trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...consumer expenditures on utilities for a...

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© Janice A. Beecher, Ph.D. INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC UTILITIES | MSU ipu.msu.edu | [email protected] Please do not distribute by electronic or other means or cite without permission. Revised 6/2/18 MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public utilities (2018)

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Page 1: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

© Janice A. Beecher, Ph.D. !INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC UTILITIES | MSU!

ipu.msu.edu | [email protected]!Please do not distribute by electronic or other means!

or cite without permission. !Revised 6/2/18!

!!!!!!!!

MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY!

Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public utilities (2018)!

Page 2: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 2 !

IPUMSUIntroduction!§  This research summary is based on data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics of

the U.S. Department of Labor (https://www.bls.gov/data)!

§  Data are provided on both household expenditures and the consumer price index (CPI) with a focus on public utility services!

Page 3: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 3 !

IPUMSUHousehold expenditures on utilities in the U.S.!

Electricity (2.4% of exp.), $1,829, 36%

Telephone (2.6% of exp.), $1,994, 39%

Natural gas (.6% of exp.), $443, 9%

Fuel oil and other fuels (.1% of exp.),

$89, 2%

Water and other public services (1% of exp.), $747, 14%

Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures)

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

$945

$1,829

$818

$1,994

$242

$443

$61

$89

$340

$747

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

Single-person Four-person

Consumer expenditures on utilities by household size (2016)

Water and other public services

Fuel oil and other fuels

Natural gas

Telephone

Electricity

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 4: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 4 !

IPUMSUHousehold expenditures on utilities over time!

$1,868

$1,820

$513 $115

$709

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Annual consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household ($)

Water and other public services

Fuel oil and other fuels

Natural gas

Telephone

Electricity

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

2.5%

2.4%

0.7% 0.2% 0.9%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household (% of total expenditures)

Water and other public services

Fuel oil and other fuels

Natural gas

Telephone

Electricity

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 5: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 5 !

IPUMSUUtilities expenditures by income level and regressivity!

$1,013 $1,309 $1,436 $1,569 $1,895 $719

$1,095 $1,427

$1,752

$2,164

$220

$288

$323

$384

$558

$47

$74

$81

$88

$136

$321

$453

$550

$657

$865

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000

$5,500

$6,000

Lowest quintile 2nd quintile 3rd quintile 4th quintile Highest quintile

Consumer expenditures on utilities by income quintile (all consumers $2016)

Water and other public services

Fuel oil and other fuels

Natural gas

Telephone

Electricity

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

4.03% 3.56% 3.01% 2.42%

1.69%

2.86% 2.98%

2.99%

2.70%

1.93%

0.88% 0.78%

0.68%

0.59%

0.50%

0.19% 0.20%

0.17%

0.14%

0.12%

1.28% 1.23%

1.15%

1.01%

0.77%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Lowest quintile 2nd quintile 3rd quintile 4th quintile Highest quintile

Consumer expenditures on utilities by income quintile (all consumers 2016%)

Water and other public services

Fuel oil and other fuels

Natural gas

Telephone

Electricity

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 6: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 6 !

IPUMSUChange in percentage of expenditures on utilities!

-0.70% -0.60% -0.50% -0.40% -0.30% -0.20% -0.10% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60% 0.70%

Lowest quintile 2nd quintile 3rd quintile 4th quintile Highest quintile

Change in percentage of consumer expenditures on utilities by income quintile (2006-2016)

Electricity

Natural Gas

Fuel oil and other fuels

Water and other public services

Telephone

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 7: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 7 !

IPUMSUTrends in expenditures by income!

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Trends in consumer expenditures on utilities by income quintile (% of total expenditures)

Lowest quintile

2nd quintile

3rd quintile

4th quintile

Highest quintile

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

$0

$30,000

$60,000

$90,000

$120,000

$150,000

$180,000

$210,000

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Income before taxes by income quintile

Lowest quintile 2nd quintile 3rd quintile 4th quintile Highest quintile

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 8: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 8 !

IPUMSUTrends in expenditures by region!

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Consumer expenditures on utilities by region

Northeast $

South $

Midwest $

West $

Northeast %

South %

Midwest %

West %

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 9: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 9 !

IPUMSUTrends in expenditures by area!

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Consumer expenditures on utilities by area

Rural

Urban

Rural %

Urban %

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 10: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 10 !

IPUMSUTrends in expenditures by housing!

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000 19

84

1986

19

88

1990

19

92

1994

19

96

1998

20

00

2002

20

04

2006

20

08

2010

20

12

2014

20

16

Consumer expenditures on utillities by housing

Owners

Renters

Owners %

Renters %

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 11: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 11 !

IPUMSUCPI trends for utilities (US)!

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550 19

78

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Trends in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for utilities

Water & sewer (1953)

Cable/sat. television (1984)

Garbage (1985)

Postage (1935)

CPI (1983=100)

Fuel oil (1935)

Electricity (1913)

Natural gas (1935)

CPI (1997=100)

Landline tel. services (2009=100) Internet (1997=100)

Wireless (1997=100)

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 12: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 12 !

IPUMSUCPI trends for utilities (US)!

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Trends in Consumer Price Index (CPI) for utilities (general)

Water & sewer (1953)

CPI (1983=100)

Electricity (1913)

Natural gas (1935)

Telephone services (1997=100)

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 13: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 13 !

IPUMSUCPI trends for household expenditures (US)!

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Trends in CPI for major household expenditures (1983=100)

College tuition (1978)

Medical care (1935)

Food (1913)

Housing (1967)

CPI (1913, 1983=100)

Fuels and utilities (1953)

Gasoline, unl. reg. (1976)

Telephone services (1997=100)

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 14: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 14 !

IPUMSUExpenditure and price trends combined!

0

50

100

150

200

250

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

CPI f

or e

lectri

city

Annu

al ho

useh

old e

xpen

ditur

es (f

amily

of f

our)

Household expenditures and CPI for electricity

Electricity expenditures (nominal)

Electricity expenditures ($2016)

Electricity CPI

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 15: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 15 !

IPUMSUExpenditure and price trends combined!

0

50

100

150

200

250

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

CPI f

or n

atur

al ga

s

Annu

al ho

useh

old e

xpen

ditur

es (f

amily

of f

our)

Household expenditures and CPI for natural gas

Natural gas (nominal)

Natural gas expenditures ($2016)

Natural gas CPI

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 16: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 16 !

IPUMSUExpenditure and price trends combined!

-50

50

150

250

350

450

550

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

CPI f

or w

ater

and

sewe

r main

tena

nce

Annu

al ho

useh

old e

xpen

ditur

es (f

amily

of f

our)

Household expenditures and CPI for water and sewer maintenance

Water expenditures (nominal)

Water expenditures ($2016)

Water CPI

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 17: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 17 !

IPUMSUExpenditure and price trends combined!

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

$2,000

$2,400 19

84

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

CPI f

or te

lecom

mun

icatio

ns

Annu

al ho

useh

old e

xpen

ditur

es (f

amily

of f

our)

Household expenditures and CPI for telecommunictions

Telecom (nominal)

Telecom expenditures ($2016)

Telecom CPI

Source: IPU-MSU based on BLS data.

Page 18: Trends in consumer expenditures and prices for public ...Consumer expenditures on utilities for a four-person household in 2016 ($5,102 and 6.6% of total household expenditures) Source:

IPUMSU 2018! } 18 !

IPUMSU