© 2006 population reference bureau demography demography = the statistical study of population...

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

DEMOGRAPHY

Demography = the statistical study of population

*these stats are used for forming public policy

and marketing purposes i.e. smoking ads for teens

_________________________________

Using your demography information (homework), identify:

• How could be used to help humanity? OR How was it used to help humanity?


Demographic study

A global analysis

of HIV / AIDS


Global Estimates – HIV/AIDS

• People living with HIV in 2005

• NOW:

• New HIV infections in 2005

• In 2012:

• Deaths due to AIDS by the end of 2005

• In 2012:

40 million

35 million

3.4 million

2.3 million

2.3 million

1.6 million


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1995 1998 2000 2002 2004

Sub-Saharan Africa Asia Latin AmericaEurope & N. America* Eastern Europe & Central Asia North Africa & Middle EastCaribbean

People With HIV/AIDS, Cumulative Regional TotalsMillions

Growth of the AIDS Epidemic

*Western and Central Europe & North America.Source: UNAIDS/WHO, 2005.


Map of HIV Prevalence Worldwide2005

Source: UNAIDS, 2006 Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic, 2006.

Adults Ages 15-49 with HIV

15.01% - 34.0%

5.01% - 15.0%

1.01% - 5.0%

0.51% - 1.0%

0.0% - 0.5%

Not available


People Now Living with HIV

Total: 40 million

Western & Central Europe

720,000North Africa & Middle East

440,000

Sub-Saharan Africa24.5 million

Eastern Europe & Central Asia1.5 million

South & South-East Asia7.6 million

Oceania78,000

North America1.3 million

Caribbean330,000

Latin America1.6 million

East Asia750 000



HIV Demographics, Worldwide

Men49%

Women45%

Children6%

Composition of the Population Living with HIV, 2005



Men38%

Women54%

Children8%

Men69%

Women29%

Children2%

HIV Demographics, AfricaComposition of the Population Living with HIV, 2005

Sub-Saharan Africa Rest of the World



118123

78 74

143

117

98

71

43 43

7378

Kenya Lesotho Nambia South Africa Swaziland Zimbabwe

With AIDS Without AIDS

Selected Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2002-2005Deaths of children under age 5 per 1,000 live births

Source: UNAIDS and UNICEF, A Call to Action: Children, The Missing Face of AIDS, 2005; and United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.

Effect of AIDS on Child Mortality


Slower Population Growth

Populations continue to grow in many

heavily affected countries,

although the growth is less than it

would be without AIDS.


Millions

South Africa’s Population With and Without AIDS

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

With AIDS Without AIDS

Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (CD-ROM Edition—Extended Dataset), 2005.


HIV – Only Health Problem or a Development Issue?

• Public Health Burden Overwhelms health systems in many countries

• Labor, Business, and Agriculture Losses in skilled labor

Decreases productivity; having an economic impact

Threatens agricultural production and food security

• Governance and Public Service Country losses of political leaders and civil servants

Revenues decline and costs rise

Demand for social services increases


About 11,000 New HIV Infections a Day in 2005

• More than 95% are in low and middle income countries

• About 1,500 are in children under age 15

• About 10,000 are adults age 15 and older, of whom: almost 50% are women

about 40% are ages 15–24



Global HIV and AIDS Estimates for Children

• Children living with HIV

• New HIV infections in 2005

• Deaths due to AIDS in 2005

2.3 million

540,000

380,000

Children are defined as under age 15



In Summary

• HIV / AIDS - global epidemic

• Obvious impacts on demographic trends,

especially population projections

• Visual patterns of mortality and health

© 2006 population reference bureau demography demography = the statistical study of population...

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