pakistan current crop scenario & future...

Pakistan – Current Crop Scenario

& Future Opportunities Abdul Nasir, Marketing Manager Ali Akbar Group

Pakistan : Economy Agriculture Base

• 21.185 Million Hectares 27.48 % of Total Land Arable land

• GDP : 20.9% • Source of Livelihood:

43.48% of Rural Population

Agriculture Contribution

Growth % : Agriculture Sector

Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !

Cotton (3.0 Million HA) – Crop Scenario

Production : 9.7 million bales – 1383 kg/HA

Crop – Delayed Sowing 10-15 day

Less off Take of Fertilizers – 46 % less June, July

Heavy Rains – September Rain Damaged crops

Ever Lowest Production – last 15 years

34% Lower Production vs 2014

Less Injection of Cash flows – 1.264 billion US$


Cotton (3.0 Million HA) – Pest Scenario

Whitefly remained the top pest throughout crop season

Thrips, Jassid, dusky bug (Oxycarenus laetus), key pests

Pink bollworm was a serious issue

Cost of Protection:

2015: 160 Million US$ - 130 $ / HA

2014: 190 Million US $ - 156 $ / HA

Market Stocks Carry forwards


Rice (2.9 Million HA) - Crop Scenario Production: 7.0 Million Tons – 2,423 kg / HA

Basmati & Fine Rice – Good yields ; Farmers

made losses due to 30% Less prices over 2014

Less Cash Flow injection – 544 million US$

Course Rice – Good Yields & Better prices

Huge stocks of Rice - Investor, Stockiest &

Exporters Stuck due to less price and less Export

orders


Rice (2.9 Million HA) - Pest Scenario Weeds – Broad , Narrow leaf & Sedges Borers – Shoot borers, Leaf Roller Sucking – Plant hopper, Diseases - Blast & Blight

Cost of Protection:

2015: 49 Million US$ - 53 $ / HA

2014: 74 Million US $ - 81 $ / HA

Huge Carry Over in Market


Maize ( 1.12 Million HA) – Crop Scenario

Production: 4.69 Million Tons – 4155 kg/HA

Spring Crop:

Huge carry over of maize seed – Untimely Rains Disturbed Sowing

Rains at Maturity Disturbed Quality – Ever lowest Rates

Autumn Crop:

Good Crop with – Ever highest Rates

Farmers motivated


Maize ( 1.12 Million HA) – Pest Scenario

Weeds – Broad & Narrow leaf

Shoot fly, Corn Borers, Spodoptera, American Worm are key pest

Cost of Protection:

2015: 29 Million US$ - 63 $ / HA

2014: 32 Million US $ - 71 $ / HA


Sugarcane (1.18 Million HA) – Crop Scenario

Production: 67 Million Tons – 57,511 kg/HA

Good Yields & Rates of produce

Cost benefit Ratio is good

Farmers Aggressive


Sugarcane (1.18Million HA) – Pest Scenario


Root, Shoot & Top borers

Pyrella, black bug, Whitefly

Diseases

Cost of Protection:

2015: 43 Million US$ - 90 $ / HA

2014: 25 Million US $ - 55 $ / HA


Wheat (9.18 Million HA) – Crop Scenario

Production: 26 Million Tons – 2775 kg/HA

Farmers aggressive in wheat sowing for 2015-16 crop

Area increased by 2-3%

Farmers got good cost & benefit Ratio


Wheat (9.18Million HA) – Pest Scenario


Herbicide use Rate gone up from 35% - 55% from last five years.

Aphid & Rust key pest

Cost of Protection:

2015: 60 Million US$ - 16 $ / HA

2014: 64 Million US $ - 17 $ / HA

Future Opportunities – CP Market 2016

All Over : Herbicides & Fungicides increasing use rate trend

Cotton : Area almost Same

Whitefly & Pink bollworms could be the key area

Sugarcane: Herbicide; Sucking pests Business

Wheat: Herbicide Business for Broad & Narrow one shot

Current Use Rate – CP Market 2016

Future Opportunities - 2016

Seed Business: 740 Million US$

Current : 222 US$ supplies by Companies

Rice ; Maize ; Vegetables; are good pace

Rice: Area for Hybrid Rice Go up by 5-6%

Fertilizers NPK Combinations - another growing opportunity

Bio-Pesticides

Pakistan – Current Crop Scenario

& Future Opportunities Abdul Nasir, Marketing Manager Ali Akbar Group

pakistan current crop scenario & future...

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