aampo update€¦ · aampo update. alamo area metropolitan planning organization. wednesday, march...
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AAMPO UpdateAlamo Area Metropolitan Planning OrganizationWednesday, March 28, 2018
Growing States, 2010-2017Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
2010 CensusPopulation 2017 Population
NumericChange
2010-2017
PercentChange
2010-2017
United States 308,745,538 325,719,178 16,973,640 5.5%
Texas 25,145,561 28,304,596 3,159,035 12.6%
California 37,253,956 39,536,653 2,282,697 6.1%
Florida 18,801,310 20,984,400 2,183,090 11.6%
Georgia 9,687,653 10,429,379 741,726 7.7%
North Carolina 9,535,483 10,273,419 737,936 7.7%
Washington 6,724,540 7,405,743 681,203 10.1%
Arizona 6,392,017 7,016,270 624,253 9.8%
Colorado 5,029,196 5,607,154 577,958 11.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties2010 to 2016
Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.
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Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016
Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
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Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
86%
CountyU.S. Rank
Population Change
Population Change
Percent of Change from
Natural Increase
Percent Changefrom Domestic
Migration
Percent Change from
International Migration
Harris 2 56,587 79.9% -27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462 44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198 44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209 79.9% -20.9% 41.0%
Denton 11 27,689 23.9% 67.1% 9.0%Fort Bend 13 27,388 24.8% 59.4% 15.8%
Collin 14 26,506 25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505 44.2% 33.3% 22.5%
Williamson 22 20,659 20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769 18.5% 73.5% 8.0%
Hidalgo* 54 10,529 113.5% -33.4% 19.9%Hidalgo County had negative net migration (-13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas 2015-2016
Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
45789
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2016
-201
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Top Counties for Percent Growth * in Texas2015-2016
Presenter: Lloyd Potter, State Demographer, WTS Luncheon, February 21, 2018
County U.S. Rank
2015-2016Percent
Population Change
Percent Change from
NaturalIncrease
Percent Change from
Domestic Migration
Percent Change from International
Migration
Kendall 2 5.2% 0.1% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 16.0% 82.2% 1.8%
Comal 6 4.4% 9.5% 88.5% 2.0%Williamson 14 4.1% 20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 24.8% 59.4% 15.8%
Montgomery 24 3.7% 18.5% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 15.3% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 23.9% 67.1% 9.0%
Kaufman 36 3.4% 16.5% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 15.8% 83.5% 0.7%
Ellis 50 3.1% 19.3% 78.1% 2.6%
*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
2016
-201
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5: 4.9%4: 5.0%2: 5.1%
Bexar
Comal
Guadalupe
Kendall2 million residents
10,000 lane miles
50 million miles traveled daily
AAMPO Study Area
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Population and Employment by County
Population Employment
2015 2045 Forecast Change %
Change 2015 2045Forecast Change %
Change
Bexar 1,898,173 3,004,011 1,105,838 58% 893,782 1,571,410 677,628 76%
Comal 134,019 287,655 153,636 115% 52,683 119,352 66,669 127%
Guadalupe 165,183 365,048 199,865 121% 41,862 102,824 60,962 146%
Kendall 38,314 67,539 29,225 76% 13,707 24,728 11,021 80%
Total 2,235,689 3,724,253 1,488,564 67% 1,002,034 1,818,314 816,280 81%
Since the Last Long Range Transportation Plan was Approved
Programs/Studies
• SA Tomorrow• VIA Vision 2040• Managed and/or Transit
Priority Lane Study• Regional Thoroughfare
Plan Study (Underway)• Bike Share Study
(Underway)• Regional Bicycle and
Pedestrian Planning• Air Quality Planning• Freight Planning
Funding
• Proposition 1• Proposition 7• Ending of Diversions in
State Funding• Increased funding
through FAST Act, the federal transportation bill
• Bond Programs• Bexar County Vehicle
Registration Fee
Major Projects Completed or Underway
• FM 306• IH 10 West
Improvements• IH 10 East near Foster
Road• IH 10 East Frontage
Road in Seguin• IH 410 near SH 151• IH 410 at US 90• Loop 1604 Northeast• Loop 1604 West• Loop 337• US 281 North• US 90 West• UTSA Blvd
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$8.68 Billion$8.94 Billion
Roadway costs include:• construction costs only
Roadway, Bicycle, Pedestrian, Rideshare
Funding the Future
Transit costs include:• purchasing buses, vans
and support vehicles• constructing passenger
facilities• bus and van on-street
operations• maintenance of the
system
Total funding is $17.62 Billion
Transit
Notes:TxDOT Funding Categories (1, 2, 4, 10, 11,12): 32%MPO Funding Categories (7, 9): 11%Local Contribution: 48%Other, Non-Traditional Funding: 8%
Unfunded Needs through 2040(adopted in December 2014)
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30
Funded
Unfunded
$17.62
$26.25
Regional Needs (Shown in Billions of Dollars)
$16.0B in 9 high capacity transit corridors$0.5B on off-system roadway projects$9.75B on-system (TxDOT) facilities
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Major TxDOT Corridor Highway Needs – AAMPO Region
~$15 BillionHighway Mobility Needs
Jeanne GeigerAAMPO Deputy [email protected]