results for the year ended 30 june 2004 - implats2 3 highlights – financial …. (1) • dollar...

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1 Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 2 Today’s presentation Today’s presentation Highlights Market Review Finance Review Operational Review Corporate Issues Prospects

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Page 1: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

1

Results for the year ended 30 June 2004

2

Today’s presentationToday’s presentation

• Highlights

• Market Review

• Finance Review

• Operational Review

• Corporate Issues

• Prospects

Page 2: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

2

3

Highlights Highlights –– financial …. (1)financial …. (1)

• Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher

• Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

• Rand basket price per platinum ounce 9% lower

• Platinum sales volumes up 9%

• Sales revenue maintained at R11.81 billion

4

Highlights Highlights –– financial … (2)financial … (2)

• Total dividend for the year of R21.00 (down 21%)

• Margin still a healthy 36%

(23)3 966cR2.64mHeadline

(13)4 450cR2.96mBasic

% changeEPSProfitEarnings

Page 3: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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5

Gross profit analysis (Gross profit analysis (RmRm))

5 2841 014

2 582 (700)(326) (3 594)

4 260

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

FY2003 Volumegrowth

Increasein metalprices

Cost ofvolume

increases

Inflationcosts

Exchangerate

impact

FY2004

FY2003 versus FY2004:

6

Rand Rand revenue/Pt ozrevenue/Pt oz versus costsversus costs

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04

Revenue/oz Cash operating cost/oz

R/oz

Page 4: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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7

Highlights Highlights –– financial (US$)financial (US$)

• Sales revenue up 32% to $1.72 billion

• Profit up 15% to $428 million

• Dividend of $3.06 – up 4%

8

Highlights Highlights -- operationaloperational

• Improved safety performance:

• Fatal accidents declined by 23%

• Lost-time injuries down 15%

• Gross platinum production up 17% to 1.96 Moz

• Headline production up 14% to 1.729 Moz

• 1.09 Moz from Impala lease area

• Metallurgical recoveries improved by 1.5%

• Impala productivity up 8%/Pt oz

• Increases in group unit costs/Pt oz contained to 4.1%

Page 5: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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9

Highlights Highlights –– corporatecorporate

• Zimplats acquisition

• Sale of Barplats for R389 million

• Lonplats transaction

• Corporate structure

• New board appointments

27%

25%

45%

100%

100%

83%

50% * Implats is currently finalising the transaction for the sale of this asset

Aquarius Platinum (SA)

Two Rivers

Lonplats*

Implats

Mine to market operations

Strategic holdings

Impala Refining Services (IRS)

Impala Platinum

Marula Platinum

Zimplats

Mimosa

Toll refining

Concentrate offtake

agreements

20% to be allocated to BEE ownership

100%

10

Market ReviewMarket Review

Page 6: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

6

11

Sales volumes riseSales volumes rise

1413.915.8Nickel (000t)

(7)193179Rhodium (000oz)

7688733Palladium (000oz)

91 3731 495Platinum (000oz)

% change FY2003FY2004

12

Average dollar prices achieved …Average dollar prices achieved …

(9)8 4717 678Revenue/Pt oz (R)

199351 116Revenue/Pt oz ($)

557 66411 843Nickel ($/t)

(15)646548Rhodium ($/oz)

(16)264223Palladium ($/oz)

29597773Platinum ($/oz)

% change FY2003FY2004

Page 7: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

7

13

Platinum market remains robust …Platinum market remains robust …

• Strong support for platinum price

• Demand fundamentals sound

• Weak dollar and equity markets

• Perception that supply may not meet demand

• Increased global speculative activity

14

Platinum supply and demand (000oz)Platinum supply and demand (000oz)

(345)(175)(475)(175)125Surplus/(deficit)

5 8656 2706 6306 665 6 765Total supply

6 2106 4457 1056 8406 640Total demand

(60)90801510Investment

1 4901 5601 5651 5901 660Industrial

2 8302 5902 8452 5002 170Jewellery

1 9502 2052 6152 7352 800Automobile

20002001200220032004Calendar years

Page 8: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

8

15

Platinum …. (1)Platinum …. (1)

Jewellery sector:

• Remains resilient in the face of high prices, but

• Another year of decline expected in China

• Other markets steady

• Recovery anticipated in lower price environment as witnessed by Shanghai buying patterns

16

Platinum …. (2)Platinum …. (2)

• Automotive sector

• Diesel applications continue to stimulate demand

• Underpinned by emission legislation in the rest of the world

• Industrial demand

• Strong growth in the glass industry

Page 9: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

9

17

Other metals … Other metals …

Palladium

• Automotive

• CY2003 the last year of volume decline

• Potential palladium substitution in diesel – muted impact

• Price and supply stability positive for demand in the longer term

Rhodium

• Market in surplus

• Short-term speculative activity

Nickel

• Strong demand and limited supply growth in short-medium term

Financial ReviewFinancial Review

Page 10: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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19

Income statementIncome statement

(13)3 4152 963Profit

(19)5 0604 122Profit before tax

31(598)(414)Royalty expense

(55)725328Share of results of associates after tax

34(329)(216)Net forex transaction (losses)

(20)45%36%Gross margin

(19)5 2844 260Gross profit

(16)(6 523)(7 549)Cost of sales

011 80711 809Sales

% change FY2003FY2004R million

20

Profit by entityProfit by entity

3 4152 963Total

Marikana production in ramp-up phase3339Aquarius Platinum

Full production and an increasing equity stake46156Zimplats

Nearing full production11112Mimosa

Rand/dollar exchange rate646290Lonplats

Profit on sale net of operating loss(35)295Barplats

Ramp-up phase-(23)Marula Platinum

Lonplats metal/lower exchange losses151394IRS

Rand/dollar exchange rate2 5631 700Impala Platinum

Affected byFY2003FY2004Rm

Page 11: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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21

Exchange rateExchange rate

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14R/$

Jun 03 Jun 04Jun 020

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

FY04FY03

Exchange rate at balance sheet date

Average exchange rate achieved

R/$

24%10.32

7.526.17

9.06

6.88

22

Cost of salesCost of sales

5253241Other operating costs

(16)6 5237 549Total

133(394)(Increase)/decrease in stocks

(53)1 4742 259Metals purchased

(27)452572Amortisation

(16)412477Refining

(21)801967Concentrating and smelting

(13)3 2513 668On-mine operations

% changeFY2003FY2004Rm

Page 12: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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23

Group Group capexcapex

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08

Impala Marula Zimbabwe

Rm

24

Gross cash position at yearGross cash position at year--endend

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04

Group Cash Barplats sale

Rm

Page 13: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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25

Cash flowsCash flows

2 120636Cash net of short-term debt

2 3251 187Cash at year end

(826)(1 138)Net decrease in cash

(2 491)(1 207)From financing activities

(826)(1 744)From investing activities

2 4911 813From operating activities

FY2003FY2004Rm

Operational ReviewOperational Review

Page 14: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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Group safetyGroup safety

00.02

0.04

0.060.08

0.1

0.12

0.140.16

0.18

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY040

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04

FIFR – per million man hours LTIFR - per million man hours

15%

23%

28

Safety comparison … (1)Safety comparison … (1)

A comparison of lost-time injury rates:

0246

81012

Anglo plc Rio Tinto BHP Billiton Ontario Xstrata Implats SA Ptindustry

LTIFR – per million man hours

CY03 FY03 FY04 FY03 CY03 FY04CYTD04

Page 15: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

BHP BillitonFY03

Rio Tinto FY03 Anglo plc CY03 Implats FY04 SA Pt industryCYTD04

Safety comparison … (2)Safety comparison … (2)

A comparison of fatal injury rates:

FIFR – per million man hours

30

Refined platinum productionRefined platinum production

46159232Lonplats – toll

171 6731 961Total

141 5141 729Headline production

33377501Other IRS

81 1371 228Mine-to-market

% changeFY2003FY2004000oz

Page 16: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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31

Group statisticsGroup statistics

3186192On-mine cost per tonne (R)

43 9704 132Unit cost (R/Pt oz)

171 6731 961Pt produced (000oz)

917 48319 065Tonnes milled (000 t)

% change FY2003FY2004

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Group unit costs (R/Pt oz)Group unit costs (R/Pt oz)

(4.1)3 9704 132Total

11.7222196Other operating expenses1

1.2246243Refining2

(5.4)130137Smelting2

(10.9)513569Concentrating1

(4.5)2 8592 987On-mine operations1

% changeFY2003FY2004

1 Divided by mine-to-market ounces2 Divided by gross ounces

Page 17: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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33

Impala PlatinumImpala Platinum

34

Impala performs … (1)Impala performs … (1)

• LTIFR improved by 13%

• Tonnes milled up 4% to 15.6 Mt

• Mechanised tonnage ramping up - additional 600 000 tonnes

Page 18: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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35

Impala performs … (2)Impala performs … (2)

• Concentrator recoveries improved by 1.5% to 83.2%

• Tailings plant commissioned in December 2003

• UG2 recoveries improved by 3%

• Headcount reduced by 900 people

• Platinum ounces per employee up 8%

• Mining efficiencies declined by 4% due to reduced panel length

36

Impala performs … (3)Impala performs … (3)

• Increase in rand cost per platinum ounce limited to 5%

(5.0)3 8324 023Per platinum ounce

(5.7)265280Per tonne milled

% changeFY2003FY2004

Unit costs (R)

Page 19: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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37

Refineries on track ….Refineries on track ….

• World-class performance – 17% increase in production

• Gross unit costs declined by 1% per platinum ounce

• Capital expansion to achieve 2 Moz annually underway

38

Sustaining operations …Sustaining operations …

• Production from the Impala lease area to be maintained at between 1 Moz and 1.1 Moz/a

• 16 and 20 shafts to be submitted for board approval in September 2004

Page 20: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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39

Marula PlatinumMarula Platinum

40

Marula …. (1)Marula …. (1)

• Platinum-in-concentrate production of 13 280 oz for FY2004• Metallurgical plant and surface infrastructure

commissioned and fully operational

• Mechanised mining ramp-up behind schedule• Hampered by geological conditions and inappropriate

mining method

• Main decline development slowed down by rolling reef and potholing

• Mechanised operation at steep dips inefficient - higher-than-expected dilution

Page 21: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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41

Marula …. (2)Marula …. (2)

• Revised mining plan developed

• “Hybrid” mining method adoptedView down the panel View down the panel

towards the drivetowards the drive

42

Marula …. (3)Marula …. (3)

• Declines developed in footwall

• Additional capex required but higher grade will increase production to 125 000 oz platinum pa

• Full production during FY2007 @ 210 000 tpm

Page 22: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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43

Zimplats Zimplats

44

Zimplats Zimplats –– expansion potential …expansion potential …

• LTIFR improved by 77%

• Tonnes mined rose by 4% to 2.1Mt

• Refined platinum production up 17% to 84 300 oz

• Potential for significant expansion

• Orebody, mine and processing method now proven

• Country-specific issues necessitate phased approach to expansion

Page 23: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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Zimplats Zimplats –– way forward …way forward …

• Funds approved for infrastructure

• Awaiting

• Approval of amendments to special mining licence(incorporates indigenisation requirements)

• Signing of bilateral accord between Zimbabwe and South Africa

46

Zimplats Zimplats –– the plan …the plan …

85 000oz

145 000oz

245 000oz

345 000oz

Current 2006 2007/8

2009onwards

Phase 1:

60 000oz

Phase 2:

100 000oz

Phase 3 onwards:

100 000oz

$109m

$200m - $300m

$200m - $300m

Possible re-opening of

BMR

Additional smelting capacity

Page 24: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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Mimosa Platinum Mimosa Platinum

48

Mimosa Mimosa –– lowlow--cost benchmark …cost benchmark …

• LTIFR improved by 45%

• Expansion complete – 65 000 Pt oz

• Recoveries rise from 76% to 79%

• One of the lowest cost, primary producer operations in the world

• Geological evaluation underway for expansion

Page 25: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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49

Strategic interests ….Strategic interests ….

50

Strategic interestsStrategic interests

Aquarius Platinum• Kroondal operation satisfactory

• Marikana – low recoveries affect output

• Everest South project pending

• BEE deal nearing completion

Two Rivers• Trial mining currently in progress

• Ore stockpile being built-up

• Planned annual production of 120 000 Pt ounces

• Project still to be submitted for board approval

Page 26: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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Corporate issuesCorporate issues

• Conversion of mineral rights

• Transformation of group a priority

• Lonplats transaction – to be completed in 4-8 weeks

• Possible listing on NYSE in USA

52

Platinum growth outlookPlatinum growth outlook

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08

Mine to market 3rd party processing Lonplats

‘000oz

Page 27: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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53

ConclusionsConclusions

• Continued focus on safety and health

• Market fundamentally sound

• Implats in good shape operationally

• Good prospects for growth

• Strong cash flows

• Attractive dividend yield

• Lonplats proceeds to be used to deliver optimum value to shareholders

54

Finally ….Finally ….

While profit should be significantly enhanced by proceeds from the sale of Lonplats in FY2005,

headline earnings are expected to depend substantially on the exchange rate.

Page 28: Results for the year ended 30 June 2004 - Implats2 3 Highlights – financial …. (1) • Dollar basket price per platinum ounce 19% higher • Rand/dollar exchange rate 24% stronger

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Results for the year ended 30 June 2004