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Interesting Day Overview Operational Overview

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Page 1: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Interesting Day Overview

Operational Overview

Page 2: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Interesting Day Overview: 22nd March 2013

Operational Overview

Page 3: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

3

Lin

ep

ac

k a

nd

NG

Ac

tion

s

31

0

32

0

33

0

34

0

35

0

36

0

37

0

38

0

39

0

40

0

06:00

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

06:00

Linepack (mcm)

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Actions (mcm)

NG

Actio

nA

ctu

al L

PP

CL

P

Op

en

ing

Lin

eP

ack

22n

d M

arc

h: S

tart o

f Da

y P

ositio

n

Page 4: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

4

22nd March: Start of Day Position

IUK Flow and Response

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

07

:00

08

:00

09

:00

10

:00

11

:00

12

:00

13

:00

14

:00

15

:00

16

:00

17

:00

18

:00

19

:00

20

:00

21

:00

22

:00

23

:00

00

:00

01

:00

02

:00

03

:00

04

:00

05

:00

06

:00

Su

pp

ly F

low

(m

cm

/d)

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Pri

ce

(p

/th

)

Other IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAPOther IUK

06

:00

95

100

105

110

115

120

125P

ric

e (

p/t

h)

Page 5: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

5

Bacton ASEP

BBL

IUK

UKCS

Bacton ASEP

Page 6: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

6

Ba

cto

n F

low

s

Bacto

n A

SE

P F

low

s

0

20

40

60

80

10

0

12

0

14

0

16

0

20-Mar 06:00

20-Mar 08:26

20-Mar 10:52

20-Mar 13:18

20-Mar 15:44

20-Mar 18:10

20-Mar 20:36

20-Mar 23:02

21-Mar 01:28

21-Mar 03:54

21-Mar 06:20

21-Mar 08:46

21-Mar 11:12

21-Mar 13:38

21-Mar 16:04

21-Mar 18:30

21-Mar 20:56

21-Mar 23:22

22-Mar 01:48

22-Mar 04:14

22-Mar 06:40

22-Mar 09:06

22-Mar 11:32

22-Mar 13:58

22-Mar 16:24

22-Mar 18:50

22-Mar 21:16

22-Mar 23:42

23-Mar 02:08

23-Mar 04:34

Flow rate (mcm/d)

Ba

cto

n U

KC

SB

BL

IUK

Page 7: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

7

201

2/1

3 D

em

an

d

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

01-Oct-12

08-Oct-12

15-Oct-12

22-Oct-12

29-Oct-12

05-Nov-12

12-Nov-12

19-Nov-12

26-Nov-12

03-Dec-12

10-Dec-12

17-Dec-12

24-Dec-12

31-Dec-12

07-Jan-13

14-Jan-13

21-Jan-13

28-Jan-13

04-Feb-13

11-Feb-13

18-Feb-13

25-Feb-13

04-Mar-13

11-Mar-13

18-Mar-13

25-Mar-13

mcm

Ga

s D

em

an

d B

rea

kd

ow

n

1s

t Oc

tob

er 2

01

2 to

31

st M

arc

h 2

01

3 v

s 2

011

/12

ND

MD

M (E

xcl In

terc

on

ne

cto

rs)

To

tal In

terc

on

ne

cto

r Exp

ort

Sto

rag

e In

jectio

n

SN

DC

old

De

ma

nd

Wa

rm D

em

an

dP

revio

us Y

ea

rs D

em

an

d

Page 8: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

8

Percentage of Supply

IUK as percentage of UK Supply

21st March 2013

21%

79%

IUK Other

Page 9: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

9

22nd March: Start of Day Linepack

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

06

:00

07

:00

08:0

0

09:0

0

10

:00

11

:00

Lin

ep

ac

k (

mc

m)

Actual LP PCLP Opening LinePack

Page 10: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

10

Media Release

Interconnector (UK) Limited

Date: 22 March 2013

FULL FLOW CAPACITY RESTORED

Interconnector (UK) Limited („IUK‟) confirms that full flow has been restored following a component failure that occurred at 7:00am this morning at the Bacton Terminal.

Flows through IUK‟s pipeline were disrupted for a period of 8 hours today. This was a result of a failure of a connection to apump on the hot water system (which heats the gas from the pipeline before entering the UK system). The resulting steam escape triggered a shutdown of operations at the terminal.

Sean Waring, Managing Director of IUK said, “We understand the seriousness of a disruption like this in the current tight energy markets. To date, Interconnector has demonstrated a high level of reliability, but operational upsets do occur from time to time in complex process plant. Our immediate response enabled us to restore flow to full capacity quickly.”

IUK Industry Communications

Gas Day 22 March 2013 - Operational Notices

07:32 - Due to a technical issue the Interconnector is currently unable to flow gas. The issue is being investigated and we will provide an update at 08:30 UKT.

08:32 - The fault has been identified and we are seeking to rectify theproblem. We remain unable to flow gas. A further update will be provided at 0930 UKT.

09:09 - We are currently experiencing a flow restriction, the end of day will not be met.

09:17 - We are currently unable to flow gas at IBT and IZT, the end of day will not be met.

09:41 - Due to the failure of a water/glycol pump in the Bacton boiler house we are currently unable to flow gas. We are working to resolve the issue. We will provide a further update at 1100 UKT.

11:07 - A media release has been issued. A further update will be provided by 1200 UKT.

11:51 - Interconnector UK Limited has a technical issue at its Bacton terminal which stopped gas flow into the UK. We have now resumed flow at a reduced rate. In parallel we are working to resume normal operations.

13:50 - Interconnector UK Limited is pleased to announce that the fault in the reheating system at the Bacton Terminal has been rectified. In order to configure its equipment to re-establish flows at full capacity IUK will be suspending flows at the Bacton terminal at approximately 1400 UKT. This process will take approximately 1 hour and once completed IUK expects to be able to flow at full capacity.

15:04 - Interconnector UK Limited can confirm that normal operations have now resumed and is expecting to flow at full capacity by 1530 UKT.

Page 11: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

11

22

nd

Marc

h: F

low

s

IUK

Flo

w a

nd

Re

sp

on

se

0

50

10

0

15

0

20

0

25

0

30

0

35

0

40

0

45

0

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

06:00

Supply Flow (mcm/d)

95

10

0

10

5

11

0

11

5

12

0

12

5

Price (p/th)

Oth

er

IUK

Ro

ugh

Isle

of G

rain

Dra

go

nH

olfo

rdS

AP

Page 12: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

12

22

nd

Marc

h: L

inep

ack

Lin

ep

ack a

nd

NG

Actio

ns

31

0

32

0

33

0

34

0

35

0

36

0

37

0

38

0

39

0

40

0

06:00

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

06:00

Linepack (mcm)

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Actions (mcm)

NG

Actio

nA

ctu

al L

PP

CL

P

Op

en

ing

Lin

eP

ack

Page 13: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

13

Pric

e a

nd

Su

pp

ly &

Dem

an

d

Pric

e w

ith S

up

ply

/ De

man

d

80

85

90

95

10

0

10

5

11

0

11

5

12

0

12

5

06:00

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

Price (p/th)

31

0

32

0

33

0

34

0

35

0

36

0

37

0

38

0

39

0

DFN / Demand (mcm)

SM

P S

ell

SA

PS

MP

Bu

yD

FN

Dem

and

Page 14: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Interesting Day Overview: 04th April 2013

Operational Overview

Page 15: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

15

4th April – Prices & NG Actions

Page 16: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

16

4th April: Opening Linepack

Page 17: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

17

4th April: Linepack & NG Actions

Page 18: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

18

4th April: Linepack & NG Actions

Page 19: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

19

4th April: Storage Site HVOLs

Page 20: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

20

Shipper Imbalance

Page 21: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

21

Sto

rag

e S

ite N

otific

atio

ns v

s. F

low

s

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8 1

1.2

1.4

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

06:00

03

-Ap

r 01

:53

BS

T0

4-A

pr 1

5:2

8 B

ST

HV

OL

Page 22: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

22

4th April: Linepack & NG Actions

Page 23: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Winter 2012/13 Reflection

Operational Overview

Page 24: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

24

2012/13 ReflectionExtended Winter

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

01-O

ct-

12

08-O

ct-

12

15-O

ct-

12

22-O

ct-

12

29-O

ct-

12

05-N

ov-1

2

12-N

ov-1

2

19-N

ov-1

2

26-N

ov-1

2

03-D

ec-1

2

10-D

ec-1

2

17-D

ec-1

2

24-D

ec-1

2

31-D

ec-1

2

07-J

an

-13

14-J

an

-13

21-J

an

-13

28-J

an

-13

04-F

eb

-13

11-F

eb

-13

18-F

eb

-13

25-F

eb

-13

04-M

ar-

13

11-M

ar-

13

18-M

ar-

13

25-M

ar-

13

mcm

Gas Demand Breakdown 1st October 2012 to 31st March 2013 vs 2011/12

NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection

SND Cold Demand Warm Demand Previous Years Demand

Page 25: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

25

LDZ & CCGT and Linepack Swing

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

06

:00

07

:00

08

:00

09

:00

10

:00

11

:00

12

:00

13

:00

14

:00

15

:00

16

:00

17

:00

18

:00

19

:00

20

:00

21

:00

22

:00

23

:00

00

:00

01

:00

02

:00

03

:00

04

:00

05

:00

Lin

ep

ac

k (

mc

m)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

LD

Z &

CC

GT

Offta

ke R

ate

(mcm

)

ldzofftake ntspowerstation Actual LP PCLP National Target LinePack Opening LinePack

2012/13 ReflectionLinepack Swing

Page 26: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

26

2012/13 ReflectionStorage Stocks

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

TW

h

SRS Stocks

MRS 2010/2011 SRS 2011/2012 SRS 2012/2013

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Ju

l

Au

g

Se

p

TW

h

MRS Stocks

MRS 2010/2011 MRS 2011/2012 MRS 2012/2013

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

Oc

t

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

TW

h

LRS Stocks

LRS 2010/2011 LRS 2011/2012 LRS 2012/2013

Page 27: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

27

2012/13 ReflectionLNG

LNG OTHER

2010/11

2012/13

% of UK Supply Mix

7.2%

20.3%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

01-J

an

08-J

an

15-J

an

22-J

an

29-J

an

05-F

eb

12-F

eb

19-F

eb

26-F

eb

05-M

ar

12-M

ar

19-M

ar

26-M

ar

Price (p/t

h)

Vo

lum

es (

mcm

)

SouthHookTer DragonTer Isle of grain

DragonTer [Previous Year] Isle of grain [Previous Year] SouthHookTer [Previous Year]

SAP SAP [Previous Year]

Page 28: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

28

2012/13 ReflectionIUK

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-30

-10

10

30

50

70

90

01

-Fe

b

04

-Fe

b

07

-Fe

b

10

-Fe

b

13

-Fe

b

16

-Fe

b

19

-Fe

b

22

-Fe

b

25

-Fe

b

28

-Fe

b

03

-Ma

r

06

-Ma

r

09

-Ma

r

12

-Ma

r

15

-Ma

r

18

-Ma

r

21

-Ma

r

24

-Ma

r

27

-Ma

r

30

-Ma

r

pri

ce

(p

/tm

)

Vo

lum

es

(m

cm

)

IUK Export / Import volumes Feb - Mar 2013 vs Previous Year / SAP

IUK Export [Previous Year] IUK Import [Previous Year] IUK Import IUK Export SAP SAP [Previous Year]

Page 29: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

29

Gas

Co

ns

um

ptio

n fo

r Po

wer G

en

era

tion

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

01/10/2012

08/10/2012

15/10/2012

22/10/2012

29/10/2012

05/11/2012

12/11/2012

19/11/2012

26/11/2012

03/12/2012

10/12/2012

17/12/2012

24/12/2012

31/12/2012

07/01/2013

14/01/2013

21/01/2013

28/01/2013

04/02/2013

11/02/2013

18/02/2013

25/02/2013

04/03/2013

11/03/2013

18/03/2013

25/03/2013

mcm/d

Actu

al fo

r Po

wer G

ene

ratio

nL

ow

Base

Ca

se

Hig

hP

revio

us Y

ea

r

20

12

/13

Re

flec

tion

Po

we

r Ge

ne

ratio

n

Page 30: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

30

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8 1

1.2

1.4

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

05:00

06:00

03

-Ap

r 01

:53

BS

T0

4-A

pr 1

2:1

7 B

ST

04

-Ap

r 15

:28

BS

T0

4-A

pr 1

9:3

0 B

ST

04

-Ap

r 22

:05

BS

T0

4-A

pr 0

1:2

2 B

ST

HV

OL

20

12

/13

Re

flec

tion

Da

ta A

cc

ura

cy

Ho

urly

No

min

atio

n Im

bala

nce

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10 0

10

20

30

40

06:00

07:00

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

21:00

22:00

23:00

00:00

01:00

02:00

03:00

04:00

Imb

ala

nc

e (m

cm

)

Page 31: Interesting Day Overview - National Grid Day... · Interesting Day Overview: 22 nd ... Other OtherIUK IUK Rough Isle of Grain Dragon Holford SAP 06:00 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

31

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

06:0

0

07:0

0

08:0

0

09:0

0

Lin

ep

ack (

mcm

)

Buy Action

270

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

06

:00

07

:00

Lin

ep

ac

k (

mc

m)

270

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

06

:00

07

:00

Lin

ep

ac

k (

mc

m)

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

06:0

0

08:0

0

Lin

ep

ack (

mcm

)

2012/13 ReflectionOpening PCLP

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32

2012/13 Reflection

New Processes / Operational Complexity

� GDW / MN

� Enduring NTS Exit Arrangements

� Capacity Scalebacks

� Locational Actions

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30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

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120

130

01-Feb-13

04-Feb-13

07-Feb-13

10-Feb-13

13-Feb-13

16-Feb-13

19-Feb-13

22-Feb-13

25-Feb-13

28-Feb-13

03-Mar-13

06-Mar-13

09-Mar-13

12-Mar-13

15-Mar-13

18-Mar-13

21-Mar-13

24-Mar-13

27-Mar-13

30-Mar-13

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