texas demographic data users conference may 22, 2014 austin, texas
TRANSCRIPT
Texas Demographic Data Users Conference
May 22, 2014
Austin, Texas
2
TXSDC Update
• Estimates and Projections– Updating software and reviewing data and
methods• Plans to develop web-based • Further development of data access
3
TXSDC Update
• Demographic Report Series– Migration
• Characteristics of migrants
– Social and Economic• Aging • Asian
– Births and Deaths– Housing
4
Percent Change Due to
Year* PopulationNumerical
Change
AnnualPercentChange
NaturalIncrease
NetMigration
1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --
1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 2.4 93.91 6.09
1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 1.7 86.74 13.26
1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 2.7 41.58 58.42
1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 2.0 65.85 34.15
2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 2.3 49.65 50.35
2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 2.1 54.94 45.06
2012 26,060,796 915,235 1.8 52.05 47.95
2013 26,448,193 387,397 1.4 53.70 45.87
* All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2012
5
Unemployment rate (percent) for Texas and
the United States, 2007-2013
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Local area Unemployment Statistics Program, 2014.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
2
4
6
8
10
12
4.44.9
7.5
8.27.9
6.86.3
4.6
5.8
9.39.6
8.9
8.1
7.4
Texas United States
6
Seven large cities in Texas are among the top 15 fastest growing cities in the U.S.
7
Four of the most populous cities in the U.S. are in Texas
8
Five of the 15 cities with the largest numeric growth in the U.S. are in Texas
9
Percent of Population Born in Texas, Counties, 2008-2012
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
DeafSmith
Roberts
Tyler
ValVerde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
SanAugustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
MadisonMcCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
JeffDavis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
SanJacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PctNativeTXN
45-55%
56-60%
61-70%
71-80%
81-91%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012
10
Percent of Population that is Foreign Born, Texas Counties, 2008-2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PctFB
0-5%
6-10%
11-20%
21-30%
31-41%
11
Percent of the population age 5 and over that speaks Spanish at home and speaks English less than very well, Texas Counties, 2008-
2012Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PctSpanEngLTVW
0-5%
5.1-10%
10.1-20%
20.1-35%
35.1-50%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012
12
Percent of the population age 5 and over that speaks a language other than English at home, Texas Counties, 2008-2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PCTLngOthrEng
0-10%
11-20%
21-40%
41-60%
61-96%
13
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
DeafSmith
Roberts
Tyler
ValVerde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
SanAugustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
MadisonMcCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
JeffDavis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
SanJacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Percent of Households with at Least One Person Over the Age of 64 Years, Texas Counties, 2008-2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PctHHGT64
13-20%
21-30%
31-40%
41-50%
51-53%
Trends in Educational Attainment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 201150%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011
15
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using
Trended Rates, Texas
Less than High School High School or Equivalent Some College / Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
15.0%
23.8%
31.3%
20.1%
9.8%
18.1%
24.0%
29.9%
18.7%
9.3%
11.4%
20.4%
34.3%
22.1%
11.8%
2011 ACS
2030 Constant
2030 Trended
Educational Attainment
Perc
ent o
f the
Civ
ilian
Labo
r For
ce
These should be going DOWN These should be going UP
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario