module 8_drr cca mainstreaming 1

7/29/2019 Module 8_DRR CCA Mainstreaming 1

1/21

VisionPlanning Environment

Income &

Services

Population

Development Issues, Goals, Objectives

Strategies and PPAs

Land Use and Physical Framework

Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport


2/21

PHYSICAL RESOURCES

Approach and summary: Describe physical characteristics and land use

potentials and constraints. Identifying potentials and constraints can

help define the supply of land and water resources available forfuture growth and development. This can be done by considering

what is: (a) legally mandated (land classification), (b) physically

appropriate (land suitability), and (c) physically inappropriate (areas

for protection).


Income &

Services

Population

Devt Issues, Goals, Objectives

Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport`

Objective: To describe land and

water resources of the province.

3.1 Describe the general characteristics of the provinces

land and water resources.

3.2 Describe land use potentials and constraints

3.2.1 Land classification

3.2.2 Land suitability

3.2.3 Protection areas

Hazard prone areas /

Environmentallyconstrained areas


3/21

POPULATION &

SETTLEMENTS


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport

Objective: To describe basicdemographic characteristics and

settlement patterns

Approach:

2.1 Regional and nationalcontext: population size,

density, growth rate

2.2 Demographic characteristics

of the province: populationsize, density, growth rate;

spatial distribution

2.3 Existing settlement pattern

2.4 Summary & overall trends

Population

size

Land area

Base map

Local

knowledge,

history,

theory

Density

Growth rate

Density

maps

APGR

maps

Settlement

hierarchy

Inputs requirements

Vulnerability Analysis


4/21

ECONOMY

Objective: To describe

and understand theeconomic base,

sectors and

industries that drive

the provincialeconomy, the

potentials and other

opportunities for

economic growth,

including localfactors that need to

be mobilized in

order to realize

such growth.


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport

Three step approach:4.1 Describe structure of local

economy

4.2 Identify priority industries or

industry clusters that have the

best potentials to contribute to

local economic growth

4.3 Identify local factors that can

enhance the growth potentials

of identified industries.


5/21

ECONOMY

Three Step Approach

2 Local Economic Growth

Potentials

Export Base / Local Market

Local employment

Competitiveness/market share

3 Local Factors

Physical resources

Human resources

Knowledge resourcesCapital

Infrastructure

Legal and regulatory

1Economic Structure

External context

Distribution (concentration/specialization)

Basic sectors/industries

2 Local Economic Growth

PotentialsExport Base / Local Market

Local employment

Competitiveness/market share

Priority industries

3 Local Factors

Physical resources

Human resources

Knowledge resourcesCapital

Infrastructure


3 Local Factors

Physical resources

Human resources

Knowledge resources

Capital

Infrastructure


Strategies

Programs

Projects

Activities



6/21

TRANSPORT/ACCESS

Objective: To describe access routes

and facilities in the province, and to

indicate how these relate to thelocation of urban centers and other

settlements, the land and water

resources of the province, and

production activities.


Income &

Services

Population

Development Issues, Goals,

Objectives

Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic

Activity

Physical

Resources/

Transport

For planning purposes, transport considerations should always be integral part of analyses

involving population, activities and resources. Detailed considerations for transportation aretherefore discussed in individual sectoral analyses.

Approach and summary: Transportation is a key support

element to the interaction among population, economic

and other social activities, and other resources of the

province. In many cases, strategies involvingtransportation projects provide important opportunities for

enabling and catalyzing development.

5.1 External linkages 5.2 Internal circulation



7/21

INCOME AND SERVICES

Objective: To describe income

and employment characteristics

of the population, level andextent of access to basic

services, and extent of poverty


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

Transport

Approach and summary: Economic growth or the lack of it directlyaffects employment and income. This affects expenditures and

the ability to access goods and services. If income is low, access

to goods and services may be limited to the point that basic

needs are not met, resulting in poverty. Poverty, in turn, affects

the quality of production inputs and eventually economic growthitself. Following this cycle, this section will describe:

6.1 Employment and unemployment rates.

6.2 Family incomes levels.

6.3 The levels and extent of services.

6.4 The levels and characteristics of poverty in the province.



8/21


9/21

1.20 million people affected by

eruption and subsequentlahars

200,000 people entered

evacuation centers (ECs)

In May 1993, 72,335 were still residing in 54 ECs 38,000 others had relocated in official settlement sites

Policy makers and planners focus on 70-100T

individuals

those who remain dependent on aid in

evacuation centers

those in insecure resettlements

those in 21 municipalities identified as high risk

from lahars over the next 5-8 years

1991 Pinatubo Eruption

(facts and figures)


10/21

... severe climate

impacts in the

Philippines arebound to hit areas

with high poverty

incidence, whileaggravating hunger

and water issues,

displacement

concerns, healthrisks and livelihood

insecurity.Source: Climate Change and the Poor

RDC AREX Chronicle4th Quarter 2009 (Volume 11, No. 4)


11/21

NEDA Board SDC

Res. No. 1, S 2009

Adopting UNSIAP

Methodology inTracking MDG

Progress

Areas whereMDG targets

have low

probability of

being attained

are more

vulnerable to

negative

impacts of

disasters


12/21

LAND USE/

PHYSICAL FRAMEWORK

Approach and summary: While spatial characteristics of

each sector are discussed as integral parts of sectoralanalyses, this section integrates them into a common

physical setting to provide a fuller picture of the way land

and other physical resources are being utilized in the

province and to guide future developments.7.1 Existing land use, trends

7.1.1 Existing land use 7.1.2 Trends

7.2 Physical framework7.2.1 Demand 7.2.3 Demand & supply integration

7.2.2 Supply 7.2.4 Physical framework


Income &

Services

Population


Strategies and PPAs


Investment

Program

Economic Activity

Physical Resources/

TransportObjective: To describe existing

land uses in the province andto identify a framework for

future physical development.


13/21

LAND USE/PHYSICAL FRAMEWORK

Initial

Settlements

Growth

Existing

SettlementsHierarchy/Trends

2.3, 2.4

ExistingLand Use7.1

Overall Physical Framework

Settlements

Framework

Protection

Framework

Production

Framework

Transport/InfrastructureFramework

ExistingTransport/

Infrastructure5.1, 5.2

ExistingServices/Poverty6.3, 6.4

ExistingProduction

4.4

Protection

Areas

3.2

A

C

B

DEMAND

SUPPLY

Initial

Settlements &

Protection

(Note: The numbers in the boxes indicate the relevant sections in the Guidebook.)

`

Environmentally

Constrained

Areas

Vulnerability Analysis`


14/21

Ascertaining Risk Issues : Analysis of the risk

impact to land use and physical framework

Objectives: to enhance the relevance and significance of

the identified risk issues and concerns to the planned

development of the region/province

Output: an enhanced/revised land use and physical

planning framework

Process: from the high risk areas and vulnerabilitiesderived from risk evaluation, analyze how these

might affect the land use and physical framework


15/21

Hazard

Risk EvaluationImplications

Risk Estimates andHigh Risk Areas Vulnerabilities *

SingleorMulti-

hazard

Number in terms offatalities anddamages to property

Ranking andprioritization ofareas at risk

Example:

Urban centre is

located in highrisk area

Poor conditionsof roads and

bridges

What are the implicationsto the LU & physicalframework? (e.g. ID of

alternate urban centre,corresponding economicactivities)ID of alternate transportroutes or maintain present

routes but rehabilitate orimprove them

* see Chapter4 on the ID of risk and vulnerability factors,

Annex7 on the characteristics of resilience

Analysis of Risk Evaluation Results and Implications


16/21

Ascertaining Risk Issues and Concerns

Ri k f D t P t f R i I d d L d lid /Fl di (Ph /Y )


17/21

Risk of Damage to Property from Rain Induced Landslide/Flooding (Php/Year)

Location Flooding Rank Rain InducedLandslide

Rank

ALegria 1.141.23 12 1,164,190.4816 1

Bacuag 6,145,831.22 3 6,113.472 8

Claver* 6,566,404.81 2 50,648.769 6

Gigaquit 2,876,142.92 5 357.806 10

Mainit* 1,335,130.15 9 195,416.9665 5

Malimono 1,005,193.59 10 35,204.4793 7

Placer* 928,771.83 11 30,951.5859 8

San Francisco 1,538,424.67 8 1,763.4223 9

Sison 2,541,000.45 6 781,085.1791 4

Surigao City* 13,920,356.00 1 1,075,225.908 2

Taganaan 3,348,581.95 4 731,179.2074 5

Tubod 2,260,793.21 7 803,034.2686 3


18/21

Implications of identified risks & vulnerabilities

1. Potential to fatalities & damages to property in high risk

areas

2. Low agricultural productivity in areas vulnerable to flood

hazard.

3. Decrease of economic opportunities due to adverse effect

of hazards in mining areas.

4. Vulnerability of development and possible decrease of job

opportunities in tourism related investments.

5. Vulnerability of critical infrastructure support e.gtransportation facilities, life line facilities and others.

6. May increase poverty incidence due to adverse impact

of natural phenomenon to economic activities of the

people.


19/21

Acceptability and Non-Acceptability

of Risk Identified

1 Fatality in every 100,000 population in a year is atolerable acceptable event for a natural

phenomenon in the province.

Flooding in the main business center, Surigao Cityis not acceptable.

Flooding in agricultural areas are acceptable to a

certain number hours tolerable for crops to

withstand.

One day inaccessibility to the main service center

maybe accepted


20/21

Planning Considerations

Test validity of key strategies

given the risks identified:

key settlements shall havemajor urban functions and

roles dispersal of socio-

economic activities to

identified growth nodes

emergence of new cities &

urban areasProvide extra incentives to

investments locating in

preferred areas for

agriculture, industrial and

tourism

Strengthen backward &

forward linkages thru efficient

physical & economic access

between raw material source

& processing areas and

production & market access

PROVINCE

Affected

Area (Sq

Km)

ILOCOS NORTE 9.9758

ILOCOS SUR 18.0138

LA UNION 18.2947

PANGASINAN 28.4991TOTAL 74.7834

Highly Susceptible Areas
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21/21

Analysis of Risk Evaluation Resultsand Implications

Discussion of Cases 1-4shown in pages 125 -132 of the

Guidelines

module 8_drr cca mainstreaming 1

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