leasing in europe state of play and outlook low - fl... · 2015-11-23 · 9 leaseplan corporation...

Leasing in Europe

State of Play and Outlook

Bucharest, Romania | 19 November

o About Leaseurope

o Leasing in Europe

o Leased Assets & Customers

o State of the Industry

o Industry Performance

o Business Development

Agenda

Leaseurope©

Leaseurope represents the European leasing & automotive rental industry

45 member associations in 33 countries*

About 1 400 leasing firms & 500 short term rental companies

At least 40 000 employees

Representing around 91% of the European leasing market

Including bank-owned lessors, captives, automotive lessors, short term rental

companies, independent lessors, real estate lessors etc.

*The countries represented are: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,

Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,

Italy, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Morocco,

the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia,

Serbia & Montenegro, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland,

Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine and the UK

About Leaseurope

Leasing in Europe (&

a little bit outside)

9.5%

9.9%

9.5%

European leasing market - new volume growth(% YoY)

Growth rates are calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting from year to year & are adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations 2007 onwardsSource: Leaseurope Annual Surveys

Total volumes Real Estate Equipment incl

vehicles

€275.7 bil €15.4 bil €260.3 bil

New

Volumes

2014

Total outstandings:

(2013 vs 2014)

1.7%

Evolution of the European Leasing Market

Annual growth of new leasing volumes per country

Members not

reporting & non -

members

Leaseurope’s 2013 Annual Survey

Growth rates are adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations

European Leasing Market in 2013

2013/2012

0.7%

0 to 5%

5 to 10%

-5 to 0%

Under - 10%

-10 to -5%

Over 10%

0 to 5%

-5 to 0%

Under - 10%

-10 to -5%

Annual growth of new leasing volumes per country

Members not

reporting & non -

members

Leaseurope’s 2014 Annual Survey

Growth rates are adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations

2014/2013

9.5%

0 to 5%

5 to 10%

-5 to 0%

Under - 5%

10 to 20%

0 to 5%

-5 to 0%

Over 20%


Biannual growth of new leasing volumes per country

Members not

reporting & non -

members

0 to 9%

10 to 20%

-9% to 0

Under -20%

-10 to -20%

Over 20%

H1 2015/2014

9.1%

Source: Leaseurope Member Associations

29 Member Associations reporting; growth rates adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations

European Leasing Market in H1 2015

Leased Assets &

Customers

Leased assets

Share of Total new lease volumes per asset category, %

Source: 2014 Annual Survey

2013

65%

Automotive

Machines & equip

Cars

CVs

ICT

Big/other

Real estate

2014

6%

16%

6%

44%

18%10% 18%

47%

5%

16%

6%

8%


-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%Total

New lease volumes per asset type – % period on period

(2014/2013)

-15%

Real estate Movables

Growth rates are calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting from year to year & are adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations

Source: 2014 Annual Survey based on 33 members reporting

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

-15%

9.5% 9.9% 9.5%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

10.9%

0.9%

-10%

-15%

-20%

Machinery ICT CVs Cars Big Other

10.6%

14.6%

-21.9%

-0.2%


Evolution of leasing penetration in Europe

19 countries (1999-2014)

Lease penetration is the share of total investment (excluding residential real estate) financed by leasing calculated as new leasing volumes / gross fixed capital formation for the 19 associations reporting from ’99-’14Source: Leaseurope, Eurostat and AMECO (GFCF)

European Leasing Penetration

10

30

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

No

rmali

sed

PR

1999 =

100

Total Equipment Real estate

Leaseurope©

24%

NA

20% to 25%

25% to 30%

10% to 15%

15% to 20%

< 10 %

Lease penetration is the share of total investment financed by leasing calculated as new leasing volumes (excluding consumers)/ gross fixed capital formation in equipment Based on data from Leaseurope’s 2014 Annual Survey

Equipment

penetration

Share of equipment investment financed by leasing (2014)

> 30%

Leasing’s role in supporting investment

Leasing clients

New movables leasing volumes by client sector

(2014)

Source: 2014 Annual Survey


Businesses

72%

Consumers

23%

Public sector

3%

Other

2%

% movable

leasing

volumes

Leasing is the most important external finance contributor to SME

investment spending

18.9% 21.2%

30.5% 29.1%

7.3% 6.7%

10.0% 9.4%

15.5% 15.0%

17.8% 18.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2013 2014

Leasing Cash/EquityShort-term credit Loan 1-3 yrsLoan >3 yrs Other debt

Investment finance in 2013-2014, all SMES

Proportion of investment financed by:

Source : Oxford Economics/EFG

Leasing to European SMEs

Source: "The Use of Leasing Amongst European SMEs", 2015

Percent of SME investment by finance type in 2013-2014 • SMEs financed 18.9% of their total

investment via leasing in 2013, more

than any individual form of bank

lending, and is estimated to further

grow to 21.2% in 2014.

• At EU level this means that leasing

was responsible for financing just over

9 million individual SMEs and

~€104 billion of SME investment in

fixed assets in 2013 (€121 billion is

estimated in 2014).

• SMEs use leasing to finance a greater

proportion of their investment than

larger businesses (11.7%).

State of the Industry

2014 Ranking survey results• Value of total new contracts within Europe in 2014 (€ thousands)

*These companies also have operations outside Europe

Name CountryEU

Countries

Value

2014

Value

2013

1 Société Générale Leasing Solutions (incl. ALD) * France 29 13,961,140 11,966,354

2 BNP Paribas Leasing Solutions (incl. Arval) * France 19 13,402,300 11,920,580

3 Volkswagen Leasing GmbH Germany 3 12,205,747 -

4 De Lage Landen International B.V. * Netherlands 21 10,036,511 9,735,033

5 Deutsche Leasing * Germany 19 7,436,400 7,386,827

6 UniCredit Leasing Italy 17 6,857,850 6,725,231

7 Nordea Finance Sweden 7 5,109,309 4,916,568

8 Alphabet International * Germany 13 4,780,000 4,190,000

9 LeasePlan Corporation N.V. * Netherlands 24 4,775,378 4,460,192

10 Crédit Agricole Leasing & Factoring * France 4 4,421,734 4,002,907

Characteristics of European Market Players

2014 Ranking survey results• Value of total new contracts within Europe in 2014 (€ thousands)

Name CountryEU

Countries

Value

2014

Value

2013

11 CM-CIC BAIL France 7 3,577,095 3,540,810

12 DNB Finans Norway 3 3,076,198 2,949,638

13 LBBW Leasing * Germany 3 2,934,355 -

14 RCI Banque * France 36 2,901,783 2,843,589

15 ING Lease Netherlands 5 2,547,906 2,259,142

16 NATIXIS LEASE France 3 2,487,900 -

17 Siemens Financial Services GmbH * Germany 11 2,285,137 2,318,385

18 Raiffeisen Leasing * Austria 19 2,210,641 1,979,186

19 OJSC VEB Leasing * Russia 9 2,087,821 4,154,869

20 OJSC VTB Leasing Russia 4 1,777,099 1,342,517

*These companies also have operations outside Europe


Source: Leaseurope 2014 Ranking Survey of Top European Leasing Companies, BCS June 2015

Market concentration: % of total new volumes reported in

2014 Ranking Survey

% of all new volumes reported

59%

% of all new volumes reported

77%

TOP 20

TOP 10

All new volumes reported

141 bil €

All firms

in RankingTrends:

• Likelihood of

new entrants

growing

• M&A activity

increasingly

expected

% of total new volumes reported in Ranking

0

20

40

60

80

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

TOP 10TOP 20


Source: Leaseurope 2014 Ranking Survey of Top European Leasing Firms

New Volumes granted

by TOP 20 (LHS) 2014

All firms

New volumes granted

by all firms (LHS)

Number of firms using

channel (RHS)

TOP 20 firms

2013

From 5% to 6% of

new volumes

From 32% to

31% of new

volumes

Distribution channels used by partaking firms in 2014 Ranking Survey

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

New

bu

sin

ess v

olu

me

s €

bill

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

New

bu

sin

ess v

olu

me

s €

bill


Industry Performance

Source: Leaseurope Index

The Leaseurope Index – median ratios (2013-Q2 2015)

Profitability ratio Cost / income ratio

Cost of risk ratio

Leaseurope Index

Source: Leaseurope Index

The Leaseurope Index – median ratios (2013-Q2 2015)

RoA RoE

Leaseurope Index

Leaseurope Index: Segment Survey 2014

• An annual supplement to the quarterly Index

• Financial ratios: profitability, cost/income, cost of risk and return on

assets

• Broken down by four asset types: equipment, real estate, passenger

cars and commercial vehicles

• The 2014 survey is the fourth edition of the project

Leaseurope Index

Profitability per asset segment, medians (2010-2014)

26.1%

32.5% 31.1%34.0%

35.7%

39.6%

30.2%

5.3%

12.3%

24.8%27.5%

34.8%

29.1%32.1%

39.4%

31.3%

35.6%

31.9%34.9%

29.1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Equipment Real estate Passenger cars & LCVs Commercial vehicles

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014


Leaseurope Index

Cost/income per asset segment, medians (2010-2014)

39.2%41.5%

43.2% 43.0%

35.7% 34.8%

39.2%

44.7% 45.3%41.4% 41.6% 42.7%

50.9%49.2%

45.3%41.9%

36.4%

44.0%

49.0% 47.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014


Leaseurope Index

Cost of risk per asset segment, medians (2010-2014)

Leaseurope Index

1.0%

0.8% 0.8%

0.7%

0.5%0.4%

0.3%

0.7%0.7%

1.1%

0.6%

0.4%

0.3%

0.5%

0.3%

0.6%

0.4%0.4%

0.6%

0.3%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014


RoA per asset segment, medians (2010-2014)

Leaseurope Index

0.7%

1.1%1.0%

1.1% 1.2%

0.6%

0.3%0.3% 0.2%

0.1%

1.0%

1.3% 1.3% 1.3%

1.9%

0.9%1.0%

1.1%

0.8% 0.7%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1.8%

2.0%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

Q1 2014

Q2 2014

Q3 2014

Q4 2014

Q1 2014

Q2 2014

Q3 2014

Q4 2014

Q1 2014

Q2 2014

Q3 2014

Q4 2014

Q1 2014

Q2 2014

Q3 2014

Q4 2014


Business

Development

Balance of expectations for business over next six months

Balance between respondents expressing positive and negative opinions of the outlook over the next six months

Source: Leaseurope/Invigors Business Confidence Survey June 2015

Margins

Bad Debt

Business Confidence Survey

Net Profit

New Business Volumes

The European market is one of the largest leasing markets in the

world. Leasing plays a central role at the heart of the real economy.

Future trends

Develop services and solutions (mobility…)

Finance new markets (cloud, third platform, new energy…)

Foster innovation (big data…)

Asset focus and specialisation (new energy…)

Support customers and vendors globally

Looking ahead, the European leasing industry must be a at the

forefront of innovative financing solutions in order to take

advantage of the shift from “ownership” to “usage”

Main Trends in the European Leasing Market

Leasing in Europe

State of Play and Outlook

Bucharest, Romania | 19 November

leasing in europe state of play and outlook low - fl... · 2015-11-23 · 9 leaseplan corporation...

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