eco: rail-based intermodal transport corridors...goods transported by rail in eco, mn ton-km,...
TRANSCRIPT
ECO: Rail-based intermodal transport
corridors
TC Department, Economic Cooperation Organzation
TC
ESCAP Seminar on Railway Network Connectivity & Infrastructure Challenges
Contents: ❖Connectivity❖Institutional Mechanism❖Challenges: Infrastructure/Connectivity❖Regional initiatives
TC
ECO-ESCAP Railway Connectivity:
KTI
✓MoU
✓MoA✓KTI Project
TC
KTI CMM
Institutional mechanism: ECO-
ESCAP KTI Project: CMM
TTFA TAR
TC
Istanbul-Almaty & Almaty-Bandar Abbas
Almaty
Istanbul-
AlmatyIstanbul
Almaty-
Bandar
Abbas
Bandar
Abbas
TC
Feasibility study
2016
Study on
commercialization
2018
Turkmenbashi
Declaration
(para4) 2018
RPC, December
2017
14th COM, April
2018
Infrastructure challenges
✓Gauge
✓Rolling stock
TC
Harmonization of international multimodal
railway standards
TC
Adherence to int. transport standards on
intermodal railway system
ECO TIR Kyoto
Convention
COTIF/CIM SMGS CMR ADR
Afghanistan * +
Azerbaijan + + + + + +
Iran + + + + +
Kazakhstan + + + + +
Kyrgyzstan + + + +
Pakistan + + +
Tajikistan + + + + +
Turkey + + + +
Turkmenistan + + +
Uzbekistan + + +
TC
Harmonization through capacity building: Transit Transport Framework Agreement of ECO
(TTFA)
Capacity building:
▪TTFA
▪TIR
▪CMR
▪SMGS
▪SMPS
▪ADR
▪AETR
▪ATP
UNECE, ESCAP, IDB, IRU, ICT
TC
Rehabilitation, upgradation, construction of missing links
(paras 4-5, Turkmenbashi Declaration)
ITI
•The freight train would carry textile, cotton, medical tools, furniture, fruits, machinery and parts, chemical products, paper, car spares and agricultural tools (acc. to 9TH HLWG Meeting). First passenger train scheduled for September 2018.
•Trade between the three countries amounted to $1 billion in 2017.
TCDD PR
IR
PPP
CPEC
TC
Regional initiative: Intermodal Connectivity: LLCs -Sea Port Infrastructure
1
8
6
7
3
9
2
Paras 9-11 of Turkmenbashi Declaration envisages the development of effective inter-linkages amongst ECO’s logistics centers to liaise the Dry Ports with the Sea Ports
TC
Sea Port Logistics
Center
Dry Port Logistics Center
Rail
Road
Potential of ECO’s Sea Ports
Table 1. Turkey's share in world maritime profile, 2016
% of world total DWT/TEU/GT/km
Coastline(km) 0.5
National flagged fleet (DWT) 0.47 8658
Fleet ownership (DWT) 1.56 27951
Container port throughput
(TEU)
1.25 8457612
Ship building GT 0.16 105645
Ship scrapping (GT) 3.45 998714
Source: UNSTAD, IMO, Turkstat
*Increase of Turkey’s fleet was by 8% in 2016. Source: UNSTAD, IMO, Turkstat
Table 2. Turkey’s carrying capacity by type of ship, 2016
(Thousands DWT) 2005 2010 2015 2016
Total fleet 7 048.0 7 878.0 8 497.8 8 568.2
Oil tankers 959 1 693.6 1 291.8 1 308.4
Bulk carriers 4 087.0 3 357.7 4 235.3 4 043.9
General cargo 1 565.0 2 011.5 1 598.8 1 618.2
Container ships 290 572.9 749.1 982.5
Other types of
ships
147 242.3 622.9 615.2
TC
Continued
Table 4. Iran's share in world maritime profile, 2016
% DWT/TEU/GT/km
Coastline(km) 0.36
National flagged fleet (DWT) 0.27 4877
Fleet ownership (DWT) 1.00 17 838
Container port throughput (TEU) 0.35 2731000
Ship building GT …
Ship scrapping (GT) …
*Iran’s fleet growth increased by 7.2% in 2016. Source: UNSTAD, IMO
Source: UNSTAD, IMO
Table 3. Iran's carrying capacity by type of ship, 2016
(Thousands DWT) 2005 2010 2015 2016
Total fleet 9 114.0 1 333.3 4 548.2 4 877.3
Oil tankers 6 134.0 120.3 403.1 812.4
Bulk carriers 1 703.0 453.4 2 174.0 2 087.1
General cargo 731 297.7 700.3 704.1
Container ships 420 252.4 1 128.0 1 128.0
Other types of ships 126 209.5 142.8 145.8
TC
*Pakistan’s fleet growth increased by 0.0% in 2016 Source: UNCTAD, IMO, UN Data
Continued
Table 5. Pakistan’s carrying capacity by type of ship, 2005-2016
(Thousands DWT) 2005 2010 2015 2016
Total fleet 472 481.1 709.7 709.7
Oil tankers 274 281.7 427.7 427.7
Bulk carriers .. 65.7 255.2 255.2
General cargo 184 107.5 .. ..
Container ships .. .. .. ..
Other types of
ships
14 26.3 26.8 26.8
TC
Potential of ECO’s Dry Ports
Main dry ports in ECO
Afghanistan Pakistan
1 Torkham 1 Lahore Dry Port
2 Shir-Khan 2 Lahore NLC Dry Port
3 Keyrabad 3 Multan Dry Port
Azerbaijan 4 Rawalpindi Dry Port
1 Alyat 5 Sialkot Dry Port
Iran 6 Larkana Dry Port
1 Motakhari Dry Port 7 Quetta Dry Port
2 Ahlan SEZ 8 Quetta NLC Dry Port
3 Zahedan LC 9 Hyderabad Dry Port
4 Shiraz LC 10 Gilgit Dry Port
5 Markazi LC 11 Sost Dry Port
6 Isfahan LC 12 Azakhel Dry Port
7 Kerman LC 13 Havelian Dry Port
8 Khorasan-e-Razavi 14 Peshawar Dry Port
9 Aprin Dry Port 15 Faisalabad Dry Port
Kazakhstan 16 Jamrud Dry Port
1 Khorgos 17 Karachi Dry Port
2 Pavlodar 18 Karachi NLC Dry Port
3 Semey 19 Muzaffarabad Dry Port
4 Oskemen Tajikistan
Kyrgyzstan 1. Osh 1 Nijnii Panj
Uzbekistan 2 Tursunzade
1 Angren 3 Dushanbe
2 Navoi
3 Termez
1 2
4 5 6
7 8 9
10 11 12
13
3
TC* Turkey's dry ports have not be reflected as they are integrated within sea ports infrastructure.
ECO platform for regional initiatives
The 2011-2018 decisions on regional transport
TC
Sustainable transport performance
Transport modes (% by km) in ECO countries, 2017
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
ECO 31. 30. 37. 33. 31. 31. 33. 32. 29. 32. 33. 36. 36. 39. 40. 38. 39.
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Transport services share in ECO’s exports (%) 2000-2016
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Share of transport (%) in GDP (c.p.) 2002-2016 Change (%)
TC
0.1
3.6
21.9
26.9
0.7
15.0
0.8 17.55.4
8.0
2.1
1.1
14.1
19.0 3.0 17.83.0
32.2 2.3
5.3
36.3 27.4
36.3
0.5
2.3 36.720.0
0.5
13.21.0
12.2
11.9
1.7
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rail Roads Inland Pipelines
Continued
294708 300905315062 309559
294683269507 269599.3
1.4 2.1 4.5 -1.8 -5.0 -9.3 0.0
-50000.0
0.0
50000.0
100000.0
150000.0
200000.0
250000.0
300000.0
350000.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Goods transported by rail in ECO, mn ton-km, 2010-2016
Goods transported by rail (million ton-km) % change
-3
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
59000
60000
61000
62000
63000
64000
65000
66000
67000
68000
69000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Passengers transported by rail in ECO (mn passenger-km), % change, 2010-2016
Passengers transported by rail (mn passenger-km) % change
Intra-ECO Trade
All values US $ Billion
Year Imports Exports Total Trade Trade
Balance
%
Change
in Trade
2013 35.67 39.31 74.98 3.64
2014 35.05 38.71 73.76 3.66 -1.63
2015 27.99 29.7 57.69 1.71 -21.79
2016 25.34 28.86 54.2 3.52 -6.05
2017 26.68 26.57 53.25 -0.11 -1.75
TC
Growth in ECO countries’ GDPs (US$ bn at c.p. and % change) 2017
19.5 37.8
418.6
138.3
6.8
278.7
7.037.9
67.1
863.7
1875.3
20.8 40.7
439.5
159.4
7.6
305.0
7.142.4 48.7
851.1
1922.32.4
-50.0
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
0.0
500.0
1000.0
1500.0
2000.0
2500.0
AFG AZE IRN KAZ KGZ PAK TAJ TKM UZB TUR Total
2016 2017 % change
Rail freight transportation (2011-2017)
Volumes transported by regularized freight container trains from/to PRC incl. through ECO (2011-2017)
Regular trains by
container
type/container
load/traffic
volumes
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
from to from to from to from to from to from to from to
Freight container
trains (units)
17.00 0.00 42.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 280.00 28.00 550.00 265.00 1130.00 572.00 2399.00 100.00
Freight container
traffic (FEU)
702.00 0.00 1837.00 0.00 3480.00 0.00 11902.00 1133.00 23566.00 10885.00 48700.00 4197.00 106000.00
52965.00
Train load (FEU,
ave)
41.00 44.00 0.00 44.00 0.00 43.00 40.00 43.00 41.00 43.00 28.00 44.00 42.00
TC
Regional network potential
TC
2010 Length of railway, road, inland waterways, pipelines (km) and airports (units)
AFG AZE IRN KAZ KGZ PAK TAJ TUR TKM UZB
Raillroads (km) 0 2,090 4,850 14,460 370 8,773 480 10,413 2,120 3,460
Roads (km) 21,000 36,700 140,200 18,900 30,300 177,410 29,900 320,611 23,000 78,400
Inland waterways (km) 1,200 904 0 0 0 0 1,200 0 0
Pipelines (km) 180 900 14,350 7,830 200 5,179 400 4,767 4,650 1,100
Airports (total) 7 5 80 31 4 19 2 91 6 16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
2010/2017 Increase/Decrease in railways, roads, inland
waterways (km) and airports (units)
+18.6%
+11.9%
0.0%
31.6%
Railways Roads Inland waterways Airports
TC
ECO Railway Network, 2017
TC
17.1
7.2
3.0
10.0
9.913.4
12.1
7.1
7.5
12.8Afghanistan
Azerbaijan
Iran
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Pakistan
Tajikistan
Turkey
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
By country share of transport (%) 2017
20202019 2018 2018
2019 2019 2019 2018
Execution of Projects under
TTFA
Operationalization Q1-2019
Completion of
missing links.
Operationalization
in 2019
Assessment of FS progress
reports of MS/Financing/Start of
construction works
Early commercialization
and operationalization
Q1-2019
Rasht-Astara (IRI)-Astara (AZ)
Launch
Implementation of TIRRegional Strategy
adopted in 2018. Start
of implementation
since 2019
TC
Our structured operations
Appraisal PPP
Structure PPP
Screen
Identify a priority project
Initial concept
BusinessCase
Approval
Progress toward investment decision
Procedure for a PPP contract
To prepare as PPP
TC
Targets on connectivity
Regularization of KTI
Regularization of Istanbul -
Almaty
Regularization of Almaty-Bandar
Abbas
Regular run of ECO Truck Caravan
Revival of works on ITI
TC
2018 Connectivity & infrastructure milestones
Urumchi– Aktau -Anzali container train launched on 26 June 2018Tabriz-Van passenger train resumed its regular runs on 18 May 2018
1st Rail stock repair center for Central Asia,
Astana
Serial locomotives production in Kazakhstan
Opening of Turkmenbashi International Seaport on 2 May 2018 TC
Towards ECO Vision-2025
Growth in global transport demand
in 2015-2030:
▪Rail at the 3.3 rate%
▪Road 4.1%
▪Air 5.1%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
GDP Passengertransport
Rail Road Air
2015-2030
2015-2050
TCSource: McKinsey
Rail
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
PRC ECO Japan,Korea
Europe CIS
In operation
Under construction
955km of HSR is in operation in ECO
1,180km of HSR is currently under construction.
Railway
efficiency is a
gateway to
sustainable
regional
transport
TC
Road
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Rail Road Sea Air
2050
2030
2015
▪Global freight transport
demand forecasts to grow
at 3.3% rate by 2030.
▪Maritime freight to grow
from 71% in 2015 to 75%
of total by 2050.
▪Air freight at 5% rate per
annum, faster than other
modes.
TC
Intermodal linkages by rail and maritime
▪Seven of the ECO ten Member States are LCCs.
▪Overall maritime demand in freight accounts to over 71% of transport.
▪ECO is revitalizing its maritime cooperation.
▪9th Meeting of Ministers of Transport of ECO Member States on 1&3
May 2018 in Turkmenbashi.
▪5th Summit of Caspian States adopted milestone decisions on 12
August 2018 in Aktau.
▪Summit of Founder States of IFAS approved an implementation plan
on 24 August 2018 in Turkmenbashi.
UN Resolution
A/72/L.42. 14
April 2018
International
Convention on
Caspian Sea.
12 August 2018
Almaty
Plan of
Action
Vienna
Program
International
Agreement on
Dry Ports
TC