what does vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

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What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables? - Experiences from the Danish- Vietnamese cooperation

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Page 1: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

What does Vietnam do to

integrate variable renewables?

- Experiences from the Danish-

Vietnamese cooperation

Page 2: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. The Danish-Vietnamese Cooperation

2. Vietnam’s power system

3. Integration measures in the Danish-Vietnamese cooperation

4. Q&A

6 April 2021 Page 2

Page 3: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• Loui Algren

• 2013: Engineer in sustainable energy from Danish Technical

University

• 2013-2018: Energinet (Danish TSO)

• 2018-2021: DEA-GR working with Indonesia, Vietnam, Mexico.

Long-term planning and VRE integration

• 2021- : Long-term advisor in Vietnam

Bio

6 April 2021 Page 3

Page 4: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• Government-to-government cooperation

• Primary objective is capacity building

• Cooperate with:

o EREA: Electricity and Renewable Energy Authority

o ERAV: Electricity Regulatory Authority

o NLDC: National Load Dispatch Centre

o EESD: Energy Efficiency authority

• Cooperation with Vietnam initiated in 2013

• Currently 3rd phase 2020-2025

Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partership Programme (DEPP)

6 April 2021 Page 4

Page 5: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• Serve rapidly increasing demand

(x4 by 2045)

• Ensure high level of security of supply

• Keep costs at a minimum

• Limit climate impact

• Integrate large shares of renewables

• Limit dependency on fuel import

• Limit pollution effects on public health

Challenges in the Vietnamese energy system

6 April 2021 Page 5

39 G

W

153 G

W217 TWh

877 TWh

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

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160

180

200

0

100

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500

600

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1000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045

Peak load -

GW

Yearly

dem

and -

TW

h

Demand projection - draft PDP8

Page 6: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. Long-term planning based on least cost-optimisation

2. Include pollution costs in the optimisation

3. 30 % wind and solar power in 2045 (TWh)

Draft Power Development Plan 8 (Feb 2021)

6 April 2021 Page 6

20,429,5 37,2 43,9 48,6 50,17,1

13,1

27

43,754,7

66,6

1,9

0,9

0,1

21,3

26,5

27,8

28,4

29,2

29,9

0,6

6,5

15,2

28

41,2

55,4

16,6

17,2

18,6

29,6

41,7

55

1,2

4,5

6

7,4

1,3

3,5

5,7

5,7

5,7

5,7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045

GW

Import

Storage

Solar

Wind

Hydro+bio+other RE

Oil

Gas

Coal

Page 7: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. Double transmission capacity by 2030. Quadruple by 2045

2. Power Market development: Wholesale, retail and

derivative markets to increase efficiency and attract

investors

3. Establish independent system and market operator to

increase efficiency and attract investor, increase

transparency, easier regulation.

4. Adjust BOT schemes to suit market development.

5. FiT to auctions

6. Costs-reflective system tariffs. Separate from sociopolitics

7. Improve renewable forecasts for system operator

8. Smart Grid, AI, IoT, control, protection, monitoring, SCADA,

PMU, data and demand-response

Other initiatives

Draft Power Development Plan 8 (Feb 2021)

6 April 2021 Page 7

Page 8: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. Energy efficiency can reduce

the need for new generation

capacity and overall system

costs

2. Vietnam can cost-effectively

integrate 59% renewables by

2050 (42% wind+solar)

3. Solar power, wind power and

storage will play a large role

4. Pollution and fuel import

dependency will be reduced

Energy Outlook Report 2019 main findings

6 April 2021 Page 8

Page 9: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Reality can be different!

6 April 2021 Page 9

Page 10: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Integration

measures in the

Danish-Vietnamese

cooperation

Page 11: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Partners:

• DEA: Danish Energy Agency

• ERAV: regulator

• NLDC: system operator

• Energinet (Danish TSO)

Approach:

• Bring Danish and Vietnamese

experts together

• Share Danish experience

• Review Vietnamese regulations

• Discuss and develop solutions

in small expert teams

• Weekly missions in Denmark

and Vietnam

Subjects:

1. Forecasting

2. Grid Codes

3. Inertia

4. Dimensioning of reserves

Danish-Vietnamese cooperation

Measures for integration variable renewables

6 April 2021 Page 11

Page 12: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• Important for the system operator to be able to predict the

system balance in the short term

• Energinet has long-term experiences in forecasting

renewables and applying the forecasts in system balancing

with large shares of renewables

(50% wind+solar on average in 2020)

1. Forecasting of renewables

6 April 2021 Page 12

Page 13: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

A week in the Western Danish power system

6 April 2021 Page 13

Source: www.emd.dk/el

Page 14: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Approach

1. Forecasting of renewables

6 April 2021 Page 14

Small team of

Vietnamese and

Danish experts

cooperating closely

Page 15: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• NLDC now has their own in-house

developed forecast for solar PV and

wind power, on plant level, for day-

ahead and intraday.

• NLDC actively uses the developed

forecast in system operation inspired

by the Danish approach.

• NLDC is able to test, maintain and

develop the forecast independently.

Results

1. Forecasting of renewables

6 April 2021 Page 15

Page 16: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. Adequate requirements

for safe system operation

2. Transparency, well-organized,

following international standards

for easier access for developers.

Europe is developing unified grid

codes to ensure fair competition

and for developers to easier enter

each national market

Key messages from DK / Europe

2. Grid Codes

6 April 2021 Page 16

CONNECTION

OPERATION

MARKET

Lead by

Page 17: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

1. Danish expert reviews

Vietnamese regulation grid

codes

2. Recommendations to the

process of updating grid codes

3. Study tour to ACER (European

association of electricity

regulators) and Denmark

4. Vietnamese workshop for

stakeholder involvement

Approach

2. Grid Codes

6 April 2021 Page 17

Page 18: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Approach

2. Grid Codes

6 April 2021 Page 18

Expert2expert

discussion is key to

capacity building

Page 19: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Detailed recommendations for:

1. Reorganising the regulation for easier

access for developers and easier update

2. Adding content for safe operation

3. Roadmap for implementation

Results

2. Grid Codes

6 April 2021 Page 19

Step 1

• Merge C25 (Tx) and C39 (Dx) articles into a new circular with acombined set of articles

• Fix gaps and overlaps in the new combined circular

• Develop connection procedures

Step 2

• Fix gaps in current operational code

• Develop information exchange code

• Develop operational procedures

Step 3

• Develop missing demand connection code

• Develop missing storage connection code

• Develop missing HVDC connection code

Step 4

• Develop missing grid planning code

• Develop market code - especially a section specifying ancillaryservices

Step 5

• Develop TSO / RTO license code

• Develop DSO license code

• Develop performance assessment code (KPIs)

Page 20: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Approach

3. Inertia

6 April 2021 Page 20

1. NLDC and ERAV concerned about the level of

inertia in the power system

2. Danish experts share the DK / European

approach

3. Vietnamese and Danish experts develop a

solution for Vietnam based on

Danish/European experiences

Page 21: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Solution

3. Inertia

6 April 2021 Page 21

1. Asess need for inertia

2. Assess historic level of inertia

from power plant trips

3. Assess future level of inertia

from scenarios

Page 22: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Results and recommendation

3. Inertia

6 April 2021 Page 22

1. Pre-study of the level of inertia today

and in a 2025 scenario from the Energy

Outlook Report

• No immediate lack of inertia

2. Recommendations

• Refine the developed approach

• Implement procedure for annual

update and reporting

• Include in grid codes requirements

for ability to deliver synthetic inertia

• Consider monitoring of inertia when

implementing PMU/WAMS

Page 23: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

• NLDC concerned about the level of secondary

reserves

• Danish experts share experiences on

dimensioning of reserves in Denmark and

Europe

• Danish and Vietnamese experts compare the

two methodologies

• Develop solution for Vietnam based on Danish

experiences

4. Reserve dimensioning

6 April 2021 Page 23

Page 24: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Comparison

4. Reserve dimensioning

6 April 2021 Page 24

Vietnamese approach European approach

Based on simulations Based on historical

frequency variations

Consider many

scenarios

Only consider historical

data

Does not consider

variations in wind and

solar power

Reflects wind and solar

power dynamics

Complex Simple

Page 25: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Excel tool

4. Reserve dimensioning

6 April 2021 Page 25

Step 1: Calculate the system

imbalance Step 3: Calculate the

capacity reserve for

the most dangerous

power sources failures

incident N-1 (A-Value). Step 2 : Calculates the 99% frequency

value in the imbalance data set (B-

Value)

Step 4:

Comparison

Reserve capacity is B Reserve capacity is A

B>AA>B

Page 26: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Recommendations

4. Reserve dimensioning

6 April 2021 Page 26

• Test both approaches in a period and gain

experieces

• How to implement in Vietnamese regulation

• Define ancillary services more clearly in the

regulation

Page 27: What does Vietnam do to integrate variable renewables?

Thank you for

your attention!

Questions?