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1 sed to kill; a bad life

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Page 1: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Licensed to kill; a bad lifestyle

Page 2: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Bad diet kills?

11.3 M GBD Lancet 2013

Page 3: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Weapons of mass destruction

Page 4: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month

Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure in

women UMC and NHS

Professor in Cardiology VUMC

Page 5: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Huang Dee: Nai Ching (2600 B.C. 1st Chinese medical text)

Oldest medical text

Page 6: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

atherosclerose starts early

Delay between cause and

effect

Page 7: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Stroke and heart attack:

50% suddenly

Page 8: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Politics and media: look at the

bird, not at the elephant

Page 9: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Page 10: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Page 11: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Page 12: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Page 13: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Social gap = Gap in health

Page 14: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Disease = business model

Page 15: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Population: mainly interested in

sports and entertainment

No 4 Trending 2016

Page 16: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

More fat: longer life

More carbs: shorter life

Yusuf, Lancet 2017

Fat confusing:

Page 17: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Interaction food industrie/science

Page 18: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Intention gap

Page 19: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

1992-2004:

check ups, cholesterol levels good exercise

2004: Acute coronary syndrome emergency bypass surgery No alarming symptoms beforehand

Page 20: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

“Life is the cumulative effect of a handful of

shocks” Nassim Taleb

Disease at individual

level -> “Black Swan”

Page 21: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Black Swan

Negative or positive

Page 22: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Heart attack = Black Swan

Page 23: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Heartinfarct

Page 24: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Lifestyle

Page 25: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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90%?

Page 26: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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90% lifestyle!

Page 27: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Lifestyle = disease

Heart infarct 80% Alzheimer 60%

Cancer 40% Diabetes 60-70% Lack

excercise, overweight,lack of sleep, stress, bad

diet, smoking

Page 28: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Obesity -> doubling diabetes

Page 29: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Aging -> more disease

Page 30: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

NHS: 2011-2040 from 600.000 to 900.000 CVD patients

Hart- en vaatziekten in Nederland 2015 – Hartstichting

Page 31: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Lifestyle worsens

Page 32: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

At population

level: disease is

an“inevitable

surprise”

Page 33: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

alzheimer-cancer-

diabetes-CVD

Page 34: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

alzheimer-kanker- diabetes-hartziekte

Page 35: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Improvement

Lifestyle?

Page 36: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Association Between Midlife Vascular Risk Factors and Estimated Brain Amyloid Deposition

Gottesman R et al. JAMA 2017;317:1443-1450

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Association Between Midlife Vascular Risk Factors and Estimated Brain Amyloid Deposition

Willaimson et al. JAMA 2018 320(7):665-673 ;

25 yr old adults: better cardiovasculair fitness -

> better perfusion brain, more blood vessels,

less white matter lesions

Page 40: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Page 41: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Diabetes: 3 times higher chance to

develop erectile dysfunction The American Journal of MedicineVolume 120, Issue 2, February 2007, Pages 151-

157

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Page 43: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

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Lancet 2017 Tsimane Indians Amazon: only 10% of heart disease burden compared to Western Countries

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Health = business model

Page 47: Weapons of mass destruction€¦ · Weapons of mass destruction. Cardiologie Centrum Utrecht 450 newly referred patients/month Helpful studie: better predictive biomarkers for heartfailure

Superior doctors prevent the disease.

Mediocre doctors treat the disease before evident.

Inferior doctors treat the full blown disease.

Huang Dee: Nai Ching (2600 B.C. 1st Chinese medical text)

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