Manila Bay areaManila

Bay area LPPCHEA is LPPCHEA is

located along the located along the Las Piñas-Las Piñas-Parañaque Parañaque coastal area and coastal area and part of the Manila part of the Manila Bay.Bay.

Brief profileBrief profile

The first that was Proclaimed as such in the Philippines through PPs 1412 &1412-A on April 22, 2007 & Jan. 31, 2008

Brief Brief profileprofile

It is approximately 175 hectares consisting of two (2) islands with mangrove, beach and mudflats

Home to 52 species of migratory and

resident birds and 8 mangroves species.

Local Climate Trends & Local Climate Trends & ProjectionsProjections

Rainfall (ave.): 2,042mm or 80.39inches

Temperature:Ave. low:23˚C Ave. high:28˚C

PAG-ASA projected increase in temperature by 2020: 1˚C

Rainfall: -33.3%

PRESENT TRENDS:

PAG-ASA projected increase in temperatureby 2050: 2˚C

Rainfall: -38.5%

Projected Sea Level Rise In Asia:9-88cm/year for the next 100 years

Systemof InterestSystemof Interest Current Sensitivity to Current Sensitivity to Climate VariabilityClimate Variability

Current Adaptive CapacityCurrent Adaptive Capacity

1.1. Mangrove EcosystemMangrove Ecosystem •Dominated by Dominated by Bungalon Bungalon ((Avicennia marinaAvicennia marina)) resilient to sea resilient to sea level riselevel rise

•30hectares30hectares•Most dense w/in Most dense w/in Manila BayManila Bay•Enrichment of the Enrichment of the areaarea

2. Inter-tidal flats 2. Inter-tidal flats (mudflats)(mudflats)

•Feeding grounds for 52 Feeding grounds for 52 species (migratory and species (migratory and local/ residents) and local/ residents) and sensitive to high and low sensitive to high and low tidetide

•114hectares114hectares•ReclamationReclamation•Threatened by Threatened by pollution(high heavypollution(high heavy metals)metals)

3. Beach3. Beach •Sea level rise & Sea level rise & storm surgesstorm surges

•Livelihood and Livelihood and recreationrecreation•ExploitationExploitation•Solid waste Solid waste (deposited during (deposited during high tide)high tide)

Vulnerability Assessment Vulnerability Assessment

System of System of InterestInterest

Current Sensitivity to Current Sensitivity to Climate VariabilityClimate Variability

Current Adaptive CapacityCurrent Adaptive Capacity

4. Avifauna4. Avifauna •Sensitive to high Sensitive to high and low tideand low tide

•Sea level rise Sea level rise

•52 spp. for 52 spp. for recreation, leisure recreation, leisure and pleasureand pleasure

•Controlling entrance Controlling entrance of visitorsof visitors

•Disturbance from Disturbance from visitorsvisitors

5. Business sector5. Business sector •Flooding in Flooding in surrounding areassurrounding areas

•Sea level rise &Sea level rise & storm surges storm surges

•Business Business opportunitiesopportunities as ecotourism siteas ecotourism site

6. LGUs6. LGUs •Sea level rise &Sea level rise & storm surgesstorm surges

•Demand for socialDemand for social servicesservices

7. Informal7. Informal SettlersSettlers

•Limited livelihood Limited livelihood opportunitiesopportunities

•Lack of livelihood Lack of livelihood

Vulnerability Assessment Vulnerability Assessment

Adaptation MeasuresAdaptation MeasuresSystem of System of InterestInterest

Potential Potential Climate Change Climate Change

vulnerabilities & need for vulnerabilities & need for actionaction

Adaptation Adaptation optionsoptions

Relevant Actors and Relevant Actors and StakeholdersStakeholders

MangroveMangroveEcosystemEcosystem

Loss of nesting & Loss of nesting & roosting areas for roosting areas for avifauna & nursery avifauna & nursery grounds for marine grounds for marine organismsorganisms

•Plant other sea Plant other sea level rise level rise resilient resilient mangrove mangrove speciesspecies

•Management Management CouncilCouncil•PMO(DENR-PMO(DENR- NCR)NCR)•Other Other PartnersPartners

•AcademeAcademe•BusinessBusiness•NGOsNGOs

MudflatsMudflats Loss of feeding grounds Loss of feeding grounds for avifauna & habitats for avifauna & habitats for marine organismsfor marine organisms

•Maintain Maintain existing mudflat existing mudflat areasareas

•Management Management CouncilCouncil•PMO(DENR-PMO(DENR- NCR)NCR)

BeachBeach Loss of recrea-tional Loss of recrea-tional areaarea

Loss of LivelihoodLoss of Livelihood Loss of feeding ground Loss of feeding ground

for avifaunafor avifauna

•Maintain the Maintain the area and plant area and plant beach type tree beach type tree spp. spp.

•Management Management CouncilCouncil•PMO (DENR-PMO (DENR- NCR)NCR)

Adaptation MeasuresAdaptation Measures

System of System of InterestInterest

Potential Potential Climate Change Climate Change

vulnerabilities & need for vulnerabilities & need for actionaction

Adaptation Adaptation optionsoptions

Relevant Actors and Relevant Actors and StakeholdersStakeholders

Business SectorBusiness Sector Loss of livelihoodLoss of livelihood •Provide Provide alternative alternative optionsoptions

•Business Business SectorSector

•Management Management CouncilCouncil

•PMO(DENR-PMO(DENR- NCR)NCR)

Informal Informal settlerssettlers

Loss of LivelihoodLoss of Livelihood •Provide Provide alternative alternative optionsoptions

•Business Business SectorSector

•LGUsLGUs

•CouncilCouncil

•PMO (DENR-PMO (DENR- NCR)NCR)

PhilippinesPhilippines

NCRNCR

LPPCHEALPPCHEA

Climate StimuliClimate Stimuli

Exposure UnitExposure Unit Direct ImpactDirect Impact

Indirect ImpactIndirect Impact

SocietySociety

Adaptation Measures Adaptation Measures & Indicators& Indicators

Vulnerability AssessmentVulnerability Assessment

No adaptation scenario baseline

Adaptation Measures selected

How does the measure link with the overall aim of the Mgt. Plan?

Possible Indicators Source of data, means and schedule of collection

ReclamationReclamation Alliances with Alliances with concerned concerned stakeholders stakeholders (PRA, (PRA, Business Business Sector, NGOs, Sector, NGOs, NGAs, etc.NGAs, etc.

IECIEC

Sustain the Sustain the ecological ecological integrity integrity of the area as a of the area as a wildlife habitat wildlife habitat and and ecotourism ecotourism destinationdestination

Extent of area Extent of area affectedaffected

Improved Improved vegetation vegetation (has.)(has.)

Prepared/Prepared/ implemented implemented zoning planzoning plan

Increase/Increase/ decrease in decrease in avifauna avifauna populationpopulation

DENR-NCR, DENR-NCR, Management Management Council, Council, NAMRIANAMRIA

Monitoring Monitoring reportsreports

InundationInundation Plant Plant appropriate appropriate mangrove and mangrove and beach beach type speciorkestype speciorkes

Island stabilityIsland stability

Enhance Enhance biodiversitybiodiversity

Inundated areas Inundated areas minimized minimized (has)(has)

Area planted Area planted (has)(has)

Number of Number of seedlings/seedlings/ saplings saplings plantedplanted

DENR-NCR, DENR-NCR, Management Management CouncilCouncil

Monitoring Monitoring reportsreports

M&E FrameworkM&E Framework

No adaptation scenario baseline

Adaptation Measures selected

How does the measure link with the overall aim of the Mgt. Plan?

Possible Indicators Source of data, means and schedule of collection

Loss of livelihoodLoss of livelihood Training of Training of fisherfolks on fisherfolks on livelihood livelihood optionsoptions

Increase incomeIncrease income

Reduce of Reduce of dependency on dependency on coastal & marine coastal & marine resources for resources for livelihoodlivelihood

Number of Number of trainings trainings conductedconducted

Number of Number of fisherfolks fisherfolks trainedtrained

Number of Number of enterprise enterprise establishedestablished

DENR-NCR, DENR-NCR, Management Management Council, LGUs, Council, LGUs, TESDATESDA

Monitoring Monitoring reportsreports

DatabaseDatabase

Loss of business Loss of business opportunitiesopportunities

Development Development of of policy on policy on ecotourism-ecotourism- related related business business establishment establishment along the along the periphery of periphery of LPPCHEALPPCHEA

Strengthen the Strengthen the public-private public-private partnershippartnership

Increase Increase incomeincome

Policy Policy developeddeveloped

Number of Number of enterprise enterprise establishedestablished

DENR-NCR, DENR-NCR, Management Management Council, LGUs, Council, LGUs, Business Business sectorsector

Monitoring Monitoring reportsreports

M&E FrameworkM&E Framework

ConclusionConclusion