town hall meeting on enrollment: university of michigan flint april 21, 2015 tom green, ph.d....
TRANSCRIPT
Town Hall Meeting on Enrollment:University of Michigan Flint
April 21, 2015
Tom Green, Ph.D.
Associate Executive Director. AACRAO
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 2
Town Hall Agenda
1. Introductory remarks on enrollment– Chancellor Borrego
2. UM Flint’s enrollment environment– UMF Data Team
3. Retention behaviors:– Tom Green, AACRAO Consulting
4. UMF’s optimal enrollment – a discussion:– Facilitated by Dr. Green
University of Michigan FlintEnrollment Environment
UM Flint Data Team
UM Flint Student Enrollment Behaviors
Teresa Farnum & Associates, Inc.
Tom Green, AACRAO
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 5
UM Flint Historical Retention Rates - FTIAC
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
after 1st year 0.7352 0.7179 0.6938 0.7429 0.7637 0.7033 0.7081 0.7155 0.7293 0.7217 0.7001 0.74 0.799 0.719
after 2nd year 0.5801 0.5714 0.5375 0.6357 0.616 0.5737 0.5652 0.5993 0.5319 0.572 0.5681 0.619 0.6593 NaN
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
85%
Full Time First Time Cohort Retention
Average rate = 72%
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 6
Roughly 40-50% of all freshmen are gone after two years
Domestic FTIAC
Start TermStarting count
Retained to second fall
% retained
Retained to third fall
% retained
Fall 2008 897 642 71.6% 451 50.3%
Fall 2009 761 530 69.6% 414 54.4%
Fall 2010 667 448 67.2% 394 59.1%
Fall 2011 567 404 71.3% 337 59.4%
Fall 2012 533 418 78.4% 332 62.3%
Fall 2013 639 440 68.9% ?? ??
Source: Historical UM Flint data files (not tied to official IPEDS totals)
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 7
Retention by admission type - FTIAC
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Challenge/Proba-tion
0.623076923076923
0.626262626262626
0.547169811320755
0.542857142857143
0.702702702702703
0.623529411764706
Standard 0.748936170212766
0.736585365853658
0.707979626485569
0.754068716094033
0.809815950920245
0.728241563055062
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
75.0%
85.0%
First Fall to Second Fall Retention by Admission Type
Challenge/ProbationStandard
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Retention by distance from UM Flint campus
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
CommutableNon Commutable
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Retention by ethnicity - FTIAC
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FTIAC and Transfer retention compared
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-140.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
Full-Time Transfers and Freshmen Fall to Fall Retention
TransfersFreshmen
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 11
Benchmarking FTIAC retention – Education Trust algorithm
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 12
Benchmarking FTIAC retention – MI publics
Source: Education Trust, college results online, 3/2015
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 13
Student satisfaction
1. UM Flint administers the Noel-Levitz Student Satisfaction Inventory:– Measures the importance of issues to students.– Measures the level of satisfaction with those issues.– The “gap” between importance and performance implies areas where
improvements can be made.– On standard questions, allows comparison of those issues against
other institutions to “norm” the responses.
2. In most areas, UM Flint performs well:– Students are generally more satisfied with academics and services
than students at other institutions.
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 14
Student satisfaction
3. The instrument allows for “local” questions that are not answered by students at other institutions.
4. Two local questions revealed areas where the gaps between importance (high) and performance (low) imply areas for improvement:– Classes I need to complete my degree program are available.– Course scheduling problems have interfered with my ability to
complete degree requirements and graduate in a timely manner.
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 15
Where do students go when they leave?
1. National Student Clearinghouse provides data on students who attend other institutions who report enrollment through them:– This is their Student Tracker service.– Using this, we can see where students may enroll if they leave UM
Flint.
2. Some students may not appear on the report:– It contains about 94% of all enrollment in the United States but not
all.– Students who leave for military service or work will not appear.– Students who change names or have mismatched data.– Overall, it matches most students.
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Top choices for next institution after UM Flint – all students1. Mott Community College
2. Baker College – Flint
3. Oakland Community College
4. UM – Ann Arbor
5. Lansing Community College
6. Michigan State University
7. Central Michigan University
8. Oakland University
9. Davenport University
10.University of Phoenix
11.Delta College
12.Saginaw Valley State University
13.St. Clair Community College
14.Eastern Michigan
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 17
Top choices for next institution after UM Flint – 3.0 or higher earned GPA
1. Mott Community College
2. UM – Ann Arbor
3. Michigan State University
4. Baker College – Flint
5. Oakland University
6. Oakland Community College
7. Lansing Community College
8. Central Michigan University
9. Grand Valley State University
10.Ferris State University
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 18
Students are Leaving with Lower Estimated Family Contributions in Recent Years
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 19
Student financial resources (EFC)
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 20
Student financial resources (EFC)
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 21
Average EFCs Differ by Destination
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 22
Students are Leaving with Higher GPAs in Recent Years
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Average GPAs Differ by Destination
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 24
Virtually all students who left did so in good academic standing
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 25
Retention and student success discussion
1. How role do UM Flint faculty play in raising retention and graduation rates?
2. What stood out from the data and information you saw today?
3. How can students become connected to their academic interests at the point of entry, rather than later in their academic careers?
4. What are the ways the UM Flint can create a supportive and vibrant campus life for its students that supports academic excellence, student engagement, traditions, etc.?
Considering “optimal” enrollment:Background and Discussion
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 27
How can we consider the “optimal” enrollment for UM Flint?
Optimally, an institution’s enrollment is comprehensively developed and is based on a strategic, integrative plan that includes the identification, attraction, selection, encouragement, registration, retention, and graduation of targeted student segments. The quality of the students’ collegiate experience is based largely on the academic environment, operational excellence of the institution’s transition programs, student services, and personal development opportunities.
Huddleston, T., Jr. (2000). Enrollment Management. New Directions in Higher Education. Fall 2000, No. 111, p. 65.
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Enrollment by level 2010 – 2014
Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 20140
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
Undergraduate Full-time Undergraduate Part-Time Graduate Full-time Graduate Part-time
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 29
Enrollment share by level 2010 – 2014
Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Undergraduate Full-time Undergraduate Part-Time Graduate Full-time Graduate Part-time
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 30
Undergraduate enrollment by segment 2010 - 2014
Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 20140
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
GuestGenessee Early CollegeDual EnrolledOther Non-DegreeContinuing DegreeNew TransfersNew Freshmen
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 31
Undergraduate enrollment share by segment 2010 - 2014
Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
GuestGenessee Early CollegeDual EnrolledOther Non-DegreeContinuing DegreeNew TransfersNew Freshmen
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 32
Growth of enrollment
1. Overall, UM Flint has been growing over the last five years.– How does growth help UM Flint more fully live out its mission?– What are the challenges when considering continued growth?
2. The growth in undergraduate enrollment has been in part-time, dual-enrolled students:– Is this a positive trend?– What balance would you see as ideal between degree-seeking and
non-degree students?
3. Graduate programs have grown from 15.5% to 17.4% of overall enrollment:– Would 20, 22 or 25% of enrollment be unbalanced with
undergraduate enrollment?
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 33
International enrollment 2011 - 2014
Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014200
300
400
500
600
700
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
International (all levels) Perent of all enrolled Percent of degree-seeking
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 34
Enrollment by ethnicity share 2010 - 2014
Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Other/unknownTwo or moreWhiteHispanicHawaiian/Pacific IslanderAsianAmerican IndianAfrican American
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM Flint Town Hall on Enrollment, 4/21/2015 35
Background of students
1. As the share of international enrollment continues to grow, is there a desired level of enrollment that represents a healthy balance of domestic, Michigan and international students?– How does UM Flint’s role as a public state institution figure into this
equation?
2. Given the shifts in demographics in the United States and in Michigan, how well-positioned is UM Flint to welcome and support growing numbers of students from Hispanic and Asian backgrounds?– What are the challenges UM Flint will face in serving growing
numbers of students from these groups?
QUESTIONS or ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION AREAS?
Thank you.
Tom Green, Ph.D.
Associate Executive Director, Consulting and SEM
AACRAO