The Southern California Mega Region

Being Competitive Participants in theGlobal Economy

Being Competitive Participants in theGlobal Economy

Southern California

Southern California

Southern California

1.5% of U.S. land area (53,000 sq.mi.)

Over 7% of U.S. population (22 million)

58% of California annual GDP ($900 billion)

The WORLD’S 10th LARGEST ECONOMY

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MEGA-REGION

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MEGA-REGION

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY TRENDS

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY TRENDS

Southern California

POPULATION GROWTHPOPULATION GROWTH

Population is expected to grow to

by 2030

35%Increase

from 2000

27,700,000

TRADE GROWTHTRADE GROWTH

Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex 5th largest in world44 million 20 ft. containers by 2030 - reaching capacity

GROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMANDGROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMAND

• Mega-region’s airports make So. Cal the busiest of all regions in the country

• 94 million passengers served in 2003

• Demand forecast to double before 2030

• Cargo expected to triple

The region accomodates nearly 30% of the nation’s waterborne trade, and 60% of total

cargo containers.

Although this activity greatly benefits the nation as a whole, the region incurs a

disproportionate share of the burden in congestion and air quality costs.

Southern California

HIGHWAY CONGESTIONHIGHWAY CONGESTION

Worst in nation since 1982

2000 2010 20252020

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Projected Growth

population

auto travel

truck travel

AIR POLLUTIONAIR POLLUTION

• Progress has stalled and diesel emissions from ships, locomotives and port complex are projected to increase

• Mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.

THREATENED ENVIRONMENT & QUALITY OF LIFE

THREATENED ENVIRONMENT & QUALITY OF LIFE

ENERGYDemands on the capacity and distribution of energy will remain a major challenge

WATERPer capita demand not projected to decline as the population increases

HABITAT & OPEN SPACESuburban-style sprawl continues to consume native habitat

Southern California

2/3 of region is government-owned

and off-limits to development

Dense development pattern: 15,000 to

20,000 people/sq.mi.

Among Nine Largest Metro Regions

GROWING ECONOMIC &SOCIAL DISPARITY

GROWING ECONOMIC &SOCIAL DISPARITY

#9 Percentage of adults who have attained at least a high school diploma

Highest percentage of owner and rental households

spending 30% or more on housing

#1

Highest rate of crowded housing

#1

Improving the region’s jobs-housing balance is the most critical short-term

goal to avoid a complete collapse of the transportation, housing and social

networks in place.

Southern California

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY STRATEGIES

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY STRATEGIES

Southern California

Reinvest and redevelop alongexisting and planned transportation

corridors and in regional centers

Reinvest and redevelop alongexisting and planned transportation

corridors and in regional centers

Preferred AlternativePreferred Alternative

Sustainability

Mobility Prosperity•Distributes regional employment & housing growth following 4 guiding principles

•Focuses growth along existing & planned transportation corridors and in existing and emerging centers

•Will guide SCAG’s regional programs & policies

Livability

Household GrowthHousehold Growth 2010- 2010-20302030((without Growth Visionwithout Growth Vision))

Household GrowthHousehold Growth 2010- 2010-20302030((with Growth Visionwith Growth Vision))

Project Vision

Changes will affect only 2%

of regional land mass

Changes will affect only 2%

of regional land mass

Southern California Based

Blue Collar

Good Entry Level Pay

Defined Skill Ladder

On the Job Learning

Tech Dependent

Support Industry Sectors providing good-payingjobs to a less educatedlaborforce

Wholesale Trade

Truck Transportation

Transportation Support

Couriers

General Warehousing

Air Transportation

Rail Transportation

Water Transportation

In 2003 352,373

54,504

52,662

30,090

28,442

25,466

2,952

1,789

548,278Source: Quarterly Census of Employment Wages, CA EDD, 2004

Total

Logistics Jobs

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

% SCAG Jobs

Leisure and

Hosp.

9.6

Other Services

3.5

Educ. & Health

Services

10.6

Constr.

4.8

Prof. & Bus.

Services

14.1

Manf.

12.1

Logis-tics

8.1

Gov’t.

14.9

Financial Activities

7.5

Motion Picture

1.7

1 out of 12 jobs in 2003

Share of Mega-Region Jobs

Average weekly pay for all industries is $749

0$

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1000

$1200

$1400

$1600

$ Weekly Pay

Leisure and

Hospitality

$400

Other Services

$413

Educ. & Health

Services

$718

Constr.

$777

Prof. & Bus.

Services

$811

Manf.

$843

Logistics

$847

Gov’t.

$866

Financial Activities

$1194

Motion Picture

$1353

1 of highest paying

Compared to other Sectors

Make transportation infrastructure investments to support growth of trade and jobsand reduce congestion

13.213.2

18.318.3

36.036.0

44.744.7

2005 2010 2020 2030

In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units)Source: POLA, POLB

Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years

Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years

Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000

They comprise 71% of the

major pollutants contributing to cancer risk in

the South Coast Air Basin

Diesel ParticulatesDiesel Particulates

5,400 Premature Deaths Annually

140,000 Children Have Asthma

980,000 Lost Work Days

2,400 Hospitalizations

75% - 80% of the emissions come

from mobile sources outside of

local control

Proposed High-Speed SystemProposed High-Speed System

Initial Operating Segment81 miles6 stations$11 billion capital cost$110 million annual O&M

Freight System90 miles6 stations$19 billion capital cost$296 million annual O&M4 to 13 million TEUs

ELECTRIFIED

New Rail Capacity & ImprovementsNew Rail Capacity & Improvements

Alameda Corridor

East-West Corridor

More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings

Colton

Hobart

ELECTRIFIED

Promotes relationships between existing metropolitan areas

Supports sustainability and long-term vitality

Streamlines transportation and land use patterns

Fosters better economies

Encourages cost-saving measures through cooperation

GLOBAL GATEWAY THINKINGGLOBAL GATEWAY THINKING

Thank You