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    Family name Given name Student number Student signature Date

    Ninan Hamish s3171304 31-10-2012

    Thi Hein Le s309483631-10-2012

    Shah Rohit Dayal s331780531-10-2012

    Jose Sunny s334103331-10-2012

    Yuan Yachun s319512331-10-2012

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    Implications of International Logistics on

    Climate Change and Sustainability

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    Abstract

    This paper concentrates on the role of freight and transportation systems, which has been playing an

    increasing role in globalization. As we know today that the world has shrunk due to Globalization has

    reduced the distances around world as better freight systems have changed the necessities of thepopulation. A decade ago Duncan and Youngquist (1999) had expressed concerns over long-term

    damage to the planet done by the logistics industry. Transport and logistics is one of the complex

    factors that has been most researched for its effects on our environment and the role it plays in climate

    change. This paper reports a study of pollutant impacts from cargo transport sources on the

    environment. Our goal is to identify trends that have negatively influenced transport sector

    sustainability i.e., fundamental changes in demand for transporting goods and suggest areas that

    require informed decision making to reduce the impact of this sector on the environment with a

    particular emphasis on the impact of climate change on logistics infrastructure that would have a

    bearing on how the industry reacts to the climate change phenomenon. We have also discussed about

    strategic policies adopted to reduce the affects of transportation on the environment. We haveconcluded with challenges and suggestions that could increase sustainability of this sector by

    providing information of their influence on future environmental outcomes.

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    Contents

    Abstract ............................................................................................................................................ 3

    Climate Change and Global Warming................................................................................................. 5

    How Logistics affects Climate ............................................................................................................ 5

    How Climate Change Impacts Logistics Infrastructure ........................................................................ 6

    The Environmental Effects of Freight Modes ..................................................................................... 7

    Shipping ........................................................................................................................................ 8

    Airfreight ....................................................................................................................................... 8

    Land freight or Trucking ................................................................................................................. 9

    Railways ........................................................................................................................................ 9

    Pipelines ........................................................................................................................................ 9

    Policies and Regulations .................................................................................................................. 10

    Sustainability in International Logistics and other Solutions ............................................................. 11

    Macro Domain ............................................................................................................................. 12

    Vehicle technologies ................................................................................................................ 12

    High-speed rail......................................................................................................................... 12

    Alternative Fuels ...................................................................................................................... 12

    Micro Domain .............................................................................................................................. 13

    Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................... 13

    Reference ........................................................................................................................................ 14

    Appendix ......................................................................................................................................... 15

    Journal Articles Review ............................................................................................................... 15

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    Climate Change and Global Warming

    The Green Trends Survey has identified Climate Change as the most serious issue facing the

    world at this point (Figure 1).Al Gore through his documentary The inconvenient Truth has

    presented the stark reality of climate change and its effects on global warming leading to

    changes in our environment. He has discussed the consequences of climate change which

    could result in melting of ice sheet in Greenland that could increase the sea level by upto20

    which would have disastrous consequences. Global warming could lead to droughts, floods,

    climate extremes and hence leading to threatening theexistence of several animal species

    (Gian-Reto, 2002). IPCC (2007) through their research on continents for over 50 years,

    concluded that global warming was due to increased Green House Gas (GHG) concentrations.

    Considering the world economic growth of 2.5%, the world would emit more than hundred

    million tons of CO2.

    Figure 1: Rankings of the problems in the world (McKinnon, 2010)

    How Logistics affects Climate

    Logistics accounts for approximately 9% of global GDP and this share is higher indeveloping countries due to infrastructure constraints. This in turn is a significant driver ofwealth creation, employment generation and economic growth (Logistics Today,2010).According to Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2007), the logisticsindustry accounts for 13.1% of GHG emissions around the world (Figure 2). The logisticsindustry is accountable for approximately 2.8 m metric tons of GHG emissions annuallywhich represent 5.5 % of total GHG emissions (The World Economic Forum, 2009). Asshown in figure 4, road transport accounts for 60% of CO2-equivalent emissions with 1,500megatons. In terms of emissions per ton kilometre, air transport is most carbon intensivemode while rail and ocean are most carbon efficient. In future, the logistics sector is expectedto grow at a rapid pace thus increasing the energy consumption and further escalating the

    GHG emissions.

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    Due to increased consciousness about climate change and governments proactive regulations,

    in future the success of business would be linked to its sustainable logistics practices. Forinstance, Deutsche Post DHL have aimed to reduce its carbon emissions by 30% by 2020which would also lead to reduction in operating costs by implementing improvedtechnologies or other specialised market ready solutions.

    Figure 2: GHG Emissions in different sectors (IPCC, 2007)

    How Climate Change Impacts Logistics Infrastructure

    Climate change can impact logistics infrastructure physically and economically. Climatechange will increase the temperature which in turn would lead to, intense and longerheatwaves, increased intensity and frequency of rainfall which could lead to flooding,increased sea levels and salt water invasion in the coastal area leading to disruption in theinfrastructure. If we consider Australia according to department of climate change and energyefficiency (DCCEE) Australia has 1,200 to 1,500 km of rail lines which are at potential risk

    of inundation. There are risks of seawater encroaching land area (prediction of 2100) whichcan cause damages of around $4.9-$6.4 billion (value replaced with year 2008). In the sameway, shoreline recession and inundation can affect 26,000-33,000 km of road infrastructurewhich has the potential to cause damage of around $46-$60 billion (value replaced with year2008). The report also identified the risk of cascade failure, which is the risk of failure ofone sector that could lead to failure of other sectors (DCCEE, 2011).

    In Australia, 6% of greenhouse emissions are aggregated from the freight industry. TheAustralian Government is committed to reduce national emission of 5% below 2000 level by2020;The main approaches used by the government is implementing policies like carbon taxwhich was rolled out in July, 2012. These policies aimed at reducing environmental impacts,

    have indirectly impacted the economics of freight. This factor has potential of changing theinternal dynamics of land freight network and also impacts different freight modes.

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    Therefore to minimise climate change impacts on logistics, the transport industry needs to

    reduce carbon emissions, which can be managed by logistics carbon management system

    (Figure 3: Logistics carbon management).

    Figure 3: Logistics Carbon Management (Wang, 2012)

    Logistics industry is in a fix as they are forced to trade-off between cost, service levelsandemission and therefore need to choose warehouse type, shipment size, fuel option andtransportation mode very cautiously. To implement the management system, carbonassessment need to be done by using complex technology specifications as prescribed bytechnology standards such as IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories and GHGProtocol emissions from transport or mobile source. Thereafter, it can be implemented byspecified complex decision trees provided by the system (Wang, 2012).

    The Environmental Effects of Freight Modes

    Freight modes like shipping, Air, Trucking, Pipeline, Rail and other intermodal freight have

    varying environmental effects. That range from Pollution (Water, Air, and Noise), accidents,

    and habitat fragmentation etc. Moreover certain aspects are normally completely ignored as

    they do not have a direct impact on climate that we can measure for example disposal of

    dredged materials or introduction of foreign species caused mainly by shipping. Now let us

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    take a brief look at the main causes of pollution by different modes of transport (Duncan,

    1999).

    Shipping

    Shipping mainly threatens inland waterways and oceans. Water pollution is the main concern

    with shipping industry polluting water by discharging operating oil and ballast water into the

    water. There are instances of dumping non-biodegradable solid wastes in ocean. Accidental

    spills which are less common are again a major source of water pollution ships carrying

    dangerous cargo like oil and chemicals can severely affect the local environment. Even

    though ships are not a major source of air pollution they are still powered by ICE and run on

    cheaper heavy oil which releases a lot of toxins into the air. The maintenance and operations

    of inland terminals are another source of pollution even though they are not directly linked to

    ships (Duncan, 1999).

    AirfreightPresently cargo accounts for low volumes in airfreight. But the scenario is rapidly changing

    as companies are adopting new methodologies like Just in Time (JIT) to make their supply

    chains more responsive and agile. As we can see from figure 5 airfreight causes maximum

    emissions of CO2 Kg/ton-km (WEF, 2009).

    Figure 5: Carbon Intensity of various transport modes (WEF, 2009)

    They mainly effect the environment in three significant ways. Low altitude emissions which

    include nitrogen oxides, hydrocarbons etc. cause smog. High altitude flights emit

    significantly high amounts of GHG emissions further these emissions are more potent in the

    upper atmosphere. The third main problem is Airports are normally located in City areas that

    pollute noise and is a major nuisance for the people who live in the vicinity (Duncan, 1999

    and WEF, 2009).

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    Land freight or Trucking

    The impact of trucking has received a lot of attention. As we can see from figure 4 that trucksare the major contributor of GHG. And their share is increasing as they are the most

    convenient transport mode. The effects of trucking on congestion is major cities is also well

    documented. Trucks also cause a significant amount of amount of noise pollution (Duncan,

    1999 & WEF, 2009).

    Figure 4: GHG emissions in different Logistics modes (WEF, 2009)

    Railways

    Railways are normally known to be less damaging to the environment around it compared to

    Road and Air. Modern trains are powered by electricity or by diesel fired an electric

    generator which then uses electricity hence there is a substantial reduction in pollution. The

    noise pollution is also comparatively lower than trucking (Duncan, 1999).

    Pipelines

    They are primarily used to transport Natural gas and oil they pollute the least among all forms

    of transport. But accidents pose significant risks. They also cause some air pollution as the

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    goods moving through the pipelines are either compressed or pumped emit pollutants into the

    atmosphere (Duncan, 1999).

    Policies and Regulations

    In order to achieve long term environmental sustainability for international logistics,

    governments around the world and organisations have placed policies and regulations in

    place. Regulations and policies have been divided into three categories: Traditional

    regulatory instruments, Economic instruments and Infrastructure instruments as delineated

    in Figure 5. Individually they represent the stages for the international logistics

    environmental sustainability improvement. By having these policies in place , the aims are to

    reduce Green House Gas emissions, encourage alternative fuel research and adaption,

    research technologies for environmentally friendly solutions (McKinnon, Kreie, 2010).

    Figure 5: Various Policy instruments to improve GHG Emissions in Transport (McKinnon, Kreie, 2010)

    There have been policies implemented to reduce GHG emissions during logistics operations;

    they are the Traditional regulatory instruments. Policies and standards such as emission, fuel

    efficiency, vehicle access restrictions, lower emission zones and speed limits are

    implemented in nearly every country .However they are not unified standards or policies thatare applicable in every country .The current norm is that developed countries have much

    better traditional regulatory instruments, and developing countries are adopting these policies

    and standards at a much slower pace than their developed counterparts (McKinnon, Kreie,

    2010). Shanghai is a clear case of the traditional regulatory instruments, through the past few

    decades; Shanghai has become the economic capital of China supporting a populous of 200

    million people. International logistic operations demand increases exponentially every year.

    But government introduced strict traditional regulatory instruments to reduce the GHG

    emissions only a few years back due to the continuous decline in air quality due to increase in

    pollutants. Therefore, traditional regulatory instruments are the fundamental to achieve

    environmental sustainability for international logistics operations (Tu, 2010).

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    The second category of policies and regulations are the Economic instruments. This category

    closely related to current economic trends, environmental requirements, and can be adjusted

    according to the needs by the governments (Hodgkinson, 2011). The Economic instruments

    can be divided into Push and Pull policies; the Push polic ies are emission trading,

    carbon taxes, vehicle taxation and road charges. In recent years, especially in developedcountries Economic instruments have been perfected. These policies and regulations are

    adding additional expenses for companies that require logistics operations (Tu, 2010). As the

    result companies often seek alternative solutions for logistics operations to reduce expenses,

    in a way Push companies to contribute for environmental sustainability. Ideally, the funds

    collected from the Economic instruments are used to fund for R&D on environmental

    friendly technology and Green investment incentives, hence the Pull strategy. However

    there is not enough real financial support for environment friendly R&D. (McKinnon, Kreie,

    2010). Main cause is the current economic down turn which has led governments to

    prioritise use of funds, but in the near future this would be implemented (Hodgkinson, 2011).

    Infrastructure instruments are the last policyin the standards category. Different to the two

    categories above, this category is mainly implemented by a non-profit, government

    recognised organisation, the World Ports Climate Initiative (WPCI). This organisation

    involves fifty five key ports in the world, and was established in year 2008; their main aim is

    to replace current port equipment, and encourage using renewable energy for international

    logistics operations. Since establishment, four stages for infrastructure improvement have

    been established. Firstly assess the present condition of the ports, their emission levels and

    efficiency. Secondly, to commence improvement of equipment used by ports and replacing

    traditional energy with renewable energy sources .Third function is optimisation. i.e.,

    increasing the use of environmentally sustainable equipment and use of renewable energy for

    port operations. Then the ultimate goal is to neutralise all GHG emissions occurring during

    logistics operations at ports. The Infrastructure instruments cost are high and takes time to

    implement, but it is something that is worth working on. For example, the first project WPCI

    took on board is the Port of Japan. Theiraim was to replace equipment improve the port

    infrastructure to combat the potential increase in sea level and storms caused by climate

    change. This operation is estimated to cost more than 1 billion Euros and is estimated to be

    complete by the year 2058 (Hodgkinson, 2011).

    Sustainability in International Logistics and other Solutions

    Modern logistics solutions are not often environmentally friendly. Global companies are

    progressing towards building a more competitive environment. In order to increase

    operational effectiveness, firms are focusing on lower costs and shorter lead times, which

    usually have an impact on environmental issues (Aronsson & Brodin, 2006).Here we exploresolutions and strategies to achieve environmental improvements based on macro and micro

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    levels. Aronsson & Brodin (2006) suggest that the macro domain issues can be tackled or

    improved through actions taken by the government or legislative authorities while the micro

    domain concerns mainly with actions taken by individual companies.

    Macro Domain

    It has been long known that the transport sector is one of the main causes of environmental

    pollution. Governments have taken initiatives such as introduction of environmentally

    friendly fuels. Measures and initiatives taken so far have been good, but cannot keep pace

    with the growing transport volumes (Aronsson and Brodin, 2006). Governments and

    legislative bodies should, rather look for longer term strategies in ensuring a sustainable

    macro environment.

    Vehicle technologies

    Most vehicles today are equipped with internal combustion engines (ICE). GHG emissions

    are emitted mainly from the combustion of carbon contained in fuels. The emission of these

    harmful gases can be reduced in vehicles by improving the drive-train efficiency that would

    lower energy consumption in vehicles, by reducing the amount of energy vehicles need, and

    by using alternative drive-trains. Improving technologies in vehicles is a step forward to

    being sustainable, but relies more on government pressure and the capabilities of the

    automobile industries. It is also a solution that can be effective in short term.

    High-speed rail

    High-speed rail will put land transportation of goods in direct competition with air transport.

    This mode of transport will allow for speeds from 250-400 km/h, making this mode better

    than air transport in terms of time savings, extra capacity, and reduced externalities. Theauthor also mentions that it is 2-3 times more efficient in energy consumption than airfreight.

    Alternative Fuels

    Alternative fuels have the ability to lower harmful gas emissions. Natural gas, for example

    emits 20% lower CO2 per MJ fuel compared to gasoline because it contains more hydrogen.

    The author also states that conversion of natural gas to synthetic fuels, e.g. Synthetic Diesel is

    a form of very clean fuel that lowers emissions of harmful gases. Renewable fuels from

    biomass and waste offer a balanced carbon cycle in comparison to fossil fuels while having a

    positive impact on GHG emissions. This form of fuel does however have strong barriers that

    prevent them from being mass produced, like higher costs, compatibility with other fuels, andlimited availability of technology. Renewable fuels however show hidden costs and

    undesirable impacts on the environment and population due to its large scale production.

    Hydrogen is advantageous in the sense that it can be produced from a variety of energy

    resources such as, fossil fuels and other renewable sources, i.e. wind, solar-thermal and tidal

    energies. Hydrogen does not emit any harmful gas when used in fuel cells. From a long term

    perspective, the only incentive for firms to progress to economical investments in alternative

    fuels would be due to the rise of oil prices as many alternative fuels are just not cost-effective

    for firms to invest in at this point in time (Uherek et al, 2010).

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    Micro Domain

    On a micro level, companies need to rethink where their facilities are located in terms of

    travel time or transport mode, whom they cooperate with within partnerships or the supply

    chain, what technology is being utilized and the overall logistics structure. Aronsson &

    Brodin state that environmentally friendly logistics structures are defined by factors such as

    fewer movements, shorter travelling distances, lesser handling, and more direct shipping

    routes. They offer two physical methods as solutions to structures in logistics; standardization

    and consolidation.

    Standardization involves two levels in the physical system; transportation vehicles and load

    carriers. A load carrier that is able to fit a train system and a ship makes full use of vehicle

    capacity while making the loading and handling of equipment of a standardized nature. This

    ultimately reduces costs and delivery times. The concept also decreases the total volume ofcarriers in the system as any carrier coming back can be used for the next load.

    Consolidation involves increasing the size of warehouses, centralizing distribution, a

    reduction in the number of warehouses while changing the location of these warehouses. The

    number of deliveries could be significantly minimized in certain cases when companies work

    more actively with vehicle routing. Although this leads to increased lead times, such changes

    contribute to increased fill rates of vehicles, minimizing total distance travelled and its fuel

    consumption (Aronsson & Brodin, 2006).

    Conclusion

    In a nutshell, climate change has been identified as one of the most serious problems theworld is facing today according to the Green Trends Survey (Beckmann, 2010). Theincreasing demand for sustainability and lower emissions in the logistics industry is now seeneverywhere and is becoming a key criterion for end consumers, business customers and thegovernment. This report, serves as a frontline contributor in calling attention to howcompanies' actions impact the environment and the communities in which they operate. Thereport also recognizes that the logistics industry is a major source of GHG emissions,especially the transport sector. In long term policies will secure the environmental

    sustainability for international logistics operations. The incentives for environmental friendlylogistics technologies will improve the efficiency of international logistics operations andreduce GHG emissions. However, the policies do come with substantial cost, and can takedecades to implement (McKinnon, Kreie, 2010).

    Just as logistics which is a driver of globalization and a major contributor to the worldeconomy, the logistics industry needs to create an ecologically-sustainable, low-carbonenvironment which is seen as creating long-term business value. In other words, economicgrowth and environmental protection should be embraced by firms as the two parallel valuesinstead of a contradiction.

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    Reference

    Aronsson, H, Brodin, M., 2006, The environmental impact of changing logistics structures,The International Journal of Logistics Management, Vol 17, Iss 3, pp 394-415

    An Inconvenient truth documentary by Al Gore, 2006

    Beckmann, C et al. 2010, Delivering Tomorrow: Towards Sustainable Logistics, Deutsche

    Post, HG, Germany- Company Report

    Duncan, R.C., Youngquist, W., 1999, Encircling the peak of world oilproduction,NaturalResources Research,8, 219232.

    GHG emissions from transport or mobile sources: GHG Protocol Initiative, 2009.

    Hodgkinson D, 2011 "Ports, climate change and the virtues of anticipation", Transportand

    Logistics Insights

    IPCC, "2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories," 2006.

    IPCC, "Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report," 2007.

    McKinnon A., 2010, Green Logistics: The Carbon Agenda, Electronic Scientific Journal of

    Logistics, Vol.6, Issue 3, No.1

    McKinnon A, Kreie A, 2010, "Adaptive Logistics: Preparing Logistical Systems for Climate

    ChangeLogistics Research Centre, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK

    National Land Freight Strategy Discussion Paper 2011:Submission of the Department ofClimate Change & Energy Efficiency (DCCEE)

    Tu S, 2010, "Investigation on the Strategy of the Development of Low-Carbon Logistics in

    China in Low-Carbon Economy" School of Business Administration, Jiangxi University of

    Finance and Economics

    W. Gian-Reto, P. Eric, C. Peter et aI., "Ecological responses to recent climate change,"Nature, vol. 416, pp. 389-395, 2002

    Wang, X. Ding, H. Wang, W. Zhang, L. &Xue, Y. (2012), A Review of Carbon EmissionManagement from the Perspective of Logistics Industry, BAO & SCM/Logistics Research,China

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    Appendix

    Journal Articles Review

    JOURNAL ARTICLE THEME METHODOL

    OGY

    KEY FINDING

    The environmentalimpact of changinglogistics structures

    Improvement inenvironment bystructural changes oflogistics system.

    Journal Articles,Reports andtheir study

    The paper various logisticalrestructuring measures such aslogistical standardisation, IS/ITsolutions (Visibility supportsystem & understanding offlexible warehousing andtransportation) and different

    types of consolidation toimprove the environment.

    Adaptive Logistics:Preparing LogisticalSystems for ClimateChange

    Study of logisticalsystem adaptioncapability to improveclimate

    Journal Articles,Discussionswith logisticsprofessionalsandbrainstormingsessions.

    The paper presents thechallenges of conductionresearch in the area ofLogistics and ClimateChange due to uncertainty ofclimate change and variabilityin geographical impact. Itsuggests five themes in the areaof adaptive logistics that needsto be focused which can be

    divided into three categoriessuch as a) Effects of mitigationmeasures on logistics , b)Responses to indirectenvironmental impacts and c)Responses to directenvironmental impacts

    Investigation on theStrategy of theDevelopment of Low-Carbon Logistics inChina in Low-CarbonEconomy

    Development of low-carbon logistics forsustainable growth inChina

    Journal Articles,Reports andtheir study

    The study suggests that for theconcept of low-carbon logisticsto be feasible in China, majorchanges has to be made inlogistics system, eg-Design oflogistics system and supplychain, Emphasis On controllingand promoting carbonemission, Introduction offavourable policies, Recyclingof used logistics facilities, etc,

    A Review of CarbonEmission Managementfrom the Perspective ofLogistics Industry

    Optimization oflogistics carbonemission

    Journal articles,Reports andtheir study

    The paper addresses carbonemission management system,carbon footprint evaluationframework and low carbontechnologies which may be

    important for enterprises. Itsuggests the implementation of

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    optimised carbon emissionmanagement system; the paperdiscusses the case of IBM andfurther suggests that furtherresearch needs to be done forevaluating carbon emissions atkey stages of logisticsactivities.

    Ecological responses torecent climate change

    Trend of climatechange (speciallyglobal warming) inthe environment

    Journal articles The article concurs that thereare already observable change(temperature) in the climate.There are considerableadaptations taken, to keep upwith considerably low averagerate of change in the climate.There is definite concern abouthow to deal bigger climate

    change in future, which mayhave bigger impact on socio-economic and ecologicalconsequences.

    Transport impacts onatmosphere andclimate: Land transport

    Impact of landtransport on climateand atmosphere

    Journal Articles,reports and theirown study

    The study suggests that non-carbon emissions wouldstagnate and reduce in future.However, the future forreduction of carbon andhalocarbons emissions ispredicted to rise. Land transportwould further increase hence it

    is of prime importance to haveimproved vehicle which wouldreduces the emissions in the air.Bio-fuel would not be able tocope with rising transportrequirement and thus it isimportance to further researchand innovate in the area of low-carbon fuels.

    Transport and climatechange

    Role of transport inClimate change andthe mitigation &sustainabilitymeasures

    Journal Articles The study suggests findingabout how behavioural andtechnological change couldreduce GHG emissions andcombustion of fossil fuels fromthe transport industry. It alsofocuses on how policies wouldhelp in emission reduction.

    Green Logistics: TheCarbon Agenda

    Framework forcarbon reductionfrom the logisticalactivities

    Journals,Governmentaland otherinstitutionsreports

    It presents framework for GHGemissions by altering freighttransport parameters. Itdiscuses how decarbonisationprocess will help companies tocut down their costs which will

    make them economical andenvironmental friendly. It also

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    presents the view that in fewcases, it is important for carbonemissions from logistics sectorto rise to eventually reduce thecarbon emissions from all theother different sectors. Lastly,if all the sectors implement theframework to reduce the carbonemissions, the carbon footprintfor logistics would increasehowever that would be foroverall good.