playing keep-away: the state of texas and dallas county children & our revenue crisis
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Playing Keep-Away: The State of Texas and Dallas County Children & Our Revenue Crisis. Frances Deviney, Ph.D. Texas Kids Count Director Center for Public Policy Priorities May 13, 2011. Special Thanks To Our Sponsors. M.R. and Evelyn Hudson Foundation & The Annie E. Casey Foundation. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Playing Keep-Away:
The State of Texas and Dallas County Children & Our Revenue
CrisisFrances Deviney, Ph.D.
Texas Kids Count DirectorCenter for Public Policy Priorities
May 13, 2011
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Special ThanksTo Our Sponsors
M.R. and Evelyn Hudson Foundation
&
The Annie E. Casey Foundation
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www.stateoftexaschildren.org
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www.tkcmobile.org
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Let’s explore the Texas Century from Let’s explore the Texas Century from the perspective Texas’ childrenthe perspective Texas’ children
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74 Million Children in the U.S.That’s nearly 1.9 MILLION more than in 2000
Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data
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HALF (or 979,000) of that growth occurred in Texas
Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data
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23 states have fewer kids now than in 2000
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Texas’ child population added nearly ONE MILLION Kids
6.9 M
Source: 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau
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Although Texas’ child pop grew overall, 144 counties lost kids
Source: CPPP analysis of 2000 SF3 data and 2010 redistricting data from the U.S. Census Bureau
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Source: 2010 Decennial Census data, Redistricting Data, U.S. Census Bureau
One of every 10 Texas kids is from Dallas Co. Dallas County grew by 35K kids to 654K
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In 2000, Dallas County’s White and Hispanic child populations were fairly close in size
Source: Summary File 3, 2000 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau
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By 2010, the White child population declined in both Dallas and Tarrant Counties
Source: CPPP analysis of redistricting data, 2010 Decennial Census, U.S. Census Bureau
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The vast majority of Dallas Co. kids are U.S. citizens
Source: Table B05003, 2007-2009 American Community Survey 3-year estimates, Census Bureau
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Dallas Co. child poverty climbed steadily throughout decade
Recession began in Sept 2008
Source: 2000 through 2009 Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau
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Dallas Co.’s Black & Hispanic children 4x more likely to live in poverty than White children
Source: 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau
4x 4x
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Thrive
Grow
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Births to Dallas Co. teens declining, but only for married teens
Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services
10.4%9.2%
4.5%
Births to Married Teens
Births to Unmarried Teens
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More babies born too early . . .
Dallas County
U.S.
Texas
Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services
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. . . and too small
Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services
Babies born weighing less than 5.5 lbs
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One of Every Four Texas Preschoolers Not Read to Regularly
Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health from Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center
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Over half of Texas’ 4 year-olds attend Public Pre-K
192,
594
Source: Texas Education Agency18
,787
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Nearly three-quarters of Dallas County’s students are economically disadvantaged
Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports
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Since recession, nearly 38,000 more economically disadvantaged students in Dallas
Co.
Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports
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Fewer Economically Disadvantaged Kids in Dallas Co. Pass the TAKS Tests
Source: Percent Students Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency
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How Many Economically Disadvantaged Kids Not Passing in
Dallas County?
• Reading = 45,000+• Math = 23,000+• Science = 17,800+• Social Studies = 3,300+• Writing = 3,200+
Source: Students Not Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency
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Dallas Co. Dropouts: Still Not Great, But Improving
Source: Attrition rate, Intercultural Development Research Association
Texas
Dallas Co.
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Dallas Co. Dropouts Nearly Twice as Likely to Live in Poverty as Graduates
Source: Table C17003, Adults 25+ yrs, 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau
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Nearly 5,600 Dallas County kids confirmed as abused or neglected in 2010
Source: Department of Family and Protective Services
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Dallas county kids in Foster Care decreased by 38 percent
Source: Rate of kids in foster care per 1,000 Children Ages 0-17, Department of Family and Protective Services
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DFPS making more relative care placements, fewer foster care placements
Source: Annual Data Books, Texas Department of Family and Protective Services
Foster Care Relative
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Percentage of kids in excellent/very good health varies by . . .
Geography: TX = 78%, U.S. = 84%
Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health
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Texas Has Highest Rate of Uninsured Children in the Nation Eleven Years Running
Source: Kids 0-18, KIDS COUNT State-Level Data Online, Annie E. Casey Foundation
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Reduction in uninsured Texas kids leaves middle class behind
23%
Source: CPPP analysis of 3-year average data, children ages 0-18, Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau
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Texas Century for childrenTexas Century for children
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We do big things
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Sustained & balanced investment is the key to
healthy child development and Texas’
future prosperity.
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Only one dime of every federal dollar is spent on kids
Source: Children’s Budget 2010, First Focus
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Combined State & Federal Funds Spent on Children in 2010-11 = $80.5 Billion
3%
1%
3%
4%
Source: Texas Children’s Budget for 2010-11, CPPP
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Children’s Spending
41%
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Per Capita Spending by State
Children’s Spending
41%
Children’s Spending in Other States
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?
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It’s not just the Recession!2006 school tax cut created a structural deficit
2008-2009Predicted Cost of Property Tax Reduction $14.2 BPredicted Amount of New Revenue $ 8.3 BPredicted Shortfall $ 5.9 B
2012-13Minimum Cost of Property Tax Reduction $14.2 BForecast of New Revenue $ 4.5 BLikely Shortfall $ 9.7 B
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Proposed Texas House budget would lead to $10.4 BILLION less for children
Source: Proposed Texas Children’s Budget for 2012-13, CPPP
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Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11
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Proposed cutsProposed cutsProvider rate cuts in Medicaid and
CHIP
Initiative to improve rural
health care
Community Mental Health services
Pre-K grantsState and
community mental health
hospitals
Newborn health
screenings
Child abuse, neglect, and delinquency prevention
Children with special health care needs
Early Childhood Intervention
Foundation School Program
Community-based obesity prevention
Family Planning ServicesCommunities in
Schools program
Middle school PE grants School bus seat belt
grants
Financial support for Family Based
Services for abused kids
Financial support for kids adopted
out of Foster Care
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Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11
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“Cutting the budget” really means
Firing teachers & increasing class sizes
Limiting access to health care
Putting children in harm’s way
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We know we can do big things.
It’s time to do the right thing.
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TEXAS KIDS COUNT
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CPPP ResourcesCPPP Resources• Research: www.cppp.org • Online data: www.stateoftexaschildren.org• Mobile data: www.tkcmobile.org• Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/#!/bettertexas • YouTube:
http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo • Twitter: CPPP_TX