transcript - matthews asia portfolio manager roundtable...
TRANSCRIPT
Matthews Asia Webcast
Portfolio Manager Roundtable
Participants
Jodi Morris, CFA, CFP®, Senior Vice President of Matthews International Capital Management
Robert Horrocks, PhD, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager, Matthews Asian Growth and Income Jesper Madsen, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Matthews Asia Dividend and China Dividend Strategies Taizo Ishida, Portfolio Manager, Matthews Asia Growth and Japan Strategies Sharat Shroff, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Matthews Asia Pacific Tiger and India Strategies
Presentation Jodi Morris, CFA, CFP®—Moderator
Good afternoon. Thank you all for participating in
today’s mid-year Matthews Portfolio Manager
Roundtable. In our quarterly webcasts we like to
alternate between educational discussions and mid-
and year-end portfolio manager roundtables where we
have the opportunity to hear from a collection of Matthews lead managers who share an update on the
regional strategies that they manage.
For 2012, during the first quarter, we
witnessed double-digit returns in many global
markets. But the second quarter has been
quite volatile, to say the least, and I think the
theme of the year has been that of global
economic uncertainty- whether it is the
strength of the U.S. economy, continued debt
issues in the Eurozone, or concerns over
China’s slowing growth. So the question is:
what does this uncertainty—both outside and
within Asia—mean for Matthews and the
Matthews investment team?
Simply stated, despite all this global
macroeconomic noise, we remain confident in
the long-term growth of Asia. So in our time
today what we would like to do is share
different perspectives on all of this overall
global economic uncertainty. Joining me
today are the lead managers of our core
Matthews regional strategies. And they are
four members of our 33 person-deep
Matthews investment team. The full team is
based here in San Francisco and also remains
as committed ever to their on the ground
research in the developed, emerging and
frontier markets of Asia.
The emphasis that the team places on this
long-term fundamental research underlies all
13 of our Matthews investment strategies. And
this includes our dedicated fixed income
June 7, 2012
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strategy, the Matthews Asia Strategic Income
strategy, which we launched six months ago.
We are very excited about the evolution of
Asia’s fixed income market and the strategy is
quite unique in allocating both to sovereign
and corporate bonds, and giving investors
diversification in both local currency and U.S.
dollar exposure, investing in fixed income
instruments in Asia.
But our roundtable today is going to highlight
our equity strategies. So let me introduce our
roundtable and also remind you all of the
regional strategies which each manager leads.
First is Robert Horrocks who is Matthews’
Chief Investment Officer and the Lead
Manager of the Matthews Asian Growth and
Income strategy. We were pleased to
announce the reopening of the Matthews
Asian Growth and Income strategy in January.
Now the Asian Growth and Income strategy is
designed to be our least volatile of our core
equity strategies here at Matthews. And it
invests in equities with solid dividends,
convertible bonds and selectively some
straight fixed income as well. The strategy is
compared to the MSCI All Country Asia ex
Japan Index. But that said it may allocate to
some countries outside of the index. So, for
example, we have held 5% to 10% in Japanese
companies for some time.
Next up is Jesper Madsen who is the Lead
Manager of the Matthews Asia Dividend
strategy. Jesper has been a portfolio manager
on that strategy since its inception back in
2006. The Matthews Asia Dividend strategy’s
objective is total return. It focuses on dividend
paying equities, but most importantly, those
companies we believe that can grow those
dividend streams. So while lower volatility is
not part of the objective of the strategy as is
the case with the Matthews Asian Growth and
Income strategy, it may be a result of this
dividend focus. This strategy is compared with
the MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index and
that would obviously include developed
markets like Japan and Australia. We believe
this is very important since both these
markets are a big part of the dividend-paying
universe in Asia.
Next is Taizo Ishida who is the Lead Manager
for the Matthews Asia Growth strategy. Of our
four core regional strategies, the Matthews
Asia Growth strategy is the one that invests
across the broadest investment universe,
including companies in emerging, developed
and frontier markets of Asia. So the team seeks
to identify what it believes are the most
attractive growth companies across all of these
markets. And the strategy is compared against
the MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index.
However, like all of our strategies at Matthews
we are “index-agnostic.” So the country and
the sector weightings that result from the
bottom-up approach may vary significantly
from this index.
And finally, we have Sharat Shroff who is the
Lead Manager for the largest of our regional
strategies, the Matthews Pacific Tiger strategy,
which seeks to identify sustainable long-term
growth companies within Asia ex Japan.
Sharat is also a Lead Manager of our Matthews
India strategy and he shares the lead
management of Matthews Pacific Tiger
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strategy, our largest retail strategy, with
Portfolio Manager Richard Gao.
We are going to cover three main things today
in our prepared remarks. First, Robert
Horrocks is going to kick off with some brief
macroeconomic updates. Second, we are going
to get a quick update from each of the four
managers here on their regional strategies that
they manage. They will discuss what has
worked well in the first five to six months of
2012, what hasn’t and what changes have
they made in their portfolios. Then finally, I
want to tackle this big question that I started
at the onset: what does all this global
uncertainty mean for the Matthews
investment team? Where is the team traveling
to? What are they looking for? What are the
questions that they are all asking of Asian
corporates? Robert, let’s kick off with you.
What does Asia look like today from a macro
perspective?
Robert Horrocks, PhD, Chief Investment Officer
Well, obviously, we are having this
conversation at a time where everybody is
worried about growth globally and
particularly about the situation in Europe, also
the U.S. and demand around the world. I
don’t want to delve too deeply into that
because I will just add one voice to the many
thousands out there discussing these issues,
but I think it is important to make clear one
thing and that is the slowing growth in Asia is
in large part due to domestic policy choices.
China is slowing because the Chinese want it
to slow after their stimulus efforts of 2009 and
2010. This is a very different scenario from
what is happening in the U.S. and Europe
where economies are slowing despite
policymakers efforts—or, some people have
argued, in the face of rather lackluster efforts
by the policymakers to stimulate them. But
they are two very different scenarios.
For me, however, when I look at the regional
picture the most important thing to look at is
valuations. And you should be able to see a
chart of the Asia ex Japan universe here [see
presentation]. This is an all-capitalization
chart showing valuations over a 20-year
history on a forward price-to-earnings ratio.
You can see, with the brown line, we are now
back to the levels similar to the Asian
financial crisis, similar to the outbreak of
SARS, the respiratory disease in China and
Hong Kong and almost at the levels of the
extreme panic during the global financial
crisis. Price-to-book measures, whereas not at
such extremes, also seem to be relatively
cheap.
Now of course you can argue that forward
price-to-earnings ratios are based on estimates
of earnings in companies, but when you dig a
little deeper and you look at what analysts are
expecting in terms of margin, really the
margin forecasts on average are not much
higher than were achieved by companies in
2009. So again, margins are comparable to a
relatively difficult period for a lot of
companies in Asia. And when you look at the
earnings per share growth estimates that
analysts are expecting, depending on how you
average it, it is really in the sort of 11% to
12% range, and maybe 15% earnings growth
over the course of the year, which is actually
not that high compared to how analyst
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forecasts tend to start the year. And also it is
not that out of line when you consider that
Asia has been growing in normal terms at 10%
to 13%, including Japan, during the crisis.
Now there is within the region some
dispersion in valuations and what we have
done is picked out some countries, some of
the major countries, and looked at Forward
P/E and dividend yield valuations in the box
at the top of this slide. These are based on
MSCI. But you can see that China now in
particular is trading at a relatively cheap level
and I think on the Forward P/E basis only
South Korea and Pakistan, within the Asian
region, are trading more cheaply than China
at the moment. And also within this and
hidden by these statistics is the fact that there
has been something of a valuation gap
starting to build between the large
capitalization and the small capitalization.
Now these have been trading quite close to
each other over the last decade or so; it is
somewhat skewed by geographical make up of
the two different classes but over the last 18
months or so, that disparity has widened by
some 10% to 15%.
Clearly, the sentiment in the market is poor.
The earnings forecast underlying valuations is
not overly optimistic and yet this all is being
achieved at an absolute level of valuations
that, relative to its own history, looks fairly
inexpensive. And if we look at the next slide
[see presentation] and break it up by sector,
you can also see that relative to the U.S. most
sectors are trading at something of a discount.
Now there is definitely some dispersion
within sectors in Asia ex Japan. Things like
health care and consumer-facing sectors are
more expensive than, in particular, financials.
But that is not unusual to see those two
sectors trading at a premium. And, again,
relative to the U.S., certainly in the consumer
area, the absolute level of these valuations
doesn’t look particularly high. These sectors
five years ago were also the most expensive
sectors in the region. So I think there has been
something of a structural trend shift in
valuations across the market. But, again, levels
look pretty reasonable, if not outright cheap
at the moment.
I wanted to say a little something about
sentiment in the overall situation in the
market. Since 2008 investors have spent a lot
of time worrying about Europe. Here are some
of the things that have happened in Asia since
2008. Asian consumption is up by over 30%
during that period. Chinese wages were up
22% last year and so far the latest figure this
year is about 14% year-on-year increase.
China is now the largest market for Porsches,
Taizo tells me. It is also the largest global
market for smartphones with a 22% market
share. The biggest home electrical appliance
brand in the world is a Chinese brand.
China is becoming an increasingly large
market for industrial robots and industry
automation, and is predicted to be the largest
by 2014. Yet quite often we hear that China is
following a low wage growth model. Quite
clearly the opposite is the case and that is the
same for Asia across the board. Asia is
following a growth model of increasing
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productivity, increasing wages, increasing
consumption. And, indeed, the amount of
GDP activity added in Asia since the financial
crisis began is roughly equivalent to two-
thirds the total current GDP of the Eurozone.
The region remains one which is producing
growth where people’s wages are increasing
and where people are getting wealthier.
Another thing that happened whilst we were
all concerned about the West was that China’s
e-commerce revenues crossed US$1 trillion a
year. Granted, a lot of this is business-to-
business activity, but also India became the
second-largest market for LinkedIn and Asia
became the biggest generator of tweets
worldwide. All of this is simply to say that
lives are changing. New ways of doing
business, new ways of putting your brand out
there, new ways of consuming and
distributing are becoming important in
China. This has an impact across the board. It
has an impact on how companies do business.
But it also has an impact on things like
property. For example, if you want to live in
the new modern society you need to be able
to live in an apartment block capable of
taking broadband, for example. And that
means urban redevelopment and we are
seeing that on a huge scale in places like
China.
Another thing that happened whilst we were
worrying about Europe was that Asia Pacific’s
high net worth individual population
exceeded Europe’s for the first time. Asia’s
population, we hear, is aging. Well, this is
true. But a lot of Asian countries are
increasing populations in the 35- to 45-year-
old range where people are at their most
productive, where people are generating a lot
of excess income that they are going to want
to start putting to work in savings products,
which means that these countries have to
develop their capital markets, which means
broader and deeper fixed income markets,
broader and deeper equity markets. This is
why China is aiming at internationalizing
Shanghai as a financial center by 2015.
Meanwhile, sentiment has had its effect on
the markets and as we have seen the
valuations in Asia have come down
significantly. Whereas Asia in 2007 was
trading at a premium to the U.S., it is now
trading at around about a 20% discount. One
market, Thailand, is still trading only about
half of the level in U.S. dollar terms that it
achieved just prior to the Asian Financial
Crisis of 1997 to 1998.
So with all the macroeconomic news in the
market at the moment, what have we been
doing at Matthews? We are not dismissive of
the macro and we are not ignorant of the
macro. But for us, it means getting out onto
the street, it means getting into Asia, it means
meeting companies that we are invested in,
meeting new possible opportunities, talking to
business people about how their companies
are fairing in the current environment. How
are markets? How is demand? How are costs
behaving? So we have been doing that as
usual this year. In the first quarter of this year
alone we spent 50 person days in India
because this was one of the markets that we
saw beaten
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down more than many others. We have also
spent a lot of time visiting and talking to
entrepreneurs and business people in China to
gauge their reaction to questions about
corporate governance and questions about a
credit squeeze and funding. And for us it
remains as it always is, a question of trying to
find the right businesses that are set up to do
well or to prosper or to have the best chance
of prospering over the next decade.
Jodi Morris
Thanks for the introductory comments,
Robert. Now, I would like to just dive into the
four regional strategies. But I just wanted to
take some time upfront and differentiate. Let’s
go through each one and talk a little bit about
how they have done year to date so far. And
why don’t we start with the least volatile of
our strategies, Matthews Asian Growth and
Income Strategy. Robert, so we will stay with
you. Can you just give us a quick update?
What worked and what has changed during
the first, five, six months here of 2012?
Robert Horrocks
Well let’s start with what was more difficult.
What was certainly more difficult in this
environment were the industrials and the
financial names, for obvious reasons.
Financials were hit by all the concerns that I
mentioned earlier. Industrials obviously have
more cyclical earning streams. These are the
sectors that bounce the hardest when markets
rally but are also the ones that are the
quickest to sell off. Certainly they have been a
drag on performance over the last 12 months
or so. On the plus side, we have seen pretty
good performance from health care names,
from telecommunications companies, from
consumer staples-type businesses. In addition
to the sectoral view, what has generally been
the case is that companies that have a greater
stability of earnings and are able to pay out
good cash dividends, are the companies that
have tended to be favored by the market.
They give a greater degree of certainty and a
greater degree of protection and that is why
this year in particular, they have tended to do
very well.
A couple of things have been happening
within the dividend yield stocks. A lot of the
yields on more cyclical sectors have been
going up recently and where we have been
able to move into those sectors and still keep
with very solid businesses, with great business
models and good capital management, we
have moved marginally into those areas. We
recently bought a large commodity
conglomerate and also a regional
conglomerate that has been in business in
Asia for 200+ years, trading at a good discount
to net asset value (NAV), with businesses
focused not only on China but also in
Southeast Asia and also paying a decent yield.
In addition, on the convertible bond side, we
are buying into a very long-dated convertible
bond, giving us 15 years or so to maturity
where we suspect that the option part of the
bond is mispriced. That is the sort of thing
that this strategy likes to go for. It gives you a
bond floor with some upside participation
should business turn around and we suspect
over a longer time period there is a greater
possibility of doing that.
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So the strategy remains the same. It looks for
these asymmetric payoffs, looks for downside
protection, looks for gaps in market
perception and reality. And, at the moment
the choice of companies trading at reasonable
valuations is quite large.
Jodi Morris
Jesper can you give us an update on Asia
Dividend Strategy?
Jesper Madsen, CFA, Portfolio Manager
Yes, Jodi. So I am going to be mirroring some
of the same sentiment that you heard from
Robert in terms of where we are looking. But
let’s just start with the last 12 months or so. I
will start with what didn’t work. If you look at
the performance over a one year period, it is
still negative and, perhaps not surprisingly,
anything that was within the cyclical sectors,
smaller companies, or any other company
that actually had less than a clear, short-term
outlook, tended to be detractors to
performance for the strategy over this 12-
month period up to May. Consumer
discretionary, financials, IT, energy and
materials—in that order—were all significant
detractors to performance.
However, we also did have some, I would say,
missteps that were caused by our own stock
picking. These were predominantly found
within the apparel maker or retail business
where we found that some of the companies
we were invested in within this space simply
did not manage to turn around the business
in order with what we had expected, what we
had discussed with management, and as a
result we did exit some of these holdings. That
said, we do maintain an exposure to smaller
companies, we do manage an all-cap strategy
and even though that did cause some
headwinds for the portfolio overall over the
last 12 months given the, again, higher
volatility within this space, we do continue to
remain invested with small and mid-sized
companies where we allocate about half the
portfolio or thereabouts.
Year-to-date, we have seen in terms of what
again hasn’t worked and I will then turn on to
what has worked. We have seen continued
headwinds within the energy sector. Again,
coal and oil have come off and some of the
exposures we have within that part of the
universe has also lagged as a result.
Now if we look at what has worked, perhaps
surprising to some, Japan has actually been a
very strong performer. Our Japanese holdings
have been the strongest performers by far for
the portfolio, especially our consumer staples
within that country. Again if you take a step
back and look at what has occurred over the
last 12 months, it shouldn’t come as a
surprise, both consumer staples as a sector has
done well and the yen has also done well on
the back of being perceived rightly or wrongly
as a safe haven currency. I should also say that
over this last fiscal year some of the strongest
performers in terms of growth in dividends
have actually come from some of our larger
cap Japanese companies.
Again, while Japan continues to be overlooked
by many investors, who might even have
adverse reactions towards it, we actually still
find that Japan plays a very important role in
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a strategy looking for both yield and dividend
growth. In terms of changes made to the
portfolio, again for the bulk of the portfolio
there will be very little change on the margin
as Robert was pointing out. Companies that
have a bit more cyclicality in their business
models and also I would say smaller cap
companies, especially in China, are areas that
we have been adding to and are looking at
with keen interest. I want to stress this is
happening at the margin especially when we
talk about the more cyclical components and
inclusions into the portfolio. But that is where
we find the most relative value compared to
some of the consumer staples that are still
trading in many cases at valuations that are
far beyond the market on the whole,
especially for those that are considered to be
safer.
And it is not again surprising given the fact
that we have a clustering of investors around
any investment in terms of themes, in terms
of companies, that seem to offer an outlook
for stability. Again that just means the flipside
of that is that if you go and seek out yield and
dividend growth in some of the less attractive
(in terms of what is perceived by the market
place as attractive) you can still find a great
deal of value within these more cyclical
businesses.
Jodi Morris
Taizo can you give us an update on the
Matthews Asia Growth strategy?
Taizo Ishida, Portfolio Manager
Sure. The Matthews Asia Growth strategy is
probably the most aggressive growth strategy
among the four we have here. As a result,
year-to-date I think the strategy is probably
doing the worst compared to Matthews Pacific
Tiger, Matthews Asian Growth and Income
and Matthews Asia Dividend strategies.
However, having said that, consumer
discretionary, which we tend to own a lot of,
didn’t actually do that badly. The best
performing stocks are casino stocks in Macau
and Cambodia. They have done very well
year-to-date. On the other hand, Chinese
small cap names have performed poorly year-
to-date. China has been in a pretty bad place,
not just year-to-date, but I think the last 12
months so this strategy tends to have a lot of
Chinese holdings and they hurt us a bit here.
One significant change I made at the
beginning of the year is that I switched from
Korean automakers to a Japanese automaker.
Now I got into Korean automakers about three
years ago, at the beginning of 2009. The stock
was trading very cheaply and they looked
attractive. Now when I look at those
companies at the time their operating margin
was only 4%. In the next three years that 4%
became 10%. The way I look at it, 10% is still
a great company and they have become
excellent companies in the last two years on a
global scale. But these stock do not have
much upside in my view now. On the other
hand, Japanese automakers got hurt in last
two years; as you know there was the
earthquake in Fukushima in March and last
summer Thailand had massive flooding that
destroyed many production bases. That really
drove the stocks to low levels. Now if you look
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at these companies; margins down 2%. The
company I own used to have 10% margin. So
I am not saying they are going back to 10% in
the next three years, but chances are margins
will expand.
The thing I want to do with the strategy is I
look at companies with good margins that are
poised to expand. That is the reason why I got
into Korean automakers three years ago. This
is the same reason I am getting into the
Japanese automakers today. So that was a
quick summary.
Jodi Morris
Yes, thanks, Taizo. And, Sharat, turning over
to you, can you give us an update on
Matthews Pacific Tiger strategy?
Sharat Shroff, CFA, Portfolio Manager
The last 12 months have been difficult for
businesses across Asia, some of which has
been forced on them and some of which is
self-inflicted, which brings me to my point on
what hasn’t worked and that would be the
Indian market, where it has really been an
issue of missed opportunities. And many of
these opportunities that were missed were
because of factors that could have been
controlled. They were not driven by
happenings externally. The domestic nature
of the economy should be a buffer to an
external environment but that didn’t work
out as anticipated. As a result, the equity
markets, the capital markets in India as well as
the currency markets endured a fairly weak
environment throughout last year. So that
didn’t help the strategy because the strategy
has carried an overweight in the Indian
market.
On the flipside, what seems to have worked
over the last 12 months is the allocation to
the technology markets. When I say tech, I
am referring to Thailand, Indonesia and the
Philippines. These markets have delivered
strong operating and fundamental
performance. Indonesia went through a
structural re-rating by the credit agencies last
year. It does seem like the Philippines, because
of the changes that have taken place, might
go through a similar experience. The
fundamental performance coming out of
these markets has been good and to a great
extent has also reflected on the valuations
that on a relative basis, the valuations in these
markets are somewhat more expensive
compared to what you find elsewhere in the
region.
On a shorter-term time horizon if we reflect
on the year-to-date, some of the factors that
have helped the strategy over the last 12
months actually seem to have worked in
reverse. So the ASEAN markets that I referred
to have experienced volatility because of
pressures coming out of Europe. Meanwhile,
we did suffer from some setbacks in South
Korea where we ended up exiting from a
particular position because of worries about
future performance. That market remains one
of the bigger detractors of performance for
this strategy year to date. In terms of what is
changing, the essence of the Matthews Pacific
Tiger strategy is to find companies that can
deliver sustainable, organic growth over the
long term. And what we are noticing is that
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there are such opportunities that are likely to
come through, and within small caps in
China, and I think you have heard that
comment from some of my colleagues already
and I will dig into that a little bit later in the
discussion. But beyond that, we have also had
some new additions within the Indian market,
realizing that the intrinsic demand for
services, for products and for solutions has
not gone away. It really is a supply side issue
and so if you can find those companies that
are still able to withstand the pressures that
are currently present, that they will surely do
well and gain market share once those
pressures start to subside. With that thought
in mind, we maintain the allocation, in fact
slightly adding or continuing to add to the
allocation in India.
Jodi Morris
Thank you, Sharat. I want to transition and
just spend some time diving into: What does
this global uncertainty mean for you as
portfolio managers here at Matthews? And
Robert alluded to a very active travel schedule
that you have all had during the first half of
2012. I think it would be interesting for all the
participants to hear where you’ve been
travelling to and what are the questions you
are asking? What are you looking for and
what are you finding? Sharat, you mentioned
small companies in China, so why don’t we
start with that because I know you spent some
time checking out the credit environment and
what it meant for those entrepreneurial
companies. Can you tell us a little bit more
about that trip?
Sharat Shroff
Sure, Jodi. Small- and mid-cap investing is
really at the heart of what we do at Matthews
and so we are always focused on finding out
how the entrepreneur is dealing with the
current business conditions and it has been
noticeable that, over the last two years in
particular, that the climate has worsened and
it has been most noticeable in China where it
is almost as if a perfect storm has descended
on the small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
With that in mind, our team redoubled their
efforts to travel across the region going to
some of the key centers like Hangzhou,
Guangzhou, and even Dongguan, over the
course of the last year and a half, just trying to
meet with these business people and to get
first hand impressions of what they were
experiencing.
I can categorize my comments in three broad
buckets as to the challenges that they have
faced. The first being excesses of the past.
Make no mistake—there were expansions and
diversifications that were reckless and that
were fueled by capital markets that were quite
amenable. I will take you back to 2006, 2007
when IPO activity was tremendous for
companies coming out of the region and even
bank liquidity was abundant. As a result of
those armed with that capital, many of these
entrepreneurs went into businesses that they
never should have. And in our discussions
with companies over the course of the last 12
to 18 months, that is a point that they kept
emphasizing is that the reason why one-fifth
of the businesses have shut down in
Guangzhou is partly of course that the
environment is difficult but mostly because
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they went into areas that they shouldn’t have.
Those that stayed true to their core expertise
have managed to survive and are continuing
to thrive. That is a clear consequence of things
that went wrong in the past and now the
results are starting to unfold.
The second issue would be somewhat more
cyclical. There are pressures of all kinds, the
demand environment in Europe is worsening,
to say the least, and even domestically within
mainland China there has been a slowdown,
depending on which sector. It could be severe
and in some instances it is a bit more
moderate. But I am not going to spend too
much time talking about the cyclical. I am
going to spend more time talking about the
structural aspects of what we learned from our
visit. The first thing that was discussed in
meeting after meeting was capital. Where do
we get capital from? The availability is limited
and if it is available it is coming in at a very
high cost. That’s not just a recent thing. This
is a structural situation.
For instance, we met with a garment
manufacturer delivering US$30 to $40 million
in sales in the last 15 years, 20 years it’s been
in business. It just hasn’t gone to the bank at
all because they believe that the doors are
always shut. 80% of the SMEs have no
recourse to bank funding. Private lending is
one way that they get around these hurdles,
but then private lending is not considered to
be an acceptable activity. It is somewhat
tainted. There are structural issues about the
availability of capital that continue to
challenge an entrepreneur when they are
thinking about starting a business or doing
something else. These kinds of structural
inadequacies can be addressed irrespective of
what the macro is doing. In some ways a
tougher macro environment raises the issue to
the highest level within the Chinese
establishment. When we returned from a
recent visit to Wenzhou, for example, two
weeks after that trip we heard that the
authorities were embarking on an experiment
which will look to legitimize private lending
and they might also consider some other
means of financial market deregulation.
These are certainly a step in the right
direction. But in spite of all that there are a lot
of challenges that these guys are facing, but in
terms of the negatives one thing that
resonated from all the meetings we had is the
save-and-invest mindset that is prevalent
across businesses in China, and that gives me
a lot of comfort. When I say that within the
strategy we are looking at including some of
the more high quality, small cap or mid-sized
companies, that is what I am getting at.
Because of the environment and governance-
related issues, a lot of companies are getting
painted with the same brush and instead of
walking away from that situation what we are
trying to do is find companies where we still
have conviction, where we still have faith,
and we know that is the best way of
participating in a difficult rebalancing that is
currently underway within China. That is
where in areas like IT services for example,
supply chain logistics we find opportunities.
Health care is where we find opportunities
that we can include in the strategy.
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC
WC033_T 12
I would also like to focus on another aspect
which is that of inefficiencies. You heard
Robert point out that China is rapidly
becoming a market for automation. But even
today there are pockets where there is an area
where these kinds of inefficiencies still persist.
This is a picture that you will see in front of
you [see presentation] that I took in a factory
in Dongguan. This was summer of last year.
We were there to visit a pipe manufacturer.
And as we entered the factory premises, we
saw these two workers. You can see them on
the right of the picture. You can see one man
and the other one is somewhat hidden.
They were manually starting to unload this big
truck full of industrial plastic material. When
we entered the factory they had just started
the process of getting things off the truck.
Two and a half hours later after we completed
our tour, they were still going at it, trying to
empty the truck. The simple thing is that a
little bit of mechanization would make the
process much easier and more manageable.
Ironically, the banner on the building reads,
“Walk the path of quality and efficiency.”
There you have a scenario where there is still
an opportunity of getting some
mechanization into the process and
improving output.
The bottom line is, that is where our energies
and our efforts are devoted to, finding scope
for improving efficiency because that will
deliver high-quality growth, growth which is
likely to be much more sustainable. That has
been the emphasis with our recent research
trips to Asia.
Taizo Ishida
If you remember when the automakers started
installing automated production equipment
in auto companies in China it was about five
years ago. It is actually going pretty fast. 10
years ago it was not available in China. I
remember in Japan during the early 1990s,
one of the auto plants in Kyushu didn’t have
much in terms of automation equipment. The
reason was simple, cost. So you have to always
remember and compare the cost of getting a
new equipment with manpower. The way to
look at the picture is probably that it doesn’t
make sense for them to have the equipment
to replace the manpower. But that is going to
happen, I’m sure. That is exactly what
happened in the manufacturing part of it. The
service side is a little behind it, but that is a
matter of time.
Sharat Shroff
And that alludes to the sort of pressure that is
being experienced even as we speak. Labor
costs are rising at a very fast rate. In fact, we
have seen from recent statistics that show the
labor cost for state-owned enterprises being
twice that much as it for private sector
enterprises, because it is the state-owned
enterprises that are setting the pace. They are
increasing wages at a very fast level because
there is a drive to incentivize consumption
and to drive consumption growth. The private
sector is still somewhat reluctant to play catch
up but that gap is starting to widen and there
will come a point in time—and to Taizo’s
point—that mechanization if you put into the
process it is just a win/win scenario for
everybody.
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
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Jodi Morris
I want to spend some time talking about areas
where some people haven’t spent as much
time. So Jesper, you haven’t spent as much
time in India running a dividend-oriented
strategy and then Taizo who has been
spending a lot of time going to frontier
markets will help wrap it up. Jesper, why
don’t you give us a sense for the time you’ve
spent in India, why you went and what you
found?
Jesper Madsen
Yes, India has always been a bit of a
challenging market for the Asia Dividend
strategy since its inception in 2006. The
reason is quite simple - we have a lot of good
growth companies but for the most part these
are not companies that are particularly
generous when it comes to paying out
earnings in terms of dividends, and
historically this is a market that has been
trading at a higher multiple than most of the
other markets in Asia. As a result the dividend
yield was simply not there—at least not in our
minds. As Sharat pointed out, India has been
facing some tough headwinds as of late. We
have seen a sharp depreciation in the currency
there as well as a sharp pull back in equities
there as well over the last 12 months.
We have not been invested in India for the
Matthews Asia Dividend strategy since
November 2009. So we are not in any way
driven by the fact that the benchmark is
invested there, if we cannot find that
combination of yield and growth we simply
do not invest. Now with all that said, I flew
from China, from Guangzhou and Hangzhou
where I was visiting, along with Richard Gao,
Sharat Shroff, and Hardy Zhu. We were all
conducting this trip that Sharat was just
talking about. Flying from a city like
Hangzhou or Wenzhou that are considered to
be some of the richer areas within China, to a
place like Calcutta—and I should say it is my
first experience actually in Calcutta—was like
night and day. You know you are in
Hangzhou, you are in Wenzhou, you see these
very nice business districts, it is very
impressive. People can obviously talk about
misallocation of capital but the fact is you
have some very nice buildings on the ground
in China.
In Calcutta, a city that used to be one of the
premier cities in India it is like stepping 50
years back in time. Most of it has
unfortunately been self-inflicted, government
policies and I will talk about that not so much
just in the Calcutta context but just more in
the Indian context more broadly. But before
that, it is always very encouraging going to
India because it is a very entrepreneurial
place; there is no lack of entrepreneurial
talent. That shows up in various business
models. Some of them may look like they are
copied from more developed markets but with
their own Indian twist.
For instance on the left hand side here [see
presentation] we saw a banner at one of the
companies we visited that showed how they
were trying to encourage more of a consumer
based and throw away-based mentality when
it came to home furnishings. In India
historically people do not just buy and throw
out their furniture in short order. They tend
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
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WC033_T 14
to hold onto these items for much longer and
obviously if you are in the business of selling
furniture, you need to encourage more
turnover. That was just one example of an
innovative business model. Whether that is
going to work or not that is obviously still to
be seen.
However, that is more on the positive side. On
the negative side I have to say again it is
discouraging to some extent at least in the
short- to medium-term to hear how much the
Indian government is still interfering in the
economy. This shows up in several ways,
whether it is price controls, price settings,
subsidies, or just red tape in terms of how
capital can flow into especially infrastructure
projects that are much-needed. That slows the
down the whole process. We heard
grumblings across the spectrum, whether we
were talking to oil/gas, power equipment,
infrastructure related companies, you know all
the way to even retailers and auto
manufacturers. And as a result we didn’t just
see the result in terms of a chronic lack of
electricity outside of the main metro areas in
India but also you can see evidence right as
you drive through the streets. For instance if
you look up to the right [see presentation] you
see what a typical retail outlet looks like in
India. It is very small scale in nature and it is
highly inefficient and that drives up overall
distribution cost and that is obviously not to
the benefit of end consumption.
Now we did also see the positive potential of
India when some of this potential is
“unshackled” as I would call it. And when
private capital is actually allowed to
participate in these infrastructure projects; we
have seen it in terms of airports being built to
world standards in other places in India. But
also we have seen business parks that have
sprung up, more akin to what we would
expect to see in places like China. Again there
is great potential that I would say has been
held back to a certain extent by the Indian
government policies there. But the potential is
very much there and that is why given this
potential and much more reasonable
valuations that we for the first time in a very
long time are actually looking with very keen
interest on Indian equities.
Taizo Ishida
I have been spending a lot of time in the last
18 months visiting exciting frontier markets.
As a result our Matthews Asian Growth
strategy now has close to 10% in this market.
Now what are frontier markets? They are
Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Cambodia, Laos,
Bangladesh and Mongolia. I just visited
Mongolia in April for the first time. The
reason is very simple. Last year the Mongolian
GDP grew 17.3%. This year, it is supposed to
grow another 15%. What is happening in this
big country with a small population? 2.8
million people in a large, large country. Now,
the truth is everything is down south. When
you see that picture on the bottom right [see
presentation], that is a picture of what they
call Tavan Tolgoi coal field in Mongolia. That
is the South Gobi desert. You have to fly from
Ulaanbaatar, an hour and a half down there
and it is desert. There are two things you can
quickly notice. One is that it is very windy
and two it is just a desert, but it is huge.
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
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That picture just shows an initial stage of
digging a hole, actually the open pit for
coking coal. This happens to be one of the
largest, and also best quality coking coal
mined anywhere in the world. What is
exciting is that this coal field is actually going
public next year provided everything goes
well. Now I can tell you more about what the
problem is, but it is exciting because this is
going to be probably a US$10 billion asset
where the total stock market capitalization of
Mongolia is only about US$1.5 billion today.
They are going to provide free shares to every
citizen in Mongolia worth US$2 billion at the
IPO time. So it remains to be seen, it is very
interesting.
The problem in Mongolia is the government.
The government is very democratic. It is
almost like India, not like China. Everybody
has to agree on everything so that is going to
take a long time and the coming election on
June 28 is going to be a pretty interesting one.
And one Mongolian observer I talked to
recently said “Oh, it doesn’t matter. It’s going
to be chaos.“ It could be interesting to watch.
But definitely, Mongolia is a place to look at
for the next 10 years or so.
Now quickly on the picture on the left [see
presentation] it is Hanoi, Vietnam. It looks
more like Singapore. Probably in the last few
years there was nothing there, it just popped
up like this. Now this was my third visit in the
last 18 months in Vietnam. The first time I
was there, in 2006, there was nothing like
that. So everything has changed, even Hanoi.
But the problem in Vietnam has been too
much growth of credit the last four, five years.
Growth of 25%, 30%, 40% every year; that
was really a concern. Inflation was very high.
Last year, inflation peaked in August at 23%.
Today, its down to 8%. So it’s very
encouraging. But at the same time, people
there are saying the environment is bad. It is a
really bad economy because they are not even
used to that sort of slow economic
environment. Probably GDP growth is going
to become more like 4% to 5% from their
traditional 6% to 6.5%. For me, that is a great
opportunity to invest in Vietnam because the
inflation is gone, the Vietnamese currency,
the dong, is very stable year-to-date. Knock
knock. But over there, people are pretty
bearish. And so this is a pretty exciting time
for me to look at these markets and I am
looking forward to increase more in these
markets in the Matthews Asia Growth
strategy.
Jodi Morris
Great. We received some questions while we
were talking here so, Robert, I want to bounce
it over to you to answer some of them.
Robert Horrocks
Yes I am going to try. I have got three or four
questions on China which I am going to try
and compose into one. They are basically
asking: how can you make sense of the low
valuations in China, also asking about fraud
and corporate governance issues in China and
how can you believe any of the statistics or
the data? And then finally the question: a
somewhat bullish Asian outlook is becoming a
consensus among many investors, what are
the warning signs and what makes us
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC
WC033_T 16
confident about long term growth and what
are the risks involved?
If I take these in reverse order I actually
disagree with the premise that a bullish
outlook is becoming a consensus amongst
investors. This may be what people are saying
but it is not what they are doing. If you look
at the valuations in Asia, which are below
long run averages, which are below those in
the U.S. and also in some cases below those in
Europe, and if you look at the market action
recently—although people may have a bullish
long-term view, they are not willing in the
short term to implement it yet.
This would jive with what I have heard
personally from people who may express
interest in Asia but whose common phrase is
“I am waiting for the pullback.” I think it
matters whether the view is being expressed
or whether it is actually being implemented in
terms of cold hard cash. So that explains why
the valuations in China look cheap because
sentiment is very poor toward China at the
moment. And the contrarian argument at
least in the short term to good growth in Asia
is concerns about property markets, concerns
about banking quality and nonperforming
loans. If you look at valuations across the
financial sector as I showed earlier, within
Asia but particularly in China that is the
consensus. The consensus is that banks are
weak. That credit quality is deteriorating and
that property markets are overheated and that
is why you see low-digit P/Es for Chinese
banks and you see yields on some of the
Chinese property companies’ debt in the mid-
teens.
Now in terms of fraud and corporate
governance issues that has also been a big
reason behind the low sentiment in China. I
think there have been obvious situations of
bad corporate governance both in the small
cap and the large cap, it has to be said. And
how can you trust the data? Well, you never
trust the data and you never listen uncritically
to what people are telling you. But you can
trust cash. So if a company is paying you a
dividend it has the cash on the balance sheet
and it has a record of paying those dividends
then that gives you something to anchor on.
You never trust just what the CEO or the CFO
of a company tells you. You go and talk to
their competitors. You go and talk to their
suppliers and you go and talk to their clients.
Are these real businesses? Do you have a good
experience from this business? I still think
sentiment is generally very depressed
concerning Asia and China but that is why we
get out on the road and that is why we talk to
the individuals running these companies and
running their competitors.
Sharat Shroff
One quick point if I may add to the question
on governance is we spend a lot of time trying
to understand the incentive structure; the
power of incentives. If there is an incentive
for the founding family or the founding
person or the senior management to cut
corners, or for economic value to leak out of a
listed entity there is a great possibility or a
probability of something like that happening.
And for something as simple as reverse merger
companies, the very incentive structure
MATTHEWS ASIA WEBCAST—PORTFOLIO MANAGER ROUNDTABLE | JUNE 7, 2012
©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC
WC033_T 17
underneath many of these reverse merger
situations is somewhat flawed in my view.
That itself is at least an amber flag if not a full
blown red flag that there needs to be greater
scrutiny of the business model and why that
particular path was chosen. In addition to
looking at things like cash flow, it’s important
to get the incentive structure right in looking
at the board and the linkages across different
companies. In our experience, more often
than not, the reason for some kind of a
transgression on corporate malfeasance has
been the interconnected nature across
different companies, because that is when
value tends to leak out.
Jesper Madsen
I have to be fully in agreement on Robert’s
comments on the dividend in terms of how
that goes back to corporate governance. But
the initial part of that question also was kind
of hinting maybe at the moderation in growth
that we are seeing, not just in China, in India
and globally as well at least in the short term.
People or investors tend to get a little too
hung up on headline GDP growth numbers
and I have yet to see an academic study
showing a strong connection between GDP
growth and equity returns. As far as I have
seen it doesn’t hold.
It is very easy to assume that if you have a
fast-growing economy then the companies
within those economies should also do well. It
is true that they might have growth
opportunities but you also have to remember
that with every growth opportunity comes an
investment. If these companies have to invest
very heavily, it does not necessarily mean that
there is enough free cash flow to actually pay
back shareholders today or in the future. So a
moderation in growth can actually mean that
there is an expansion of free cash flow and
therefore also the ability to pay shareholders.
Jodi Morris
That is a great way to end, so we will wrap up
with that. Jesper, thanks. And thank you all
for joining us and for all of your great
questions. Matthews Asia seeks to be your
most valued resource for investing in Asia.
Please don’t hesitate to reach out and let us
know how we can assist and again thank you
all for joining us today.
Portfolio Manager RoundtableJune 7 2012
Performance results, portfolio characteristics, and holdings information in this presentation are of the largest accounts managed by Matthews International Capital Management LLC. The Performance results are net of advisory and other fees. Performance quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results. Individual account performance will vary. Performance results and valuations presented are in U.S. dollars. Matthews’ advisory fees may vary depending on the size and nature of the assets and account. The standard fees are described in Part II f M tth F ADV All f i i US $ d i l d ll di id d d i t t d i li d d li d i l
June 7, 2012
II of Matthews Form ADV. All performance is in US $ and includes all dividends and interest accrued income, realized and unrealized gains or losses, accrued expenses, and are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs and advisory and other fees.
Investing in international and markets may involve additional risks, such as social and political instability, market illiquidity, exchange-rate fluctuations, a high level of volatility and limited regulation. Fixed income investments are subject to additional risks, including, but not limited to, interest rate, credit and inflation risks. In addition, single-country and sector strategies may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than diversified strategies because of concentration in a specific industry, sector or geographic location. Investing in small- and mid-size companies is more risky than investing in large companies as they may be more volatile and less liquid than large companies.y g g p y y q g p
The subject matter contained herein has been derived from several sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of compilation. Matthews International Capital Management, LLC does not accept any liability for losses either direct or consequential caused by the use of this information. Please see important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
The views and information discussed in this report are as of the date of publication, are subject to change and may not reflect the presenters’ current views. The views expressed represent an assessment of market conditions at a specific point in time, are opinions only and should not be relied upon as investment advice regarding a particular investment or markets in general. Such information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell g g p g yspecific securities or investment vehicles.
Do not duplicate or reproduce.
©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
Today’s Moderator and Speakers
Jodi Morris, CFA, CFP®
ModeratorJesper Madsen, CFA
Portfolio ManagerAsia Dividend and
Robert Horrocks, PhDCIO and Portfolio Manager
Asian Growth and Income StrategyChina Dividend Strategies
y
Sharat Shroff, CFAPortfolio Manager
Pacific Tiger and India Strategies
Taizo IshidaPortfolio Manager
Asia Growth andJapan Strategies
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
India Strategiesp g1
Matthews Asia Investment Strategies
Asian Growth and Income Asia Dividend Asia Growth Pacific Tiger
Lead PortfolioManager(s)
Robert Horrocks, PhD Jesper Madsen, CFA Taizo Ishida Sharat Shroff, CFA
Approach Attempts to offer a more stable means of participating
Invests in income-paying equities; seeks
Seeks to identify the most attractive growth
Seeks to identify companies capable ofstable means of participating
in Asia’s growth while providing some downside protection.
equities; seeks combination of current income and dividend growth.
attractive growth companies across Asia’s developed, emerging, and frontier markets.
companies capable of delivering sustainable organic growth.
Holdings Dividend-paying securities Equities of companies Equities of domestically Equities of domesticallyHoldings Dividend paying securities and fixed income securities, such as convertible bonds and corporate bonds.
Equities of companies with attractive yields relative to the potential for dividend growth.
Equities of domestically oriented companies, including Japanese companies benefitting from regional integration in Asia.
Equities of domesticallyoriented companies; selectively seeks globally competitive companies.
Geographic Coverage Asia Asia Asia Asia ex-Japan
Primary Benchmark MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index
MSCI AC AsiaPacific Index
MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index
MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
2
Asian ValuationsAsia Pacific ex Japan (May 1992 – 2012)
4.525.0
Asia Pacific ex Japan (May 1992 2012)
ForwardP/E
Dividend Yield
China 8.5x 3.8%Hong Kong 13 6x 3 5%
3.5
4.0
20.0
tio
Hong Kong 13.6x 3.5%India 12.9x 2.1%Japan 20.1x 2.9%Emerging & Frontier Asia 10.2x 3.0%U.S. 12.6x 2.2%E 9 3 4 5%
2.5
3.015.0
war
d P
/E R
at
B R
atio
Europe 9.3x 4.5%
1.5
2.010.0
Forw
P/B
0.5
1.05.0Asian Financial Crisis SARS Outbreak Global Financial Crisis
0.00.0May 92 May 94 May 96 May 98 May 00 May 02 May 04 May 06 May 08 May 10 May 12
Asia ex-Japan Forward P/E Asia ex-Japan P/B Linear (Asia ex-Japan Forward P/E)
Past yields are not a guarantee of future yields.
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
3Past yields are not a guarantee of future yields.Source: FactSet Research Systems, JP Morgan, Forward P/E and Dividend Yield for constituents of MSCI Indices; Data as of 5/29/12.
Asia ex-Japan is attractive compared to U.S.Sector BreakdownSector Breakdown
Forward P/E
Asia ex-Japan U.S.
Telecommunication Services 11.8x 21.4x
Financials 7.4x 11.5x
Industrials 10.0x 12.4x
Utilities 11.0x 15.2x
Consumer Staples and Discretionary 12.5x 15.0x
Energy 12.7x 15.5x
Materials 10.9x 10.0x
Information Technology 11.7x 12.0x
Health Care 16.0x 13.5x
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
4Source: FactSet Research Systems and MICM, Data as of 5/31/12
While we have been worrying about Europe
Si 2008Since 2008–
Asian consumption grew by over 30%
China’s e-commerce revenues topped US$1trillion
At 3 3 million Asia-Pacific’s population of high net worthAt 3.3 million, Asia-Pacific s population of high net worth individuals exceeds Europe’s for the first time
Asia’s P/E ratio relative to the U S is at a 20% discountAsia s P/E ratio relative to the U.S. is at a 20% discount
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
5
Investment Returns | Asian Growth and Income StrategyAs of May 31, 2012As of May 31, 2012
AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURNS
9.55%11.50% 10.25%8.98% 10.87%
YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 YearsSince Inception
(9/12/94)
AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURNS
1
4.45% 3.35%2.95%1.21%
3.26%
-8.67%
-17.64%Asian Growth and Income StrategyMSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index
1 Index return calculated from 8/31/94.
Performance results are of the largest account in the noted strategy managed by Matthews International Capital Management, LLC. The performance results are net of advisory and other fees. Matthews’ advisory fees may vary depending on the size and nature of the assets and account. All performance is in US$ and includes all dividends and interest accrued income, realized andunrealized gains or losses, accrued expenses, and are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs and advisory and other fees. Individual account performance will vary. Performance quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results.
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
6Sources: BNY Mellon Investment Servicing, Bloomberg, MICM
Investment Returns | Asia Dividend StrategyAs of May 31, 2012
YTD 1 Y 3 Y 5 Y Si I ti
As of May 31, 2012
AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURNS
4.15%
13.27%
6.09% 6.39%8.81%
YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception (10/31/06)
4.15%0.12%
-3.10%-0.34%
-7.75%
-14.89%Asia Dividend Strategy
Asia Dividend Strategy total return contributionsAsia Dividend Strategy total return contributions from dividends and their reinvestment
MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index
Performance results are of the largest account in the noted strategy managed by Matthews International Capital Management, LLC. The performance results are net of advisory and other fees. Matthews’ advisory fees may vary depending on the size and nature of the assets and account. All performance is in US$ and includes all dividends and interest accrued income, realized and unrealized gains or losses, accrued expenses, and are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs and advisory and other fees. Individual account performance will vary. Performance quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results.
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
Sources: BNY Mellon Investment Servicing, Bloomberg, MICM 7
Investment Returns | Asia Growth StrategyAs of May 31, 2012As of May 31, 2012
AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURNS
10.84%8.52%
6 09% 6 03%
YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 YearsSince inception
(10/31/03)
2.02% 1.21%0.12%
6.09%
-3.10%
6.03%
-12.73%-14.89%
Asia Growth Strategy
MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index
Performance results are of the largest account in the noted strategy managed by Matthews International Capital Management, g gy g y gLLC. The performance results are net of advisory and other fees. Matthews’ advisory fees may vary depending on the size and nature of the assets and account. All performance is in US$ and includes all dividends and interest accrued income, realized andunrealized gains or losses, accrued expenses, and are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs and advisory and other fees. Individual account performance will vary. Performance quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results.
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8Sources: BNY Mellon Investment Servicing, Bloomberg, MICM
Investment Returns | Pacific Tiger StrategyAs of May 31, 2012As of May 31, 2012
Since Inception
AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURNS
1
1 18%
11.93%
4.19%
13.36%
8.40%
2.95%
8.98%
1.21%
10.87%
3.26%
YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Yearsp
(9/12/94)
1.18%
-12.96%
1.21%
-17.64% Pacific Tiger Strategy
MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index
1 Index return calculated from 8/31/94.
Performance results are of the largest account in the noted strategy managed by Matthews International Capital Management, C f f f ’ fLLC. The performance results are net of advisory and other fees. Matthews’ advisory fees may vary depending on the size and
nature of the assets and account. All performance is in US$ and includes all dividends and interest accrued income, realized andunrealized gains or losses, accrued expenses, and are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs and advisory and other fees. Individual account performance will vary. Performance quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results. S BNY M ll I S i i Bl b MICM
Do not duplicate or reproduce.©2012 Matthews International Capital Management, LLC WC033
Sources: BNY Mellon Investment Servicing, Bloomberg, MICM 9
Recent Visits with Chinese Entrepreneurs
View of Wenzhou, China Investment Team members Jesper Madsen, CFA, Richard Gaod H d Zh t th H h R il St tiand Hardy Zhu at the Hangzhou Railway Station
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10
“Walk the path of quality and efficiency”
Factory in Dongguan, China
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11
Good Ideas Out of India
Typical retail outlet
Home furnishings store encourages consumerism by offering money for used furniture
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12Unshackling India’s potential
Recent Visit to Frontier Markets
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
Newly developed area of western Hanoi VietnamNewly developed area of western Hanoi, Vietnam
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13Tavan Tolgoi coal field, Mongolia
This document does not constitute investment advice or an offer to provide investment advisory or investment management services, or the solicitation of an offer to provide investment advisory or investment management services, in any jurisdiction in which an offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities law of that
Important Disclosuresjurisdiction. This document is directed at and intended for institutional investors (as such term is defined in the various jurisdictions). This document is provided on a confidential basis for informational purposes only and may not be reproduced in any form or transmitted to any person without authorization from Matthews International Capital Management, LLC.
Investors should ascertain from their professional advisers the consequences of investing with Matthews under the relevant laws of the jurisdictions to which they are subject including the tax consequences and any exchange control requirement. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any strategy before making an investment decisionexpenses of any strategy before making an investment decision.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. As with any investment there is always potential for gains as well as the possibility of losses.
These materials are intended for informational and discussion purposes only. To the extent that these materials are circulated, it is intended that they be circulated only to persons to whom they may lawfully be distributed and any recipient of these materials should inform themselves about and observe any applicable legal requirements. Persons who do not fall within such descriptions may not act upon the information contained in these materials.
The information presented in these materials is believed to be materially correct at the time of compilation but no representation or warranty (express or implied) isThe information presented in these materials is believed to be materially correct at the time of compilation, but no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of this information. Nothing set out in these materials is or shall be relied as a promise or representation as to the future. There is no guarantee that a company or the companies in a portfolio will pay or continue to pay dividends.
The manager referred to in these materials means a U.S.-based investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission who has not represented and will not represent that it is otherwise registered with any other regulator or regulatory body.
An investment in certain of the strategies is subject to interest rate risk, which is the possibility that a strategy’s yield will decline due to falling interest rates and the g j , p y gy y gpotential for bond prices to fall as interest rates rise. The value of debt securities may be affected by the ability of issuers to make principal and interest payments. The strategies may invest in the following: derivatives which can be volatile and affect performance; high yield bonds (junk bonds) which can subject a strategy to substantial risk of loss; and structured investments which can change the risk or return, or replicate the risk or return of an underlying asset.
The MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index is a free float–adjusted market capitalization–weighted index of the stock markets of China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The Matthews Asian Growth and Income and the Matthews Pacific Tiger Strategies may invest in countries that are not included in the MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.in countries that are not included in the MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
The MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization–weighted index of the stock markets of Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The Matthews Asia Dividend Strategy may invest in countries that are not included in the MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
The MSCI China Index is a free-float weighted index of Chinese equities. The MSCI Hong Kong Index is a free-float weighted index of HK equities. The MSCI Japan Index is a free-float weighted index of Japanese equities. The MSCI India Index is a free-float weighted equity index of Indian equities. The MSCI Emerging and Frontier Asia Index is a free-float weighted index of the stock markets of Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines ,Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. The MSCI USA Index is a free float adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure large and mid cap U.S. equity market performance. The MSCI Europe Index is a free-float adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of the developed markets in Europe consisting of Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.
The forecasted priced per earnings ratio is calculated by dividing the market price per share by the expected earnings per share for a12 month period The forward
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The forecasted priced per earnings ratio is calculated by dividing the market price per share by the expected earnings per share for a12 month period. The forward dividend yield uses the stock's latest declared dividend payment and annualizes it over the next 12 months. 14