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THE SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF VULNERABILITY FRAMEWORK: INCORPORATING THE NEEDS OF PEOPLE INTO MITIGATION, RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY A thesis presented by S. Atyia Martin To Doctor of Law and Policy Program In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Law and Policy College of Professional Studies Northeastern University Boston, Massachusetts June, 2014

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Page 1: The social determinants of vulnerability framework ...336403/fulltext.pdfthe Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to the City of Boston to determine if the relationships

THE SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF VULNERABILITY FRAMEWORK: INCORPORATING THE NEEDS OF PEOPLE INTO MITIGATION, RESPONSE, AND

RECOVERY

A thesis presented by

S. Atyia Martin

To

Doctor of Law and Policy Program

In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Law and Policy

College of Professional Studies

Northeastern University

Boston, Massachusetts

June, 2014

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DEDICATION

This research project is dedicated to my family. My husband, Roy Martin, has been there

to take care of the homefront while I have worked on this research project. I am grateful for his

love and support in the darkest hours and in the joyous moment of completion. This research

project and my participation in the Northeastern University Doctor of Law and Policy program

would not be possible without him.

My children, Sharoya, Roy Jr., Raekwon, Ryan, and Sonja, have had to deal with my

absence in their lives during this process. I hope they are able to understand the benefits of the

sacrifices that everyone had to make. Finally, my mother, Gloria Walker, helped to take care of

the children and ensured they were able participate in all of the fun things that I was not able to

experience with them.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This project required many different types of qualitative and quantitative analyses. My

advisor, Dr. Neenah Estrella-Luna, coached me through every step of this research with patience

and grace. She spent many late nights reviewing and responding to my drafts and questions. Dr.

Estrella-Luna brought incredible insight and guidance. I am forever grateful for her commitment

to me and the other students she provided the same level of quality support.

Harold Cox, MSSW, was my second reader. He very graciously accepted the role despite

his very busy schedule as the associate dean at the Boston University School of Public Health

and his many board positions advancing public health in the City of Boston and the

Commonwealth of Massachusetts. It has been an honor and a pleasure to work with him.

The staff of the Office of Public Heatlh Preparedness at the Boston Public Heatlh

Commission does such amazing work. I have been able to rely on them to accomplish major

feats, especially after the Boston bombings and the many emergencies that ensued while I

participated in this program. I never missed an intensive seminar because they are so committed

and talented. Finally, I would like to thank Dr. Barbara Ferrer, Commission of Public Health for

the City of Boston, and James Hooley, Chief of Boston Emergency Medical Services, for their

support.

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ABSTRACT

The social circumstances of people significantly determine the severity of poor outcomes after

disasters. The majority of Americans live in cities that face higher risk because of the density of

infrastructure, assets, and people, particularly vulnerable populations. I developed the Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework based on link analysis of the literature to help

planners in cities better identify and understand the most vulnerable people in their area. The

Framework also provides a way to reduce the likelihood of civil rights violations and poor

outcomes for people with limited ability to prepare for, adapt to, and cope with emergencies. The

Framework identifies seven interrelated social factors that seem to be driving vulnerability:

children, people with disabilities, older adults, chronic and acute medical illness, social isolation,

low-to-no income, and people of color. The Framework includes the specific poor outcomes that

people with pre-emergency social factors are more likely to experience at a disproportionately

higher level after emergencies: lack of access to post-incident services; displacement; injury,

illness, and death; property loss or damage; domestic violence; and loss of employment. I applied

the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to the City of Boston to determine if the

relationships between social factors of vulnerability are consistent with literature, to determine

the areas of geographic concentrations of the most vulnerable people, and assess the relationship

between social isolation and the other factors of social vulnerability. Based on a citywide

geospatial analysis and neighborhood level correlation analyses, I also identified the most

vulnerable people and neighborhoods.

Key Words: Emergency Management, Social Vulnerability, Civil Rights, Social Isolation

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction and Background ......................................................................................................... 9 Purpose .......................................................................................................................... 13 

Methods......................................................................................................................... 14 

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework ........................................................ 15 

Social Vulnerability and Social Isolation ..................................................................... 16 

Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 16 

References ..................................................................................................................... 19 

Paper 1: Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Focusing Emergency Plans on the Needs of People in the American Cities ....................................................................................... 22 

Introduction ................................................................................................................... 22 

Problem Background .................................................................................................... 23 

Purpose .......................................................................................................................... 24 

Research Questions ................................................................................................... 26 

Literature Review.......................................................................................................... 27 

Social Vulnerability, Social Isolation, and the Impacts ............................................ 27 

City Government Roles and Responsibilities ........................................................... 28 

The Ignored Legal Imperatives ................................................................................. 30 

Methodology ................................................................................................................. 31 

Findings and Results ..................................................................................................... 33 

Pre-Incident Attributes .............................................................................................. 34 

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Post-Incident Outcomes ............................................................................................ 36 

Analysis and Synthesis ................................................................................................. 37 

Emergency Management Core Capabilities .............................................................. 37 

Legal Compliance and Assistance ............................................................................ 45 

Next Steps and Future Research ............................................................................... 49 

Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 51 

Invest Now or Pay Later ........................................................................................... 52 

References ..................................................................................................................... 53 

Paper 2: Application of the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to the City of Boston ........................................................................................................................................... 64 

Background ................................................................................................................... 64 

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework ........................................................ 66 

Purpose .......................................................................................................................... 68 

Methods......................................................................................................................... 68 

Proxy Data ................................................................................................................ 69 

Mapping .................................................................................................................... 70 

Correlation and Regression Analysis ........................................................................ 71 

Findings and Results ..................................................................................................... 71 

Citywide Geographic Concentration of Social Determinants of Vulnerability Factors

............................................................................................................................................... 73 

Social Isolation and Social Vulnerability ................................................................. 74 

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Social Determinants of Vulnerability within Boston Neighborhoods ...................... 75 

Analysis and Recommendations ................................................................................... 83 

Mitigation .................................................................................................................. 83 

Response ................................................................................................................... 85 

Recovery ................................................................................................................... 86 

Legal Compliance and Assistance ............................................................................ 88 

Future Research ............................................................................................................ 89 

Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 90 

References ..................................................................................................................... 93 

Appendix A: Social Determinants of Vulnerability Frameworks ................................. 97 

Appendix B: Neighborhood Correlation Analyses ..................................................... 112 

Appendix C: Sum and Percentage of Neighborhood Populations by Social

Determinants of Vulnerability ................................................................................................ 130 

References ................................................................................................................... 132 

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LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES

Table 1. Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Pre-Incident Social Factors ............ 67 Table 2. Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Post-Incident Outcomes ................. 67 Table 3. Correlations for Socially Vulnerable Populations in the City of Boston ........................ 72 Table 4: Model of Social Isolation in Boston, MA ....................................................................... 75 Table 5. Neighborhood-Level Social Factors that Correlate with Social Isolation ...................... 77 Table B1: Sum of Neighborhood Populations ............................................................................ 130 Table B2: Percentages for Neighborhood Populations ............................................................... 131 

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Introduction and Background

For the first time in human history, more people across the world live in cities (Swiss

Reinsurance Company Ltd., 2013). Approximately 80.7% of the United States population lives

in metropolitan areas (U.S. Census Bureau, 2013). The growing concentration of people, assets,

and infrastructure in conjunction with the threats and hazards from natural, technological, and

human-caused events means that the loss potential in urban areas is high and continues to rise

(Swiss Reinsurance Company Ltd., 2013). This population density also means socially

vulnerable populations exist in higher numbers, further compounding risk in cities (Dwyer,

Zoppou, Nielsen, Day, & Roberts, 2004).

The social systems in cities are complex. People depend upon intricate social and

physical infrastructure, such as health and human services, public transportation, and utility

networks such as water, electricity and telecommunications (Dwyer et al., 2004). The potential

for poor outcomes after disasters in cities increases based on these complex systems, a higher

density of people, and larger numbers of socially vulnerable people (Galea, Freudenberg, &

Vlahov, 2005; Pelling, 2003). The daily circumstances of people are significant factors in cities’

ability to withstand the impact of an emergency (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,

2012).

Social vulnerability is the susceptibility of social groups to the impacts of hazards such as

suffering disproportionate death, injury, loss, or disruption of livelihood; as well as their

resiliency, or ability to adequately recover from the impacts (Cutter & Emrich, 2006; Wisner &

Handmer, 1999). This susceptibility is a function of the demographic characteristics of the

population as well as more complex conditions such as health care provision, social capital, and

access to lifelines (Cutter & Emrich, 2006). Furthermore, at-risk populations have a higher

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likelihood to be socially isolated, which has proven to be an indicator of increased mortality

before and after disasters (Klinenberg, 1999; Pantell et al., 2013). Socially vulnerable

populations are faced with a comparatively higher number of stressors before an emergency ever

happens (Gustafsson et al., 2014). However, if community and government services are equitable

and accessible before and after emergencies, socially vulnerable populations can have the same

opportunities as everyone else to be more resilient (Chandra et al., 2011). When socially

vulnerable populations are more resilient it increases the overall resilience of the city.

Researchers have identified many people as being socially vulnerable including those

who are children, older adults, people of color, low-income, living alone, single parents, non-

English speaking as well as those who suffer from chronic physical and mental illness,

disabilities, and low-literacy. Socially vulnerable populations have a disproportionate exposure

to risk and a decreased ability to avoid or absorb potential harm.

Emergency management planning identifies the actions local government will take

before, during, and after emergencies. The current process to develop plans focuses on reducing

the impact of emergencies on critical infrastructure, assets, and the environment. However, they

do not include ways to reduce the impact of emergencies on people. Therefore, efforts often

result in municipalities preparing for emergencies without accounting for the complex interaction

of social, physical, and hazard environments (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2010a).

Existing plans are designed for people who can walk, run, drive, see, hear, pay, and quickly

respond to directions (Greenberger, 2007; Kailes & Enders, 2007). The assumptions do not align

with the reality that at least half of the American population can be considered vulnerable to

disasters because of their existing social circumstances (Kailes & Enders, 2007). The approach

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to emergency planning has to shift to incorporate the diverse needs of socially vulnerable people

into mitigation, response, and recovery.

Many people who are considered socially vulnerable are also protected by civil rights.

When there is a lack of inclusive planning, jurisdictions may be inadvertently violating civil

rights. Civil rights statutes and supporting federal guidance protect the rights of Americans so

that they are not denied the benefit from or participation in federally-funded programs and

activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, disability, age, economic status, or limited

English proficiency (Milligan & Company, 2007; Paulison, 2005; CDC, 2010). Cities are not

compliant with the protection afforded by these rights if these populations are not represented in

the planning process, included in the considerations for emergency management plans, or post-

incident services provided by local, state, federal, and nongovernmental organizations. The lack

of inclusion is de facto exclusion and results in local government developing and executing plans

that do not meet the needs of their constituents and potentially violates their civil rights.

There has been some action by emergency managers to address the needs of people with

disabilities, primarily in emergency sheltering and evacuation, as the result of Los Angeles and

New York City being sued for a lack of inclusive plans under the Americans with Disabilities

Act (Sherry & Harkins, 2011). I developed the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

to identify the relationship between social factors that increase vulnerability to support inclusive

emergency planning. The social characteristics that are most interconnected include all of the

legally protected classes outlined above. Instead of waiting for lawsuits, cities can take action

now by using the Framework to identify the neighborhoods that have higher concentrations of

vulnerable populations and partner with them to work towards plans that meet their needs and

more efficiently manage limited resources. Public engagement in emergency management

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provides people with a voice in decisions that impact them and fosters resilience (U.S.

Department of Health and Human Services, 2009). In fact, public engagement combats low-

decision latitude (lack of control over decisions made that impact them) which is one of the

major stressors linked to poor physical and mental health outcomes (Gustafsson et al., 2014).

Although people are not responsible for the occurrence of a natural disaster, we can

change the severity of the consequences (Abkowitz, 2008). The impact of a disaster on any

community is not random; it is determined by the daily circumstances of people living in the area

(Klinenberg, 2002). This means that local governments need to evaluate the interaction of

natural and manmade hazards, the living conditions of the city's most at-risk residents, and the

capabilities of local government (the organization most responsible for protecting the welfare of

residents) to determine the potential public health and safety consequences a disaster can inflict

(Klinenberg, 1999). Risk is an unavoidable reality in everything we do and it is not possible to

completely eliminate exposure to it. Instead, we have to understand the risk we are exposed to

and manage the exposure more effectively. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

can be integrated with existing risk assessments to better understand the characteristics of people

and neighborhoods that will likely suffer the most. It also provides a roadmap that can facilitate

community engagement to better understand needs of the community.

Academic literature and national guidance call for incorporating the considerations of

socially vulnerable populations into emergency planning. Understanding these social

vulnerabilities allows for inclusive plans and capabilities that can withstand and mitigate the

impacts of an incident and support community resilience (Chandra et al., 2011).

The complex interplay between social factors provides the most accurate picture of who

is more likely to experience higher exposure to post-incident impacts of emergencies (Levac,

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Toal-Sullivan, & O'Sullivan, 2012). Further, understanding the intricacies of these social factors

prevents assumptions about the vulnerability of people because they fit into one category. This

approach also helps to focus limited resources on where they are needed most. However, the

literature provides a long and complicated list of social vulnerability characteristics and

conditions. What is needed is a practical, evidence-informed strategy for public health

preparedness and emergency management practitioners to understand how social factors are all

related. This will guide engagement of the right people in the planning process, develop inclusive

plans, and equitably implement those plans.

Purpose

This research focuses on developing a replicable, practical approach to understanding the

complexity of social vulnerability in American cities for policy makers and emergency

management practitioners across all sectors of government and industry, particularly public

health emergency preparedness. The study was conducted in two phases.

The first phase of the research identifies the co-existence of social vulnerability

categories and the social, physical, economic, and psychological health impacts of exposure to

hazards. The goal was to develop a Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework that

focused on the characteristics of social vulnerability and their associated impacts. The

Framework helps to incorporate the diverse needs of socially vulnerable people into emergency

management planning through an inclusive planning process that supports self-determination,

respecting the fact that people are most knowledgeable about their needs. Emergency planners

can then apply this Framework to mitigation efforts such as risk assessments and community

resilience, as well as response and recovery efforts.

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The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can be applied to the unique

context of any city to explore the relationship between social factors. In this study, the Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework was applied to the City of Boston. The research

questions for both phases were: What are the socially vulnerable attributes that appear most

frequently in the literature? What are the relationships between these frequently occurring

attributes? Does the frequency and interrelationship represented in the literature exist in the City

of Boston? Which areas of Boston do we need to focus on for targeted mitigation, response, and

recovery planning?

Methods

In order to answer to the previous questions, this study uses a mixed methods approach in

two phases. First, a grounded theory approach was used to develop the Social Determinants of

Vulnerability Framework which shows the interrelationships between social factors to determine

which ones were most related to other social factors. Sixty-three social vulnerability attributes

and their relationships to other social factors were uploaded into TouchGraph Navigator, a link

analysis software. I used social network analysis logic to identify the relationships between each

social factor and associated social factors. This methodology identified co-occurrence and

frequency of co-occurrence across attributes. The result of this analysis is the Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework which depicts the co-existing socially factors on

which to focus mitigation, response, and recovery planning. The details of phase one are

represented in paper one which has been written for PLOS Currents: Disasters.

The second phase is the application of the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework to the City of Boston. This phase is documented in paper two which was written for

the International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. For each social condition or characteristic,

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the geospatial hot spots were identified. In order to compare the relationships in the literature to

the Boston data, a correlation analysis was conducted for social factors from the Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework at the city level and for each neighborhood. In order

to explore the relationship between social isolation and social vulnerability, I conducted a

regression analysis using social isolation as the dependent variable and the remaining social

factors from the Framework as the independent variables.

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

The first phase of the research was a qualitative link analysis based on the literature.

There were seven pre-incident social factors that seemed to be driving social vulnerability based

on the number of links to other pre-incident social factors: children, people with disabilities,

older adults, chronic and acute medical illness, social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of

color. These seven social conditions and characteristics are directly or indirectly connected to

six post-incident outcomes that further increase social vulnerability after emergencies.

Post-incident conditions represent the types of exposure people experience after an

emergency. There were a total of eight post-incident outcomes from the literature. Six of the

eight had at least one link to pre-incident conditions. Lack of access to post-incident services and

displacement were related to the largest number of pre-incident social characteristics. These two

post-incident outcomes are directly related to three of the most frequently occurring pre-incident

conditions: social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color. The other five post-incident

impacts are exposure to injury, illness, and death; property loss or damage; domestic violence;

and loss of employment.

Data collected for the seven pre-incident social conditions and characteristics in the

framework as well as five additional factors (limited English proficiency, renters, less than high

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school, women, and lack of vehicle) were analyzed for the City of Boston. In the City of Boston,

the neighborhoods that are likely to have the highest risk of poor outcomes were Mattapan,

Roxbury, and South Dorchester. These three neighborhoods had multiple census tracts with hot

spots for social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color which were all associated with

the post-incident outcomes in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework. Additionally,

in East Boston, Hyde Park, Mattapan, and Roxbury, social isolation is correlated with all of the

social determinants of vulnerability. This indicates that poor outcomes after emergencies are

likely. These neighborhoods deserve attention to their unique conditions by emergency

management practitioners.

Social Vulnerability and Social Isolation

During both phases of this research, social isolation was found to be a consistent

underlying social factor among the factors of social vulnerability. Social isolation has been

validated as being driven by social vulnerability via link analysis based on the literature,

correlation analysis (citywide and within neighborhoods), and regression analysis.

The regression analysis based on the census tract data for the City of Boston confirmed

the significance of the relationship between the social determinants of vulnerability and social

isolation. People with disabilities, children, older adults, low-to-no income, less than high school

education, people of color, women, and renters explained over 95 percent of the variation in

social isolation. People with limited English proficiency were highly correlated with each of the

eight social factors listed above.

Conclusion

The results of this research warrant a number of policy changes. Cities have to rethink

emergency management approaches to mitigation, response, and recovery planning and

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implementation. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework provides a tool that cities

can use to identify areas with higher concentrations of social factors that increase vulnerability,

develop relationships and inclusive emergency plans, and equitably execute those plans. A key

benefit of the Framework is that it includes all of the legally protected classes of people. By

including them in emergency planning, cities can reduce the likelihood of civil rights violations.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency has provided some guidance for those

receiving federal funding on protecting the civil rights after emergencies to prevent people being

denied or excluded from federally funded programs on the basis of race, color, national origin,

disability, age, economic status, or limited English proficiency. The U.S. Department of Health

and Human Services (HHS), which includes the Center for Disease Control and Prevention

(CDC), has also provided guidance on laws that are important during emergencies that affect

public health. However, the guidance does not include an explanation of the civil rights laws or

executive orders that protect people’s right to equitable access before, during, and after disasters.

Response efforts such as public information and warning, sheltering, and evacuation, are

emergency management programs offered by federally funded activities that must also prevent

exclusion for these protected classes. This includes mitigation efforts such as risk assessment,

community preparedness and resilience, and long term vulnerability reduction. Mitigation is

especially important because the actions taken before an emergency reduce the level of response

and recovery needed after an emergency.

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework provides FEMA, HHS, and

other federal agencies with an approach to inform guidance to cities that can improve their

ability to meet the diverse needs of people during all phases of an emergency. The Framework

offers cities a proactive approach to determine who is most vulnerable and take action to develop

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inclusive emergency plans. The following two publishable papers provide further details on the

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, its application to the City of Boston, and

recommendations for policy and strategy changes.

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References

Abkowitz, M. D. (2008). Opertional Risk Management: A Case Study Approach to Effective

Planning and Response. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Chandra, A., Acosta, J., Stern, S., Uscher-Pines, L., Williams, M. V., Yeung, D., . . . Meredith,

L. S. (2011). Building Community Relience to Disasters: A Way Forward to Enhance

National Health Security. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation.

Cutter, S. L., & Emrich, C. T. (2006). Moral Hazard, Social Catastrophe: The Changing Face of

Vulnerability along the Hurricane Coasts. Annals of the American Academy of Political

and Social Science, 604(1), 102-112.

Dwyer, A., Zoppou, C., Nielsen, O., Day, S., & Roberts, S. (2004). Quantifying Social

Vulnerability: A methodology for identifying those at risk to natural hazards. Geoscience

Australia Record, 2004/14.

Galea, S., Freudenberg, N., & Vlahov, D. (2005). Cities and population health. Social Science &

Medicine, 60(5), 1017-1033. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2004.06.036

Greenberger, M. (2007). Preparing Vulnerable Populations for Disaster: Inner-city Emergency

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Gustafsson, P. E., San Sebastian, M., Janlert, U., Theorell, T., Westerlund, H., & Hammarström,

A. (2014). Life-Course Accumulation of Neighborhood Disadvantage and Allostatic

Load: Empirical Integration of Three Social Determinants of Health Frameworks.

American Journal of Public Health, 104(5), 904-910.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2012). Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and

Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. In C. Field, V. Barros, T. Stocker, Q.

Dahe, D. J. Dodden, K. L. Ebi, M. D. Mastrandrea, K. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S. K. Allen,

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M. Tignor & P. Midgley (Eds.), Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on

Climate Change. New York.

Kailes, J. I., & Enders, A. (2007). Moving Beyond "Special Needs". Journal of Disability Policy

Studies, 17(4), 230-237.

Klinenberg, E. (1999). Denaturalizing disaster: A social autopsy of the 1995 Chicago Heat

Wave. Berkeley: University of California, Berkeley.

Klinenberg, E. (2002). Heat wave: a social autopsy of disaster in Chicago. Chicago: The

University of Chicago Press.

Levac, J., Toal-Sullivan, D., & O'Sullivan, T. L. (2012). Household emergency preparedness: a

literature review. J Community Health, 37(3), 725-733. doi: 10.1007/s10900-011-9488-x

Milligan & Company, L., ,. (2007). Transportation Equity in Emergencies: A Review of the

Practices of State Departments of Transportation, Metropolitan Planning Organizations,

and Transit Agencies in 20 Metropolitan Areas (Vol. 2014).

Pantell, M., Rehkopf, D., Jutte, D., Syme, S. L., Balmes, J., & Alder, N. (2013). Social Isolation:

A Predictor of Mortality Comparable to Traditional Clinical Risk Factors. American

Journal of Public Health, 103(11), 2056-2062.

Paulison, R. D. (2005). Civil Rights Program. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Homeland

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Pelling, M. (2003). Vulnerability in Cities. London: Earthscan Publications.

Sherry, J. M., Nishamarie, & Harkins, J. D., Anne Marie. (2011). Leveling the emergency

preparedness playing field. Journal of Emergency Management, 9(6), 11-16. doi:

10.5055/jem.2011.0075

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Swiss Reinsurance Company Ltd. (2013). Mind the Risk: A global ranking of cities under threat

from natural disasters. Zurich.

U.S. Census Bureau (Producer). (2013, August 11). Growth in Urban Population Outpaces Rest

of Nation, Census Bureau Reports. Census.gov. Retrieved from

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/2010_census/cb12-50.html

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2010). Public Health Workbook: To Define,

Locate, and Reach Special, Vulnerable, and At-Risk Populations in an Emergency.

Washington, D.C.

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the United States of America. Washington, D.C.

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Developing and Maintaining Emergency Operations Plans. Washington, D.C.

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the Development in Practice.

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Paper 1: Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Focusing Emergency Plans on the Needs of People in the American Cities

“Disasters fracture us along fault lines that already exist.” Jim Siemianowski, LICSW

Introduction

Over 80 percent of the U.S. population lives in cities that are dependent upon intricate

social and physical infrastructure, such as health and human services, public transportation, and

utility networks, such as water, electricity and telecommunications (Dwyer, Zoppou, Nielsen,

Day, & Roberts, 2004; Molin Valdes, Rego, Scott, & Aguayo, 2012; U.S. Census Bureau, 2013).

The potential for poor outcomes after disasters in cities is incredibly high as the result of the

complex infrastructure, higher density of people, and large numbers of socially vulnerable

populations (Galea, Freudenberg, & Vlahov, 2005; Pelling, 2003).

Experience has shown that individuals who can help themselves during and after a

disaster will usually do so. However, a disaster strains the limited capability and capacity of

some populations to effectively respond and recover. Their circumstances reduce their ability to

prepare for, cope with, and adapt to the impact of emergencies. Socially vulnerable people have

existing social circumstances generally associated with age, gender, race, family composition,

medical illness, disability, literacy, English proficiency, and social isolation (CDC, 2010).

Since 9/11, local municipalities have invested considerable time and financial resources

into planning for disasters. In spite of this, local governments have made little progress in

developing inclusive emergency plans to address the needs of all residents. In order to be fully

prepared, local governments need to develop inclusive emergency plans that address the needs of

people who will likely need more assistance.

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Problem Background

There are many barriers to inclusive preparedness: (1) There is the false notion that

preparedness is exclusively an individual responsibility, (2) cities do not have clear guidance on

how to achieve inclusive planning, (3) there is limited understanding of the way social

vulnerability factors are related to one another, and (4) there is a limited understanding of civil

rights protections afforded to certain socially vulnerable populations.

There is a perception that preparedness and resilience is solely a personal trait (Mohaupt,

2009). This attitude leads to lecturing people on all the plans, supplies, knowledge they need to

have regardless of their capacity or capability to obtain them. It leads to passing judgment only

on people and not holding the local government accountable for their role. For example,

practitioners often question why people in New Orleans did not evacuate before Hurricane

Katrina. They knew it was coming, right? However, research has shown that many people did

not evacuate because the messages warning them were not clear and accessible; or they did not

have the resources or physical ability to leave (Milligan & Company, 2007). Socially vulnerable

populations are often not in a position to do all of the things emergency management expects of

them without assistance. Further, the assistance local jurisdiction provides has to reach them and

meet their actual needs.

Federal guidance and research indicates that resilience is a shared process among

individuals, communities, and government. The national planning frameworks for mitigation,

response, and recovery identify local government as being ultimately responsible for building

preparedness in partnership with the community. City leadership has to deal with the impact of

emergencies regardless of how large or small (Molin Valdes et al., 2012). There is an

opportunity for cities to partner with constituents, particularly vulnerable populations, to develop

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informed plans that will meet their needs and improve physical, mental, and economic health

outcomes.

Another reason local emergency planners are limited in their ability to develop inclusive

plans is because they are overwhelmed with long lists of people who may be considered

vulnerable. If so many people are considered vulnerable, where and how does a practitioner

focus on those who are most vulnerable? At the other end of the spectrum, some practitioners

have taken a hyper-focused approach and have limited their inclusive planning efforts to a

narrow group of people. In many cases, the group they tend to focus on is people with

disabilities. This choice is often made because other cities have been sued for not including

people with disabilities. Also, there has been a significant amount of guidance from disability

advocates and the federal government on how to accommodate people with disabilities. The

result of exclusive planning occurs whether there is a laundry list of social vulnerability factors

that cannot be operationalized or cities are focusing on a very specific group of people.

Each category of social vulnerability presents challenges for people. However, it is the

interaction of these social factors that intensifies vulnerability. This overlap exponentially

increases the level of exposure to risk and suffering such as injury, death, illness, and difficult

recoveries (Morrow, 1999). Many of the categories of people considered socially vulnerable are

protected by multiple civil rights laws and federal guidance. However, local jurisdictions do not

seem to understand that these laws apply to all of their emergency management activities, from

mitigation to recovery.

Purpose

The goal of this project is to identify individuals with the greatest vulnerability to

disasters and to help emergency management and public health preparedness practitioners to take

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appropriate actions during the mitigation, response and recovery phases of emergencies. In order

to better understand the social characteristics that increase vulnerability, I developed the Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework. The Framework is based on a link analysis of social

factors of vulnerability found in the literature.

The link analysis identified seven pre-disaster social factors: children, people with

disabilities, older adults, chronic and acute medical illness, social isolation, low-to-no income,

and people of color. While each factor alone may present challenges for individuals, the

interaction of these social factors intensifies vulnerability. People with these pre-disaster factors

are more likely to be exposed to post-incident outcomes such as injury, illness, and death;

displacement; limited access to post-emergency services; domestic violence; loss of

employment, and property damage.

Local emergency planners can use the Framework to: (1) map pre-incident social factors

and determine the high concentration areas and include it into risk assessments; (2) understand

how each of the factors are related to others; (3) develop outreach plans to partner with those

communities, (4) conduct an inclusive emergency planning process; and (5) equitably execute

the plans in the response and recovery phases based on the links between social vulnerability and

post-incident outcomes. By using the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, local

emergency management and public health preparedness planners can reduce the potential public

health and safety consequences of these disasters.

Since the Framework includes categories of people explicitly protected by civil rights

laws, local governments can reduce the likelihood of infringing on the rights of those groups

during mitigation, response, and recovery. Further, local government will uphold the fourth pillar

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of public administration, social equity in services, which means the people who have the greatest

need receive the requisite services (Norman-Major, 2011).

Without the proper analysis, it is easy to make false assumptions about the characteristics

of people because they belong to one of the at-risk groups. Unfortunately, this is the current state

of the discussion on social vulnerability in emergency management. Members of individual

population groups are not equally vulnerable, nor are they merely victims. They are part of

communities with many strengths that can support inclusive planning. There are many

circumstances that enable people to assist in some situations but require assistance in others

(Flanagan, Gregory, Hallisey, Heitgerd, & Lewis, 2011). Social vulnerability is not static and can

be reduced if we commit to engage and strengthen institutional and individual capacity to cope

and act to reduce risk (Molin Valdes et al., 2012).

This research does not focus on specific types of hazards or identifying the areas that are

exposed to hazards. There has been a significant amount of research on hazards and their

impacts. Social vulnerability exists in spite of hazards or where they impact. Planners can use the

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to inform existing risk and hazard analyses and

include the needs of people exposed to hazards into the planning process.

Research Questions

This research focuses on identifying the co-existence of social vulnerability categories

and the social, physical, economic, and psychological health impacts of emergencies. The

research questions are: What are the relationships between the characteristics of social

vulnerability? Which ones have the highest number of links to other characteristics of social

vulnerability? The result of the analysis was used to develop the Social Determinants of

Vulnerability Framework to inform mitigation, response, and recovery efforts to ensure the

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diverse needs of socially vulnerable people are incorporated into emergency management

planning.

Literature Review

Existing literature does not take into account the manner in which social vulnerability

factors are often compounded to produce negative consequences associated with high risk. The

sheer volume and unclear relationships among social factors becomes a practical challenge to

identifying vulnerable populations within a community and developing strategies to reduce their

exposure to public health and safety consequences of emergencies.

Social Vulnerability, Social Isolation, and the Impacts

Social vulnerability is the result of pre-emergency social factors that create a lack of

capacity or capability to prepare for, response to, and recover from emergencies. Social

vulnerability includes people who are more likely to suffer disproportionately because of their

existing social circumstances such as those associated with age, gender, race, medical illness,

disability, literacy, and English proficiency, and social isolation (CDC, 2010). Their

circumstances increase the likelihood of social isolation, which is a lack of engagement in social

ties, institutional connections, or community participation (Pantell, Rehkopf, Jutte, Syme,

Balmes, & Adler, 2013; Seeman, 1996). Social isolation in daily life or post-disaster is directly

correlated with higher mortality (Klinenberg, 2002; Pantell, Rehkopf, Jutte, Syme, Balmes, &

Alder, 2013).

Socially vulnerable people experience high levels of adversity in their daily lives. The

higher amount of stressors on a regular basis significantly increases the use of physiological

responses that wear the body down over time (Logan & Barksdale, 2008). The sum of exposure

to chronic stressors over time and repeated heightened physiological response is referred to as

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allostatic load (Ganzel, Morris, & Wethington, 2010). Allostatic load is a framework for the

collective cognitive and physical deterioration the body experiences because of continual

exposures to stressors during the life course. The more stress people experience the quicker and

more significantly their physical and mental health is worn down. There is increasing evidence

that the cost to the body from allostatic load interferes with people’s ability to adapt to future

stressors (Ganzel et al., 2010). Additionally, allostatic load has been considered the biological

link that explains disparities in mortality and morbidity based on social conditions and

characteristics (Gustafsson et al., 2014).

Chronic stressors cumulatively reduce the physical and psychosocial resilience of

vulnerable people in our communities. An acute stressor, such as a disaster, can deplete any

remaining physical and psychosocial resilience. Additionally, when interactions with the

institutions that are supposed to be there to help are not supportive, there is an immediate

physical reaction that contributes to poor health (Seeman, 1996). Without consideration for

social conditions of communities in emergency plans, municipalities contribute to the problem

and cause unnecessary additional suffering and poor recovery outcomes. However, there are

protective factors that help people cope with adversity and reduce social isolation. Protective

factors include building neighborhood social connections and improving access to government,

community, and private services before and after an emergency (Mohaupt, 2009).

City Government Roles and Responsibilities

The National Response Framework indicates that “[m]ost incidents begin and end at the

local level” (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2013b, p. 6). In fact, the National

Mitigation Planning Framework has identified local governments as having the largest number of

roles and responsibilities that advance mitigation (U.S. Department of Homeland Security,

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2013a). The National Disaster Recovery Framework states that leadership is provided locally for

any support from federal agencies during recovery efforts (Federal Emergency Management

Agency, 2011). In all emergency management mission areas, local government is ultimately

responsible for emergency planning to meet the diverse needs of people. However, local

governments have been slow to engage diverse communities and incorporate their needs into

mitigation, response, and recovery planning.

Inclusive planning is also a matter of national health security (U.S. Department of Health

and Human Services, 2009). The National Health Security Strategy focuses on the nation’s goal

to protect people’s health in the case of any incident that puts health and well-being at risk.

When enacted in December 2006, Pandemic and All Hands Preparedness Act required the U.S.

Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) “to integrate the needs of at-risk individuals

on all levels of emergency planning, ensuring the effective incorporation of at-risk populations

into existing and future policy, planning, and programmatic documents.” National emergency

management and public health preparedness guidance emphasize leadership at the local

government level and the importance of inclusive planning.

However, existing emergency management efforts often result in municipalities preparing

to support a homogenous community during large-scale emergency or disaster without

accounting for the complex interaction of social, physical, and hazard environments (U.S.

Department of Homeland Security, 2010a). At a minimum, emergency plans acknowledge some

of these populations exist. However, there is a lack of clear explanation on how emergency

management plans will address the needs of vulnerable populations. These plans are designed for

people who can walk, run, drive, see, hear, pay, and quickly respond to directions (Greenberger,

2007; Kailes & Enders, 2007). The assumptions do not align with the reality that at least half of

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the American population could be considered vulnerable to disasters because of their existing

social circumstances (Kailes & Enders, 2007).

The Ignored Legal Imperatives

Although this research project does not focus on the legal aspects of social vulnerability

and emergency management, it is an important component of policy and planning realities.

Emergency managers in cities have been motivated to take action to make reasonable attempts to

accommodate people with disabilities out of fear that they will be sued based on the Americans

with Disabilities Act violations. This fear is based on Los Angeles and New York City being

sued for lack of ADA compliance in their emergency plans (Sherry & Harkins, 2011). However,

there are legal imperatives for other social characteristics and conditions. Cities should not wait

for civil rights advocates to bring suit in order to begin to include the diverse needs of people in

emergency plans. Precedent or prevalence of lawsuits should not ggyuide adherence to

accommodating the needs of the communities we serve. A healthy respect for the letter and spirit

of the law should be enough.

Civil rights statutes, including Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, Section 504 and

508 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973, the Age Discrimination Act of 1975, the 1968 Fair

Housing Act, and Sections 308-309 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency

Assistance Act of 1988 (as amended) provide that persons in the United States shall not be

denied the benefits of, excluded from participation in, or subject to discrimination under

federally funded programs or activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, disability, age,

or economic status (Milligan & Company, 2007; Paulison, 2005). Additionally, following the

August 11, 2000 passage of Executive Order 13166, “Improving Access to Services for Persons

with Limited English Proficiency,” people with limited English proficiency qualify for the same

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anti-discrimination protection designated for race, color, or national origin under Title VI of the

Civil Rights Act (U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010).

Protecting the rights of all people extends through the recovery phase. Section 308 of the

Robert T. Stafford Emergency Management and Disaster Assistance Act reinforces the

prohibition of discrimination on the basis of race, color, religion, disability, nationality, sex,

English Proficiency, age, or economic status with regard to disaster assistance programs. Rights

relevant to recovery are also protected under the 1968 Fair Housing Act. Despite the existence of

these laws, there have been documented violations of civil rights statutes after disasters (Muñiz,

2006). The provision of accessible and appropriate recovery services is not charity, but a human

right recognized by the United Nations (Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement, 2008)

and protected by the previously mentioned laws and directives. Social equity is one of the four

pillars of public administration but is still not practiced as a standard for the manner in which the

government provides all services (Norman-Major, 2011), including mitigation, response, and

recovery in emergency management.

The goal of developing the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is to identify

the interrelationships of social factors that increase vulnerability to better understand the needs of

the community, focus limited resources on those who need them most, and help protect the rights

of all people cities are supposed to serve.

Methodology

The data used were based on existing social vulnerability literature, which still has some

gaps in the populations that have been studied. For example, there was limited literature

regarding the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgendered populations and their increased

vulnerability as it relates to other social conditions.

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The Framework was developed using link analysis or network analysis to facilitate a

grounded theory approach. This process is similar to social network analysis and is beneficial

because of its ability to reveal patterns in complex data that would be undetectable using other

analytic approaches (Knobel, 2013). The co-occurrence of social factors across the literature was

modeled using the TouchGraph Navigator, a link analysis software, to identify the frequency and

strength of relationships between variables.

The literature indicated that vulnerabilities exist based upon pre-incident social

circumstances. Some of the literature also provided insight into the post-incident outcomes from

disaster exposure that socially vulnerable people are more likely to face because of their existing

social circumstances. The initial categories used to identify pre-incident variables included age,

race, income, household composition, family composition, housing type, disease/illness, access,

language and literacy, non-residents, gender, and disability (Cutter & Emrich, 2006; Kailes &

Enders, 2007; U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010). These categories helped

to guide the literature review to compile a list of 63 social vulnerability attributes relevant to

cities.

Categories for post-incident outcomes included exposure to injury, death, illness,

property damage, losing a love ones, losing a business, or limited access to recovery services

(Isaranuwatchai, Coyte, McKenzie, & Noh, 2013). These outcomes were extracted from a

literature review and provide an organizational structure that can capture the multiple categories

of vulnerability in to which a person can fall (See Appendix A for a full list).

Each of the 63 social attributes or factors was researched to identify in the literature the

related social characteristics that (1) increase vulnerability or (2) often coincide with the 63

social factors. Understanding the co-occurrence of socially vulnerable characteristics was an

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inductive process. The measures and respective attributes evolved based on the results of the

literature review. The data collected for each attribute was organized in an Excel spreadsheet

utilizing a codebook and inductive reasoning (see Appendix B). The spreadsheet was uploaded

into the TouchGraph Navigator software to identify the relationships between all of the

categories from the collected data.

The link analysis resulted in four types of nodes that represented the 63 factors of social

vulnerability with which I started, the sources for each of the social conditions, the subsequent

characteristics related to those attributes, and sources for the related characteristics (See

Appendix C). The relationships or links between the previously mentioned nodes were primary

attribute to primary attributes sources (the relationship between the 63 factors and the sources of

the data that identified them as socially vulnerable), associated characteristics to associated

attributes sources (the relationship between the social factors associated with the 63 primary

attributes and their sources), and primary attributes to associated characteristics (the relationship

between the 63 social factors and associated social factors).

This methodology identified co-occurrence and frequency of co-occurrence across

attributes. The result of the literature review and link analysis is the Social Determinants of

Vulnerability Framework which depicts (1) the co-existing, pre-incident socially vulnerable

characteristics and (2) the associated post-incident outcomes. (See Appendix D)

Findings and Results

There were seven pre-incident social factors that seemed to be driving social vulnerability

based on the number of links to other pre-incident factors. These seven social conditions are

directly or indirectly connected to the six post-incident outcomes that perpetuate social

vulnerability. A key concept to keep in mind is that people in any one category are not

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necessarily vulnerable. Based on this analysis, it is primarily the presence of social isolation in

conjunction with any of the other categories that increases vulnerability.

Pre-Incident Attributes

Pre-incident social conditions represent the existing social vulnerability of people in

cities. These social factors are based on a review of purposively selected literature regarding

social vulnerability primarily in the context of emergencies or health. There were a total of 63

social factors. The social characteristics that had ten or more associated social factors became

part of the framework: chronic and acute medical illness, people of color, low-to-no income,

children, older adults, people with disabilities, and social isolation. These seven social factors,

outlined below, appear in the resultant Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework.

Chronic and Acute Medical Illness. The most socially vulnerable people with chronic or

acute medical illnesses were low-to-no income older adults with a disability. Based on the

literature, the following categories also increased the vulnerability of people with chronic and

acute medical illnesses: alcohol dependency, assisted living facilities, drug dependency, group

homes, homebound, homeless, nursing home, psychological illness, residential care facilities,

and social isolation.

People of Color. People of color were linked to ten other social factors. People of color

who are most vulnerable are socially isolated and low-to-no income. Furthermore, people of

color with those characteristics are more likely to experience displacement after an emergency.

The literature also identified vulnerable people of color being associated with: children, lack of

health insurance, and multi-story buildings or multi-unit buildings. People of color was a

category that the literature also referred to as minorities and often times was inconsistent with

specifying specific categories or generalizing across all people of color, so I combined all

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instances into people of color while maintaining the individual categories to capture any nuances

in considerations for specific communities.

Low-to-No Income. People with no-to-low income were also linked to all other social

conditions in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework. This indicates that low-to-no-

income is a characteristic that consistently compounds risk. Furthermore, it was also linked to

homelessness; lack of healthcare; lack of vehicle; lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender people;

being a primary/sole caregiver or single parent; and women. The low-to-no income data

represents a calculated field that combines those who are 100 percent below the poverty level

and those who are 100 to 149 percent of the poverty level.

Children. Although children had many social characteristics associated with it (12), it

had the least that were linked to other social factors in the Framework. The children who seemed

to be most vulnerable were socially isolated, low-income, limited English proficient, and were

people of color. It should be noted that children are particularly vulnerable because in addition to

their own circumstances, they are also impacted by the circumstances of the adults providing for

their care (Shi & Stevens, 2010).

Older Adults. Older adults were most vulnerable when they were socially isolated, low-

to-no income, and had a disability. There were a total of 16 factors of social vulnerability

associated with older adults. Most of the literature considered older adults 65 and older.

People with Disabilities. The most vulnerable people with disabilities were those who

were older adults. Like people of color, people with disabilities was a category that the literature

often times was inconsistent with specifying categories or generalizing across all types of

disabilities, so I combined all instances into people with disabilities and maintained the

individual categories to capture any nuances in considerations for specific types of disabilities.

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Social Isolation. Social isolation refers to a lack of engagement in social ties,

institutional connections, or community participation (Pantell, Rehkopf, Jutte, Syme, Balmes, &

Adler, 2013; Seeman, 1996). Social isolation had the largest number of links to other factors of

vulnerability. It was connected to all other social determinants of vulnerability in the Framework

through multiple social factors. This indicates that it has the highest centrality to all socially

vulnerable populations. Based on the literature and the results of this analysis, social isolation is

the most consistent contributor to social vulnerability.

Post-Incident Outcomes

Socially vulnerable people are disproportionately exposed to the daily adversities. This

constant exposure to stressors deteriorates their physical and cognitive health resulting in a

comparatively higher allostatic load. Allostatic load is the sum of the body’s reactions to

stressful events. The types of exposures people experience in their lives before an emergency

that increase allostatic load include: illness directly or to a parent or caregiver; residential

instability (this includes displacement); death or illness of a close loved one; social isolation;

limited opportunity to make their own decisions (low-decision latitude); and threat or violence

(Gustafsson et al., 2014). The results of this research indicate that many of the same stressors

people are exposed to before an emergency that increase poor physical and cognitive health

outcomes are the same as the stressors socially vulnerable people are likely to face after an

emergency.

Post-incident outcomes represent the types of impacts from an emergency or disaster

people may experience. There were a total of eight post-incident outcomes from the literature.

Six of the eight had at least one link to pre-incident social conditions: access to post-incident

services; displacement; injury, illness, and death; loss of employment; property damage; and

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domestic violence. These post-incident consequences were directly or indirectly related to all of

the pre-incident social factors in the Framework. However, they were most significantly related

to three of them: social isolation, low-to-no income (had the most links to post-incident

outcomes), and people of color.

Analysis and Synthesis

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework provides cities with a way to base

mitigation, response, and recovery mission areas on the needs of people in their jurisdiction.

Local emergency management analysis, planning, decision-making, and assignment of available

resources must be equitable and respect the human rights of constituents. Exclusion of socially

vulnerable populations in any of the emergency management mission areas, whether intentional

or not, may be a violation of civil rights. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

supports urban areas to reduce the likelihood of excluding the most vulnerable populations while

respecting the complexity of their social circumstances.

Emergency Management Core Capabilities

The Federal Emergency Management Agency has identified core capabilities that apply

to prevention, protection, mitigation, response, and recovery. Federal, state, and local entities are

supposed to be able to collectively build and deliver these capabilities in partnership with

communities (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2011). The focus of this research has been

on the capabilities associated with mitigation, response, and recovery.

Mitigation. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has included seven core

capabilities in the mitigation mission area. I am going to focus on the ones most related to the

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: risk and disaster resilience assessment,

community resilience, and long term vulnerability reduction. Mitigation is “the thread that

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permeates the fabric of preparedness” and is intended to minimize the risks associated with

threats and hazards (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2013a, p. 6). Effective mitigation

starts with a risk assessment to identify the threats and hazards a community faces and determine

the associated vulnerabilities and consequences (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2013a).

Assessing risk and disaster resilience allows decision makers, responders, and community

members to take informed action to reduce their risk and increase their resilience (U.S.

Department of Homeland Security, 2013a).

Vulnerability is a factor of risk representing the susceptibility of a community to the

impact of hazards as determined by four domains: social, physical, economic, and environmental

(Chandra et al., 2011; United Nations Office for Disaster Reduction, 2005). Social vulnerability

is the susceptibility of social groups to the impacts of hazards such as suffering disproportionate

death, injury, loss, or disruption of livelihood; as well as their resiliency, or ability to adequately

recover from the impacts (Cutter & Emrich, 2006; Wisner & Handmer, 1999). This

susceptibility is a function of the demographic characteristics of the population as well as more

complex conditions such as health care provision, social capital, and access to lifelines (Cutter &

Emrich, 2006). However, social vulnerability is often not a consideration as part of traditional

risk assessments, which inform all emergency management mission areas. Consequently, the

most foundational aspect of mitigation, response, and recovery begins with excluding

considerations for how social vulnerability will be addressed. So a key question is how do we

incorporate social vulnerability into risk, which is the foundation of mitigation?

The United Nations (UN) has promoted a promising risk-based framework for making

cities more resilient (Dickson, Baker, & Hoornweg, 2012) that is consistent with other risk

frameworks. This approach to risk is promising because it includes an often forgotten element, a

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socioeconomic assessment. The incorporation of this type of assessment includes the social

dimensions of vulnerability. The social conditions in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework can be used as the factors considered for assessing the social dimension of risk in

American cities. The Framework identifies the relationship between the pre-incident social

conditions and the post-incident outcomes. We cannot control all the reasons people are socially

vulnerable, the occurrence of all disasters, or all of the post-incident suffering. However, we can

affect social isolation, which is the most central socially vulnerable factor.

Social isolation is the product of a lack of social justice and social capital which are both

important aspects of resilience (Chandra et al., 2011). Social justice, social equity, and social

capital are related concepts. Social justice means the institutions serving the community enable

them to contribute to decisions about their community and prevent inequality. Social equity

means people get what is right for them. Social capital is the relationships people have with each

other, their community, and institutions.

Practical approaches to improving community preparedness, and therefore resilience,

include connecting socially vulnerable people with others in their communities as well as

government and community organizations that provide services meant to improve their well-

being and quality of life. This is one of the reasons involving public health preparedness is key to

successful emergency preparedness efforts: Every day, urban public health focuses on

connecting vulnerable populations with resources to promote their overall health and well-being.

All of the previously-mentioned actions represent increased efforts to move towards social equity

in urban emergency management and are key elements of long-term vulnerability reduction.

Thus, social justice and social capital are fostered to reduce the negative public health impact of

social vulnerability and overall risk before, during, and after emergencies (Durant, 2011).

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Community resilience is an end state of effective risk management (U.S. Department of

Homeland Security, 2013a), which is a foundational component of mitigation. The key aspects of

community resilience are leadership, collaboration, partnership building, and education and skills

building (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2013a). Cities can lead collaborations with

community partners to customize community education and training based on the populations in

different neighborhoods. Instead of lecturing about what people should have and do, cities and

community partners can provide opportunities for diverse populations to work together to

collectively have supplies and develop plans within their capability and capacity. By focusing on

the resilience of the whole community, especially those who are most socially vulnerable, the

community’s adaptive capacity to recover from all types of change is enhanced regardless of the

threat or hazard. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can support local planners

in focusing risk and resilience efforts on being inclusive and accounting for the complexity of the

social conditions of people thereby contributing to long-term vulnerability reduction.

Response. Key core capabilities within the response mission area that have the most

implications for socially vulnerable populations are public information and warning, mass care

services, and critical transportation. “[T]raditional methods of communicating health and

emergency information often fall short of the goal of reaching everyone in a community” (U.S.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010, p. 4). Public information and warning is one

of the national core capabilities and has three distinct elements: quality (coordinated, prompt,

reliable, and actionable, clear, consistent), accessibility (accessible, culturally and linguistically

appropriate methods), and purpose or content (information regarding any threat or hazard,

actions being taken, and the assistance being made available, as appropriate) (U.S. Department

of Homeland Security, 2011). The Social Determinants of Vulnerability will help local

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government customize messaging to target people in their community normally excluded from

important communications. Targeted outreach and messaging has been successfully employed by

the private sector and political campaigns to customize messages and modes of communication

based on the target groups they are trying to reach (Issenberg, 2012).

Mass care services is the capability to provide “…life-sustaining services to the affected

population with a focus on hydration, feeding, and sheltering to those who have the most need,

as well as support for reunifying families” (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2011, p. 13).

Additionally, Functional Needs Support Services (FNSS) enable individuals to maintain their

independence in a general population shelter (Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2010).

Mass cares services should be prepared to support displaced people who have pre-

incident factors in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, particularly low-to-no

income, older adults, people of color, and those who are socially isolated. The literature was

limited in research on the relationship between homelessness and other social characteristics of

vulnerability. Consequently, homelessness did not have the number of connections to other

social conditions to include it in the framework. Homelessness was related to post-incident

displacement and therefore warranted being included in the considerations for accessibility of

mass care services. After emergencies, cities should also consider reaching out to populations

that are associated with having a lack of access to post-incident services such as the people

without vehicles who rent and live in multi-story or multi-unit buildings, particularly those who

are low-income and people of color (Fothergill & Peek, 2004; U.S. Centers for Disease Control

and Prevention, 2010).

The critical transportation core capability “provides transportation (including

infrastructure access and accessible transportation services) for response priority objectives,

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including the evacuation of people and animals, and the delivery of vital response personnel,

equipment, and services into the affected areas” (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2011,

p. 12). The original national capabilities, called the Target Capabilities List, combined critical

transportation and mass care services into a single capability referred to as citizen evacuation and

shelter-in-place. It provided a much more people-focused context:

“…the capability to prepare for, ensure communication of, and immediately execute the

safe and effective sheltering-in-place of an at-risk population (and companion animals), and/or

the organized and managed evacuation of the at-risk population (and companion animals) to

areas of safe refuge in response to a potentially or actually dangerous environment. In addition,

this capability involves the safe reentry of the population where feasible” (U.S. Department of

Homeland Security, 2007, p. 377).

There are significant logistical considerations with regard to sheltering and evacuating

people, particularly those who are most vulnerable. Estimates for the percentage of Americans

with a disability ranges from 19 to 30% with over 10 million people that have a vision disability

–blind, low vision, deaf/blind – and cannot see a map on television that shows them evacuation

routes (Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2011a). The ability to evacuate people

includes the need for public information and warning and mass care services capabilities.

Since most Americans live in urban areas, they need fewer cars, have better public

transit, can share cars, and accomplish more trips with walking (Addison, 2010). Additionally,

“[m]any physically and economically disadvantaged people depend on public transportation to

access to medical services and obtain healthy, affordable food” (Litman, 2010, p. 1). The lack of

vehicles and dependence on public transportation means there are more people who may need

support to evacuate from cities.

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The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework does not include people without

vehicles. However, the condition of people without vehicles was related to social isolation,

limited access to post-incident services, low-to-no income, older adults, and people with

disabilities, all of which are part of the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework. The

Framework accounts for people without vehicles through the relationship with other social

conditions listed above.

Recovery. As a community begins to rebuild and create a new normal, capabilities that

have implications for socially vulnerable populations include health and social services, housing,

and economic recovery. Health and social services is the restoration and improvement of health

and social services networks to promote the resilience, independence, health (including

behavioral health), and well-being of the whole community (U.S. Department of Homeland

Security, 2011). This capability includes considerations for restoration of health and social

services based on at-risk individuals. FEMA attempted to define at-risk individuals, but only

included children, people with disabilities, limited English proficiency, and people with access

and functional needs, which was originally a reference to people with disabilities (Kailes &

Enders, 2007) that FEMA has adapted to encompass a larger but more nebulous range of socially

vulnerable populations. The challenge with the terminology of access and functional needs is that

it only focuses on the needs of some people after emergencies (there are no considerations for

low-income, people of color, socially isolated, among others) and the context is predominantly

about evacuation and sheltering.

Ideally, emergency plans exist for populations who need the most support and resources

to ensure they are safely evacuated or sheltered (Federal Emergency Management Agency,

2009). However, “…our country has yet to address the long-term affects disasters can have on

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families and individuals who suffer through them” (Hansell, 2009, p. ). An example Hansell

provided was that after Hurricane Katrina, there was no plan in place to properly support the

return of Louisiana’s citizens to their homes or to provide for the needs of residents once they

arrived. As a result, thousands of the most vulnerable populations continue to suffer a long

recovery process.

The analysis that resulted in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

indicates that socially vulnerable populations have multiple obstacles to accessing post-incident

resources and benefits made available as part of the recovery process. These barriers including

being a renter, lack of access to a vehicle, being homeless, low-to-no income, older adults,

person of color (particularly Latino/Hispanic), and social isolation. The Framework provides a

straightforward and clear method for local government to identify people who are most

vulnerable to focus outreach and make better decisions about the provision of human services as

well as housing and economic recovery. This approach will help reduce the likelihood of

prohibited housing discrimination and inequity in economic stabilization of communities as

witnessed post-Katrina (Muñiz, 2006).

This research outlines social factors that result in a higher pre-incident allostatic load (the

sum of the physical and mental health impacts from stressful or traumatic events). Culturally

appropriate trauma response and mental health services should be made available to help

normalize their acute stress reactions and provide coping strategies to reduce the likelihood of

post-traumatic stress syndrome and other mental health illness. This is a post-incident mitigation

strategy that will improve their ability to deal with the cumulative stressors in their daily lives.

Relatedly, people should be provided with post-incident human services that are trauma

informed and help people address their needs associated with the emergency, and put people in a

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position to improve their pre-disaster circumstances. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework can be used to focus recovery efforts to improve access to human services for all

members of the community.

Legal Compliance and Assistance

The exclusion, or at least the lack of inclusion, of socially vulnerable people does not

seem to be a deliberate action by local jurisdictions. It appears to be a lack of resources and

education about the responsibility of a city to develop, implement, and execute plans to mitigate,

respond, and recover in a manner that does not exclude people from the planning process and

accessing resources. The FEMA Civil Rights Program Director’s Policy issued in 2005 prohibits

organizations receiving funding from FEMA from denying the benefits of or participation in said

programs or activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, or

economic status. However, it only explicitly focuses on disaster assistance functions in the

aftermath of an incident.

The plans, trainings, and exercises for response and recovery are based on the results of

the pre-incident mitigation capabilities, particularly risk and risk assessment, community

resilience, and long term vulnerability reduction capabilities. It would be beneficial to local

jurisdictions for FEMA to explain with more detailed guidance that pre-incident assessments and

planning for mitigation, response, and recovery are activities that have to be inclusive. Technical

assistance would be helpful for jurisdictions to assess their planning processes and the resultant

plans to develop a realistic set of corrective action steps to be more inclusive. The Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework at a minimum provides social conditions to consider

for inclusive planning, but more significantly, is a guide that municipalities can use to identify

the social circumstances and the corresponding neighborhoods within their jurisdiction with

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which they can build stronger relationships and partnerships to facilitate more inclusive planning

processes and plans.

Social vulnerability encompasses the physical, psychological, social, and economic

considerations of pre-incident planning and post-incident impacts on people. These are the key

focus areas for the public health role in emergency management. It would be helpful if FEMA

coordinated with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, including the Center for

Disease Control and Preventions, to align language and guidance for public health and

emergency management collaboration. Currently, the Public Health Preparedness Capabilities:

National Standards for State and Local Planning provides the context for the public health role in

emergency management (U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2011).

However, it was developed based on the former Target Capabilities List (TCL), which FEMA

has since stopped using in favor of the core capabilities. A public health preparedness

practitioner has to do a crosswalk from the Public Health Preparedness Capabilities to the TCL

and then from the TCL to the core capabilities in order to align their terminology and work with

their emergency management colleagues. Similarly, the National Health Security Strategy

(NHSS) provides a comprehensive vision for protecting people’s health in an emergency based

on the nation’s goals for resilient communities and strong public health and healthcare systems

response and recovery systems (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 2009). The

NHSS is a comprehensive attempt to bring together the role of community resilience at the

individual, organizational, and government levels as well as emergency management and

considerations for at-risk populations. Unfortunately, the NHSS is also based on the Target

Capabilities List. The lack of alignment between guidance for emergency management and

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public health is clearly an impediment for their ability to collaboratively improve inclusive

emergency planning.

Furthermore, partnerships between regional FEMA offices, the state, and cities should be

formalized to conduct social vulnerability analysis and inform whole community outreach and

planning strategies. This way, FEMA can work with cities to develop and implement strategies

with local agencies such as civic, community, faith-based, and private sector organizations, to

facilitate inclusive emergency planning. As part of the grant process for FEMA programs,

jurisdictions should have to conduct a social vulnerability analysis, assess existing plans based

on the results, and demonstrate the manner in which they are incrementally addressing the

identified corrective actions for community inclusiveness and engagement. The exclusion, or at

least the lack of inclusion, of socially vulnerable people does not seem to be a deliberate action

by local jurisdictions. It appears to be a lack of resources and education about the responsibility

of a city to develop, implement, and execute plans to mitigate, respond, and recover in a manner

that does not exclude people from the planning process and accessing resources. The FEMA

Civil Rights Program Director’s Policy issued in 2005 prohibits organizations receiving funding

from FEMA from denying the benefits of or participation in said programs or activities on the

basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, or economic status. However, it

only explicitly focuses on disaster assistance functions in the aftermath of an incident.

The plans, trainings, and exercises for response and recovery are based on the results of

the pre-incident mitigation capabilities, particularly risk and risk assessment, community

resilience, and long term vulnerability reduction capabilities. It would be beneficial to local

jurisdictions for FEMA to explain with more detailed guidance that pre-incident assessments and

planning for mitigation, response, and recovery are activities that have to be inclusive. Technical

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assistance would be helpful for jurisdictions to assess their planning processes and the resultant

plans to develop a realistic set of corrective action steps to be more inclusive. The Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework at a minimum provides social conditions to consider

for inclusive planning, but more significantly, is a guide that municipalities can use to identify

the social circumstances and the corresponding neighborhoods within their jurisdiction with

which they can build stronger relationships and partnerships to facilitate more inclusive planning

processes and plans.

Social vulnerability encompasses the physical, psychological, social, and economic

considerations of pre-incident planning and post-incident impacts on people. These are the key

focus areas for the public health role in emergency management. It would be helpful if FEMA

coordinated with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, including the Center for

Disease Control and Preventions, to align language and guidance for public health and

emergency management collaboration. Currently, the Public Health Preparedness Capabilities:

National Standards for State and Local Planning provides the context for the public health role in

emergency management (U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2011).

However, it was developed based on the former Target Capabilities List (TCL), which FEMA

has since stopped using in favor of the core capabilities. A public health preparedness

practitioner has to do a crosswalk from the Public Health Preparedness Capabilities to the TCL

and then from the TCL to the core capabilities in order to align their terminology and work with

their emergency management colleagues. Similarly, the National Health Security Strategy

(NHSS) provides a comprehensive vision for protecting people’s health in an emergency based

on the nation’s goals for resilient communities and strong public health and healthcare systems

response and recovery systems (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 2009). The

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NHSS is a comprehensive attempt to bring together the role of community resilience at the

individual, organizational, and government levels as well as emergency management and

considerations for at-risk populations. Unfortunately, the NHSS is also based on the Target

Capabilities List. The lack of alignment between guidance for emergency management and

public health is clearly an impediment for their ability to collaboratively improve inclusive

emergency planning.

Furthermore, partnerships between regional FEMA offices, the state, and cities should be

formalized to conduct social vulnerability analysis and inform whole community outreach and

planning strategies. This way, FEMA can work with cities to develop and implement strategies

with local agencies such as civic, community, faith-based, and private sector organizations, to

facilitate inclusive emergency planning. As part of the grant process for FEMA programs,

jurisdictions should have to conduct a social vulnerability analysis, assess existing plans based

on the results, and demonstrate the manner in which they are incrementally addressing the

identified corrective actions for community inclusiveness and engagement.

Next Steps and Future Research

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is rooted in a literature-based

qualitative analysis that provides a theoretical framework, but is limited in its helpfulness to

explain the strength in the relationships between social conditions. Further, the literature is

limited to issue areas researchers found interesting or important enough to study. There are gaps

in the literature that impact the full understanding of the relationships between social factors of

vulnerability. Additionally, the social realities of the population in each city are unique. The

Framework provides a consistent baseline for all cities to start. There may be social conditions

that the planner and stakeholders are aware of based on their experience and knowledge of the

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city. Additional categories can be added to a correlation analysis to determine if they are related

to the social determinants of vulnerability, particularly social isolation.

The next step in my research process is to collect data for the City of Boston at the census

tract level for each of the seven social conditions of the framework and analyze the correlation of

the social characteristics of vulnerability. This step will determine if the relationships between

social conditions the literature identified hold true at the local level and identify the strength of

the relationships. Geographic information systems will be used to visualize the distribution of the

social conditions in the framework to determine hotspots to focus emergency planning efforts.

Another component of the next phase of research is to explore the relationship of social isolation

with the other social characteristics in the framework using a regression analysis based on the

Boston data. In this research project, I found that social isolation had the most links to other

social characteristics among vulnerable populations. Social isolation is a pre-incident predictor of

mortality comparable to traditional clinical risk factors such as smoking and high blood pressure

(Pantell, Rehkopf, Jutte, Syme, Balmes, & Adler, 2013).

An unintended consequence of developing this framework using a link analysis approach

via TouchGraph software was that I created a tool that any city planner or researcher could use to

explore the relationships among the 63 social characteristics I started with and the associated

social conditions related or conduct additional research on social conditions to further inform the

relationships between the social conditions that increase vulnerability. My hope is that I will be

able to obtain funding to share the interactive version of this Framework through publishing the

full link analysis to the internet using ToughGraph Navigator Web.

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Conclusion

Communities are faced with persistent, ongoing stressors that lead to poor health

outcomes. An emergency or disaster exposes vulnerable populations to intensified social

adversity that further compounds existing stressors. If emergency management plans and actions

are not community focused, jurisdictions will increase the poor health and social outcomes for

those most vulnerable thereby directly contributing to the long-term poor physical, mental, and

emotional health outcomes. Furthermore, if the resources to support those who need them most is

not accessible, then local government has broken one of the four key pillars of public

administration: social equity. The core components of social resilience are physical and

psychological health as well as the social and economic well-being (Chandra et al., 2011).

Everyone should have access to resources and decision making processes that improve these

aspects of health and well-being before, during, and after emergencies.

Social justice and human rights principles should guide the entire spectrum of emergency

planning from disaster risk management, including pre-disaster mitigation and community

resilience and preparedness measures, to recovery, including emergency relief and rehabilitation,

and reconstruction efforts (Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement, 2008).

Incorporating the needs of socially vulnerable populations is recognition that they are part of the

community and therefore deserve the same planning considerations as anyone else.

I reviewed a purposive sampling of documents in order to build the Social Determinants

of Vulnerability Framework. This framework identifies the social conditions that are most

represented in the literature and are associated with higher likelihood of suffering physical

injuries or illness, psychological consequences, social disruption, and economic impact. The

framework provides a structure for cities to develop inclusive mitigation, response, and recovery

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planning strategies while fostering social equity in public administration and reducing the

likelihood of successful litigation.

Invest Now or Pay Later

Local jurisdictions have an opportunity to take concrete actions to improve the resilience

of people in their cities. Litigation successfully brought against New York and Los Angeles

presents some of the financial and reputational costs of failure to include the social conditions of

people. Moreover, the cost of lives and unnecessary suffering for those most vulnerable is far too

high of a price to pay when the alternative is an investment of time and relationship development

with socially vulnerable people and the organizations that serve them. The return on investment

not only strengthens resilience to emergencies, but is consistent with improvement in other

community issues such as violence, health, and education. The factors that have to be considered

to make communities in cities safer, healthier, and more sustainable are the same protective

factors that make cities more resilient to disasters. Building stronger communities hinges on a

more sophisticated understanding of the interplay between the social conditions of people living

in our communities. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework informs practical,

inclusive emergency planning that reduces the unnecessary suffering of people in American

cities.

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Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities to Disasters. Geneva.

Wisner, B., & Handmer, J. (1999). Hazards, globalisation, and sustainability. Paper presented at

the Development in Practice.

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Appendix A: Abridged Link Analysis Results

Timeframe Measure/Variable Primary Attribute Pre-incident Access Lack of Health Insurance

Access Lack of Public Transportation Access Lack of Vehicle Access Technology Access Lack of Citizenship/Legal Status Access Immigrants/Refugees Age Children Age Older Adults (65 and older) Disability Cognitive/Developmental Disability Physical/Mobility Disability Disability Sensory Disability People with Disabilities Disease/Illness Chronic and Acute Medical Illness Disease/Illness Psychological Illness Disease/Illness Alcohol Dependency Disease/Illness Drug Dependency Education Less than High School Diploma Family Composition Single Parent Family Composition Primary/Sole Caregiver Family Composition Unmarried/Single Gender, Gender Identification, and Sexual Orientation

Women Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, and Transgender

Group Quarters Adult Correctional Facilities College/University Student Housing Juvenile Facilities Daycare Centers/Schools Nursing Homes

Household Composition Head of Household Living Alone

Housing Type Renters High-Rise Multi-Story/Unit Buildings

Income Low-Income Poverty Low-to-No Income Unemployed

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Timeframe Measure/Variable Primary Attribute Homeless

Language/Literacy Limited English Proficiency Limited Literacy Proficiency

Living Conditions High Population Density No Open/Green Space Living spaces with fewer rooms High-Crime Areas

Race Asian Black Latino/Hispanic Native American People of Color

Social Connectedness Low Voter Turnout Low Political Engagement Social Isolation

Temporary Populations Tourists Commuters

Working Conditions

Outdoor Workers Responders

Post-Incident

Outcomes/Loss Access to Services Injury, Illness, or Death Loss of Business Loss of Employment Loss of Loved One Property Damage Displacement Domestic Violence

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Code Code Title Code Explanation/Description Values Example TIME Timeframe Description of timeline of social

factors occurrence or significance Text Pre-Incident

MEAS Measure/Variable Measure of social vulnerability; major category usu. has multiple attributes

Text Age

ATTR Primary Attribute Specific attribute of social vulnerability; a single category that may have co-occurring categories

Text Children

ATTRSRC Attribute Source(s) Author and year of the source(s) for the social vulnerability attribute

Text Hajat et al., 2003; Knowlton et al., 2009; AAP, 2000; Doocy et al., 2013

ASCITE As Cited In Source being cited within a source, where applicable

Text Cooley, Moore, Heberger and Allen 2012

ASSCATTR Associated Attributes

Secondary attributes associated with the 'Primary Attribute'

Text Low-to-No Income; People of Color; Refugee or Immigrant; Limited English Proficiency; Institutionalized Settings; Homeless or Runaway; Chronic and Acute Medical Illness/Disease; Cognitive/Developmental; Physical Disabilities; Psychiatric Disorders; Home Alone; Daycare Centers/Schools

ASSCATTRSRC Associated Attributes Source(s)

Author and year of the source(s) for the associated attribute

Text Pfefferbaum and Shaw, 2013

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Code Code Title Code Explanation/Description Values Example NOTES Notes Notes regarding the Primary

Attribute Text Institutionalized Settings (foster care homes,

halfway houses, shelters for domestic violence, and youth hostels); "Disasters can undermine the systems of safety that are in place to protect children, leaving them vulnerable to secondary stressors associated with violence, abuse, and opportunistic crimes."-Pfefferbaum and Shaw, 2013 Children are more vulnerable because they depend on others for care.-Shi and Stevens, 2010

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Appendix C: Abridged Link Analysis Results

Figure 1 is the visualization of the most relevant part of the link analysis in the TouchGraph Navigator software, which includes pre-incident and post-incident factors. The pink boxes are the 63 pre-incident factors I started with and the purple or those that the literature indicated were associated with them. The post-incident outcomes have links to the large Post-Incident label and highlighted with a yellow box. The larger the size of the halo or circle, the larger the number of associations with other social factors.

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Appendix D: Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

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Paper 2: Application of the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to the City of Boston

Background

A common cliché in emergency management is that all disasters are local. This

expression is particularly true when it comes to meeting the diverse needs of people living in

American cities. In fact, the national mitigation, response, and recovery frameworks that guide

emergency management in America each identify local governments as having the largest role

and responsibility. However, local governments have been slow to engage diverse communities

and incorporate their needs into mitigation, response, and recovery planning.

Civil rights statutes and federal guidance protect people in the United States from being

denied the benefits of, excluded from participation in, or subject to discrimination under

federally funded programs or activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, disability, age,

limited English proficiency, or economic status (Milligan & Company, 2007; Paulison, 2005;

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010). The lack of inclusion, or exclusion, of

socially vulnerable people does not seem to be a deliberate action by local jurisdictions. It

appears to be a lack of resources and education about the responsibility of a city to develop,

implement, and execute plans to mitigate, respond, and recover in a manner that has the effect of

excluding people from the planning process and accessing resources.

Many of the social factors in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework (see

Appendix A) developed as part of this research includes all of the legally protected categories of

people. The Framework helps to minimize the likelihood that people’s rights are violated. This

Framework at a minimum, describes the relationship between pre-incident social conditions and

post-incident outcomes to be used for inclusive planning. More significantly, it is a guide that

municipalities can use to identify the social circumstances and the corresponding neighborhoods

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within their jurisdiction with which they can build stronger relationships and partnerships to

facilitate a more inclusive planning processes.

When emergency management and public health preparedness considerations are not

inclusive, it is also a matter of homeland security and national health security (U.S. Department

of Health and Human Services, 2009; U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2014). National

health security is defined as “…a state in which the Nation and its people are prepared for,

protected from, and resilient in the face of health threats or incidents with potentially negative

health consequences” (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 2009, p. 3). Building

resilience in communities is a primary goal of the National Health Security Strategy. The

strategy integrates considerations for at-risk populations throughout each of the capabilities for

national health security.

At least 50% of the United States can be considered socially vulnerable (Kailes &

Enders, 2007). Using a similar method as Kailes & Enders, the City of Boston has at least 36%

of the population that may be considered socially vulnerable (U.S. Census Bureau, 2012).

However, social vulnerability is not an issue that only affects those people. It consists of people

in our families, our children, our coworkers, and friends. Over two hundred thousand residents in

the City of Boston are affected.

This research focuses on developing a replicable approach to understanding the

complexity of social vulnerability in American cities for policy makers and emergency

management practitioners across all sectors of government and industry, particularly public

health emergency preparedness. Local emergency planners can use the Framework to: (1) map

pre-incident social factors and determine the high concentration areas; (2) understand how each

of the factors are related to other social conditions and characteristics; (3) develop outreach plans

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to partner with those communities, (4) conduct an inclusive emergency planning process, and (5)

equitably execute the plans in the response and recovery phases based on the links between

social vulnerability and post-incident impacts. By using the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework, local emergency management and public health preparedness planners can reduce

the likelihood of violating people’s rights and poor outcomes of disasters.

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework was applied to the City of Boston

to determine if the relationships between social factors found in the literature apply to Boston

and explore the relationship between social isolation and the other social factors.

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is rooted in a literature-based

qualitative analysis that provides a theoretical framework for identifying and incorporating the

diverse needs of people in American cities. There were seven pre-incident social factors that

seemed to be driving social vulnerability based on the number of links to other pre-incident

factors (See Table 1). These seven social conditions are directly or indirectly connected to six

post-incident outcomes that further increase social vulnerability.

Socially vulnerable people are disproportionately exposed to daily adversities. This

constant exposure to stressors deteriorates their physical and cognitive health resulting in a

comparatively higher allostatic load. Allostatic load is the sum of the body’s reactions to

stressful events. The types of exposures people experience in their lives before an emergency

that increase allostatic load include: exposure to illness; residential instability (including

displacement); death or illness of a close loved one; social isolation; limited opportunity to make

their own decisions; and exposure to threat or violence (Gustafsson et al., 2014). The results of

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this research indicate that many of these same exposures are also driving increased vulnerability

after an emergency.

Table 1. Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Pre-Incident Social Factors

Children

People with Disabilities

Older Adults

Chronic and Acute Medical Illness

Social Isolation

Low-To-No Income

People Of Color

Post-incident outcomes represent the types of consequences of an emergency or disaster

people may experience. There were a total of eight post-incident factors from the literature (See

Table 2). Six of the eight had at least one direct link to pre-incident social conditions. The lack of

access to post-incident services and displacement were related to the largest number of pre-

incident social characteristics. These post-incident impacts were mostly related to three pre-

incident social factors: social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color. Low-to-no

income had the most links to post-incident outcomes.

Table 2. Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework: Post-Incident Outcomes

Displacement

Access to Services

Injury, Illness, and Death

Property Damage or Loss

Domestic Violence

Loss of Employment

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Purpose

The purpose of this research is to apply the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework to the City of Boston to determine if the relationships between social conditions as

identified in the literature hold true at the local level. Additionally, this study identifies the

geographic distribution and the strength of the relationships between the social characteristics

that increase vulnerability. The research questions are: What are the correlations between the

social conditions of vulnerability in the City of Boston? What is the geographic distribution of

the correlated social conditions? Are the correlated social conditions predictors of social

isolation?

The social factors of vulnerability are closely related. Existing literature does not take

into account the manner in which social vulnerability factors are often compounded to produce

negative consequences before, during, and after emergencies. The sheer volume and unclear co-

occurrence of these factors becomes a practical challenge in identifying vulnerable populations

within a community and developing strategies to reduce their exposure to harmful public health

and safety consequences of emergencies.

Methods

I collected the data from the U.S. Census Bureau and SimplyMap at the census tract level

for the City of Boston. Specifically, I used the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community

(ACS) 2008-2012 5-Year Estimates. They are the most reliable of the ACS estimates and have

data at the census tract level which was key to the success of this analysis. Data from SimplyMap

consisted of two sets from Easy Analytic Software, Inc. (EASI) discussed below. The data used

in this research were for the following variables: children, people with disabilities, older adults,

chronic and acute medical illness, social isolation, low-to-no income, people of color, limited

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English proficiency, renters, less than high school education, women, and lack of vehicle. This

allowed for identification of relationships and patterns at the neighborhood and sub-

neighborhood level.

The social realities of the population in each city are unique. Therefore, I collected data

for the seven pre-incident social conditions and characteristics in the Social Determinants of

Vulnerability Framework as well as seven additional factors (limited English proficiency,

renters, less than high school, women, and lack of vehicle, institutionalized population in nursing

homes/skilled nursing facility, and populations in college/university student housing). The

addition of these social factors was based on my experience and knowledge in public health,

emergency management, and homeland security in the City of Boston.

Proxy Data

There were three data variables that I had to develop using proxy measures for, social

isolation, medical illness, and lack of vehicle. Social isolation was defined based on the

Berkman-Syme Social Network Index (SNI), which focused on marriage or partnership,

frequency of contact with friends and family, frequency of religious participation, and group

membership (Pantell et al., 2013). Data were additively combined for three variables. The first

variable was the sum of families that had either a female or male householder who had no spouse

present and children under 18. The second one is non-family households with persons older than

65 living alone. The final variable was people with no membership to: a fraternal order, body of

government, religious club, civic club, country club, business club, collectors club, union, school

or college board, church board, charitable organizations, or AARP. The limitation of this data is

that lack of membership may overlap with over adults living alone or single parent households.

This overlap may result in some overestimations in the number of people counted as socially

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isolated. The source of this data is the Easy Analytic Software, Inc. (EASI) Mediamark Research

(MRI) annual study based on a national sample of 26,000 consumers used to develop a model at

the census tract level.

The second variable that is a proxy measure is medical illness which is based on EASI

data accessed through SimplyMap. EASI modeled the health statistics for the U.S. population

based upon age, sex, and race probabilities using U.S. Census Bureau data. The probabilities are

modeled against the census and current year and five year forecasts. Medical illness is the sum of

asthma in children, asthma in adults, heart disease, emphysema, bronchitis, cancer, diabetes,

kidney disease, and liver disease. A limitation is that these numbers may be over-counted as the

result of people potentially having more than one medical illness. Therefore, the analysis may

have greater numbers of people with medical illness within census tracts than actually present.

Overall, the analysis was based on the relationship between social factors. Therefore, the analysis

may not be impacted enough to distort the results.

The final variable, lack of a vehicle, was not intentionally a proxy. I pulled the data from

SimplyMap, which labeled it as Census data. However, upon further review of the metadata, it

was based on estimates calculated by the using 2012 ACS data from the U.S. Census Bureau. As

a result, the number of people without vehicles is smaller than they exist at the census tract level.

Mapping

Data collected from the U.S. Census Bureau American Communities Survey 2008-2012

5-year estimates and SimplyMap was joined with the 180 census tracts in the City of Boston by

GEOID10 in ArcGIS mapping software. ArcGIS was used to conduct a census tract based hot

spot analysis using the Getis-Ord Gi statistic to identify statistically significant spatial clusters of

hot spots and cold spots.

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Each of the 180 census tracts were assigned to Boston neighborhoods as designated by

the Boston Redevelopment Authority planning districts. This allowed for a correlation analysis

with each social factor for the city as a whole and within each of Boston’s 16 neighborhoods.

The hot spots and the social factors highly correlated with social isolation were used to describe

the citywide and neighborhood social conditions and characteristics to inform emergency

management.

Correlation and Regression Analysis

I conducted a linear regression analysis at the city level with social isolation as the

dependent variable and the other socially vulnerable attributes independent variables. I also

conducted multiple correlation analyses using the Pearson correlation coefficient. The first

correlation analysis was based on citywide data at the census tract level. The correlations with a

Pearson r > 0.6 and P < 0.05 were included in the final list of social factors used to develop a

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework specifically for the City of Boston. The second

set of correlation analyses were conducted at the neighborhood level. Since the variables were

known to be related to one another, I held a higher threshold for correlation (r > 0.70, P < 0.05)

for the neighborhood analysis. The social characteristics and conditions that correlated with

social isolation represent the most socially vulnerable people in the community. This was a

guiding principle in highlighting the most vulnerable groups within each of the Boston

neighborhoods.

Findings and Results

Based on the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, the relationships between

the seven social conditions and characteristics in the City of Boston become more complicated.

Overall, the model remained relatively unchanged. However, some of the relationships between

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Table 3. Correlations for Socially Vulnerable Populations in the City of Boston Social Vulnerability All Correlations (Pearson r)

Social Isolation Low-to-No Income (0.685); Less than High School (0.654); Women (0.663); Renters (0.648); People with Disabilities (0.873); Children (0.803); Older Adults (0.736); Limited English Proficiency (0.820); People of Color (0.762); Medical Illness (0.754)

Limited English Proficiency*

Social Isolation (0.820); Less than High School (0.674); Women (0.619); Medical Illness (0.666); Children (0.649); People of Color (0.735); Renter (0.734); People with Disabilities(0.823); Low-to-No Income (0.957)

People with Disabilities

Social Isolation (0.873); Older Adults (0.642); Children (0.789); Low-to-No Income (0.722); Limited English Proficiency (0.823); Less than High School (0.729); People of Color (0.803); Medical Illness (0.629)

People of Color Social Isolation (0.762); People with Disabilities (0.803); Children (0.801); Low-to-No Income (0.721); Limited English Proficiency (0.735); Less than High School (0.782)

Medical Illness Social Isolation (0.754); People with Disabilities (0.629); Older Adults (0.676); Limited English Proficiency (0.666); Women (0.967); Renters (0.706)

Renters* Social Isolation (0.648); Women (0.694); Low-to-No Income (0.701); Limited English Proficiency (0.734); Medical Illness (0.706); Lack of Vehicle (0.896)

Low-to-No Income Social Isolation (0.685); Less than High School (0.641); People with Disabilities (0.722); Limited English Proficiency (0.957); People of Color (0.721); Renters (0.701)

Children Social Isolation (0.803); Limited English Proficiency (0.649); People of Color (0.801); People with Disabilities (0.789); Less than High School (0.725)

Less Than High School*

Social Isolation (0.820); Low-to-No Income (0.641); Limited English Proficiency (0.957); People with Disabilities (0.729); Children (0.725)

Women* Social Isolation (0.663); Limited English Proficiency (0.619); Renter (0.694); Medical Illness (0.967)

Older Adults Social Isolation (0.736); Medical Illness (0.676); Disability (0.642)

Lack of Vehicle* Renters (0.896)

Institutionalized Population in Nursing

Homes/Skilled Nursing Facility*

N/A

College/University Student Housing*

N/A

*Added to the correlation analysis of social factors for the Boston Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework. N/A: these social factors did not have a significant correlation with any of the Social Determinants of Vulnerability or each other.

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the social conditions and characteristics in the framework are not as interrelated in Boston as the

literature suggests. For example, older adults and low-to-no income were not as correlated with

other social characteristics. Also, children were not correlated with medical illness or low-to-no

income.

The variables added on the basis of my public health and emergency management

experience and knowledge of Boston further complicated the model. Social isolation remained a

key variable and actually became even more significant in its direct relationship with of social

factors. As seen in Table 3, it was correlated with all attributes directly except people without

vehicles. However, people without vehicles were related to renters, which was directly

associated with social isolation.

Based on these results, I was able to modify the original Social Determinants of

Vulnerability Framework into a new framework specific to Boston. The original Social

Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, the Boston Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework and the expanded pre-incident Framework for Boston can be found in Appendix A.

Citywide Geographic Concentration of Social Determinants of Vulnerability Factors

People who have multiple social factors of vulnerability are likely to be more exposed to

negative post-incident outcomes than those who do not (Morrow, 1999). The mapping of each

social factor of the Boston Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is most helpful

when paired with the results from the citywide correlation analysis used to develop the

Framework. The goal is to understand the relationships between the social factors of

vulnerability at the neighborhood level. For each map, emergency planners can begin to consider

the other social factors people may be facing in those areas in the City of Boston.

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The original Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework indicated that post-incident

outcomes (lack of access to post-incident services; displacement; injury, illness, and death; loss

of employment; property damage; and domestic violence) were related to three social factors:

social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color. Mattapan, Roxbury, and South

Dorchester had multiple census tracts with statistically significant concentrations of people who

were socially isolated, low-to-no income, and people of color. Therefore, these three

neighborhoods are most likely to have the largest exposure to post-incident impacts. The maps

from the hot spot analysis can be found in Appendix B.

Social Isolation and Social Vulnerability

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is based on a link analysis of data

from the literature to show the most connected social factors in vulnerability. Social isolation had

the most links to pre-incident social factors. The regression analysis confirmed the significance

of the relationship between the social isolation and the social factors in the Social Determinants

of Vulnerability Framework. As seen in Table 4, the model explained over 95% of the variation

in social isolation. Eight attributes explained social isolation the best: people with disabilities,

children, older adults, low-to-no income, less than high school education, people of color,

women, and renters. Further, people with limited English proficiency were highly correlated with

all eight social factors.

Social isolation has been validated as being driven by social vulnerability via link

analysis based on the literature, correlation analysis (citywide and within neighborhoods), and

regression analysis further solidifying the strong relationship between social isolation and social

vulnerability. For this reason, social isolation was used as the primary social factor to examine

vulnerability at the neighborhood level.

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Social Determinants of Vulnerability within Boston Neighborhoods

The results suggest that one of the most socially vulnerable populations across the city is

women who do not have a vehicle, rent, and have a medical illness. In 12 out of 16

neighborhoods, lack of vehicle, medical illness, renter, and women were strongly correlated with

social isolation (r > 0.7 in every case, with most being r > 0.8). Additionally, these four variables

were clustered together in eight neighborhoods: Back Bay/Beacon Hill, Downtown, East Boston,

Hyde Park, Jamaica Plain, Mattapan, South Dorchester, and South End. Some of the clusters

were correlated with social isolation as well as other social factors, which are described in the

Table 4: Model of Social Isolation in Boston, MA Model Summary

Model R R Square Adjusted R

Square Std. Error of the

Estimate 1 .975a .951 .949 59.837

a. Predictors: (Constant), OCC_RENTER, TotChild, OlderAdult, LessThanHS, Women, Low_to_No, POC2, NoVehicle, TotDis, MedIllnes

Coefficientsa

Model Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t Sig. B Std. Error Beta 1 (Constant) 16.534 10.937 1.512 .132

TotDis .164 .042 .167 3.872 .000

TotChild .247 .021 .428 11.560 .000

OlderAdult .271 .036 .249 7.608 .000

Low_to_No -.050 .015 -.132 -3.379 .001

LessThanHS -.084 .027 -.100 -3.127 .002

POC2 .040 .008 .215 5.217 .000

Women -.065 .031 -.181 -2.089 .038

MedIllnes .055 .044 .127 1.251 .213

NoVehicle -.028 .029 -.041 -.965 .336

OCC_RENTER .241 .028 .484 8.483 .000

a. Dependent Variable: SocIsol

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neighborhood summary below. In East Boston, Hyde Park, Mattapan, and Roxbury, social

isolation was correlated with all of the social factors in the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework. The circumstances of socially vulnerable populations in these neighborhoods were

very closely related to one another and, therefore, they have higher vulnerability, as shown in

Appendix C.

The following provides an overview of the most socially vulnerable populations in each

of the neighborhoods. The analysis is based on the correlation analysis showing an existence of a

relationship between social isolation and each of the other social factors as described in Table 5

(r > 0.70, P < 0.05) and the social factors that had a high likelihood of being related to many

other social factors. The other consideration was for the geographic concentrations of socially

vulnerable people in those neighborhoods based on the hot spot analysis. The breakdown of

population for each neighborhood and associated social determinants of vulnerability are listed in

Appendix D.

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Allston/Brighton. In Allston/Brighton, the most vulnerable population were older adults

who have a disability (r = 0.821, P < 0.01); and people with disabilities and limited English

proficiency who rent (r ≥ 0.731, P < 0.01). There were four census tracts (4.01, 5.03, 5.04, 6.02)

where the following social factors were concentrated: lack of vehicles, limited English

proficiency, medical illness, renters, low-to-no income, and women. The Boston Housing

Authority has four developments for people with low-income in those areas: John J. Carroll, for

people who are older adults or have a disability; Washington Street, for families and people who

are elderly or disabled; Commonwealth, predominantly for families with some units for people

Table 5. Neighborhood-Level Social Factors that Correlate with Social Isolation

Community

Soc

ial

Isol

atio

n

Dis

abil

itie

s

Ch

ild

ren

Old

er

Ad

ult

s

Low

-to-

No

Inco

me

LE

P

Les

s th

an

Hig

h

Sch

ool

Peo

ple

of

Col

or

Wom

en

Ren

ter

Med

ical

Il

lnes

s

Lac

k o

f V

ehic

le

Allston/Brighton 0.933 .489 .846 .685 .851 .684 .461 .532 .828 .669 .683

Back Bay/Beacon Hill

0.747 .791 .808 .654 .94 .405 0.871 .975 .942 .979 .899

Charlestown .746 .627 .442 .805 .854 .875 .811 .873 .969 .860 .956

Downtown .914 .832 .952 .656 .837 .671 .687 .868 .931 .966 .873

East Boston .925 .974 .843 .918 .954 .776 .887 .982 .982 .974 .929

Fenway/Kenmore .760 .444 .738 .701 .808 .595 .262 -.027 .922 .305 .940

Harbor Islands

Hyde Park .952 .864 .988 .971 .986 .886 .971 .987 .943 .988 .885

Jamaica Plain .918 .825 .680 .886 .905 .769 .863 .903 .892 .893 .866

Mattapan .918 .792 .768 .781 .868 .774 .977 .947 .986 .923 .968

North Dorchester .960 .825 .893 .233 .425 .770 .534 .746 .394 .836 .689

Roslindale .845 .913 .664 .813 .939 .350 .741 .954 .935 .931 .859

Roxbury .931 .916 .853 .871 .901 .720 .934 .802 .973 .771 .891

South Boston .725 .649 .805 .653 .823 .735 .473 .849 .943 .817 .877

South Dorchester .859 .815 .704 .375 .551 .702 .623 .969 .979 .963 .871

South End .556 .730 .535 .667 .729 .473 .698 .878 .901 .833 .854

West Roxbury .516 .789 -.004 0.91 .972 .745 0.918 .597 .956 .504 .582

r > 0.70

BOLD Hot Spot

Note: Detailed correlation matrices can be found in Appendix C.

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who are elderly or disabled; and Patricia White, for people who are elderly or disabled (Boston

Housing Authority, 2014).

Back Bay/Beacon Hill. The most socially vulnerable people in Back Bay/Beacon Hill are

females of color who have limited English proficiency, rent, have a medical illness, and do not

have a vehicle (r ≥ 0.782, P < 0.01). This neighborhood had the smallest percent of people of

color as well as those with limited English proficiency compared to other neighborhoods. This

indicates that this cluster of social factors likely exists in smaller numbers.

Charlestown. Charlestown’s most vulnerable population were people of color with low-

to-no income, limited English proficiency, have less than a high school education, and who do

not have a vehicle (r ≥ 0.872, P < 0.01). Charlestown had the third smallest percentage of people

of color (24.22%) which is indicative that the number of people who may be most vulnerable is

relatively smaller.

Downtown. The most socially vulnerable population in Downtown Boston was older

women who had disabilities, limited English proficiency, rented, had a medical illness, no

vehicle, and children in the household (r ≥ 0.765, P < 0.01). It should be noted that the

Downtown area planning district includes Chinatown, West End, North End, and the Financial

District. It is a mixture of residential and commercial and has the third largest Chinese

neighborhood in the country (City of Boston, 2014). Downtown had the second largest

percentage of older adults, renters, medical illness, and renters.

East Boston. Social isolation in East Boston was highly correlated with all of the social

characteristics. The most socially vulnerable households in East Boston were likely to include all

or some combination of the following: having disabilities, households with children, low-to-no

income, limited English Proficiency, women, renters, medical illness, and no vehicle (r ≥ 0.703,

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P < 0.01). Census tract 501.01 had a high concentration of people of color, with limited English

proficiency, disabilities, low-to-no income, children, and less than a high school education. This

census tract is in the Eagle Hill area where East Boston High School is located. Overall, East

Boston had the largest percentage of people without a high school education.

Fenway/Kenmore. The Fenway/Kenmore Square neighborhood had two groups of

people who were most socially vulnerable. First, low-income households that rent, do not have a

vehicle, and have limited English proficiency (r ≥ 0.764, P < 0.01). The second group is older

adults with a disability and limited English proficiency (r ≥ 0.73, P < 0.01). Fenway had the

smallest percentages of social isolation, children, and older adults. Additionally, it had the

second smallest percentages of people with disabilities and without a high school education. The

existence of smaller numbers of certain vulnerable groups suggests the second cluster may be a

relatively small group of people.

Hyde Park. In Hyde Park, social isolation was correlated with all of the social

determinants of vulnerability as well as each other (r ≥ 0.74, P < 0.01). Hyde Park had the third

largest percent of older adults as well as multiple areas with high concentrations of older adults.

Additionally, over 70% of the population was people of color who are concentrated within

multiple areas of the neighborhood. Like Fenway/Kenmore, there are populations with socially

vulnerable characteristics that occur in small numbers in Hyde Park. Interestingly, Hyde Park

had the smallest percentages of people who rent or have a medical illness and the second

smallest percent of people who do not have a vehicle.

Jamaica Plain. The most vulnerable population in Jamaica Plain was people with limited

English Proficiency based on their correlation with social isolation and all other social factors (r

≥ 0.704, P < 0.01). More than one third of the population in Jamaica Plain is low-to-no income

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and over 40% have limited English proficiency. Jamaica Plain did not have any hot spots,

however, there was a census tract (1203.01) that was predominantly in Roxbury near the

Bromley-Health Housing Development (Boston Housing Authority, 2014) with hot spots for

low-to-no income and limited English proficiency.

Mattapan. Like Hyde Park, Roxbury and East Boston, social isolation in Mattapan is

correlated with all of the social determinants of vulnerability. People of color who rented and had

a disability are the most vulnerable populations in this neighborhood. These populations were

correlated with all other social factors and each other (r ≥ 0.712, P < 0.05). Mattapan had two

groups that had the second largest percentage of people compared to other neighborhoods:

people who were socially isolated and people with limited English proficiency. Additionally, this

neighborhood had the largest percentage of people with disabilities, children, and people of color

(over 95%).

North Dorchester. The most vulnerable populations in North Dorchester were

households with children, older adults, people with disabilities, individuals with less than a high

school education, and medical illness. All of these factors are correlated with social isolation and

each another (r ≥ 0.717, P < 0.05). This neighborhood had the second largest percentage of the

population with low-to-no income and less than a high school education.

Roslindale. Roslindale has two groups of people who were particularly vulnerable. The

first group is households with children, people with disabilities, low-to-no income, and limited

English proficiency (r ≥ 0.723, P < 0.05). The second group is women who rent and have a

medical illness (r ≥ 0.796, P < 0.01). Renters existed in smaller numbers in Roslindale than most

areas of the city. Three social factors have their own statistically significant geographic clusters:

people of color, older adults, and one census tract for children.

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Roxbury. Like East Boston, Hyde Park, and Mattapan, social isolation in Roxbury was

correlated with all of the social factors of vulnerability. There were two distinct groups of people

who are most socially vulnerable: people of color who rented, were low-to-no income, had

children, had limited English proficiency, and had a disability (r ≥ 0.832, P < 0.01) and women

of color who rent and have a medical illness (r ≥ 0.823, P < 0.01). Census tract 9803 in the

southern most areas of Roxbury appeared to be a highly concentrated area of several social

factors of vulnerability. However, it was one of the two census tracts that includes the Franklin

Park Zoo and only had 338 people (most census tracts have more than ten times as many people).

The high concentrations are likely the result of the Lemuel Shattuck Hospital, which also has a

homeless shelter that some people may have claimed as their address. Census tract 814 that is

partially in Jamaica Plain and mostly in Roxbury was a geographic concentration for people who

are low-to-no income, people of color, and limited English proficient. This census tract includes

Roxbury Crossing, Roxbury Community College, the sub-neighborhoods Fort Hill and Highland

Park and extends to Washington Street in Roxbury near Malcom X/Washington Park. The

Boston Housing Authority owns a property in the Highland Park area and there are a few

subsidized MassHousing properties (Boston Housing Authority, 2014; MassHousing, 2014).

Roxbury had the largest percentage of people who were socially isolated, had limited English

proficiency, and low-to-no income. Additionally, it had the second largest percentage of people

with disabilities, children, and people of color (89.55%). Roxbury had the fourth smallest

percentage of older adults in the community.

South Boston. In South Boston, there were three distinct groups of socially vulnerable

populations: people with disabilities who had limited English proficiency and less than a high

school education (r ≥ 0.789, P < 0.01); female older adults with a medical illness that rent (r ≥

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0.771, P < 0.01); and people who have limited English proficiency, less than a high school

education, and no vehicle (r ≥ 0.783, P < 0.01). Socially vulnerable groups occur in smaller

numbers in South Boston compared to other areas of the city. South Boston had the second

smallest population of people of color and relatively smaller percentages of people with

disabilities, children, older adults, low-to-no income, limited English proficiency, and people

with less than a high school education.

South Dorchester. The most vulnerable populations in South Dorchester were women

who lack a vehicle, rent, have a medical illness, children, and a disability (r ≥ 0.726, P < 0.01)

and women with less than a high school education, a disability, and children (r ≥ 0.710, P <

0.01). South Dorchester had the third largest percentages of people with disabilities, children,

less than a high school education, and people of color. This indicates that socially vulnerable

populations will exist in greater numbers in this neighborhood. Additionally, South Dorchester

had the largest number of hotspots compared to the other 15 neighborhoods.

South End. In the South End, there were two groups that were most socially vulnerable.

The first group was households with children and limited English proficiency (r ≥ 0.747, P <

0.05). The second group was women who rent, have a medical illness, and no vehicle (r ≥ 0.873,

P < 0.01). The South End has the third largest percentage of social isolation, low-to-no income,

limited English proficiency, renters, medical illness, and lack of a vehicle. More than half the

neighborhood was people of color. Census tract 711.01 within the South End had hot spots for

lack of a vehicle, low-to-no income, and people with disabilities. This area includes the Boston

Medical Center and Boston University Medical campuses, the Miranda-Creamer Building, the

residential towers owned by the Boston Public Health Commission, and several MassHousing

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financed or subsidized housing for families, the elderly, and people with disabilities (Assessing

Department, 2014; MassHousing, 2014; Rosso, 2012).

West Roxbury. Socially vulnerable populations in West Roxbury are low-to-no income

households that rent, do not have a high school education, have limited English proficiency, and

are people of color (r = 0.764, P < 0.05). West Roxbury has the largest percentage of older

adults, however, this was not correlated with social isolation. Although West Roxbury has

groups of socially vulnerable populations, they do not exist in large numbers. The second

smallest percentage of people with limited English proficiency; the lowest percent of people

without a vehicle or who rent; and the third smallest percentages of people with less than a high

school education and low-to-no income.

Analysis and Recommendations

The reality of emergencies and traumatic incidents is that they often times may affect an

area of a neighborhood and not the entire city. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework provides an evidence-based, practical approach to building a more resilient Boston.

The Framework has made it possible to develop an outline of the neighborhoods, areas within

neighborhoods, and factors of vulnerability to focus mitigation, response, and recovery efforts.

This Framework also helps to be more informed in supporting the community during smaller

scale emergencies. Finally, the Framework can help to improve community resilience therefore

strengthening our national health security (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services,

2009).

Mitigation

Mitigation is intended to minimize the risks associated with threats and hazards (U.S.

Department of Homeland Security, 2013a). The most applicable mitigation capabilities to this

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research are risk and disaster resilience assessment, community resilience, and long term

vulnerability reduction. Many plans do not identify the people most at-risk for poor outcomes

after emergencies. The plans that do include them, merely list them without a clear set of

mitigation actions that would be taken to reduce their risk.

Comprehensive mitigation strategies include incorporating social vulnerability into risk

assessments, which is the most foundational step in emergency management. The exclusion

from risk assessments increases the likelihood that mitigation, response, and recovery plans will

not account for their needs and potentially violates their civil rights.

Risk reduction strategies include community preparedness with a focus on building

resilience. The core components of social resilience are physical and psychological health as well

as the social and economic well-being (Chandra et al., 2011). Cities can increase social resilience

by working to reduce social isolation. For Boston, Social Isolation in East Boston, Hyde Park,

Mattapan, and Roxbury was correlated with all social factors of vulnerability. Connecting the

people in these neighborhoods to each other, resources in the community, and city agencies can

reduce social isolation. Additionally, Mattapan, Roxbury, and South Dorchester had

concentrations of vulnerability in specific census tracts associated with social isolation, low-to-

no income, and people of color, which are associated with more server poor outcomes after

emergencies. This information, along with the associated social factors for each neighborhood

provide guidance to Boston leadership for targeting community resilience efforts to best meet the

needs of its residents. Programs that increase these aspects of resilience can be focused in

neighborhoods, or areas within neighborhoods, with high levels of social vulnerability.

Mitigation strategies for socially vulnerable populations should include reducing social

isolation, which is the lack of social connectedness or social capital. This goes beyond the

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individual’s close social networks to include community-level networks and institutions, both

public and private (Hawkins & Maurer, 2009). City agencies should develop relationships with

the organizations that serve these communities and populations (U.S. Department of Health and

Human Services, 2009). Two logical places to begin are the Boston Housing Authority and

MassHousing since they house residents within areas that have higher risk of vulnerability.

The BostonSocial Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can also inform the manner

in which preparedness materials are made accessible to those with limited English proficiency,

older adults, and people with disabilities (particularly sensory disabilities such as those with

limited vision and hearing). Additionally, resilience messaging can be provided to established

civic leaders trusted by the community, as trust is a necessary factor in building social capital

between individuals, the community, and institutions that serve them (Durant, 2011). These same

principles apply to communications and outreach associated with response and recovery.

Response

In this analysis, 16% of the population in Boston lack access to a vehicle, although the

U.S. Census Bureau estimates are as high as 36% (U.S. Census Bureau, 2012). Citywide, the

lack of a vehicle was correlated with renters. Within neighborhoods, the lack of a vehicle was

often closely related to social isolation, women, medical illness, and renters. These are key

considerations for evacuating and sheltering people before or after an emergency. They can

inform the types, amount, and locations for the deployment of necessary transportation assets. In

South Dorchester, people without vehicles also had children and a disability. Therefore, any

transportation provided for people with disabilities in that neighborhood may need to consider

that there may also be children to transport. In Hyde Park, however, transportation may not be

needed to the same degree because 95% of the population in this neighborhood owns a vehicle.

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The social determinants of vulnerability analysis can also inform the potential needs of

people who may appear in shelters as well as the location of shelters and resources necessary to

transport people without vehicles to these locations. A shelter in Roxbury would need to be able

to accommodate a high number of children, people who may not speak English, have disabilities

or a medical illness. People working in these shelters would need to be knowledgeable about and

respectful of the range of cultures because just over half the people who live there have limited

English proficiency.

Recovery

After emergencies, Boston can leverage the Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Framework analysis to identify populations that are associated with having a lack of access to

post-incident services, such as the people without vehicles who rent and live in multi-story or

multi-unit buildings, particularly those who are low-income and people of color (Fothergill &

Peek, 2004; U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010). Based on the literature,

exposure to post-incident impacts such as lack of access to post-incident services; displacement;

injury, illness, and death; loss of employment; property damage; and domestic violence are

associated with social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color. For Boston, this means

that Mattapan, Roxbury, and South Dorchester are likely to have higher exposure to post-

incident impacts because these neighborhoods have multiple census tracts with hot spots for

social isolation, low-to-no income, and people of color.

Local government needs to understand the social factors of vulnerability at the

neighborhood level. This knowledge can help cities identify community and faith-based

organizations, city agencies, and other partners. The most effective partners would be those that

provided services to the affected community before an emergency or that have resources that

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meet their needs after an emergency. Developing partnerships will also help create effective

post-disaster strategies to reach individuals in the community to facilitate access to post-incident

recovery resources.

Based on the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework, those living with low-to-

no income are at the highest risk for negative post-incident outcomes. Blaikie et al. (1999) noted

that low-income households have insufficient financial reserves for purchasing supplies in

anticipation of an event or for buying services and materials in the aftermath of one. “The

impact is likely to affect them disproportionately, including higher mortality rate” (as cited in

Morrow, 1999, p. 3). Their economic and material losses, while relatively less compared to other

economic groups, can be devastating because the loss is larger proportional to their total assets

(Morrow, 1999). Having low-to-no income in Boston was associated with social isolation, less

than high school education, people with disabilities, limited English proficiency, people of color,

and renters. Nine neighborhoods had hot spots for low-to-no income, Allston/Brighton, East

Boston, Fenway/Kenmore Square, Jamaica Plain (based on a census track predominantly in

Roxbury), Mattapan, North Dorchester, Roxbury, and South Dorchester. Allston/Brighton,

Roxbury, and South Dorchester had the most hot spots for low-to-no income.

This research outlines social factors that result in greater physical and mental health

impacts from stressful or traumatic events. Culturally appropriate trauma response and mental

health services should be made available to help normalize their acute stress reactions and

provide coping strategies to reduce the likelihood of post-traumatic stress syndrome and other

mental health illness. This is a post-incident mitigation strategy that will improve their ability to

deal with the cumulative stressors in their daily lives. People should be provided with post-

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incident human services that are trauma informed and help people address their needs associated

with the emergency, and put people in a position to improve their pre-disaster circumstances.

The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can be used to focus recovery

efforts to improve access to human services for all members of the community. A disaster

recovery center in the South End would need to have people who speak multiple languages and

people to help with medical needs. This includes connecting people with the healthcare system to

see a doctor that can help them manage their chronic or acute illnesses. This is an example of a

basic action that can help improve the long-term quality of life of people and reduce the post-

incident outcomes.

Socially vulnerable populations can maintain independence in their daily lives after an

emergency if they have access to the proper resources. This includes social and physical

infrastructure, such as health and human services, public transportation, and functioning utility

networks such as water, electricity and telecommunications (Dwyer, Zoppou, Nielsen, Day, &

Roberts, 2004). The quicker these at-risk groups are connected to supportive services after

emergencies, the more they will be able to maintain independence. Connecting the most

vulnerable populations to resources also reduces the post-incident cumulative stressors that can

further compound negative public health outcomes.

Legal Compliance and Assistance

Boston leadership can leverage this research to assess Boston’s emergency plans for

accounting for these populations, which are protected by civil rights statutes. They have a legally

protected right to be involved in the planning process, included in the emergency management

plans, and have access to post-incident services provide by local, state, federal, and

nongovernmental organizations. This reality demands that FEMA provide clearer guidance and

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support for cities in America to build resilience in people in addition to the environment and the

infrastructure that supports them. FEMA can further support resilient communities by

incorporating the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework analysis into their risk

assessment for the Urban Area Security Initiative. This effort provides grant funding to many of

the larger American cities and encouraging cities to conduct this analysis for their jurisdictions.

The logical next step after the analysis, as recommended for Boston, is to assess emergency

plans for alignment with the needs of their communities.

A good model for providing guidance from a federal agency to partners is a Federal

Transit Administration’s report on civil rights and emergency preparedness (Milligan &

Company, 2007). This report provides guidance on practices that help transit authorities

understand the populations in their communities, their civil rights, and provide considerations for

evacuation. The Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can be used as a tool to update

the report. Additionally, FEMA and HHS can partner with the Federal Transit Administration to

develop similar guidance for American cities.

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security and the U.S. Department of Health and

Human Services can use the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework to partner with

cities to develop a similar report that also includes evidence-informed recommendations for

community engagement and inclusive planning that will be tied to funding. This requires that

emergency management and public health work closely together to develop a roadmap for how

they are going to increase their cities’ resilience.

Future Research

This research shows that the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework can

help to better understand the relationship between social factors of vulnerability in cities. This is

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the first study of social vulnerability using this particular approach. The research was limited in

scope. However, I would like to continue this research to further explore each neighborhood and

better define the specific mitigation, response, and recovery actions that can be taken within the

neighborhoods of Boston.

The Boston Redevelopment Authority planning districts combine some neighborhoods

and separates Dorchester. The Boston Redevelopment Authority has a database which aligns the

planning districts with some of the smaller neighborhoods, such as Mission Hill, Longwood

Medical Area, North End, and West End (although it still does not have Chinatown or other well-

known sub-neighborhoods such as Grove Hall, Upham’s Corner, Fields Corner). I intend to

repeat the process for the City of Boston based on the smaller geographic units to determine if

there are any further lessons that can be learned about vulnerable populations in each area.

In the next iterations of this research, I will include the actual U.S. Census Bureau data

for people without vehicles and conduct a hot spot analysis for each of the most vulnerable

groups identified in the neighborhood correlation analyses to locate their concentrations at the

neighborhood level. Additionally, I would like to use the results to identify the organizations that

interact with the most vulnerable populations.

Conclusion

History has shown that socially vulnerable populations are disproportionately impacted

by disasters. These groups experience disproportionate suffering, particularly from public health

and safety impacts such as injuries, death, and a decreased likelihood of recovery (Cutter &

Emrich, 2006; Flanagan, Gregory, Hallisey, Heitgerd, & Lewis, 2011; Fothergill, Maestas, &

Darlington, 1999). Their social circumstances are complicated. However, current emergency

plans and risk assessments primarily focus on physical and environmental infrastructure (Mileti,

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1999). These plans and assessments lack analysis of the social conditions and characteristics of

vulnerable individuals who need to be incorporated into mitigation, response, and recovery

plans.

In emergency management, it is easy to become distracted by the gadgets, consultants,

and the next new technology. It is important that local government does not lose sight of the

fundamental purpose of emergency management: to protect people. We have consistently

witnessed the devastating impacts of emergencies and large scale disasters on socially vulnerable

Americans.

Identifying and understanding the concentrations of specific segments of socially

vulnerable populations informs risk assessment and focuses preparedness efforts to reduce the

incidence of injuries and death in emergencies. “Planning is a process to manage risk” (Federal

Emergency Management Agency, 2010). Emergency plans are based on risk assessments. Risk

assessments are a foundational component of both comprehensive emergency management

programs and the national preparedness mission areas of prevention, protection, mitigation,

response, and recovery (U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2013b). Incorporating socially

vulnerable populations within the risk management process ensures they are part of emergency

planning and resilience considerations. It is crucial that social vulnerability is included as part of

a jurisdiction’s risk assessment to direct mitigation efforts in cities. This ensures that mitigation

efforts go beyond building and environmental strategies and includes approaches to increase the

resilience of people and communities. It is also important to remember that it is the inter-

relationship between social characteristics, rather than an individual characteristic, that provides

a more accurate picture of vulnerability.

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Based on this research, vulnerability varies across Boston neighborhoods. Despite these

challenges, we have significant opportunities for improvement to move away from inequities in

preparedness efforts caused by the false assumption of a “general population” and towards

planning that reflects the social conditions, characteristics, and needs of our communities. This

research presents the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework as a new tool to

strengthen national health security and increase social equity in mitigation, response, and

recovery. If Boston and other cities adopt this approach, we would have an equitable

development and execution of emergency plans that protects the rights of all people in our

communities. Rather than waiting for people to suffer after an emergency and incur the

economic and public health costs, using the Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework is

an investment in building community resilience.

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Morrow, B. H. (1999). Identifying and Mapping Community Vulnerability. Disasters, 23(1), 1-

18.

Pantell, M., Rehkopf, D., Jutte, D., Syme, S. L., Balmes, J., & Adler, N. (2013). Social isolation:

a predictor of mortality comparable to traditional clinical risk factors. American Journal

of Public Health, 103(11), 2056-2062. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301261

Paulison, R. D. (2005). Civil Rights Program. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Homeland

Security.

Rosso, P. (2012). Northampton Street project gets the OK from city, Boston Globe. Retrieved

from

http://www.boston.com/yourtown/news/roxbury/2012/09/northampton_street_project_get

.html

U.S. Census Bureau. (2012). 2012 ACS 5-Year Estimates. Retrieved from:

http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/download_center.xhtml

http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid=ACS_12_5Y

R_DP04&prodType=table

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2010). Public Health Workbook: To Define,

Locate, and Reach Special, Vulnerable, and At-Risk Populations in an Emergency.

Washington, D.C.

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. (2009). National Health Security Strategy of

the United States of America. Washington, D.C.

U.S. Department of Homeland Security. (2013a). National Mitigation Framework. Washington,

D.C.

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U.S. Department of Homeland Security. (2013b). NIPP 2013: Partnering for Critical

Infrastructure Security and Resilience. Washington, D.C.

U.S. Department of Homeland Security. (2014). 2014 Quadrennial Homeland Security Review.

Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

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Appendix A: Social Determinants of Vulnerability Frameworks

Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

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Boston Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

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Expanded Boston Social Determinants of Vulnerability Framework

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Appendix B: Hot Spot Maps for each Social Determinant of Vulnerability

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=

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Appendix C: Neighborhood Correlation Analyses

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 0.933 0.489 0.846 0.685 0.851 0.684 .461 0.532 0.828 0.669 0.683

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .039 .000 .002 .000 .002 .054 .023 .000 .002 .002

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.933 1 0.504 0.821 0.66 0.822 0.698 0.54 0.631 0.731 0.737 0.594

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .033 .000 .003 .000 .001 .021 .005 .001 .000 .009

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.489 0.504 1 0.502 .339 .447 0.751 .412 .139 .223 .334 -.015

Sig. (2-tailed) .039 .033 .034 .169 .063 .000 .089 .583 .374 .176 .953

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.846 0.821 0.502 1 .324 0.592 .432 .041 .289 .456 .387 .321

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .034 .190 .010 .074 .873 .244 .057 .113 .194

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.685 0.66 .339 .324 1 0.954 0.708 0.724 0.548 0.867 0.683 0.835

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .003 .169 .190 .000 .001 .001 .018 .000 .002 .000

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.851 0.822 .447 0.592 0.954 1 0.739 0.63 0.559 0.883 0.704 0.813

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .063 .010 .000 .000 .005 .016 .000 .001 .000

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.684 0.698 0.751 .432 0.708 0.739 1 0.756 .406 0.613 0.607 .413

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .001 .000 .074 .001 .000 .000 .094 .007 .008 .088

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

.461 0.54 .412 .041 0.724 0.63 0.756 1 0.716 0.645 0.807 0.537

Sig. (2-tailed) .054 .021 .089 .873 .001 .005 .000 .001 .004 .000 .022

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.532 0.631 .139 .289 0.548 0.559 .406 0.716 1 0.665 0.959 0.59

Sig. (2-tailed) .023 .005 .583 .244 .018 .016 .094 .001 .003 .000 .010

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.828 0.731 .223 .456 0.867 0.883 0.613 0.645 0.665 1 0.765 0.933

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .374 .057 .000 .000 .007 .004 .003 .000 .000

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.669 0.737 .334 .387 0.683 0.704 0.607 0.807 0.959 0.765 1 0.621

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .000 .176 .113 .002 .001 .008 .000 .000 .000 .006

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Pearson Correlation

0.683 0.594 -.015 .321 0.835 0.813 .413 0.537 0.59 0.933 0.621 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .009 .953 .194 .000 .000 .088 .022 .010 .000 .006

N 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc

Women

occ_renter

Allston/Brighton Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .747 .791 .808 .654 .940 .405 .871 .975 .942 .979 .899

Sig. (2-tailed) .013 .006 .005 .040 .000 .245 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

0.747 1.000 .494 .824 .493 .845 .346 .776 .635 .768 .660 .642

Sig. (2-tailed) .013 .147 .003 .148 .002 .327 .008 .049 .010 .038 .045

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.791 .494 1 .606 .348 .612 .025 .489 .813 .635 .824 .691

Sig. (2-tailed) .006 .147 .063 .325 .060 .946 .152 .004 .049 .003 .027

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.808 .824 .606 1 .204 .767 .046 .727 .699 .671 .748 .520

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .003 .063 .572 .010 .901 .017 .025 .034 .013 .123

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.654 .493 .348 .204 1 .785 .722 .742 .702 .852 .653 .878

Sig. (2-tailed) .040 .148 .325 .572 .007 .018 .014 .024 .002 .041 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.940 .845 .612 .767 .785 1 .502 .947 .903 .983 .902 .905

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .060 .010 .007 .139 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.405 .346 .025 .046 .722 .502 1 .542 .443 .584 .380 .565

Sig. (2-tailed) .245 .327 .946 .901 .018 .139 .106 .200 .076 .279 .089

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.871 .776 .489 .727 .742 .947 .542 1 .856 .938 .862 .782

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .008 .152 .017 .014 .000 .106 .002 .000 .001 .008

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.975 .635 .813 .699 .702 .903 .443 .856 1 .933 .994 .906

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .049 .004 .025 .024 .000 .200 .002 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.942 .768 .635 .671 .852 .983 .584 .938 .933 1 .919 .948

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .010 .049 .034 .002 .000 .076 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.979 .660 .824 .748 .653 .902 .380 .862 .994 .919 1 .874

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .038 .003 .013 .041 .000 .279 .001 .000 .000 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.899 .642 .691 .520 .878 .905 .565 .782 .906 .948 .874 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .045 .027 .123 .001 .000 .089 .008 .000 .000 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

Back Bay/Beacon Hill Correlations

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .746 .627 .442 .805 .854 .875 .811 .873 .969 .860 .956

Sig. (2-tailed) .089 .182 .380 .053 .030 .022 .050 .023 .001 .028 .003

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.746 1 .491 .695 .612 .711 .833 .625 .553 .763 .536 .662

Sig. (2-tailed) .089 .322 .125 .197 .113 .040 .185 .255 .078 .273 .152

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.627 .491 1 -.191 .632 .577 .421 .622 .548 .548 .536 .572

Sig. (2-tailed) .182 .322 .717 .178 .231 .406 .188 .260 .260 .273 .236

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.442 .695 -.191 1 .114 .284 .539 .123 .442 .491 .437 .325

Sig. (2-tailed) .380 .125 .717 .830 .585 .270 .817 .380 .322 .386 .530

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.805 .612 .632 .114 1 .985 .881 .997 .578 .872 .567 .923

Sig. (2-tailed) .053 .197 .178 .830 .000 .020 .000 .229 .023 .241 .009

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.854 .711 .577 .284 .985 1 .944 .983 .635 .927 .623 .947

Sig. (2-tailed) .030 .113 .231 .585 .000 .005 .000 .175 .008 .186 .004

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.875 .833 .421 .539 .881 .944 1 .896 .616 .933 .601 .922

Sig. (2-tailed) .022 .040 .406 .270 .020 .005 .016 .192 .007 .207 .009

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.811 .625 .622 .123 .997 .983 .896 1 .552 .868 .539 .927

Sig. (2-tailed) .050 .185 .188 .817 .000 .000 .016 .256 .025 .270 .008

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.873 .553 .548 .442 .578 .635 .616 .552 1 .852 1.000 .778

Sig. (2-tailed) .023 .255 .260 .380 .229 .175 .192 .256 .031 .000 .068

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.969 .763 .548 .491 .872 .927 .933 .868 .852 1 .842 .973

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .078 .260 .322 .023 .008 .007 .025 .031 .035 .001

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.860 .536 .536 .437 .567 .623 .601 .539 1.000 .842 1 .766

Sig. (2-tailed) .028 .273 .273 .386 .241 .186 .207 .270 .000 .035 .076

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Pearson Correlation

.956 .662 .572 .325 .923 .947 .922 .927 .778 .973 .766 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .152 .236 .530 .009 .004 .009 .008 .068 .001 .076

N 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Charlestwon Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .914 .832 .952 .656 .837 .671 .687 .868 .931 .966 .873

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .005 .000 .055 .005 .048 .041 .002 .000 .000 .002

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.914 1 .765 .953 .769 .915 .858 .706 .870 .799 .886 .764

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .016 .000 .015 .001 .003 .034 .002 .010 .001 .017

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.832 .765 1 .711 .788 .830 .755 .877 .934 .833 .926 .717

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .016 .032 .012 .006 .019 .002 .000 .005 .000 .030

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.952 .953 .711 1 .652 .853 .703 .613 .831 .838 .893 .818

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .032 .057 .003 .035 .080 .006 .005 .001 .007

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.656 .769 .788 .652 1 .952 .911 .918 .897 .673 .721 .606

Sig. (2-tailed) .055 .015 .012 .057 .000 .001 .000 .001 .047 .028 .084

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.837 .915 .830 .853 .952 1 .911 .880 .953 .802 .858 .748

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .001 .006 .003 .000 .001 .002 .000 .009 .003 .020

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.671 .858 .755 .703 .911 .911 1 .846 .827 .556 .713 .485

Sig. (2-tailed) .048 .003 .019 .035 .001 .001 .004 .006 .120 .031 .186

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.687 .706 .877 .613 .918 .880 .846 1 .866 .675 .749 .526

Sig. (2-tailed) .041 .034 .002 .080 .000 .002 .004 .003 .046 .020 .146

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.868 .870 .934 .831 .897 .953 .827 .866 1 .882 .938 .827

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .002 .000 .006 .001 .000 .006 .003 .002 .000 .006

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.931 .799 .833 .838 .673 .802 .556 .675 .882 1 .940 .963

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .010 .005 .005 .047 .009 .120 .046 .002 .000 .000

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.966 .886 .926 .893 .721 .858 .713 .749 .938 .940 1 .887

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .000 .001 .028 .003 .031 .020 .000 .000 .001

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Pearson Correlation

.873 .764 .717 .818 .606 .748 .485 .526 .827 .963 .887 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .017 .030 .007 .084 .020 .186 .146 .006 .000 .001

N 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

Downtown Correlations

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .925 .974 .843 .918 .954 .776 .887 .982 .982 .974 .929

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.925 1 .890 .882 .851 .911 .664 .765 .863 .895 .844 .844

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .010 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.974 .890 1 .777 .955 .966 .831 .920 .976 .957 .968 .923

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.843 .882 .777 1 .703 .825 .421 .547 .792 .786 .762 .756

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .001 .005 .000 .134 .043 .001 .001 .002 .002

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.918 .851 .955 .703 1 .982 .853 .919 .900 .923 .897 .964

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .005 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.954 .911 .966 .825 .982 1 .790 .875 .926 .943 .916 .967

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.776 .664 .831 .421 .853 .790 1 .956 .791 .838 .819 .827

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .010 .000 .134 .000 .001 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.887 .765 .920 .547 .919 .875 .956 1 .894 .928 .911 .902

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .000 .043 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.982 .863 .976 .792 .900 .926 .791 .894 1 .964 .997 .897

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.982 .895 .957 .786 .923 .943 .838 .928 .964 1 .965 .957

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.974 .844 .968 .762 .897 .916 .819 .911 .997 .965 1 .899

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.929 .844 .923 .756 .964 .967 .827 .902 .897 .957 .899 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

East Boston Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .760 .444 .738 .701 .808 .595 .262 -.027 .922 .305 .940

Sig. (2-tailed) .011 .199 .015 .024 .005 .069 .465 .941 .000 .391 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.760 1 .335 .768 .606 .730 .728 .418 .222 .524 .498 .555

Sig. (2-tailed) .011 .344 .010 .063 .016 .017 .229 .538 .120 .143 .096

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.444 .335 1 .053 .298 .279 .055 .526 .607 .452 .655 .446

Sig. (2-tailed) .199 .344 .884 .403 .435 .879 .118 .063 .190 .040 .197

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.738 .768 .053 1 .326 .538 .782 .046 -.221 .453 .053 .523

Sig. (2-tailed) .015 .010 .884 .357 .108 .008 .899 .540 .189 .884 .121

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.701 .606 .298 .326 1 .972 .332 .357 .176 .774 .474 .764

Sig. (2-tailed) .024 .063 .403 .357 .000 .349 .311 .627 .009 .166 .010

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.808 .730 .279 .538 .972 1 .489 .330 .102 .802 .436 .810

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .016 .435 .108 .000 .151 .352 .779 .005 .208 .004

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.595 .728 .055 .782 .332 .489 1 -.005 -.303 .352 -.072 .425

Sig. (2-tailed) .069 .017 .879 .008 .349 .151 .988 .395 .318 .842 .221

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.262 .418 .526 .046 .357 .330 -.005 1 .868 .256 .897 .278

Sig. (2-tailed) .465 .229 .118 .899 .311 .352 .988 .001 .475 .000 .437

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

-.027 .222 .607 -.221 .176 .102 -.303 .868 1 -.017 .926 -.021

Sig. (2-tailed) .941 .538 .063 .540 .627 .779 .395 .001 .963 .000 .953

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.922 .524 .452 .453 .774 .802 .352 .256 -.017 1 .280 .992

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .120 .190 .189 .009 .005 .318 .475 .963 .433 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.305 .498 .655 .053 .474 .436 -.072 .897 .926 .280 1 .282

Sig. (2-tailed) .391 .143 .040 .884 .166 .208 .842 .000 .000 .433 .429

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.940 .555 .446 .523 .764 .810 .425 .278 -.021 .992 .282 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .096 .197 .121 .010 .004 .221 .437 .953 .000 .429

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Fenway/Kenmore Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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118

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .952 .864 .988 .971 .986 .886 .971 .987 .943 .988 .885

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .006 .000 .000 .000 .003 .000 .000 .000 .000 .004

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.952 1 .790 .968 .912 .942 .740 .876 .932 .907 .942 .867

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .020 .000 .002 .000 .036 .004 .001 .002 .000 .005

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.864 .790 1 .853 .868 .869 .881 .873 .932 .668 .927 .566

Sig. (2-tailed) .006 .020 .007 .005 .005 .004 .005 .001 .070 .001 .143

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.988 .968 .853 1 .967 .988 .866 .957 .973 .917 .977 .895

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .007 .000 .000 .005 .000 .000 .001 .000 .003

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.971 .912 .868 .967 1 .995 .934 .989 .972 .875 .968 .819

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .005 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .004 .000 .013

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.986 .942 .869 .988 .995 1 .914 .984 .980 .899 .979 .856

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .005 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .002 .000 .007

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.886 .740 .881 .866 .934 .914 1 .966 .909 .760 .899 .698

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .036 .004 .005 .001 .001 .000 .002 .029 .002 .054

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.971 .876 .873 .957 .989 .984 .966 1 .969 .884 .964 .829

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .004 .005 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .004 .000 .011

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.987 .932 .932 .973 .972 .980 .909 .969 1 .883 .999 .803

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .001 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .004 .000 .016

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.943 .907 .668 .917 .875 .899 .760 .884 .883 1 .888 .956

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .070 .001 .004 .002 .029 .004 .004 .003 .000

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.988 .942 .927 .977 .968 .979 .899 .964 .999 .888 1 .810

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .000 .003 .015

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.885 .867 .566 .895 .819 .856 .698 .829 .803 .956 .810 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .005 .143 .003 .013 .007 .054 .011 .016 .000 .015

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

Hyde Park Correlations

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119

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .918 .825 .680 .886 .905 .769 .863 .903 .892 .893 .866

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .005 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.918 1 .766 .637 .898 .907 .832 .886 .741 .808 .727 .818

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .011 .000 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .002 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.825 .766 1 .454 .706 .704 .699 .812 .622 .543 .613 .529

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .089 .003 .003 .004 .000 .013 .036 .015 .043

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.680 .637 .454 1 .596 .712 .529 .551 .755 .632 .782 .683

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .011 .089 .019 .003 .042 .033 .001 .011 .001 .005

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.886 .898 .706 .596 1 .988 .838 .943 .728 .898 .728 .930

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .003 .019 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .002 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.905 .907 .704 .712 .988 1 .834 .930 .781 .906 .786 .944

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .003 .003 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .001 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.769 .832 .699 .529 .838 .834 1 .934 .580 .680 .589 .705

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .000 .004 .042 .000 .000 .000 .024 .005 .021 .003

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.863 .886 .812 .551 .943 .930 .934 1 .680 .774 .682 .794

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .033 .000 .000 .000 .005 .001 .005 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.903 .741 .622 .755 .728 .781 .580 .680 1 .874 .997 .808

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .013 .001 .002 .001 .024 .005 .000 .000 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.892 .808 .543 .632 .898 .906 .680 .774 .874 1 .867 .975

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .036 .011 .000 .000 .005 .001 .000 .000 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.893 .727 .613 .782 .728 .786 .589 .682 .997 .867 1 .808

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .015 .001 .002 .001 .021 .005 .000 .000 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Pearson Correlation

.866 .818 .529 .683 .930 .944 .705 .794 .808 .975 .808 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .043 .005 .000 .000 .003 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

Jamaica Plain Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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120

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .918 .792 .768 .781 .868 .774 .977 .947 .986 .923 .968

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .019 .026 .022 .005 .024 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.918 1 .712 .750 .780 .863 .898 .966 .897 .908 .899 .894

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .048 .032 .022 .006 .002 .000 .003 .002 .002 .003

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.792 .712 1 .291 .948 .909 .767 .761 .628 .831 .578 .782

Sig. (2-tailed) .019 .048 .485 .000 .002 .027 .028 .095 .011 .134 .022

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.768 .750 .291 1 .396 .578 .514 .749 .867 .729 .891 .654

Sig. (2-tailed) .026 .032 .485 .331 .134 .192 .032 .005 .040 .003 .079

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.781 .780 .948 .396 1 .978 .849 .774 .686 .833 .656 .740

Sig. (2-tailed) .022 .022 .000 .331 .000 .008 .024 .060 .010 .077 .036

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.868 .863 .909 .578 .978 1 .871 .857 .806 .905 .784 .805

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .006 .002 .134 .000 .005 .007 .016 .002 .021 .016

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.774 .898 .767 .514 .849 .871 1 .855 .759 .767 .772 .796

Sig. (2-tailed) .024 .002 .027 .192 .008 .005 .007 .029 .026 .025 .018

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.977 .966 .761 .749 .774 .857 .855 1 .934 .962 .925 .974

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .028 .032 .024 .007 .007 .001 .000 .001 .000

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.947 .897 .628 .867 .686 .806 .759 .934 1 .910 .994 .908

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .003 .095 .005 .060 .016 .029 .001 .002 .000 .002

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.986 .908 .831 .729 .833 .905 .767 .962 .910 1 .883 .943

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .011 .040 .010 .002 .026 .000 .002 .004 .000

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.923 .899 .578 .891 .656 .784 .772 .925 .994 .883 1 .885

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .002 .134 .003 .077 .021 .025 .001 .000 .004 .003

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.968 .894 .782 .654 .740 .805 .796 .974 .908 .943 .885 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .003 .022 .079 .036 .016 .018 .000 .002 .000 .003

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Mattapan Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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121

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .960 .825 .893 .233 .425 .770 .534 .746 .394 .836 .689

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .012 .003 .579 .294 .025 .173 .034 .333 .010 .059

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.960 1 .881 .837 .421 .593 .738 .568 .778 .506 .810 .798

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .004 .010 .299 .121 .037 .141 .023 .201 .015 .018

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.825 .881 1 .759 .423 .578 .784 .756 .717 .400 .717 .579

Sig. (2-tailed) .012 .004 .029 .296 .134 .021 .030 .045 .326 .046 .132

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.893 .837 .759 1 .054 .277 .833 .327 .647 .212 .778 .448

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .010 .029 .899 .506 .010 .429 .083 .614 .023 .265

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.233 .421 .423 .054 1 .974 -.140 .331 .627 .863 .419 .787

Sig. (2-tailed) .579 .299 .296 .899 .000 .741 .423 .096 .006 .302 .020

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.425 .593 .578 .277 .974 1 .053 .392 .749 .878 .578 .858

Sig. (2-tailed) .294 .121 .134 .506 .000 .901 .337 .032 .004 .133 .006

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.770 .738 .784 .833 -.140 .053 1 .603 .295 -.162 .426 .208

Sig. (2-tailed) .025 .037 .021 .010 .741 .901 .114 .478 .701 .292 .621

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.534 .568 .756 .327 .331 .392 .603 1 .306 .092 .264 .363

Sig. (2-tailed) .173 .141 .030 .429 .423 .337 .114 .462 .828 .528 .377

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.746 .778 .717 .647 .627 .749 .295 .306 1 .829 .966 .791

Sig. (2-tailed) .034 .023 .045 .083 .096 .032 .478 .462 .011 .000 .019

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.394 .506 .400 .212 .863 .878 -.162 .092 .829 1 .692 .837

Sig. (2-tailed) .333 .201 .326 .614 .006 .004 .701 .828 .011 .057 .010

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.836 .810 .717 .778 .419 .578 .426 .264 .966 .692 1 .704

Sig. (2-tailed) .010 .015 .046 .023 .302 .133 .292 .528 .000 .057 .051

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Pearson Correlation

.689 .798 .579 .448 .787 .858 .208 .363 .791 .837 .704 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .059 .018 .132 .265 .020 .006 .621 .377 .019 .010 .051

N 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

North Dorchester Correlations

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122

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .845 .913 .664 .813 .939 .350 .741 .954 .935 .931 .859

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .000 .036 .004 .000 .322 .014 .000 .000 .000 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.845 1 .935 .637 .723 .858 .475 .632 .847 .675 .836 .796

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .000 .048 .018 .001 .165 .050 .002 .032 .003 .006

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.913 .935 1 .501 .906 .928 .457 .797 .862 .843 .826 .899

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .140 .000 .000 .184 .006 .001 .002 .003 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.664 .637 .501 1 .257 .690 .172 .032 .792 .503 .834 .278

Sig. (2-tailed) .036 .048 .140 .474 .027 .636 .930 .006 .139 .003 .437

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.813 .723 .906 .257 1 .877 .330 .851 .698 .881 .633 .887

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .018 .000 .474 .001 .352 .002 .025 .001 .049 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.939 .858 .928 .690 .877 1 .332 .654 .917 .910 .889 .803

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .000 .027 .001 .348 .040 .000 .000 .001 .005

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.350 .475 .457 .172 .330 .332 1 .345 .293 .264 .281 .288

Sig. (2-tailed) .322 .165 .184 .636 .352 .348 .328 .411 .460 .432 .420

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.741 .632 .797 .032 .851 .654 .345 1 .586 .737 .521 .908

Sig. (2-tailed) .014 .050 .006 .930 .002 .040 .328 .075 .015 .123 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.954 .847 .862 .792 .698 .917 .293 .586 1 .842 .995 .728

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .001 .006 .025 .000 .411 .075 .002 .000 .017

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.935 .675 .843 .503 .881 .910 .264 .737 .842 1 .796 .848

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .032 .002 .139 .001 .000 .460 .015 .002 .006 .002

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.931 .836 .826 .834 .633 .889 .281 .521 .995 .796 1 .669

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .003 .003 .003 .049 .001 .432 .123 .000 .006 .034

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.859 .796 .899 .278 .887 .803 .288 .908 .728 .848 .669 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .006 .000 .437 .001 .005 .420 .000 .017 .002 .034

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

Roslindale Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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123

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .845 .913 .664 .813 .939 .350 .741 .954 .935 .931 .859

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .000 .036 .004 .000 .322 .014 .000 .000 .000 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.845 1 .935 .637 .723 .858 .475 .632 .847 .675 .836 .796

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .000 .048 .018 .001 .165 .050 .002 .032 .003 .006

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.913 .935 1 .501 .906 .928 .457 .797 .862 .843 .826 .899

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .140 .000 .000 .184 .006 .001 .002 .003 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.664 .637 .501 1 .257 .690 .172 .032 .792 .503 .834 .278

Sig. (2-tailed) .036 .048 .140 .474 .027 .636 .930 .006 .139 .003 .437

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.813 .723 .906 .257 1 .877 .330 .851 .698 .881 .633 .887

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .018 .000 .474 .001 .352 .002 .025 .001 .049 .001

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.939 .858 .928 .690 .877 1 .332 .654 .917 .910 .889 .803

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .000 .027 .001 .348 .040 .000 .000 .001 .005

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.350 .475 .457 .172 .330 .332 1 .345 .293 .264 .281 .288

Sig. (2-tailed) .322 .165 .184 .636 .352 .348 .328 .411 .460 .432 .420

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.741 .632 .797 .032 .851 .654 .345 1 .586 .737 .521 .908

Sig. (2-tailed) .014 .050 .006 .930 .002 .040 .328 .075 .015 .123 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.954 .847 .862 .792 .698 .917 .293 .586 1 .842 .995 .728

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .001 .006 .025 .000 .411 .075 .002 .000 .017

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.935 .675 .843 .503 .881 .910 .264 .737 .842 1 .796 .848

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .032 .002 .139 .001 .000 .460 .015 .002 .006 .002

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.931 .836 .826 .834 .633 .889 .281 .521 .995 .796 1 .669

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .003 .003 .003 .049 .001 .432 .123 .000 .006 .034

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.859 .796 .899 .278 .887 .803 .288 .908 .728 .848 .669 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .006 .000 .437 .001 .005 .420 .000 .017 .002 .034

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

Roslindale Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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124

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .931 .916 .853 .871 .901 .720 .934 .802 .973 .771 .891

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.931 1 .839 .883 .834 .876 .782 .858 .659 .893 .638 .827

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .002 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.916 .839 1 .708 .832 .841 .724 .936 .754 .854 .724 .751

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.853 .883 .708 1 .754 .829 .730 .742 .594 .828 .607 .809

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .006 .000 .005 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.871 .834 .832 .754 1 .992 .699 .787 .663 .878 .614 .898

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .001 .000 .004 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.901 .876 .841 .829 .992 1 .732 .809 .676 .902 .636 .916

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .003 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.720 .782 .724 .730 .699 .732 1 .795 .580 .725 .679 .640

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .000 .000 .007 .000 .001 .002

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.934 .858 .936 .742 .787 .809 .795 1 .823 .896 .847 .777

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.802 .659 .754 .594 .663 .676 .580 .823 1 .855 .964 .729

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .000 .006 .001 .001 .007 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.973 .893 .854 .828 .878 .902 .725 .896 .855 1 .830 .920

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.771 .638 .724 .607 .614 .636 .679 .847 .964 .830 1 .694

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .002 .000 .005 .004 .003 .001 .000 .000 .000 .001

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Pearson Correlation

.891 .827 .751 .809 .898 .916 .640 .777 .729 .920 .694 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .002 .000 .000 .000 .001

N 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Roxbury Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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125

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .725 .649 .805 .653 .823 .735 .473 .849 .943 .817 .877

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .016 .001 .015 .001 .004 .103 .000 .000 .001 .000

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.725 1 .845 .408 .851 .895 .789 .687 .402 .578 .361 .673

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .000 .167 .000 .000 .001 .009 .173 .039 .225 .012

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.649 .845 1 .187 .961 .935 .896 .886 .243 .490 .185 .633

Sig. (2-tailed) .016 .000 .542 .000 .000 .000 .000 .423 .089 .544 .020

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.805 .408 .187 1 .155 .420 .331 -.064 .910 .771 .894 .544

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .167 .542 .612 .153 .270 .835 .000 .002 .000 .055

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.653 .851 .961 .155 1 .962 .929 .947 .194 .482 .143 .689

Sig. (2-tailed) .015 .000 .000 .612 .000 .000 .000 .526 .095 .641 .009

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.823 .895 .935 .420 .962 1 .945 .852 .430 .657 .379 .783

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .000 .000 .153 .000 .000 .000 .142 .015 .202 .002

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.735 .789 .896 .331 .929 .945 1 .876 .294 .561 .234 .705

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .001 .000 .270 .000 .000 .000 .329 .046 .442 .007

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.473 .687 .886 -.064 .947 .852 .876 1 -.032 .317 -.084 .582

Sig. (2-tailed) .103 .009 .000 .835 .000 .000 .000 .918 .291 .784 .037

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.849 .402 .243 .910 .194 .430 .294 -.032 1 .909 .996 .689

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .173 .423 .000 .526 .142 .329 .918 .000 .000 .009

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.943 .578 .490 .771 .482 .657 .561 .317 .909 1 .894 .902

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .039 .089 .002 .095 .015 .046 .291 .000 .000 .000

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.817 .361 .185 .894 .143 .379 .234 -.084 .996 .894 1 .665

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .225 .544 .000 .641 .202 .442 .784 .000 .000 .013

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Pearson Correlation

.877 .673 .633 .544 .689 .783 .705 .582 .689 .902 .665 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .012 .020 .055 .009 .002 .007 .037 .009 .000 .013

N 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

South Boston Correlations

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .859 .815 .704 .375 .551 .702 .623 .969 .979 .963 .871

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .005 .187 .041 .005 .017 .000 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.859 1 .875 .589 .660 .795 .792 .689 .818 .873 .788 .821

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .027 .010 .001 .001 .006 .000 .000 .001 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.815 .875 1 .498 .666 .775 .710 .671 .729 .821 .726 .831

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .070 .009 .001 .004 .009 .003 .000 .003 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.704 .589 .498 1 .000 .270 .236 .020 .739 .673 .774 .434

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .027 .070 1.000 .351 .417 .947 .003 .008 .001 .121

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.375 .660 .666 .000 1 .963 .790 .682 .358 .431 .310 .405

Sig. (2-tailed) .187 .010 .009 1.000 .000 .001 .007 .209 .124 .281 .151

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.551 .795 .775 .270 .963 1 .824 .662 .544 .597 .508 .507

Sig. (2-tailed) .041 .001 .001 .351 .000 .000 .010 .044 .024 .064 .064

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.702 .792 .710 .236 .790 .824 1 .741 .657 .751 .616 .679

Sig. (2-tailed) .005 .001 .004 .417 .001 .000 .002 .011 .002 .019 .008

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.623 .689 .671 .020 .682 .662 .741 1 .561 .614 .502 .705

Sig. (2-tailed) .017 .006 .009 .947 .007 .010 .002 .037 .020 .067 .005

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.969 .818 .729 .739 .358 .544 .657 .561 1 .960 .995 .780

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .003 .003 .209 .044 .011 .037 .000 .000 .001

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.979 .873 .821 .673 .431 .597 .751 .614 .960 1 .951 .885

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .008 .124 .024 .002 .020 .000 .000 .000

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.963 .788 .726 .774 .310 .508 .616 .502 .995 .951 1 .763

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .001 .003 .001 .281 .064 .019 .067 .000 .000 .001

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

Pearson Correlation

.871 .821 .831 .434 .405 .507 .679 .705 .780 .885 .763 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .121 .151 .064 .008 .005 .001 .000 .001

N 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

Women

occ_renter

South Dorchester Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .556 .730 .535 .667 .729 .473 .698 .878 .901 .833 .854

Sig. (2-tailed) .095 .017 .111 .035 .017 .168 .025 .001 .000 .003 .002

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.556 1 .651 .138 .870 .798 .704 .840 .289 .382 .249 .320

Sig. (2-tailed) .095 .041 .704 .001 .006 .023 .002 .417 .276 .488 .367

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.730 .651 1 .503 .697 .747 .712 .661 .641 .494 .612 .419

Sig. (2-tailed) .017 .041 .139 .025 .013 .021 .037 .046 .146 .060 .228

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.535 .138 .503 1 .335 .567 .602 .284 .644 .526 .609 .414

Sig. (2-tailed) .111 .704 .139 .344 .087 .065 .426 .045 .118 .062 .235

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.667 .870 .697 .335 1 .966 .729 .880 .419 .572 .364 .400

Sig. (2-tailed) .035 .001 .025 .344 .000 .017 .001 .229 .084 .302 .252

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.729 .798 .747 .567 .966 1 .802 .847 .542 .644 .485 .463

Sig. (2-tailed) .017 .006 .013 .087 .000 .005 .002 .105 .044 .156 .178

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.473 .704 .712 .602 .729 .802 1 .793 .340 .323 .261 .147

Sig. (2-tailed) .168 .023 .021 .065 .017 .005 .006 .337 .363 .466 .686

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.698 .840 .661 .284 .880 .847 .793 1 .386 .544 .285 .386

Sig. (2-tailed) .025 .002 .037 .426 .001 .002 .006 .271 .104 .425 .270

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.878 .289 .641 .644 .419 .542 .340 .386 1 .910 .986 .915

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .417 .046 .045 .229 .105 .337 .271 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.901 .382 .494 .526 .572 .644 .323 .544 .910 1 .873 .953

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .276 .146 .118 .084 .044 .363 .104 .000 .001 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.833 .249 .612 .609 .364 .485 .261 .285 .986 .873 1 .902

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .488 .060 .062 .302 .156 .466 .425 .000 .001 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.854 .320 .419 .414 .400 .463 .147 .386 .915 .953 .902 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .367 .228 .235 .252 .178 .686 .270 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

South End Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .556 .730 .535 .667 .729 .473 .698 .878 .901 .833 .854

Sig. (2-tailed) .095 .017 .111 .035 .017 .168 .025 .001 .000 .003 .002

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.556 1 .651 .138 .870 .798 .704 .840 .289 .382 .249 .320

Sig. (2-tailed) .095 .041 .704 .001 .006 .023 .002 .417 .276 .488 .367

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.730 .651 1 .503 .697 .747 .712 .661 .641 .494 .612 .419

Sig. (2-tailed) .017 .041 .139 .025 .013 .021 .037 .046 .146 .060 .228

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.535 .138 .503 1 .335 .567 .602 .284 .644 .526 .609 .414

Sig. (2-tailed) .111 .704 .139 .344 .087 .065 .426 .045 .118 .062 .235

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.667 .870 .697 .335 1 .966 .729 .880 .419 .572 .364 .400

Sig. (2-tailed) .035 .001 .025 .344 .000 .017 .001 .229 .084 .302 .252

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.729 .798 .747 .567 .966 1 .802 .847 .542 .644 .485 .463

Sig. (2-tailed) .017 .006 .013 .087 .000 .005 .002 .105 .044 .156 .178

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.473 .704 .712 .602 .729 .802 1 .793 .340 .323 .261 .147

Sig. (2-tailed) .168 .023 .021 .065 .017 .005 .006 .337 .363 .466 .686

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.698 .840 .661 .284 .880 .847 .793 1 .386 .544 .285 .386

Sig. (2-tailed) .025 .002 .037 .426 .001 .002 .006 .271 .104 .425 .270

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.878 .289 .641 .644 .419 .542 .340 .386 1 .910 .986 .915

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .417 .046 .045 .229 .105 .337 .271 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.901 .382 .494 .526 .572 .644 .323 .544 .910 1 .873 .953

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .276 .146 .118 .084 .044 .363 .104 .000 .001 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.833 .249 .612 .609 .364 .485 .261 .285 .986 .873 1 .902

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .488 .060 .062 .302 .156 .466 .425 .000 .001 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Pearson Correlation

.854 .320 .419 .414 .400 .463 .147 .386 .915 .953 .902 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .002 .367 .228 .235 .252 .178 .686 .270 .000 .000 .000

N 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

lep

LessThanHS

poc2

South End Correlations

SocIsol

TotDis

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SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No lep

LessThanHS poc Women

occ_renter

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

Pearson Correlation

1 .516 .789 -.004 .910 .972 .745 .918 .597 .956 .504 .582

Sig. (2-tailed) .235 .035 .993 .004 .000 .055 .004 .157 .001 .249 .170

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.516 1 .318 .719 .136 .330 .078 .178 .773 .312 .764 .003

Sig. (2-tailed) .235 .487 .068 .772 .469 .868 .702 .041 .496 .046 .996

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.789 .318 1 -.019 .726 .771 .453 .773 .754 .784 .683 .166

Sig. (2-tailed) .035 .487 .968 .065 .042 .308 .042 .050 .037 .091 .722

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

-.004 .719 -.019 1 -.380 -.149 -.486 -.361 .573 -.265 .613 -.610

Sig. (2-tailed) .993 .068 .968 .400 .750 .268 .426 .179 .566 .143 .146

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.910 .136 .726 -.380 1 .971 .832 .994 .285 .969 .169 .746

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .772 .065 .400 .000 .020 .000 .535 .000 .718 .054

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.972 .330 .771 -.149 .971 1 .764 .970 .453 .968 .338 .640

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .469 .042 .750 .000 .045 .000 .308 .000 .458 .122

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.745 .078 .453 -.486 .832 .764 1 .807 .124 .855 .066 .803

Sig. (2-tailed) .055 .868 .308 .268 .020 .045 .028 .791 .014 .889 .030

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.918 .178 .773 -.361 .994 .970 .807 1 .349 .979 .229 .723

Sig. (2-tailed) .004 .702 .042 .426 .000 .000 .028 .443 .000 .622 .066

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.597 .773 .754 .573 .285 .453 .124 .349 1 .460 .986 -.209

Sig. (2-tailed) .157 .041 .050 .179 .535 .308 .791 .443 .299 .000 .652

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.956 .312 .784 -.265 .969 .968 .855 .979 .460 1 .355 .699

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .496 .037 .566 .000 .000 .014 .000 .299 .435 .081

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.504 .764 .683 .613 .169 .338 .066 .229 .986 .355 1 -.303

Sig. (2-tailed) .249 .046 .091 .143 .718 .458 .889 .622 .000 .435 .509

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pearson Correlation

.582 .003 .166 -.610 .746 .640 .803 .723 -.209 .699 -.303 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .170 .996 .722 .146 .054 .122 .030 .066 .652 .081 .509

N 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

LessThanHS

POC2

Women

OCC_RENTER

MedIllnes

NoVehicle

SocIsol

TotDis

TotChild

OlderAdult

Low_to_No

LEP

West Roxbury Correlations

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Appendix D: Sum and Percentage of Neighborhood Populations by Social Determinants of Vulnerability

Table B1: Sum of Neighborhood Populations

Community2010 Population

2010 Census Tract Count

Social Isolation Disability Children

Older Adults

Low‐to‐No Income

Limited English

Less Than High School

People of Color Women  Renters

Medical Illness

No Vehicle

Allston/Brighton 75,009                18                   7,745              6,187           4,585           6,087      20,965    27,052     4,243        25,433     35,267     24,175     24,175     12,192    

Back Bay/Beacon Hill 22,601                9                      3,123              1,044           1,906           2,761      2,555      5,316        231           3,643       11,097     8,766       8,766       7,048      

Charlestown 16,439                6                      2,502              1,535           3,301           1,811      4,157      5,968        1,296        3,981       7,519       4,314       4,314       1,967      

Downtown 30,023                9                      4,101              2,602           2,016           4,075      6,783      10,858     2,731        9,424       14,011     11,128     11,128     9,226      

East Boston 40,517                14                   5,926              5,180           8,665           4,147      13,698    17,845     9,159        25,459     14,874     10,624     10,624     5,754      

Fenway/Kenmore 41,788                10                   3,473              2,738           646               2,063      11,177    13,240     691           14,449     22,155     13,243     13,243     10,296    

Harbor Islands 535                      1                      ‐                   179               ‐               12            349          361           66              370           108           ‐           ‐           ‐          

Hyde Park 32,317                8                      4,904              3,824           6,954           4,174      5,724      9,898        3,147        23,189     13,407     4,930       4,930       2,065      

Jamaica Plain 42,160                15                   5,801              4,222           6,270           4,094      14,470    18,564     2,785        19,153     19,222     11,718     11,718     6,404      

Mattapan 33,682                8                      6,230              5,969           9,638           3,869      11,881    15,750     4,910        32,118     14,236     7,649       7,649       4,105      

North Dorchester 28,452                8                      4,251              3,702           6,389           2,277      10,417    12,694     4,327        18,847     11,489     7,484       7,484       3,868      

Roslindale 32,246                10                   4,922              4,077           7,146           3,845      6,817      10,662     2,925        16,661     14,029     6,366       6,366       2,659      

Roxbury 66,070                20                   12,393            10,423         16,689         5,800      27,688    33,488     9,042        59,164     26,950     18,388     18,388     10,651    

South Boston 33,674                13                   5,006              2,987           4,855           3,233      8,181      11,414     2,497        7,136       15,433     9,719       9,719       4,701      

South Dorchester 58,937                14                   9,458              8,730           14,589         6,234      16,148    22,382     8,637        43,663     23,756     12,545     12,545     6,398      

South End 32,708                10                   5,376              4,318           4,908           3,340      11,554    14,894     3,669        16,451     13,652     11,137     11,137     8,089      

West Roxbury 30,445                7                      4,773              2,984           6,102           5,365      3,495      8,860        1,384        8,143       13,434     4,723       4,723       1,341      

Grand Total 617,603              180                 89,984            70,701         104,659      63,187    176,059  239,246   61,740     327,284  270,639  166,909  236,938  96,764    

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Table B2: Percentages for Neighborhood Populations

Community 2010 Population% 2010 Census 

Tract Count %Social Isolation % Disability % Children %

Older Adults %

Low‐to‐No Income % Limited 

English %

Less Than High School %

People of Color % Women % Renters %

Medical Illness %

No Vehicle %

Allston/Brighton 12.15% 10.00% 10.33% 8.25% 6.11% 8.12% 27.95% 36.07% 5.66% 33.91% 47.02% 32.23% 32.23% 16.25%

Back Bay/Beacon Hill 3.66% 5.00% 13.82% 4.62% 8.43% 12.22% 11.30% 23.52% 1.02% 16.12% 49.10% 38.79% 38.79% 31.18%

Charlestown 2.66% 3.33% 15.22% 9.34% 20.08% 11.02% 25.29% 36.30% 7.88% 24.22% 45.74% 26.24% 26.24% 11.97%

Downtown 4.86% 5.00% 13.66% 8.67% 6.71% 13.57% 22.59% 36.17% 9.10% 31.39% 46.67% 37.06% 37.06% 30.73%

East Boston 6.56% 7.78% 14.63% 12.78% 21.39% 10.24% 33.81% 44.04% 22.61% 62.84% 36.71% 26.22% 26.22% 14.20%

Fenway/Kenmore 6.77% 5.56% 8.31% 6.55% 1.55% 4.94% 26.75% 31.68% 1.65% 34.58% 53.02% 31.69% 31.69% 24.64%

Harbor Islands 0.09% 0.56% 0.00% 33.46% 0.00% 2.24% 65.23% 67.48% 12.34% 69.16% 20.19% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Hyde Park 5.23% 4.44% 15.17% 11.83% 21.52% 12.92% 17.71% 30.63% 9.74% 71.75% 41.49% 15.26% 15.26% 6.39%

Jamaica Plain 6.83% 8.33% 13.76% 10.01% 14.87% 9.71% 34.32% 44.03% 6.61% 45.43% 45.59% 27.79% 27.79% 15.19%

Mattapan 5.45% 4.44% 18.50% 17.72% 28.61% 11.49% 35.27% 46.76% 14.58% 95.36% 42.27% 22.71% 22.71% 12.19%

North Dorchester 4.61% 4.44% 14.94% 13.01% 22.46% 8.00% 36.61% 44.62% 15.21% 66.24% 40.38% 26.30% 26.30% 13.59%

Roslindale 5.22% 5.56% 15.26% 12.64% 22.16% 11.92% 21.14% 33.06% 9.07% 51.67% 43.51% 19.74% 19.74% 8.25%

Roxbury 10.70% 11.11% 18.76% 15.78% 25.26% 8.78% 41.91% 50.69% 13.69% 89.55% 40.79% 27.83% 27.83% 16.12%

South Boston 5.45% 7.22% 14.87% 8.87% 14.42% 9.60% 24.29% 33.90% 7.42% 21.19% 45.83% 28.86% 28.86% 13.96%

South Dorchester 9.54% 7.78% 16.05% 14.81% 24.75% 10.58% 27.40% 37.98% 14.65% 74.08% 40.31% 21.29% 21.29% 10.86%

South End 5.30% 5.56% 16.44% 13.20% 15.01% 10.21% 35.32% 45.54% 11.22% 50.30% 41.74% 34.05% 34.05% 24.73%

West Roxbury 4.93% 3.89% 15.68% 3.00% 20.04% 17.62% 11.48% 29.10% 4.55% 26.75% 44.13% 15.51% 15.51% 4.40%

Grand Total 100% 100% 15% 11.45% 16.95% 10.23% 28.51% 38.74% 10.00% 52.99% 43.82% 27.03% 38.36% 15.67%

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References

Abkowitz, M. D. (2008). Opertional Risk Management: A Case Study Approach to Effective

Planning and Response. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Assessing Department. (2014). Search FY2014 Real Estate Assessments and Taxes. Retrieved

6/15/2014, from City of Boston http://www.cityofboston.gov/assessing/

Boston Housing Authority. (2014). Development Information. Retrieved 6/15/2014, 2014, from

http://www.bostonhousing.org/housing_dev.html

Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement. (2008). Human Rights and Natural Disasters:

Operational Guidelines and Field Manual on Human Rights Protection in Situations of

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