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1 VIETNAM AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY REPORT Q2/2018

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Page 1: VIETNAM AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY REPORT Q2/2018€¦ · According to the Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index, the consumer confidence index of Vietnam in the forth of 2017 decreased 1 point,

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VIETNAM AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY REPORT Q2/2018

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OICA Organisation Internationale des Constructeurs d'Automobiles (International Organisation of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers)

GDVC General Department of Vietnam Customs

GSO General Statistics Office

MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade

UN Comtrade United Nations International Trade Statistics Database

VAMA Vietnam Automobile Manufacturer Association

VAMI Vietnam Association of Mechanical Industry

VIRAC Vietnam Industry Research And Consultancy

Abbreviations

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Executive summary 4 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics 49

1. Business environment 6 2.2.2 Industry value chain 55

1.1 Macroeconomics 6 2.2.3 Industry position 57

1.2 Legal barrier 11 2.2.4 Spare parts 59

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements 22 2.2.5 Production 61

2. Industry overview 26 2.2.6 Consumption 65

2.1 World automobile market 26 2.2.7 Import 75

2.1.1 Spare parts 26 2.2.8 Automobile prices 78

2.1.2 Production 29 2.2.9 Distribution system 783

2.1.3 Consumption 32 3. Risks and Challenges 87

2.1.4 Import - export 38 4. Driving forces 93

2.1.5 Top typical countries 41 5. Planning and forecast 96

2.1.6 Top typical brands 45 6. Enterprises 103

2.2 Vietnam automobile market 49

Content

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2017 continued to show the world automobile

market.

The world’s auto protectiopn worrkshops are

still located in three traditional areas, with the

car industry was born early in North America,

Western Europe and East Asia.

In 2017, the world’s atutomobile consumption

was estimated at 96,800,000 units, up 3.1%

from the same period last year.

Automobile exports in the world in 2017

continued to fall sharply and plunged the most

since 2012, when the total export value

reached only $ 629.49 billion.

The atutomobile industry in Vietnam today is

largely stopped at simple assembly. The

localization rate is around10%.

The newly promulgated Decree 116/2017 /

ND-CP on Production, Assembly and Trading

of Automobiles is expected to create new

opportunities In the development of

production activities of automobile companies

right in Vietnam instead of yielding to

imported cars.

After the first 3 months of 2018, production

and assembly of domestic cars reached 68.94

thousand vehicles, slightly up 7.81% over the

same period in 2017.

In the car assembly structure in Vietnam,

passenger cars always maintain a high

proportion of 60-70%.

4

Executive summary

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According to the Vietnam Association of

Automobile Manufacturers (VAMA), in the first

three months of 2018, the whole automobile

market achieved sales of 58,558 thousand

vehicles (including passenger cars, trucks, buses

and some other vehicles), down 2% over the

same period in 2017.

In the top 10 most sold cars in the first three

months of 2018, up to nine were domestically

assembled vehicles, ranging from passenger

cars of all sizes to crossovers, continued to take

the lead were the two new models from Toyota,

followed by two models of Mazda.

High concentration market share: In 2016,2017

and Q1/ 2018, more than 70% of VAMA's car

market share is held by Truong Hai, Toyota,

and Ford. In the first three months of 2018,

Truong Hai remained its position - the largest

holding company with 42.7% market share.

According to VIRAC estimates, the car

ownership per 1,000 people in Vietnam in 2016

(31 cars) is still low compared to other

countries in the region as well as in the world.

According to General Department of Vietnam

Customs, in the first 3 months of 2018, the

country imported 4,217 cars of all types, total

import value was only USD 118.4 million.

Compared to the same period of 2017, imports

in the first 3 months of 2018 decreased 84% in

quantity, down 75.8% in value.

The impact from Decree 116 has led to a sharp

decline in the number of imported vehicles in

the first three months of the year in all familiar

markets.

In addition to the risks of policy, politics and

currency, the sector faces challenges in terms of

capital, technology, human resources,

supporting industries, government policies,

infrastructure and environmental pollution…

With a forecasted growth rate of 10-15% for

the period 2016 – 2020.

5

.

Executive summary

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

Content

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

Source: VIRAC, GSO

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

The country economic background in the first quarter of 2018 still

remained rising trend from 2017. Gross domestic product (GDP) in the

first quarter of 2018 is estimated to increase 7.38% over the same period

last year.

Consumer price index (CPI) in the first three months of 2018 has a

lot of changes.

GDP growth by Quarters, 2015 – Q1/2018

Monthly CPI fluctuations, 2015 – 3/2018

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1. Business environment

1.1. Macroeconomics

8

Source: VIRAC, GSO

According to the Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index, the consumer

confidence index of Vietnam in the forth of 2017 decreased 1 point,

compared with the previous quarter, reaching 115 points.

GDP per capita has grown significantly over the years. USDGDP per capita, 2013 - 2017

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Market interest rates are stable since 2015.

VND/USD exchange rate, 2013-3/2018

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Lending interest rate and mobilizing interest rate, 2012-2017

%

Source: VIRAC, SBV

The VND/USD exchange rate was stable and continued to be supported by

the abundant supply of foreign currency and the State Bank of Vietnam

(SBV) continuously bought foreign currency reserves.

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Level of urbanization, 2010 - 2017

Disposable income and household expenditures, 2008 – 2017f

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Increase in income and purchasing power:

The increasing proportion of people living in urban areas has contributed

to the expansion of the auto market.

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

VND million

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

Content

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Strengthening the quality control of motorized vehicles:

1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

Type of car

Maintenance cycle

Regulation of maintenance of means of transport

Source: VIRAC summarized Circular53/2014/TT-BCTVT

Vehicle load control:

Draft Law on Corporate Income Tax:

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To change the regulations on prices for special consumption tax calculation for imported automobiles of under 24 seats.

1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

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The draft import tax applies to automobile parts

Source: VIRAC

Menu of goods Commodity code details Tax rate

1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

If the current Most favored nation (MFN) import tariff is set at the WTO

commitment ceiling, it will remain the same as the current tariff, but if

lower, the increase will be equal to the committed ceiling.

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Segment Current SCTFrom 1/7/2016

- 31/12/2018

From

1/1/2018

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Roadmap to apply special consumption tax on cars

Source: VIRAC summarized Circular165/2014/TT-BTC

1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

Modification of import tax on CB Units from a number of countries:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

According to Decision No. 49/2011 / QD-TT, new cars, motorcycles assembled and imported must meet the emission standard of 4 (Euro 4).

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

Decree No. 116/2017 / ND-CP of October 17, 1977 stipulating the conditions for production, assembly, import and business of warranty and

maintenance services of automobiles of various types and effective from the date of signing.

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

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General provisions on car import business:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

Conditions for car maintenance and warranty:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

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On November 16, 2017, Decree No. 125/2017 / ND-CP was promulgated on amending and supplementing a number of articles of the Government's

Decree No. 122/2016 / ND-CP dated September 1, 2016 about export tariffs, preferential import tariffs, list of commodities and absolute tariffs, mixed

taxes, import tax outside tariff quotas.

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The Ministry of Transport has issued Circular No. 03/2018 / TT-BGTVT guiding the implementation of Decree 116 on technical safety and quality

control and environmental protection applicable to imported cars.

1. Business environment

1.2 Legal barrier

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomics

1.2 Legal barrier

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

Content

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WTO – Increasing competition in the industry.

No. Unit

MFN tariff at

the time of

accession(%)

Commitment rates in the WTO

When

joining (%)Final (%)

Duration of

implementatio

n (since

accession)

1

2

3

a)

b)

c)

Roadmap for WTO tariff reductions for complete cars and auto parts

imports

Source: VIRAC

1. Business environment

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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AFTA, ASEAN + 3 – Vietnam is in danger of becoming a market for foreign car consumption.

AFTA 2008 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Tax rate (%)

1. Business environment

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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CPTPP - If not a member of CPTPP, Vietnam's automobile industry will hardly survive after 2018, when it must compete directly with Thailand, Indonesia.

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) – When participating, Vietnam will have a great opportunity to Japan support development of

processing industry, manufacturing in general and the automotive industry in particular.

1. Business environment

1.3 Impact of free trade agreements

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.1 Spare parts

Country RankingProportion

(%)

Import structure of automobile components and

accessories, 2017e

Source: VIRAC, UN ComtradeSource: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

USD billion

Import of world car components, 2010 - 2017e

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Country RankingProportion

(%)

Export structure of automobile components and

accessories, 2017e

Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

In the 1999s, except for Japan, other East Asian countries took a modest place in

the auto production of the global automotive production network.

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.1 Spare parts

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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Structure of world production by vehicle, 2017

Source: VIRAC, OICA

Million Units

Source: VIRAC, OICA

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.2 Production

2017 continues to show the growth of world’s

automobile car market.

Production of cars in the world, 2010 - 2017

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

Today, the world's production of car automobiles is still in place in three traditional areas, with the early auto industry in North America, Western Europe

and East Asia. While Western Europe with Germany's largest production - the first place to bring cars into mass production in the late 19th century,

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.2 Production

Production structure by region, 2016 - 2017

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

Million Units

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

Global car sales in 2017 were 96.8 million vehicles, up 3.1%

from 2016,

World car consumption by type, 2010 - 2017

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Top 10 World’s best-selling cars , 2017

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Million Units

Source: VIRAC, OICA

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.13 Consumption

Although the global market is growing, it is uneven across regions.

Consumption of car in the world, 2013 - 2017

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

Source: VIRAC, OICA

Thousand UnitsCar consumption of ASEAN Automotive Federation members (AAF), 2017

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

Source: VIRAC, OICA

According to 2015 statistics, America and Asia -

Oceania is the largest car consumption region in the

world with a share of 32.9% and 33.5%, with major

contributions from the United States and China.

Consumption in the US will reach 17.47 million units, a record high. Since 2001, US

household finances have improved steadily as the economy grew to its highest level in a

decade,

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

The number of vehicles used in the world, 2010 - 2015e

Structure of vehicle usage by area, 2015

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Number of vehicles per 1,000 people in some typical countries, 2015

* Average automobile ownership: 182 units/ 1,000 people

Source: VIRAC, OICA

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.3 Consumption

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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Source: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

Million Units

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.4 Import - export

Automobile exports in the world in 2017 fell the most since 2012.

Exporting cars in the world, 2010 – 2017e

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Source: VIRAC, UN ComtradeSource: VIRAC, UN Comtrade

Top largest exporters of automobiles are Germany, Japan, Mexico, Canada...

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.4 Import - export

Structure of automobile exports by country, 2017e Import structure of cars by country, 2017e

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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China - The world's largest car consumption market

US - The market continued to grow for 7 years

Place Country 2016 2017

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Top the largest automobile consumption countries by volume,

2017

Source: VIRAC, OICA

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

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Japan – Growing after three consecutive years of decline

Germany - Europe's largest automobile market and considered the birthplace of the automobile industry

India - Emerging markets.

UK

Brazil

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

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France

Italia

Canada – Strong growth thanks to exports benefited from increased demand in the US

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.5 Top typical countries

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market

2.1.1 Spare parts

2.1.2 Production

2.1.3 Consumption

2.1.4 Import - export

2.1.5 Top typical countries

2.1.6 Top typical brands

Content

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Source: VIRAC, OICA

Volkswagen (VW for short)

Toyota Môtôr Corporation

Renault-Nissan

Hyundai-Kia

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

Unit: Thousand Units

Top 10 leading producers in the world, 2016

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General Môtôrs Corporation

Ford

FCA

Honda Motor

Psa

Suzuki

2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

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2. Industry overview

2.1 World automobile market – 2.1.6 Top typical brands

Source: VIRAC, Brand Finance

Billion USD

Top ten world’s most-priced cars published by Brand Finance, 2017

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Market segments

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Source: VIRAC, GSO Source: VIRAC, GSO

The number of enterprises operating in automobile assembly and assembling sector in 2016 is 65 enterprises, increasing 22.64% in comparison with

2015.

Number of employees, 2010-2016Number of businesses, 2010-2016

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

Source: VIRAC, GSOSource: VIRAC, GSO

VND billion

With the increasing disposable income of the people, the rising middle class has led to a growing demand for cars and used cars.

Turnover of automobile manufacturing and

assembly, 2010 – 2016

Turnover of automobile wholesaling and retailing,

2010 – 2016

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VND billion

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

In the first three months of 2018, Truong Hai continues to be the largest

holding company, but has dropped to only 42.7% of total car

consumption in the country.

Vehicle consumption structure by business, Q1/2018

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The form of car assembly by the degree of complexity increases:

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.3 Industry value chain

Vietnam automobile industry value chain

Source: VIRAC, OICA, VAMA

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

Content

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Source: VIRAC, OICA, GSO

Industry position of Vietnamese cars compared with the world in 2017

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.2 Industry position

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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The automobile industry in Vietnam today is largely stopped at simple

assembly. The localization rate is about 10%.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.4 Spare parts

Source: VIRAC, GDVC

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

USD billionImport of car accessories, 2010 – Q1/2018

Localization rate of some countries in the region, 2016e

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According to General Department of Customs, in the first three

months of 2018, Vietnam spent 738.9 million USD dollars.

Import of auomobile spare parts by countries, Q1/2016-Q1/2018

Import structure of automobile spare parts, Q1/2018

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.4 Spare parts

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

USD million

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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Source: VIRAC, GSO, VAMA

Source: VIRAC, THACO

Thousand units

Thousand units

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

In the first three month of 2018, assembly production reached 68.94

thousand vehicles, up 7.81% over the same period in 2017.

Production output of THACO, 2010 - 2016

Production and assembly of automobiles in Vietnam, 2010 - 2017

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

Thousand units

Source: VIRAC, Ford

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

In the car assembly structure in Vietnam, passenger cars always maintain

a high proportion of 60-70%.

Production, assembly structure by vehicle type, 2010 – Q1/2018

Traffic panorama of Vietnam, 2016

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.5 Production

Expenses for research and development investment

At present, Vietnam's automobile industry has almost no

investment in research and development (R&D).Supplier Relevant units R&D Centre Factory

Source: VIRAC, THACO

Value chain assembly and production of Truong

Hai Auto

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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Thousand units

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

In 2017, Vietnam car consumption was estimated at 272,250 thousand Units, down 10.3% from the same period last year.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

General automobile consumption in Vietnam, 2006-2017

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The trend of car development in Vietnam is against the other countries in

the region.

Trends in automobile industry development in some Southeast Asian

countries, 2011 - 2016

Source: VIRAC, OICA, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

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According to statistics from OICA and VAMA, car ownership per 1,000

people in Vietnam in 2016 (31 cars) is still low compared to other

countries in the region as well as in the world.

Unit

Source: VIRAC, OICA, VAMA

Number of cars per 100 households by urban and rural areas,

2004 – 2016e

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Unit

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Number of cars owned per 1,000 people, 2016e

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Thousand units

The overall car market consumption in September continued to decline as the car market remained bleak and did not show any resurgence of growth

despite the decline in car sales in many segments.

Consumption of cars by vehicle type, 1/2016 – 12/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA

Thousand units

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

In 2017, Vietnam consumed up to

272,750 car Units, down 10% compared

to 2016.

Consumption output by car origin, 1/2016 – 12/2017

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Ford EcoSport

Kia Morning

72

Top 10 best selling cars 2017

Toyota Vios

Ford Ranger

Mazda 3

Mazda CX-5

Source: VIRAC, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Kia Cerato

Honda City

Toyota Fortuner

Toyota Innova

Thousand unitsIn 2017, Toyota Vios continues to be the best-selling car on the market.

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Thousand Units

Source: VIRAC, VAMASource: VIRAC, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

Consumption structure of VAMA members by region , 2015-2017Consumption vehicles of VAMA members by region, 2017

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Thousand units

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Source: VIRAC, VAMA Source: VIRAC, VAMA

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

High concentration market share: In 2016 and the first nine months of 2017, more than 71% of VAMA's vehicle consumption market share is held by

Truong Hai, Toyota, and Ford.

Vehicle consumption structure by business, 2016 Vehicle consumption structure by business, 2017

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Truong Hai Toyota

Distribution scale

Sales in 9M/2017

Brands

Marketing strategy

Promotion

Human resource training

Product advantage

Strength

Weakness

Direct competitive products

75

Competitive Analysis between Truong Hai and Toyota Vietnam by the end of September 2017

Source: VIRAC

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.6 Consumption

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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Source: VIRAC, GDVC

Thousand Units

Total imported cars in 2017 reached 97,213 thousand, worth $2.2

billion,

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.7 Import

Import of automobiles in complete units, 2011-2017

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Source: VIRAC, GDVC

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.7 Import

In 2017, Thailand remained the largest auto market for Vietnam with 38,244 vehicles, with an average price of 395 million VND/Unit.

Importing cars by country, 2015-2017

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Thousand units

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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Country< 2,000

cc

2,000 -

3,000 cc

> 3,000

cc

10 - 16

seats16 seats Pick-up

Import tax on cars by country (%), 12/2016

Source: VIRAC, MOIT

Source: VIRAC

The price of cars in Vietnam is 1.2 to 1.8 times higher than that of other

countries in the region and in the world, depending on the category.

USD thousand

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Automobile prices comparing Vietnam with other countries, 6/2017

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List of taxes applicable on a car in Vietnam: Fees to be paid when wheeled on the road:

Source: VIRAC

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Price of vehicle according to the cost structure of the consumer must bear

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It can be seen that as of December, 2017, prices of cars in Vietnam are

tending to decrease compared to the end of September.

82

VND million

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Source: VIRAC

Price movements of some major vehicles, 6/2013 - 12/2017

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.8 Automobile prices

Source: VIRAC

Car type

(Capacity)

Former tariff, prior to 1/1/2018

Original price Import tariff SC tariff VAT

Corporate

income tax Local price

Imported car prices from ASEAN before 1/1/2018, assuming an original price of 100

Car type (Capacity)

Former tariff, prior to 1/1/2018

Original

price

Import

tariff SC tariff VAT

Corporate

income

tax Local price

Deduction

level

Source: VIRAC

Imported car prices from ASEAN after 1/1/2018, assuming an original price of 100

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market

2.2.1 Scale and characteristics

2.2.2 Industry value chain

2.2.3 Industry position

2.2.4 Spare parts

2.2.5 Production

2.2.6 Consumption

2.2.7 Import

2.2.8 Automobile prices

2.2.9 Distribution system

Content

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Automobile brands in Vietnam often invest their own distribution system or

cooperate with dealers to bring their products to customers.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.9 Distribution

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In 2017, the volatile auto market also affected the business of retail distribution.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Vietnam automobile market – 2.2.9 Distribution

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3. Risks and Challenges

Content

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Risk factors

Policy risk

Political risk

Source: VIRAC, Yahoo Finance

Exchange rate risk

3. Risks and Challenges

VND/CNY exchange rate, 1/2016-12/2017

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The car manufacturing and assembly industry faces many challenges

Low localization rate

Direct competitors

Potential opponents

3. Risks and Challenges

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Capital and technology

Not high human resources

Business information system

3. Risks and Challenges

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Government policies

Traffic confrastructure

US Dollars/barrel

Source: VIRAC, World Bank

3. Risks and Challenges

Oil price action World crude oil, 2011 - 2017

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Impact on environmental pollution

Source: VIRAC, World Resources Institute

3. Risks and Challenges

Structure by source of CO emission to the environment

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The challenge coming from integration

Market dominance of imported cars

The transfer of the production and assembly of cars to Thailand

4. Driving forces

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4. Driving forces

Content

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Prospect of automobile consumption in Vietnam

Demand for automobile consumption in Vietnam continues to grow relatively when compared with other markets in the region.

Roadmap for tax reduction:

Infrastructure - traffic is improving:

Economic development

4. Driving forces

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Size and quality of population

Low interest rates, stability and growth in consumer lending are driving

forces for auto industry growth.

Source: VIRAC, NFSC

Source: VIRAC, GSO

VND trillion

4. Driving forces

Outstanding consumer loans, 2012 - 2016

Population pyramid, 2016

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5. Planning and forecast

Content

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2020 2025 Năm 2030

Production output of domestic

vehicles (pcs)Growth rate (%/year)

2020 2025 2030 to 2015 2016-2020 2021-2030

Target Unit 2020 2030

Decision No. 1211 / QD-TTg approving the master plan for development of

Vietnam's automobile industry to 2020 with a vision to 2030.

Expected volume of domestic assembled vehicles

compared to total domestic demand (%)

Estimated vehicle output and growth rate of the yearExpected to export complete vehicles and spare parts

Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTgSource: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

5. Planning and forecast

5.1 Planning

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2020 2025 2030Supporting industry objectives:

Oriented development

Rate of localization by value over years

Source: VIRAC, Decision No.: 1211/QD-TTg

5. Planning and forecast

5.1 Planning

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5. Planning and forecast

5.1 Planning

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2018 is about to mark technological transforms and regional market

changes.

5. Planning and forecast

5.2 Forecast – 5.2.1 World forecast

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By the end of 2017, car makers was competitively offering cheap prices and high-end vehicles are expected to bloom in 2018.

Truck and specialized vehicles segments seize huge potentials to develop in 2018 thanks to:

5. Planning and forecast

5.2 Forecast – 5.2.2 Domestic forecast

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Domestic vehicles have the advantage and are expected to rise again

Source: VIRAC

Thousand Units

5. Planning and forecast

5.2 Forecast – 5.2.2 Domestic forecast

Forecast of car consumption in Vietnam, 2016 - 2020f

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6. Enterprise

Content

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Vina mazda Kia motors Peugeuot

Mazda 3 Kia morning Peugeot 208

Mazda 6 Kia Cerato Peugeot 408

Mazda Cx5 Kia Sorento

Peugeot

3008

THACO - Truck THACO - Bus

Truck Couch

Some typical models of Truong Hai AutoOverview of Truong Hai Auto

6. Enterprise

105

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6. Enterprise

Some financial indicators of Truong Hai Auto

Indicator (VND billion) 2014 2015 2016

Evaluating Truong Hai Auto

Business strategy of Truong Hai Auto Sales and share of Truong Hai Auto, 2013 – 9M/2017

Currently, business strategy of Truong Hai is applied separately for different

product lines:

From 2013 to 2016, THACO set a record when sales and share consecutively

increased,

Source: VIRAC

Source: VIRAC

Unit

97

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6. Enterprise

The strategy of Toyota Vietnam

Overview of Toyota and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

In the first nine months of 2017, TMV sold 43,832 vehicles; market

share remained at 23.7%.

Sales (volume) and market share of Toyota Vietnam 2013 – 9M/2017

Camry Corolla

Fortuner Innova

Vios Hiace

* Sales does not include Lexus

Source: VIRAC

Unit

98

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Lexus and its subsidiaries in Vietnam Typical models

Lexus is the exclusive luxury car brand of Toyota Motor Corporation was

born in 1989.

Sales (output) of Lexus Vietnam2014 – 9M/2017

Lexus LS 460L Lexus LX 570

Lexus GS 350 Lexus GX 460

Lexus ES 350 Lexus RX 350

Strategy of Lexus Vietnam

In the Vietnamese market, some Lexus vehicles have not yet achieved sales

as expected,

Source: VIRAC

Unit

101

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Ford and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

Sales and share of Ford in the first nine months of 2017 continued to

stabilize at 11.6%, ranking third in the association VAMA.

Sales (volume) and market share of Ford Vietnam 2013 – 9M/2017

Ecosport Transit

Fiesta Ranger

Competitive strategy

Investment strategy on people

Ford Vietnam’s strategy

Source: VIRAC

Unit

99

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Honda and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

In the first nine months of 2017, Honda sold 9,756 units, representing

5.3% of the total market share.

Sales (volume) and market share of Honda Vietnam2013 – 9M/2017

City CR-V

Civic Accord

Honda Vietnam's strategy

One of the business strategies of Honda Motor Vietnam is to provide products

with advanced engine technology, durability and fuel economy,

Source: VIRAC

Unit

100

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Mercedes-Benz and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

In the first nine months of 2017, sales of Mercedes-Benz Vietnam

increased impressively (21% compared with the same period in 2016,

reaching 4,940 vehicles)

Sales (volume) of Mercedes - Benz Vietnam2013 – 9M/2017

C – Class A – Class

E – Class GLE/GLS

S – Class V - Class

Strategy of Mercedes - Benz Vietnam

Mercedes-Benz Vietnam strives to take care of its customers.

Source: VIRAC

Unit

102

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Hino Motors and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

For the first nine months of 2017, Hino sales reached 2,786 Units, down 1%

from the same period of 2016 and the market share was only 1.5%

Sales (volume) and market share of Hino Motor Vietnam 2013 – 9M/2017

Light truck Medium truck

Heavy truck

The strategy of Hino Motors Vietnam

Competing by quality:

Marketing strategy:

Growth prospects:

Source: VIRAC

Unit

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6. Enterprise

Overview of Isuzu and its subsidiary in Vietnam Typical models

In the first nine months of 2017, Isuzu showed a comeback with 5,126

units, up 5% from the same period of 2016, with a market share of 2.8%.

Sales (volume) and market share of Isuzu Vietnam 2013 – 9M/2017

N-series F-series

Q-series Đầu kéo

Isuzu Vietnam’s strategy

Isuzu's brand strategy and customer acquisition service:

Source: VIRAC

Unit

104

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