Dr. Andrew Wallace PhD

Climate change / global warmingThe evidence forThe reasons why

What can we do about it?Fixing the facadeBuilding a sustainable society

Scientist and engineerElectrical and Electronic engineeringRobotics and Applied AI

SocietyWhere are we going?Can we do this a better way?

Network of European Technocrats

The North WestPassage

Linked to rising CO2Human activity

“most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”

IPCC

It’s a natural process, the Earth is warming up anyway.The Earth cooled in the early 20th cent

leading to “global cooling” in the 1970s.Accuracy of the data

Urban areas NASA’s corrections

Suns activityOther planets are warming up as well

Dust cloudsPluto undergoing the most changesUlysses star dust storm

Global warming / climate change is a reality

Most likely human causedThe way we do things causes the warming

Might have another causeHuman activity contributing to a natural

event

We have to live with the change!

Extreme weatherDroughts, heaver rain, more erosion, worse

storms Sea level rising Local cooling

thermohaline circulation Political / social problems

Wars, people movement

Most efforts assume we have caused global warming

They centre around reducing C02Keeping things running as they are!

Kyoto Protocol Energy conservation Alternative energy sources Taxation New technologies

Kyoto Protocol 1990 - 2004EU down 5%US up 16%China up 47% India up 55%Only Sweden and UK on target

ECONOMIC GROWTH

Energy conservationEnergy saving devices

A compact fluorescent lamp can save 2000 times their own weight in greenhouse gases

Fuel economy targets Since the 1970s SUVs

Change in work practice Teleworking

Economic growth

Alternative energy sourcesWindSolarNuclear

There is a gloomy forecast too on renewable energy - that the [UK] government will fail to meet its targets in both 2010 and 2015. [BBC New 23 August 2007]

Bio-fuels

Road transport in the UK consumes 37.6m tonnes of petroleum products a year. The most productive oil crop that can be grown in this country is rape. The average yield is 3-3.5 tonnes per hectare. One tonne of rapeseed produces 415kg of biodiesel. So every hectare of arable land could provide 1.45 tonnes of transport fuel.

To run our cars and buses and lorries on biodiesel, in other words, would require 25.9m hectares. There are 5.7m in the UK. Even the EU's more modest target of 20% by 2020 would consume almost all our cropland. [George Monbiot, Guardian, 22 Nov 2004]

Economic Growth

TaxationReduce those activities that produce

the most CO2 Increase those activities that produce

least CO2 Economic growth

New technologiesGratzel solar cellsThin film solar cellsHydrogen fuelMore on the way ...

Better to work with what we know?

What might happenBest case

New technologies and energy conservation will save the dayWe maintain economic growthGo to Skåne for the sun and the sandAll live happily ever after

What might happenWorse case

With hardship and mass migrations will come epidemics, which are likely to kill millions. By 2100, [Dr. James] Lovelock believes, the Earth's population will be culled from today's 6.6 billion to as few as 500 million [“The Prophet of Climate Change: James Lovelock”. Jeff Goodell 17 Oct 2007]

Rapid environmental change is all around us. The most obvious example is climate change ... But that is not the only threat. Many other clouds are on the horizon, including water shortages, degraded land and the loss of biodiversity. This assault on the global environment risks undermining the many advances human society has made in recent decades. It is undercutting our fight against poverty. It could even come to jeopardize international peace and security. [Geo-4. Ban Ki-Moon, Secretary-General UN]

Climate change is a reality It is unlikely that in our current mode

of operation we will be able to avoid the consequences of climate change

We need to reform what we do and the way we do it Minimise our impact on the environment Live with the changes that will most likely

occur Reduce, reuse, recycle

What about an alternative? This is not to suggest, however, that

Lovelock believes we should just party while the world burns. Quite the opposite. "We need bold action," Lovelock insists. "We have a tremendous amount to do." In his view, we have two choices: We can return to a more primitive lifestyle and live in equilibrium with the planet as hunter-gatherers, or we can sequester ourselves in a very sophisticated, high-tech civilization. [“The Prophet of Climate Change: James Lovelock”. Jeff Goodell 17 Oct 2007]

What do we want to do? Highest standard of living for the

longest time possible? Economic growth

Remove money from the equation

Lets step back a bit:Appliance of science to society

Rational, experimentalRaw materialsProductionGoodsPeoplePerfection!

Better!!!!

Resource allocation Problem

http://www.storyofstuff.com/

ProductionRaw Materials

GoodsPeople

Other problemsPollutionPopulationResource depletion

Controlling productionMoney

Debt Made up Does not reflex what is actually going on

Physics Closer to reality Energy Materials

Controlling productionEnergy Credits

Production takes energy Divide production capacity in terms of

energy among the people People then decide what gets produced

through allocating energy to production Can't save. Can't transfer

Controlling productionFor what point?

Removal of money Remove the profit motive Remove the need for economic growth

HowSociety

Complex integration between people and technology

Technology side People side

Technology sideNo money – Energy creditsCommon usage – managed by teams

of expertsReduce production

25% of today'sLocalise productionReduce working hours

16 hours weekReduce amount of work

25 - 45LESS IMPACT ON THE ENVIRONMENT!

Keyword:BALANACEBalance production with demandBalance technology with ecologyBalance environment with society

People sideNo countries

Climate does not stop at national boundaries

Network of communities Common culture Common languages 10 000 people blocks made of communities

of up to 200 people

People sidecommunities

200 peopleSelf sufficient

Energy production Waste management Food production Reduce impact

Additional industry

Will it work?Far too Utopian!Need to test it

Simulations Experimental communities

In the end, we get the type of society we deserve!

http://en.technocracynet.eu

http://www.technocracy.tk/

“We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” [Prof. Albert Einstein]