www.bradford.ac.uk/management market opportunity recognition
TRANSCRIPT
Creativity
Characterized by originality and expressiveness; imaginative
Imagination
The formation of a mental image of something that is neither perceived as real nor present to the senses.
Idea
Something, such as a thought or conception, that potentially or actually exists in the mind as a product of mental activity.
Opportunity
A favourable or advantageous circumstance or combination of circumstances.
DefinitionsDefinitions
Imagination is more important than knowledge…
Albert Einstein (1879-1955)
Creative v Logical ThinkingCreative v Logical Thinking
LogicalCreative
Seeks questions
Diverges
Explores different views
Restructures
Seeks ways an idea might help
Welcomes discontinuous leaps
Welcomes chance intrusions
Open ended
Seeks answers
Converges
Asserts best or right view
Using existing structure
Says when an idea will not work
Uses logical steps
Focuses on what is relevant
Closed
InnovationInnovation
•New Product
•New method of doing the same product
•New Source of Raw materials
•New Market
•New way of organising your business
“The single biggest cause of failure is not lack of money
but that you haven’t come up with
something that the world wants.”
Larry C.Farrell
Is the process by which entrepreneurs convert opportunities into marketable ideas. It is the means by which they become catalysts for change.
Conception + Invention + Exploitation
Drucker’s Sources of Innovative OpportunityDrucker’s Sources of Innovative Opportunity
• The unexpected. Success IBM. Failure Jacket Potatoes
• The incongruity. Possible v Actual. Overnight Delivery.
• Process needs. Sugar free products. Caffeine free.
• Changes in industry/market structure. Digital Cameras
PLUS
• Demographic changes. Age profile
• Changes in perception, mood or meaning. Fashion
• New knowledge. Mobile phones.
• INVENTION - totally new, product or service [Airplane, Light bulb, Telephone]
• EXTENSION – New use or different application of existing product or service [McDonalds, Holiday Inn]
• DUPLICATION – Creative replication of an existing concept [Pizza Hut, Virgin]
• SYNTHESIS – Combining into a new formulation [Internet Cafes]
Types of InnovationTypes of Innovation
• Opportunity Defined– An opportunity is a favorable set of circumstances
that creates the need for a new product, service, or business idea.
– Most entrepreneurial firms are started in one of two ways:
• Some firms are internally stimulated. An entrepreneur decides to start a firm, searches for and recognizes an opportunity, then starts a business.
• Other firms are externally stimulated. An entrepreneur recognizes a problem or an opportunity gap and creates a business to fill it.
What is an Opportunity?What is an Opportunity?
Window of Opportunity & Life CycleWindow of Opportunity & Life Cycle
$100M
$50M
$25M
$3M$1M
Time (years)
Start up HighGrowth
Maturity Stability
Win
dow
of o
ppor
tuni
ty
Three Classic Life CyclesThree Classic Life Cycles
500
100
25
51
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
High potential firm
Foundation firm
Lifestyle firm
In $
Mill
ions
Years
Observing TrendsObserving Trends
Environmental Trends Suggesting Business or Product Opportunity Gaps
First Approach: Observing Trends
Environmental ScanningEnvironmental Scanning
Scanning: Detect Changes
Monitoring: Track Events Affecting Business
Forecasting: Making Plausible Projections
Assessing: ‘What does it all mean?’
• Trends identify emerging needs..
• SEEDTIP analysis– Societal/sociological trends– Economic trends– Environmental/Ecological trends – Demographic trends– Technological trends– International trends– Political/Legal trends
• When two or more trends come together…
Trend AnalysisTrend Analysis
[Café society]
[Life coaches]
[Ecotourism]
[In home care]
[VOIP]
[China/India emerging]
[Health & Safety]
http://www.trendhunter.com/trends/interactive-wallpaper-sl2010-allyearlong-calendar
http://www.springwise.com/
Exploit trendsExploit trends
• 24 hour society• ‘Money rich, time poor’• Demographic change: age, urban living,
growth patterns• Environmental issues• Globalisation• Legislation• Desire for ‘gadgets’• Communication
Solving a ProblemSolving a Problem
Second Approach: Solving a Problem
Sometimes identifyingopportunities simply
involves noticing a problemand finding a way to
solve it.
These problems can bepinpointed through observing
trends and through more simplemeans, such as intuition,serendipity, or chance.
Some business ideas are clearlyinitiated to solve a problem.
For example, Symantec Corp. created Norton antivirus
software to guard computersagainst viruses.
• Left xmas shopping too late, couldn’t find last minute Left xmas shopping too late, couldn’t find last minute gadgets GADGET SHOPgadgets GADGET SHOP
• Market opportunity to sell mobile phones directMarket opportunity to sell mobile phones direct
CAR PHONE WAREHOUSECAR PHONE WAREHOUSE• Wife crying because of seven days wait for new glassesWife crying because of seven days wait for new glasses
VISION EXPRESSVISION EXPRESS• Passion for making scents and lotions turned intoPassion for making scents and lotions turned into
JO MALONEJO MALONE
How entrepreneurs found ideas
Create Curiosity – Open Mind & Observation of Circumstances
Finding Gaps in the MarketplaceFinding Gaps in the Marketplace
• Gaps in the Marketplace– A third approach to identifying opportunities is to find a
gap in the marketplace.– A gap in the marketplace is often created when a
product or service is needed by a specific group of people but doesn’t represent a large enough market to be of interest to mainstream retailers or manufacturers.
• This is the reason that small clothing boutiques and specialty shops exist.
• The small boutiques, which often sell designer clothes or clothing for hard-to-fit people, are willing to carry merchandise that doesn’t sell in large enough quantities for Wal-Mart, GAP, or JC Penney to carry.
Third Approach: Finding Gaps in the Marketplace
Personal Characteristics of the EntrepreneurPersonal Characteristics of the Entrepreneur
Characteristics that tend to make some people better at recognizing opportunities than others
Prior Experience Social Networks
Cognitive Factors Creativity
Social Capital - Per LovgrenSocial Capital - Per Lovgren
Network of Management Consultants
ManagementConsultants
Foundry Consultants
Network ofProfessors ofEngineering
Birley & Muzyka (2000:45)
Who Do You Know?Who Do You Know?
YOU
Tutors Family
Staff
Advisors
OtherStudentsWork
Colleagues
Friends
Professional Contacts
Sources Of IdeasSources Of Ideas
– Insights - experience in profession or industry 43%– Challenge - could do better 15%– Unfilled/overlooked niche in marketplace 11%– Systematic search for business opportunities 7%– Brainstorm - cannot explain it 5%– Hobby or vocational interest 3%
Source: Entrepreneurship, John G Burch
Unlocking ValueUnlocking Value
Unlocking Unlocking Personal ValuePersonal Value
Ideas
Opportunities
Ventures
Personality
Motivation & Drivers
Ability to Learn
Capabilities
Know How & Expertise
Relationships & Contacts
Rae (1999)
What Kind of Business Should I Start?What Kind of Business Should I Start?
• Start with what you know.• Do what you love. • Don’t reinvent the wheel, just make it better• Focus on a niche• Consider the franchising option• Know what sets you apart from the competition• Imitate an existing product• Buy an existing business• Become and agent or distributor• Sell your services as a consultant• More…?
• Above all take your time
Source: entrepreneur.com