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AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota
2017ReportoftheInteragencyClimateAdaptationTeam
May2017
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May2017
ReportcoordinatorPaulMoss,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(InteragencyClimateAdaptationTeamCoordinator)
ReportcontributorsDavidBell,MinnesotaDepartmentofHealthKennethBlumenfeld,StateClimatologyOffice,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesAnnaHenderson,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard(formerposition)LindaHenning,MetropolitanCouncilKariHowe,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopmentKarenJensen,MetropolitanCouncilWayneLamoreaux,MinnesotaDepartmentofPublicSafety-DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagementValerieMcClannahan,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesKevinMcDonald,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgencyLauraMillberg,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgencyJenniferNelson,MinnesotaDepartmentofPublicSafety-DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagementRobertPatton,MinnesotaDepartmentofAgricultureJoshuaPennington,MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairsSharonPfeifer,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesKatiePratt,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoardKristinRaab,MinnesotaDepartmentofHealthAliceRemillard,MinnesotaDepartmentofCorrectionsDougRenier,MinnesotaDepartmentofCommerceKatieRetka,MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairsTimothySexton,MinnesotaDepartmentofTransportationWillSeuffert,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoardDanShaw,MinnesotaBoardofWaterandSoilResourcesBrianTimerson,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgencyDeniseWilson,MinnesotaDepartmentofAdministrationEmilyZiring,MinnesotaStateCollegesandUniversities
EditingTheresaGaffey,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Thisreportisavailableonlineatwww.pca.state.mn.usandinalternativeformatsuponrequest.Contact:651-296-6300|800-657-3864|Oruseyourpreferredrelayservice.|[email protected]:p-gen4-07c
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May2017
Summary................................................................................................................................1
Minnesota’sclimatebackground............................................................................................2
ClimateobservationsandtrendsinMinnesota:Whathaschangedandwhathasnot?.........................2ProjectedclimatechangesinMinnesota................................................................................9
Continuedrapidlossofcoldweatherextremesandenhancementofextremeprecipitation................9Morehotdayslikelyandmoredroughtpossible...................................................................................10Otherhazards.........................................................................................................................................11
ImpactsofclimatechangeinMinnesota................................................................................12
Increasingtemperatureandextremeheat............................................................................................12Airquality...............................................................................................................................................13Drought..................................................................................................................................................14Extremeweatherevents........................................................................................................................14Changingseasonalityandlongertermecologicalchanges....................................................................16
Connectionbetweenclimateadaptationandmitigation.......................................................17
Minnesotastateagencyresponsestoclimateimpacts..........................................................18
MinnesotaDepartmentofAgriculture...................................................................................................18MinnesotaDepartmentofCommerce...................................................................................................21MinnesotaDepartmentofHealth..........................................................................................................23MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairs.............................................................................................27MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources.......................................................................................29MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard...............................................................................................34MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency.....................................................................................................36MinnesotaDepartmentofPublicSafety,DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement................................................................................................................................................................44MinnesotaDepartmentofTransportation.............................................................................................45MinnesotaBoardofWaterandSoilResources......................................................................................50MetropolitanCouncil.............................................................................................................................52
Statewideclimateadaptationindicators...............................................................................57
Climateadaptationplanningbystateagencies,localunitsofgovernmentandtribalgovernments....58Disruptionstothepowergrid................................................................................................................58Emergencydepartmentdataforheat-relatedhealthimpacts..............................................................59Inflationadjusteddamagesfromextremeweather..............................................................................60Canopycoverofurbanandcommunityforests.....................................................................................61
Recommendationsforaction................................................................................................62
Resources..............................................................................................................................64
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20171
SummaryClimatechangeisalreadyoccurringinMinnesotaanditsimpactsareaffectingourstate’senvironment,economy,andcommunities.Minnesotastategovernmentisconcernedabouttheimpactsofachangingclimateonournaturalresources,economy,health,andqualityoflife,andistakingactiontoaddresstheseemergingchallenges.Workonclimatechangecanbecategorizedintotwoareas:adaptationandmitigation.Climateadaptation,thefocusofthisreport,isdefinedasdevelopingandimplementingstrategies,initiatives,andmeasurestohelphumanandnaturalsystemsprepareforandaddressclimatechangeimpacts.Stateagenciesareworkingtoadapttoachangingclimateandmanageitsrisksbybuildingamoreresilientstate.Climatechangemitigationemphasizesreducinggreenhousegasemissionswiththegoaloflimitingthemagnitudeorprogressionofclimatechange.Minnesotastategovernmenthasanumberofpoliciesandlawsinplacethathavehelpedusmakesignificantprogresstowardourgreenhousegasreductiongoals,includingthe2007NextGenerationEnergyAct.Thesectionofthisreport,ClimateAdaptationandMitigation,outlineshowthesetwoapproachesarecomplementarytoeachother.
This2017InteragencyClimateAdaptationTeam(ICAT)reportupdatespreviousreportsfromthisteam,andrepresentsacontinuingandevolvingstepinaplanningprocessbyMinnesotastategovernment.ThisrevisedreporthighlightsstepstakenbystateagenciessincethepreviousICATreportin2013toadapttoachangingclimate,reducerisksandimpacts,andincreasetheresilienceofourcommunities.
SinceJuly2009,MinnesotastateagencieshavebeencollaboratingonclimateadaptationeffortsthroughICAT.ICATcurrentlyincludesrepresentativesfromthefollowingMinnesotastatedepartmentsandagencies:Administration,Agriculture,Commerce(DivisionofEnergyResources),Corrections,EmploymentandEconomicDevelopment,EnvironmentalQualityBoard,Health,MilitaryAffairs,NaturalResources(includingtheStateClimatologyOffice),PollutionControl,PublicSafety(DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement),Transportation,WaterandSoilResources,aswellastheMetropolitanCouncilandMinnesotaStateCollegesandUniversities.
ICATpreparedapreliminaryreportinAugust2010,AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota,whichwasfollowedupwitha2013reportofthesametitle.This2017reportupdatesandexpandsonthe2013document.Thepurposeofthisupdatedreportisto:
• FurtherdescribeobservedandprojectedclimateimpactsinMinnesota.• OutlineMinnesotastateagencyactivitiesthatarehelpingtoadapttoclimatechange.• Providerecommendationsforfuturestateactionandinteragencycollaboration.
Complementarytothisinteragencyeffortwithinstategovernment,UniversityofMinnesotaExtensionandtheUniversityofMinnesota’sWaterResourcesCentercoordinatetheMinnesotaClimateAdaptationPartnership(MCAP),whichbringstogetherfederalandstateagencies,organizations,andindividualsstatewidewithaninterestinclimateadaptation.MCAPservesasavaluablenetworkingandeducationalresourcetoconnectandeducateprofessionalsworkingintheclimateadaptationfieldandsponsorsastatewideclimateadaptationconference.Thisyear,insteadofastandaloneconference,theMinnesotaconferencehasbeenintegratedintotheNationalAdaptationForuminSaintPaulonMay9-11,2017.
Minnesotaisoneofagrowingnumberofstategovernmentsworkingtoaddressclimateadaptation.AwiderangeofadaptationplanningactivitiesinotherstatesaredescribedontheGeorgetownClimateCenter’swebsiteathttp://www.georgetownclimate.org/adaptation/plans.htmlandtheCenterforClimateandEnergySolutions’websiteathttps://www.c2es.org/us-states-regions/policy-maps/adaptation.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20172
Minnesota’sclimatebackgroundMinnesota’spositionnearthecenterofNorthAmerica,halfwaybetweentheEquatorandtheNorthPole,subjectsustoanexceptionalvarietyofweather.Duringthecourseofasingleyear,mostMinnesotanswillexperienceblindingsnow,bitterwindchills,howlingwinds,poundingthunderstorms,torrentialrains,andheatwaves,aswellasdozensofbrightandsunnydays.GiventhehighvariabilitythatweexpectfromMinnesota’sclimate,itcanbedifficulttodiscernwhere,when,andhowclimaticconditionshavechangedinourstate.
Theconditions,however,havechangedrapidly,andanoverwhelmingbaseofscientificevidenceprojectsthatMinnesota’sclimatewillseeadditionalsignificantchangesthroughtheendofthe21st
century.Overthelastseveraldecades,thestatehasexperiencedsubstantialwarmingduringwinterandatnight,withincreasedprecipitationthroughouttheyear,oftenfromlargerandmorefrequentheavyrainfallevents.Thesechangesalonehavedamagedbuildingsandinfrastructure,limitedrecreationalopportunities,alteredourgrowingseasons,impactednaturalresources,andaffectedtheconditionsoflakes,rivers,wetlands,andourgroundwateraquifersthatprovidewaterfordrinkingandirrigation.TheyearsanddecadesaheadinMinnesotawillbringevenwarmerwintersandnights,andevenlargerrainfalls,inadditiontootherclimaticchangesnotyetexperiencedinthestate.
ClimateobservationsandtrendsinMinnesota:Whathaschangedandwhathasnot?In2014,theU.S.GlobalChangeResearchProgramcompleteditsthirdNationalClimateAssessment.ThiscomprehensivescientificreviewofthestateofclimatechangesciencedemonstratedthattheU.S.isalreadyseeingincreasingtemperatures,largerrainfallswithincreasedflash-flooding,heaviersnowstorms,moresevereheatwaves,andworseningdroughtconditionsinsomeareas.WithinparticularregionsoftheU.S.,someoftheseobservedchangesaremoreintense,somearelessintense,andsomearenegligibleornotyetoccurring.
BoththesciencesummarizedintheNationalClimateAssessmentandhigh-qualityclimaticdatashowthatinMinnesotaandtheMidwest,risingtemperatureshavebeendrivenbyadramaticwarmingofwinterandalsonights,withboththefrequencyandtheseverityofextremecoldconditionsdecliningrapidly.Annualprecipitationincreaseshavebeenpunctuatedbymorefrequentandmoreintenseheavyrainfallevents.Theheaviestsnowstormshavealsobecomelarger,evenaswinterhaswarmed(seeFigure1).
SeveralotherchangesnotedelsewhereintheU.S.andworldhavenotyetbeenobservedinMinnesota.Forinstance,summerhightemperatureshavenotincreasedinseveraldecades,andheatwaveshavenotworsenedwhencomparedtohistoricalpatterns.DroughtsinMinnesotaalsohaveshownnolong-termincreaseinmagnitude,duration,orgeographiccoverage.Tornadoes,largehail,anddamagingthunderstormwindsaredifficulttocomparehistoricallybutshowacomplextendencytowardmore“outbreaks”consistingofmultipleeventsatatime,thoughnoincreasesinoverallnumbersorseverity.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20173
Figure1
SnapshotofobservedtrendsamongcommonweatherhazardsinMinnesota,andconfidencethatthosehazardsarechanginginresponsetoclimatechange.Graphicbasedoninformationfrom2014NationalClimateAssessmentanddataanalyzedbytheMinnesotaDNRStateClimatologyOffice.
ObservedwarminginMinnesotaMinnesota’swarmingiswellunderway,withannualtemperaturesincreasingatanaveragerateofnearlyaquarterdegreeFahrenheit(F)perdecadesince1895.Muchofthetotalwarming,however,hasbeenconcentratedinthemostrecentseveraldecades,withwarmingratesaveragingnearlyahalfadegreeperdecadesince1970.Thethreemostrecent10-yearperiods(through2015)havebeenbyfarthewarmestonrecord.Boththelong-termandrecentratesofwarminginMinnesotaarefasterthannationalandglobaltrends.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20174
Figure2
Minnesotaannualtemperaturecomparisonsbetweenconsecutive10-yearperiodsandthe1895-1960average(blackline).CourtesyofMinnesotaStateClimatologyOffice.DatafromNationalCentersforEnvironmentalInformation(http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series).
ColdweatherwarmingManypeoplearesurprisedtolearnthatmuchoftheobservedtemperatureincreaseinMinnesotahasnotresultedfrommorewarmweather,butinsteadfrommajorreductionsincoolandcoldweather.ThemajorityofMinnesota’swarminghastakenplacewhereandwhenit’susuallythecoldest—namelyduringwinter,atnight,andespeciallyinthenorthernpartsofthestate.
Ourstateisrenownedforitsseverewinters,buttheseinparticularhavebeenlesscommoninrecentdecades,ascoldweatherextremeshavebecomerare.Simplyput,wedon’tgetascoldasweusedto,anditisnowincreasinglycommonforMinnesotacommunitiestofailtoreachformerlycommon“coldweatherbenchmarks.”
Forexample,ofthe50wintersfrom1944-45through1993-94,onlysixfailedtoproduceareadingof-40°FatanofficialweatherobservingsiteinMinnesota.Bycontrast,nineofthelast22wintershavefailedtodoso,meaningthatitisnowoverthreetimesmorelikelythatMinnesotawillnotseea-40°readingthanitwashistorically.AlthoughsomeMinnesotansviewanywarmingduringwinterasamajorimprovement,therealityisthatwehavealreadybeguntoseedetrimentalimpactsonournaturalresourcesandavailabilityofpopularwinterrecreationalactivitiessuchasicefishingandskiing.
Althoughit’smostnoticeableinwinter,this“coldweatherwarming”isaffectingthelowesttemperaturesofeachofourseasons,andaccountsforthemajorityofourobservedannualwarming.Summerhasindeedgottenwarmer,especiallyinthepastfewdecades,butthiswarminghasbeenobservedalmostentirelyduringthenight,whendailyminimumtemperaturesarerecorded.Summer
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20175
hightemperaturesareactuallyfallingslightlyinthesouthernpartsofMinnesota.Winterlowtemperatures,ontheotherhand,havebeenwarmingdramaticallyacrosstheentirestate,andespeciallyinthenorth(seeFigure3).Thegeographicandseasonalpatternsofobservedwarmingareconsistentwithchangesexpectedfromincreasedatmosphericgreenhousegases,becausethosegasestrapheatescapingfromtheearth,andthemajorityofheatescapeswhenthereislittleornoincomingsunlight—duringwinterandatnight.
Figure3
Comparisonsoftotalchangebetween1895and2015using30-yearaveragingperiods,forannualaveragetemperature,winterlowtemperature,andsummerhightemperaturesoverthenorthern,central,andsouthernportionsofthestate.Valueswereobtainedbysubtractingtheaverageofthefirst30yearsofrecord(1895-1924)fromtheaverageofthelast30yearsofrecord(1986-2015).Eachregionisablendofthreeclimaticdivisions,asdefinedbytheNationalCentersforEnvironmentalInformation(https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/maps/us-climate-divisions.php),whichisalsothesourceforthedivisionalclimatedataused(http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series).MapspreparedbyMinnesotaStateClimatologyOffice.
IncreasedprecipitationHighertemperaturesgloballyhaveevaporatedmoresurfaceandoceanwaterintotheatmosphere,whichinturnhasprovidedmorepotentialmoistureforprecipitatingweathersystems.InMinnesota,theresulthasbeenincreasedprecipitation,withannualtotalsincreasingatanaveragerateofjustoveraquarterinchperdecadestatewidesince1895(seeFigure4).
Thisprecipitationincreaseisfoundinallseasons,butspringandsummerarebecomingwetteratfasterratesthanfallandwinter.Whereastemperatureincreaseshavebeengreatestinthenorthernpartsofthestate,precipitationincreaseshavebeenwelldistributedgeographically,andhavesomewhatfavoredsouthernMinnesota,whichhasbetteraccesstomoisturefromtheGulfofMexico,andismorefrequentlynearthe“low-leveljet”airflow(arelativelyfast-movingzoneofwindsintheloweratmosphere)thatinfluencesprecipitationproduction.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20176
Figure4
Statewideaverageannualprecipitation,1895-2015.The1895-2015trend(soliddarkgreenline)isbasedonlinearstatisticaltechniquesanddoesnotimplyanexactdecade-by-decadeprecipitationincrease.Source:NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration(NOAA)ClimateataGlance(http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/)
HeavyrainfallandunprecedentedextremesHeavyrainfalleventsinMinnesotaarealreadybecominglargerandmorecommon,andhavebeencontributingtoanincreasingshareofannualprecipitationinMinnesota.Forinstance,thestatehas40dailyweatherobservingsiteswhoserecordsstretchback100years.One-inchrainfallsatthesesiteshavebeenupto26%morefrequentduringthepast40yearsthanthe1916-1960average.Thesingleheaviestrainfallamountrecordedamongthose40siteseachyearhasincreasedbynearlyaninchsince1916,andthesingleheaviestrainfallamountrecordedper10-yearintervalhasroughlydoubled(fromjustoverfiveinchestojustover10inches)duringthatsameperiod(seeFigure5).
ResearchspecifictotheUpperMidwestindicatesthatthephysicalmechanismssupportingheavyrainfalleventsinMinnesotaarelikelytohavebegunintensifyinginresponsetoclimatechange.Thisresearchalsoshowsthatthesemajoreventsmaybetakingplaceearlierduringthegrowingseasonthanthehistoricalaverage.Thus,inadditiontoincreasesinthefrequencyandintensityofheavyrainfall,itsseasonaltimingmaybeexpandingacrossthecalendar.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20177
Figure5
Changesinthefrequencyofone-inchrainfallsrelativetothe1916-1960average(verticalbars),from40long-termstationsinMinnesota.Alsoshownarethe10-yearaverage(lowerdottedline,rightaxis)and10-yearmaximumvalues(uppersolidline,rightaxis)oftheheaviestsinglerainfallamountrecordedeachyearatanyofthe40stations.Notethatthe10-yearmaximumvaluehasdoubledfromjustoverfiveinchesatthebeginningoftherecord,tojustover10inchesattheendoftherecord.CourtesyofMinnesotaStateClimatologyOffice.
Inadditiontoincreasesinthefrequencyandmagnitudeofheavyrain,Minnesotahasalsoseenadramaticincreaseinlarge-coverageflashfloodseventsinrecentyears.Sincetheyear2000,thestatehashadsevencatastrophic“mega-rainevents”—whenatleastsixinchesofrainfallsonanareagreaterthan1,000squaremiles.The30yearsfrom1970through1999sawonlyfoursuchstorms,and2016becamethefirstyearonrecordwithmorethanone.Incidentally,themega-rainssince2000haveincludedthelargest,earliest,andlatestonrecord,suggestingthatweareseeingnotjustanintensification,butalsoalengtheningofourheavyandextremerainfallseason.
NoknownchangeintornadoesandsevereconvectivestormsTornadoes,straight-linewinds,andlargehailarearegularpartofMinnesota’swarm-seasonclimate,anddonotappeartobeworseninginresponsetoclimatechange.Unfortunately,seriousstudyoftrendsamongthesehazardsislimitedbyinconsistenttrackingandmeasurementovertime.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20178
Sincethe1990s,personalelectronics,socialmedia,improvedforecasting,andspottertrainingprogramshaveallledtoincreasedreportingofsmallandgenerallyweaktornadoes.Minnesotahasnot,however,seenanincreaseindamagingtornadoesratedF1orgreater(EF-1orgreaterbeginningin2007;seeFigure6).Thenumberofdayswithdamagingtornadoeshasnotincreasedeither,andtheseobservationsareconsistentwiththosereportedaroundtheU.S.inthe2014NationalClimateAssessment.Thus,atpresent,thereisnoindicationthatclimatechangeisaffectingthecharacterofMinnesota’ssevereweather.
Figure6
Annualcountsaveragedbydecade,fordamagingtornadoesinMinnesotaratedatleastF1andF2onthedamagescale.Thegraphshowsthatevenwithimproveddetectiontechnologiesandspottertraining,thenumberofthesetornadoeshasbeenrelativelystableovertime,indicatingthatthesesevereweatherhazardsarenotcurrentlyrespondingtoclimatechange.Source,NOAAStormPredictionCenter,andNationalCentersforEnvironmentalInformation.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May20179
ProjectedclimatechangesinMinnesota
ContinuedrapidlossofcoldweatherextremesandenhancementofextremeprecipitationIntheyearsanddecadesahead,winterwarmingandincreasedextremerainfallwillcontinuetobeMinnesota’stwoleadingsymptomsofclimatechange(seeFigure7).
Figure7
SnapshotofprojectedandexpectedtrendsamongcommonweatherhazardsinMinnesota,andconfidencethatthosehazardswillchange(further)throughtheyear2099inresponsetoclimatechange.Graphicbasedoninformationfrom2014NationalClimateAssessment,anddataanalyzedbytheMinnesotaDNRStateClimatologyOffice.
Greenhousegasconcentrationswillcontinuerisingthroughthecentury,andtheair’sabilitytotrapheatfromtheearth’ssurfacewillincreaseaccordingly.Asaresult,winters,andcoldconditionsinparticular,willcontinuewarmingwellbeyondhistoricalbounds.Continuedwarmingoftheatmospherewillevaporateevenmorewaterintotheair,furtherlimitingtheamountofcoolingMinnesotawillbeabletoachieveatnightandduringthewinter.Thisincreasedwatervaporwillalsoenhanceprecipitatingweathersystems,continuingthetrendtowardmore—andlarger—heavyrainfallevents(seeFigure8).Minnesotacanexpectunprecedentedrainfalleventsduringtheremainderofthe21stcentury.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201710
Figure8
Projectedchangesbymid-centuryinnumberofdaysannuallywithheavyrainfall,definedastheupper2%ofdailyprecipitationforthe1971-2000climateperiod.Leftimageisthe“ensemble”ormodelaverageforaloweremissionsscenario.Therightimageisthesame,butforahigheremissionsscenario.Imagesderivedfromoutputusedforthe2014NationalClimateAssessment,courtesyofGLISA(GreatLakesIntegratedScience+Assessments).
MorehotdayslikelyandmoredroughtpossibleClimatemodelsusedinthe2014NationalClimateAssessmentprojectthatMinnesotawillhaveagreatertendencytowardextremeheat,especiallybythemiddleofthe21stcentury.Eventhelower-emissionsscenariosleadtosignificantlymorehotdaysthanMinnesotaexperiencespresently(seeFigure9).
Thisprojectedincreaseisalikelyoutgrowthofthewarmerwinters,whichwillprovidewarmerbaselineconditionsduringtransitionintosummer,makingitmucheasiertoattainextremesofheat.
ThefuturedroughtsituationinMinnesotaislessclearandappearstodependonhowmuchgreenhousegasconcentrationsincreasebymid-century(seeFigure10).
Themajorityofmodelsusedforthe2014NationalClimateAssessmentindicatethatalthoughdroughtwillremainapartofMinnesota’sclimate,thestatewillcontinuegrowingwetterthroughthecentury.Inlower-emissionsscenarios,thesemodelsprojectnosignificantchangestatewideinthenumberofconsecutivelydrydaysbetweenprecipitationevents—indicatingthatclimatechangewillnotsignificantlyincreasedroughtlikelihoodinagivenyear.
Figure9
Projectedchangesbymid-centuryinnumberofdaysannuallywithhightemperaturesabove90°F,relativetothe1971-2000climateperiod.Projectionusesthe“ensemble”ormodelaverageforaloweremissionsscenario.Imagederivedfromoutputusedforthe2014NationalClimateAssessment,courtesyofGLISA(GreatLakesIntegratedScience+Assessments).
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201711
Whenthesesamemodelsarerunwithhigheremissionsscenarios,however,theydepictMinnesotabecomingmorepronetodryperiods.Combinedwithdramaticincreasesinhotdays,thesedryperiodswouldincreaseMinnesota’sshort-term,andpossiblyevenlong-termdroughtrisk,suggestingthatdroughtindeedcouldbecomeworseasaresultofclimatechange.
Figure10
Projectedchangesbymid-centuryinannualaveragenumberofdrydaysbetweenprecipitationevents.Moreconsecutivedrydayswouldsuggestgreaterpotentialforatleastshort-termdrought.Notethatloweremissionsscenario(left)yieldsnonetchangestatewide,whilehigheremissionsresultinanearlystatewideincrease.Bothimagesshowthe“ensemble”ormodelaveragesgivenemissionsscenarios.Imagesderivedfromoutputusedforthe2014NationalClimateAssessment,courtesyofGLISA(GreatLakesIntegratedScience+Assessments).
OtherhazardsThescienceisunclearaboutwhatwillhappentothefrequencyandseverityoftornadoes,damagingthunderstorms,andicestormsinMinnesota.ItisclearthatMinnesotawillcontinuetoexperienceallofthesethroughoutthecentury,thoughresearchsuggeststheirfrequenciesmaydecrease.Tornadoesanddamagingthunderstormhazardsmaybecomemoreconcentratedonfewerdays,indicatingthepotentialformore“outbreaks,”evenmajorones,intheyearsanddecadesahead.However,thebodyofresearchintothesehazardsremainsquitelimited,andprojectionsoffuturetrendswillchangeasmoreresearchiscompleted.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201712
ImpactsofclimatechangeinMinnesotaTheobservedmeasurementsandfutureprojectionsdescribedbytheNationalClimateAssessmentandtheMinnesotaStateClimatologyOfficeprovideinsightintoclimatetrendsthatareimpactingMinnesotanowaswellasthoseanticipatedinthefuture.Complicatingthevariedimpactsofclimatechangeisthatthesechangesalsointeractwithandreinforceeachother.Forexample,droughtandheatmaybothcontributetowildfires,whichmayinturnleadtochangesinplantandanimalpopulationsaswellasotherecologicalshifts.Extremeprecipitationmayincreaseflooding,alongwiththepotentialforrunofforcombined-seweroverflowandcontaminationofrecreationalanddrinkingwatersources,whichmayalreadybeinshortsupplyduetodrought.Inaddition,climatechangewillamplifytheeffectsofexistingpublichealthandenvironmentalchallenges,suchasimpairedairquality,lossofwildlifehabitat,invasivespecies,andlimitationstocleanwatersupplies.
Asinformedbyclimatedataandtrends,Minnesotastateagenciesareidentifyingsignificantcurrentandfutureclimatechangeimpacts.Theseimpacts,includingvariableandconsiderablechangesintemperatureandprecipitation,areexpectedtohavesubstantialeffectsonpublichealth,communityinfrastructure,ecosystemhealth,environmentalquality,andnaturalresource-basedeconomies.
ThefollowingdescriptionssummarizesomecurrentlyobservedandanticipatedimpactsofclimatechangebyICATmemberagencies.
IncreasingtemperatureandextremeheatClimatedatafortheMidwestshowobservedincreasesinaveragetemperatures.Projectedtemperaturesareexpectedtorisesignificantlybymid-century,includinganincreaseinparticularlyhotdays.Extremeheataffectshumanandanimalhealth,agriculture,andnaturalandconstructedinfrastructure.
Extremeheateventsarelinkedtoarangeofillnesses,evendeath,andcanexacerbatepre-existingchronicconditionssuchascardiovascular,respiratory,liver,andneurologicaldiseases,endocrinedisorders,andrenaldiseaseorfailure.Populationswhoaremostvulnerabletoextremeheatincludepersonsover65orunderfiveyearsold;livingalone;livinginabuildingorinstitutionwithoutair-conditioning,orresidingonthetopmostfloorofabuilding;andwithanincomeatorbelowthepovertyline.Peoplewhoareexposedtoheatbecauseofrecreationalactivitiesorjob-relatedactivitiesalsoaremorevulnerable,includingathletes,constructionworkers,andlandscape/agriculturalworkers.
IncreasingtemperaturesalsoimpactMinnesota’sagriculturalindustry.Agricultureishighlydependentonspecificclimateconditions.Asaresultofincreasingtemperature,cropproductionareasmayshifttonewregionsofthestatewherethetemperaturerangeforgrowthandyieldofthosecropsisoptimalunlessnewclimate-adaptedvarietiesaredevelopedandutilized.
AccordingtotheNationalClimateAssessment,theMidwestgrowingseasonhaslengthenedbyalmosttwoweekssince1950dueinlargeparttoearliertimingofthelastspringfreeze.Thistrendisexpectedtocontinue.Whilealongergrowingseasonmayincreasetotalcropproduction,otherclimatechanges,suchasincreasedcroplossesandsoilerosionfrommorefrequentandintensestorms,andincreasesinpestsandinvasivespecies,couldoutweighthisbenefit.
Theremayalsobehigherlivestocklossesduringperiodsofextremeheatandhumidity.Lossesoflivestockfromextremeheatleadtoachallengeindisposalofanimalcarcasses.ThereislimitedrenderingcapacityinMinnesotaavailableforlivestockdisposal.Ifarenderingfacilityisnotavailable,lostlivestockmustbecompostedonanimpervioussurface.Iflossesarehigh,findinganimpervioussurfacelargeenoughisachallenge.Inanattempttoadapttoincreasedtemperatures,livestockareasinMinnesotamayshiftfarthernorth.Asaresultofnewlivestockareasandtheresultingmanure
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201713
production,farmersmaytransitiontomanure-basedfertilizerapplicationsinareaswheretraditionallyonlycommercialfertilizershavebeenused,withaccompanyingenvironmentaladvantagesanddisadvantages.
Increasingairtemperaturesarecausingwatertemperaturestorise,whichimpactsaquaticspeciesaswellashumanhealth.Increasedwatertemperatureresultsindecreaseddissolvedoxygenandgreatervulnerabilityofaquaticorganismstowaterpollution.Shiftsofpopulationoffishspeciesfromcoldwatertowarmwaterspeciesareexpectedtooccurandarealreadybeingobserved.
Increasedwatertemperaturesalsomaycontributetotheoccurrenceofharmfulalgalblooms,includingpotentiallytoxicalgae,inlakesandwaterwayswherepeopleswim,fish,orengageinotherrecreationalactivities.Harmfulalgalbloomscancausepainfulskinirritationandupperrespiratoryhealthproblemsaswellasdeathofpetsandotheranimals.
Permittedwastewatertreatmentpondsexperiencingearlierice-offfacegreaterproblemsmeetingeffluentlimitsaswarmertemperaturesincreasealgalgrowth,whichaffectstotalsuspendedsolids,pH,andcarbonaceousbiochemicaloxygendemand.Inaddition,warmertemperaturesinsummerimpactthebiologicalprocessesinwastewatertreatmentplants,ashighertemperaturesincreasebacterialreactionratesandthedensityofsettledsludge.
Additionally,extremeheatcancauseroadstobuckleanddamageothertransportationinfrastructuresuchasraillines.Thismayincreaseexpendituresforrepairs,dangerousconditionsfordrivers,andpotentialfortraveldisruption.
AirqualityExtremeheatisoftenassociatedwithdegradationofairquality.Climatechangemayaffectairqualitydirectlythroughchangesinseasonalclimateandweather,andindirectlythroughdriversofenergyuseandresultingemissions.Climatechangeisexpectedtohaveasubstantialeffectonambientparticulatematterandozone.
Increasedtemperaturescan:
• Increasepollutionfromfossilfuelcombustion.• Increasetheemissionofvolatileorganiccompoundsfromplantsandvegetationthatcontribute
totheformationofozone.• Increaseformationofground-levelozone.
Highertemperaturescontributetoincreasedpollutionfromfossilfuelcombustionasaresultofelectricitygeneratedtorunairconditioning.Extremeheatmayresultindeploymentofstationarygeneratorstoreducepeakpowerloads,whichfurtherincreasesairpollution.Also,extremeheatanddroughtcanleadtomorewildfires,whichcreatemoreparticulatematter.
Increasedground-levelozonepollutionandparticulatematterassociatedwithwarmertemperaturesraisestheriskofpotentialnonattainmentofairqualitystandardsandincreasedairqualityalertsinMinnesota.Theurbanheatislandeffectcanalsocontributetodecreasesinairqualitythroughincreasedozoneformationandgreateruseofairconditioning.(Thiseffectoccursbecauseurbanareashavelesscoolingvegetation,moreheat-absorbingbuildingsandconcretesurfaces,andgreatercombustionoffuelsthansurroundingruralareas,therebytypicallyleadingtohighertemperaturesincities.)
Exposuretoparticulatemattercanaggravateillnesses,suchaschronicobstructivepulmonarydisease(COPD),cardiovasculardisease,asthma,anddevelopmentofchroniclungdisease.Itisalsoassociatedwithcardiopulmonarymortality.OzoneexposurecanexacerbateasthmaandCOPD.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201714
Airpollutiondisproportionatelyimpactscertainvulnerablepopulations.Forexample,higherozonelevelsmaycauseasthmainchildren.Peoplewithrespiratoryandcardiovasculardiseasesandtheelderlyareparticularlysusceptibletoincreasesinparticulatematterandozonepollution.
DroughtAlthoughitisnotyetclearhowclimatechangewillimpacttheoccurrenceofdroughtinMinnesota,droughtanddryperiodswillcontinuetooccurregularlyinthestate.Droughtimpactsavailabilityofwaterforcommunityandindustrialpurposes,aswellasfornaturalecosystems.Lackofwaterhassignificanteconomicandecologicaleffects.
Droughtimpactsthequalityofsoil,includingtheneedtomanageclaysoilsthatshrinkwhendryandcancreatecracksthatareapossibleconduitforgroundwatercontamination.Droughtalsohasimpactsonthequalityofcropyields,andleadstoincreaseddemandforirrigation,puttingadditionalpressureonalreadystrainedaquifersandcontributingtogroundwaterdepletion.Droughtadverselyaffectscropmoistureandgrowth,andthereforemaythreatenMinnesota’slocalfoodproductionandaccess(includingavailabilityandpotentialpriceincreases),aswellasfeedandpasturesuppliesforlivestock.
Droughthassignificantimpactsonwaterquality.Forexample,streamflowloweredbydroughtreducesdilutionofwaterpollutants,negativelyaffectingfishandotheraquaticorganisms.
Dischargeperiodsforstabilizationpondtypewastewatertreatmentsystemsmayneedtobemodifiedtominimizeimpactsonreceivingwatersatlowerflows.Lowstreamflowdataforwatersreceivingcontinuousdischargesfrommechanicalfacilitiesmayneedtobemodifiedtoensurethatthereceivingsurfacewaterqualityismaintainedforthelocaldesignateduses.Droughtperiodsincreasethevalueofexploringopportunitiesfortreatedwastewaterreuse.
Droughthasimplicationsforairqualityandhumanhealth.Driersoil/fieldconditionsmaycausemoreairborneparticulatematterorincreasedfrequencyoflowairqualityinruralareas.Prolongeddroughtincreasesriskofwildfiresthatincreaseparticulatematterandreduceairquality,impactingchildren,theelderly,andthosewitharangeofchronichealthconditions.Wildfiresalsocandirectlycauseinjuriesordeathsfromsmokeinhalationandburns.Ruralpopulationsdependentonlocalfoodsources(suchasfish,wildlife,andwildplants)alsoexperiencehealthimpactsfromdroughtwhenthesesourcesarethreatened.
Droughtimpactscertaincontaminatedsiteremediationpractices,suchasphytoremediation(usingplantstoremediateorstabilizehazardouswastes).Irrigationmaybenecessaryifdrought-tolerantplantsarenotused.
ExtremeweathereventsBothobservedclimatedataaswellasfutureprojectionsindicateincreasesinveryheavyprecipitationinMinnesota.Heavyprecipitationevents,storms,andfloodinghavesignificantimpactsonMinnesota’scommunitiesandecosystems.Theseincludeeffectsonwaterandsoilresources,agriculture,drainageinfrastructure,humanhealth,stormwatermanagement,wastewatertreatment,solidwastemanagement,andemergencyresponse.
Morefrequent,heavier,orlonger-durationrainfalleventswillincreasesoilerosionandrunoff,therebyincreasingdepositionofsedimentandcontaminantsinwaterbodies.ClimatechangehasthepotentialtoimpactthequalityofwaterandsoilresourcesthroughoutMinnesota.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201715
MorefrequentextremeweathereventswillimpactMinnesotaagriculture,resultinginincreasedrunoffoffertilizers,pesticides,andsedimentparticularlyfromagriculturalfieldsthatdonothavebestmanagementpracticesinplacesuchasbuffers,grassedwaterways,andcropresidueleftonthefields.Fieldfloodingcanresult.Therearealsocoststothestatefordisasterassistance(e.g.,theMinnesotaDepartmentofAgriculture’sfloodassistanceprograms)whichwilllikelyincreaseasaresultofclimatechange.
Damagetofeedcropsfromextremeweatheralsoaffectslivestock.Greaterprecipitationincreaseschallengesforapplyingmanureinanenvironmentallysafemannertofields.Floodingcanalsocauseoverflowofmanurestoragebasinswhichhaveinadequatestoragecapacity,leadingtocontaminationofnearbywaterbodiesanddeathofaquaticorganisms.
Increasedextremeweathereventsputadditionalpressureonthestate’sdrainageinfrastructure.Thereisapotentialformoreerosionwithinolderdrainagesystemsthatdonothaveadequateoutletsorerosioncontrolsinplace.
Flashfloodingfromextremeprecipitationcandamagethebuiltenvironment,affectingcommercialandresidentialbuildings,roads,parks,andstormwaterinfrastructure.Water-saturatedsoilscandestabilizebluffs,trees,andutilitypoles.
Floodingfromincreasedaveragerainfall,rapidsnowmelt,orlocalized,heavyrainfallcanleadtohumanhealthimpactssuchas:
• Persistentmoldproblemsinhomesandbusinesses.• Injury(particularlyduetounsafestructuresandclean-upefforts).• Damagedhealthcareandmedicalfacilities.• Stressandmentalillnessduetotrauma,relocation,andloss.• Deathfromdrowning.
Floodingcontaminatesfreshwatersourceswithuntreatedorpartiallytreatedsewageandcancontaminatefoodcropswithwastefromnearbylivestockorwildanimals,threateningfoodsafety.Increasedwaterflowfromafloodmaydisruptmunicipalwatersuppliesandsewagetreatmentfacilities,aswellasprivatewellsandon-sitesepticsystems.Floodingofprivatewellsisaparticularlyseriouspublichealthconcern,giventhat,ingeneral,wellownersdonottestortreattheirwateraccordingtohealth-protectiveguidelines.
Changesinamount,frequency,andintensityofprecipitationimpactstormwatermanagement,potentiallyexceedingthedesigncapacityofstormwatertreatmentstructuresorimpactingfuturestructuredesign.Extremeweatheralsoaddstochallengesinmonitoringwaterquality.
Higherpeakintensityrainfalleventsmayresultinbypassofwastewatertreatmentfacilitiesorsanitaryseweroverflows,leadingtothereleaseofminimallytreatedoruntreatedwastewater.Wastewaterfacilitystaffneedtotrackchangesinfloodplainelevationsaspeakrainfallintensitiesincreasesothattreatmentfacilityinfrastructurecanbeprotectedduringpossiblefloodevents.
Thereisincreasedneedtoproperlycleanupandmanagesolidwaste,hazardousmaterials,anddebrisafterfloods,storms,andothernaturaldisasters.Morefrequentoccurrencesofnaturaldisastersincreasethedemandfordisasterremediationandcoordinationefforts,aswellasfortrainedstafftomeetthesespecificneeds.Designstandardsforpermittedwastemanagementfacilitiesarelinkedbyruletocertainmagnitudesofstormevents(i.e.,25-or100-yearstorms),andasstormseverityincreases,thisimpactsfacilityneeds.Thereisaccelerateduseofexistingwastemanagementcapacityduetomorewasteanddebrisresultingfromextremeweather.
Increasingnumbersoffloodsandstormsraisetheneedforstatesupportandresponse.Agreaterdemandforresponsefromlimitedstaffreducestimeavailableforinternalandexternalpreparedness,
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201716
includingpartneringandpreparingwithlocalunitsofgovernment,stateagencies,andindustry.Infrastructuredamageduetofloodingandstorms,suchasfloodedroadsandpowerandcommunicationtechnologyoutages,candisruptemergencyresponseinaffectedareas,whichalsohashealthimpacts.
Populationsparticularlyvulnerabletofloodingandextremeweathereventsincludetheelderlyandthosewithouttheabilitytoevacuatewhennecessary.Thoselivinginfloodplainsorotherareassubjecttofloodingareatparticularrisk.
ChangingseasonalityandlongertermecologicalchangesClimatedataindicatesignificantincreasesinthegrowingseason,atrendthatisanticipatedtocontinueincomingdecades.Thisimpactsourstate’shealth,economy,andecosystems.
Climatechangehasanimpactonvector-borne/zoonoticdiseases.Temperatureandprecipitationarekeyfactorsthatinfluencetheabundanceofvectormosquitoesandticks.Forexample,thesurvivalofblackleggedticks(vectorofLymediseaseandseveralotherdiseases)isenhancedduringwinterswithheavysnowfall,whichprovidesinsulationfromcoldtemperatures.Warmerandwetterspringandsummerseasonsprovidetickswithsufficientheatandmoisturetoallowforincreasedsurvivabilityandfeedingactivity.Additionally,warmerclimatesfacilitateintroductionofinvasivespeciesofinsectsandanimalsthatcarrydiseasesnotnormallyobservedinMinnesota.
Warmertemperaturescanlengthentheallergyseason,increasepotencyofallergens,andintroduceplantswithmoreallergenicpollen.PollenandmoldcausemildtosevereallergicreactionsinmanyMinnesotans,especiallythosealreadyburdenedwithasthmaorotherrespiratoryailments.Allergenscaninteractwithairpollutiontoamplifytheirindividualeffects.
Changingclimatealsoimpactsendemicandexoticpests,weeds,anddiseasesthataffectcropsandlivestock.Manyweeds,pests,andfungithriveunderwarmertemperatures,wetterclimates,andincreasedcarbondioxidelevels.Specifically,therearethreatsfrominvasivespeciessuchasemeraldashborerandgypsymoth.SomepestsfromotherareasthattravelbywindaremovingclosertoMinnesota—cutworms,aphids,soybeanrust,wheatrust,cornearworm,andleafhoppers.Certainpestsareabletoproducemoregenerationsperyearduetolongersummers,suchasEuropeancornborerandbrownmarmoratedstinkbug.
Climatechangewillleadtochangesinagriculturalseasonsandplantingdates.ThismaypresentanopportunityinMinnesota,inthatlongergrowingseasonscouldpotentiallyincreaseproductivityinsomeregions; however,heavierprecipitationcandelayplantingdatesorevendrowncrops.Changingseasonsmayalsoleadtothepotentialopportunityorneedfordevelopingorusingdifferentplantvarieties.Climatechangeamplifiestheeffectsofexistingdisturbances,suchasinvasivespecies,insectpestsanddiseases,andland-usechangeinagriculture.
Climatechangehasbroad,sweepingimpactsonecosystemsthatimpactfish,game,andwildplantpopulationswhichareusedforfood.Thismayhaveaparticularlynegativeimpactonrural,AmericanIndian,andotherpopulationgroupsrelyingmoreheavilyonsubsistencehuntingandwildplants.
ClimatechangealsoisalteringMinnesota’snaturallandsandwatersandtheusestheysustain.Examplesinclude:
• Lakes,rivers,andstreams:Likelyclimate-inducedimpactsincludeearlierice-outdates;lessseasonalicecover;increasesinwarmwaterfishspeciesanddecreasesincoldwaterfishspecies,suchasciscoes;increasedgrowthofalgaeanddiatomblooms;warmersurfacewatertemperaturesinlakes;andincreasedvariabilityintheseasonalandannualflowvolumeinMinnesotawatersheds.Climatechangealsoreducestheeffectivenessoffishandmacroinvertebrateindicatorscurrentlyusedasbiomonitorstoevaluatetheecologicalhealthofwaterbodies.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201717
• Wetlands:Climatechangethreatenstoalterphysical,chemical,andbiologicalprocesses.Underprojectedwarmingscenarios,prairiepotholewetlandscouldshrinkandshiftoptimalwaterfowlbreedingconditionsintowesternMinnesota.WithoutmajorrestorationeffortstoreplacedrainedwetlandsinMinnesota,theprairiepothole“duckfactory”couldlargelydisappearbytheendofthecentury.Peatlands,whicharecurrentlyimportantcarbonsinks,maybegintodryout,causingthemtoaddcarbonemissionsintotheatmosphere.
• Forests:Projectedclimatechangeswillshifttreeranges,andsomecommonnortherntreespeciessuchasspruceandfirmaybecomerareinMinnesota.Dependingonwhetherprecipitationratesincreaseordecrease,Minnesota’sforestscouldeithertransitiontocommunitiesdominatedbycentralhardwoodtreessuchasoaksandhickories,orforestscouldshrinkandbereplacedbygrasslands.Inbothscenarios,climatechangewilllikelyexacerbateandintensifytheeffectsofinvasiveplantspecies,insectpests,andtreediseases.
• Prairies:Thelessthan1%ofremainingnativeprairiewilllikelybecomedrier,causingdeclinesinmesicandwetprairieplantandwildlifespecies.ProliferationofinvasivespecieswillmakeitdifficultforMinnesota’sprairiestoexpandandtakeadvantageofpotentialnewhabitatconditionscreatedbyawarmingclimate.Intensivehumanmanagement,suchasprescribedburnsandseeding,willbenecessarytofacilitatenewnativeprairieestablishment.
ConnectionbetweenclimateadaptationandmitigationWhilethisreportfocusesonclimateadaptationandnotclimatemitigation,itisimportanttoacknowledgeandsummarizesomeoftheconnectionsbetweenthesetwocomplementaryapproaches.Withoutseriousclimatemitigation,humansandnaturalsystemswillfinditincreasinglydifficult,ifnotimpossible,toadapt.Moreoftenthanonemightthink,thereisanoverlapbetweenclimateadaptationandmitigation,meaningthatthesameactioncanachievebothgoals.
Figure11helpstoillustratethatclimateadaptationandmitigationcanoverlapinsomecases.
Thechartbelow(seeFigure12)providesseveralexamplesofthoseoverlappingclimateadaptationresponsesthatalsocanreduceemissionsofgreenhousegases.
Figure11
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201718
Figure12
Climateadaptationpractice Climateadaptationbenefits Climatemitigationbenefits
Urbanandcommunitytrees • Providescoolingthatincreasesresiliencetoextremeheatandtheurbanheatislandeffect
• Increasesresiliencetoheavyrainfallbyinterceptionofraindropsbyleavesandabsorptionofwaterbyroots
• Shadefromtreescanreduceenergyuseforairconditioninginthesummer
• Actsasawindbreakthatcanblockcoldwinterwinds,reducingenergyneededforheating
Waterconservation • Increasesresiliencetodroughtbyreducingneedforanduseofgroundwaterandsurfacewater
• Reducesneedforenergyusedtopurifyandtransportwater
Whiteroofsandgreenroofs • Increasesresiliencetoextremeheat
• Reducesneedforairconditioninginthesummer
Homeinsulation • Increasesresiliencetoextremeheatandcold
• Reducesenergyneededforcoolingandheating
Inadditiontothoseclimateadaptationactionsthatcontributetoclimatemitigation,manyotheradaptationactionsresultinarangeofotherbenefits,whichcanincludeincreasedwaterandairquality,habitatforwildlife,publicsafety,andeconomicbenefits.Someexamplesofclimateadaptationactivitiesthatcanleadtomultiplebenefitsincludewetlandrestoration,soilconservation/erosionprevention,preservingorrestoringnaturalopenspaceonfloodplains,wastewaterrecyclingandreuse,sustainableagriculture,andstormwatermanagementbestpractices.
MinnesotastateagencyresponsestoclimateimpactsBasedonstateagencyunderstandingofclimatetrends,agenciesparticipatinginICATareimplementingprogramstoaddressclimateimpactsasdescribedbelow.
MinnesotaDepartmentofAgricultureAgricultureishighlydependentonspecificclimateconditionsand,consequently,issensitivetotheeffectsofclimatechange.Astheclimatecontinuestochange,agriculturalproducerswillneedtocontinuallyadapt.Theywillneedtorespondtoandrebuildfromdisasterswhentheyoccur.Moregenerally,theywillneedtoadapttheirpest,nutrient,andwatermanagement,conservationpractices,croprotationsandareasofcropproduction,andcrop/livestockmanagement.
TheMinnesotaDepartmentofAgriculture(MDA)hasmanyresourcestohelpproducersrespondandadapttoclimatechangeimpacts,whichareoutlinedbelow.Theyincludedisasterassistanceforcatastrophicevents,pestanddiseasemanagement,conservationandwatermanagement,andresearchanddemonstrationfordevelopingproductionsystemsthataremoreresilienttoclimatechange.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201719
ProvidingassistancerelatedtoextremeweathereventsMDAoffersassistancetoproducerswhoareexperiencingdamageandlossestocrops,livestock,andstructures;potentialwater,soil,food,orothercontamination,andothercatastrophiceventsthatcanresultfromclimatechange.TheMDAwebpage,FoodandAgEmergencyResponse(www.mda.state.mn.us/about/aer)providescomprehensiveinformationonMDA’sandotheragencies’resources.Therearethreetypesofassistance:financial,emergencyresponse/cleanup,andadvisory.
Financialassistanceforlossesofcrops,livestock,orbuildingsincludes:
• DisasterRecoveryLoanProgram:Thesefundsareavailableat0%interesttofarmersforexpensesnotcoveredbyinsurance,includingcleanup,repair,orreplacementoffarmstructuresandsepticandwatersystems,aswellasreplacementofseed,othercropinputs,feed,andlivestock,whendamagedbyhighwinds,hail,tornado,floods,orexcessiverainfall.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/disaster/disasterloan
• AgriculturalImprovementLoanProgram:Thisloanprogramcanprovide3.25%financingforbuildingsthathavebeenlosttofloodingandarebeingreplacedwithnewbuildings.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/loans/improvement
• RestructureIILoanProgram:Farmerscanusethisloanprogramtorefinancetheirdebtat3.50%,providingthemwithfundstohelprepairflooddamageofanagriculturalnature.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/loans/restructure2
• LivestockInvestmentGrantProgram:Producerswhosufferalossduetoadverseconditionsmayapplyforthesefundstohelpcoverupto10%ofthecostforthepurchase,construction,orimprovementofbuildingsorfacilitiesfortheproductionoflivestock,andthepurchaseoffencingaswellasfeedingandwastemanagementequipment.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/grants/livestockinvestment
Emergencyresponseandcleanupassistanceincludes:
• 24hourAgriculturalChemicalEmergencyResponse:AllnewreportsofincidentsaredirectedtotheMDAemergencyresponse(spills)team,whichisresponsiblefordirectingandassistingwiththeresponseandcleanupofemergencyincidents.www.mda.state.mn.us/chemicals/spills/emergresponse.aspx
• AgriculturalChemicalResponseandReimbursementAccount(ACRRA):ACRRAreimbursescostsincurredincleaningupagriculturalchemical(pesticideandfertilizer)incidents.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/disaster/acrra
• EmergencyResponsetoAmmoniaSpillswebsite:Thissiteisdesignedasaneducationalaidforthosewhorespondto,preparefor,orwhowillbeinchargewhenaspillofanhydrousammoniaoccurs.www.mda.state.mn.us/chemicals/spills/ammoniaspills
• FoodSafetyRapidResponseTeam:Consistingoftechnicalexpertsinfoodmanufacturing,foodinspection,microbiologyandepidemiology,thisteamcanverifythesafetyofstoredfoodproductsafteradisaster.www.mda.state.mn.us/about/aer/foodsafety
Advisoryassistanceincludes:
• FloodPreventionandRecoveryInformationforFarmersandRanchers:Beforeandafteraflood,MDAprovidesrecommendationsandguidanceformovinglivestock,storedgrain,fooditems,agriculturalinputs,seed,andothermaterialsoutofharm’sway.Ourfieldpersonnelalsoworkwithagriculturalchemicalfacilitiestostrengthensafeguardsaroundequipmentandstoragetankstopreventaccidentalreleaseofproduct.www.mda.state.mn.us/about/aer/flooding
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201720
• MinnesotaFarmerAssistanceNetwork(MFAN):MFANprovidesbusinessandfinancialguidanceatnocosttoMinnesotafarmersandfarmfamiliesfacingeconomichardship.www.mda.state.mn.us/about/mfan
• MinnesotaFarmAdvocates:FarmAdvocatesprovideone-on-oneassistanceforMinnesotafarmerswhofacecrisiscausedbyeitheranaturaldisasterorfinancialproblems.www.mda.state.mn.us/about/commissionersoffice/farmadvocates
PreventingandmanagingpestsanddiseaseAsweeds,insects,diseases,andotherpestsincrease,MDAhasresourcesfocusedonmanagingpests,andpreventing,detecting,andrespondingtoinvasiveinsects,diseases,andweeds.Programsinclude:
• IntegratedPestManagement(IPM)Program:TheIPMProgramdevelopsandimplementsstatewidestrategiesfortheincreaseduseofIPMtomanageestablishedpestsonprivateandstatemanagedlands.www.mda.state.mn.us/plants/pestmanagement/ipm
• PestDetectionandResponseUnit:ThePestDetectionandResponseUnitfocusesoninvasiveinsectsandplantdiseasesthatthreatenMinnesota’sforestsandcrops.Thisincludes:
o Prevention—pestriskassessmentstoevaluatethechancesthatapestwillbecomeestablishedinMinnesota,andeducatingthepubliconhowtoidentifyandreportinvasivepests.
o Earlydetection—fieldsurveysandinspection,andinnovativedetectioneffortssuchasthe“ArrestthePest”hotline.
o Rapidresponse—IfaninvasivepestisdetectedinMinnesota,MDAhasresponseplanstoquicklydeterminetheextentoftheinfestationandcontainingittolimitthespread.www.mda.state.mn.us/plants/pestmanagement/invasivesunit
• NoxiousandInvasiveWeedsProgram:TheNoxiousandInvasiveWeedTeamworkswithlocalgovernmentsandlandownerstoprotecttheenvironment,publichealth,publicroads,crops,livestock,orotherpropertyinMinnesotafromtheinjuriousimpactsofnoxiousandinvasiveweeds.www.mda.state.mn.us/plants/pestmanagement/weedcontrol
HelpingdevelopmoreresilientproductionsystemsandpracticesTheMDAprovidestechnicalassistance,conductsandsupportsresearchanddemonstrationprojects,andencouragesbestmanagementpracticestohelpfarmersandothersprotectandpreserveMinnesota’swaterresources.Improvedunderstandingandinnovationinwater-relatedissuescanalsohelpagriculturedealwithnewandfluctuatingconditionsofclimatechange.MDAprogramsinclude:
• CleanWaterResearchProgramidentifiesunderlyingprocessesthataffectwaterquality,evaluatestheeffectivenessofagriculturalbestmanagementpractices(BMPs),anddevelopstechnologiestotargetBMPstocriticalareasofthelandscape.www.mda.state.mn.us/protecting/cleanwaterfund/research
• On-FarmProjectsmonitortrendsovertime,anddemonstrateandevaluatemanagementpracticesunderconditionsthataretypicalinanarea.TheseincludeDiscoveryFarmsMinnesota.www.mda.state.mn.us/protecting/cleanwaterfund/onfarmprojects
• MinnesotaAgriculturalWaterQualityCertificationProgram(MAWQCP)isavoluntaryopportunityforfarmersandagriculturallandownerstotaketheleadinimplementingconservationpracticesthatprotectourwater.Thosewhoimplementandmaintainapprovedfarmmanagementpracticeswillbecertifiedandinturnobtainregulatorycertaintyforaperiodof10years.www.mda.state.mn.us/protecting/waterprotection/awqcprogram
• DrainageWaterManagement:TheMDAcollaborateswithotheragencies,localgovernments,academicinstitutions,andindustryorganizationstofosterinnovationindesigningandmanagingagriculturaldrainage(removalofexcesswaterfromfieldsthroughtheuseofditchesand
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201721
subsurfacepipe),includingtemporarystorage,tomaximizebenefitsandprotecttheenvironment.
• SustainableAgricultureDemonstrationGrants:Grantsareawardedtoindividualsorgroupsforon-farmsustainableagricultureresearchordemonstrationofpracticesthatpromoteenvironmentalstewardshipandconservationofresourcesaswellasimproveprofitabilityandqualityoflifeonfarmsandinruralareas.www.mda.state.mn.us/grants/grants/demogrant
Features(seephotosbelow)tostorewaterandallowinfiltrationareamongagriculturalwatermanagementpracticesthathelpreduceimpactsofextremeweathereventstofarmers,downstreamlandowners,andtheenvironment.
Constructedwetlandinforegroundprovidesadditionalwaterstoragecapacitytoreducefieldflooding,visibleinbackground.Photo:DustinBenes,MartinCountySWCD.
AdrainageimprovementprojectonBlueEarthCountyDitchNo.57(CD57)helpscontrolflowsandimprovewaterqualityofdrainagewaterfromagricultureandstormwaterfromtheCityofMapleton.Photo:ISGArchitecture,Engineering,Environmental,andPlanning.
MinnesotaDepartmentofCommerceTheMinnesotaDepartmentofCommerceplaysasignificantroleinmakingMinnesotamoreresilienttothethreatsposedbyourchangingclimate.Intheareaofclimateadaptation,Commercemaintainsthestate’senergyemergencyplan,coordinateswithMinnesota’sutilitiesonrestorationofserviceduringorafteremergencies,includingweather-inducedoutages,anddeploysaConsumerResponseTeamtoassistwithdisasterrecoverysituationsthroughitsInsuranceDivision.CommercehasbeenactivelycollaboratingwiththeNationalAssociationofInsuranceCommissionerstosurveyMinnesotainsurancecompaniesontheirpreparationforclimatechange.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201722
Commerceservesastheleadentitytocoordinateresourcesandinformationamongstateagenciesthathaveresponsibilitiesformattersrelatedtoenergy.Climateadaptation-relatedactivitiesofthedepartmentinclude:
Energyreliability• Modellong-termenergyneedsunderchangingeconomicandenvironmentalconditions,
includingchangesinclimate.• Monitorutilities’generation,transmissionanddistributionplanstoassurethatenergyreliability
ismaintained.• Coordinateactivitieswithregionalandfederalagenciesresponsibleforassuringreliabilityinthe
electricitysector,suchastheMidwestIndependentSystemOperator(MISO),theMidwestReliabilityOrganization,andtheNorthAmericanElectricReliabilityOrganization.
• Monitorsuppliesofliquidfuels(petroleum,biofuels)toassurethatadequatesuppliesaremaintained.
Energyemergencyplanning• Createin-houseexpertiseatthestatelevelonenergyassuranceplanningandresiliency,
focusingoncriticalinfrastructureinterdependencies,cybersecurity,energysupplysystems,energydataanalysis,andcommunications.CommercehasstaffworkinginenergyassuranceplanningandCertifiedEmergencyManagement.
• CoordinateMinnesota’sutilitiesonrestorationofutilityserviceduringorafteraweather-relatedemergency.
• RefinetheexistingEnergyAssurancePlantoincorporateresponseactionstonewenergyportfolios.
• SmartGridtechnologies,cybersecurity,andemergingenergyissues,gatherdataondeliveredfuelsandupdatecontactlists.
• Reviseappropriatestatepolicies,procedures,andpracticestoreflecttheEnergyAssurancePlan.
• Developandinitiateprocessesormechanismsfortrackingtheduration,response,restoration,andrecoverytimeofenergysupplydisruptionevents.
• TrainappropriatepersonnelonenergyinfrastructureandsupplysystemsandthecontentandexecutionoftheEnergyAssurancePlan.
• Conductand/orparticipateinenergyemergencyexercises(intra-andinterstate)toevaluatetheeffectivenessoftheEnergyAssurancePlan.
Consumerresponseteam• Distributeinformation,answerquestions,workwithinsurancecompaniesonclaims.• Helpindividualsmakeinformeddecisionsafterastormdamagesahome,vehicle,orproperty.
Planninganddataanalysis• CoordinatewiththeMinnesotaPollutionControlAgencytoproduceareportongreenhousegas
emissiontrendseverytwoyears.• Evaluateimpactsofclimatechangeoninsuranceinvestmentsthroughparticipationonthe
NationalAssociationofInsuranceCommissioners’ClimateChangeandGlobalWarmingWorkingGroup.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201723
• Signatoryto“Under2MOU”—SubnationalGlobalClimateLeadershipMemorandumofUnderstanding:Thepartiesagreetoshareinformationandexperienceonredesignofthepowersupplyandgrid,technicalsolutionsandadvancesinpromotinglarge-scaleswitchtorenewableenergyandtheintegrationofrenewableenergysources,actionsneededtoensuresecurityofsupply,andstrategiestopromoteenergyefficiency.
Energyefficiencyandrenewableenergy• AdministerthefederalWeatherizationAssistanceProgramtohelplow-incomefamiliesmake
theirhomesenergyefficient,whichcanincreaseadaptationtoextremetemperatures.• Assurethatelectricandnaturalgasutilitiesoffercost-effectiveenergyefficiencyprogramsfor
theircustomerswithagoalofreducingelectricusageby1.5%annually,whichcanhelptoaddresspeakelectricloadsinperiodsofextremeheat.
• NewstateinitiativessuchastheCommerce-administeredMadeinMinnesotaSolarEnergyIncentiveProgramandXcelEnergy’scommunitysolargardenprogramareexpandingsolarbusinessesinMinnesotaandcreatinglocaljobs.
• ParticipateinDepartmentofLaborandIndustry’sAdvisorycommitteethatadoptednewenergycodesforMinnesotain2015.
Casestudy:WeatherizationAssistanceProgramTheWeatherizationAssistanceProgram(WAP)providesfreehomeenergyupgradestoincome-eligiblehomeownersandrenterstohelpsaveenergyandensuretheirhomesarehealthyandsafe.WAPupgradeshelplow-incomeMinnesotanspermanentlyreducetheirenergybills.Eligibilityisforhouseholdsatorbelow200%ofthefederalpovertyincomeguidelines.FundedbytheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,WAPisadministeredbytheMinnesotaDepartmentofCommerceincooperationwithanetworkof25localserviceproviders.
BenefittoMinnesotans:Minnesotaweatherizedabout2,200homesduringtheprogramyearJuly1,2014-June30,2015.Anannual30%reductioninenergybillscanbeachievedwhenfurnaceupgradesarecombinedwithinsulation,airleaksealing,andnewenergy-efficientappliances.
MinnesotaDepartmentofHealthMinnesotaisalreadyseeingimpactstopublichealthfromclimatechange.Whilethereareknown,effectivepublichealthresponsestomanyoftheseimpacts,thescope,timeline,andcomplexityofclimatechangechallengesareunprecedented.Criticalgapsremainintheresources,programs,and
Addingbattinsulationintheatticreducesheatlossandincreasesenergyefficiency.PhotofromtheMinnesotaDepartmentofCommerce
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201724
expertiseinMinnesota’spublichealthsystemtoaddresstheconsequencesofclimatechangeonpublichealth.
Figure13
Source:MinnesotaDepartmentofHealth
TheMinnesotaDepartmentofHealth(MDH)isrespondingtothesechallengesbyplanningandprovidinginformationandresourcestothepublic.TheMDHStrategicPlantoAdapttoClimateChangeoutlinesgoalsandobjectivesforMDHtoadaptandrespondtotheimpactsofclimatechange:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/data.html.DescriptionsoftheprogramsbelowhighlightsomeofMDH’sworktoprotectthepublicfromclimatechangeimpacts.
MinnesotaClimate&HealthProgramTheMinnesotaClimate&HealthProgramprovidesinformation,tools,trainings,andeducationtopublichealthprofessionalsandthepubliconthehealthimpactsofclimatechange.Belowisasummaryofinformationandtoolsavailabletothepublic.
• TheMinnesotaClimate&HealthProgram’swebsitecontainsinformationontopicsthatareinfluencedbyclimatechange:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/.Thewebsiteservesasacommunicationvehiclewiththepublicandalsoprovidesaccesstoresourcesand
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tools.Theprogramalsomaintainsalistservofabout1,800subscribersandroutinelydistributestimelyandtopicalinformation.Jointhelistservbyvisitingthelinkabove.
• TheMinnesotaClimateandHealthProfileReport2015providesacomprehensiveassessmentofclimatechangeimpactsandpotentialhealthissuesspecifictoMinnesota:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/climate101.html.
• TheMinnesotaExtremeHeatToolkitcontainsmaterialsthatapublichealthplanneroremergencymanagercanusetoplanforextremeheat,includingadraftresponseplan:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/extremeheat.html#toolkit.Italsocontainsatipsheetonhowtostaycoolonahotday:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/docs/appendix_e.pdf.
• Climateandhealthtrainingmodulesprovideinformationontheeffectsofclimatechangeonseveraltopicareas:ClimateChangeandPublicHealth101;ExtremeHeatEvents;WaterQualityandQuantity;AirQuality;MentalHealth;andAgricultureandFoodSecurity:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/communication.html.
• TheHealthandClimatefilm,createdthroughapartnershipbetweentheTwinCitiesPublicTelevisionandMDH,examinesclimatechangeimpactsonthehealthofMinnesotans.Thefilmhighlightstheimpactofclimatechangeonpeople’sday-to-daylives,especiallythroughthelensesofsports,recreation,andfarming:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/climatevideo.html.
• TheMinnesotaClimateChangeVulnerabilityAssessment2014reviewsthegeographicoccurrenceofseveral“climatehazards:”extremeheat,airpollution,vector-bornedisease,flooding,anddrought.Thevulnerabilityassessmentmappedthelocationofpastclimatehazardsandpopulationsvulnerabletotheclimatehazards:http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/data.html.
• TheMinnesotaHealthyPlanningTrainingandtheMinnesotaHealthyPlanningHow-ToGuidedescribecomprehensiveplanningstrategiesforcreatinghealthyandclimateresilientcommunities:http://www.health.state.mn.us/topics/places/plans.html.
• TheIncorporatingHealthandClimateChangeintotheMinnesotaEnvironmentalAssessmentWorksheet(EAW)reportprovidesinformationonhowwecanbetteraddresshealthandclimatechangeissuesduringMinnesota’senvironmentalreviewprocess:http://www.health.state.mn.us/topics/places/review.html.
MinnesotaEnvironmentalPublicHealthTrackingProgramTheMinnesotaEnvironmentalPublicHealthTrackingProgramprovidesenvironmentalhealthsurveillancedataonavarietyoftopicsrelatedtoclimatechangesuchasairquality,asthma,chronicobstructivepulmonarydisease,drinkingwaterquality,heartattacks,andheat-relatedillness.Heat-relatedillnessdata,forexample,arebeingusedtoinformeffortstoprotectvulnerablepopulationsfromextremeheatevents.LearnmoreaboutavailabledataatMDH’sdataportal:https://apps.health.state.mn.us/mndata/.
Vector-bornediseaseprogramMDH’sextensivevector-bornediseaseprogramperformsthefollowingactivitiesthatmayrelatetoclimatechange:
• Monitorsthenumberofcasesofeachvector-bornedisease(e.g.,mosquitoandtick-transmitteddisease)overtimeandspacewithinthestate.
• Collectsfieldsurveillancedata(e.g.,tickinfectionprevalencewithvariousdiseaseagents)todeterminehowvectordistributionandinfectionprevalencechangesovertimeandspace.
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• Disseminatesdiseasepreventioninformationtothepublic,medicalproviders,high-riskgroups,andotherhealthagencies.
• Conductsvector-bornediseaseresearch.Inparticular,theprogramhaseffortstodescribeneworemergingdiseaseagents,changesinendemicdiseasepatterns,andtheburdenofvector-bornediseasesonsociety.
AsthmaProgramTheMDHAsthmaProgramhasbeeninvolvedinanumberofactivitiesrelatedtoclimatechangeandrespiratory/allergicdisease.
• ProgramstaffparticipatedintheCouncilofStateandTerritorialEpidemiologists(CSTE)ClimateChangeworkgroupthatdevelopedasuiteofindicatorsrelatedtoclimatechangehttp://www.cste.org/?page=EHIndicatorsClimate,includingapollenindicatorthatstatescanusetotrackchangesinthelengthofpollenseasons,pollenlevels,andpollentypesovertime.StaffcurrentlyserveontheCSTEAsthmaandAllergyworkgroupthatisworkingtodevelopanationalaeroallergen(pollenandoutdoormold)monitoringnetwork:http://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cste.org/resource/resmgr/2016PS/16_EH_01.pdf.
• Theprogramprovidestechnicalreviewsofmaterials,includingthoserelatedtoclimatechange,thatreferenceallergiesandasthma.
EmergencyPreparednessandResponsesectionTheMDHEmergencyPreparednessandResponsesectionhelpspreparepublichealthandhealthcareforalltypesofhazards,includingnaturaldisastersandweather-relatedincidents.Thesectionsupportslocalreadinessby:
• Providingtools,resources,andtrainingstolocalpublichealthdepartments,healthcare,andotherkeypartnerstodevelopemergencypreparednessandresponseplans.
• Designing,implementing,andevaluatingemergencypreparednessexerciseswithpartnersusingweather-relatedscenarios.
• Sharinginformation,creatingsituationalawareness,coordinatingresources,andprovidingriskcommunicationsintimesofanemergency.
MDHDrinkingWaterProtectionandWellManagementsectionsMDHDrinkingWaterProtectionandWellManagementstaffareactivelyengagedwiththeirregulatedcommunities,agencypartners,andlocalresourcestaffinhelpingtoaddresspotentialfuturechangesinamannerthatprotectshumanhealthandsafeguardsourdrinkingwatersources.Specifically,staffprovidetechnicalassistancetopublicwatersuppliersinplanningforsourcewaterprotection;evaluatinganddevelopingacontingencystrategyandlocalresponseintheeventofawatersupplydisruption;conductingassessmentandmonitoringofwaterquality;andsupportingimplementationofsourcewaterandwellheadprotectionplans.Theseactivitieswillresultinbetterpreparation,adaptation,andresiliencytotheimpactsofclimatechangeondrinkingwatersupplies.
About80%ofMinnesotansareprovidedwithdrinkingwaterintheirhomesbyapublicwatersupply.MDHpartnerswithpublicwatersupplierstoensuresafeandsufficientdrinkingwaterthroughaseriesofstrategicsafeguards.Watertreatmentchallengesarisingfromclimatechangeincludewaterqualitychanges(algal-relatedtasteandodorissues)thatrequireincreaseduseofgranular/poweractivatedcarbonandincreasedlevelsoftotalorganiccarbonduetoextremeflows,drought,andrunoff.MDHprovidestechnicalassistancetopublicwatersuppliersinordertoincreasetheirtechnical,financial,andadministrativecapacitytomanagechange.MDHstrengthenedtheresilienceofpublicwatersystemsbyhostingaworkshopontheMinnesotaWater/WastewaterAgencyResponseNetworkandbyprovidingtrainingonemergencypreparednessandincidentresponse.MDHalsoencouragesthedevelopmentof
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greenwaterinfrastructurebyawardinggrantmoneythroughtheStateDrinkingWaterRevolvingFundLoanprogram.
In2016,MDHdevelopedanagency-wideStrategicPlantoAdapttoClimateChangetoincreasestatewideresilienceandpublichealthpreparednessthatcanbeaccessedathttp://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/climatechange/data.html.Anumberofimportantdrinkingwaterstrategieswereidentifiedtohelppublicwatersuppliersandprivatewellownersevaluateandprepareforpotentialimpactsofclimatechangebasedonpotentialregionalandlocalconditions.MDHDrinkingWaterProtectionstaffhaveformedanddevelopedaClimateChangeAdaptationTeamandchartertohelpcarryoutandimplementspecificstrategiestoprotectpublicsourcesofdrinkingwaterfrompotentialimpactsofclimatechange.
MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairsTheDepartmentofMilitaryAffairs(DMA)servesundertheumbrellaoftheMinnesotaNationalGuard(MNNG)andcanbeusedbythegovernortoassistthestateduringdisastersandotherstateemergencies.TheimpactsofclimatechangepresentmajortransformationsinthemissionoftheMNNG.Diverseresponseactions,suchasassistinginwildlandfirefightingandprovidinglogisticalsupportinstemmingtheoutbreakofavianinfluenza,compeltheMNNGtofosteramoreresource-informedculturethatsupportsdecisionsandbehaviorsacrossalllevels,locations,anddomains.
Toprovidethesetrainedandreadyforces,theMNNGhasincorporatedthesustainableuseofresourcesandfacilitiesasavitalpartofmissionreadiness.MNNGisrespondingtoclimatechangeimpactsinthefollowingareas.
VigilantGuardexerciseIn2015,morethan1,400servicemembersfromtheMinnesota,Iowa,andWisconsinNationalGuardjoinedapproximately500participantsfromvariousstate,federal,andemergencyresponseagenciestocarryouttheVigilantGuardexerciseatthreetrainingsitesacrossthestate:Duluth,CampRipley,andSaintPaul.Theexercise,whichsimulatedmultipleweather-relateddisasterevents,testedtheMNNG’sabilitytorespondtolarge-scaleincidentsthatcouldaffectMinnesotans.TheVigilantGuardexercisealsoprovidedanopportunityfortheorganizationtobuildvaluableinteragencyrelationshipsandcoordinateresourceswithcivilianauthorities,responders,andothermilitaryunitsthatmightbeapartofafutureresponseeffort.
ClimatechangevulnerabilityassessmentsIn2015,theDMAcompletedavulnerabilityassessmentofallownedfacilitiesandinstallationstodeterminesusceptibilitytotheimpactsofclimatechange.Theseassessmentsidentifiedinstallationsatriskorpotentiallyatriskinthefutureandbegantheprocessofintegratingclimatechangeconsiderationsintoinstallationandorganizationallevelplans.
NetZeroinitiativeTheMNNGusesaNetZeroinitiativeasaholisticplanningstrategyfoundeduponlong-standingandemergingbestpracticestomanageenergy,water,andwasteatallfacilitiesandinstallations.Thisstrategyrecognizesthatbetterresourcemanagementcontributestomissioneffectivenessandmoreresilientinstallations.
EnergyresiliencyIn2016,TheMNNGpartneredwithitselectricutility,MinnesotaPower,toconstructautility-scale10-megawattsolarphotovoltaicpowerplantatCampRipleyTrainingCenter.Thissolararrayisownedand
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operatedbyMinnesotaPowerandisconnectedtotheutilitygrid.TheMNNGwillpurchasetheelectricityproducedfromthearrayandisinvestingininfrastructurethatwillusethedistributedenergysystemsinamicrogridtechnologythatenablestheuseoftheonsiteenergysystemstosustaincriticalservicesduringpotentialutilityoutages.Thissystemwillalsoassistinmeetingbothorganizations’renewableenergyandgreenhousegasreductiongoals.
Abiomass-fueleddistrictheatingsystemisbeingdesignedthatwillprovideCampRipleyTrainingCenterwithasustainableandredundantheatingsystem.CampRipleyconsistsofmorethan53,000acresandpossessestheforestresourcecapacitytouseonsitebiomassfordistrictheatingandtodecreasedependenceonnon-renewablegas.
WaterconservationTheMNNGmaintainsanaggressiveapproachinconservingpotablewaterandreducingsurfacewaterandwastewaterdischarges.Areasthathavebeenaddressedinthepastyearincludestudyingtheimplementationofaleakdetectionsystemforwatermainvalvesthatwillenablequickrepair.Otheractivitiesincluderesearchingandimplementingmeasuresthatreducestormwaterrunoffandincreasetheamountofwaterreclamationprojectsforirrigationandvehiclewashingactivities.
CaseStudy:EnergyresiliencyatCampRipleyTrainingCenterTheMinnesotaNationalGuardispursuingNetZeroenergyatCampRipleyTrainingCenterbyproducingasmuchenergyonsiteasitconsumesoverthecourseofayear.Thiseffortincludesdevelopinginterconnectedloadsanddistributedenergyresourcesthatcanconnectanddisconnectfromtheprimarygrid,enablingcontinuousoperationswhilealsoprovidingresilientanddependableenergyinfrastructure,andsignificantlyreducingtheMNNG’scarbonfootprint.
FirstSolarthinfilmmoduleswereselectedforthe10-megawattsolarphotovoltaicpowerplant.Theseadvancedthinfilmmoduleshaveademonstratedperformanceadvantageoverconventionalcrystallinesiliconofupto10%moreenergyproductioneachyear.Source:MNNationalGuardPublicAffairsOffice
Constructionofthe10-megawattsolarphotovoltaicpowerplantspans62acresonaformergravelminingpitatCampRipleyTrainingCenter.Source:MNNationalGuardPublicAffairsOffice
PlannedimplementationoftheNetZeroenergystrategyincludesthreephases:
• PhaseOneconsistsofapublic-privatepartnershipwithCampRipley’selectricutilityprovider,MinnesotaPower,fortheconstructionofanonsite10-megawattsolarphotovoltaicpowerplant
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withthecapacitytogeneratemoreelectricitythanisconsumedatCampRipleyinayears’time.MinnesotaPowerwillownandoperatethesolarphotovoltaicpowerplantandallelectricenergygeneratedwillfeedtheprimarygrid.Intheeventofagridoutage,controlswitcheswillredirecttheflowofelectricitytoCampRipley’selectricaldistributionsystem,providingthecapabilitytofunctioninislandmode,independentfromtheprimarygrid.
• PhaseTwobeganin2016withupgradestoelectricalsubstationsandinfrastructurethatincludesophisticatedcommunicationcontrolstodetectandcommunicatewithdistributedenergyloads,essentiallyservingasamicrogrid.
• PhaseThreeincludestheacquisitionofnaturalgas-orduel-fueledgeneratorstoworkinconjunctionwiththemicrogridandsolarphotovoltaicpowerplant.Opportunitiesforenergystoragearebeingconsideredandcloselymonitoredasnewtechnologybecomesavailable.
MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesTheDepartmentofNaturalResourcestookabigstepontheissueofMinnesota’sclimatechangebyissuingOperationalOrder131(ClimateAdaptationandMitigationinNaturalResourcesManagement)inNovember2014.Thishigh-levelCommissioner’sdirectiverequiresallDNRdivisionstodevelopclimateguidanceandperformancemeasurestoassessinternalprogressontheintegrationofclimatedataandinformationintoprojects,programs,plans,communications,andtraining.TheguidancedocumentsdirectallDNRstafftoadapttheirworkwithclimatechangeinmind.
AsofAugust2016,threeofsixDNRdivisionshavecompletedtheirguidanceandhavebegunimplementationactivities.Progresshasalreadybeenmadeasaresultofthisoperationalorderandisreflectedinsomeofthedepartment-wideadaptationactionsbetween2013-2016highlightedbelow.
OperationsSupportDivision(OSD)Planninganddecisionsupport:
• OSDrepresentedtheagencyontheInteragencyClimateAdaptationTeamuntil2015.• OSDprovidesongoingplanning,logistical,andadministrativesupportandleadershiptothe
DNR’sinterdivisionalClimateandRenewableEnergySteeringTeam(CREST).
Managementactivities:
• OSDcollaboratedwithMinnesotaHomelandSecuritytocompleteamap-basedriskassessmentforDNRfacilities.
• AllDNRfacilitiesundergoingsignificantimprovementswereinformedbyhydraulicandhydrologicmodelsusingupdatedAtlas14datatodesignwatercontrolstructures(dams,culverts,etc.).Nativetreeandshrubspecificationsanddetailsalsoweremodifiedtoincreasetheprobabilityoflong-termsurvivalonDNRfacilities.
DivisionofEcologicalandWaterResources(EWR)Assessments:
• EWRcompletedacoarsevulnerabilityassessmentofits32managementprograms;sixprogramswerefoundtobe“highrisk.”Morein-depthinterviewsrevealedkeyneedstobemetforthesevulnerableprogramstoadaptasclimatechangeimpactsprogramresources.
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Planninganddecisionsupport:
• ClimateadaptationguidanceforallEWRstaff,Divisionleadership,andstaffworkingineightfunctionalareaswasdevelopedin2015underDNR’sOperationalOrder#131anddisseminatedtostaffin2016.
• AnEWRClimateAdaptationImplementationteamhasbeenassignedtocarryouthighpriorityclimateadaptationactionsonbehalfoftheDivision.
• Minnesota’sWildlifeActionPlan2015-2025focusesonprioritizingconservationforSpeciesinGreatestConservationNeedwithinamappedWildlifeActionNetworkofterrestrialandaquatichabitatsthroughoutthestate.TheWildlifeActionNetworkfacilitatesadaptationtoclimatechangeandotherstressorsbyidentifyingcoreareaslargeenoughtocontainadiversityofhabitatsandconnectionstoallowforspeciesmovementsandtheflowofenergyandmaterials.
• TheDivisionparticipatesontheDNR’sCRESTtoimplementclimatechangeadaptationstrategiesacrossthedepartment.
Managementactivities:
• EWR’sLandUseUnithasincorporatedclimatechangeintoitsshorelandprotectioncoursestolocalgovernments.
• ClimatechangehasbeenincorporatedintoEWR’sannualfloodplaintrainingsforlocalgovernments,whichareofferedanaverageof10timesperyear.
• AdaptiveManagementPlansforspecificScientificandNaturalAreas(SNA’s)nowincludediscussionofanticipatedclimatechangeimpactsonthesite’snativeplantcommunitiesandotherresources(about10-15neworrevisedplansarepreparedperyeartoguideallsitemanagementwork).
• Anin-depthClimateChangeReviewwasdevelopedaspartofstaffparticipationintheU.S.FishandWildlifeService’sNationalConservationTrainingCenter’s(NCTC)ClimateAcademytobepartoftheplanforthenewBadouraJackPineWoodlandSNA;thismayserveasamodelforfutureSNAplans.
Monitoring:
• TheWaterMonitoringandSurveysUnithasexpandeditsgroundwaterlevelobservationwellnetworkby200wellsforatotalof1,030wellsthattrackgroundwater-surfacewaterinteractionandwillenablebettermanagementofthehydrologicsystem.
• TheWaterMonitoringandSurveysUnitadded11“realtime”weatherstationstoitsnetworkof40.Theunitalsocontinuestoenhanceitsstreamandlakegages anda 1,500-citizenscienceobservernetworkthatprovidesprecipitationdata.
• Along-termwetlandmonitoringprogramisinprogresstoidentifychangesinthenumberofwetlandsstatewideandclimatechangeimpactstowetlands.
• Along-termwetlandhydrologymonitoringprogramtofurtherhelpidentifyclimatechangeimpactsisintheplanningstage.
• ImplementationofaLegislative-CitizenCommissiononMinnesotaResourcesgrantbeginsJuly1,2016,todesignandtestastatewidesystemofvegetationmonitoringplotstodetectchangesinplantcommunitiesovertime.Twentypermanentmonitoringplotswereestablishedinthepeatlandstotrackchangesinthatsystemduetoclimaticconditionsandotherstressors.
• TheStateClimatologyOfficehasinstalledaweathermonitoringstationatSedanBrookScientificandNaturalArea(fourothersareinprogress)andawatermonitoringwellnesthasbeeninstalledatBadouraJackPineWoodlandSNA,intheheavilyirrigatedPinelandSandsarea.
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Training,outreach,andcommunication:
• Sixty-sixEWRstaffattendedMinnesotaDNR’s2016ClimateChangein-service,day-longtraining.• FifteenEWRstaffparticipatedinthesix-monthClimateAcademyofferedbytheNational
ConservationTrainingCenterandsubmittedclimateadaptationprojectstoconcludethecourse.
DivisionofFishandWildlife(F&W)Researchandassessments:
• F&Wcontinuestomonitorepilimnetictemperaturesin24sentinellakesandassociatedfishcommunitysamplingaspartofitsSustainingLakesinaChangingEnvironment(SLICE)program.
• Mooseresearchcontinuestoinvestigatethecausesofadultandcalfmortality.• ResearchcontinuesontheexpansionofwarmwaterfishesinMinnesotalakesystems.• Preliminarylong-termmonitoringresearchhasbegunontheviabilityofsprucegrouse,aboreal
gamebirdthatisvulnerabletoclimatechange.• SoilmoistureandtemperaturemonitoringstationswereinstalledatRedLakeWildlife
ManagementAreatoinformfuturehabitatmanagementasclimatechanges.• MinnesotaDNRisanactivecollaboratoronaNortheastClimateScienceCenter-fundedresearch
projectthatisinvestigatingtheeffectsofclimateonlakeandstreamtemperaturesinMinnesota,Wisconsin,andMichigan.
Planninganddecisionsupport:
• ClimateadaptationguidancewasdevelopedunderDNR’sOperationalOrder#131anddisseminatedtostaffwithdetailedguidanceonhowtoaddressclimatechangeinmanagementplans,technicalconsultations,infrastructure,landacquisition,andhabitatmanagement.
• AscenarioplanningprocessonNorthShoreFisheriesManagementwascompleted.• DNRFisheriesworkedwiththeColdwaterCoalition,amultiplestakeholdergroup,todevelopa
priorityofstreams/riversalongtheNorthShoreforrestorationandprotection.Resiliencytoclimatechangewasoneofthecriteriausedtodevelopthislist.
• DNRFisheriesbeganincorporatingclimatechangeintolakeandstreammanagementplans.
Managementactivities:
• TullibeeLakeWatershedStewardshipProject.CleanWaterFundswereusedbyDNRForestrytoworkwithprivateforestlandownersinthewatershedsoftullibeefishrefugelakes.
• TullibeeLakesgrantprogram.DNRFisheriesisworkingwithDNRForestryandtheLeechLakeAreaWatershedFoundationtoprotectprivateforestsinthewatershedsoffiveimportanttullibeerefugelakeswithconservationeasements.
• ImplementingactionplantomanageNorthShorestreamsystemsandwatershedstoincreaselong-termbenefitandprepareforpotentialproblems.
• HabitatmanagementonWildlifeManagementAreasisintegratingchangingseedmixes(e.g.,moremesicspecies),increasedwatermanagement,increasedmanagementtoaddresswoodyencroachment,phenologicalmonitoring,andanincreasedfocusonhabitatcomplexesinwetlandsystems.
Training,outreach,andcommunication:
• TheClimateChangeHandbookwasdevelopedandsharedwithinDNR.Itcontainsselectedinformationonclimatechangeeffectsonfish,wildlifeandecosystems;adaptation;mitigation;trainingopportunities;casestudies;recommended,peer-reviewedresources;andcontacts.
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• F&Wstaffweregivenanoverviewandtrainingonclimateadaptationattwolargetrainingevents(WildlifeSchoolandFishAcademy).
• StaffsupportedandparticipatedintwoNCTCcourses(ClimateAcademyandClimateChangeVulnerabilityAssessment).
• StaffparticipatedintwoNorthernInstituteofAppliedClimateScienceworkshops:integratingclimatechangeSectionForestResourceManagementPlansandForestAdaptation.
• F&Wstaffhasaccesstoamonthlynewsletteronclimatenews,research,casestudies,trainingopportunities,andresources.
• Staffhasbeennotifiedofwebinarsonclimatedata,impactstoresources,andmanagementopportunities.
DivisionofParksandTrailsAssessmentsandmonitoring:
• ParksandTrailscoordinatedwithEWRtoinstallmorethanadozenweatherstationsonstateparklandstomonitorclimatechange.
• ParksandTrailsisworkingincooperationwithotherDNRdivisionstoimplementalong-termnativeplantcommunitymonitoringprojectthatwillaidinunderstandingclimatechangeeffectsandadaptationstrategies.
Planninganddecisionsupport:
• Considerationofclimatechangeimpactsandadaptationisbeingincorporatedintonewparkmanagementplansandrevisedplans.ArecentexampleistheSt.CroixStateParkManagementPlan.
• Climatechangeimpactsandadaptiveapproacheshavebeenincorporatedintounitresourcemanagementplans.
• TheDivisionparticipatesontheDNR’sCRESTtoimplementclimatechangeadaptationandrenewableenergystrategiesacrossthedepartment.
Managementactivities:
• AstreamrestorationprojectatWhitewaterStateParkwasdesignedandimplementedtoaddressmorefrequent/extremerainfallevents.
• TheWhitewaterStateParkcampgroundwasrelocatedtoaddresshigherfloodlevels.• Resourcespecialistsareconsideringclimatechangeeffectswhendesigningseed/plantspecies
compositionsfornativeplantcommunityrestorationsintheparks.• TheDivisioncontinuestoworkwithOSDtoinstallavarietyofrenewableenergysources(solar
panels,wind,woodheaters,etc.)atstateparkunitstoreduceenergyuse.• Managementofterrestrialinvasiveplantspecieshasincreasedbothduetoextremerainfall
eventsre-infestingareasandrangeexpansionsofotherinvasivespeciesintoMinnesota.• ParksservedonaninterdisciplinaryDNRteamthatdevelopeddepartmentalplantmaterial
standardsfornativeplantcommunityrestorationsthatincorporatedclimatechangeintorestorationplanningandsourcingofplantmaterials.
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Training,outreach,andcommunication:
• ClimateadaptationguidancewasdevelopedunderDNR’sOperationalOrder#131toadapttoclimatechangeonParks&Trails-administeredlandsandfacilities.
• StaffpresentedacasestudyaspartofDNR’sClimateChangein-servicetrainingontheresponsetotheWhitewaterStateParkflood.
• Fifty-sixDivisionstaffattendedtheClimateChangein-servicetrainingconductedinwinter2016.• Outreachstaffincorporateskeymessagesregardingclimatechangeintocommunicationswith
visitorsandthepublic.• ParksparticipatedinthedevelopmentoftheMinnesotaClimateandHealthdocumentaryby
TwinCitiesPublicTelevisionandtheMinnesotaDepartmentofHealthin2013.• Climatechangewebinarsrelatedtocommunicationsstrategiesweresharedwithinterpretive
naturaliststohelpthemcommunicateaboutclimatechangetovisitorsandthepublic.
DivisionofForestryAssessments:
• Forestrycontinuestoconductassessmentsofforestmanagementissuesthatinvolvemanyfactors,includingclimate(e.g.,tamarack)andmakerecommendationstosharewithotherlandmanagers.
• Forestryparticipatesindepartmentalclimatechangevulnerabilityassessments.• TheDivisionisevaluatingthepossibilityandpotentialbenefitsofdevelopingresistantand
resilienttreegenotypesforuseinMinnesota.• TheassessmentofforestNativePlantCommunitiesisbeingcompleted.• Forestryisexploringopportunitiestoestablishmitigationprojectssuitableforgenerating
revenueviacarbonmarkets.• ForestryparticipatesinactivitiesoftheMinnesotaInvasiveTerrestrialPlantsandPestsCenterto
focusresearchonpriorityinvasivespecies.
Planninganddecisionsupport:
• DNRForestryparticipatesintheNorthwoodsClimateChangeResponseFramework.Theframeworkincludesadetailedassessmentofthevulnerabilityoftreespeciesandforestplantcommunitiesaswellasadecisionapproachandcompilationofstrategiesthatwillhelpforestlandownersdetermineappropriatemanagementgoalsandworktowardthosegoalsinthefaceofclimatechange.
• DNRForestryisparticipatinginrevisionoftheMinnesotaForestResourcesCouncil’sNorthCentralLandscapePlan,whichwillincorporateinformationonclimatechangeimpactsaswellasrecommendmanagementstrategiesthattakethoseimpactsintoaccount.
• ForestryhasadoptedintoDNR’sSustainableForestResourcesManagementplanstheincorporationofmaintainingandincreasingdiversityasaprimaryadaptationstrategy.
• TheDivisionisrevisingitstreesuitabilitytablestoreflectanticipatedvegetationshiftsduetoclimatechange.Thegoalistoprovideforesterswithadditionalinformationonwhichtreespecieswouldbefavoredinawarmerand/ordrierclimate.
• TheDivisionisdevelopingaplantousethestate’sforestnurseriestohelpprotectthefitnessandresilienceofnativeforestecosystemsfrominvasivespeciesandclimatechange.
• Severaldifferentclimate-relatedgrantproposalshavebeensubmittedbyinterdisciplinarygroups,including“Lowlandconiferecosystems:Holisticassessmentforadaptivemanagement,”“Longlivethe(northern)conifers,”and“Seedsourcinginaneraofclimatechange.”
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• NorthernSuperiorUplandsandNorthernMinnesotaandOntarioPeatlandsSectionForestResourceManagementPlanningprocesseshavebothincludedconsiderationofaclimatechange-basedcovertypechangescenario.
Managementresponse:
• DNR’sAdaptiveForestManagementProjectsareusedasdemonstrationareasforenhancingforestresiliencetoclimatechange.
• Forestryusestheinvasivespeciescontrolprogramtomaintainandenhanceforestresiliencetoimpactsofclimatechange.
• ForestrymaintainstheStateTreeNurseryanditsseedsourcecontrolprogramtoensureadequatesupplyofneededtreespecies.
• ThroughtheDivision’sMinnesotaTreeImprovementProgram,orchardseedisbredtobeadaptedtoavarietyofbioticandabioticconditions.
• TheDivisioninvestsinmodelingtheeffectsofstateforestmanagementoncarbonstocksandassessinganytradeoffswithadaptationstrategies.
• Divisionstaffdevelopedclimate-informedforeststewardshipplansforprivatelandownersinItasca(http://www.forestadaptation.org/node/392)andPine(https://www.forestadaptation.org/node/391)counties.
• Forestryisadaptingitsfirepreventionandsuppressionstrategiestochangesinthefrequency,intensity,anddistributionofwildfire.
• TheForestHealthUnitconductsaerialsurveystodetectdefoliationandotherdamageoneightto13millionacresannuallytorespondmorequicklytoforestinsects,diseaseorganisms,andabioticagentsfacilitatedbyclimatechange.
Training,outreach,andcommunication:
• EmployeeeducationandtrainingwasofferedthataddressedForestry’sclimatechangeefforts,anticipatedchangesinspeciescomposition,andsilviculturalmethodsforsustainingforestecosystems.
• SelectedregionalForestrystaffweredesignatedclimatechangeexpertstoanswerquestionsfromForestrystaff.
• Aninternalteamwascreatedtoanticipatescience-based,climate-relatedinformationneedsandsolutionstomanagementproblems.
MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoardTheMinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard(EQB)providesapublicforumfordiscussionofstateenvironmentalpolicies(includingclimatechange),encouragespublicengagementoncross-cuttingenvironmentalissues,andfacilitatesinteragencycollaboration.TheboardismadeupoftheGovernor’sOffice,fivecitizens,andtheheadsofninestateagenciesaswellastheMetropolitanCouncil.
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MinnesotaEnvironmentandEnergyReportCard(2017)
The2017EnvironmentandEnergyReportCardisastatusupdateonMinnesota’sland,water,air,climate,andenergy.Thegoalofthereportcardistoevaluatetrendsandtoprovideaframeworkthatcouldinformagencyagendas,policyinitiatives,andcitizenandstakeholderactions.EQBworkedwithmemberagenciestoselectmetricsusingResults-BasedAccountabilitymethodology.Aninteragencyteamofexpertscollaboratedtodeveloptext,graphics,andanalysisthatwouldclearlycommunicatetothepublicthestateofMinnesota’senvironment.
EnvironmentalCongress(2017)WorkingintandemwiththeEnvironmentandEnergyReportCard,theMinnesotaEnvironmentalCongresshappenseverytwoyearsandisacornerstoneofcitizendialogandengagementontheenvironment.ThegoalsaretoinformcitizensaboutthestateofMinnesota’senvironment,engagethepubliconpressingpolicyissues,andtoprovidespaceforcross-sectordialogue.The2017,Congressincludedasessiononclimateadaptationandresiliency,andsessionsonclimatemitigationandenergypolicy,transportation,andenvironmentaljustice.
ClimateSolutionsandEconomicOpportunities(2016)MinnesotaiscommittedbystatutetodoitspartfortheclimatebymeetingitsNextGenerationEnergyActgoals.This2007lawsetsagoalforthestatetocutitsannualemissionsofgreenhousegasesby80%between2005and2050.
Whilemuchprogresshasbeenmade,the2050goalwillrequirepolicieswellbeyondwhatisalreadyinplaceatthefederalorstatelevel.Thisreportfocusesonnear-termemissionsreductionsbetweenthepresentand2030.Itincludesanalysisanddiscussionoftheoptionsbeforeus,providingaframeworkfordecision-makingthatisbasedinpartontheEQBandmemberagencies.Stakeholderengagementforthisprojectoccurredbetween2014and2016,engaging969stakeholdersand130differentorganizationsonclimatepolicythroughninepublicmeetingsandseventechnicalwebinars.
Source:MNEnvironmentalQualityBoard
Source:MNEnvironmentalQualityBoard
Source:MNEnvironmentalQualityBoard
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201736
BeyondtheStatusQuo:2015EQBWaterPolicyReport(2015)ThisreportisorganizedasamenuofoptionstomovebeyondthestatusquoonwaterchallengesMinnesotafaces.
WaterresourcesinMinnesotaareimpactedbyclimatechangeandarealsoacriticalcomponentofadaptationstrategies.Thereportwasdevelopedandwrittenbymultiplestateagencieswiththeintentofprovidingaframeworktocontinueabroadconversationonwaterpolicywithlocalandstateimplementationpartners.
MinnesotaandClimateChange:OurTomorrowStartsToday(2014)Thisreportexplainshowclimatechangeimpactsthewaywelive,work,andplayinMinnesota.Itisdesignedtobemodularwithsectionsfocusedondifferentsectorsofthestate,includingenergy,buildings,health,transportation,agriculture,naturalresources,andwaste.
ThereporthasbeenusedforcommunityclimatediscussionsledbytheUniversityofMinnesotaExtensionSchoolandbytheClimateGenerationorganization.ThisreportwasusedasthebasedocumentfortheGovernor’s2016WaterSummitandforabreakoutdiscussionatthesummitonadaptation.
Stakeholderengagement(ongoing)EQBhostsmonthlyboardmeetingsthatareopentothepublicandwhereanyonefromthepubliccanmakeacommenttotheboard.TheInteragencyClimateAdaptationTeampresentedtotheboardinDecember2016,January2016,andNovember2013.EQBalsoconvenesotherpublicmeetingsandforumsasissuesemergethatareofconcerntoagencyrepresentativesandcitizens.Climateadaptationisfrequentlyfeaturedattheseevents.Forexample,EQBconvenedtwopublicforumsforMinnesotacitizenswhoattendedtheinternationalclimatenegotiationsinParisin2015.TheseforumsprovidedawayforConferenceoftheParties(COP)21attendeestonetworkandcommunicatewiththeadministration.
MinnesotaPollutionControlAgencyTheMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(MPCA)isrespondingtoclimatechangeimpacts,whichaffectenvironmentalqualityinanumberofareas.
MPCAClimateAdaptationStrategyandProposedNear-TermActionsTheMPCAcreatedaninternalMPCAClimateAdaptationTeam(MCAT)inDecember2013forthepurposeofadvancingclimateadaptationthroughcollaborationbetweentheagency’sdivisionsandprograms.MCATwasdirectedtorecommendastrategyandnear-termactionstoMPCAseniormanagementonclimateadaptationbymid-2014.MCATpreparedtheMPCAClimateAdaptationStrategyandProposedNear-TermActionsinJuly2014:https://www.pca.state.mn.us/sites/default/files/p-gen4-10.pdfThisdocumentrecommendsaclimateadaptationstrategyandnear-termactionsfortheMPCA,anditwasacceptedbyagencyseniormanagement.MCAThasbeenimplementingtheseactionsoverthepastthreeyears.
Source:MNEnvironmentalQualityBoard
Source:MNEnvironmentalQualityBoard
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StormwatermanagementTheMPCA’sStormwaterProgramhasbeenaddressingtheissuesrelatedtoclimatechangeadaptationsince2005withthefirstissuanceoftheMinnesotaStormwaterManual.Itadvancedtheconceptoftreatingwateronsite,usinglowimpactdesign,andvolumecontrolbestmanagementpractices(BMPs).Sincethen,stormwaterpermitshaveadvancedtheseBMPs,andMPCAhasworkedtosetgoalsandquantifycreditsforusingtheseBMPsthroughtheMinimalImpactDesignStandards(MIDS)Project.ConsistentwithMIDSareBMPsthatcanincreaseinfiltrationandreducerunoff(includinggreeninfrastructurelikeraingardens,urbanforestry/trees,permeablepavement,swales,etc.).
TheMinnesotaStormwaterManualhttps://stormwater.pca.state.mn.us/index.php?title=Main_PagenowinaWikiformat,containsdetailedinformationongreeninfrastructurepracticesthatcanassistinreducingclimatechangeimpacts.Bestmanagementpracticessuchasraingardens,permeablepavement,andotherinfiltrationpracticesworktoreducethevolumeofstormwater,whichcanhelptoreduceflooding.Rainwaterharvestingtechniquessuchasrainbarrelsandcisternsreducethevolumeofwaterbycollectingandstoringitforalaterusesuchasirrigationortoiletflushing.Plantingtreesintreeboxesthatcapturestormwaterandinstallinggreenroofsonbuildingshelptoreduceurbanheatislandeffect.
Localunitsofgovernmenthavetraditionallyworkedtogetwateroffthelandscapeasquicklyaspossible.Inthelastcoupleofdecades,theMPCAstartedaddressingpollutantandratecontrol.Nowvolumecontrolisbeingaddressed.Volumecontrol,andworkingtomimicnaturalhydrology,helpstoresultinlessdramaticrunoffevents,whichreducesstreamerosionandscouring.Impervioussurfacesareincreasingfasterthanpopulationgrowth.Thisincreaseinimpervioussurfacecoupledwithlargerstormeventswillhaveasignificantimpactonreceivingwaters.Stormwatercaptureandreuseisanopportunitytoreducerunoffandreapbenefitsfromheavierrainfallswhilereducingdemandsonthepotablewatersupply.Tothatend,stormwaterstaffhavegatheredinformationonwaterreuseprojectsaroundthestate,participatedontheInteragencyWaterReuseTeam,andhelpedplanastatewidewaterreuseworkshop.
NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration(NOAA)Atlas14updatesarebeingusedtomoreaccuratelyreflectprecipitationintensitiesanddurations.NOAAAtlas14incorporates50additionalyearsofdataintotheestimateofprecipitationintensityanddurations,andcouldaccountforchangesthatmayberelatedtoclimatechange.Theseestimates,usedasanengineeringstandard,arevitaltoensureproperdesignofculverts,stormsewers,andwaterqualitydevices.
InAugust2013,thereissuedMunicipalSeparateStormSewerSystem(MS4)GeneralPermitbecameeffective,whichregulatesstormwaterdischargefromcounties,cities,townships,andotherpubliclyownedentitiesinurbanizedareas.ThegoaloftheMS4programistopreventorreducethedischargeofpollutantstostormwater,andultimately,surfacewaters.Thispermit’sprovisionswillhelptoaddressproblemsoferosionandwaterpollutionassociatedwithheavyprecipitationevents.
WastewatertreatmentMPCAreviewsclimate-relatedissuesonaregularbasiseitherduetoreissuanceofNationalPollutantDischargeEliminationSystem(NPDES)permits(approximatelyeveryfiveyears),orattimeswhenthemunicipalityislookingtoeitherupgrade/expandthewastewatercollectionortreatmentfacilities.Whilereviewingthepermitreissuance(ormodification)ortheproposedmodificationstothecollectionsystemortreatmentfacility,MPCAstaffcanaskthatthemunicipalstaffortheirconsultantsrevieworconsiderclimate-relatedconcepts(changingpeakflows,changingfloodelevations,wastewaterreuseopportunities).
MPCAencourageswastewaterpermitteestojointheMinnesotaWater/WastewaterUtilitiesAgencyResponseNetwork(MnWARN),anemergencyresponsemutualassistanceprogramforwaterutilities,inordertohelpthemtoaddressfloodandotherdisasterresponseandrecovery.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201738
MPCAencourageswastewaterpermitteestoexplorereuseofwastewater,whichcanextendwatersuppliesindroughtconditions.
MPCAworkswithwastewatertreatmentplantsinwaysthatcanincludeinfrastructureimprovementstomanageincreasingrainfallintensities.TheCleanWaterRevolvingFundprioritizesfinancialassistanceforinfrastructureimprovementsthatwouldfixproblemssuchasbypassing.
WatershedapproachMPCAhasadoptedawatershedapproachthatincludeswaterqualitymonitoring,modeling,identificationofstressorsaffectingaquaticlife,completingtotalmaximumdailyloadsforpollutantsimpairingwaterquality,anddevelopingstrategiesforrestoringandprotectingthewaterresourcesinmajorwatersheds.Biological,physical,andchemicalmonitoringareintegratedtodeveloprelationshipsbetweenenvironmentalfactors(includingclimate)andaquaticlife.Monitoringactivitiesincludecomponentsthatwillallowlong-termtrendanalysisatvariousgeographicscales.Theprocessesforbiologicalstressoridentificationanddevelopmentofimplementationstrategiesincludeclimatechangeconsiderations.SubsurfaceSewageTreatmentSystemsTheSubsurfaceSewageTreatmentSystem(SSTS)programprovidesaframeworkforthelocalregulationofdecentralizedwastewatertreatmentsystemsthateffectivelytreatsewageandrechargegroundwater.Minnesotarulesthatgovernfacilityplanningandinfrastructurespendingprioritizationemphasizeright-sizesolutionstoaddresswastewatertreatmentneeds.Replacingoutdatedandpollutingonsitedisposalsystemswithindividualorclusteredsepticsystemsthatmeetcurrentdesignstandardscanpresentthemostcost-effectiveoptionfromalife-cyclebasisandmayofferconsiderableresourceconsumptionsavings.Theregulatoryframeworkitselfmaybeadoptedtorespondtoincreasingdemandforonsitewaterresourcemanagementortreatmentpracticesthatareincreasinglybeingofferedaseffectiveresponsestoimpactsfromclimatechange.Climatechangewillincreasetheneedtodeployqualitycontroleffortstonewindustriesandregionsbasedonemergingclimateadaptationstrategiesandpracticesthatmayincludeerosioncontrol,landscapedrainagemodifications,rainwaterharvesting,andwaterreuse.Thisstatedefinedandlocallyimplementedmodelforreviewing,permitting,inspectingandmanagingSSTSoffersareasonableandstate/locallybalancedregulatorypathtootheronsiteeffortstoadapttoclimatechange.Climatechangewillintroducerisksthatcouldimpacttheeffectivenessofsomesepticsystemsinsomeareas,andmaymakedecentralizedwastewatermanagementamoreattractivestrategyinothers.SSTSthatmeetcurrentdesignstandardsareexpectedtobemoreresilienttoclimatechange.Regionsthatexperienceareducedtreatmentcapacityofnaturalsoilsmayneedtoconsideradvancedtechnologiestomeettreatmentneeds.Areducedabilitytobeneficiallylandapplyseptagemayrequirepolicychangestoreevaluateseptagemanagementpractices.EmergencyresponseMPCA’sEmergencyManagementUnit(EMU)istheleadprogramattheagencytoplanandprepareforemergencysituationsthatmayinvolvetheMPCA.WhenlocalgovernmentseeksMPCAassistance,theEMUstaffcoordinatesallagencyprogramstorespondinaunifiedmanner.Apriorityfortheagencyistoimprovetheagency’spreparednessandourresponses.Diligentafter-actionreviewsareconductedandimprovementplansarecreatedtodocumentandprioritizeneeds.Additionally,in-housetrainingandexercisesareapriorityandincreasedparticipationisplannedandoccurring.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201739
MPCAsustainablecommunityassistance
MinnesotaGreenStepCitiesLaunchedin2010,MinnesotaGreenStepCitiesisavoluntarychallenge,assistance,andrecognitionprogramtohelpcitiesachievetheirsustainabilityandquality-of-lifegoals.Thisfreecontinuous-improvementprogram,managedbyapublic-privatepartnership(co-coordinatedbyMPCA),isbasedon29sustainabilitybestpractices.Citiesimplementabestpracticebycompletingoneormoreactionsata1-,2-or3-starlevel,fromalistoffourtoeightpossibleactions.GreenStepCitiestailorsactionstoberelevantforallMinnesotacities,focusesoncostsavingsandenergyusereduction,andencouragescivicinnovation.AsofApril2017,109citiesandthreetribalnationshadbecomemembersofMinnesotaGreenStepCities.
Inearly2016,MinnesotaGreenStepCitiesreleasedabetaversionofthefirstnewbestpracticesincetheprogram’sinception,focusingonactionscitiescantaketoincreasetheirresilienceinacknowledgementofachangingclimate.SubsequentrevisionswereincorporatedinBestPractice29:ClimateAdaptationandCommunityResilience,https://greenstep.pca.state.mn.us/bestPracticesDetail.cfm?bpid=31,whichcallsoncitiestoplanandprepareforextremeweather,adapttochangingclimaticconditions,andfosterstrongercommunityconnectednessandsocialandeconomicvitality.ThisbestpracticeorganizesitsactionsaccordingtothefouressentialdimensionsofurbanresiliencefromtheCityResilienceFrameworkhttp://www.100resilientcities.org/resilience#/:Leadership&Strategy,Health&Wellbeing,Economy&Society,andInfrastructure&Environment.BestPractice29complementstheother28sustainabilitybestpractices,whichcontainactionsthatalsocontributetoclimatechangemitigationandresilience.
BestPractice29provideseightclimateresiliencebestpracticeactionsasfollows,eachspecifyingthreepotentiallevelsofimplementationforcitiestoexplore:
• Preparetomaintainpublichealthandsafetyduringextremeweatherandclimate-change-relatedeventswhiletakingapreventiveapproachtoreducerisk.
• Integrateclimateresilienceintoplanning,policy,operations,andbudgeting.• Increasesocialconnectednessandprovideopportunitiesforeconomicallyvulnerableresidents
toimprovetheirprosperity.• Encourageprivatesectoractiontoinvestinpreventiveapproachesthatreduceriskand
minimizeimpactsofextremeweatherandthechangingclimate.• Protectpublicbuildingsandnatural/constructedinfrastructuretoreducephysicaldamageand
sustainfunction.• Reducetheurbanheatimpactsofpublicbuildings,sites,andinfrastructureandprovide
resiliencyco-benefits.• Protectwatersupplyandwastewatertreatmentfacilitiestoreducephysicaldamageandsustain
function.• Improvelocalenergyresiliencebyminimizingfuelpoverty,installingdistributedrenewable
energysystems,anddevelopingmicrogrids.
MPCAawardedeventsponsorshipsduringFiscalYear2016toincentivizeandsupportimplementationofBestPractice29communityengagementefforts.SixMinnesotacities(Austin,FalconHeights,Fridley,Hutchinson,LaPrairie,St.AnthonyPark)heldeventstoengageresidentsaboutsomeorallofthefollowing:needsofimmigrantpopulations,greeninfrastructureforextremerainfallandurbanheat,
Source:MNPollutionControlAgency
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201740
communityenergyresilience,planningforclimateresilience,andinformationsharingaboutcityresilienceeffortstodate.
ByApril2017,22citieshadcompletedatotalof34actionsimplementingBestPractice29.TheseactionsincludedreviewingtheHazardMitigationPlanwiththeircounty;identifyingcitypersonnelresponsibleforextremeweatherplanning,preparationandrecovery;addingresiliencechapterstocomprehensiveplans;proactivelyengagingcommunitymembersinresilienceplanningefforts;addressingtheneedsofvulnerablepopulationsinthecommunity;organizingresidentstoplanttrees,andretrofittinglow-incomehomesforfloodresilienceandrenewablepower.
MinnesotaGreenCorpsLaunchedin2009,MinnesotaGreenCorpsisastatewideprogramoftheMPCAtohelppreserveandprotectMinnesota’senvironmentwhiletraininganewgenerationofenvironmentalprofessionals.ThisprogramplacesAmeriCorpsmemberswithlocalgovernments,educationalinstitutions,andnonprofitorganizationsaroundMinnesota,wheretheyservefor11monthsonfocusedenvironmentalprojects.
TheMinnesotaGreenCorpsprograminvolvesthreetypesofactivitiesinacomprehensiveapproachtotacklingcommunity-identifiedenvironmentalstewardshipprojects.
Members:
• Assessthelocalcircumstancesandgatherdata.
• Engagecommunityandorganizationalmembers.• Implementlocallyappropriatesolutions.
Memberprojectsincorporateavarietyofevidence-basedbestmanagementpracticesinenergyconservation,publiclandenvironmentalstewardship,andrecycling.Theprojectsarecarefullydesignedtohavepositiveenvironmentalimpacts,besustainablelong-termatthecommunitylevel,andbuildthecapacityofcommunitiestoadaptandbecomemoreresilienttothreatsposedbyachangingclimate.
Results:Duringthe2015-16serviceyear,MinnesotaGreenCorpsmemberscompletedactivitiestohelpincreasetheresilienceofMinnesotacommunities.Theseincluded101energysavingretrofitsoroperationalimprovementprojects;275,000gallonsofnewannualcapacitytocaptureorinfiltraterainwater;44raingardens,1,273trees,and31,588squareyardsofbackyard/school/communitygardensinstalled;116acresofurbanforestsandstormwatergreeninfrastructuretreatedorimproved.Twenty-twotonsofwastewereprevented,recycled,composted,ordiverted;plans,policies,andresourcesdeveloped;trainingsandpresentationsgivenatclassesandworkshops;boothshosted;volunteereventscoordinated;anddatasetscollectedandanalyzed.
Theseeffortsresultedinmorethan$65,927indirectfinancialsavingsforMinnesotacommunities,andmuchlargeranticipatedannualsavingsfromenergyconservationprojectsthatextendbeyondthetimeframeoftheGreenCorpsserviceyear.
2016MinnesotaGreenCorpsenergyconservationmemberleadsarooftoptourshowingoffinstalledSolatubesandsolarthermalpanelsthataddtoCampRipley'sresiliencywhilereducinggreenhousegasemissions.Source:MNPollutionControlAgency
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201741
YouthCrewsforCommunityResiliencePartnershipThispartnership,startedin2016betweentheMPCAandConservationCorpsMinnesota,representsanewwaytoimplementcommunityresilienceprojectsandanewapproachfortheSummerYouthCorpsandYouthOutdoorsprograms.ProjectsarelocatedinunderservedurbanneighborhoodsandcitiesthroughoutMinnesotainsteadofstateparklands.Theyouthcrewsinteractwithlocalvolunteers,communitymembers,and/orcitystaffinsteadofworkingaloneinthewoods.Theresilienceprojectsinvolveinstallationofnewgreeninfrastructure—anewamenityforeachcommunity—ratherthanmaintenanceofexistingparklands.
Eachoftheprojectsprovidesongoingenvironmentalandresiliencebenefitsbeyondwhatexistedbefore,includingsomeorallofthefollowing:reducingstormwaterrunoff,helpingimprovelocalwaterquality,helpingimprovelocalairquality,enhancinggreenspaceavailableforcommunityuse,supportinglocalpollinators,diversifyingtheurbantreecanopy,andincreasingshadedareas.Allfour2016resilienceprojectswerelocatedinlower-incomeneighborhoods:threeinnercityandonefirst-ringsuburban.Twoabuttedbusyinterstateroadswithpoorairquality.For2017,25daysofyouthcrewserviceareavailabletolocalcommunitiesthroughoutMinnesota.
TheCommunityResiliencePartnershipalsodevelopedfivehoursofeducationalcontentonclimatechangescience,globalandlocalimpacts,andplanningforresiliency.Thecrewleadersforthefourresilienceprojects(andanoccasionalguestspeaker)taughtthiseducationalcontenttothecrewmembers,usinganinteractiveformatduringlunchhoursandeveningdiscussions.In2017,allyouthcrewsinConservationCorps’spring,summer,andfallprogramswillhaveaccesstotheselessonsonclimatechangeandresilience.
Results:The2016partnershipreportedthefollowingmeasurableoutcomes:101trees,293shrubs,2,900+pollinatorperennials,and425+non-pollinatorperennialsplanted;3,766squareyards(3/4+acre)ofparks,greenspace,gardens,andpubliclandimproved;12greenstormwaterinfrastructureBMPsinstalled;and3,587gallonsofrainwatercapturedand/orinfiltratedduringeachone-inchrainevent.
EnvironmentalAssistanceGrantProgram(openroundandtime-sensitiveawards)Forthe2014-15EnvironmentalAssistanceGrantProgramOpenRoundandagainforthe2016-17OpenRound,MPCAincludedclimateadaptationandcommunityresilienceasapriorityfundingarea.
Inthe2014-15round,MPCAawardedsixclimateadaptationandresiliencegrants,including:
• ClimatedialoguesandactioninStevensCounty.• AseriesoffiveclimateadaptationconveningsinGreaterMinnesota.• DevelopmentofaStrategicResilienceFrameworkfortheCityofSaintPaul.• VulnerabilityassessmentandadaptationplanninginSouthCentralMinnesotaledbytheRegion
NineDevelopmentCommission.• CommunityoutreachonpotablewaterconservationintheCityofWoodbury.
2016ConservationCorpsSummerYouthCorpscrewplantssumactoimproveroadsidevegetationalongtheMississippiRiverRegionalTrailinFridley.Thesumacplantscanreducestormwaterrunoffwhilealsoprovidingco-benefitsforimprovedairandwaterquality.Source:MNPollutionControlAgency
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201742
• OutreachandtooldevelopmenttoincreasecommunityemergencypreparednessofhistoricallyunderservedandvulnerablepopulationsintheTwinCities.
Inthe2016-17round,MPCAagainawardedsixclimateadaptationandresiliencegrants,including:
• RileyPurgatoryBluffCreekWatershedpartnershipforpublicplanningtoaddressclimatechangeimpacts.
• WinonaEngagedcoordinatedefforttobuildmomentumandvisibilityforclimateresilience.• HighvisibilitydemonstrationofagravelbednurseryattheScienceMuseumofMinnesota,with
adaptedtreestobeplantedalongtheMississippiRiverinSaintPaul.• CoordinatedefforttobenchmarkCityofDuluthordinances,policies,andplansagainst
environmental/resiliencemetricsandprovidecommunityoutreach.• Researchtoidentifyeffectiveclimate-resilientdesignstrategiesfortwocommonbuildingtypes
(mid-risemulti-familymixed-use,libraries)foruseinupdatingtheStateofMinnesotaSustainableBuildingGuidelines.
• ExhibitonClimate,Energy,andCommunity:WhatWeCanDo.
Inaddition,MPCAopenedatime-sensitivegrantopportunityinwinter2014-15tofundnextstepimplementationeffortsforthoseMinnesotacitiesthathadparticipatedintheNationalLeagueofCitiesMidwestRegionalConveningforClimateResilienceinSaintPaul.Threecities(St.LouisPark,Burnsville,andFalconHeights)receivedmini-grantawardsof$3,000eachforvulnerabilityassessmentandcommunityengagementefforts.Thesemini-grantshelpedspurongoingclimateresilienceeffortsinallthreecities.
Anothertime-sensitivegrantopportunitywasopenedbyMPCAinspring2017tofundpreparationofpopulationvulnerabilityassessmentsforcitiesinterestedinincorporatingclimateresilienceintheircomprehensiveplans.
GreenBuildingProgramMPCA’sGreenBuildingProgramfacilitatespartnershipstolessentheenvironmentalimpactofMinnesota’sbuiltenvironment.Increasingly,thearchitecturalcommunityviewsresiliencyasanimportantcomponentofgreenbuildingpractice,includingadaptationstothechangingclimate.
In2014,MPCAreceivedanin-kindassistancegrantfortheGeorgetownClimateCenter(GCC)toresearchMinnesotaoptionstoincreaseclimateresilienceinbuildings.TheresultingJanuary2015report,MinnesotaOptionstoIncreaseClimateResilienceinBuildings(https://www.pca.state.mn.us/sites/default/files/tdr-fg15-01.pdf),postedonMPCA’swebsite,addressesresilientbuildingpractices(buildingcodesandmunicipalpowersinMinnesota);statewideactiontoimprovemunicipalabilitytoact(stateagencyauthorityandlegislativesolutions);andmunicipalsolutions(bestpracticesandincentives).TheseoptionshaveinformedMPCA’sworkonlegislativepolicyinitiatives,bestpracticesdevelopment,andgrantfunding.
Asaresultofoutreachandpartnershipsdevelopedwiththedesigncommunityovertheyears,majorstateandregionalconferencesofnationalassociations,includingtheAssociationofFloodPlainManagers,AmericanInstituteofArchitects,SocietyofAmericanMilitaryEngineers,U.S.GreenBuildingCouncil,AmericanPlanningAssociation,andtheNationalAdaptationForumhaveinvitedMCPAtogivepresentationsonclimateresilienceforthebuiltenvironment.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201743
MinnesotaStateFairEcoExperienceBeginningin2014andongoing,theMPCA’sEcoExperienceattheMinnesotaStateFairbeganincludingexhibitpiecesonclimateadaptationandcommunityresilienceaspartoftheClimateChangeExhibit.MPCArefreshestheexhibitpieceseveryyear.Pastexhibitshaveincluded:
• Displayaboutresilienturbantreesandbestpracticesforplanting.
• Exhibithighlightingcommunityassetsthatcontributetoresilience,withsupplementaryinformationontheMPCACommunityResiliencewebpagehttps://www.pca.state.mn.us/quick-links/community-resilience.
• Flippanelsaboutchangingconditionsandhowtoadapt;largebannersdescribinghowMinnesota’sclimateisalreadychangingandexpectedfuturetrends.
• Largewalk-onscaletohighlighttheimpactofpeopleworkingtogethertotakeaction.
• Climateconnectionbingogame.
MPCAredesignedtheResilientCommunitiesexhibitin2015tomakeitportable.Nowlibrariesandotherpublicvenuesthroughoutthestatearedisplayingityear-round.
AirqualityIn2013,Minnesotacompletedamulti-stakeholderCleanAirDialogueprocesswiththegoalsofidentifyingnewopportunitiesforemissionsreductions,layingthegroundworkforfuturecollaborationtoimproveairqualityinMinnesota,andpreparingforpotentialnonattainmentdesignationsofairqualitystandards.Someoftheoptionsrecommendedthroughthisprocesshavepotentialforaddressingandadaptingtoclimatechangechallenges.MPCAalsoconductsmonitoringforclimate-influencedairpollutants.
SolidandhazardouswastemanagementMPCAworkswithcommunitiestocollecthouseholdhazardouswastes(HHW)afterdisasterevents,whichmaybeoneofthemostimportantstepsalocalcommunitycantaketopreventchemicalsfromenteringlocaldrinkingwatersupplies.HHWcoordinationeffortsrequireteamcollaborationwithvariousMPCAprograms,includingsolidwaste,hazardouswaste,andemergencyresponsestaff.Coordinationwithcounty,city,andotherlocalunitsofgovernmentisalsonecessaryandessentialfollowingadisasterevent.
Intermsofclimateadaptationatpermittedsolidwastefacilities,precipitationdataisusedforstormwatermodeling.Atthispoint,allpermitteesknowtheyshouldbedrawingonNOAA’sAtlas14fordata,nottheoldTechnicalPublicationNo.40fromtheNationalWeatherServicedated1961.Forlinedlandfills,thereisarulerequirementthatstormwatermanagementsystemsmustcopewith24-hourstormsat25-yearintervals.Whenpermitscomeupforreissuance,someoftheselandfillsarevoluntarilydesigningfor24-hourstormsat100-yearintervals.
The2016EcoExperienceClimateScaleexhibitdemonstratedhowmuchcanbeaccomplishedtoincreaseclimateresiliencebyenlistingothersinplantingtrees,bikingandwalking,savingenergy,andmore.Source:MNPollutionControlAgency
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201744
ForClass1demolitiondebrislandfills,therulerequirementisthatstormwatermanagementsystemsshouldhandle24-hourstormsat10-yearintervals.Whenpermitscomeupforreissuance,someoftheselandfillsarevoluntarilydesigningfor24-hourstormsat25-yearintervals.
MinnesotaDepartmentofPublicSafety,DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagementTheDivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement(HSEM)helpsMinnesotansprevent,preparefor,respondto,andrecoverfromdisaster.TheHSEMRecoveryandHazardMitigationbranchistaskedwithreducingtherisktopeopleandpropertyfromtheeffectsofnaturalhazardsbydevelopingandimplementinglong-termmitigationmeasuresthatwillreduceoreliminatefutureimpactsofextremeweatherevents.
Inordertoimprovethedisasterresilienceofcommunities,HSEMincorporatedclimatechangeandadaptationintothe2014StateofMinnesotaAll-HazardMitigationPlan.Localmulti-jurisdictionalhazardmitigationplansareencouragedtoanalyzetheirhazardsandimplementhazardmitigationactionstoreduceandavoidfuturedamagesusingClimateResilientMitigationActionsasavailablethroughFederalEmergencyManagementAgency(FEMA)grants.
Minnesota’smostcommonnaturalhazardthreatissevereweather,includingtorrentialrainsandtheresultingflashflooding.PostPresidentialDisasterDeclarations,HSEMimplementstheFEMAHazardMitigationGrantProgram(HMGP).Acquisitionanddemolitionofflood-damagedhomesisapriorityprojectforthestateandmanylocalgovernments.Thelandisdeedrestrictedtoopenspaceinperpetuity,withthegoalofreturningthefloodplaintofullyfunctionandremovethepossibilityoffuturedamages.
HeavyrainsinJune2012resultedinmanyPineCountyresidents’homesbeingflooded.UsingthePresidentialDisasterDeclarationHMGPfunding,PineCountyoffereditsresidents’pre-eventfairmarketvaluefortheirflooddamagedhomes.Voluntaryparticipationintheacquisitionprojectwasofferedtoall40damagedpropertyowners;27participatedintheprogram.Buyoutsoccurredin2014.Theprojectcostwas$5million,withFEMAcostsharing75%andtheMinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcescoveringtheremaining25%.
Fouryearslater,theintenserainfallinJulyof2016ledtoastatedisasterdeclarationinthissamearea.Manyofthehomesthatdidnotparticipateweredamagedinthisevent.
ManyjurisdictionsinthestateofMinnesotahaveusedtheHMGPandotherfederal,state,andlocalprogramstoremovehomesinthefloodplain.HSEMRecoveryandMitigationwillcontinuetoworkwithlocalcommunitiestoplanforandacttoremovepropertiesoutofharm’sway,whetherit’sfromintenserainfall,wind,wildfire,orotherextremeweatherevents.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201745
Casestudy:HazardMitigationGrantsFEMA’sHazardMitigationGrantProgram,administeredbytheDivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement,allowsforpurchaseofflood-damagedhomeswhenriskofarepeateventisconsideredtobesignificant.
Forexample,thishomeinPineCountywasimpactedbyseverestormsandheavy,intenserainfallinJune2012andwasconsideredtobeathighriskforfutureflooding.Thehomeownersvoluntarilyacceptedpre-floodfairmarketvaluefortheirproperty,whichwasthendemolishedafteritwaspurchasedbythecountywithsupportfromfederalandstatefunds.Afterhomeslikethisaredemolished,thelandmustremainopenspace,whicheliminatesrepeateddamageandallowsthefloodplaintofunction.
Seethis2015HSEMvideotolearnmore:https://tinyurl.com/kue65co
MinnesotaDepartmentofTransportationTheimpactsofclimatechangeontheDepartmentofTransportation(MnDOT)areprojectedtobesignificant.MnDOTiscommittedtoaddressingclimatechangeadaptationinourstatewidevisionforamultimodaltransportationsystemthat“isflexibleandnimbleenoughtoadapttochangesinsociety,technology,theenvironment,andtheeconomy.”ClimateissueswillaffectmanyfunctionalgroupswithinMnDOT,includingBridge,Hydraulics,WaterResources,Maintenance,Design,Construction,Materials,andFreight,RailandWaterways.MnDOThasincorporateddiscussionofclimateadaptationanditsimportanceinitsFebruary2017SustainabilityReport:http://www.dot.state.mn.us/climate/pdf/sustainability-report-2016.pdf
Thepredictionsforincreasedfrequencyandintensityofrainfallevents,warmerwintersleadingtomoreicethansnow,extremeheateventsresultinginworsenedairquality,andanincreasednumberoffreeze/thawcycleswillaffectthewayMnDOTdesigns,builds,operates,andmaintainsthestate’smultimodaltransportationsystem.ItwillalsocompelMnDOTtoinventorymorestatewidetransportationassetstoassesstheirvulnerabilitytotheimpactsofclimatechange,anddeterminecost-effectivemethodstominimizeandmitigatethoseimpacts.
Thedefinitionsofextremeweathereventsvarybetweenclimatologistsandhydraulicengineers.Tohydraulicengineers,an“extremeevent”representsaneventgreaterthanthedesignevent(basedonannualprobabilityofoccurrenceinaspecificlocation),i.e.,a100-yearstormmaybeconsideredacheckstormbyhydraulicengineerswhenconsideringfloodingimpacts.Amorefrequentstormmightbeconsidered“extremeweather”byclimatologists.
MnDOTisrespondingtoclimatechangeimpactsinanumberofthefollowingareas.
ClimatevulnerabilityassessmentpilotprojectMnDOTconductedasystem-wideassessmentoftrunkhighwaynetworkvulnerabilitytoincreasedheavyprecipitationinMnDOTDistricts1and6.Theassessmentwasoneof19pilotstudiesacrossthe
Source:MNHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201746
countrysponsoredbytheFederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA)toexaminetheeffectsofclimatehazardsontransportationsystems.
Theprojectteamscoredandranked316bridges,521largeculverts,920pipes,and,approximately45milesofroadsegmentsparallelingstreamsbasedonthesensitivityandexposuretoheavyprecipitationandthesystem’sadaptivecapacity.
Theprojectalsoincludedanadaptationanalysisoftwoculverts:oneonMinnesota61overSilverCreekinDistrict1andoneonU.S.63intheCityofSpringValleyinDistrict6.Theanalysisevaluatedthecurrentculvertperformanceandthreeadaptationoptions.Alloptionswereassessedagainstthreefutureclimatescenariosandapreferredoptionwasidentifiedbasedonlowestlifecyclecostanalysisthatincludedcostfordirectrepair,replacement,detours,andsafety.
Moreinformationisavailableat:http://www.dot.state.mn.us/climate/pilotproject.html
Figure14
AssetvulnerabilitytoflashfloodeventsinMnDOTDistrict1.Source:MnDOT
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201747
Figure15
AssetvulnerabilitytoflashfloodeventsinMnDOTDistrict6.Source:MnDOT
FloodmitigationprojectsIn2011,MnDOTdedicated$50millionofChapter152bondstofundprojectsthatmitigateandensurelong-termsustainabilityforflood-pronehighways.Theprogramfunded34projectsallofwhicharenowcompleteorunderconstruction.Someoftheprojectsincludedthefollowing:
• Hwy101Floodmitigationproject(MetroDistrict).http://www.dot.state.mn.us/metro/projects/hwy101river/index.html
• Hwy169&Hwy22Floodmitigationprojects(District7).http://www.dot.state.mn.us/d7/projects/floodmitigation/
• Hwy75nearKent(District4).http://www.dot.state.mn.us/d4/projects/hwy75kent/
Moreinformationabouttheprogramandalistofallthemitigationprojectsisavailableathttp://www.dot.state.mn.us/floodmitigation/
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201748
Bridgescour-relatedeffortsScourmayleavebridgesvulnerabletodamageandfailureduringfloodingbyunderminingbridgefoundationsorremovingtheprotectionfromtheabutmentslopes.
MnDOTaddressesbridgescourthrougheffortsincludingthefollowing:
• Manageawebpagethatprovidesbridgescourmonitoringinformation:http://www.dot.state.mn.us/bridge/hydraulics/scour.html.
• Educatebridgeinspectorsduringre-certificationtrainingaboutwhatbridgescouris,howtomonitorscour,andhowtouseaBridgeScourPlanofAction(POA).
• DevelopPOAsforallbridgesthatarescourcriticalorneedtobemonitoredforscour.• AssistdistrictswithFloodResponsePlans.• Investinnewunderwatersonar/inspectiontechnology.• SetupacooperativeagreementwiththeU.S.GeologicalSurvey(USGS)thatallowsMnDOTto
hirethemtomonitorbridgesduringfloods.
SupportupdatedhydrologyWhilenotpredictiveoffuturechanges,MnDOTcontinuesworkingtokeepprecipitationfrequencyestimatesanddischargeregressionequationsuptodatethroughanongoinginteragencyagreementwiththeUSGS.MnDOTandUSGSmatchfundingtomaintaincrestgagestocollectdatatodevelopstreamregressionequations,developnewregressionequations(aboutevery10years),developandmaintainStreamstats,andperformhydrologicstudies.Aregressionequationstudyisunderwayandnewregressionequationsshouldbepublishedin2018.
MnDOTprovidedfundingtoNOAAtodevelopupdatedprecipitationfrequencydata:publishedasAtlas14(http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/).Atlas14isanimportantnewdatasourcethatfullydocumentsthechangingfrequencyofextremeprecipitationinMinnesota,updatingolderprecipitationfrequencieswhich,insomecases,aredecadesold.MnDOTadoptedAtlas14inDecember2013anditisrequiredforallprojectsafterJune2014.
FundingforresearchprojectsMnDOTfundsresearchprojectstoinvestigateslopevulnerability,ditchorswaleinfiltrationtoreducerunoff,roadwayovertoppingprotection,scourmonitoringimplementation,new/improvedscourcountermeasuretechniques,drought-tolerantsod,andusingnaturalflocculantstoreducetotalsuspendedsolidsandphosphorousdischargefromextremeweathereventsduringprojectconstruction.
OtherMnDOTclimateadaptationactivitiesinclude:• Incorporatingplanningforfloodeventsandanyotherweather-relatedincidentsintoMnDOT
IncidentManagementPlansandapplyinglessons-learnedfromrecentfloodevents.• Developingmoreefficientwaystoinventoryourtransportationassetsthatmaybeimpactedby
extremeclimateevents.• PartneredwiththeDNRandBWSRtodevelopfloodanddroughttolerantseedmixturesthatare
beingusedonroadsidesandinstormwaterponds.• Createdmanagement-levelSustainableTransportationSteeringCommittee(STSC)tosetagency
directiononclimateandsustainabilityefforts,includingclimateadaptation.• Participatinginstatewideclimatechange,climateadaptation,andairqualitygroupstobetter
understandhowclimateissuesdirectlyaffectMinnesotaandcollaboratewithotherstateagenciestominimizeimpactsandincreaseourclimateresilience.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201749
• Participateinnationalcommitteesandresearchprojectstostayinformedontransportationclimatestrategies,includingleadershiprolesinthefollowingefforts:o NationalCooperativeHighwayResearchProgram(NCHRP)researchproject:Applying
ClimateChangeInformationtoHydrologicandHydraulicsDesignofTransportationInfrastructure.
o NationalAcademiesTransportationResearchBoardTaskForceonClimateChange.
o AmericanAssociationofStateHighwayandTransportationOfficials(AASHTO)ResilientandSustainableTransportationSystemsSteeringCommittee.
o FHWAClimateChangeResiliencePilotsNationalAirQualityandHealthPeerExchanges,andinternationalSymposiumonDecarbonizingTransportation.
Figure16
PotentialeffectsofclimatechangeinMinnesotafromMnDOT'sFebruary2017SustainabilityReport(sourceofchart:MinnesotaStateClimatologyOffice)
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201750
MinnesotaBoardofWaterandSoilResourcesTheBoardofWaterandSoilResources’(BWSR)missionistoimproveandprotectMinnesota’swaterandsoilresourcesbyworkinginpartnershipwithlocalorganizationsandprivatelandowners.
BWSRisfocusedonusingcurrentclimatechangescienceandclimateadaptationsolutionstoprotectMinnesota’snaturalresources.TheboardrecentlyupdateditsClimateChangeTrendsandActionReport:http://www.bwsr.state.mn.us/native_vegetation/BWSR_Climate_Change.pdf
LocalwatermanagementplanningBWSRsupportsandpromotesintegratedwaterresourcesmanagementthatusesawatershedapproachtosolvesoilandwaterresourceissuesandconsidersthepotentialformoreextremeweathereventsandtheirimplicationsforthewaterandlandresources.Thisincludestheuseofdesignstandardsforstormwaterandconservationprojectsthataddresslargerprecipitationevents.
WetlandprotectionandrestorationWetlandanduplandbufferrestorationandprotectionconductedthroughtheReinvestinMinnesota(RIM)ReserveProgramandfederalpartnerships,WetlandsConservationActimplementation,andCleanWaterFundprojects,helptorestoreandmaintainwaterretention,runoffreduction,wildlifehabitat,andwaterqualityinMinnesota.This,inturn,enhancesadaptationtoclimatechange.
Theecosystemservicesprovidedbywetlandsalsoprotectagainstintensestormeventsandperiodsofdrought.Associateduplandbuffersprotectwetlandecosystems,andprovidelandscapeconnectivityandotherfunctionsthatpromotelandscaperesiliency.Restorationprojectsalsoincreasecarbonsequestrationthatcanincreaseinfiltrationratesandstorewateronthelandscape.
AgriculturalconservationpracticesBWSRpromotesavarietyofconservationpracticesinagriculturalareasthatpromotesoilhealthandtheabilityofsoilstocaptureandstorerainfall,storecarbon,anddecreaseheatabsorptionfromtilledground.Examplesofconservationpracticesthatminimizeimpactsfromlargerstormsincludecovercrops,fieldterraces,no-tillfarming,bufferstrips,retentionareas,andconstructedwetlands.
MultipurposedrainagemanagementBWSRpromotesandsupportsimplementationoftraditionalandnewconservationpracticesformultiplepurposes,includingconservationdrainageanddrainagewatermanagementpractices.Thesepracticeshelpreducerunoffandnutrientloss,avoidrunoffconcentration,protectareaswhererunoffconcentrates,reducepeakflowstoreduceerosion,maintainagriculturalproductivity,improvewaterqualityandhabitat,andreduceflooding.Multipurposedrainagepracticeshelpmakeworkinglands,aswellasartificialandnaturaldrainagesystems,moreresilienttohighintensityrainfall.
ShallowlakeinAnokaCounty.Source:BWSR
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201751
IncreasinglandscaperesiliencyAvarietyofrestorationandlandmanagementstrategiesarepromotedforconservationprojectstoincreaseresiliencytoextremestormsandotherlandscapestressors.Examplesinclude:
• Restoringhealthynaturalsystemswheretheycanhavethegreatestlandscapebenefits.• Decreasingfragmentationofintactplantcommunities,andcreatinghabitatcorridors.• Restoringplantcommunitiesandvegetationthatfitcurrentandexpectedprojectsite
conditions.• Promotingindividualspeciesforprojectsthatcanhandleexpectedconditionsandprovide
ecologicalfunctions.• Promotingspeciesdiversitytoincreaseresiliencyandpromotehabitatforawiderangeof
wildlifespeciesincludingpollinators.• Usingdeep-rootedplantstopromoteinfiltrationandgroundwaterrecharge.• Restoringhighqualityhabitatforpollinatorsandotherbeneficialinsects.• Managinginvasivespeciesacrossgeographicandownershipboundariestominimizetheir
competitiveadvantage.• Adaptingprojectdesign,implementation,andmanagementapproachesbasedonproject
experience.• Takingalong-termviewtothemanagementofnaturalresources.
AdaptivelandscapemanagementDisturbancesassociatedwithclimatechangecangiveinvasivespeciesacompetitiveadvantageovernativespecies.BWSR’sCooperativeWeedManagementArea(CWMA)programisfocusedonforminglocalorganizationsthatshareinvasivespeciesmanagementexpertiseandresourcesacrossownershipboundaries.
CWMAsarealsofocusingoncontrollingemergingweedthreatsthatbenefitfromwarmingclimatesuchaswoodyinvasivespeciesthatareinvadingnorthernforests.Bypromotingadaptivelandscapemanagementpracticessuchasforestmanagementandprescribedburning,BWSRisalsoworkingtoincreasethelandscape’sabilitytosequestercarbonandwithstandlargerainevents.
NorthernforestmanagementBWSRisworkingthroughpartnershipstoprotecttheintegrityofnorthernforests.Recenteffortsinclude:
• ProtectionofwildricelakesandsurroundingforeststhroughtheRIMProgram.
• Anefforttoprotectandrestorewhitecedarwetlandsthatarebecominglesscommon.
• SupportofCWMAsinnorthernMinnesotatoaddressemergingweedthreats.
BWSRalsopromotesmanagingforestsforhighdiversitytoadapttoclimatevariation,largestorms,diseases,andpathogens.
DisasterresponseFloodinghascausedsignificantdamagetoprivatelandsandconservationpracticeinfrastructureinMinnesota.Since2000,BWSRhasprovided$53millionforfloodinginsoutheast,northeastandnorthwestMinnesotawithafocusonrebuildinginfrastructurethatwillberesilienttofuturestorms.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201752
Casestudy:EllefsonGroupWetlandRestorationRestoredwetlandsandprairiesprovideanimportantapproachinadaptingtoclimatechangebyincreasingtheresiliencyofwatersheds.TheEllefsonGroupWetlandRestorationinNormanCountywasacombinedeffortbyfourlandownersandstate,federal,andlocalagencies.
Thesitewaspreviouslyfarmlandthatfrequentlyhadcropfailureduetoflooding.Throughhydrologyrestorationandtheplantingofdiverseseedmixes,thesitewasrestoredto448acresofrestoredprairieandwetlandandcontainseightwetlandbasins.
Thewetlandandprairierestorationnowprovidesarefugetoawiderangeofwildlife,includingpollinators,amphibians,reptiles,shorebirds,andwaterfowl.
Thesitealsodecreasesdownstreamfloodingbydetainingwaterfromlargestorms.Surfacerunofffromthesiteisestimatedtobereducedby88%.
MetropolitanCouncilClimateadaptationplanningandimplementationisoccurringatalldivisionsoftheMetropolitanCouncil(Council),includingthoseprovidingorganizationalleadershipandregionalplanningassistance—likeRegionalAdministrationandCommunityDevelopment—aswellasthoseprovidingoperationsandservices,likeMetroTransit,MetroMobility,andEnvironmentalServices(MCES).ThesectionsbelowprovideaselectoverviewofadaptationactivitiesattheCouncil,andisnotexhaustive.
RegionaladministrationBasedonoutcomesfromThriveMSP2040—theCouncil’s25-yearregionalvision—theCouncilestablishedanImplementationWorkGrouponClimateChangeandEnvironmentalSustainability(CCEST).CCEST’sgoalsincludecoordinatingacrosstheCouncil;developingandimprovingenvironmentallysustainableplans,policies,andprocedures(includingresiliencyandclimateadaptation);leadingbyexampleintheCouncil’soperations;andhelpingmetropolitanareacommunitiesandothersimprovetheirenvironmentalfootprintandsustainability.SeniorexecutivesfromtheMetropolitanCouncildivisionshavebeenprovidedGETS(GovernmentEmergencyTelecommunicationsService)togetpriorityaccessduringacrisis.
Moreover,MetropolitanCouncilInformationServiceshasfocusedondevelopmentandimplementationoftechnologyrecoverystrategiesandplanstoensurerecoveryandresumptionofdisruptedinformationtechnologysystemsandservicesformanyhazardsituations,rangingfromnaturalhazards(floods,fires,tornados,pandemic,etc.)tohuman-causedhazards(bombings,riots,etc.).InformationServices’strategiesforrecoveryoftechnologyoperationsoutagesduetoclimate-relatedevents,includingoff-sitedatabackupstrategies,areincludedinthebusinesscontinuityplans.
Marshmilkweed.Source:BWSR
RestoredwetlandinNormanCounty.Source:BWSR
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201753
CommunitydevelopmentMetropolitanCouncil’sCommunityDevelopmentdivisionprovidesresourcesforcommunitiesworkingtointegrateclimateadaptationstrategiesintolocalcomprehensiveplans.
ThriveMSP2040,theCouncil’s25-yearregionalvision,(https://metrocouncil.org/Planning/Projects/Thrive-2040/Thrive-MSP-2040-Plan.aspx?source=child)encouragesclimatechangeadaptationtobepartofcomprehensiveplanupdates,whicharerequiredofallcities,counties,andtownshipswithintheseven-countymetropolitanevery10years.ThenextcomprehensiveplanupdatesareduebyDecember31,2018.
Communitiesareencouragedtoidentifyandaddressvulnerabilitiestostrengthentheirabilitytoprepareforandrespondtoclimateimpacts.Resiliencyincludesplanningformorefrequentandmoreintensesevereweather(includingprolongedheatwaves),forhealthofresidents,andforeconomicstrengthanddiversity.TheCouncil’sLocalPlanningHandbook(https://metrocouncil.org/Handbook.aspx)providesguidanceandresourcesonallelementsofacomprehensiveplanupdate,includingaResiliencePlanElementthataddressesfourareas:InfrastructureandEnvironment,EnergyInfrastructureandResources,HealthyCommunitiesandEconomyandSociety.
AsparttheCouncil’s2016-2017PlanItseries(https://metrocouncil.org/Handbook/PlanIt.aspx),webinarsontopicssuchasComprehensivePlanningforSolarEnergySystemsareavailabletocommunities.APlanItDecember2016conferenceprovidedadaptation-relatedbreakoutsessions:AdaptingtheUrbanForestintheTwinCitiesMetroAreatoClimateChangeandIntegratingSustainabilityandResiliencePlanningintheCityComprehensivePlan.Additionaltrainingandworkshopsoncommunityresiliencyandclimatechangeintheareasofsolar,energy,openspace,andurbanforestry/climatevulnerabilityassessmentarebeingplannedfor2017.
TheCommunityDevelopmentdivisioniscurrentlyconductingaClimateVulnerabilityAssessment,whichconsiderstheclimatehazardsoflocalizedfloodingandextremeheatonregionalassets.ThedivisionhasalsocollaboratedwithaUniversityofMinnesotacapstoneclasstocompleteaSocialClimateVulnerabilityAssessmentforthesametwoclimatehazards.Bothoftheseassessmentsshouldbecompletebytheendofsummerin2017.
ThriveMSP2040,theCouncil'sregional25-yearvision,providesclimateadaptationstrategiestometrocommunities.Source:MetropolitanCouncil
FocusgroupmeetsontheMetCouncil’sClimateVulnerabilityAssessmentduringJuly2016.Source:MetropolitanCouncil
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201754
TheCommunityDevelopmentdivisionisalsoworkingcloselywithFreshwaterSocietyinleadingworkshopsforcommunityresilienceplanning.Thedivisionhascompletedonecohortofcommunityworkshopsacrosstwowatersheddistrictsinthesouthwestmetro,andthepartnershipplanstorolloutmorecommunityresilienceplanningworkshopsacrossotherwatersheddistrictsin2017.
ThedivisionhasworkedwiththeSolarFoundationandtheMcKnightFoundationtofundanewSolarAdvisorpositiontoprovidetechnicalassistancetometropolitancommunitiesinplanningforsolarandobtainingSolSmartCertificationshttp://www.gosparc.org/duringthecurrentcomprehensiveplanningcycle.
EnvironmentalServicesMetropolitanCouncilEnvironmentalServices(MCES)provideswastewaterservicesandintegratedplanningtoensuresustainablewaterqualityandwatersupplyforthemetropolitanregion.MCESoperatessevenwastewatertreatmentplants(WWTPs)andonewaterreclamationfacility(WRF),whichtreatover200milliongallonsofsewageperday.MultipleclimateadaptationstrategiesarebeingimplementedthroughoutMCES,includingtheInflowandInfiltrationReductionProgram,FloodResponseandMitigation,andInfrastructureRehabilitation.
InflowandInfiltrationReductionProgramInflowandInfiltration(I/I)areseparateandrelatedchallengesthatallowclearwaterfromstormwaterandgroundwatertoenterthewastewatersystem,increasingbaseflowandpeakflowdeliveredtoWWTPsandresultingincostlyandunnecessaryexpansionofpipesandWWTPcapacity.I/Ivolumesareaffectedbyincreasedprecipitationandstormintensities.I/Icancauseexcessiveflows,leadingtountreatedsewagedischargestobasementsorwaterwaysthatendangerpublicandenvironmentalhealth.
PreviousstudiesoftheMCESsystemindicatethatupto20%oftheannualwastewaterflowisfromI/I.ReductionofthebaseflowfromI/Ipreservessystemcapacityforgrowthandallowsforsurfacewatertorechargetheregion’saquifers.(https://metrocouncil.org/Wastewater-Water/Planning/Wastewater/Inflow-and-Infiltration.aspx)
MCESownsandmaintainsmorethan600milesofregionalinterceptorsewersthatcollectwastewaterflowfromroughly5,000milesofsewermainsownedandoperatedby109communitieswithinthemetropolitanarea.Upstreamoftheregionalandlocalsystemsareoveramillionconnectionstoprivateproperties,includinganestimated7,500milesofprivatesewerlaterals.Servicelateralpipestoover400,000homeswereconstructedpriorto1970frombrittlematerialsthatarepastdesignlifeandcontributeanestimated20%to80%ofI/Iintheregion.
TheMCESI/Iprogrambeganin2004toaddresssourcesofI/Iinthelocalwastewatersystems.Through2016,over50communitieshaveparticipatedinI/Imitigationworkplansandhavereportedover$160millionofinvestmentsintolocalandprivateinfrastructure.Aftercompletionoftheworkplan,manycommunitieschosetocontinueinvestinginI/Isourceidentificationandmitigationprojectsaspartofsystemmaintenanceandassetmanagement.
SincethebeginningoftheI/Iprogram,regionalwastewatervolumeshavereducedbyroughlyeightbilliongallonsperyear.Theflowdecreasehasoccurredevenasprecipitationvolumes,rainfallintensities,andpopulationshaveincreased.Thefigurebelowshowsthetrendsinrainfallandregionalwastewaterfrom2005-2015.ThisflowreductioncanbeattributedtoI/Imitigationandwaterconservation.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201755
Figure17
From2007-2015,MCEScompleted$205millionofimprovementstotheregionalinterceptors.MCESwillcontinuetoaddressI/Ithroughlong-rangeplanningandinvestments,including$80to$100millionofmaintenancetotheinterceptorsystemannuallythrough2023.ItisestimatedthatI/Isourcemitigationavoidsbillionsofdollarsinunnecessarycapitalspendingfortheregion.Giventheuncertaintyinpredictingrainfallintensitiesandfrequenciesforthenext20to50years,amorepreciseestimateoftheamountofspendingtoprovideadditionalcapacityforI/Iintheregionalsystemisnotcurrentlyavailable.
AnI/ITaskForcemetin2016toevaluatetheongoingI/IProgram,andtodiscussthetechnicalandfinancialchallengesassociatedwithmitigatingI/Ifromprivatepropertysources.ThetaskforcerecommendedthatMCESdevelopapublicoutreachprogram;supportcommunitiesthroughdevelopmentofmodelordinancesandbestpracticesforprivatepropertymitigationprograms;andpursueconsistentfundingforI/Imitigationfromstateandpotentiallyregionalsources.MCESplanstocompletetheserecommendationsby2019.
Trendsinrainfallandregionalwastewaterannualflow,2005–2015.Source:MetropolitanCouncil
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201756
Floodresponseandmitigation
Wastewatertreatmentfacilitiesareprotectedbydikesandfloodwallsthatexceedthelevelofextremefloodingthatoccurredin1965,orgreater.Otheradaptationsincludeauxiliaryequipmentandbackuppumps(topumpfloodwatersoverthefloodwallandintotheeffluentchannel)andstockingofreservefuelduringperiodsofimminentflooding.
Inaddition,theCouncilhasstockpiledgraveltoallowquickconstructionoftemporaryroadaccessduringfloods,andhasahelicoptercompanyoncontingency.Also,atsomesites,dewateringpumpshavebeeninstalledtolowerthegroundwatertableandprotectundergroundinfrastructure.
InfrastructurerehabilitationDespiteCouncilprogramstomitigateinflowandinfiltration,periodsofexcessprecipitationcantaxthewastewatersystem.Ongoingmaintenanceensurescapacityexiststohandleincreasedflowsduringwetweather.TheCouncilhasalsoimplementedaConditionAssessmentProgram,resultingininspectionofmostofthegravityinterceptorsystem.
A1-5ratingsystem,with“5”beingtheworstcondition,isusedtoratetheconditionoftheCouncil’sregionalwastewaterconveyanceinfrastructure.Necessaryimprovementsareprioritizedbasedonconditionandaddressedthroughanongoing$100million/yearcapitalimprovementprogram,whichisfocusedprimarilyonrehabilitation.
AuxiliaryequipmentprovidesbackupserviceatMCESwastewatertreatmentplantsduringfloods,poweroutages,andotheremergencies.Source:MetropolitanCouncil
Maintenanceandrehabilitationofregionalwastewaterconveyanceinfrastructurereducesexcessflowscausedbyunusualperiodsofextendedwetweatherandintensestorms.Source:MetropolitanCouncil
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201757
StormwaterPlanningandGreenInfrastructurePilotGrantProgramsResearchandmonitoringhaveshownthatnonpointsourcepollutionishavingadetrimentaleffectonthewaterqualityoflakes,streams,andriversintheMinneapolis–St.Paulmetropolitanarea.Nonpointsourcepollutionisstormwaterrunofffromagriculturalandurbanlandthatenterswetlands,lakes,streams,andriverswithouttreatment.Changesintemperatureandprecipitationpatterns—particularlythosetrendingtowardexcessiveheatandprecipitation—andmoreintensestormslikelyexacerbatedeclinesinsurfacewaterquality.
ThegoalofMetropolitanCouncil’sstormwatergrantprogramistodemonstrateinnovativepracticesthattreatandmanagestormwaterwiththeintentofreducingrunoffvolumeandpollutantsdischargingtoreceivingwatersintheseven-countymetropolitanarea.Thesegrantswillhelpfundanddocumentinnovative,highvisibilitydemonstrationprojectsthatcouldbereplicatedthroughoutthemetroregion.Projectsapprovedforfundingin2016includeactivitieslikestormwatercaptureandreuse,raingardenconstruction,andgroundwaterconservation.$1millionisagainavailableforstormwatergrantfundingin2017.Eligibleentitiesincludewatermanagementorganizationsandsoilandwaterconservationdistricts.ProjectswillbeselectedfromtheapplicantpoolbyearlyJune2017.
Alsoin2017,theCouncilisofferingupto$1millionforone-watergreeninfrastructureprojects,availabletometropolitanareacommunities,tosupportapproachestosolvingwater-relatedproblemsthatacknowledgetheconnectionbetweenwastewater,stormwater,groundwater,andsurfacewater.Morefrequentandintenseraineventsassociatedwithclimatechangeoftentaxtheregion’sagingstormwaterandwastewaterinfrastructure.Theone-watergrantprogramisgearedtowardimplementingsolutionsforcommunitywaterproblemsthatwillprovidemultiplebenefitsforregionalwaterqualityquantityandquality.
MetroTransitMetroTransitprovidesanintegratednetworkofbuses,lightrail,andcommutertrains,aswellasresourcesforthosewhocarpool,vanpool,walk,orbikeinthemetropolitanarea.In2016,MetroTransitprovidedmorethan80millionrides.
MetroTransithasnotdevelopedspecificclimateadaptationstrategies,butinsteadhasfocusedoncreationandimplementationofroute-andfacility-specificbusinesscontinuityplanstoensurerecoveryandresumptionofdisruptedtransitoperationsformanyhazardsituations,rangingfromnaturalhazards(floods,fires,tornados,etc.)tohuman-causedhazards(bombings,riots,etc.).Manyadaptationsofoperationstoclimate-relatedevents,likeestablishingalternativeroutesduringperiodsoflocalizedfloodingorestablishingalternativeoperationsheadquartersduetotornadoorstormdamage,areincludedinthebusinesscontinuityplans.
StatewideclimateadaptationindicatorsWiththegoalofbettertrackingandmonitoringMinnesota’sclimateadaptationprogress,ICATdevelopedfivestatewideindicatorsinlate2015usingtheResults-BasedAccountabilityprocess.WorkingwithconsultantsupportfromMinnesotaManagementandBudget,ICATmembersparticipatedinahalf-dayworkshopinSeptember2015,whichwasfollowedupbyadditionalmeetingsanddiscussionthroughwhichindicatorswereagreeduponbyconsensus.ICATestablishedbaselinesanddatasourcesforeachoftheseindicatorsinfall2016.
Theseindicatorsandaccompanyingbaselineand/ortrenddataaredescribedbelow.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201758
Climateadaptationplanningbystateagencies,localunitsofgovernmentandtribalgovernmentsPurposeofindicator
• Measuredegreetowhichstand-aloneadaptationplansarebeingpreparedbyagencies,localunitsofgovernmentandtribes.
• Alsomeasuredegreetowhichadaptationisbeingincorporatedintoongoingplansandplanning.
Datacollectionstrategy:Onlinesurvey.
Leadagency:MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Baseline/ongoingdatasource:17.5%ofsurveyedorganizationsina2016onlinesurveyindicatethattheyhaveatleastonetypeofplanorplanningeffortthatspecificallyaddressesclimateadaptationandresilience.Thisonlinesurveywillberepeatedperiodically(everythreetofiveyears).
DisruptionstothepowergridPurposeofindicator
• Proxymeasureofpreparedness/resilienceforextremeweatherandotherpotentialclimateimpacts.
Datacollectionstrategy:UseexistingdatasourcesfromtheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy.
Leadagency:MinnesotaDepartmentofCommerce
Baseline/ongoingdatasource:Dataareavailablefortheyears2000-2016forMinnesotaSevereWeatherElectricDisturbanceEventsfromreportingfromtheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,OfficeofElectricityDeliveryandEnergyReliability(ReportOE-417)https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx.
Dataindicatethenumberofcustomersaffectedandprovideinsightintotrendsofsevereweatheroccurrencesandtimetoachievetotalpowerrestoration.
Source:MNPollutionControlAgency
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201759
Figure18
MinnesotaSevereWeatherElectricDisturbanceEvents(OE-417)–AvailabledatafromEnergy.gov,OfficeofElectricityDeliveryandEnergyReliability(https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx)archivesfromtheyear2000through7/5/2016isillustratedinthegraph(FigureprovidedbytheMinnesotaDepartmentofCommerce)ofreportablesevereweatherrelatedelectricgriddisturbancesforMinnesota.
Emergencydepartmentdataforheat-relatedhealthimpactsPurposeofindicator
• Proxymeasureofpreparedness/resilienceforextremeheatonhumanhealth.
Datacollectionstrategy:Useexistingdatasources.
Leadagency:MinnesotaDepartmentofHealth
Baseline/datasource:Dataareavailablefortheyears2000-2014fromtheMDH’sMinnesotaPublicHealthDataAccessPortalathttps://apps.health.state.mn.us/mndata/heat_ed
Thegraphshowsemergencydepartment(ED)visitratesforheat-relatedillnesseswithaveragesummertemperaturesperyear.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201760
Figure19
InflationadjusteddamagesfromextremeweatherPurposeofindicator
• Proxymeasureofpreparedness/resilienceforclimateimpacts.
Datacollectionstrategy
• Useexistingdatasources.
Leadagency:MinnesotaDivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement
Baseline/datasource:Annualcostforeligibledamagesfromfederalandstatedeclareddisasters2000-2016.TheMinnesotaHSEMPublicAssistanceProgramisdesignatedtorestorepublicinfrastructureandpromotesrecoveryforlocal,countyandstategovernments,tribalgovernments,andcertainprivatenonprofits.EacheligibleapplicantwithinthePublicAssistanceProgramwillhaveprojectworksheetscreatedtorepresentestimatedcoststorestoretheirfacilitiesbacktoapre-disastercondition.ThePublicAssistanceProgramisbasedontheStaffordAct,44(CFR)CodeofFederalRegulationsandFEMA’spoliciesandguidanceasoutlinedforeachpresidentialdisaster.Eachdisastervariesduetoitsintensity,durationandtypeofstorm(e.g.,flooding,rainfall,wind)andthereforetheextentofthedamageswillbesubjecttovariousconditionsoftheevent.Minnesota’sStateDisasterfundwascreatedin2014toassistlocalunitsofgovernmentrecoverincaseswhendamagesdonotmeetthefederalthreshold.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201761
Figure20
Sources:https://www.fema.gov/states/minnesotaandHSEM
CanopycoverofurbanandcommunityforestsPurposeofindicator
• Proxymeasureofimplementationofgreeninfrastructurepracticesforclimateadaptationanddegreeofvulnerabilitytoclimatechange.
Datacollectionstrategy
• UseexistingdatasourcesfromDNR.
Leadagency:MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources
Baseline/datasource:TheUSDAForestServicesoftware,i-TreeLandscape,wasusedtooverlaythe2011U.S.GeologicalSurveyNationalLandCoverDatabasewithU.S.CensusBureaudataofU.S.CensusPlacestodefineurbanandcommunityforestrycanopycover.U.S.CensusPlacesisboundarydatadevelopedin2010andisdesignatedbyhighconcentrationsofpopulationof2,500inhabitantsormore.Basedonthemethodprovidedabove,urbanandcommunityforestrycanopycoverwasmeasuredat15.1%in2011.
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
2000 2001 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
FEMAandStateDisasterCosts2000-2016
Inflationadjusteddamagecostsinmillions
FEMADisasterCosts StateDisasterCosts
Figure21
MapofU.S.CensusPlaces.AreasinblueareconsideredurbanandcommunityareasinMinnesotaduetopopulationlevelsandarebeingmeasuredforurbanandcommunityforesttreecanopycoverthroughUSForestServicei-Treesoftware.Source:MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201762
RecommendationsforactionICAT’svisionisofaresilient,economicallythriving,andhealthyMinnesotathatispreparedforbothshort-andlong-termclimatechangesandweatherextremes.ICAT’sgoalistoencouragestateagenciestoidentifyandimplementmeasurestoassistthestateanditscommunitiesinadaptingtoclimatechange.TheteamrecognizesthatbuildingaresilientMinnesotainthefaceofachangingclimateisacomplexchallenge.
WhileMinnesotastateagenciesarecarryingoutawiderangeofactivitiesrelatedtoadaptationasdescribedinthisreport,additionalopportunitiesalsoexistforagenciestoincreasetheirworktogetheronthisissue.ICAThasidentifiedthefollowingpriorityrecommendationsforneededactioninclimateadaptationbystategovernment.
Thesesixrecommendationswerepresentedindraftformfordiscussiontoparticipantsinthe“AdaptationandResiliency:HowDoWeMeettheChallengesofMinnesota’sChangingClimate?”breakoutsessionattheEQBEnvironmentalCongressonFebruary3,2017,andthewordingbelowreflectsfeedbackreceivedinthatsession.Therecommendationsarenotinpriorityorder.
ICATwillworkin2017tofurtherfleshoutpriorityactionsandworkplansrelatedtotheserecommendations.Theteamrecognizesthatimplementationoftheserecommendationsinvolvesstaffandfinancialresourcesanddependsuponincreasedcollaborationamongstateagencies.
1. Buildgreaterresiliencetoextremeprecipitation.• Identifypriorityrisksfromcurrentandprojectedextremeprecipitationthatthreatensstateand
localinfrastructure,environmentalquality,health,ecosystems,publicsafety,andeconomicdevelopment.
• Developstateagencyactionplansincludingspecificstepstoincreaseresiliencytotheseimpactsandimplementpriorityprojectstoaddresskeyvulnerabilities,andasappropriate,integratefloodandflashfloodresilienceintoexistingplansandplanningmechanisms.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaBoardofWaterandSoilResources,Minnesota
DivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency,MinnesotaDepartmentofAgriculture,MinnesotaDepartmentofTransportation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard,MetropolitanCouncil,MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairs
2. IdentifyopportunitiestostrengthentheclimateresilienceandhealthofvulnerablepopulationsofMinnesotansacrossstateagencyprogramsandthroughcooperationwithlocalgovernments.• Protecthealthofvulnerablepopulationsfromclimateimpacts,includingflooding,heat,reduced
airquality(ozone,pollen,wildfire,dust),vector-bornedisease,anddrought.• Developtoolsthatindividualcommunitiesatthecountyorcitylevelcanusetobetterincrease
theresilienceoftheirvulnerablepopulations.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaDepartmentofHealth,MinnesotaPollution
ControlAgency,MetropolitanCouncil,MinnesotaDivisionofHomelandSecurityandEmergencyManagement,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201763
3. Increasefocusonpreservingnaturalandrestoredterrestrialandaquaticecosystemsandhabitattoincreaseresilienceofwildlifeandnativeplants.• Developcontiguousmigrationcorridorsforwildlifeandnativeplantsthatwillincreaseresilience
ofMinnesota’snaturalandrestoredterrestrialandaquaticcommunitiestoclimatechangeimpacts,withpriorityfocusonpreviouslyidentifiedpopulationsmostatrisk.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources,Minnesota
BoardofWaterandSoilResources,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency,MinnesotaDepartmentofMilitaryAffairs,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard
4. Strengthenagriculturalwatermanagementeffortstoincreaseresiliencetoclimatechangeimpacts.• Mitigateincreasedamountandintensityofprecipitationanddrought,includingthrough
agronomic,soilconservation,soilhealth,irrigation,anddrainagewatermanagementpractices.• Reduceerosion,promoteinfiltration,managewaterretentionandrunoff,andimprove
resiliencetodroughtthroughcropselectionandmanagement,andsoilandwatermanagementofcropland.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaDepartmentofAgriculture,MinnesotaBoardof
WaterandSoilResources,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard
5. Increasefocusonmanagingclimateimpactsincities,towns,andotherpopulationcenters.• Reduceurbanheatislandandotherclimateimpactsthroughapproachesthatwillpreserveand
expandtreecanopy,incorporatetreesandvegetationintocompletestreetdesign,encourageuseofperviousandcoolpavingmaterials,usecoolcoloredandgreenroofs,reducegenerationofwasteheatfrombuildingsandvehicles,andincorporateenergyefficiency,renewableenergy,infrastructureupgrades,andprinciplesofresiliencyandsustainabilityinbuildingdesigntostrengthenourbuiltenvironment.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency,Minnesota
DepartmentofCommerce,MinnesotaDepartmentofTransportation,MetropolitanCouncil,MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard
6. Strengthenourclimateinformationinfrastructuretosupportclimateadaptationpractices.• Enhancethestate’scapacitytocollect,analyze,shareandcommunicatebothmeasuredand
projectedclimatedataatallscalestohelpensurethatthepeople,communities,andorganizationsinallregionsofMinnesotacanbetterplanfor,respondto,andwithstandtheimpactsofongoingandanticipatedclimatictrendsthroughimplementingclimateadaptationpractices.o Keyagenciesforimplementation:MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResources,
MetropolitanCouncil,MinnesotaDepartmentofHealth,MinnesotaPollutionControlAgency,MinnesotaEnvironmentalQualityBoard
Inadditiontothespecificrecommendationsabove,ICATalsorecommendsthatMinnesotastategovernmentacceleratetheincorporationofclimateadaptationintoallaspectsofstateagencyoperations.Thiscanbeaccomplishedthroughavarietyofmethods,suchasGovernor’sExecutiveOrder,Legislativedirective,commissioner-ledagencyoperationalorders,agencystrategicplanningprocesses,programbudgetinganddevelopment,andstafftraining.
AdaptingtoClimateChangeinMinnesota May201764
ICATalsorecognizesthatstategovernmentwillnotbeabletofullyachievethecomplexandevolvinggoalofclimateadaptationonitsown.Itwillbenecessaryandimportanttobuildandnurturepartnershipsonclimateadaptationamongstategovernmentandfederal,tribal,andlocalgovernments,highereducationalinstitutions,theprivatesector,nonprofitorganizations,communitymembers,andothercollaborators.Asavehicleforfocusingthiscollaboration,ICATrecommendsthatMinnesotastategovernmentengageinacomprehensiveeffortalongwithpublicandprivatepartnerstodevelopamultistakeholderstatewideclimateadaptationplanby2020.
ResourcesHarding,K.J.,andP.K.Snyder(2014),ExaminingfuturechangesinthecharacterofCentralU.S.warm-seasonprecipitationusingdynamicaldownscaling,J.Geophys.Res.Atmos.,119,doi:10.1002/2014JD022575.
Harding,K.J.,andP.K.Snyder(2015),UsingdynamicaldownscalingtoexaminemechanismscontributingtotheintensificationofCentralU.S.heavyrainfallevents,J.Geophys.Res.Atmos.,120,doi:10.1002/2014JD022819.
MelilloJ.,Richmond,T.,andYohe,G.,2014.AnassessmentfromtheU.S.GlobalChangeResearchProgramtoinformthepublicwithscientificinformationandmethodsregardingclimatechange.
Pryor,S.C.,D.Scavia,C.Downer,M.Gaden,L.Iverson,R.Nordstrom,J.Patz,andG.P.Robertson,2014:Ch.18:Midwest.ClimateChangeImpactsintheUnitedStates:TheThirdNationalClimateAssessment,J.M.Melillo,Terese(T.C.)Richmond,andG.W.Yohe,Eds.,U.S.GlobalChangeResearchProgram,418-440.doi:10.7930/J0J1012N.