lssf economic impact on electrical power generation report by: s. clayton palmer clark d. burbidge...
TRANSCRIPT
LSSF Economic Impact on Electrical Power Generation
Report by:
S. Clayton Palmer
Clark D. Burbidge Western Area Power Administration
Upcoming Modeling Events
• Stakeholder Review of Modeling Methods. – May 2nd and 3rd– Salt Lake City, Marriott City Center
• Seminar on CRSP Power Models. – July– Chicago, Argonne National Laboratories
Glen Canyon Test Releases
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
3/25/00 4/25/00 5/25/00 6/25/00 7/25/00 8/25/00 9/25/00
1,0
00 c
fs
The Colorado River Storage Project
Transmission Grid
Hydro LP• Simulates water release for generation to meet
customer load
• Maximizes revenues and minimizes costs
• Uses available water, market price, customer load, and unit environmental and operating constraints
• Used to analyze impacts of proposed constraints
• Forecasts available resources
Base Case Assumptions
• USBR No Test Monthly Water Estimates
• Glen Canyon Record of Decision
• Normal Operations at other CRSP Units
• CRSP Customer Pre-Schedule Demand
• Average Hourly Purchase Prices
Test Case Assumptions
• Actual Monthly Volume
• Actual Hourly Release Pattern
• Base Case Load
• Base Case Prices
• Base Case Operating Constraints
Comparison of Water Releases
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,00
0 A
F
Test 1,051 1,060 1,009 805 649 648 907 1,130 474 493 495 656 606 803 826
No Test 1,051 1,060 1,009 805 649 650 625 600 600 750 850 690 600 750 923
OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
Total Generation Total No Test Generation Load
May: Total CRSP Generation
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
Total Generation Total No Test Generation Load
August: Total CRSP Generation
Results: Total $’s by Month
Month Net of Test and
No TestApril $3,854,848.39May $7,210,218.91June ($1,458,815.02)July ($8,210,859.01)August ($21,430,628.83)September ($2,474,411.73)October $174,306.63November $106,513.89December $1,030,591.18
Total ($21,564,523.05)
Questions?
• Clayton Palmer
– (801) 524-3522
• Clark Burbidge
– (801) 524-3582