towards a global brain

46
Towards a Global Brain Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media TEDxSV May 14, 2011 Saturday, May 14, 2011

Upload: tim-oreilly

Post on 12-May-2015

5.926 views

Category:

Technology


2 download

DESCRIPTION

The slides from my TEDxSV talk on May 14, 2011

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Towards a Global Brain

Towards a Global BrainTim O’Reilly

O’Reilly Media

TEDxSVMay 14, 2011

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 2: Towards a Global Brain

“The skill of writing is to create a context in which other people can think.”

-Edwin Schlossberg

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 3: Towards a Global Brain

The extraordinary convergence of computing and human potential

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 4: Towards a Global Brain

Towards a global brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 5: Towards a Global Brain

The advent of global consciousness?

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 6: Towards a Global Brain

A few key assertions

We are building a network-mediated global mind It is not skynet It is us, augmented

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 7: Towards a Global Brain

“global consciousness is that thing responsible for deciding that pots containing decaffeinated coffee should be orange”

– Danny Hillis (via Jeff Bezos)

– http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2005/03/16/etech_3.html

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 8: Towards a Global Brain

Artificial Intelligence

“the science and engineering of making intelligent machines” -John McCarthy, 1956

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 9: Towards a Global Brain

Intelligence Augmentation“The human mind ... operates by association. With one item in its grasp, it snaps instantly to the next that is suggested by the association of thoughts, in accordance with some intricate web of trails carried by the cells of the brain. It has other characteristics, of course; trails that are not frequently followed are prone to fade, items are not fully permanent, memory is transitory. Yet the speed of action, the intricacy of trails, the detail of mental pictures, is awe-inspiring beyond all else in nature.Man cannot hope fully to duplicate this mental process artificially, but he certainly ought to be able to learn from it. In minor ways he may even improve, for his records have relative permanency. The first idea, however, to be drawn from the analogy concerns selection. Selection by association, rather than indexing, may yet be mechanized. One cannot hope thus to equal the speed and flexibility with which the mind follows an associative trail, but it should be possible to beat the mind decisively in regard to the permanence and clarity of the items resurrected from storage.Consider a future device for individual use, which is a sort of mechanized private file and library. It needs a name, and, to coin one at random, "memex" will do.”– Vannevar Bush, As We May Think, 1945

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 10: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 11: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 12: Towards a Global Brain

A device that knows where I am better than I do, a knowing assistant telling me where to go and how to get there.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 13: Towards a Global Brain

Beyond information retrieval: real time connection with other people and what they know.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 14: Towards a Global Brain

Man-Computer Symbiosis

“The hope is that, in not too many years, human brains and computing machines will be coupled together very tightly, and that the resulting partnership will think as no human brain has ever thought and process data in a way not approached by the information-handling machines we know today.”

– Licklider, J.C.R., "Man-Computer Symbiosis", IRE Transactions on Human Factors in Electronics, vol. HFE-1, 4-11, Mar 1960. Eprint

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 15: Towards a Global Brain

Harnessing Collective Intelligence

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 16: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 17: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 18: Towards a Global Brain

wikipedia

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 19: Towards a Global Brain

A device with eyes and ears, with a sense of place, and motion, and proximity, with memory of what it’s seen and where it’s been, a connection to the people we know and love.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 20: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 21: Towards a Global Brain

The spread of sensors

sensor platform slide

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 22: Towards a Global Brain

The “intelligent” devices of the future are connected to data

“We don’t have better algorithms. We just have more data.” - Peter Norvig, Chief Scientist, Google

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 23: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 24: Towards a Global Brain

“Would you be willing to cross the street with information that

was five minutes old?” -Jeff Jonas

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 25: Towards a Global Brain

Resilience

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 26: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 27: Towards a Global Brain

The global brain is us, connected and augmented

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 28: Towards a Global Brain

Vannevar Bush’s Memex - 1945

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 29: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 30: Towards a Global Brain

“Your job as a parent is to prepare your child for the future.”

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 31: Towards a Global Brain

If the global brain is still a child, what should we be teaching it? How should we be rearing it?

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 32: Towards a Global Brain

Predictive analytics in information applications mirrors human learning

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 33: Towards a Global Brain

Our algorithms and the goals we set for them mirror human vices and virtues

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 34: Towards a Global Brain

We are all Khaled Said

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 35: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 36: Towards a Global Brain

“Access to all the world’s information”

“How can applications be better when they are social?”

“Changing the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators”

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 37: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 38: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 39: Towards a Global Brain

How can we make the emerging global consciousness not only more resilient,

but more moral?

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 40: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 41: Towards a Global Brain

“Virtue is knowing what you really want” -James O’Reilly

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 42: Towards a Global Brain

εὐδαιµονία

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 43: Towards a Global Brain

eudaimonia

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 44: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 45: Towards a Global Brain

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Page 46: Towards a Global Brain

We’ve got one world. We’d better get it right.

Saturday, May 14, 2011