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Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor & Director of Education and Diversity NSF-DOE Engineering Research Center, CURENT University of Tennessee, Knoxville

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Page 1: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Social Psychological Approaches to

Analyze Demand Response and

Promote Energy Efficiency

Chien-fei Chen

Research Professor &

Director of Education and Diversity

NSF-DOE Engineering Research Center, CURENT

University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Page 2: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Overview of Research Projects

Message Framing, Individual Difference and Intervention

Public Acceptance of Smart Meters, EVs, SHWs and Policy

Demand Response, Customer Segmentation and

Social-psychological Factors

2

Social-Technology: Occupant Behavioral Modeling,

Building Technology, Norms and Networks

Social Factors & Energy Efficiency Behaviors in

Public Buildings

Page 3: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Today’s Topic

Message Framing

Public Acceptance

Demand Response

• Feedback and message faming affects energy

attitude & behavior -> Understanding of

individual differences and decision-making

3

• Public acceptance of smart meter, solar hot

water heater, EV and renewable energy policy ->

Identify social factors and barriers

• Costumer segmentation and social-psych

factors -> Deeper understanding individuals’

decision-making process

Social-Technology

• Occupant behavioral modeling, social-psych

factors, social rewards and network influence

-> broader energy efficiency behaviors through

network influence

Page 4: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Behavioral PatternsHeating/cooling, lighting, electronic devices

usage and other curtailment habits, etc.

Awareness &

Knowledge

Appliances & devices (items, types and

ages), awareness of energy efficiency

technologies and energy assistance

programs, etc.

Social-psychological

Factors

Energy saving attitudes, behavioral control,

energy concern, social norms, sense of

community, thermal comfort, money

consciousness, trust, privacy concern,

willingness to adopt new technologies, etc.

DemographicsGender, income, race, education, political

orientation, household size, number of

children and seniors, household dynamics,

areas, etc.

Background: Individual-Level Factors

4

Category Factors/Variables

Page 5: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Strategies to Change Behaviors & Accept DR

• Feedback programs (direct vs. indirect)

• Social norms: descriptive and injunctive norms shape

people’s behaviors; developing strategies in a social

context

• Goal setting: define what people are trying to attain and

be able to evaluate their progress

• Message framing: emphasizing a particular aspect of an

object/activity while limiting emphasis on other aspects

• Commitments: help people to sure their actions are

consistent with their ideals

5

Page 6: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Average Household Electricity Savings of

Historical Program by Feedback Type

Potential Resource

Savings:

20-35%

Real-Time

Plus

Feedback w/Smart

Program

Plus Smart Application of S.S. Insights

6

Page 7: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Social Norms Approach: Opower

7

Page 8: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Message Framing and Electricity Saving

• RQ1: Which type of messages can 1) change attitudes

toward electricity saving? 2) boost perceived efficacy

(whether can I make a difference) on saving electricity?

• RQ2: How individual differences react to messages

differently?

8

Benefit framing:

Environmental vs. Money

Temporal framing:

Long vs. Short-term

Page 9: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Condition 1, 2: Financial, Long-term/Short-term

9

Page 10: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

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Condition 3, 4: Environmental, Long-term/Short-term

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Page 11: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Results of Message Framing

• 292 US residents

• Environmental messages, in general, are more

effective than the financial benefits in producing

positive attitudes toward energy saving.

• Short-term benefits boost perceived efficacy

among people with lower environmental concern.

11

X. Xu, L. M. Arpan, and C. F. Chen. The Moderating Role of Individual Differences in

Responses to Benefit and Temporal Framing of Messages Promoting Residential Energy

Saving, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 2015, doi: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2015.09.004.

Page 12: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Theory of the Planned Behavior(Icek Ajzen, 1991)

12

Page 13: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Social-Psych Factors Affecting the Use of Solar

Water Heaters, EVs and Policy Support

* p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.00113

Page 14: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Public Acceptance of Smart Meters (Extended Technology Acceptance Theory)

Usefulness privacy

Useful2

Useful1

Useful8

Useful3

Useful4

Useful5

Useful6

Money Money2

Money1

Money3

Money4

Money6

Priv4R Priv6RPriv5R Priv7R

EnvironEnviron2

Environ1

Trust

Trust1 Trust2 Trust3 Trust4

Support

Environ4

Environ3

.89

.89

.87

.80

.88

.84

.76

.61

.56

.83

.83

.70

.84

.87

.73

.95

.74 .92 .91 .94

.95 .89 .83 .92

HabitE1

HabitCH

.80

Habit7

Price

Price2 Price3

.93 .85

HabitC1

Habit6

.68

.51

-.14, p < .001.52, p < .001

-.018

.014

-.059

-.007

.091, p = .01

-.093, p = .001

.035

Sampled 817 U.S. residents across the U.S.

14

Page 15: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Social-Psych Factors, Segmentation and DR

• Traditional approach to promoting demand response

(DR): economic approach – peak & off-peak pricing,

dynamic pricing, additional financial incentives, etc.

• To what extent the financial incentives help

customers to accept DR programs?

• Is the effect same for everyone?

• How to predict acceptance from energy use habits,

demographic variables, and social-psychological

factors?

15

Page 16: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Financial Incentives & HVAC-Related DR

• Goal: more accurate estimation of adjustable loads a function of financial incentives and other individual (social-psych)

household characteristics

• Method: Two online surveys across 48 states in the U.S. 711 and 754 valid responses collected

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Ex: How much monetary rewards do you expect in exchange for… ?

• Adjusting AC setting by 2-3oF when at home

• Adjusting heater by 2-3oF when at home

• Adjusting AC setting by > 5oF or shutting AC down

before leaving home

• Adjusting heater setting by > 5oF or shutting heater down

before leaving home

Page 17: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Financial Incentives & HVAC-Related DR

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9.90%9.10%

11.30% 11.70%

9.80%9.00%

7.80% 8.00% 7.10%

6.00%

12.60%13.30%

18.30%

14.10%

10.50% 11.00%

20.70%

17.20%

5.30% 5.80%

10.70%

12.10%

11.00%

12.30%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Adjust AC for 2-3°F_at home

Adjust heater for 2-3°F_at home

Adjust AC for>5°F_away

Adjust heater for>5°F_away

Automation_AC Automation_Heater

no incentive

<5% of montly bill

5%-10% of monthly bill

would not do it

Ac

ce

pta

nc

e r

ate

s in

re

sp

on

de

nts

Page 18: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Preference on Incentive Type

18

5.82.2 0.2

25.7

65

0.6 0 0.5 Amazon GC

Grocery/Wholesale GC

Dental/Health visit

Cash

Reduction on next month'sbill

Movie GC

Restaurant GC

Donation

Page 19: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Predictors of HAVC-Related DR

Energy Use Info Demographics Social-Psychological

Monthly Bill_Average Age Energy Concern

Stay Home (9am-

5pm)Gender Bill Consciousness

Light Use Income Frugality

Computer Sleep

ModeEducation Need for Comfort

Thermostat Settings Political Orientation Need for Convenience

Night Adjustments House Sqft Need for Control

Household Size Trust

Weather Region Subjective Norm

Perceived ControlBlock 1 Block 2 Block 3

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Page 20: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

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Step 1: habits

Step 2: +

demographics &

house features

Step 3: + social-

psychological

variables

• Average bills in the

summer

• Use of sleep mode on

computers

• Age

• Need for coolness

Voluntarily Adjusting A/C settings by 2-3oF

• Average bills in the

summer

• Light use habits

• Age

• Income

• Energy concerns

• Frugality

• Trust in the utility

company

• Need for coolness

Letting utility company adjust A/C by 2-3oF

R2 = .04

R2 = .07

R2 = .15

R2 = .04

R2 = .06

R2 = .18

Hierarchical

Regression

results:

Page 21: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

most cooperative

29.2%

45.0% 43.6%

75.6%

46.0%

5.4%6.7%

3.0%

54.9%

22.9%

6.9%7.8%

2.6%0.0%

2.6%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

Adjust HC for 2-

3°F_at home

Adjust HC for

>=5°F/turn off_

away

Let utility

company

adjust 2-3°F

Emergency shut

down 10mins

Emergency shut

down 30mins

Cluster 1 (n=291)

Cluster 2 (n=297)

Cluster 3 (n=116)

Ac

ce

pta

nc

e r

ate

s in

clu

ste

rsDifferences in Acceptance Rates

Different clusters respond to no rewards or a reward <5% monthly bill

21

Page 22: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

MostCooperative

Cluster

Lower Comfort Need in Summer

Higher Concern for

Environmental Impacts

More Frugal

LowerElectricity

Bills

Smaller Homes

Example of Customer Segmentation

Characteristics of most cooperative group in voluntarily

raising thermostat settings in summer

22

Page 23: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Predicting HAVC-DR (Segmentation)

• Accepting automation at home in summer

23

• Higher thermostat

settings generally

• Lower electricity bills

• More Democrats

• Higher energy concerns

• More frugal

• Lower comfort needs

• Lower needs for

convenience

• Positive energy-saving

attitudes

Features of most

cooperative group

• Lower thermostat

settings generally

• Higher income

• Lower energy concerns

• Lower money

consciousness

• Lower trust

• Poorer energy-saving

attitudes

Features of least

cooperative group

Hierarchical

logistic

regression

results:

Page 24: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Social-Psych & Demographics Factors

Predicting DR Programs

24

Structure equation modeling results:

Page 25: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

General Findings

• Finding 1: Social-psychological variables enhanced the

predictive power of the overall model.

• Finding 2: The amount of the requested incentives did

not have a linear relationship with certain factors.

E.g. Small homes -> smaller amount of requested

incentives to lower thermostat setting in winter, large

homes is not associated with higher requested

incentives.

25

Page 26: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

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• How attractive are current DR programs in the market?

Automatic A/C cycling

Automatic A/C shut down

Automatic thermostat adjustment

Voluntary A/C adjustment

• How specific features of DR programs affect attractiveness?

Frequency, duration, etc.

Level of control (e.g., opt out options)

Rewards (one-time vs. consumption-dependent)

• Predictable by energy use habits, demographics and social-

psychological variables?

Page 27: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

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What are the factors affecting your preference of DR programs? Please drag the left factors and drop them into the appropriate blocks on the right.

Page 28: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

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Page 29: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Future Work: Integration of Social-psych

Approaches and Technology

2. Test-Bed Study:

Test social-technological

interventions: Real-time

Prepare for the field

experiment

1. National

Representative Survey: Determine patterns and

barriers

29

3. Field

Experiment:

Find out the

most effective

Intervention

Page 30: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Step 1 (Baseline): Education and kWh Usage

Feedback

Step 2: Expenditure Feedback (self) 1

Step 3: Energy Impact Feedback (self) 21

Step 4: Relative on Expenditure

(self vs. others)21 3

Step 5: Relative on Energy Impacts

(self vs. others)32 41

Step 6: Social Rewards and Network

Influence43 521

Enabling

Technologies

Real-time

Energy

Monitoring

Mobile

Technology

Energy Impact

Estimation-

Based

Modeling

Test-Bed Pilot Study: Four Households

30

Page 31: Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze …2015/12/11  · Social Psychological Approaches to Analyze Demand Response and Promote Energy Efficiency Chien-fei Chen Research Professor

Conclusions

• Human beings are not always rational.

• Information programs (e.g., energy saving programs) may be effective in changing attitudes but may not be effective in changing behaviors.

• Financial incentive is not the only factor to adopt DR programs or reduce energy consumption.

• The approaches of social norm, social networks and message framing could be effective.

• Don’t assume people will automatically adopt DR programs; need to consider different type of individuals (customer segmentation) and situations.

• Energy use in public domain relates largely to social matters, not individual ones.

• Integration of social-technological approaches are needed for persistent behavioral change and technology adoption.

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