gauteng baseline snapshot november 2007
DESCRIPTION
Gauteng Baseline Snapshot November 2007TRANSCRIPT
COFISA: ForesightCOFISA: Foresight
for Provincial Innovationfor Provincial Innovation
Gauteng
A Baseline Data Snapshot
Eskom Convention Centre, Eskom Convention Centre, MidrandMidrand, 15, 15thth November 2007November 2007
Peter Greenwood & Bob DayPeter Greenwood & Bob Day
NonNon--ZeroZero--Sum DevelopmentSum Development
Data sourcesData sources
• COFISA baseline data study– In progress for E Cape, W Cape and Gauteng (IsambuloAMI)– Meta-data for ~800 datasets, at different degrees of
disaggregation– CeSTII innovation data disaggregated to provincial level by
December
• Gauteng baseline data– Only ~180 datasets currently (freely) available with data that
is disaggregated down to the province or finer– Our sources for Gauteng:
• Human Sciences Research Council• Statistics South Africa• Gauteng Provincial Government
TopicsTopics
• Population, Poverty and Basic Services
• Education
• Gauteng PGDS
• Industry
• Research and Development
Population, Poverty Population, Poverty
and Basic Servicesand Basic Services
GautengGauteng
population growthpopulation growth
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1996 2001 2007
Year
Gau
ten
g P
op
ula
tio
n (
mil
lio
ns)
Net loss or gain of people in each province
through inter-provincial migration over the five
years preceding October 2001
-400000
-300000
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
EC LP FS KZN MP NC NW WC GP
Province
Po
pu
lati
on
Source: Statistics South Africa, Census 2001
Population by age groupPopulation by age group
(2001)(2001)
Age distribution byAge distribution by
population grouppopulation group
White Indian/Asian
Black AfricanColoured
Urban and nonUrban and non--urban urban
distribution by provincedistribution by province
Age dependencyAge dependency
%age of households%age of households
living in informal dwellingsliving in informal dwellings
%age of households%age of households
with mains electricitywith mains electricity
%age of households%age of households
with access to piped waterwith access to piped water
%age of households%age of households
with municipal refuse removalwith municipal refuse removal
%age of households%age of households
using bucket or no toiletsusing bucket or no toilets
Poverty profilePoverty profile
Poverty index: composite of:
– Female-headed households
– Social security
– Illiteracy
– Rate of unemployment
– Household income
– Crowding
– Dwelling type
– Sanitation
– Water
– Electricity
– Refuse removal
– Malnutrition
Tshwane Metsweding
WestRand
Sedibeng
Ekurhuleni
Joburg
EducationEducation
Percentage schoolPercentage school
attendance of 7attendance of 7--15 year olds15 year olds
Highest level ofHighest level of
educational attainment (>20 yrs)educational attainment (>20 yrs)
University growth points: University growth points:
PublicationsPublications• University of Pretoria
– Biological Sciences– Mechanical and Industrial
Engineering– Information, Computing and
Communication Sciences– Nursing Sciences– Public Health and Health Services– Medical Physiology– Medical Microbiology– Pharmacology and Pharmaceutical
Sciences
• University of South Africa
– Education
• University of Witwatersrand
– Chemical Sciences– Mathematical Science– Mechanical and Industrial
Engineering– Resource Engineering– Architecture and Urban Environment– Dentistry– Medical Physiology– Economics and Business
• Tshwane University of Technology
– Publication data only at faculty level
Gauteng Provincial Gauteng Provincial
Growth and Growth and
Development StrategyDevelopment Strategy
Provincial innovationProvincial innovation
systems in South Africasystems in South Africa
“But what emerges from the work so far suggests that regional or local innovation systems exist, if at all, only in Gauteng and Western Cape, and possibly in KZN, but nowhere else.”
REGIONAL AND LOCAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS A study on behalf of NACI
March 2007 (unpublished)
So: an innovation system exists in Gauteng, but only just?
Gauteng PGDS,Gauteng PGDS,
Trade and Industry StrategyTrade and Industry Strategy
• Emphasises the role of innovation:– Realignment of manufacturing;– Smart industries;
– Financial and business services
• Some objectives:– Higher-value added production in manufacturing– Expansion of high-tech industries and technological activities
• But:– Some objectives rely on a functioning knowledge economy
– How should relationships between producers and users of knowledge manifest themselves at the local level?
– How may the provincial government contribute to generating positive dynamics?
– What are the systemic requirements for innovation?– What is the innovation strategy?
IndustryIndustry
IndustrialIndustrial
specialisationsspecialisations
• Gauteng– Manufacturing
• Metals, metal products, machinery, equipment
• Other non-metal mineral products
• Electrical machinery and apparatus
• Radio, TV, instruments, watches, clocks
• Furniture and other manufacturing
– Construction– Wholesale and retail trade,
catering and accommodation
– Finance and business services
• Western Cape– Agriculture, forestry and
fishing– Food, beverages and
tobacco– Textiles, clothing and
leather goods– Finance and business
services
• Eastern Cape– Transport equipment
(Provincial share >20% of national total)
Farming operationsFarming operations
(2001)(2001)
Gross agricultural Gross agricultural
incomeincome
Research & Research &
Development (R&D)Development (R&D)
Technology Technology
Achievement Index (TAI)Achievement Index (TAI)
The provincial TAIs ranking as follows:
• Top:
Gauteng, Western Cape, and KwaZulu-Natal
• Average: Mpumalanga, Free State, and North West
• Bottom: Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, and Limpopo
(DST 2005, 28)
SummarySummary
These data seem to indicate that:• Other provinces’ most productive (& innovative?) people
migrating to Gauteng (& Western Cape) • Origin of poverty rural – urban poverty inherited• Gauteng has 2nd lowest levels of poverty in RSA, but growing?
Is migration a threat or an opportunity?• Many scientific growth areas in HEIs, but how relevant to future
needs of RSA (poverty and exports)?• Innovation System exists in Gauteng, but only just?• More work needed to turn (many?) provincial knowledge-
intensive competencies into innovation• What is the innovation strategy?• Gauteng dominates manufacturing, construction, retail trade,
financial and business services. How much R&D and innovation in these sectors?
• 90% urban population, few farming units and limited land, yet highly productive (& innovative?) agricultural sector
Poverty indicatorsPoverty indicators(proportion: score out of 100)(proportion: score out of 100)
Knowledge intensityKnowledge intensity
and innovationand innovation
Radio, TV,
instruments,
watches and clocks
Radio, TV,
instruments,
watches and
clocks
Medical appliances and
instruments and appliances
for measuring, checking,
testing, navigating and
other purposes; Instruments
and appliances for measuring,
checking, testing, navigating and
other purposes, except industrial
process control equipment;
Optical instruments and
photographic equipment
Radio, TV,
instruments,
watches and clocks
Insulated wire and
cable
Insulated wire and cableElectrical machinery
and appliances
Basic metalsBasic metalsBasic metalsMetals, metal
products, machinery
and equipment
Patents: SOUPatents: IOMR&D investmentsIndustrial activity
%age of households%age of households
with access to piped waterwith access to piped water
%age of households%age of households
with access to piped waterwith access to piped water
HIV prevalenceHIV prevalence
(antenatal clinic attendees)(antenatal clinic attendees)
Educational attainmentEducational attainment
20+ years (2001)20+ years (2001)
Percentage of householdsPercentage of households
using electricity for lightingusing electricity for lighting
Percentage of householdsPercentage of households
using electricity for cookingusing electricity for cooking
