demographic characteristics and trends in texas...

Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas and

Austin Area

Austin Energy

April 15, 2015Austin, Texas

@TexasDemography

Year* PopulationNumericChange

AnnualPercentChange

1950 7,711,194 -- --1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 2.41970 11,196,730 1,617,053 1.71980 14,229,191 3,032,461 2.71990 16,986,510 2,757,319 2.02000 20,851,820 3,865,310 2.32010 25,145,561 4,293,741 2.12012 26,060,796 915,235 1.82013 26,448,193 387,397 1.42014 26,895,688 447,495 1.7

* All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950‐2014

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

Population Growth, Texas, 1950‐2010

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e dR i v e r

Karnes

P a l oP in to

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r r e l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillH a r t l e y

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J imHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population, Texas Counties, 2014

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

86 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,441,370

Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014

5Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

102 counties lost population over the four year period.

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e dR i v e r

Karnes

P a l oP in t o

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r r e l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa


Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J imHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

-1,553 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 80,000

80,001 - 348,911

95 counties lost population between 2013-14Of these:

36 (38%) had natural decline89 (94%) had net out migration30 (32%) had both natural decline and net out migration

Estimated Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014


-10.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.2%Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e dR i v e r

Karnes

P a l oP in to

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa


Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J imHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

U.S. Rank Population Change

Population Change

Percent of Change from

Natural Increase

Percent Changefrom

Migration

Percent of Migration that is

international

Harris 1 88,618 48.6% 51.4% 54.0%

Bexar 6 33,712 42.8% 57.2% 23.2%Dallas 8 32,555 69.6% 30.4% 116.3%*

Tarrant 10 31,417 50.8% 49.2% 38.5%

Fort Bend 11 30,784 19.4% 80.6% 17.3%

Travis 12 28,397 38.2% 61.8% 29.7%

Collin 14 26,530 26.1% 73.8% 20.1%

Denton 16 24,211 27.2% 72.8% 14.0%

Montgomery 27 19,129 17.9% 82.1% 10.4%

Williamson 31 18,025 23.2% 76.8% 7.8%

*Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014

U.S. Rank

2013‐2014 Percent

Population Change

Percent Changefrom

Migration

Percent of Migration that is International

Hays 5 4.8% 83.89% 2.62%Fort Bend 6 4.7% 80.6% 17.27%Comal 9 4.0% 90.1% 3.04%Andrews 12 4.0% 62.8% 3.57%Montgomery 13 3.8% 82.1% 10.39%Williamson 14 3.8% 76.8% 7.84%Kendall 15 3.8% 98.0% 5.02%Ward 21 3.4% 72.0% 1.49%Denton 23 3.3% 72.8% 14.2%Collin 31 3.1% 73.9% 20.1%Aransas 32 3.1% 110.8% 4.3%Rockwall 35 3.0% 78.3% 7.8%Waller 36 2.9% 77.2% 5.3%Ector 37 2.9% 59.9% 2.0%Guadalupe 42 2.8% 78.6% 4.9%Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

Estimated Number of Net Migrants, Texas Counties, 2013 to 2014


Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

L e o n

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

R e dR i v e r

Karnes

P a l oP in to

Glasscock Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa


Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hi l l

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J imHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

-6,207 - 0

1 - 500

501 - 1,000

1,001 - 5,000

5,001 - 10,000

10,001 - 46,392

Percent of population who moved from a different county in the past year, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009‐

2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Lavaca

Gonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

CaldwellComal

0% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 40%

40.1% - 100%

Percent of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

11

p2.2% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 70%

70.1% - 98.4%


Percent of the Population that is Non‐Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

12

0% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 33.3%


Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

13

0% - 0.5%

0.6% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 17.4%


Percent of the Population Born in Texas, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

14

44.7% - 55%

55.1% - 65%

65.1% - 75%

75.1% - 85%

85.1% - 90.6%



Percent of the Population that was Born in Texas, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

0% - 20%

20.1% - 50%

50.1% - 60%

60.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Lavaca

Gonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

CaldwellComal

Persons per Square Mile

0 – 10

11 – 50

51 – 500

501 – 4,000

4,001 – 56,000

1970 1980 1990

2000 2010

Density by Census Tract, Austin/San Antonio Corridor, 1970‐2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010

Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010*

19901990 2010*2010*

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, 2008-2012 5 Year Sample.

Mean Travel Time to Work, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

18

11 - 15

16 - 20

21 - 25

26 - 30

31 - 40


Mean Commute Time in Minutes, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013


4.8 - 15

15.1 - 20

20.1 - 25

25.1 - 30

30.1 - 70

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Lavaca

Gonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

CaldwellComal

Percent of workers who commute using public transit, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009‐2013


0%

0.1% - 5%

5.1% - 7.5%

7.6% - 15%

15.1% - 34.1%

Kendall

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

LavacaGonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

BellSanSaba

CaldwellComal

Percent of Households with Income of $150,000 or More, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

21

p0% - 5%

5.1% - 7.5%

7.6% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 21.5%


Median Household Income, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013


Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Lavaca

Gonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

CaldwellComal

$2,544.00 - $20,000.00

$20,000.01 - $30,000.00

$30,000.01 - $40,000.00

$40,000.01 - $55,000.00

$55,000.01 - $105,900.00


Percent of population 25 years and older without a high school degree, Census Tracts, Texas 2009-2013

0% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 80%

Kendall

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

LavacaGonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

BellSanSaba

CaldwellComal

Percent of population living below poverty, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013


0% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 40%

40.1% - 91.5%

Kendall

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

LavacaGonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

BellSanSaba

CaldwellComal


Percent of Housing Units Built After 2010, Census Tracts, Texas

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayette

Lee

Bexar

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Llano

Gonzales

Williamson

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

CaldwellComal

0% - 1%

1.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 7.5%

7.6% - 15%

15.1% - 43.4%

The Four Consumption Tiers in Median SKBTUs per Square Foot for the 100 Vintage by Size Categories

Size/Vintage Before 1948

1948-1957

1958-1966

1967-1974

1975-1981

1982-1986

1987-1995

1996-2000

2001-2004

After 2004

<10 Percentile 191.68 185.56 177.68 170.51 156.53 156.58 142.21 148.85 134.09 115.2610-19

Percentiles 170.67 169.32 160.81 155.48 139.24 142.47 117.65 118.31 115.79 102.03

20-29 Percentiles 160.74 157.15 150.26 142.94 127.10 135.38 110.98 113.22 106.20 95.97

30-39 Percentiles 153.59 155.90 140.53 136.66 120.10 128.43 105.62 104.82 102.42 90.48

40-49 Percentiles 149.28 145.54 132.76 129.54 115.77 122.77 99.58 101.23 98.48 87.13

50-59 Percentiles 144.72 141.56 125.19 123.52 112.26 119.99 98.13 97.90 94.52 86.13

60-69 Percentiles 138.78 135.22 117.91 113.27 109.05 114.15 95.64 94.90 93.51 83.08

70-79 Percentiles 132.28 127.08 110.96 109.69 106.47 108.43 95.45 93.98 89.43 81.12

80-89 Percentiles 123.04 120.29 104.52 105.12 103.77 105.43 93.42 90.69 87.69 78.08

90+ Percentile 113.84 113.16 102.10 101.83 103.83 103.64 93.15 97.07 91.91 78.15

TIER 1TIER 2TIER 3TIER 4

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2050

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

55,000,000

60,000,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Zero.5 of 2000‐20102000‐2010

Migration Scenarios

27Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010‐2050

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

-6,200 - 0

1 - 2,000

2,001 - 10,000

10,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 1,000,000

1,000,001 -3,480,000

Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010‐2050

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

LT 0%

0-40%

41-100%

101-250%

251-500%

30

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

BastropBlancoBurnetCaldwell

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario


31

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Travis

Williamson

Hays


Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario

Projections, 2010‐2020, and Estimates, 2010‐2014 for Select Counties, Texas

32

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Travis Prj. Travis Est.

Williamson Prj. Willimson Est.

Hays Prj. Hays Est.

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario and U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

Demographics and Destiny

33

Contact

Office: (210) 458‐6530Email: [email protected]: http://osd.state.tx.usTwitter: @TexasDemography

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.

34

demographic characteristics and trends in texas...

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