presentation on international broadband data

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    The Good News About US Broadband

    Broadband Policy Summit IVJune 12, 2008

    Scott [email protected]

    www.techpolicyinstitute.org www.wallsten.net

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    m

    i l l i o n s

    Total Counted High-Speed Connections in the U.S.

    Source: FCC (2008)

    cable

    dsl

    mobile

    fiber satellite & fixed

    Scott Wallsten

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    K o r e a

    *

    N e

    t h e r l a n

    d s

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    d a

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    D e n m a r k

    J a p a n

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    l g a r i a

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    T u r k e y

    p e r c e n

    t h o u s e h

    o l d s w

    i t h b r o a

    d b a n

    d

    Household Broadband Penetration as of Nov 2006(November 2006 unless otherwise stated)

    Sources: European Community (2007); US Census (2007), Pew Internet & American Life Foundation (2006); Korean National InformationSociety Agency (2007); Japan Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2007). See footnote 8 in Wallsten (2008).

    October 2007March 2007

    Scott Wallsten

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    OECD (and FCC) cant count business connections

    Scott Wallsten

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    Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07

    m i l l i o n s

    U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines as counted by the FCC

    Total

    Residential

    Business (implied)

    Scott Wallsten

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    66 million connections (OECD)72 million workplace

    138 million U.S. wired broadband connections

    Scott Wallsten

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    Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07

    m i l l i o n s

    U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines as counted by the FCC

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    20

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    100

    120

    140

    Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07

    m i l l i o n s

    U.S. Wired High-Speed Lines

    Scott Wallsten

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    Why is the U.S. OECD rank falling?

    Scott Wallsten

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    Household size.Countries with larger households will have fewer connections per capita.

    Scott Wallsten

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    Hermitopiapopulation: 20

    Grphaus Republicpopulation: 20

    2001 penetration rateshousehold: 5% household: 25%per capita: 5% per capita: 5%

    2001

    Scott Wallsten

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    Hermitopiapopulation: 20

    Grphaus Republicpopulation: 20

    2001 penetration rateshousehold: 5% household: 25%per capita: 5% per capita: 5%

    2007 penetration rateshousehold: 50% household: 100%per capita: 50% per capita: 20%

    2007

    Scott Wallsten

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    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    r a n

    k

    year

    Effect of Household Size on Broadband Per Cap Rank

    Korea

    Sweden

    Canada

    Denmark

    Belgium

    Netherlands

    Austria

    United States

    Iceland

    JapanScott Wallsten

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    Speedsconsider actual, not advertised

    Scott Wallsten

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    0

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    M b p s

    Average Tested Download Speeds2007 - 2008

    Source: Speedtest.net. Scott Wallsten

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    0.0

    1.0

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    Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07

    M

    b p s

    m i l l i o n s o

    f c o n n e c

    t i o n s

    U.S. Broadband Speeds

    >=200Kbps in only one direction 200Kbps - 2.5 Mbps 2.5-10Mbps

    10-25 Mbps 25-100 Mbps >100 Mbps

    Weighted average speed (right axis)

    Source: FCC (2008). Scott Wallsten

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    p e r c e n

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    Share of U.S. Households with Broadband, October 2007

    All U.S. Urban Rural

    Source: U.S. Census (2007). Scott Wallsten

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    A National Broadband Policy

    ! Make more spectrum available.

    ! Study existing programs.

    ! U.S. Census should continue to gather annual data.

    ! Gather better data on business broadband.

    ! Require cost-benefit analysis of any proposal.

    ! Focus on removing potential entry barriers.

    Scott Wallsten

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    Conclusion

    Relax. Were fine.

    Scott Wallsten