Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Weather Update and Weather Outlook

Raymond C. OrdinarioWeather DivisionOctober 24, 2012

P A R LINE

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“OFEL” HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM AND THREATENS CARAGA REGION AND VISAYAS.

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Tropical Storm Information• Local Name: Ofel• International Name: Son-Tinh (God of Mountain in Vietnam’s

myth) • Position as of 7AM 140 km East of Siargao, Surigao Del Norte• Winds / Gust: 65 /80 kph• Movement: West Northwest @ 15 kph• Rainfall estimate: 5 – 20 mm/hr within 400 km diameter• 15th tropical cyclone for 2012 and 3rd for the month of

October

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Public Storm Warning SignalStorm Signal AreasPSWS # 2

(winds of 61 – 100 kph is expected in at least

24 hours)

Southern Leyte, Dinagat Island, Surigao Provinces, Agusan Del Norte, Northern Agusan Del Sur and Camiguin Island

PSWS # 1(winds of 30 – 60 kph is expected in at least

36 hours)

Samar Provinces, Leyte, Biliran Island, Bohol, Cebu including Camotes Island, Negros Provinces, Siquijor Island, Rest of Agusan Del Sur, Northern Bukidnon and Misamis Oriental

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Forecast Track

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

2 PM, October 24, 2012 Wednesday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 PM October 24, 2012 Wednesday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 AM October 25, 2012 Thursday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 PM October 25, 2012 Thursday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 AM October 26, 2012 Friday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 PM October 26, 2012 Friday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 AM October 27, 2012 Saturday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

8 PM October 27, 2012 Saturday

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

What to expect ........... TS Ofel is expected to make landfall over Siargao, Surigao Del Norte this morning till early afternoon

TS Ofel will cross Central and Western Visayas today until tomorrow then move towards Mindoro area morning of Oct 26 (Friday)

Stormy weather is expected in Northeastern Mindanao and Central and Eastern Visayas today

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

What to expect ...........Ocassional rains with gusty winds is expected in Western Visayas today until tomorrow

Sea travel is risky over Eastern Mindanao and Visayas due big waves and storm surges

Mindoro, Palawan, Metro Manila and nearby provinces will experience moderate to heavy rains starting Thursday evening

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

What to expect ...........Improved weather is expected on Saturday (Oct 27) as TS “Ofel” moves towards the West Philippine Sea

Strong to Gale force wind over the Eastern Seaboard of Southern Luzon -fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the sea while larger sea vessels are alerted against big waves

TS Ofel is expected to exit PAR morning of Saturday (Oct. 27)

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Thank You

Tracking the sky helping the country...........