5 c's of credit
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Presented by:
Chuck Nwokocha Senior Risk Management Consultant
Financial information company that provides credit and risk management solutions to financial institutions
Data and applications used by thousands of financial institutions, corporations and accounting firms across North America
Awards Named to Inc. 500 list of fastest growing privately held
companies in the U.S.
Named to Deloitte’s Technology Fast 500
Chuck is a graduate of Harvard University, with a B.A. in Psychology with a focus in Organizations and Economics. He began his professional career with Guardsmark, a private security services company where he held various positions and responsibilities – in operations, human resources, and sales, and management. He has founded two e-commerce sites, Ndekanyi.com – a social networking site for the Igbo people and SwapU.com – a college classifieds network. Additionally, he has consulted on marketing, social media, and user-generated content.
At Sageworks, Mr. Nwokocha is an expert credit & risk management consultant helping financial institutions manage their loan portfolio , focusing on the Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (ALLL), Stress Testing, Credit Analysis, Risk Rating, , and Loan Administration management. With subject-matter expertise, he helps financial institutions understand and comply with federal accounting guidance.
Chuck Nwokocha Senior Risk Management
Consultant
Enhancing Your Credit Quality 1. 3 P’s: Policies, Process, People 2. 5 C’s
a. 5 C’s of Credit b. 5 C’s of Data Collection c. Credit Risk Modeling
3. Considerations for Underwriting a. Documentation for Underwriting b. Considerations for Underwriting c. Tools for Analysis
4. Lending Environment a. Loan Portfolio Composition b. Loan Growth by Loan Type c. Survey Results d. Emerging Trends e. Important Ratios in C&I
5. Examinations a. Examination concerns with C&I
6. Bankers’ Advice
4
Policies Sound underwriting
Process An efficient, balanced approval process
People A competent lending staff
Certified mail must be delivered
to X-person.
Mail/delivery requiring signatures must be
signed by a VP
Outgoing mail to IRS must be delivered with a confirmation receipt
Provide the framework for the bank’s lending activities Set the standards for portfolio composition, individual credit
decisions, fair lending, and compliance management Supplemented by more detailed underwriting standards,
guidelines, and procedures
Refers to a particular way in which something is done
Refers to a way of doing something
Establishes the lending process Assigns accountability and establishes the responsibilities of
the people involved
Mail gets delivered every day.
When the mail is delivered, it is sorted.
The sorting is determined by dept and purpose for
each piece
A competent lending staff
Refers to the individuals executing the process
Policy Provide the framework for
the bank’s lending activities. Sets the
underwriting standards for the credit decisions
Process Policy establishes the lending process and
the responsibilities of the people
People The individuals executing the
process Training Knowledge/ skills
required to execute the process and use a
procedure
Tools The Tools used in
the execution of the process
The lending staff, with the knowledge and skills, utilizing various tools, arrive at
quality loan decisions.
Capacity Measures a borrower’s ability to repay a loan by comparing
income against recurring debts
Can the borrower generate adequate cash to repay the loan?
Capital Refers to the net worth, or equity, of a business
Is the borrower adequately capitalized within industry standards to withstand unexpected loss?
Conditions The economic, industry, and market environment can and will
change; the state of the borrower or the state of the economy
Is the borrower flexible enough to adapt?
Collateral Helps secure the debt.
Is there an alternative source of repayment in case the primary source fails?
Character Personal integrity of business owners and officers
Is management willing to repay the loan and will it attempt to do so under adverse conditions?
Credit Risk
Determining risk factors
Understanding credit quality (risk grading/risk rating)
Likelihood that a business/borrower/relationship may default on its financial obligations
Model should account for different types of loans as well as industries (diff industries require diff capital structures)
A complete picture of the financial condition of a small business requires a careful review of income statement and balance sheet information for both the guarantor and the business. Personal assets are often pledged against the debt of the business, and business and guarantor financial assets occasionally are intertwined.
Global Cash Flow Analysis
It’s common for owners to lend personal funds to, or borrow funds from, their businesses.
It’s common for the business (for tax advantages, primarily) to rent its office/warehouse/production facilities from a real estate holding company or partnership controlled by the business owners.
It’s common for owners to control their own levels of salaries, bonuses, benefits, and dividends to the extent allowed by prudence and tax regulations.
Annual Reviews Set a minimum review period that allows continual and
regular monitoring and reassessing of risk
The reviews will lead to early identification of deteriorating conditions
Trend Analysis Companies rarely remain in a static condition
Cash flow cannot be the only determinant
Credit analysis is much too complex to rely on just a single indicator
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Growing Business
Deteriorating Business
A look at the trend is critical in determining if the business in growing or deteriorating.
Caliber Refers to the quality of the financials provided. What types of
financials?
- Audits - Reviews - Compilations
- Tax Returns - Company prepared
Complete Are all of the forms/ schedules present? Did the borrower provide
debt schedules?
Consistent Are the financials consistent? Did the borrower provide
compilations one year and tax returns another year?
Current Did the borrower provide the most recent financials?
Conversation Conversations with the borrower(s) help to cover those
gaps in information as well as provide supplemental explanation or lend additional insight
1. Financial information – used to establish repayment capacity
A. Business financials
-Current and historical income data, balance sheet
-Balance sheet, income and cash flow projections
-Comparative industry data when appropriate
B. Guarantor financials
-Guarantor support and related financial information
-Summary of borrower and affiliated credit relationships
2. Collateral identification and valuation
-Collateral agreements and appraisals
3. Loan structure information Loan terms, including tenor and repayment structure
Pricing information, including relationship profitability data
4. Loan agreement Covenants and requirements for future submission of financial data
Exceptions to policy and underwriting guidelines
Promissory notes, note guarantees
5. Supplemental Information Information fields to capture data for concentration reporting, identifying
SNCs (Shared national credits) etc.
Risk rating or recommended risk rating
Understanding financial statements and the significance of the ratios requires both skill and time
Translate financial numbers into meaningful assessments of company’s financial performance
Tackle these complex sets of information, condense the information into digestible chunks
Utilize software, such as the Sageworks Analyst solution
To input the information, to spread it into a consistent and standard format, and generate an analysis of the ratios
Concentrate on the key aspects of liquidity, leverage, and cash flow, using ratios, trends, and industry analysis to study them
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Business(es) Personal
Guarantor(s) Real Estate
Global Cash Flow
Eliminate Double-Counting
Real Estate
Sageworks Analyst™ TruGlobal™ Credit Analysis
• Standardize cash flow analysis
• Improve accuracy
Sageworks Analyst™ TruGlobal™ Credit Analysis
• Standardize cash flow analysis
• Improve accuracy
Sageworks Analyst™ TruGlobal™ Credit Analysis
• Standardize cash flow analysis
• Improve accuracy
Sageworks Analyst™ TruGlobal™ Credit Analysis
• Standardize cash flow analysis
• Improve accuracy
Sageworks Analyst™ TruGlobal™ Credit Analysis
• Standardize cash flow analysis
• Improve accuracy
Combines multiple businesses,
people and properties to view global
cash flow and debt service numbers
Eliminates double-counting
Accurately
assesses impact
to Debt Service
Coverage Ratio
C&I loan competition intense and increasing
C&I and loan underwriting standards easing Net easing for 8 consecutive quarters.
CRE lending standards easing, but credit supply relatively tightened in 2012
C&I loan rate spreads decreasing 60% of bankers surveyed report ↓ spreads for loans to larger
businesses.
46% of bankers surveyed report ↓ spreads for loans to small businesses.
Regulatory authorities increasing exam scrutiny of C&I lending practices
Source: Federal Reserve Board “Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices,” May 2013.
Longer terms with lower payments 15, 20, 25, & 30 Year Amortizations
3, 5, 10, 15 Year Fixed Rates
Fully amortizing; no balloons or calls
Preference for Owner-Occupied Properties or Investor Properties
Full collateral coverage not required Preference for up to 75% Loan to Value (LTV)
Minimum 1.25 DSCR
Personal Guarantees Full and unlimited personal guarantees from all owners of 20%+
Key Drivers of cash flow Sales (Revenue Growth)
Gross Margin
Accounts Receivables
Accounts Payables
Inventory Days
S, G & A (Selling, General, & Administrative Costs) – better known as overhead.
Capital Expenditure
Liquidity ratios Current ratio
Quick ratio
Working capital
Leverage ratios Debt service coverage
Interest coverage ratio
Debt to Equity Ratio
Efficiency ratios
Accounts Receivables days
Accounts Payables days
Inventory days
Profitability ratio Gross Profit and Gross Profit Margin
Inexperience with business entities
Financial data: what to collect, when
Industry specifications: what is normal for a particular industry
Global cash flow analysis methodology
Move from collateral to cash flow analysis
Avoid double-counting, while recognizing intermingled income and debt
Inadequate strategic planning
Policies & procedures account for C&I
New risk appetites
1. Re-evaluate concentration limits and risk appetite
2. Review Underwriting Policies
3. Train personnel, the board
4. Invest in technologies
5. Hire appropriately
6. Look outside the institution (potentially)
Asset quality is a huge area of focus by examiners
Main criticism areas included:
Risk rating systems
Higher rates of delinquent and non-performing loans
Loan reviews that weren’t completed annually or were inconsistent
Quality issues related to the financial institution’s growing pains,
the overall economy or continued real estate devaluation
Many comments relate to documentation of loan files, tracking information and global cash flow analyses:
“Document everything, even if you think it’s trivial.”
“Make sure all info is current.”
“Be on top of flood insurance and exceptions.”
“Document EVERYTHING.”
“Calculate twice, print once.”
“Focus on global cash flow and asset verification.”
“Policies should be written and followed.”
Bankers mentioned thorough documentation as a benefit. Among some other pieces: “Our exam did have some former OTS examiners, and there was
definitely a different approach taken by them. The lead reviewer had to focus them on the areas that really needed evaluated. They were picking on things in the file that were five years or older that were irrelevant to the credit risk today.”
“Need to remain patient and carefully explain Bank’s position. Prudently point out differences of opinions. Ask for clarification of criticisms.”
“Dinged for little things; need more documentation; did not like missing documents in loan files; better analysis.”
Presenter Contact Information:
Chuck Nwokocha, Sageworks
(919) 851-7474 ext. 637
www.sageworksanalyst.com
Next Webinar:
Loan Workout 101 for Financial Institutions
Thursday, September 12, 2:00 PM EDT
http://web.sageworks.com/loan-workout-cooley/