consumer snapshot november 2014
TRANSCRIPT
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sentiment strategy
november 2014
Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.
holiday
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sentiment
consumer sentiment confidence rebounds in November to a 7 year high of
46.6% confident or very confident in chances for a strong economy
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
13 month summary while confidence faltered in October, highs reached in
September and November may be an early indication that consumers are finally breaking free from the low 40%
pattern that has characterized much of 2014 36.4%
44.7%
41.0%
46.6%
30%
34%
38%
42%
46%
50%
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sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
holiday optimism heading into the critical holiday season, this month’s
reading is nearly 30% higher than a year ago and the highest November reading since Nov-06
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
50.3
%
37.2
%
22.3
%
29.2
%
27.5
%
23.7
%
39.7
%
36.4
%
46.6
%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% consumer sentiment confidence rebounds in November to a 7 year high of
46.6% confident or very confident in chances for a strong economy
13 month summary while confidence faltered in October, highs reached in
September and November may be an early indication that consumers are finally breaking free from the low 40%
pattern that has characterized much of 2014
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strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 18+}
practical purchases although sentiment picked up m/m, practicality remains
stable at 41.2% this month compared to October
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
47.5%
41.2%
52.6%
47.4%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases
I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
the good news for retailers: practical purchase intentions have dropped 10%+ from a year ago
say “so long” to socks under the tree?
focus on necessities dips from October to 47.4% this month, dropping nearly 10% year-over-year
at the top of wish lists this year: gift cards, apparel and accessories, books/video games, electronics, jewelry
however, sales and price discounts (74.7%) are by far the top motivator to shop this year, quality (60.9%)
follows
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holiday 2014
Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics
planned spending per person* gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers
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holiday spending plans on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $804 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 2014, up 4.8% from last year’s $767
* Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2013
$700
$735
$751 $755
$694 $682
$719
$741 $752
$767
$804
$620
$640
$660
$680
$700
$720
$740
$760
$780
$800
$820
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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holiday 2014
Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics
planned spending per person* gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers + SELF SPENDING
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holiday spending plans
* Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2013
the grand total add in the presents shoppers are buying for
themselves, and consumers plan to spend $931 on holiday season, tempering overall y/y growth
to 3.2%
on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $804 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 2014, up 4.8% from last year’s $767
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Gifts, Décor, Cards, Food, Flowers Self Spending
$902 $893 $878
$831
$783 $801
$852 $845 $819
$789
$931
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holiday 2014 planned gift spending by generation In billions
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holiday spending plans
the grand total
Millennials (1983 – 1996), Gen X (1965 – 1982), Boomers (1946 – 1964), Silent (born pre-1946)
move over, millennials while the youngest generation will certainly drive
future spending trends, at present Gen X-ers and Boomers currently account for 67% of planned
2014 holiday gift spending
Silent $20.6 billion
15%
Boomers $43.3 billion
32%
Millennials $24.6 billion
18%
Gen X $46.6 billion
35%
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $804 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 2014, up 4.8% from last year’s $767
add in the presents shoppers are buying for themselves, and consumers plan to spend $931 on holiday season, tempering overall y/y growth
to 3.2%
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thanks
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Pam Goodfellow Consumer Insights Director
Prosper Insights & Analytics™ [email protected] ProsperDiscovery.com
ConsumerSnapshot.com
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