et eekly update -...
TRANSCRIPT
Separately, Rystad Energy, an independent oil and gas consulting
firm, released a report which concluded that the US now holds
more recoverable oil reserves than both Saudi Arabia and Russia!
Globally, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reduced its
outlook for 2016’s global growth to 3.1% from its previous
estimate of 3.2%. The primary reason being the uncertainty
caused due to Britain’s exit from EU. IMF mentioned that “Brexit
has thrown a spanner in the works”. IMF expects U.K.’s economic
growth next year to slow to 1.3%, down 0.9% from the April
estimate.
Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) decreased 0.9% to close at 6,601
points. Q2 2016 corporate results weren’t so encouraging to cata-
pult the index out of the current trading range.
Regional indices were mixed with Dubai (+2.1%) gaining the most
followed by Qatar (+1%). Bahrain index shed 1.1%.
Oil prices continued to be range-bound as supply expectations
were strong. Any recovery in oil price might again make extraction
from unconventional sources (Shale) viable. At the end of the day,
the oil giants can’t stop working or looking for oil, just because
prices are down. Technology might play catch-up to reduce cost.
IMF expects 3.1% global growth in 2016 TASI decreases by 0.9%
57
111 7 175
0
50
100
150
200
Gainers Losers No change Total No. of
Companies3,596 4,131 3,813 3,156 3,598
6,681 6,682
6,647
6,631
6,601
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
17-Jul-16 18-Jul-16 19-Jul-16 20-Jul-16 21-Jul-16
6,560
6,580
6,600
6,620
6,640
6,660
6,680
6,700
Total Turnover (SAR Mn) TASI Close (RHS)
TASI CLOSE & MARKET TURNOVER TRADING STATISTICS
Saudi market breadth was negative with 57 gainers as
against 111 losing stocks
“The Brexit vote implies a substantial increase in economic, political, and
institutional uncertainty, which is projected to have negative macroeconomic
consequences, especially in advanced European economies”
- IMF World Economic Outlook Update, July 2016
Week Ending
July 21, 2016
Sau
di S
to
ck M
arket
Weekly U
pd
ate
Amongst sectors, 11 out of the 15 indices closed the week on the lower side.
Industrial Investment and Hotel & Tourism indices lost the most, decreasing 3.6%
each, followed by Cement (-3.3%) and Retail (+3.0%).
Banking index lost 1% while Petrochemicals lost 0.9% .
Note: Weekly returns are calculated considering Friday to Thursday week. Numbers indicate weekly returns and index closing values.
Banks constituted 20.3% of the total traded value and 24.1% of the total volume
to become the top trading sector. This was followed by Petrochemicals which
contributed 19.6% to the value and 14% to the total volume.
Index Open Close WTD
(%) YTD (%)
Total Volume
Total Turnover
No. of Trades
TASI 6,662 6,601 -0.9% -4.5% 990 18,295 435,305
Banks & Financial Services 14,453 14,310 -1.0% -8.2% 239 3,719 42,814
Petrochemical Industries 4,524 4,565 0.9% 6.8% 138 3,586 46,902
Cement 4,372 4,228 -3.3% -6.9% 19 502 13,993
Retail 10,621 10,298 -3.0% -17.9% 21 740 29,126
Energy & Utilities 7,248 7,052 -2.7% 23.2% 9 191 7,761
Agriculture & Food Industries 7,705 7,756 0.7% -15.0% 31 805 24,670
Telecom & IT 1,557 1,561 0.3% -3.7% 23 440 8,882
Insurance 1,297 1,283 -1.1% 3.2% 181 3,025 114,748
Multi-Investment 2,679 2,658 -0.8% -19.5% 18 275 9,315
Industrial Investment 6,678 6,436 -3.6% 0.1% 46 1,239 36,731
Building & Construction 2,132 2,136 0.2% -7.1% 43 802 32,867
Real Estate Development 6,559 6,498 -0.9% 9.0% 180 1,566 34,386
Transport 7,209 7,111 -1.4% -8.6% 21 818 15,799
Media and Publishing 2,711 2,688 -0.9% -22.4% 10 275 9,833
Hotel & Tourism 9,971 9,616 -3.6% -42.8% 8 312 7,478
GLOBAL INDICES – WEEKLY RETURNS
SAUDI – SECTOR INDICES “11 out of 15 sector indices closed the week in Red”
2.6%,
16,810
0.9%,
10,156 0.7%,
6,7000.6%,
8710.1%,
1,7050.1%,
2,165
0.1%,
18,517
-0.5%,
3,039
2.1%,
3,544
1%,
10,534
0.3%,
4,590 0%,
5,391-0.7%,
5,818
-0.9%,
6,601-1.1%,
1,160
Nik
kei
DA
X
FT
SE
100
MS
CI
EM
MS
CI
Wo
rld
S&
P 5
00
DJI
A
SSE
Du
bai
Qa
tar
Ab
u D
hab
i
Ku
wai
t
Om
an
Sau
di
Bah
rain
United Wire Factories Co. registered the largest gain, this week, by increasing 12.1% to
close at SAR 27.85. This was followed by Red Sea Housing Services Co. (+7.7%) and Al Sagr
Cooperative Insurance Co. (+7%).
On the other side, Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co. shed 8.8% and led the losers table,
followed by Saudi Ceramic Co. (-6.7%) and Saudi Arabian Mining Co. (-6.3%).
TOP GAINERS TOP LOSERS
Company Close WTD
(%) YTD (%)
Value Traded
(SAR Mn)
ASLAK 27.85 12.1% 26.7% 2,640
Red Sea 27.89 7.7% 14.2% 1,463
Sagr Insurance 39.83 7.0% 27.8% 11,761
YANSAB 44.34 7.0% 36.8% 3,600
Astra Indust 18.18 6.3% -8.1% 3,094
SABIC, the gulf’s largest company, gained 0.1% during the week and clocked a turnover of SAR 2.4bn. SABIC has increased 8.8% during the
year to close at SAR 83.24.
Top Gainer
United Wire
Factories Co.
(+12.1%)
Top Loser
Fawaz Abdulaziz
Alhokair Co.
(-8.8%)
TOP 10 MARKET CAPITALIZATION COMPANIES
Company Close WTD
(%) YTD (%)
Value Traded
(SAR Mn)
AlHokair 42.43 -8.8% -40.0% 3,182
Saudi Ceramics 37.3 -6.7% -20.3% 1,710
MAADEN 36.67 -6.3% 10.6% 5,531
YSCC 25.72 -5.8% -18.3% 2,014
Dar Al Arkan 6.76 -5.6% 9.0% 18,869
THIS WEEK’S WINNERS & LOSERS
Company Name Market Cap
(SAR Mn) WTD Change YTD Change
LTM Net Income
(SAR Mn) P/E Ratio P/BV Ratio
Last Price (SAR)
Saudi Basic Industries Corp. 249,720 0.1% 8.8% 18,255 13.7 1.5 83.2
Saudi Telecom Co. 128,380 -0.6% -6.2% 9,206 13.9 2.1 64.2
Al Rajhi Bank 96,265 0.0% 13.7% 7,629 12.6 2.0 59.2
Saudi Electricity Company 82,207 -2.4% 25.6% 2,073 39.6 1.4 19.7
National Commercial Bank 79,440 -3.6% -22.2% 9,115 8.7 1.5 39.7
Jabal Omar Development Co. 59,472 -0.3% 15.3% -220 NA 6.4 64.0
Almarai Co. 44,224 -1.5% -5.8% 1,918 23.1 3.6 55.3
Saudi Arabian Mining Co. 42,848 -6.3% 10.6% 513 83.5 1.6 36.7
Kingdom Holding Co. 40,209 -2.5% -31.3% 672 59.9 1.5 10.9
Samba Financial Group 40,200 -1.6% -13.8% 5,196 7.7 1.0 20.1
TASI 1,522,196 6,601 -0.9% -4.5% 99,203 12.9 1.6
Saudi Aramco has signed four engineering contracts to build its Fadhili gas processing plant. The plant, estimated to
cost SAR 50bn is expected to be finished by the end of 2019.
Saudi Arabia has invited bids from consultants for a financial advisory role on the Kingdom’s first competitively ten-
dered independent water project (IWP).
The National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia (Bahri) will sign an agreement with Arab Petroleum Investment Corp.
(APICORP) to start a USD 1.5bn investment fund to buy oil tankers.
Dallah Healthcare Holding Co. said that construction of its new hospital in Riyadh’s Namar district is now 32% com-
plete, with initial operations expected to launch in Q3 2017.
Saudi Aramco has awarded a USD 1.6bn contract for developing the second phase of the Hasbah Offshore Gas field, to
a consortium led by India’s L&T Hydrocarbon Engineering.
Saudi Cable Co. said it has completed all terms related to a debt restructuring agreement it had signed with local banks.
Saudi Electricity Company has reportedly invited developers to submit pre-qualification entries for contracts to develop
50 MW photovoltaic (PV) solar plants at Al-Jouf and Rafha.
Etihad Etisalat Co. (Mobily) is reportedly talking with creditors on refinancing debt worth SAR 8bn to get better terms.
Saudi Telecom Co. and China Telecom Corp. are said to have expressed interest in acquiring 4G licenses offered by the
Egyptian government.
Saudi Arabia plans to build a maritime complex with shipbuilding capability on its east coast to upgrade its oil-exporting
capacity, Energy minister said.
Royal HaskoningDHV has been appointed by Saudi Trade and Export Development Co (Tusdeer) to provide the master
planning and consulting engineering services for its logistics park in Jeddah.
Egypt’s Authority for Combating Subsidies and Dumping has cancelled plans to impose anti-dumping duties on imports
of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) from Saudi Basic Industries Corp.
SAUDI ARABIA – CORPORATE & ECONOMIC NEWS
Abu Dhabi’s inflation rate increased 2.7% year-on-
year (YoY) in the first half of 2016 as the cost of
housing, water, electricity, and fuels increased.
Abu Dhabi’s Aldar Properties has awarded AED
440mn contracts for two residential projects –
Nareel Island and Al Merief – to National Projects
and Construction.
Drake & Scull International said it has been awarded
a AED 226mn contract at the Zubair oil field in south-
ern Iraq by a subsidiary of Italian energy company
Eni.
Germany-based Hapag-Lloyd and United Arab
Shipping Co. signed a merger agreement to create
the world’s fifth-largest liner shipping entity.
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Qatar National Bank’s long
-term issuer default rating at AA- and adopted a
Stable outlook, backed by strong public spending
despite lower oil prices.
Telecommunications operator Ooredoo said it has
completed the pre-launch phase for 4G mobile in
Tlemcen, Algeria.
Kuwaiti government has allocated land to Jazeera
Airways for the construction of a dedicated passen-
ger terminal and car park buildings at Kuwait Inter-
national Airport.
S&P lowered its credit outlook for Deutsche Bank AG
from Stable to Negative, saying market conditions
and the U.K.’s decision to leave the EU are expected
to complicate the Bank’s restructuring plans.
UK technology firm ARM Holdings is to be bought by
Japan's Softbank for USD 32bn.
Four truck manufacturers have been fined EUR
2.93bn by the European Union (EU) for colluding on
prices and passing on the costs of emissions-
reducing technology.
The UK unemployment rate has fallen to 4.9%, the
lowest since July 2005. Unemployment total fell to
1.65 million in the March-to-May period, down
54,000 from the previous quarter.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has voted to keep
its main interest rates at 0% and expects rates to
remain at record lows or fall to lower levels for an
extended period of time.
Brewers Anheuser-Busch InBev and SABMiller
received U.S. antitrust approval for their USD 107bn
merger.
OTHER GULF NEWS GLOBAL ECONOMIC NEWS
CH
AR
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WE
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Source: Yardeni.com
ACTIVE RIG COUNTS IN THE U.S. (UNITS)
Source: IMF, Zero Hedge
VENEZULA’S ANNUAL INFLATION RATE
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