the role of smart electronic components & …...inverter-players-lose-market-share#gs.8x1iuo...
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The Role of Smart Electronic
Components & Systems in
Future Energy SystemsThomas Hammer, Albrecht Donat, Michael Metzger
CT REE ENS, Erlangen, Germay
siemens.tld/keywordRestricted © Siemens AG 2018
Future Energy Systems:
Requirements & Design
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Paris Agreement of COP21, Signed April 22, 2016
Source: C. Bertram et al., Global greenhouse gas emission pathways until 2050. Final report.
Project No. (FKZ) 3714 41 1670, Report No. FB000038/ENG, UBA, Dessau-Rosslau (2019)
public domain per 17 U.S.C. § 101 and § 105
and the Department Copyright InformationCO2 emissions in the
five main scenarios
What does it mean for us?
▪ Cut CO2 emissions as soon and as fast as possible
▪ Remove CO2 from ambient air!
2°C
1.5°C
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GHG Emissions of Germany Covered by
UN Framework Convention on Climate 1990 – 2018
751
563
375
427
313 299
284
200 196
164
168163
132
9382
79
66
64
61
51
1,251
907
866
,0
,200
,400
,600
,800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018*** Ziel
2020**
Ziel
2030**
Ziel
2040**
Ziel
2050**
Energy Industry Industry* Transport Households Commercial/Institutional Agriculture Waste and Waste Water Other Emissions*
substantial greenhouse gas
neutrality
Source: German Environment Agency, National Inventory Reports for the German Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990 to 2017 (as of 01/2019) and estimate for 2018
from UBA Press Release 09/2019 (corrected)
Emissions by UN reporting category, without land use, land use change and forestry* Industry: Energy and process-related emissions from industry (1.A.2 & 2);Other Emissions: Other combustion (rest of CRF 1.A.4, 1.A.5 military) & fugitive emissions from fuels (1.B)** Targets 2020 to 2050: Energy Concept of the German Federal Government (2010)*** Short-term forecast for 2018, emissions from commerce, trade & services contained in Other Emissions
Emission of greenhouse gases covered by the UN Framework Convention on Climate
Million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents
Target Target Target Target
➢ CO2 emissions have to be cut
drastically in all sectors even in
order to reach Target 2020!
➢ Renewable energy generation
needs to triplicate until 2050
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Levers for Reduction of CO2-Emissions
➢ Increase efficiency and reduce CO2 intensity in all sectors
‒ Power generation
‒ Mobility
‒ Residential
‒ Commercial, industry
➢ Renewable generation
‒ Generation capacity
‒ Load factor
➢ Energy storage & demand side management
‒ Battery energy storage systems
‒ Smart metering (benefit)
➢ Sector coupling
‒ e-car charging
‒ Heating / Cooling
‒ Power2Chem
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Competitive Levelized Cost of Electricity of
Renewable Generation Technologies
Source: IRENA (2019), Renewable Power Generation
Costs in 2018. International Renewable Energy Agency
(IRENA), Abu Dhabi
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The Residual Load Challenge
Thomas Klaus, Carla Vollmer, Kathrin Werner, Harry Lehmann, Klaus Müschen: Energy target
2050:100% renewable electricity supply. Dessau-Roßlau, July 2010, 40 pp. retrieved from
http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/uba-info-medien-e/3997.html
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Battery Energy Storage Prices Drop as
Installed Capacity Increases
Tsiropoulos I., Tarvydas. D., Lebedeva N., Li-ion batteries for mobility and
stationary storage applications Scenarios for costs and market growth. EU
Science Hub, https://ec.europa.eu/jrc, JRC113360, EUR 29440 EN, 2018,
doi:10.2760/87175
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Fundamental Changes: The Future Energy System will be
Multimodal – Flexible – Decentralized – Digital
Onshore
Wind
Offshore Wind Park
Fossil Power Plant
Storage
Pumped
Hydro
Large Scale
PV Plant
Network Control
Center
Biomass
District heating
cooling
Nanogrid
within Building (e.g. DC grid
in Data Center)
Controllable LV
transformer
Private Wind or Solar
Storage
Solutions
Electrical Vehicle
Infrastructure
Engine
Generator
with C(C)HP**
Bulk Generation Transmission Distribution & DER Customer and Industry
Onshore Wind Park
Microgrid
Controller
Gas Supplier
Microgrid
Power Station Power Station Power Station
Gas Transport Gas Station
Gas Distribution
Smart Building
w/ heat pump &
thermal storage
Thermal
Storage
Power to gas (liquid,
chemical)District
heating
cooling
Heater, Chiller
Heat Station
Pumping Station
Water TransportWater Production
Water Tanks
Water Distribution
Industry
C(C)HP**
Fuel cell
Smart Systems
Integration Challenges
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Challenges – 1
Smart, Efficient Energy Conversion and Storage Components
➢ Smart control units comprising smart electronic converters, actuators, sensors, reference communication
interfaces, plug- and play functionality, real-time digital twin capability, and security systems
for all types of energy conversion and storage components such as ...wind turbine, solar module, combined heat and power plant with fuels ranging from biomass to renewable hydrogen, battery module (optimized, life-
extending operation), flow battery, electrolyzer & fuel cell, thermal energy storage (solid, liquid, phase transition, chemical reaction based), and flywheel
(mechanical energy storage).
➢ Innovative business models: Labeling (Certification) of energy supplied.
➢ Security features: Intrusion detection, safe mode operation, system cleaning, and re-establishment of standard
operation.
➢ Smart solar inverters for tandem cell based solar modules:
‒ Micro inverters & by-pass diodes on cell, submodule, or module level
‒ String inverter concepts (module level and above)
Confidential © Siemens AG 2016
14.11.2016Page 12 Corporate Technology
Functions of smart inverters
Smart Inverter • Today's smart functions
+
• New, smart functions (including disruptive ones)
• Functions, that enable new, smart functions, such as
• Provide runtime environment for running apps
• Provide interfaces to external service apps (e.g. in the cloud)
• Gather data from external sources, e. g. meteorological data
• Enable various types of bidirectional communication
interfaces (including wireless)
• Optimization of power train (e. g. auto tuning)
• Recognition of adjacent components, including configuration
data (e.g. drive train, PV modules)
• Metering and licensing functions (e.g. for billing purposes)
• Preprocessing and recording of inverter data (e. g.
harmonics, …)
• Drive API to leverage drive functions
Basic
functions
Sm
art
Sm
art
En
ab
lers
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Challenges – 2
Stable, Resilient On-Site Energy Systems
➢ Secure on-site multi-modal energy management system
‒ minimizing costs, optimizing operation of components for lifetime & revenue, labeling renewable energy
(certification for green energy trading)
‒ supporting new business models, e.g. demand side management offering flexibility in buildings: Trading
energy peer-to-peer, peer to aggregator, using local energy market platform
‒ quantifying active power quality for green certificates and trading
➢ Hybrid-storage systems e.g. of flow batteries and supercaps offering flexibility & managing power quality
➢ Multi-modal storage integration into on-site energy systems (both commercial and residential) balancing
generation and demand on site level
➢ Energy management systems for industrial sites allowing safe and easy (uninterrupted plant operation)
transition between grid connected and island operation
‒ frequency defining inverters
‒ special security features
➢ Building Energy Management System for integration of buildings with transport (including e-car batteries
as flexibility sources)
➢ DC systems for commercial buildings
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Challenges – 3
Secure Transmission and Distribution Grids
➢ Virtual power plant offering flexibility to regional and cross regional grids
➢ Local energy market platform optimizing distribution grids
➢ Grid observability – virtual sensors, optimizing bi-directional flow paths for
trading
➢ Smart Sensor Nodes & Networks: Monitoring physical parameters of grid
installations, providing information about status of grids with bi-directional current
flows (grid transparency).
‒ Smart, wireless sensor nodes with local or cellular connectivity
‒ Smart actuator and sensor nodes with bi-directional communication
‒ Cloud based service platform for smart sensor networks providing self-monitoring &
self-calibration capability, QoS information, reduced requirements for redundancy
Market
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Market Perspectives of SSI in Energy Domain
Invest Expected by 2050
Bloomberg New Energy Finance: New Energy Outlook 2019Information retrieved from
https://www.power-technology.com/news/bloomberg-new-energy-outlook-2019/
Increase in World Energy Demand until 2050 – 62%
Invest in power generation capacity by 2050:
Total: tn $ 13.3
Wind: tn $ 5.3
Solar: tn $ 4.2
Energy storage & grids
Battery (BESS) tn $ 0.84
Grid expansion tn $ 11.4Paris Agreement can only be fulfilled by increasing
invest into low GHG emission technologies
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Global PV Inverter Market
Source: Data adapted from https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/top-five-
inverter-players-lose-market-share#gs.8x1iuo
▪ dominated by Chinese Players
▪ increases in power with ~4%/yeara
▪ may increase in value with CAGR (continuous annual
growth rate) of 5%b
a) see https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/solar-pv-inverters-update-2019-
global-market-size-competitive-landscape-key-country-analysis-and-forecast-
to-2023-7648273
b) see https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/9-1-bn-solar-pv-inverter-market-
global-industry-trends-share-size-growth-opportunity-and-forecast-2019-2024--
300805009.html. However, forecasts diverge substantially: The study
presented in a) predicts an CAGR of -13% (falling prices)
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Potential of Digital Technologies in Energy
Status
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Achievements: IREN2 – Energy Campus Wildpoldsried
Grid Control under Island Conditions Microgrid as a Topological Power Plant
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SENSIBLE Nuremberg Demonstrator –
Use Cases Integrating Heat & Electricity
1 Point of Common Coupling; 2 Low Temperature; 3 High Temperature
Example for EMS-Operation:
Optimized energy procurement
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Source:: https://pebbles-projekt.de/projekt/
How to go forward
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Energy System Transformation Requires Customer Specific
Solutions: The Stakeholder Challenge gets an Opportunity
Decarbonize Energy Supply
Reduce Emissions
Save Resources
Employment ...
Energy & Power Supply for all
Domains
Affordable Reliable Resilient
Profitable Business
New Business Models
Politics Customers Markets
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Make It Happen
▪ The development of future energy system (FES) technologies can only be
performed if energy system (ENS) infrastructure is available
▪ Thus, addressing SSI for FES application requires coordinated R&D efforts.
▪ R&D roadmaps of SSI community should be aligned with those developed by
ETIP SNET
▪ Take care for regulatory framework for ENS on European level (competition
with Chinese market)
▪ R&D activities need to be accompanied by standardization
▪ Certification of control units for energy components needs to be introduced.
▪ High R&D risk on the system level needs to be considered in funding programs
‒ Don’t limit funding to SME
‒ Consider effective funding quote competitive on international level
‒ Provide test beds for development of FES technologies
Summary
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Game changers
▪ Digitalization of ENS Design and Operation: Focus shifting from renewable
generation to multi modal energy system design and operation technologies.
▪ Renewable generation: CAPEX driven business; service orientation as USP.
▪ Decentralization shifting invest from large scale utilities and infrastructure to
small scale generation and local infrastructure: New business models, new
players, new technical requirements regarding smart system integration (e.g.
plug and play energy system).
▪ Digitalization of business processes (e.g. by means of Blockchain
technologies) will further transform energy market.
Societal benefits
• Employment created in digitalization of energy system.
• New business created on local level (e.g. aggregators, …)
• Reduced environmental pollution, CO2 emissions, …
• Acceptance of localized generation and consumption
Competitive value
Fast transformation from centralized hierarchical energy system to decentralized,
flexible, multi modal energy systems
• increases the value of renewable generation capacities,
• decreases levelized costs of renewable electricity,
• decouples costs of heating, cooling, industrial processes, and transportation
from fossil fuel prices.
Challenges
Decentralized, multi modal energy system design & operation technologies
covering all levels of granularity (from building to cross-regional structures) to be
developed
• Digital twins of components and systems enabling systems optimization,
development of plug and play functionality, etc.
• System integrity enabled by hard- and software technologies (IT security, ...)
• Manage complexity: AI supporting optimized energy system operation
(boundary conditions: security of supply, costs, environmental impact, ...)
• Future ENS risk assessment, contingency analysis; development of strategies
improving ENS resilience.
Future Energy Systems (ENS) – Decarbonized,
Decentralized, Digitalized
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Contact
Thomas Hammer, Dr. rer. nat.
Senior Principal Research Scientist
Corporate Technology, Research on
Energy and Electronics, Energy Systems
Günther-Scharowsky-Str. 1
91058 Erlangen, Germany
Phone: +49 9131 17-33123
Fax: +49 9131 7-24709
Mobile: +49 172 84 02 19 6
E-mail:
siemens.com