climate change adaptation reclamation climate studies ceq climate adaptation
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Climate Change Adaptation Reclamation Climate Studies CEQ Climate Adaptation Scientific Integrity Policy Paul R. Houser Managers’ Conference September 7-8, 2011. Reclamation Climate Studies. Climate Change and Water Working Group (CCAWWG): NOAA, USGS, USACE, EPA, NASA, FEMA collaboration - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Paul R. Houser, Science AdvisorPaul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Climate Change Adaptation• Reclamation Climate Studies• CEQ Climate Adaptation• Scientific Integrity Policy
Paul R. HouserManagers’ Conference September 7-8, 2011
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Reclamation Climate Studies
• Climate Change and Water Working Group (CCAWWG): NOAA, USGS, USACE, EPA, NASA, FEMA collaboration
• Climate change is occurring; effects differ regionally.• Water resources management could be affected; hydroclimate conditions becoming non-
stationary.• Climate change is one of many challenges facing water managers.
From USGS Circular 1331 (Brekke et al. 2009)
• Federal agencies that conduct water management have a responsibility to take a lead role in assessing risks to the water resources and to develop adaptation and mitigation strategies
2009 SECURE Water Act (PL 111-11)
• Establishes Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Climate Science Centers, and Basin Studies
Secretarial Order 3289 and 3297 – WaterSMART
http://www.usbr.gov/climate
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
West-Wide Climate Risk Assessments (WWCRA) - Hydrologic Projections (2011)
http://www.usbr.gov/WaterSMART/wwcra.html
112 Transient Climate Projections…http://gdo-dcp.ucllnl.org/downscaled_cmip3_projections/dcpInterface.html
8 “big basin” VIC hydrology model-apps from Univ. of WA…
112 Transient Hydrologic Projections covering western U.S.…
Analyses of Period-changes in climate and hydrology
SECURE Report to Congress, 2011 focus on median changes; future reports have broader scope
Technical Report, data-development (TSC 86-68210, March 2011)
Data-service, Reclamation and broader public use (Summer 2011)
Peer
Rev
iew
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
SECURE Water
Spatial Extent of Analyses
WWCRA
http://www.usbr.gov/WaterSMART/wwcra.html
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Colorado River Change Through Time2020s 2050s 2070s
Temp
Precip
Snow
1950 2000 2050 2100
50
100
150
Colorado River above Imperial Dam
Ann
ual M
ax. W
eek
Run
off,
kcfs
Water Year
• Flood Control Implications
• Environmental Flow Implications
HUGE CAVEAT – e.g. calibration, validation
Annual Max Weekly Runoff
1950 2000 2050 2100
6
8
10
Colorado River above Imperial Dam
Ann
ual M
in. W
eek
Run
off,
kcfs
Water Year
Annual Min Weekly Runoff
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
SE
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Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
• Analyze demands utilizing legacy tools with climate projections
• Put activities within broader context of scenario planning (similar to CO Basin Study Approach).
• Include AR5 climate projections.• Next Secure Water report due in
2016 (every 5 years)
Sector Impacts
Future Work
• Hydropower• Ecological Resiliency• Endangered Species • Recreation• Water Deliveries• Water Quality
http://www.usbr.gov/climate
SECURE Water
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force
• Co-Chaired: Council on Environmental Quality, (CEQ) Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), and National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
• October 2009: Executive Order calling on Adaptation Task Force to recommend how Federal agency policies and practices can reinforce a national climate change adaptation strategy
• David Hayes represents DOI on the CEQ Adaptation Task Force
Strategic vision: a resilient, healthy and prosperous Nation in the face of a changing climate. Guiding principles:
• Adopt integrated approaches• Prioritize the most vulnerable• Use best available science• Apply risk-management methods and tools• Apply ecosystem-based approaches
http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/ceq/initiatives/adaptation
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Progress Report Recommendations: October 14, 2010•make adaptation a standard part of Agency planning•ensure climate change information is easily accessible•align response efforts across jurisdictions and missions•strategy to support international adaptation•partnerships to support local, state, and tribal decision makers•Liz Klein coordinated Draft 2011 report DOI response.
Executive Order (“EO”) 13514 establishes an integrated strategy towards sustainability and requires agencies to evaluate climate change risks and vulnerabilities to manage effects of climate change on the agency’s mission and operations. •Establish agency climate change adaptation plan by June 2012.
•Participate in CEQ climate change adaptation planning workshops
•Agencies submit a draft high-level analysis of agency vulnerability and 3-5 adaptation actions by October 2011, final analysis by March 2012.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/ceq/initiatives/adaptation
Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
CEQ Draft National Action Plan: Priorities For Managing Freshwater Resources In A
Changing Climate June 2, 2011
Mission: develop a national action plan to identify steps that Federal agencies can take to improve management of freshwater resources
in a changing climate.
RECOMENDATIONS
1.Plan to Adapt Water Resources Management to a Changing Climate.
2.Improve Information for Water Resource Decision‐Making.
3.Strengthen Water Resources Vulnerability Assessments.
4.Expand Water Use Efficiency.
5.Support Integrated Water Resources Management.
6.Support Training and Outreach to Build Response Capability.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/ceq/initiatives/adaptation
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Secure Report: BOR Adaptation Actions
• Extending Water Supplies– Yuma Desalting Plant
• Rural Water Supply– Lewiston Orchards Project
• Water Planning– Bay Delta Conservation Program
• River Restoration– Trinity River Restoration Program
• Water Conservation– WaterSMART Water and Energy Efficiency Grants
• Hydropower– Hoover retrofitting to wide head turbines
http://www.usbr.gov/climate
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Scientific Integrity
• March 2009: Presidential Memorandum on Scientific Integrity
• Sept 2010: Secretarial Order 3305: Ensuring Scientific Integrity within the Department of the Interior
• Dec 2010: Office of Science and Technology Policy Memorandum on Scientific Integrity
• Feb 2011: Salazar Announces New Scientific Integrity Policy and Departmental Science Integrity Officer
• Feb 2011: Deputy Interior Secretary announces DOI Policy, asks Bureaus to incorporate into Bureau policies
• July 2011: Reclamation policy RLT and Public Review, revisions underway.
http://www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/Salazar-Announces-New-Scientific-Integrity-Policy-and-Designation-of-Departmental-Science-Integrity-Officer.cfm
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Goals of the policy• Decisions based on science and
scholarship are respected as credible.
• Science is conducted with integrity and excellence.
• Sustain culture of scientific and scholarly integrity that is enduring.
• Employees are proud to uphold the high standards and lead by example.
• Establish scientific code of conduct.
• Policy applies to all employees and volunteers, contractors, cooperators, partners, permittees, leasees, and grantees.
http://elips.doi.gov/app_dm/act_getfiles.cfm?relnum=3889
Paul R. Houser, Science Advisor
Reporting and Resolving Allegations of Loss of Integrity
• Allegations submitted in writing
• Bureau Scientific Integrity Officer (BSIO) reviews allegation
• Allegation must be significant departure from accepted practices of scientific community
• Misconduct is intentional fabrication, falsification or plagiarism
• Review panel may be convened
• Corrective action by human resources and the appropriate manager/supervisor
http://elips.doi.gov/app_dm/act_getfiles.cfm?relnum=3889