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Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! Matt McQuinn University of Washington

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Page 1: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”!

Matt McQuinnUniversity of Washington

Page 2: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs) • bright millisecond radio transient (re)discovered by

Thornton++ 2013• typical time lag of pulses requires cosmological

electron column to z~1 (DM ~ 1000 pc cm-3)• DM = dispersion measure, which is radio parlance

for “electron column density”

Lorimer++07

Page 3: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

I wrote a paper a few months after the Thornton rediscovery (MM ’14) about the

potential for studying diffuse gas with FRBs

A lot had to go right for proposal to work

1)FRBs would have to be extraterrestrial 2)FRBs would have to be extragalactic and

localized to a host galaxy 3) ideally, host galaxy fractional contribution

to the dispersion measure is small

I turned to other projects.

Page 4: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

But things kept advancing….

• 2015: terrestrial source that looked like an FRB (opening microwave ovens) was discovered (Petroff++ ’15)

• 2017: `the Repeater’ localized to z=0.2 galaxy, confirming that at least some are extragalactic (Tendulkar++ ’17)

• 2019: at least nine others confirmed to be extragalactic (including XXXXXX new ones from ASKAP in this talk!)

• this talk: the host system contribution to the dispersion is likely often small (and FRBs are going to be amazing!!!!!!)

XXXX = some material is redacted from online slide-deck owing to embargoed work

Page 5: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

But what are FRBs? • likely too many to be from single cataclysmic event

• several arguments supporting a neutron star origin

• young magnetar hypothesis intriguing (c.f. Margalit), but situation has gotten less clear as some hosts are not star forming dwarf galaxies and lack associated radio sources

This question is largely immaterial to the science applications in this talk.

Page 6: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

This talk is on using FRBs to explore intervening gas, as their electromagnetic properties are sensitive to the cosmic plasma.

Page 7: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Context: The baryons in the Universe

Page 8: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

We only really see directly the gas within galaxies or in clusters, accounting for <~10%

Everything else?~5%

~5% e.g. Fukugita & Peebles ‘04

<nIGM> ~ 0.1 m-3 <nHI> ~ 103 km-3

Page 9: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

We do not know how gas is distributed around <1014 Msun halos

• ~50% of the dark matter presently resides in >1010Msun halos

• 1010-13 Msun halos are where halo gas cools in short time, sourcing star formation

• Without feedback, ~50% of baryons should be in stars. Only ~5% of baryons are in stars.

Behroozi++’12

stel

lar m

ass

/ hal

o m

ass

halo mass

Plot illustrates inefficiency of

galaxy formation with halo mass

Page 10: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Gas around 1013 Msun halos

Simulations make wildly different predictions!!!

galaxy formation models do not answer this yetModeling stellar and AGN feedback is complex.

Collin Hill+CMB-S4+simulators

roug

hly

gas

surfa

ce d

ensi

ty

impact parameter [Mpc]

virial radius

See Prochaska & Yong Zheng ’19

for nice summary of what is known

regarding MW-like halos, where

models may span even larger range

If you are confused by weird shape at small radii, its

because curves are computed with “aperture

photometry’’ and really are closer to -r d𝞢/dr.

Page 11: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Now bring in FRBs…

Page 12: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 13: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 14: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 15: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 16: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 17: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 18: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 19: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

An FRB sightline goes through many dark matter halos and thus probes their gas

Page 20: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Three plasma phenomena that can be used to probe halo gas with FRBs

• Faraday rotation

• scattering

• dispersion

can never measure dispersion to non-transient source (Hirata & MM ’14)

s=0 s=<vg> t s=c t

vacuum

plasmaDM =

Zds ne

<latexit sha1_base64="hp5viQz4L5u9g8xnmQnnWITbCpA=">AAACAHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqgsXbgaL4CokFdGNtKgLN0IF+4AmhMlk0g6dTMLMRCixLvwDv8GNC0Xc+hnu/Aj/weljoa0HLhzOuZd77/ETRqWyrC8jNze/sLiUXy6srK6tbxQ3txoyTgUmdRyzWLR8JAmjnNQVVYy0EkFQ5DPS9HvnQ795S4SkMb9R/YS4EepwGlKMlJa84k7miAheXA3gKXQoVzCQ8J57xCuWLNMaAc4Se0JK1Yp5VLn7fqx5xU8niHEaEa4wQ1K2bStRboaEopiRQcFJJUkQ7qEOaWvKUUSkm40eGMB9rQQwjIUufcNI/T2RoUjKfuTrzgiprpz2huJ/XjtV4YmbUZ6kinA8XhSmDKoYDtOAARUEK9bXBGFB9a0Qd5FAWOnMCjoEe/rlWdIom/ahWb7WaZyBMfJgF+yBA2CDY1AFl6AG6gCDAXgCL+DVeDCejTfjfdyaMyYz2+APjI8fLISYew==</latexit>

RM =

Zds neB||

<latexit sha1_base64="k0HZguDHwU6hU6A1QrD2RbOgNsI=">AAACB3icbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEtBBovgqiQV0Y201I0boYp9QFPCZDJph04mYWYilLSu3Lj0N9y4UMStv+DOj/AfnLYutPXAhcM593LvPV7MqFSW9Wlk5uYXFpeyy7mV1bX1DXNzqy6jRGBSwxGLRNNDkjDKSU1RxUgzFgSFHiMNr3c28hs3REga8WvVj0k7RB1OA4qR0pJr7qaOCOHVxRCeQodyBX0Jb7lLYMVNB4Oha+atgjUGnCX2D8mXS4Wj0uDroeqaH44f4SQkXGGGpGzZVqzaKRKKYkaGOSeRJEa4hzqkpSlHIZHtdPzHEO5rxYdBJHTpU8bq74kUhVL2Q093hkh15bQ3Ev/zWokKTtop5XGiCMeTRUHCoIrgKBToU0GwYn1NEBZU3wpxFwmElY4up0Owp1+eJfViwT4sFC91GhUwQRbsgD1wAGxwDMrgHFRBDWBwBx7BM3gx7o0n49V4m7RmjJ+ZbfAHxvs3mSKbgA==</latexit>

⌧scatt /Z

ds n2e

<latexit sha1_base64="FOokkM9hKyKnW8GTQ7Bu1onl8VY=">AAACEHicbVC7TsMwFHXKq5RXgJHFokIwVUlBgrGChbFI9CE1IXJct7XqOJF9g1RF5Q9Y+BUWBhBiZWTjb3DbDNByJEtH59wr33PCRHANjvNtFZaWV1bXiuuljc2t7R17d6+p41RR1qCxiFU7JJoJLlkDOAjWThQjUShYKxxeTfzWPVOax/IWRgnzI9KXvMcpASMF9rEHJA0yT0VYGw3G2EtUnECMPS4BdzV+kAG7qwZ22ak4U+BF4uakjHLUA/vL68Y0jZgEKojWHddJwM+IAk4FG5e8VLOE0CHps46hkkRM+9k00BgfGaWLe7Eyz1wxVX9vZCTSehSFZjIiMNDz3kT8z+uk0LvwMy6TFJiks496qcAm76Qd3OWKURAjQwhV3NyK6YAoQsF0WDIluPORF0mzWnFPK9Wbs3LtMq+jiA7QITpBLjpHNXSN6qiBKHpEz+gVvVlP1ov1bn3MRgtWvrOP/sD6/AGX3pzq</latexit>

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

(being a bit simplistic)

Page 21: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Case study #1: FRB181112

FRB host z=0.47

z=0.37 galaxy in ~1012.5 M☉ halo SFR<0.3 M☉yr-1; Z~2 Z☉30 kpc

Prochaska, Macquart, MM et al 2019 Science

FRB detected with ASKAP

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 22: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

FRB18112 Faraday rotation constrains on magnetic field thru foreground halo

ne ~ 10-3cm-3 is a typical density of models at 30 kpc.

• Our constraints are comparable to equipartition field of

• B-field constraints shed light on CGM plasma (e.g. magnetization could drastically affect thermal instability Ji++18 and could be signature of cosmic ray feedback)

B||

cosmological MHD simulations

Pakmor++20

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 23: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

FRB18112 scattering constrains the RMS density thru foreground halo

in picture that density follows Kolmogorov spectrum

We measure a scattering delay of 𝛕scatt<40 μs which one can translate into a limit on the inner density:

Lithwick and Goldreich ‘01 outline criteria where Kolmogorov holds on Alfvenic scales, and our paper translates their insights in CGM context.

This constraint assumes a path-length ΔL through a turbulent region with driving scale L0, where 𝝰<ne> parameterizes the RMS density at the driving scale.

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 24: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

FRB18112 scattering constrains models for a mist of parsec-scale clouds in the foreground halo

McCourt++ ’18 conjectures CGM may be filled with 104K cloudlets with volume filling fractions as large as fV~10-2

Vedantham & Phinney ’19 interestingly showed that significant scattering could occur by dense

CGM cloudlets of radius R. Their diffractive formulae would imply a stringent limit of fV < 10-5

(R/1pc)1/3 if ncloud=0.1cm-3 for this system.

Idealized simulations of McCourt++18

showing cloudlets

Redoing calculation in correct refractive limit yields fV<3x10-2 (R/1pc)3/2 for ncloud= 0.1cm-3, with a weaker

scaling in R below 0.01pc.

Prochaska, Macquart, MM et al 2019 ScienceFaraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 25: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

That was the warm up. Now let’s get serious….

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 26: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

cosmic structure will drive scatter in the dispersion measures (DMs) to a given redshift

Millenium Simulation

P(DM)

DM

ASKAP

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 27: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

This scatter is mostly driven by the number of dense regions (i.e. gaseous `halos’) intersected

A second (generally smaller) contribution to scatter comes from how matter fluctuations on 10-150 Mpc scales.

the scales that contribute to scatter A sightline to z~1 intersects tens of galactic halos

k (Mpc-1)10-2 10-1 101

cont

ribut

ion

to

var

ianc

e pe

r log

k

cosmic web

diffuseness of halo baryons

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 28: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

P(DM)

DM

How to think about FRB dispersion measures (DMs)

More compact gaseous halos, more

sightline variance, more skewed PDF

ASKAP

Page 29: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

P(DM)

DM

Puffier halos, less sightline variance,

more Gaussian PDF

ASKAP

How to think about FRB dispersion measures (DMs)

Page 30: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

the PDF of DM to z=1The PDF of DM(z)

Measuring PDF requires knowing redshift and host-

galaxy contribution to dispersion.

Top two panels are toy models, but

reflect uncertainties.

MM ’14Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 31: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Next few slides EMBARGOED and not included in online slide-deck

Macquart, Prochaska, MM++, submitted to Nature

Faraday rotation | scattering | dispersion

Page 32: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

–Albert Einstein

“I love to travel, but I hate to arrive.”

Page 33: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going ForwardNot only will there be many more FRBs to do this science, but this

science intersects with CMB anisotropy measurements, weak lensing, CGM UV absorption measurements, metal enrichment history

Page 34: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going ForwardNot only will there be many more FRBs to do this science, but this

science intersects with CMB anisotropy measurements, weak lensing, CGM UV absorption measurements, metal enrichment history

Page 35: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardThere are going to be A LOT OF FRBs

and A LOT with localizations!!!! Stacking around foreground galaxies is way to go once

there are >100 localizations

Facilities: ASKAP, Chime, DSA, HIRAX, Meerkat, etc MM’14

=localized

This is for Milky Way mass 1012Msun halo

Petroff++19

Page 36: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardThere are going to be A LOT OF FRBs

and A LOT with localizations!!!! Stacking around foreground galaxies is way to go once

there are >100 localizations

Facilities: ASKAP, Chime, DSA, HIRAX, Meerkat, etc MM’14

=localized

This is for Milky Way mass 1012Msun halo

Petroff++19

Page 37: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardThere are going to be A LOT OF FRBs

and A LOT with localizations!!!! Stacking around foreground galaxies is way to go once

there are >100 localizations

Facilities: ASKAP, Chime, DSA, HIRAX, Meerkat, etc MM’14

=localized

This is for Milky Way mass 1012Msun halo

Petroff++19

Page 38: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardthe main competitor to FRBs is going to be kSZ (and tSZ) with Simons Obs./CMB-S4, but beam size and lack of large spectroscopic samples makes hard to push to 1012 Msun Milky Way mass

gas around 1013 Msun halos in simulationsColin Hill+CMB-S4+simulators

stac

ked

Thom

son

optic

al d

epth

Page 39: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardOur best probe current probe of CGM: UV absorption lines

Current inferences rely solely on the integrated column across ions and making a variety of strong assumptions. We can do better!

 underlying image by Ann Feild (STScI) adapted from Tumlinson, Peeples & Werk (ARA&A 2017). 

an HST COS-Halos sightline at z=0.2

Werk++ 12

Page 40: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Going forwardDo we understand where feedback affects and enriches the IGM?

IGM absorption lines suggest enrichment is ubiquitous.

Currently we have large-scale simulations where galaxies are ~103 particles and zoom in sims. There is room for semi-numeric models to understand what metal absorption data requires.

Booth++12

Page 41: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision

forecasts. We need better models for this, ideally a flexible model similar (but not identical) to the halo model (Ma; Seljak).

Related deep question: What is the limit we can extract the initial conditions from large-scale structure measurements?

Page 42: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Conclusions• FRB181112: first diffuse baryon science with FRBs

• sub-equipartition B|| for the CGM weirdly consistent with recent cosmological MHD simulations

• tight limit on scattering — gas is either non-turbulent (with some caveats) or lower density than some models. Constraints on parsec-scale mist weaker than anticipated.

• From XXXXX bursts, we measure Ωb = XXXXXX YY%C.L. and are starting to constrain the scatter

• suggests host contribution to DM is typically low (~XXXXX pc cm-3)

• constraints on CGM density are going to get interesting

• constraints on distribution of baryons around halos relevant for the intergalactic medium, for galaxy formation and for precision cosmology

Page 43: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Scattering of mist of cloudsWe redid calculation, which had used diffractive formula more appropriate for fully turbulent clouds. Find that scattering is less constraining than previously

thought, but still interesting. Constraints for FRB181112:

Data rules out mist of 0.1 parsec clouds with a volume filling fraction of 10-3

Page 44: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

We do not know how gas is distributed around ~<1014 Msun halos

Stacking Planck Thermal SZ (becomes dominated by 2-halo at <1013Msun)

Hill++18

Absorption around ~1012Msun halos

Johnson++ ‘15

Milky Way OVII

compilation from Prochaska & Zheng ‘19

Inte

grat

ed

pres

sure

OVI

Col

umn

H

I col

umn

Page 45: Welcome to the era of FRB “cosmology”! · 2020. 2. 16. · The Cosmology community has gone ALL IN for weak lensing, but baryon distribution matters for realizing precision forecasts

Simulations make wildly different predictions!!!

galaxy formation models do not answer this yetModeling stellar and AGN feedback is complex.

10�2 10�1 100

r/r200

10�4

10�3

10�2

10�1

100

⇢ e/⇢

crit(z

)

Free electron density profile: z = 0.2, M200 = 1E13 M�

BAHAMAS

BAHAMAS Hi-AGN

BAHAMAS Low-AGN

Battaglia

EAGLE

IllustrisTNG-100

IllustrisTNG-300

cosmic mean

(radius in units of virial radius)

Gas profile around z=0.2, 1013 Msun halos

See Prochaska & Yong Zheng ’19

for nice summary of what is known

regarding MW-like halos, where

models may span even larger range

Colin Hill++ (in prep)

Note: y-axis is log!