the pev market and utility charging infrastructureaudi q7 etron phev suv 17.3 25 q4 2016 chrysler...

17
© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. The PEV Market and Utility Charging Infrastructure Barbara Tyran Director, Washington & State Relations May 15, 2015

Upload: others

Post on 03-Jun-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

The PEV Market and

Utility Charging

Infrastructure

Barbara Tyran

Director, Washington & State Relations

May 15, 2015

Page 2: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

2© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Phase I

Integrated Grid (IG) Paper

Feb 2014

Phase 2

Benefit-Cost Assessment

Feb 2015

Phase 3

IG Pilots

2015-16

Integrated Grid…Timeline

Extensive Stakeholder Coordination in

All Phases

Page 3: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

3© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

The Integrated Grid is about

Enabling the Customer

The integrated grid allows Local Energy Optimization

to become part of Global Energy Optimization.

Page 4: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

4© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Putting IG Framework to the TestDemonstration Pilots

Utility Scale Solar

Customer-Side Technologies

Distributed Energy Storage

Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure

Utility Scale Solar with Energy Storage

Microgrids

Page 5: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

5© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

State of the PEV Industry: US cumulative sales (3/31/2015)

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000

De

c-1

0

Fe

b-1

1

Ap

r-1

1

Ju

n-1

1

Aug-1

1

Oct-

11

De

c-1

1

Fe

b-1

2

Ap

r-1

2

Ju

n-1

2

Au

g-1

2

Oct-

12

De

c-1

2

Fe

b-1

3

Ap

r-1

3

Ju

n-1

3

Au

g-1

3

Oct-

13

De

c-1

3

Fe

b-1

4

Ap

r-1

4

Ju

n-1

4

Au

g-1

4

Oct-

14

De

c-1

4

Fe

b-1

5

To

tal S

ale

s

Nissan GM Tesla Toyota Ford Other BMW PHEV/EREV BEV

Page 6: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

6© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

State of the PEV Industry: new arrivals

Make Model Type Body Style Battery

(kWh)

AER

(miles)

Launch

BMW i3 BEV;

REx

5 door hatchback 22 84/72 Q2 2014

Mercedes B-Class BEV 5 door hatchback 36 104 Q3 2014

BMW i8 PHEV Sports car 7.1 15 Q3 2014

KIA Soul BEV 5 door hatchback 27 95 Q4 2014

Porsche Cayenne PHEV SUV 10.8 22 Q4 2014

VW eGolf BEV 5 door hatchback 24 83 Q4 2014

Page 7: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

7© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

State of the PEV Industry… a few thoughts

“Most Tesla Model S owners will be happy with 240V

charging at home. Plug it in at night, sleep, and wake to a

car ready for another 200-mile day. Beats pumping gas.”

– “Tesla Model S P85D.” Car and Driver, Feb 2015: 52. Print.

“Audi, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Porsche are about to

invest a combined $7.5B in new high-end electric vehicles

and plug-in hybrids due out between 2018 and 2021. Their

target: the American upstart from Silicon Valley.”

– Kacher, Georg. “Germany’s Plan to Shock Tesla.” Automobile, Feb

2015: 52. Print.

Page 8: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

8© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

State of the PEV Industry

Plug-in electric cars are here

– Tesla, Chevy Volt, and Nissan LEAF all have extremely high customer

satisfaction ratings

Long-distance travel is possible… today

– What role do utilities play in high-power PEV charging?

Impact of Tesla’s sales

– Tesla’s Model S is penetrating the Mercedes S-Class, the BMW 7-

Series, Audi A8, etc. markets

Page 9: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

9© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

State of the PEV Industry: the future

Make Model Type Body Style Battery AER Launch

Hyundai Sonata PHEV Sedan 9.8 22 Q1 2015

Mercedes S550e PHEV Luxury sedan 8.8 20 Q2 2015

Chevrolet Volt PHEV Hatchback 18.4 50 Q3 2015

BMW X5 PHEV SUV 9 20 Q3 2015

Mercedes GLE550e PHEV SUV 8.8 18 Q3 2015

Audi A3 etron PHEV Wagon 8.8 30 Q3 2015

Mercedes C350e PHEV Luxury sedan 6.2 20 Q4 2015

Tesla Model X BEV Crossover TBD 250 Q4 2015

Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV SUV 9.2 20 Q4 2015

Cadillac CT6 PHEV Luxury sedan TBD TBD Q1 2016

BMW 328e PHEV Luxury sedan TBD 22 Q1 2016

Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV Crossover TBD TBD Q2 2016

Audi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016

Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016

Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016

Nissan Leaf BEV Hatchback TBD TBD Q4 2016

Chevrolet Bolt BEV Hatchback TBD 200 Q4 2017

VW CrossCoupe PHEV SUV 14.1 20 Q4 2017

Subaru Crosstek XV PHEV Crossover TBD TBD Q2 2018

Porsche Pajun BEV Luxury sedan TBD 220 Q4 2018

Jaguar F-Pace BEV Crossover TBD 300 Q2 2019

Page 10: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

10© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure

Background and Justification

Why do utilities propose to own and/or operate PEV charging infrastructure?

– Hindsight

2010-2012 public investment (~$98M taxpayer): mixed results

– 2 big bankruptcies (Better Place and EcoTality)

– Remaining charging network is fragmented, often unreliable

Broader stakeholder consideration for utility role in PEV charging

– Business goals

Support PEV drivers

– Make sure charging stations are easy to use and reliable

– Better site and locate charging infrastructure to maximize utilization

– Reduce costs through scale

– Open up closed networks

Mixture of environmental goals, economic goals, and development goals

– ZEV mandate and GHG reduction (California)

– Economic goals (Georgia)

– Develop PEV market (Kansas)

Page 11: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

11© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure: utility actions

Washington State: bill

would allow utilities to

earn 2% return while

depreciating. Gift

charging station to host

SDG&E: $103M pilot

filing. Rate base 5.5k

stations at MuDs and

workplaces. Provide

market education. Real

time pricing for drivers

plus delayed grid

investment for all

IPL: $12M filing.

Approved for $3M for

distribution upgrades “in

public interest”

KCP&L: $20M

shareholder funds. Own,

operate, and maintain

1000 charging stations.

No cost to host for

installation or drivers for

electricity for two years.

Asking for cost recovery

in parallel.

Georgia Power: $12M

to own, operate, and

maintain 60 charging

station islands. Provide

$250 home charging

rebate and $500

commercial charging

station rebate as well as

market education

PG&E: $654M pilot

filing. Rate base

installation, ownership

and operation of 25k

stations at MuD, public,

and workplaces. Provide

market education

SCE: $355M pilot filing.

Rate base construction

of up to 30k stubs in long

dwell locations, provide

rebates on stations and

market education

Page 12: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

12© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure: current pilot proposals

Pacific Gas &

Electric Co.

Southern

California Edison

San Diego Gas

& Electric

Georgia Power Kansas City

Power & Light

Pilot

Investment

$654 M $355 M $103 M $12 M $20 M

Charging

Stations

25,000 stations,

100 DC Fast

Up to 30,000

stations

5,500 stations 60 DC Fast 1,000 stations,

15 DC Fast

Market Target

Segment(s)

Nonresidential Nonresidential

long-dwell time

locations

Workplace and

Multi-unit

dwellings

Company

locations, public

and workplace

Public and

workplace

Rate Recovery

Approach

EV balancing

account that

annually gets rolled

into distribution

rates

EV balancing

account that

annually gets

rolled into

distribution rates

Rate Base TBD Shareholders

until cost

recovery is

approved in rates

Bill Impact 70 cents per month

per customer

30 cents on $100

bill

Source: Eversource Energy

Page 13: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

13© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure: how much should utility

own?

California

Utility

EV Service

Connection

EV Supply

Infrastructure

EV Charger

Equipment

Electricity

Pacific Gas &

Electric

New service -

utility owned

Utility owned Utility owned and

contracted to 3rd party

3rd party pays PG&E /

drivers pay 3rd party

Southern Calif.

Edison

New service -

utility owned

Utility owned Site host owned Site host pays electric bill

San Diego Gas

& Electric

New service -

utility owned

Utility owned Utility owned SDG&E real-time price to

EV drivers

Source: PG&E / Eversource Energy

Page 14: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

14© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure: shifting utility role

Company State Action Status

Georgia Power Georgia $12M “Get Current Drive Electric” PEV charging program. Installing 60

public charging islands (10 on GP property and 50 at partner sites) with DC

FC and 2 Level 2 charging stations. Offering $250 rebate for L2 home

installation and $500 rebate for commercial EVSE installation. Also has

educational / awareness campaign.

Rebates available now.

Installations expected by Q2

2015.

Kansas City

Power and

Light

Kansas $20M to install 1,000 public and workplace L2 charging stations plus 15 DC

fast chargers. Installed, owned, operated, and branded by utility. No cost to

site host for installation or to customers for electricity for first two years.

Each site will have 2 – 5 stations (4 to 10 plugs). Partnering with BMW,

Ford, GM, Nissan, and Tesla. Basically KCP&L will own all charging

infrastructure in metropolitan area. Initially paid for by utility shareholder

funds, rates, and partners, but asking for cost recovery in parallel.

Installations in process. Goal

launch is summer 2015.

State Utilities Washington Offer Washington utilities 2% rate of return on owning charging stations.

Utility would install charging station and depreciate it over time. At end,

utility would gift station to customer.

Proposed in state legislature

(HB 1853 - Utility incentive

for EV charging

infrastructure)

IPL Indiana Requested $16M to pay for 250 charging stations in Indianapolis. Received

$3M to extend power (distribution upgrades) to charging stations “If in public

interest.”

Denied by Indiana PUC in

Feb 2015

Xcel Minnesota Proposed low cost off-peak PEV rates ($0.033/kWh) from 9 PM to 9 AM for

separately metered PEVs (full rate $0.06/kWh plus $5 monthly meter

charge)

Filed with PUC (2/2015)

BMW / VW /

Chargepoint

USA 100 DC fast charge stations along East Coast and West Coast Announced

VW USA $10M in charging infrastructure including the above partnership as well as

at VW dealers

Announced

Page 15: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

15© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Utility PEV Charging Infrastructure: shifting utility role

Utility Docket and

Name

$ (M) # of

Charging

Stations

Overview and Key Components Specifics Filed /

Estimated

Decision

PG&E A.15-02-009

PG&E Electric

Vehicle

Infrastructure

and Education

Program

$654 25,000

(100 DC

fast

chargers)

Rate base service, construction,

installation, and operation of

charging station network. Utility

owned and 3rd party-operated

EVSEs. Utility determines tariff.

Also includes market education.

No cost to site host. PEV driver

separately billed by third party.

Focus on MUD, public, and

workplaces. No Level 1. 10%

dedicated to low-income

communities. Will sell to EVSP at

current TOU commercial rate.

Feb 2015 /

Nov 2015

SCE A.14-10-014

SCE Charge

Ready and

Market

Education

Program

$355 30,000

(up to)

Rate base support (service

upgrades) and construction of up to

30k charging stubs (make-readies)

between 2015 and 2020. Host

determines customer price (rate),

operations, and maintenance. Also

includes market education.

Pays for installation and provides

varying rebate for EVSEs including

Level 1 and Level 2. Focuses on

long-dwell sites like workplace, fleet

depots, destinations, and airports.

$22M pilot with 1,500 stations. 26

charging banks per site.

Oct 2014 /

Summer

2015

SDG&E A.14-04-014

SDG&E Electric

Vehicle-Grid

Integration Pilot

Program

$103 5,500 Objective is using pricing with

enabling technology to accomplish

grid-integrated charging to provide

benefits to all ratepayers by

delaying infrastructure investment.

Rate base service, construction,

installation, and operation of

charging station network between

2015 and 2020. Utility owned and

third party contracted to build,

install, maintain, and operate

EVSEs. Utility determines tariff.

Also includes market education.

The pilot will explore PEV drivers’

response to an innovative dynamic

rate that reflects conditions on both

the California ISO system and the

local distribution grid.

Focus on MUD and workplaces.

Variable electricity rate for PEV

charging based on CAISO day-

ahead price. Dynamic pricing signal

to recover commodity capacity

costs. Dynamic pricing signal to

recover distribution costs. Includes

app and website for customers. 10

charging banks per site.

Apr 2014 /

Summer

2015

Page 16: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

16© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Closing Thoughts

Current Status

– Sales of PEVs passed 320,000

– Low oil/gas prices

– No new models first half of 2015, but…

7 new PEVs coming the latter half of 2015

6 new PEVs more coming in 2016

Infrastructure question

– More focus on workplace, multi-unit dwellings, and locations with long dwell time

– Less focus on short-term parking

– DC fast charging: how much is needed

– Continue Smart Charging R&D

Customer questions

– What do PEV customers want?

– Where is mass market?

Page 17: The PEV Market and Utility Charging InfrastructureAudi Q7 etron PHEV SUV 17.3 25 Q4 2016 Chrysler Town & Ctry PHEV Minivan TBD TBD Q4 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD Q4 2016 Nissan

17© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity

For more information contact:

Barbara Tyran, [email protected]