trading in physical and derivatives markets
• Plywood and veneer products
• Magazine papers in Europe and in North America
• Newsprint and Fine papers in Europe
Financials
2013
Sales
EUR
EBITDA
%
ROCE
%
UPM
Biorefining1,988m 22 11
UPM
Energy466m 43 7
UPM
Raflatac1,213m 9 14
UPM
Paper Asia1,108m 15 9
UPM
Paper ENA5,560m 4 0
UPM
Plywood429m 10 7
UPM total 10,054m 11 6
UPM Biorefining
UPM Paper Asia
UPM Raflatac
UPM Energy
UPM Paper ENA
UPM Plywood
| © UPM
Profit
improvement
programme
EUR 200m
Shifting gear in UPM transformation
7
UPM
Biorefining
UPM
Paper
Asia
UPM
Raflatac
UPM
Energy
UPM
Paper
ENA
UPM
Plywood
EBITDA target for
growth initiatives
EUR 200m
Biofuels:
Lappeenranta
biorefinery
Pulp: 10%
capacity increase
Labelling materials:
Changshu expansion
Self-adhesive labels:
advancing in growth
markets and in higher
value added products
Business portfolio
development and
value creation
BIOCHEMICALS
BIOCOMPOSITES
BIOFUELS
New businesses
| © UPM
Profit improvement programme
progressing fast
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 Q414 Q115
8
EURm
Full impact of the programme is expected by the end
of 2014 as compared with the Q2/13 results
78%
achieved
in Q1/14
EUR 200m
annualised
fixed and
variable
cost
savings
| © UPM
Growth projects targeting EUR 200m of
additional EBITDA
Decisions in 2014
• Changshu labelling materials, 360,000t, start-up by the end of 2015
• Kymi pulp mill expansion, 170,000t, start-up by the end of 2015
• 50% increase in self-adhesive labelstock coating capacity in APAC,
increase filmic labelstock capacity in Europe, start-ups by early 2015
Continued implementation
• Lappeenranta renewable diesel, 100,000t start-up summer 2014
• Pietarsaari pulp mill expansion, 70,000t, start-up summer 2014
Further debottlenecking potential at Fray Bentos and Kaukas pulp mills
Targeted additional EBITDA EUR 200m when all projects in full
operation, total capex estimate EUR 680m over three years
9
| © UPM
Business portfolio development and
value creation
• Performance: targeting top performance
in each business
• Grow: focused high-return growth
investments and synergistic M&A
• Simplify: best value realisation for UPM
• Consolidation in European paper
market, without increasing capital
10 | © UPM
| © UPM| © UPM
• Biofuels renewable drop-in
diesel suitable for all diesel
engines
• Biochemicals renewable
drop-in alternatives for oil-
based chemicals
• Biocomposites for injection
moulding to replace oil-based
raw materials
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Annual patent filings 2009–2013
11
New businesses based on UPM’s
development work
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
12 | © UPM
| © UPM
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1/14
-6,0
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
Operating profit excl. special items
Profitability over two economic slowdowns
Europe has underperformed
the other major economic zones
Real GDP y-o-y growth % % of sales
EU
US
Emerging markets
13
Real GDP y-o-y growth %
5.4
3.5
8.2
6.8
5.3
6.8
Source: IHS Global Insight
7.3
LTM
| © UPM
Operating profit *) by business area
14
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
-3
0
3
6
9
12
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
EURm % of salesUPM Paper Asia EURm % of salesUPM Paper ENA EURm % of salesUPM Plywood
EURm % of salesUPM RaflatacEURm % of salesUPM EnergyEURm % of salesUPM Biorefining
*) excluding special items
| © UPM
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1/14
Strong cash flow
15
Operating cash flow
Cash flow
after investing
activities
Cash flowEUR million
LTM
| © UPM
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
0,80
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash flow based dividend
EUR per
share
0.40
0.45
0.55
16
Dividend policy
• at least 1/3 of net cash flow from
operating activities less
operational capital expenditure
• net cash flow calculated as an
average over three years
Minimum dividend by the
policy
• EUR 0.45 per share
Dividend for 2013
• EUR 0.60 per share
0.60 0.60 0.60
Dividend
| © UPM
Low investment needs in existing assets allow
growth projects with modest total capex
17
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e
EUR million
Operational investments
329
Capital expenditure
Strategic investments
Depreciation
Uruguay
acquisition
Myllykoski
acquisition
450
Estimate
| © UPM
Strengthening balance sheet
18
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
Net debt, EUR millionNet debt / EBITDA(trailing 12 months)
Net debt
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Net debt, EUR million Gearing %
Net debt
Gearing
37
Liquidity was EUR 2.0bn at the end of Q1 2014
Repayments total EUR 0.5bn in 2014
SUSTAINABLE COMPETITIVENESS
19 | © UPM
| © UPM20
Biofore in the shape of a car
UPM Formi UPM Grada
Interior panels
Dash board
Display panel cover
Door panels
Centre console
Door panels
Side skirtsPassenger compartment floor
Front mask
UPM BioVerno
Wood-based renewable diesel
Emissions reduction up to 80%
UPM Raflatac
Upholstery detailing
Exterior/Interior
Spare parts labeling
| © UPM
The Biofore Concept Car presented in
Geneva 2014
• Majority of oil-based plastic parts are replaced
by parts from biobased renewable
composite materials which can
be recycled and reused.
• The Biofore Concept Car weighs
150 kg less than similar-sized cars
leading to lower
fuel consumption
• Wood-based renewable
diesel enables emissions
reduction up to 80%
• Street-legal
in Finland
21Driven by Biofore
| © UPM
UPM creates new business in
wood-based renewable diesel
• World’s first biorefinery producing wood-
based renewable diesel
• Lappeenranta 100,000t refinery start-up
in summer 2014
• UPM technology
• Attractive EUR 150m investment, part of
the EUR 200m EBITDA growth target
• Potential to become a large new business
2222 | © UPM
| © UPM
Renewable diesel suitable for all diesel engines
• Engine tests done in independent research centres
- Finnish VTT
- German research centre FEV
• Fleet tests done with VW and VTT
• Renewable drop-in diesel suitable for all diesel engines
• Functions like any regular diesel
RENEWABLE RAW MATERIAL
100%
CO2 EMISSIONS(VS. FOSSIL FUEL)
–80%
HYDROCARBON FUEL, COMPATIBLE WITH DIESEL STANDARD EN590
100%
23 | © UPM
| © UPM
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
DE
ID
rax
RW
ES
co
ttis
h &
S.
ED
PE
.ON
Va
tte
nfa
llE
nel
Ed
ipow
er
Unio
n F
enosa
CE
ZE
nB
WG
DF
Su
ez E
.D
ong
Iberd
rola
+S
PU
PM
Fort
um
ED
FV
erb
un
dS
tats
kra
ft
2nd largest energy business in Finland, with
competitive low-emission energy sources
78%
67%
24
Source:
PWC 2013, UPM
kgCO2/MWh Specific CO2 emissions
OF ALL FUEL USED BY
UPM BASED ON
RENEWABLE BIOMASS
OF UPM’S POWER
GENERATION CO2
NEUTRAL
BIOMASS-BASED
ELECTRICITY
+83%HYDROPOWER
+16%NUCLEAR
+10%in 10 years
| © UPM
Resource efficiency,
case Changshu paper mill in China
25
WATER
-65%Per tonne of paper
ELECTRICITY
-20%Per tonne of paper
WASTE TO
LANDFILL
-60% Per tonne of paper
CERTIFIED FIBRE
75%From 0% in 2002
Continuous improvement process
over the past 10 years
| © UPM
Waste is today’s new material
26
UPM’s new construction product Cineritmade of fly ash from the thermal recovery of biogenic waste materials
UPM ProFi composite products made from the paper and plastic left over from the production of self-adhesive label materials
Renewable diesel UPM BioVernoproduced from crude tall oil, a residue of pulp production
UPM is the world’s largest user of recycled paper for the production of graphic papers
36%of all fibre used in UPM’s
paper production is
recycled fibre
90%of all production
waste is reused
| © UPM
Productivity development in 10 years
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
27
EURm
IN FIVE YEARS
+27%
IN TEN YEARS
+69%
Sales per employee
| © UPM
Targeting world-class safety results
in three years
ACCIDENT FREQUENCYIN TWO YEARS
–60%
SUBCONTRACTOR ACCIDENTS IN ONE YEAR
–15%
ABSENTEEISM DUE TO ACCIDENTS AT WORK
–40%
UPM
Step Change in SafetyTarget end 2014
LTAF =Number of LTA / 1 million hours of work
28
| © UPM
Taking care of the entire lifecycle
Responsible sourcing
64% of supplier spend
qualified against UPM Supplier Code
Continuous supplier auditing
80% of wood from
certified forests
100% of wood sourcing
covered by chain of custody system
6000+ chemicals on
UPM Restricted Chemical Substance List
Responsible operations
Certified production, forestry (environmental, quality, OHS)
Transparent and verified reporting
85% of UPM employees
have completed Code of Conduct training
29
Growing eco-labelled sales
75% of UPM’s sales
are eco-labelled
| © UPM
Creating value on sustainably sourced
forest biomass
CDP FOREST SECTOR LEADER30 | © UPM
SUMMARY
31 | © UPM
| © UPM
Value creation with stakeholders
Dialogue, feedback
and engagement
New business opportunities
with ecodesign
Biofuels
Biochemicals
Biocomposites
Creating competitive advantage
and long-term value
High performing people
Resource efficiency
Ecolabels and certification
Customers
3
Anticipating and managing risks
Code of Conduct
Environmental performance
Responsible sourcing and forestry
2
1
4
MORE WITH BIOFORE
Responsibility is a source of
competitive advantage
32 | © UPM
| © UPM
Profit
improvement
programme
EUR 200m
Shifting gear in UPM transformation
33
UPM
Biorefining
UPM
Paper
Asia
UPM
Raflatac
UPM
Energy
UPM
Paper
ENA
UPM
Plywood
EBITDA target for
growth initiatives
EUR 200m
Biofuels:
Lappeenranta
biorefinery
Pulp: 10%
capacity increase
Labelling materials
Changshu expansion
Self-adhesive labels:
advancing in growth
markets and in higher
value added products
Business portfolio
development and
value creation
BIOCHEMICALS
BIOCOMPOSITES
BIOFUELS
New businesses