asia business forum
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Asia Business Forum. M&A by Asian Companies May 22, 2012. New successful Japanese business model for assisting international expansion : If you just build it, they won’t come. Real Estate (office & industrial park) + Human Resource, General Admin., Accounting , Tax, Legal, - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
ASIA BUSINESS FORUM
M&A by Asian Companies
May 22, 2012
New successful Japanese business model for assisting international expansion:
If you just build it, they won’t come.
Real Estate (office & industrial park)
+ Human Resource, General
Admin.,Accounting, Tax, Legal, Customs (import/export)
--Often by Japanese-speaking staff.
Japanese restaurant
Japanese bank Convenience store DVD rental Travel agency Hospital & clinic
Vocational & Japanese language school
Police & fire station Post office. Shipping &
freight Condo, hotel, apartment,
dormitory Gym Golf course
Question 1:Will it make sense for American/local developers operating in Asia to offer comprehensive packages to American companies?
Question 2:To entice Asian companies to invest in the US, will it make sense to offer comprehensive packages to them?
THE POLITICS OF WATER: TOO MUCH? NOT ENOUGH?
WHO DECIDES?
Ambassador Darryl Johnson
Most great civilizations have controlled water and organized access to water as one of their primary obligations. 7 billion people now inhabit our globe and all need water to survive.
Southeast Asia: Droughts, floods intensify political and economic conflicts
The Role of Water in Myanmar/Burma:2007 Cyclone Nargis brought huge damageGovernment did not permit outside aid; now more open to such contact
Recent Dispute between China and Myanmar over Irrawaddi River dam that China wants to build on border
Mekong River: Starts in China, forms border between Thailand and Laos, and empties through Cambodia and VietnamChina wants water for hydropower and irrigationCambodia and Vietnam depend on waters for irrigation and fishing
Key Questions Q&A
What is effective mechanism to resolve differences among six parties?
What are the implications for business?
What are the opportunities to address these challenges with new solutions?
– Micro Irrigation / Drip Irrigation?– Water Filtration Systems (PATH example)?– Singapore example – sewage to drinking water system
ASIA BUSINESS FORUM
Roundtable Discussions
Columbia Center701 5th Ave, Ste 2600
Seattle, WA 98104
w w w . c a s c a d i a c a p i t a l . c o m
Expertise. Discipline. Results.
Member FINRA/SIPC
Asia Business ForumCross-Border M&A
May 22, 2012
18
Recent Cross-Border Activity with Asian Buyers
19
Deal Volume by Country
Selected Asian Country Annual Deal Count
Source: Capital IQ
–
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012
China Japan Singapore South Korea
Cross-border transactions involving Asian countries are generally opaque in terms of data availability
China, Japan, Singapore and South Korea offer the largest amount of insight into the US target, cross-border market
20
Cross-border Transaction Volume Data Table
Cross-border Transaction Count (US target)
Source: Capital IQ
In assessing countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, transaction data is extremely sparse
These limited available insights require intimate and closed door knowledge of the markets when transacting
Coutry 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012
China 36 70 60 12Indonesia – – 3 –Japan 29 31 47 15Malaysia 3 1 5 –Singapore 5 11 13 5South Korea 14 20 24 6Taiwan 7 5 6 3Thailand – 2 2 2Grand Total 94 140 160 43Note: Transaction count calculated as US target cross-border transactions with corporate headquarters determining country of the buyer
Recent Chinese – US Cross-Border M&A Activity
21
China acquisitions of US companies have made a strong return – Deal count is generally a more meaningful measurement of activity due to the
lack of reported data on transaction dollar volume– Despite a sluggish Q1 2012, recent activity has been robust
EBITDA multiples have generally trended positively over the last 13 quarters however the opacity of transaction data causes Q1 2009, Q2 2009, and Q1 2012 to be deemed “Not Meaningful”
China – US Cross-Border M&A Volume China – US Cross-Border EBITDA Multiples
33
64
56 59 64
74
57 51
36
46
30
19 20
–
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
–
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Total Transaction $ Value Transaction Count
–
10.7x 11.1x
17.5x
10.3x
8.4x
15.5x
11.6x
8.5x 10.2x
4.3x
–––
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
20.0x
Source: Capital IQ, Excludes multiples >25xSource: Capital IQ
China – US Cross-Border M&A Activity by Industry
22
Last 13 Quarters Deal Count by Industry
Q1 2012 Deal Count by Industry
China acquisitions of US companies segmented by industry in the last 13 quarters indicates that Consumer Discretionary, Financial, and Industrial businesses are garnering the greatest foreign interest
Q1 2012 displays similar results with the Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Financials, and Information Technology industries hosting about 78% of activity
Consumer Discretionary
16.3%
Consumer Staples2.7%
Energy4.3%
Financials25.4%
Healthcare6.7%
Industrials19.9%
Information Technology
16.7%
Materials5.9%
Telecom Services0.7%
Utilities1.6% Consumer
Discretionary16.1%
Consumer Staples6.5%
Energy3.2%
Financials22.6%
Industrials19.4%
Information Technology
19.4%
Materials12.9%
Source: Capital IQ
23
China – US Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
Acquired in May, 2012, AMC Entertainment, operates as a theatrical exhibition company managing movie and show theaters.
EV reported to be $2.6 billion at a 1.0x Revenue and 9.8x EBITDA multiple.
Acquired
Acquired in May, 2012, EcoTimber, Inc., a flooring company, supplies harvested and reclaimed wood products in North America.
Portfolio company of Greenmont Capital Partners, no transaction details disclosed.
Acquired
Acquired February, 2012, Goss International Corporation manufactures Web offset presses and print finishing systems for the printers and publishers.
EV reported to be $90 million.
24
China – US Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
In November, 2011, Yangfeng acquired the Visteon Corp., Global Interiors Business which manufactures interior products such as cockpit systems and panels for vehicle manufacturers.
No transaction details disclosed.
Acquired
Acquired November, 2011, Northern Engraving designs, manufactures, and sells metal and plastic nameplates, panels, overlays, and trims for appliance, automotive, and nameplate OEMs.
$92 million EV and 0.9x Revenue multiple.
China Auto Parts and
Accessories Capital Holding
Acquired
Acquired in July, 2011, Century Automotive MFG, Inc. manufactures auto parts for original equipment and after market manufacturers.
CAPACH is a state owned Chinese investment holding firm; no transaction details disclosed.
Assets
25
China – US Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
Acquired December, 2010 Continental Motors, Inc. develops and supplies aviation products for customers globally.
EV reported to be $186 million.
Acquired
Announced in December, 2009, Volvo designs and manufactures cars for markets in Sweden and internationally.
EV reported to be $1.8 billion.
26
Japan – US Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
Acquired in April, 2012, IBM’s Point-of-Sale Terminal Business comprises cash registers and related devices that facilitate retail transactions and collect data from stores.
No transaction details disclosed.
Acquired
Acquired in March, 2012, NEXX engages in the design, manufacture, sale, installation, and servicing of semiconductor process equipment.
$249 million EV, 3.9x Revenue, 36.0x EBITDA.
Acquired
Acquired in February, 2012, Silver Springs Citrus, Inc. engages in producing, processing, and packaging orange and grapefruit juices.
EV reported to be $47 million.
Assets
27
Korea – US Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
In June, 2011, Hyosung acquired the Global Wire Business of Goodyear Tire which manufactures tire reinforcement wire.
The business segment was valued at $50 million.
Acquired
Acquired in May, 2011, Acushnet Company, manufactures and markets golf balls, clubs, shoes, and accessories.
$1.25 billion EV, 1.0x Revenue.
Acquired
Acquired in January, 2011, Unidym, engages in the development, manufacture, and application of carbon nanotubes for various industries.
EV reported to be $145 million.
Assets
28
Asia – Pacific Northwest Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
Acquired in December, 2011, SonoSite, Inc. develops hand-carried ultrasound systems for use in various medical specialties and in a range of treatment settings at the point-of-care.
$855.9 EV, 2.8x Revenue, 23x EBITDA
Acquired
Acquired in June, 2011, Westwood Shipping Lines provides cargo transportation services moving paper and forest products, containerized products and oversized heavy machinery.
$66.15 EV and 0.3x Revenue multiple
Acquired
Acquired in April, 2011, Otak, Inc. provides architecture, construction management, planning, survey and mapping, urban design, and water and environmental services.
$17.9 EV, .03x Revenue
Toyko, Japan Bothell, WA
Osaka, Japan Federal Way, WA
Seoul, South Korea Lake Oswego, OR
29
Asia – Pacific Northwest Selected Cross-border Transactions
Acquired
Acquired in September, 2011, eat.shop guides publishes city guides. It covers Atlanta, Austin, Boston, Chicago, New York, Paris, Kansas City, Portland, and Denver cities.
No transaction information disclosed
Singapore, Singapore Portland, OR
30
China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation Strategic Rationale: Secure oil supplies to feed growing domestic demand
and fulfill ambitions to become major global player Total Number of Deals, Last 5 Years: 23 Total Value of Deals, Last 5 Years: $19.9B USD
China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) Strategic Rationale: Grow revenues through overseas acquisitions Total Number of Deals, Last 5 Years: 20 Total Value of Deals, Last 5 Years: $18.49B USD
China Resources Snow Breweries Strategic Rationale: Strengthen its presence in key markets and consolidate beermarket in China. Has sights on international markets. Total Number of Deals, Last 5 Years: 21 Total Value of Deals, Last 5 Years: $1.54B USD
Examples of Acquisitive Chinese Companies
31
2012 Trends and Challenges for Chinese Cross-Border M&A
32
Manufacturing assets in the US will become a focus of acquirers in China Labor costs rose 22% in China in 2011, wages will double in five years, and
hourly wages will be at 2/3’s the level of wages in the US by 2020
Exacerbating the issue , manufacturing productivity has been outpaced by salaryIncreases according to the National Statistics Bureau
Trade sales will be much more viable exit option than IPO’s The continued decrease of IPO activity across China’s three boards and drastic
decline in stock prices since 2010-now, will drive more M&A activity 2012 will see a rise of a seller market in China
Historically, China has been a net buyer of strategic assets around the world, which wont change. However, expect to see more Chinese enterprises actively pursuing trade sales to gain liquidity as IPO markets are drying up.
Consumption growth in China will continue to drive outbound M&A to the Western world
Consumption levels being relatively low at 36% of GDP, Chinese corporations will pursue luxury brands, retail assets, and consumer product companies.
Increased scrutiny by the US government can decrease appetite for US deals from China
Recent tit-for-tat between regulating authorities has dealmakers concerned
Five Trends for Cross-Border M&A with China
33
Main Challenge for Chinese Buyers
Need to Embrace the Process
Stop being reactive and be proactive – engage a US based IB Provide better coverage of strategic candidates that are actually for sale Understand valuation metrics, especially for private companies Minimize wasted effort on dead end discussions “US Style” of doing a deal Move too slowly, will be left behind in a process-be prepared beforehand Add credibility regarding interest by retaining professional advisors Be advised on what are customary business terms and negotiating tactics Receive guidance on obtaining appropriate protections A process will yield a better result
34
Questions and Answers
35
Contact:
Paul LouieManaging DirectorCascadia Capital LLC701 Fifth Ave., Suite 2600Seattle, WA 98104T: 206-436-2548C: [email protected]