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From Technologies to Markets © 2021 From Technologies to Markets 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones Market and Technology Report 2021 Sample

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Page 1: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

From Technologies to Markets

© 2021

From Technologies to Markets

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones

Market and Technology

Report 2021 Sample

Page 2: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

225G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

TABLE OF CONTENTS

• Glossaries 2

• Table of contents 4

• Report objectives 5

• Scope of the report 7

• Report methodology 8

• About the authors 9

• Companies cited in this report 10

• Definitions 11

• Who should be interested by this report 13

• Yole Group of Companies related reports 14

• 3 pages summary 15

• Executive summary 19

• 5G Market Drivers & Dynamics 48

o Evolution of 5G networks, applications, implementation timeline,

disruptions and opportunities

• 5G packaging trends 70

o Technology & trends, RFFEM SiP architectures, requirements,

challenges, roadmap, interconnection trends

o 5G Packaging Market Forecasts 92

o Cellphone forecast by type & air standards, 5G RF component

packaging market at wafer-level & SiP level, RF SiP forecasts in

units & market by type of SiP modules

o Packaging for 5G mmWave including AiP 113

o AiP trends, antenna key parameters, design for mmW & sub6Ghz,

,AiP markets forecast, technology challenges, Flip-chip vs fan-out

o Players and supply chain 138

o Player landscape and positioning, company strategies, packaging

supply chain of key RFFEM suppliers

o 5G Packaging Technology trends by players 157

o 5G packaging Substrate Material Trends 169

o Technology trends, suppliers, market forecast

o EMI Shielding trends for 5G packaging 197

o Summary & Outlook 206

o Appendix 209

Page 3: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

33

5G Packaging for Smartphones 2021 is a new report which focuses on the modules and components packagingfor the 5G Sub6Ghz and 5G mmWave.The objectives of this new report are as follows:

o Discuss drivers and dynamics for 5G varieties: 5G mmWave and 5G sub-6 GHz, and investigate thedisruptions and opportunities thereof

o Focus on various SiP architectures in the RF Front end of cellphones, for both cellular and connectivity

o RF front-end SiP market forecast in revenue, wafers, and units by:

o Interconnects trends forecast for RF SiP

o Analyze various developing RF SiP architectures for sub-6 GHz and mmWave frequencies, advantages andsuitability thereof

o RF front-end multi-die SiP roadmap, challenges, and technology requirements for 5G sub-6 GHz and 5GmmWave (>24 GHz) bands, including antenna-in-package (AiP) trends

o Analyze supply chain changes and opportunities for 5G in smartphones, focusing on RF SiP manufacturingand assembly, including package substrate

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

REPORT OBJECTIVES

Page 4: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

445G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

SCOPE OF THE REPORT (1/2)

Yours needs are

out of the report’

scope?

Contact us for a custom study:

RF Front-End modules and components

5G sub 6 GHz and 5G mmWave modules and components including AiP

Modems, transceivers, baseband processors

Topics NOT included in the report

Main focus

Page 5: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

555G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

SCOPE OF THE REPORT (2/2)

Yours needs are

out of the report’

scope?

Contact us for a custom study:

Cellular

Baseband

SoC

Cellular RF

Transceiver

RF

Front-End

RF signal amplification,

filtering and rooting

up/down to the antennas

Analog

Up/Down

conversion

Digital

Signal coding

Report scope

The focus of the report is on the RF Front-End and Antenna in Package (AiP) packaging for the 5G mobile

applications covering sub 6Gz and mmWave. The 5G cellular baseband and the RF transceiver are not

covered in this report from the package point of the view, except for the mmWave RF module, where RF

transceiver is integrated in the package

Page 6: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

665G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS

Market

Volume (in Munits)

ASP (in $)

Revenue (in $M)

Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources:

Information

Aggregation

Preexisting

information

Page 7: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

77

Santosh KUMAR

Santosh Kumar is currently working as Senior Director & Principal Analyst in the Semiconductor & Software division at Yole Développement, part ofYole Group of Companies. His main interest areas are advanced electronic packaging materials and technology including TSV and 3D packaging,modeling and simulation, reliability and material characterization, wire bonding and novel solder materials and process etc. He received bachelor andmaster degrees in engineering from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Roorkee and University of Seoul, respectively. He has published more than40 papers in peer reviewed journals and has obtained 2 patents. He has presented and given talks at numerous conferences and technical symposiumsrelated to advanced microelectronics packaging.

[email protected]

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Biographies & contact

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Page 8: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

88

Amkor (J-Devices, Nanium), Acco, Ajinomoto Fine-Techno, Apple, Applied Materials, ASE Group, ASMPT (NEXX),

AT&T, AT&S, Avago Technologies, Besi, Broadcom, Cavendish, Daeduck Electronics, Deca Technologies, Dupont,

Ericsson, Evatec, Foxconn, GLOBALFOUNDRIES, Google, Henkel, HiSilicon, Hitachi Chemical, Huawei, Huatian,

Ibiden, Infineon, Intel, JCET/STATS ChipPAC, Kinetics, Kinsus, Kyocers, Kulicke & Soffa, Lenovo, LG Electronics, LG

Innotek, Marvell, MediaTek, Mitsubishi Materials, Mitsui Kinzoku, Murata, Nepes, NXP Semiconductors (Freescale),

NGK/NTK, NTT Docomo, ON Semiconductor, OPPO, Panasonic, Peregrine Semiconductor/Murata, Powertech

Technology, Qorvo (RFMD, Triquint), Qualcomm (RF360), Rogers, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Electromechanics

(SEMCO), SJSemi, Shinko, Skyworks Solutions, Soitec, Spreadtrum, SPIL, Sprint, TDK-EPCOS, Tongfu

Microelectronics, Towa, TSMC, Unimicron, Unisem, USI, Wisol, Xiaomi, Yamada, ZTE and more…

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT

Page 9: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

995G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

WHO SHOULD BE INTERESTED IN THIS REPORT

RF component manufacturers

• Evaluate market potential of future technologies and products

• Understand the differentiated value of your products and

technologies in this market

• Build a roadmap for modules: which type of modules? When?

• Identify new business opportunities

• Identify potential strategic partners or technology providers

• Monitor and benchmark your competitor’s advancements

RF foundries, material and equipment suppliers,

packaging houses• Understand what the components and technologies that will drive

the volumes in 2025

• Identify new business opportunities and prospects

RF and component specialists (manufacturers,

fabless), transceiver, modem, software vendors…• Spot new opportunities and define diversification strategies linked

to RF components

Mobile phone OEMs• Evaluate market potential of future technologies and products to

differentiate your products

• Evaluate the benefits of using these new technologies in your end

system, design architectures for the next generation of systems

• Screen potential new suppliers able to provide new functionalities,

or cost and size savings

R&D centers

• Assess market potential and trends about future technologies and

products

• Identify the best candidates for technology transfer

Financial & strategic investors

• Understand the structure and value chain of RF cellular

technology

• Estimate the potential of new technologies such as SOI, RF

MEMS,…

• Get the list of the main key players and emerging start-ups of this

industry worldwide

Page 10: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

10

AIR STANDARD EVOLUTION

Toward network standard unification

Standard unification has been followed by an explosion in mobile applications

1G

AMPS

TACS

ETACS

NMT450

NTT/JTACS/NTACS

C-Netz

Radiocom 2000

RTMI

GSM

CDMA

D-AMPS

PDC

PHS

WCDMA

CDMA2000

TD-SCDMA

WiMAX

FDD-LTE (A)

TDD-LTE (A)

NR NR

2G 3G 4G 5G 6G

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Page 11: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

11

5G COMMERCIAL AVAILABILITY

Worldwide 5G network launches

Multiple 5G networks have been launched worldwide. North East Asia is quickly adopting 5G with more than 75 M subscribers as of June 2020

<5 M subscribers

<1 M subscribers

> 75 M subscribers

<1 M subscribers

<1 M subscribers

Fully launched

Multiple launches

Single launch

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Page 12: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

12125G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

5G PACKAGING ROADMAP (FROM 2G TO 5G AND FURTHER …)Leve

l of in

tegr

atio

n =

> Fro

m d

iscr

ete

to

Hig

hly

inte

grat

ed S

iP

2G (GSM)

3G (WCDMA)

4G(LTE)

5G Sub 6GHz

5G mmWave

6GSingle-side SiP

Single side SiP

Double-side SiP

Enhanced double-

side SiP

AiP

Outside

phone body

2008 2013 2019 2020 >>2025

Phone

caseFlex PCB Package

Package or

wafer BEOL ??Antenna

placement

Single /double side SiP

Enhanced double-side SiP

5G mm Wave onwards need disruptive

innovation in packaging for complex

interconnections

Discrete PA pkg

Low loss package

material: substrate,

dielectric, mold

Laminate/ceramic/glass

Flip-chip, fan-out

WLP/PLP

Thermal management

Heterogeneous package integration

with precision antenna arrays, low-

loss interconnects and waveguides

and active devices

Ultra low loss material

Sub THz antenna array

Optical interconnect

Thermal management

(>100W/cm2)

No FEM,

Discrete PA

Usually 1 FEM (Tx,Rx)

Discrete PA still main

3-5 FEM

PA + FEM integration5-7 FEM

PA + FEM integration

7-9 FEM

PA + Antenna + RFIC+

FEM + PMIC integration

PA + Antenna + RFIC+

FEM + PMIC+ Modem

integration

Heterogeneous

integration

AiP/AoC

Page 13: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

1313

RF FRONT-END MODULE COMPONENT DESCRIPTION

Filter

Switch

esPA

PMIC

Switch

es

PA

PMIC

PA

PMIC

PMIC

MMIC

PA Ante

nnas

Filter

Switch

es

LNA

Filter

Switch

es

Switch

es

Single radio support

2G, 3G, 4G or 5G

Multi radio support

2G & 3G, 3G & 4G, …

No Filter functionLNA

FilterSwitch

es

PA

PMIC

LNADuplexer

Filter

Switch

esPA

PMIC

Multiple radio support

Filter and switches

Multiple radio support

Filter, switches and LNA

Multi radio support 3G & 4G, 4G & 5G, …

PA, Switch, Filter, Duplexer, Multiplexer, LNA

5G mmWave support

MMIC, antenna, eventually a PA

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Page 14: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

1414

5G PACKAGING MARKET FOR MOBILE

Packaging at both wafer and SiP level

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

BAW

filters

SAW

filters

Power

Amplifier

Low Noise

AmplifierSwitchesIPDs

RF Transceivers for

AiP (mmWave FEM)

Bumped die Bare die

Coreless substrate

SMD Passives

Wafer Thinning,

Dicing, Probe

WLP capping, TSV,

Bumping, Thinning,

Dicing, Probe

SMT

Wire-

bond

Shielding

SMT

Various RF components considered for the 5G RF SiP assembly market

Page 15: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

1515

Air standard segmentation is quite complex as multiple generations can be mixed on a singlecomponent

Cellular Front-End segmentation is more difficult as multiple air standards can be aggregated in a singlecomponent.

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

PACKAGING MARKET FOR 5G

2G • Standalone 2G PAM

3G • MMMB PA aggregating 2G/3G and standalone 3G PAM

4G • MMMB PA aggregating 2G/3G/4G, 2G/4G, 3G/4G

4G • Components and modules ensuring 4G connectivity

5G• Components and modules ensuring 5G connectivity (PAD Drx FEM,

LNA bank, discrete switch, standalone filter,…), as well as 4G modules that include 5G components (For instance 5G PA, filter,… in a PAD)

Classification of RF

modules by air

standards for

packaging market

calculation

FOCUS OF THE REPORT

Page 16: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

1616

5G PACKAGING MARKET FOR SMARTPHONE

5G packaging market was $0.51B in 2020 and is expected to grow at 31% CAGR to reach ~$4.8B in 2026

AiP assembly market for the mmWcommunication in mobile will grow by XX% to reach ~$XXM in 2026. AiP market share in the 5G packaging market will increase from 11% in 2020 to 17% by 2026

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

5G sub 6

RFFEM

48%

5G mmW

RFFEM

32%

mmW

AiP

15%

mmW

Discrete

antenna

5%

5G sub 6

RFFEM

49%

5G mmW

RFFEM

43%

mmW AiP

4%

mmW

Discrete

antenna

4%

2020

($

0.51B)

2026

($2.6B)

Page 17: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

17175G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

5G PACKAGING SUPPLY CHAIN

v

vv

OSATS

IDMs

Packaging

/ Testing

Substrate suppliers

Mold

com

pound

v

Subst

rate

core

, pre

peg,

build

-up, R

DL d

iele

ctri

c

v

Inte

rconnect

mat

eri

als

v

Thermal interface material (TIM)

Plating tool

vEMI Shielding (sputter)

v

Die bonder

v

Molding equipment

Page 18: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

18185G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

5G RF SUPPLY CHAIN STATUS

Manufacturing/Foundry Packaging/TestingDesign

PA

Sw

itch

-LN

A-T

un

er

Filte

r

Despite a growing number of design company trying to enter the RF Front-End market, a few leaders have captured most of the

market. Foundries and packaging houses have an ever-stronger footprint in the RF Front-End market

Page 19: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

19

SUBSTRATE MARKET FOR 5G PACKAGING

By 5G sub6GHz & mmWave SiP module

Substrate market for 5G mmWave SiPgrow by XX% to reach ~XXM by 2026, while for 5G sub6GHz SiP, it’ll grow by XX% to reach ~$XXXM

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 CAGR

5GmmWave5G sub 6

5G packaging substrate market by 5Gsub6GHz & mmW module

Page 20: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

20

SUBSTRATE MARKET FOR 5G PACKAGING

By different 5G RF modules (including Antenna)

Substrate market for mmWave AiPincrease from XX% of the total 5G substrate market in 2020 to XX% of the markt by 2026. 5G sub6GHz modules account for XX% of the substrate market by 2026

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

5G sub

6

5G

mmW

RFFEM

mmW

AiP

mmW

Discrete

antenna

5G sub 6

5G

mmW

RFFEM

mmW

AiP

mmW

Discrete

antenna

2020

($XM)

2026

($XM)

Page 21: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

21

Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

21

Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

5G's Impact on RF Front-End for Telecom Infrastructure 2021

5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS

Yole Développement

Page 23: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

2323

Yole Group of Companies, including Yole Développement,

System Plus Consulting and PISEO, are pleased to provide

you a glimpse of our accumulated knowledge.

We invite you to share our data with your own network,

within your presentations, press releases, dedicated

articles and more, but you first need approval from Yole

Public Relations department.

If you are interested, feel free to contact us right now!

We will also be more than happy to give you updated data

and appropriate formats.

Your contact: Sandrine Leroy, Dir. Public Relations

Email: [email protected]

HOW TO USE OUR DATA?

About Yole Développement | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Page 24: 5G Packaging Trends for the Smartphones - i-Micronews

24About Yole Développement | www.yole.fr | ©2020

CONTACTS

Western US & Canada

Steve Laferriere - [email protected]

+ 1 310 600 8267

Eastern US & Canada

Chris Youman - [email protected]

+1 919 607 9839

Europe and RoW

Lizzie Levenez - [email protected]

+49 15 123 544 182

Benelux, UK & Spain

Marine Wybranietz - [email protected]

+49 69 96 21 76 78

India and RoA

Takashi Onozawa - [email protected]

+81 80 4371 4887

Greater China

Mavis Wang - [email protected]

+886 979 336 809 +86 136 6156 6824

Korea

Peter Ok - [email protected]

+82 10 4089 0233

Japan

Miho Ohtake - [email protected]

+81 34 4059 204

Japan and Singapore

Itsuyo Oshiba - [email protected]

+81 80 3577 3042

Japan

Toru Hosaka – [email protected]

+81 90 1775 3866

FINANCIAL SERVICES

› Jean-Christophe Eloy - [email protected]

+33 4 72 83 01 80

› Ivan Donaldson - [email protected]

+1 208 850 3914

CUSTOM PROJECT SERVICES

› Jérome Azémar, Yole Développement -

[email protected] - +33 6 27 68 69 33

› Julie Coulon, System Plus Consulting -

[email protected] - +33 2 72 17 89 85

GENERAL

› Sandrine Leroy, Public Relations

[email protected] - +33 4 72 83 01 89

› General inquiries: [email protected] - +33 4 72 83 01 80

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REPORTS, MONITORS & TRACKS

About Yole Développement | www.yole.fr | ©2021