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| © UPM | © UPM | © UPM 1 UPM The Biofore Company Investor Presentation, January 2020

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Page 1: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM1

UPM –The Biofore CompanyInvestor Presentation, January 2020

Page 2: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM2

UPM BIOREFINING

UPM ENERGY

UPM RAFLATAC

UPM SPECIALTY PAPERS

UPM COMMUNICA-TION PAPERS

UPM PLYWOOD

Pulp

Plantations

Biofuels

Sawmills

Wood Sourcing

and Forestry

Hydro-, nuclear-

and condensing power

(incl. shares in energy

companies)

Electricity production

and trading

Optimisation services

Label materials

for product and

information labelling

Fine and specialty

papers in China

and APAC

Labelling material

globally

Packaging papers

mainly in Europe

Extensive product

range of graphic

papers for advertising

and publishing

as well as home

and office uses

WISA® Plywood

and veneer products

UPM Grada®

wood material

UPMBIOCOMPOSITESUPM ProFi ®

UPM Formi ®

UPM Formi 3D®

UPMBIOCHEMICALS Wood-based biochemicals

for variety of industrial uses

UPMBIOMEDICALSGrowDex®

UP

M B

US

INE

SS

ES

Page 3: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

100,400 shareholders in 32 countries

24,000 75 countries

54 12 countries

b-to-b-

suppliers in

production

plants in

13%North America

62%Europe

6%Rest of the world

19%Asia

Global businesses – local presence

3

UPM’s sales by market

EUR 10,238 million

19,000 employees in 46 countries

12,600 customers in 110 countries

Page 4: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM4

Operating on healthily growing markets

Market demand

trend growth, %

UPM PLYWOOD

Plywood, veneer ~3%Comparable EBIT by

business area 2019

EUR 1,404m

UPM BIOREFINING

Pulp ~3%

Biofuels strong

Timber ~2%

UPM COMMUNICATION PAPERS

Graphic papers ~ –5%

UPM SPECIALTY PAPERS

Label papers, high-end

office papers ~4%

UPM RAFLATAC

Self-adhesive labels ~4%UPM ENERGY

Electricity ~1%

Page 5: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Responsible

operations and

value chainCircular economy

Sustainable and safe solutions

for global consumer demand

High

performing

people

Sustainable

forestry

2020

2030

Innovation

Limitless opportunities

of bioeconomy

A FUTURE BEYOND FOSSILS

Page 6: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Biofore strategy

6

PERFORMANCE GROWTH INNOVATION RESPONSIBILITY

WE CREATE VALUE BY SEIZING THE LIMITLESS

POTENTIAL OF BIOECONOMY

| © UPM

STRONG LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS FOR DEMAND GROWTH

AND HIGH BARRIERS TO ENTRY

Page 7: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Spearheads for growth

7

Page 8: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM8

UPM in transformation

*) excluding special items for 2008, comparable figures for 2018

Sales

EBIT *)

ROE *)

Net debt

Market cap

EUR 9.5bn

EUR 270m

1.0%

EUR 3.7bn

EUR 4.3bn

2009 2019

Business portfolio

Increasing share of businesses with

strong long-term fundamentals for

profitability and growth

Sales

Business performance

Continuous improvement in financial,

social and environmental performance

Operating model

Promotes value creation

EUR 10.2bn

EUR 1,404m

11.2%

EUR -0.45bn

EUR 16.5bnDisciplined capital allocation

Driving value creation

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %CommunicationPapersPlywood

Energy

Specialty Papers

Raflatac

Biorefining

Others0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %Paper

Plywood

Energy

Forest and timber

Raflatac

Pulp

Others

Page 9: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

We act through EMISSIONS

65% less CO2 emissions

We act through PRODUCTS

Innovate novel products

We act through FORESTS

Climate-positive forestry

9

Mitigating climate change – driving long-term value creation

Page 10: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM10

UPM current investment portfolio for earnings growth

• Chudovo plywood mill expansion+45k m3 in Q3 2019, Russia

• Nordland PM2 conversion to release liner+110kt in Q1 2020, Germany

• Changshu release liner expansion+40kt in Q4 2019, China

• New power plant in Nordlandin Q3 2022, Germany

• Kuusankoski hydropower refurbishmentin Q4 2022, Finland

Focused investments

New 2.1mt eucalyptus pulp mill

• Mill investment of USD 2.7bn, Uruguay

• Investments in port operations in Montevideo, local

facilities in Paso de los Toros of USD 350m

• Scheduled start-up in H2 2022

Molecular bioproducts

• Next generation biochemicals refinery in Germany.

Annual capacity of 220kt of wood-based

biochemicals, investment of EUR 550m.

Scheduled start-up by the end of 2022.

• Environmental impact study completed for a

potential 500kt biofuels refinery in Finland. Ambition

to scale-up with a next generation biorefinery,

development ongoing.

Transformative prospects

Page 11: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Continuously taking action to ensure competitiveness

• UPM Plattling PM 10 (LWC)

-155kt closed down in Q3 2019

• UPM Rauma PM 2 (SC)

-265kt, closed down in Q4 2019

• UPM Chapelle (newsprint)

-240kt, plan to sell by the end of Q2 2020

• UPM Nordland PM2 (fine)

-200kt, conversion to release liner in Q1 2020

• New power plant in UPM Nordlandin Q3 2022

11

• Continuous improvement programmesVariable costs, working capital, commercial

strategies, maintenance and site costs, safety,

environmental performance

• Efficient use of assets

• Fixed cost reduction

• Product and mix development

• Digitalisation Customer interface, planning, data analytics

UPM Communication Papers All business areas and functions

Page 12: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Business area returns and long-term targets

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE % *)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

*) shareholdings in UPM Energy

valued at fair valueLong-term return target

UPMSpecialty Papers

UPMCommunication

PapersUPM

Plywood UPM Raflatac

UPMEnergy

UPMBiorefining

FCF/CE %

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

12

Page 13: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

-750

0

750

1 500

2 250

3 000

3 750

4 500

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Net debt/EBITDA (x)

Net debt and leverage

Net debtEURm

Group financial performance

13

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

EURm Comparable EBIT

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

% Comparable ROE

Target: 10%Target: EBIT growth

Policy: ≤ 2x

Page 14: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

5-year cumulative cash flow (2015–2019)– efficient capital allocation in action

14

Net debt/

EBITDA

< 0x

Industry-leading

balance sheetDeleveraging

EUR 3.2bn

Strong operating cash flow

EUR 7.6bn

Attractive dividend

EUR 2.6bn

Focused investments

EUR 1.8bn

Page 15: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Illustrative capital allocation *) for the next 5 years

15

Performance focus

Strong cash flowAttractive dividend

EUR ~3.5–4bn

High return

investments

EUR ~4-4.5bn Maintain headroom

Net debt/

EBITDA

< 2x

Industry-leading

balance sheet

*) This is not a forecast

Page 16: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Consistently strong cash flow

16

• 2019: record annual operating cash flow

at EUR 1,847m (1,330m)

• Working capital decreased by EUR 276m

(increased by 209m)

• Q4/19: record quarterly operating cash

flow at EUR 592m (384m in Q4/18)

• Working capital decreased by EUR 227m

(decreased by 29m)0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Cash flow

Free cash flow

Operating cash flow

EURm

Page 17: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Dividend proposal: EUR 1.30 per share

17

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*

EUR per share

% of operating cash flow per share

Long term dividend policy

• UPM aims to pay an attractive dividend,

30–40% of operating cash flow per share

Dividend proposal for 2019

• EUR 1.30 (1.30) per share,

totalling EUR 693m

• 38% of 2019 operating cash flow

*) Board’s

proposal

Page 18: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Transformative growth projects in pulp and biochemicals,low investment needs in existing assets

18

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Depreciation

Operational investments

Strategic investments

Uruguay

acquisition

Myllykoski

acquisition

Capital expenditure EstimateEURm

UPM Paso

de los Toros

Capex estimate for 2020

• Total EUR 1,300m

• Includes EUR 900m on the

new pulp mill and related

capex in Uruguay

• Operational investment

needs consistently low

378

1,300

Page 19: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM19 | © UPM

• UN Global Compact LEAD

• Dow Jones Sustainability Index

• CDP Climate

• MSCI ESG Ratings

https://www.msci.com/documents/1296102/1523388

6/How-to-Reference-an-MSCI-ESG-Rating-Final.pdf

Our consistent efforts on responsibility have received recognition globally

Page 20: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Q4 2019: Good performance and record cash flow

• Sales decreased by 10% to EUR 2,447m

(2,731m in Q4 2018) due to lower pulp price

and lower deliveries of graphic papers

• Comparable EBIT decreased by 15% to

EUR 343m (404m)

• Record cash flow in Communication Papers

and Raflatac, record comparable EBIT in

Specialty Papers

• Record quarterly operating cash flow at

EUR 592m (384m)

• Net debt decreased to EUR -453m (-311m at

the end of 2018, before IFRS 16 Leases)

20

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Comparable EBITEURm

404

343

Page 21: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM21

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Q3/19 Q4/19

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Q4/18 Q4/19

Prices

Variable

costsFixed

costs

Volumes

40414.8%

34314.0%

Currency,

net

impact

Prices

Variable

costs

Fixed

costs

Volumes Currency,

net

impact

Depreciation,

forests,

plantations,

other

Comparable EBIT in Q4 2019

34213.7%

34314.0%

Depreciation,

forests,

plantations,

other

Sales prices and variable costs decreased.

Energy costs seasonally lower, incl. annual energy related refunds.

Fixed costs seasonally higher, incl. maintenance.

Sales prices decreased, outweighing the impact of

lower variable costs across all business areas.

Fixed costs decreased.

EURm EURm

Page 22: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Comparable EBIT by business area

22

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

280

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

-2,5

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

EURm % of sales

UPM Specialty Papers

EURm % of sales

UPM Communication Papers

EURm % of sales

EURm % of sales

UPM Raflatac

EURm % of salesEURm % of salesUPM Biorefining

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

10

20

30

40

50

60UPM Energy

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

0

10

20

30

40

50

60UPM Plywood

Page 23: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Outlook for 2020

Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in

Europe. Potential intensification or easing of trade tensions between major economic areas cause uncertainty to the

business environment. These issues may impact UPM’s product and raw material markets in 2020.

In 2020, robust demand is expected to continue for most UPM businesses, whereas demand decline is expected to

continue for UPM Communication Papers.

In the beginning of the year 2020, paper prices are expected to decrease moderately, compared with Q4 2019.

Pulp prices are starting the year 2020 at a low level, after the decreases that took place throughout the year 2019.

UPM will continue its actions to reduce fixed and variable costs. In 2020, the intensifying phase of UPM’s

transformative growth projects is expected to add project-related costs to the fixed costs.

UPM’s comparable EBIT in H1 2020 is expected to be significantly lower than in H1 2019, due to lower sales prices,

partly offset by decreases in variable costs. Comparable EBIT is expected to recover in H2 2020.

23

Page 24: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

UPM invests in next generation biochemicals

• EUR 550 million investment in an industrial

scale biorefinery at Leuna, Germany

• 100% wood-based biochemicals provide

alternatives to fossil materials in various

consumer-driven end-uses

• Total annual capacity of 220,000 tonnes

• Scheduled to start up by the end of 2022

• Safety and sustainability of the value chain

based on UPM’s high standards

24 | © UPM

UPM Biochemicals

Page 25: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM25 | © UPM

UPM creates a totally new sustainable business with large growth potential

• Major milestone in UPM’s transformation

• UPM biochemicals respond to the customers’ increasing

needs for renewable alternatives in their businesses

• Current supply is limited and high-quality biochemicals

are priced at a premium in the markets

• Sustainable wood supply, unique technology, existing

infrastructure and proximity to customers enables a

good cost position, comparable to the fossil-based

alternatives

• Attractive returns: ROCE target of 14% once

the facility is fully ramped up and optimized

UPM Biochemicals

Page 26: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Renewable product range

• Bio-monoethylene glycol (bMEG)

for textiles, PET bottles, packaging, deicing fluids

• Renewable functional fillers

for rubber applications as a sustainable, light-weight and

high-purity alternative to carbon black and silica

• Bio-monopropylene glycol (bMPG)

for composites, pharma, cosmetics, detergents

• Industrial sugars

for various applications in chemicals industry

2626 | © UPM

UPM Biochemicals

Page 27: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Large growth markets – unique sustainability value

• The global glycols market is more than 30 million tonnes,

with expected annual growth of approx. 4%

• The global market of carbon black and silica is more than

15 million tonnes, with expected annual growth of approx. 3%

• Current market supply based on non-renewable raw materials

• Customers increasingly committed to sustainable solutions

• UPM’s renewable raw material and new technologies provide

significant reduction in carbon footprint

• UPM biochemicals fit directly into customers’ processes

and the existing recycling infrastructure

27 | © UPM

UPM Biochemicals

Page 28: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Unique technology converting wood to biochemicals

28

Industrial wood andsawdust

Debarkingand

chipping

Wood-to-sugarprocess

Sugar-to-chemicals process

BioMEG and BioMPG

Renewable functionalfiller process

Industrial sugars

28 | © UPM

UPM Biochemicals

Page 29: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Attractive location in Germany and efficient value chain

• UPM is a responsible local producer with an entirely

European value chain

• Chemical Site Leuna provides existing processes,

logistics arrangements and infrastructure for various

services and utilities

• Strong chemicals cluster in Germany with proximity

to customers and suppliers

• Good availability of sustainably sourced hardwood from

forest thinnings and residues of sawmills

• Innovation-friendly environment with strong

universities, institutes and skilled potential employees

29 | © UPM

Leuna

UPM Biochemicals

Page 30: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

UPM invests in a world class pulp mill in Uruguay

• UPM is constructing a highly competitive new pulp mill

with annual production capacity of 2.1 million tonnes

of eucalyptus pulp

• Mill investment of USD 2.7 billion

• Investments in port operations in Montevideo, local

facilities in Paso de los Toros of USD 350 million

• Scheduled start-up in H2 2022

• Located in the department of Durazno, close to the

town of Paso de los Toros

• Industry-leading safety and sustainability performance

of the value chain from plantations to customers

30

UruguayArgentina

Brazil

UPM Biorefining

Page 31: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Transformative step in UPM’s pulp business and in UPM’s future earnings

• Significant step for UPM’s future earnings

– Expected cash cost level of USD 280 per delivered tonne

of pulp*) – one of the most competitive mills in the world

– Attractive returns in various market scenarios

– Carefully prepared to ensure long-term competitiveness

and to minimise risks both in the project phase and during

continuous operations

• Step change in UPM’s pulp business

– +57% in pulp business size in a sustainable and highly

competitive way

– UPM becomes one of the most competitive suppliers of

premium pulp in the world

31*) including variable and fixed costs of plantation operations, wood

sourcing, mill operations and logistics delivered to the main markets

2019 2023

UPM Pulp capacity

3.7mt/a

Northern

softwood

Northern

hardwood

Eucalyptus

5.8mt/a

UPM Biorefining

Page 32: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

UPM Paso de los Toros pulp mill construction schedule

32

Site preparation

and access roads

Mechanical,

automation

and electrical

installations

Start-up and

production

trials

Civil

construction

Commissioning

and water runs

2020H1

2021H1

2022H1

2023H1H2 H2 H2

UPM Biorefining

Page 33: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

State of the art mill design

• Initial production capacity of 2.1 million tonnes of

eucalyptus pulp, with further potential

• Mill investment USD 2.7 billion, efficient investment

level compared with corresponding projects

• World-class single line pulp mill and Best Available

Techniques (BAT)

– Excellent safety

– Proven high environmental performance

– High availability and maintainability

– High energy output, surplus renewable electricity 110 MW

– Low costs

33

UPM Biorefining

Page 34: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Competitive wood supply

• Eucalyptus availability secured through UPM’s own

and leased plantations and wood sourcing

agreements with private partners

• UPM’s own and leased plantations in Uruguay

cover 405,000 hectares, supplying both UPM Fray

Bentos and the new mill near Paso de los Toros

• 30 years experience of sustainably managed and

productive plantations

34

UPM Biorefining

Page 35: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

Efficient logistics set-up

• UPM will invest USD 280 million to construct

a deep sea pulp terminal in Montevideo port

– Direct rail access from the mill to a modern port

terminal creates an efficient supply chain to

world markets

– Synergies with the UPM Fray Bentos mill

• Agreed railway modernisation

– Public-private-partnership agreement between

the government and the construction company

has been signed, financing is finalised

• Agreed road improvements

35

UPM Biorefining

Page 36: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM36

Market pulp consumed in growing end-uses – supply of alternative white fibres declines

Based on

white fibre

Based on

brown fibre

Growing end-uses of white fibre

Based on

60% white fibre

40% brown fibre

Total fibre consumption (2016): 423 million tonnes

UPM Biorefining

Containerboard38 %

Graphic papers29 %

Tissue & fluff10 %

Specialty11 %

Cartonboard12 %

Other

Page 37: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM37

Pulp demand outlook

Container-board

Carton-board

Specialty

Tissue & fluff

Graphic papers

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2015 2025

Growth in tissue,

hygiene, specialties

and packaging

Strong growth

in containerboards

Decline in graphic

papers

Global consumption of end-uses

in million tonnes

Brown RCP

Brown virgin

White RCP

White virgin fibre

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2015 2025

Strong demand for

brown fibre

Dwindling white RCP

availability

Growing white

virgin fibre end-uses

overcome decline

in graphic paper

Global consumption of fibres

in million tonnes

UPM Biorefining

Page 38: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM

-4 000

-3 000

-2 000

-1 000

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Entry of market bleached pulp capacity

Exits New mill/line Other expansion

Few decided projects coming on stream in the short-term

38

Sources: Pöyry, UPM

5-year-average exit rate

Decided projectsCompleted projects

Below-average rate

of expansion

Exits take place

’000

t/a

Min. construction

time span

Note: Year 2022 including BHKP, BSKP, excluding fluff and dissolving

? ??

Decided projects

UPM

Paso de

los Toros

UPM Biorefining

Page 39: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM39

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

USD/tonne

BHKP, Europe NBSK, Europe

BHKP, China NBSK, China

Chemical pulp market prices

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

EUR/tonne

BHKP, Europe, EUR NBSK, Europe, EUR

BHKP, China, EUR NBSK, China, EUR

UPM Biorefining

Pulp market prices, USDPulp market prices, EUR

Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd

Page 40: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Developing our forest assets

40

• Investing in strategic forest assets, e.g. in Uruguay

• Releasing capital from forests far from our mills

• Productivity with active management and nurseries

• Strong commitment to sustainability

UPM forests and plantations

Forest and plantation land (own and rented) (1,000 ha)

Forest growth (million m3)

Wood sourced from UPM forests and plantations (million m3)

Value of forests and plantations, including land (EURm)

Area distribution

2008 2018

8%

90%

8%

53%

39%

US

Finland

Uruguay

2008

1,012

4.3

2.2

1,270

2018

971

8.8

4.6

2,514

Page 41: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM41

UPM’s power generation – competitive in all market conditions

Hydro

Nuclear

Condensing

UPM’s power

generation assets

UPM # 2

Others

UPM in Finland

UPM

Others

UPM in Nordics

UPM Energy

41 | © UPM

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| © UPM42

Cost of sourced

electricity from

shareholdings

UPM Energy

UPM Energy’s power generation MW EURm

Hydropower holdings 551 740

Nuclear power OL1 and OL2 588 1,185

Nuclear power OL3 under construction (494) 226

Condensing power 95 1

UPM Energy’s shareholdings in total,

valued at fair value1,234 2,152

UPM own hydropower assets 160

UPM Energy’s in total (excl. OL3) 1,394

UPM Energy capital employed 2,419

Illustration

UPM Energy sources electricity from part owned energy companies at full cost

(cost-price principle, mankala principle)

UPM Energy

Page 43: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM43

UPM Energy

Cost efficient generation enables robust profitability in changing market environment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

EUR/MWhMarket electricity prices vs UPM sales price

Helsinki Front Year System Front Year UPM average sales price

UPM Energy profitability 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Comparable EBIT, EURm 202 181 116 91 123 185

% of sales 43.5 43.6 32.7 28.8 31.5 44.4

Page 44: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM44

0

5

10

15

20

2017 2018

UPM Energy ROCE

• In UPM balance sheet, UPM Energy

shareholdings are valued at fair value

• Energy market transformation is ongoing

• UPM Energy assets are competitive

UPM Energy ROCE vs. Nordic peers

4%

UPM Energy comparable ROCE: shareholdings at fair value

UPM Energy ROCE if calculated based on acquisition cost

Fortum Vattenfall Statkraft

11%

%

Source: Companies’ financial reports, UPM

5%

16%

UPM Energy

Page 45: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM45

Self-adhesive labels in end-use

PHARMACEUTICALS WINE, SPIRITS & CRAFT

BEVERAGE

FOOD HOME & PERSONAL CARE DURABLES

TRANSPORT & LOGISTICS RETAIL, OIL & INDUSTRIAL A4 & CUT-SIZE SECURITY & BRAND

PROTECTION

TYRE

UPM Raflatac

Page 46: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM46

The self-adhesive labelstock market

>EUR 8bn global market

~4% p.a. growth

Private consumption driven

Largest of the labelling technologies

~1/5 of total self adhesive materials markets

UPM Raflatac

Strategy for profitable growth

Increased customer reach

Wider product portfolio

Winning operations

Enabled by strong common capabilities and global operating model

Potentially accelerated with M&A if feasible

All labelling technologiesSelf-adhesive

labelstock market

Other producers

UPM Raflatac

Other

producers

Other

labelling

technologies

All self adhesive materials

Other producers

Other self

adhesive

materials

UPM Raflatac UPM Raflatac

Self adhesive

labelstock

Self adhesive

labelstock

Page 47: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM47

Focus on global Labelling materials, Packaging in Europe and Office paper in APAC

UPM Specialty Papers

OFFICE PAPER APACLABELLING MATERIAL PACKAGING

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| © UPM48

Strong position in growing end use markets

Paper flexpack,

million tonnes

CASE: Siliconized release

liner market, 51 Bn m2

CAGR

5%

CAGR

2%

South AmericaEurope MEANorth AmericaAsia

51.0

2017

63.5

2022E

7%

2–3%

1,9

2017E

2,1

2022E

2%

1–3%

Asian cutsize market,

million tonnesCAGR

2–3%

2022E2017

1–2%

5%

China

Other

Asia

5.3

6.1

MAJOR SUPPLIER OF OFFICE

PAPER IN ASIA

NICHE PLAYER IN CONSUMER

PACKAGING

LEADERSHIP POSITION IN

LABELLING MATERIALS

UPM Specialty Papers

Source: AWA; Pira, UPM

Page 49: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM| © UPM

Release liner opportunities in labelstock & other applications

Product functions

Release liner carries the adhesive and face

material:

• Prevents the adhesive from sticking permanently

• Important and often critical feature of a layered

construction

49

Labelstock50 %

Tapes13 %

Industrial11 %

Hygiene8 %

Food & bakery5 %

Graphic film5 %

Medical3 %

Envelope3 %

Others2 %

Globally

48.7 Bn m2

Source: AWA

UPM Specialty Papers

Page 50: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM50

Our focus: Strengthen industry leadership role

1 Uncompromising

performance

Continued focus on stringent

capacity management and

performance improvement.

Zero accidents

3 Commercial

excellence

Optimize and evolve commercial

interface and supporting processes

to ensure supply security and

customer value add.

2 Targeted

innovation

Targeted investments in innovation

to drive performance, increase

efficiencies and extend our position

in the market.

Focused on sustainabilityLeadership

UPM Communication Papers

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| © UPM| © UPM

Paper price vs. cash cost of marginal cost producer

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

51

EUR/t

Cash cost of a marginal producer

Price

UPM Communication Papers

Sources: PPI, RISI, Pöyry

Page 52: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM52

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

News SC LWC

WFC WFU

Graphic paper prices

EUR/tEurope

USD/t USD/tChinaNorth America

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

WFC r (100% chemical pulp)

Uncoated Woodfree Reels (100% chemicalpulp)

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

News SC LWC

WFC WFU

UPM Communication Papers

Sources: PPI, RISI

Page 53: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM53

UPM Plywood focuses on three end use segments

Construction Vehicle flooring LNG shipbuilding

UPM’s position and direction

• Leading position in high and medium

range standard products in Europe

through well established distribution

network providing easy access to

WISA® plywood

• Uncompromised sustainability, certified

products and operations

• New growth sought by strengthening

position in selected emerging markets

UPM’s position and direction

• Leading position in Europe

• Competitive edge built on smoothly

running operations and needs-based

product design creating value to both

vehicle manufacturers and operators

• Growth sought by expanding to new

markets and related end use segments

UPM Plywood

UPM’s position and direction

• Global leader in LNG plywood

• Competitive edge based on right quality

and accurate on-time deliveries

• Long term commitment and benchmark

service level

• Focus to secure leading position in LNG

carriers and to extend offering into

related applications using the same

technologies (e.g. land storage tanks)

Page 54: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM54

UPM’s key markets are in the high and mid segments primarily in EMEA region

Strategic choices

1. Demanding industrial

applications

2. High and medium range

standard products

3. Selected customers

4. EMEA region and

LNG business globally

Low-end

market

Non-footprint

market

Global plywood

market ~90Mm3

EMEA plywood

market ~12Mm3

UPM Plywood

sales ~811tm3

Relevant market

~5.1Mm3

EMEA market

~12Mm3

Sales

by category

90120.8

Industrial

applications

Construction /

Panel Trading

UPM Plywood

Page 55: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe

| © UPM55

The possible Kotka Biorefinery: an innovative and robust concept to scale up the business

Lappeenranta Biorefinery

130kt

Potential Kotka Biorefinery

500kt

Residual

oils

Carbon farming

(Carinata oil)

UPM renewable fuels UPM feedstocks

Residues,

saw dust, bark

✓ Competitive and

sustainable feedstocks

✓ World-scale biorefinery leveraging UPM ecosystem

✓ Significant efficiency gains enabled by economy of

scale and synergies with Lappeenranta

✓ Low-carbon fuels for

road, aviation, shipping

and petrochemicals

UPM Biofuels

Page 56: UPM The Biofore Company · 2020-01-31 · Outlook for 2020 Global economic growth is expected to continue in 2020, albeit at a modest level. Growth is expected to be slow in Europe