china_pp_overview_1_spring 2013.ppt
TRANSCRIPT
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China: A Closer Look
Humanities 110: PP8
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Overview of China
Except as noted below, information for this presentation is from the CIAWorld Factbook available from
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/geos/ch.html
Web. February 8, 2013.
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An ancient civilization
For centuries China stood as
a leading civilization,
outpacing the rest of theworld in the arts and sciences
but in the 19th and early 20th
centuries, the country was
beset by civil unrest, majorfamines, military defeats, and
foreign occupation.
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Communistic Rule after WWII
After World War II, the Communists under
MAO Zedong established an autocratic
socialist system that, while ensuring China's
sovereignty, imposed strict controls overeveryday life and cost the lives of tens of
millions of people.
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Shift to Market Oriented Economy
After 1978, MAO's successor DENG Xiaoping
and other leaders focused on market-oriented
economic development and by 2000 output
had quadrupled.
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Reawakening of the Dragon?
For much of the population, living standards
have improved dramatically and the room for
personal choice has expanded, yet political
controls remain tight.
China since the early 1990s has increased its
global outreach and participation in
international organizations.
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Map of China
Worlds fourth largest country in the world after Russia,
Canada, USA
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Population of China
Population:
1,343,239,923 (July 2012 est.)
Country comparison to the world:1
Age structure:
0-14 years: 17.4% (male 125,528,983/female 107,668,285)
15-24 years: 16.1% (male 113,504,233/female 102,285,206)
25-54 years: 46.5% (male 319,710,444/female 305,378,723)
55-64 years: 10.9% (male 74,447,204/female 72,451,831)
65 years and over: 9.1% (male 58,677,903/female 63,587,111) (2012 est.)
Median age:
total: 35.9 years
male: 35.2 yearsfemale: 36.6 years (2012 est.)
Population growth rate:
0.481% (2012 est.)
country comparison to the world: 152
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Labor Force
795.4 million total workers
More workers than any other country and more
than three times the total population of the USA.
Labor force - by occupation:
Agriculture: 36.7%
Industry: 28.7%
Services: 34.6% (2011 estimates)
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GNP (Gross National Product)
Country comparison to the world:3 after the EUand the USA
$8.204 trillion (2008 est.)
$8.95 trillion (2009 est.)$10.51 trillion (2010 est.)
$11.48 trillion (2011 est.)
$12.38 trillion (2012 est.)
note: data are in 2012 US dollars
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Income Per Capita (Person)
GDP - per capita (PPP):
$9,100 (2012 est.)
$8,500 (2011 est.) $7,800 (2010 est.)
$6,800 (2009 est.)
$6,200 (2008 est.)Note the high rate of growth in income since
2008!
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Increase in Chinese Wages
Wage Rises in China May Ease
Slowdown
BEIJINGWages are still climbing
rapidly in China and many
companies are having trouble fillingjobs despite the sharp economic
slowdown hereevidence of a
structural shortage in the labor
market that may help China adjust
to slower growth without political
instability and whet consumer
appetites for foreign goods.
Source: Orlik, Tom and Bob Davi. Wage
Rises in China May Ease Slowdown. The
Wall Street Journal, 15 July 2012. Web. 8
February 2013.
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Chinese Currency manipulation
Starting in 1994, China began to explicitly peg
its currency, the yuan, to the dollar at a set,
low rate. No matter if the dollar rises or falls,
the Yuan remains in place with the dollar.
Note: Source for this and the next four slides is information
accessed January 31, 2011 from
http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/
http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/issues/china-cheats/how-china-cheats/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/issues/china-cheats/how-china-cheats/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/issues/china-cheats/how-china-cheats/http://www.americanmanufacturing.org/issues/china-cheats/how-china-cheats/ -
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Results of currency manipulation
And since the Chinese economy has been
growing faster than the U.S. economy, the
result is that the yuan has
remained significantly undervalued.
This makes Chinas exports to the U.S.
relatively cheaper than they should be and
also makes U.S. exports to China moreexpensive.
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What are the other effects of this
manipulation?
The main consequence is that a flood ofartificially cheap Chinese imports has drivenmany domestic U.S. manufacturers out of
business. In fact, the U.S. trade deficit with China has
risen from $30 billion in 1994 to as high as$268 billion in 2008. China's policy of currencymanipulation is intentional, and has helped itbecome the world's leading exporter.
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Long Term effect of currency
manipulation
But along the way, it has also earned the ire of
the EU, Japan, and the WTO for continuing
what is essentially an illegal practice. As long
as China's currency remains significantlyundervalued, Beijing will continue to enjoy
sizeable exporting benefits. Unfortunately,
the repercussions of this are a growingdistortion in world markets
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Quick recovery from the Great
Recession
In 2009, the global economic downturn
reduced foreign demand for Chinese exports
for the first time in many years, but China
rebounded quickly, outperforming all othermajor economies in 2010 with GDP growth
around 10%.
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Total Chinese Exports
$2.021 trillion (2012 est.)#1 country comparison to the world and #2 when compared with
the EU (European Union)
$1.899 trillion (2011 est.)
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Trade Imbalance Improving?
Long term inflation in China could lead to
fewer exports from China and more exports
for the USA.
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Economic Summary
China in 2012 stood as the second-largesteconomy in the world after the US. (China passedJapan in 2010 and Japan moved to the third-
largest economy.) Note: The EU is number one ifit is considered as one country.
China however, is still lower middle-income.
The dollar values of China's agricultural and
industrial output each exceeded those of the US,although China was second to the US in the valueof services it produced.
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Globalization/Economic Challenges
a) reducing its high domestic savings rate andcorrespondingly low domestic demand;
(b) sustaining adequate job growth for tens of millions ofmigrants and new entrants to the work force;
(c) reducing corruption and other economic crimes; and (d) containing environmental damage and social strife
related to the economy's rapid transformation.
(e) Economic development has progressed further incoastal provinces than in the interior, and approximately
200 million rural laborers and their dependents haverelocated to urban areas to find work.
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Population Challenge
One demographic consequence of the "one
child" policy is that China is now one of the
most rapidly aging countries in the world.
Another connection: China feeds 20% of the
worlds population with only 7% of the worlds
arable land.
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Environmental Challenges
air pollution (greenhouse gases, sulfur dioxideparticulates) from reliance on coal produces acid rain;
water shortages, particularly in the north;
water pollution from untreated wastes; deforestation; estimated loss of one-fifth of agricultural land since
1949 to soil erosion and economic development;
desertification;
trade in endangered species
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Renewable Energy Leader
The Chinese government is seeking to add
energy production capacity from sources
other than coal and oil, focusing on nuclear
and alternative energy development.
Leader in wind and solar technologies
Unfair government subsidies for renewable
energy technologies?
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Technology Comparison to USA
Telephone Land Lines 285.115 million (2011) More than any other country
Telephones - mobile cellular:
986.253 million (2011) More than any other country
Again, compare these figures to the total USA population of
about 312 million.
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Internet users
389 million (2009)Number one among the worlds countries.
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Chinese Military
Military service age and obligation:
18-22 years of age for selective compulsory militaryservice, with 24-month service obligation; no minimumage for voluntary service (all officers are volunteers);18-19 years of age for women high school graduateswho meet requirements for specific military jobs; in2010, a decision was made to allow women in combatroles (2010)
Manpower available for military service: males age 16-49: 381,747,145
females age 16-49: 360,385,629 (2010 est.)
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Military expenditures
4.3% of GDP (2006) Country comparison to the world:22
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Military Concerns
China has flexed its military muscle
increasingly in the past few years
Of special concern to its ASEAN neighbors in
the South China Sea
Resource scarcity is a major concern
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Thoughts about China for this course
Chinese technology requires great investment ofresources which leads to pressure on the environment.
As the people of China earn more, they will desiremore Western technology, leading to more
environmental and social pressure. Unfair advantage of China in critical areas of
technological development, such as alternative energy.
Will social networking lead to the same kind of socialrevolution in China that is underway in Tunisia andEgypt?
How will China use technology to feed and providewater for its population?