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Ad d Bi f l R d f Advanced Biofuels– Ready for Primetime? January 19, 2012 Mayer Brown is a global legal services provider comprising legal practices that are separate entities (the "Mayer Brown Practices"). The Mayer Brown Practices are: Mayer Brown LLP and Mayer Brown EuropeBrussels LLP both limited liability partnerships established in Illinois USA; Mayer Brown International LLP, a limited liability partnership incorporated in England and Wales (authorized and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority and registered in England and Wales number OC 303359); Mayer Brown, a SELAS established in France; Mayer Brown JSM, a Hong Kong partnership and its associated entities in Asia; and Tauil & Chequer Advogados, a Brazilian law partnership with which Mayer Brown is associated. "Mayer Brown" and the Mayer Brown logo are the trademarks of the Mayer Brown Practices in their respective jurisdictions.

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Page 1: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Ad d Bi f l R d f Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime?

January  19, 2012

Mayer Brown is a global legal services provider comprising legal practices that are separate entities (the "Mayer Brown Practices"). The Mayer Brown Practices are: Mayer Brown LLP and Mayer Brown Europe‐Brussels LLP both limited liability partnerships established in Illinois USA; Mayer Brown International LLP, a limited liability partnership incorporated in England and Wales (authorized and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority and registered in England and Wales number OC 303359); Mayer Brown, a SELAS established in France; Mayer Brown JSM, a Hong Kong partnership and its associated entities in Asia; and Tauil & Chequer Advogados, a Brazilian law partnership with which Mayer Brown is associated. "Mayer Brown" and the Mayer Brown logo are the trademarks of the Mayer Brown Practices in their respective jurisdictions.

Page 2: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Moderator:

Paul ForresterPartnerMayer Brown

2

Page 3: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Panelist:

Mackinnon LawrenceSenior AnalystPike Research

3

Page 4: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Panelist:

John MayyManaging DirectorStern Brothers & Co.

4

Page 5: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Panelist:

Prabhakar NairVP Business DevelopmentLanzaTech

5

Page 6: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Panelist:

Dirk AndreasSVP Business Development NAEnerkem

6

Page 7: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Speakers

Q&A:

Ellen WesleyyPrincipalCarbonConnect

7

Page 8: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Global Biofuels OutlookAdvanced Biofuels: Ready for Primetime?

January 2012

Mackinnon LawrenceSenior Analyst

Page 9: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

About Pike Research

• Market research and consulting firm Focused on global cleantech markets Offices: United States, Europe, and Asia 5 practice areas

• Smart TransportationS t E• Smart Energy

• Smart Grid• Smart BuildingsS a u d gs• Smart Industry

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 9

Page 10: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Research Overview

• Published Biofuels Markets and Technologies (4Q 2011) Algae-Based Biofuels (4Q 2010)

• Pipeline Biochemicals & Products Integrated Biorefineries tracker

• NEW: Bioenergy Advisory Service

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 10

Page 11: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

1) Not “if”, but “when”

(Milli bbl/d )

$3.2 trillion fuel market…

IUnited States

RussiaSaudi Arabia

(Million bbl/day)

BrazilUAE

MexicoCanada

ChinaIran

European UnionIraq

VenezuelaNigeriaKuwait

Brazil

LibyaBiofuels

AngolaNorwayAlgeria

European Union

2011 Production2021 Projected

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 11

- 2 4 6 8 10 12

y

Page 12: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

2) Supply Chain Complexity

2000s 2010s

Soy Rapeseed

Corn

Sugarcane

Soy Rapeseed

Wood

Grasses

Algae

Corn

SugarcaneCamelina Jatropha

MSW

A t

ShippingShipping

Aviation Military

Maritime

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 12

Auto Auto Power

Chemicals

Page 13: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

3) Financing Challenges

• U.S. estimates to meet RFS2 (from USDA) Additional 528 biorefineries (@ 40 MGPY) $168 billion in infrastructure investment needed

• Pike Research global estimates (72 BGPY) Additional 1,056 biorefineries (@ 40 MGPY) $336 billion in infrastructure investment needed

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 13

Page 14: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Elephant in the Room

• $33.6 billion per year

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 14

Page 15: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Leading Biofuels Feedstocks

Global Biofuels Market Share by Feedstock, World Markets: 2010

Argentina ROW Mi d

U S

ChinaWheat or Rice

Soybean Mixed

U.S. CornEU

Rapeseed

BrazilSugarcane

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 15

Page 16: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Global Forecasts by Feedstock

Biofuels Production by Feedstock, World Markets: 2011-2021

50

60 Other

Sugar beet

Non Ag14

16

18 Other

Jatropha

Non Ag

30

40

Gal

lons

)

Molasses

Wheat

Biomass-based

Sugarcane 10

12

14

Gal

lons

)

g

Biomass-based

FOGs

Vegetable Oil

20

30

(Bill

ion Course Grains

4

6

8

(Bill

ion

-

10

2011 2021-

2

4

2011 2021

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 16

Ethanol Biodiesel

Page 17: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Global Forecasts by Fuel

Biofuels Demand & Production, World Markets: 2011-2021

70

80

Demand

ProductionCAGR = 8.4%Eth l $140 B

50

60

lons

Production Ethanol = $140 BBiodiesel = $46 B

20

30

40

Bill

ion

Gal

l

-

10

20

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 17

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Page 18: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

United States Outlook

Biofuels Demand and Production, United States: 2011-2021

30

35

Mandated (RFS2)Production

20

25

Gal

lons

)

10

15

(Bill

ion

G

-

5

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 18

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Page 19: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Obstacle 1: Policy Diffusion

Energy

Economic E i t l

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 19

Economic Environmental

Page 20: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Obstacle 2: End Markets

• Aviation biofuels 20% US market = 4.3 BGPY (2021) Concentrated demand centers

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 20

Page 21: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Obstacle 3: Feedstock Supply

• Feedstock supply chain challenges Rise of feedstock hubs:

• Midwest United StatesB ilW ld• Brazil World

• SE Asia China• Africa EUAfrica EU

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 21

Source: DOE EERE

Page 22: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Scoping Development

The best time to plant a tree is 20 years ago. The second best time is now.

• What are we investing in?• What are we investing in? Near-term?

• Offset crude oil dependency (good story for investors)• Offset crude oil dependency (good story for investors)• Mitigate climate change impacts• But, how do we quantify success? (e.g. ILUC)

Long-term?• Sustainable fuel infrastructure – for whom?

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 22

Page 23: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Advanced Biofuels Trends

1. Focus shifting to near-term revenue2. IPOs continue; increased consolidation3. Aviation emerging as key growth driverg g y g4. Waste-to-Fuels near-term success story5 Rise of the Integrated Biorefinery model5. Rise of the Integrated Biorefinery model

from Biofuels Markets & Technologies- from Biofuels Markets & Technologies

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 23

Page 24: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Contact Us

HEADQUARTERS

1320 Pearl Street Suite 3001320 Pearl Street, Suite 300Boulder, CO 80302

+1.303.997.7609

WORLDWIDE OFFICES

United States: Boulder, ColoradoWashington, DC

Europe: London, United Kingdom

Asia Pacific: Seoul, South Korea

General information: [email protected]

Sales inquiries: [email protected]

M di i i i @ ik h

Copyright © 2012 Pike Research 24

Media inquiries: [email protected]

Page 25: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

ADVANCED BIOFUELS: READYFOR PRIMETIME?

Chi Cl E AlliChicago Clean Energy AllianceChicago, IllinoisJanuary 19, 2012

John M. MayManaging Director

Head of the Alternative Energy Finance Group Stern Brothers & Co.

St. Louis, MO

Page 26: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

INTRODUCTION

• Stern Brothers, founded in 1917 and headquartered in St. Louis, is an investment banking firm that is focused on project financing (taxable and tax-exempt) for renewable energy, real estate, higher education and h lthhealthcare.

• Stern’s Alternative Energy Finance Group structures and places tax-exempt and taxable debt, and provides financial advisory services for e e pt a d ta ab e debt, a d p o des a c a ad so y se ces orenewable energy projects in the U.S.

• Second generation biofuels, biochemicals, biomass, solar, wind, waste-to-energy, landfill gas-to-energy, cogen, CHP, hydro, geothermalgeothermal

• Pipeline currently includes advanced biofuels, biochemicals, biomass, waste-to-energy, LFGTE, wind, solar, cogen / CHP.gy g

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Page 27: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS

• Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the research and development stages of many of biofuel and biochemical companies.

• As the industry has matured and the need for capital has increased, biofuel and biochemical companies have had to look for another source of capital.o cap ta

• Over the last few years, some biofuel and biochemical companies have been able to turn to the IPO market as a means of raising capital to fund company growthcompany growth.

• Since 2009, six biofuel or biochemical companies have filed and priced IPOs

• 10 other companies have filed registration statements and are p gworking towards an IPO

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Page 28: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

RECENT IPOs and IPO FILINGSPriced Filed Company Ticker Product Amount1

06-24-11 04-11-11 KiOR KIOR Biofuels $150,000,000

05-27-11 03-11-11 Solazyme SZYM Biofuels $197,550,000

04 20 11 11 08 10 Mi i N E MNEL Bi f l $25 065 00004-20-11 11-08-10 Mission NewEnergy MNEL Biofuels $25,065,000

02-10-11 08-12-10 Gevo GEVO Biochemicals $107,250,000

09-28-10 04-16-10 Amyris AMRS Biofuels $84,800,000

04-22-10 12-28-09 Codexis CDXS Biofuels $78,000,000

Pending 11-14-11 BioAmber Inc. BIOA Biochemicals NA

Pending 09-22-11 Fulcrum Bioenergy FLCM Biofuels NA

Pending 09-21-11 Elevance Renewable Sciences ERSI Biochemicals NA

Pending 09 16 11 Mascoma MCM Biofuels NAPending 09-16-11 Mascoma MCM Biofuels NA

Pending 08-23-11 Genomatica GENO Biofuels NA

Pending 07-18-11 Renewable Energy Group REGI Biofuels NA

Pending 06-29-11 Luca Technologies LUCA Biofuels NA

Pending 05-27-11 Myriant MYRT Biochemicals NA

Pending 05-23-11 Ceres CERE Biofuels NA

Pending 08-11-10 PetroAlgae PALG Biofuels NA

1 D t t k i t t th i f th ll t t ti

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1 Does not take into account the exercise of the overallotment option

Page 29: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

ALTERNATE CAPITAL SOURCE: PROJECT FINANCE

• The IPO market has provided a source of capital for biofuel companies, however these companies are looking for alternate financing options that can maximize returns and not tie-up liquidity.

• Project finance can provide an alternate capital source for public or private companies looking for construction financing.

• Debt provided for project development solely based on projects’Debt provided for project development solely based on projects perceived risks and expected future cash flows

• Debt providers either have no recourse or only limited recourse to parent company that develops or “sponsors” project

• For equity investors, equity returns maximized, significant liabilities moved off balance sheet, key assets protected and opportunities for tax financing monetization

29

Page 30: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

ALTERNATE CAPITAL SOURCE: PROJECT FINANCE

Typical Project Finance Schematic

Equity Investors

Sponsor Project Level Equity Investors Debt Providers

Project Company (Borrower)

Offtake Agreements

Feedstock Agreements

O&M AgreementEPC ContractTechnology

License Agreements

30

Page 31: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

BONDS AND PROJECT FINANCE

• Along with equity, traditional sources of capital for project finance include bank debt and tax equity.

Th h di d bl i th b k k t d th ll• The much-discussed problems in the bank market and the smaller appetite of tax equity buyers have led renewable energy developers to seek new sources of capital for project finance.

• Stern Brothers pioneered the use of bonds to finance the development of renewable energy projects in 2003.

Bonds can be sole source of debt or a complement to bank debt and• Bonds can be sole source of debt or a complement to bank debt and offer structural advantages such as longer tenor, lower interest rate and flexible amortization that improve equity returns.

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Page 32: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

BANK VS. BOND MARKET

Issue Banks Bonds

Large Transactions Syndication Risk Access to incremental pool of investor capital

Complex Transactions Prefer “cookie cutter” deals Good for “story” credits in emerging markets

Timing Slow (9-12 months) Fast (4-6 months)

Cost Expensive Cheaper

Technology Risk Less likely to accept Ability to mitigate some technology risk and accept gy y p y g gy presidual

Construction Risk Will assume with proper controls (IE) Will assume with “bank like” controls

Capitalized Interest None Raised at financial close

Drawdowns Timed to construction schedule Disbursed at closing (negative carry in steep curve a do s ed to co st uct o sc edu e sbu sed at c os g ( egat e ca y steep cu eenvironment)

Tenor Shorter (5-7 years) Longer (15-20 years)

Interest Rate Higher, Floating Lower, Fixed Rate

Covenants More restrictive Less restrictiveCovenants More restrictive Less restrictive

Amortization Usually straight line or mortgage style Flexible—can be sculpted to match cash flow & meet ratios

Cash Sweeps Customary Not customary

Prepayments Customary Make whole provisions (call premium)

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Prepayments Customary Make whole provisions (call premium)

Page 33: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

AVERAGE PROJECT RATINGS

Source: Fitch Renewable Energy Forum 6/23/11Note: Includes Public, Private Ratings and Credit Assessments

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Page 34: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

BOND CREDIT ENHANCEMENT MECHANISMS

• Currently, the average biofuels or biochemicals project reviewed by the rating agencies finds itself well below the investment grade threshold due to factors such as technology risk, construction or scale-up risk or f d t k i kfeedstock risk.

• There are various credit enhancement mechanisms that can be employed to help mitigate these risks and allow the bonds to be priced e p oyed to e p t gate t ese s s a d a o t e bo ds to be p cedat a more reasonable interest rate level.

• Third Party InsuranceThird party insurers with both the technical expertise and• Third party insurers with both the technical expertise and balance sheets bond investors consider investment grade have begun offering highly tailored technology warranties that may support a bond funded project financingpp p j g

34

Page 35: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

BOND CREDIT ENHANCEMENT MECHANISMS

• State and Local Government Credit Enhancement• State and local governments have a history of supporting

alternative energy projectsS t f l t d itti t b t ti l• Support can range from accelerated permitting to substantial support in the form of guaranteeing the debt through a “Moral Obligation”

• The United States Department of Agriculture• The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has a portfolio of

programs of which the most interesting to biofuel developers is the 9003 Biorefinery Assistance Programthe 9003 Biorefinery Assistance Program

• The 9003 Biorefinery Assistance Program supports the commercialization of innovative biorefining technologies that produce fuels and other productsp p

• Companies that use waste as feedstock qualify for the program, which has a maximum loan amount of $250 million

• 9003 has a sliding scale for the percentage of the loan guaranteed ranging from 90% to 60%

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guaranteed, ranging from 90% to 60%

Page 36: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

BOND CREDIT ENHANCEMENT MECHANISMS

• Export Finance Agency Loan Guarantees• Most OECD member countries have an export finance agency

whose goal is to support the export sales of goods and services f th i tfrom their country

• The majority have project finance programs that can guarantee loans and many have a policy of supporting alternative energy and sustainabilitya d susta ab ty

• The amount of the loan guarantee from an export finance agency is based on percentage of domestic content (either goods or services) to be exported to a foreign buyerThat loan guarantee becomes a 100& unconditional repayment• That loan guarantee becomes a 100& unconditional repayment obligation of the export finance agency whose credit rating is equivalent to its national government’s credit rating

• Export finance agency financing require goods and service to p g y g q gmove across borders

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Page 37: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

NEW MARKET TAX CREDITS (NMTC) – ANOTHER SOURCE OF PROJECT CAPITALSOURCE OF PROJECT CAPITAL

• Improves capital structure by introducing capital with de minimis claim on project cash flowp j

• NMTC capital subsidy equal to approximately 20% of the NMTC Allocation

• Challenges related to the principal repayment schedule and reduced rights and remedies associated with the NMTC Leveraged Loan structure:

• Leveraged Loan is interest only for 7 years• Leveraged Lender receives an indirect security interest in the

physical assets of project• Leveraged Lender agrees to forebear during 7 year complianceLeveraged Lender agrees to forebear during 7 year compliance

period to avoid recapture of tax credits• Proceeds from project level loan foreclosure would likely be

reinvested in a new qualified project and not returned to the

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Leveraged Lender during first 6 years of Leveraged Loan

Page 38: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

NEW MARKET TAX CREDITS (NMTC) – ANOTHER SOURCE OF PROJECT CAPITALSOURCE OF PROJECT CAPITAL

• Leveraged Lenders require a higher interest rate to compensate for the increased risk from delayed principal repayment and their reduced y p p p yrights and remedies during the 7 year NMTC compliance period, often eroding the benefits of the NMTC capital subsidy.

• Stern Brothers advocates investing Sponsor Equity as “Leveraged• Stern Brothers advocates investing Sponsor Equity as Leveraged Loan” into NMTC structure to avoid issues associated with third party debt while still generating low-cost non-dilutive capital.

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Page 39: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

John M. MayManaging Director

H d f Alt ti E Fi GHead of Alternative Energy Finance GroupStern Brothers & Co.(Office) 314 743 4026(Office) 314.743.4026(Cell) 314.583.2130

8000 Maryland Avenue Suite 800ySt. Louis, MO 63105

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Page 40: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Carbon Capture and Reuse:New Approaches for

Carbon Capture and Reuse:New Approaches forNew Approaches for Producing BiofuelsNew Approaches for Producing Biofuels

P. NairLanzaTech US

P. NairLanzaTech US

Clean Air Alliance ConferenceChicago, January 19, 2012 

© 2012 LanzaTech Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 41: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Company Profile200 Founded in January 2005

Funding– Series A: Khosla Ventures - $US 12M in 2007– Series B: Qiming Ventures - $US 18M in 2010– Series C: Burrill MLSF - $US 56M in 2011

TeamCSO/Founder: Dr. Sean Simpson

– 80 staff– Synthetic Biologyy gy– Analytical– Engineering

– Auckland (New Zealand), Chicago (USA) and Shanghai (China)

IP Portfolio100 t t fil d– >100 patents filed

– 2 proprietary microbe families41

Page 42: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

The LanzaTech Process

Novel gas fermentation technology captures CO-rich

gases and converts the carbon to fuels and chemicals

Gas feed stream

to fuels and chemicals

Gas reception Compression Fermentation Recovery Producttanktank

• Gases are sole source of energy• Production of fuels and chemicals• Potential to make material impact on the future energy pool

(>100s of billions of gallons per year)• Completely outside of the food value chain• Biofuel, carbon capture and energy efficiency technology solution

42

Page 43: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

Potential for Significant Impact

30 billi l/

Ethanol PotentialFrom LanzaTech Process

1 4 billion 30 billion gal/yr

Steel Industry

1.4 billiontons steel/yr Globally

190 billion gal/yr1.3 billiontons/yr potential in US

Biomasstons/yr potential in US

• Access to opportunity and on purpose derived gas streams• Potential to make significant impact on the fuel pool

N i t f d d ti• No impact on food production

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Page 44: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

LanzaTech Gas to Liquid PlatformHHH2H2COCOCOCO H2H2 CO2CO2 CO2CO2Resources

Native EngineeringCustomized

SyntheticControlChemistry

Customized Catalysts

C4• BDO

C2• Ethanol

C3• i-propanol

C5• Isoprene

Other• PHBProduct Suite • n-Butanol

• i-Butanol• Succinic acid

• Acetic acid • acetone • …….Product Suite

Thermochemical ApproachesH d b F lProduct Suite

OlefinsChemicalsChemical

Intermediates

Hydrocarbon Fuels (diesel, jet, gasoline)

44Confidential Business Information

Page 45: Advanced Biofuels – Ready for Primetime? · 1/19/2012  · IPO MARKET FOR BIOFUELS AND BIOCHEMICALS • Venture capital and private equity have been the source of capital for the

A Fast Path to Commercialization

Pilot CommercialDemonstration

2008 20134Q20112008

– 15,000 gallons ethanol per yearBl S t l ill NZ

2013

– >30 million gallons per yearB t l

– 100,000 gallons ethanol per yearB t l

4Q2011

– BlueScope steel mill, NZ– Operating since 2008

– Baosteel– Baosteel

45

Commercial Production by 2013

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Steel Mill Value Proposition

30%

Gas 0.14

0.16

0.18

20%

Proj

ect I

RR

/Cub

ic M

eter

G

0.08

0.1

0.12

0

10%

US$

/

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

BOF Gas from steel mill

0PowerLT Ethanol

PlantPowerLT

Ethanol

0

Key assumptions– Ethanol Plant: 33 million gal/yr Capacity– Power: 53 MW Combined co-gen Gas turbine @ 42% efficiency – Electricity at $0.085/kWhr; Ethanol at $2.50/gallon

46

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CO2: A Carbon Source for Chemical Synthesis

Gas-to-liquidsFuels

Gas to liquidsGas

fermentationProduct recovery Storage

AcetateCO2

+ PolymersH2

y

CO2 uptake and capture demonstrated i ti f t ti

Chemicals

in a continuous fermentation• CO2 is the carbon source, H2 is the energy source for product synthesis• Developed for waste coking gas applicationsDeveloped for waste coking gas applications• Productivity of 90g/l/day demonstrated at lab scale

47

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Rapid DeploymentMinimal competition for industrial waste gases -only alternatives are cogen or heating

Multiple plants per partnerSteel

RefiningChemicals

WasteCoal

Waste Biomass

48Potential >350 M gal/yr from existing agreements/MoUs

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Hydrocarbon Fuels Process

* Gas Feed Stream

AlcoholMixture

Gas Reception Fermentation Recovery Chemical Synthesis Rectification Diesel Jet Gasoline

G F d StGas Feed Stream• CO from Industrial Waste Gases• Syngas from Biomass, MSW, Reformed Natural Gas or Other Sources

N l R t t D i H d b F l

49

Novel Route to Drop in Hydrocarbon FuelsKey Enabler: Price and Availability of Alcohol

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Commercialization of Aviation Fuel

Imperial College of London

Team Work is Key to Success50

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Aerial View of LanzaTech Freedom PinesProduct

Woodyard &

Product Storage Loadout

Biomass

Woodyard & Biomass Handling

Biomass Conversion

Water Treatment & Storage

Char Removal

Syngas Cleanup

Syngas Catalytic Conversion

Image Copyright Range Fuels Inc.(Use with permission)

125 tpd Infrastructure in Place

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A Sensible Path…

W t f EWaste for EnergyAligns:

Industrial Growth

Industrial Growth Energy Energy Energy

EfficiencyEnergy

EfficiencyGrowthGrowth SecuritySecurity EfficiencyEfficiency

Allows:

LandLand To Produce Food

To Produce Food For PeopleFor People

52

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Summary

LanzaTech is on a strong commercialization trajectory LanzaTech is creating a technology platform which couldLanzaTech is creating a technology platform which could

have a material impact on the future of energy, chemicals, carbon and waste LanzaTech is creating the partnerships required to create LanzaTech is creating the partnerships required to create

commercial success– Technology– Business

Positioned to Lead53

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CREATING VALUE FROM WASTE

Chicago Clean Energy Alliance –“Advanced Biofuels: Ready for Primetime?”

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved.

Dirk E. Andreas, SVP, Business Development - January 2012

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Answering today’s main challenges with Advanced Biofuels

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 55

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Solving a mounting challenge

25

30

16

18

20

n to

ns p

er y

ear

Years15

20

10

12

14

Mill

ion

5

10

2

4

6

8

00

2

Michigan IIIinois Indiana Wisconsin Minnesota Iowa Ohio

MSW landfilled (tons/year) Remaining capacity (in years)

Total MSW landfilled in U.S = 318 M tons (289 M metric tons)Remaining landfill capacity in U.S. = approx. 19 years

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 56

Source: 2009, Waste Business Journal 2011

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Creating value from wasteProprietary clean technology

Has minimal air emissions. Meets Developed in-house over 10 yearsregulatory environmental standards Primarily focusing on commercial

production of cellulosic ethanol from MSW

Chemically-recycles carbon molecules found in waste Uses relatively low temperatures

and pressures

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 57

MSWand pressures

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Enerkem’s key partners

Government Support Strategic Investors/Partnerships

VC & Institutional Financial Support

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 58

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Enerkem’s locations2 operating and 1 full-scale under construction

1

Westbury, Quebec, Canada

Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada – Pilot Plant1

2

Type: Commercial Demoyp

Status: Operating since 2009

Feedstock: Treated wood

Capacity: 1.3 MGPY (5 M litres/year)

Edmonton, Alberta, Canada3

Type: Commercial

Status: Under construction

Pontotoc, Mississippi, U.S.A.4

Feedstock: Post-sorted MSW

Capacity: 10 MGPY (36 M litres/year)

Type: Commercial

Status: Under development

Feedstock: Post-sorted MSW

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 59

Capacity: 10 MGPY (36 M litres/year)Headquarters: Montreal, Quebec

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Operating commercial demonstration facilityWestbury, Quebec

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 60

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Full-scale commercial facilityEdmonton, Alberta

Type: Commercial

Owner/ EnerkemOwner/ Operator:

Enerkem (Enerkem Alberta Biofuels LP)

Status: Construction expected to be completed for end of 2012

Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Capacity: Input: 350 metric tons per day

Output: 10 million gallons /

Facility Groundbreaking Event

Output: 10 million gallons /36 million litres per year

Feedstock: 25-year agreement with theCity of Edmonton for100,000 metric tons of sorted

Expected to increase Edmonton’s municipal waste ,

municipal solid waste per year

Products: Methanol, followed by cellulosic ethanol

pdiversion rate to 90%

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 61

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Commercial facility under constructionEdmonton, Alberta

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 62

August 2011

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Full-scale commercial facility Pontotoc, Mississippi

Type: Commercial

Owner/ EnerkemOwner/ Operator:

Enerkem (Enerkem Mississippi Biofuels LLC)

Status: Under development

Location: Pontotoc, Mississippi, USA

Capacity: Input: 350 metric tons per day

Output: 10 million gallons /

3D representation of the future plant

Output: 10 million gallons /36 million litres per year

Feedstock: Mix of feedstocks comprisingmunicipal solid waste ( d d id )

Selected to receive funding from(and wood residues)

Products: Cellulosic Ethanol

funding from U.S. DOE and USDA

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 63

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Summary of Enerkem’s modelKey success factors

• Cost-effective plant model Flexible technology

Modular and scalable design

• Create significant economic benefitsCreate employment opportunities

L l d i l i d l t

g

• Provide a sustainable waste solution Lower need for new landfills

Local and regional economic development

• Displace reliance on oil and petroleum Secure source of domestic renewable fuel

Diminish landfill methane gas emissions

• Use sustainable feedstockNon-food feedstock and no land use impact

Secure source of domestic renewable fuel

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 64

Non-food feedstock and no land use impact

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Dirk E. AndreasSenior Vice PresidentBusiness Development, North [email protected](847) 867- 8536

* * * * *

To learn more: www.enerkem.com

© Enerkem 2012. All rights reserved. 65

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